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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:T-HEHS-98-43</classification>
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 <subject>Future budget projections</subject>
 <subject>Federal social security programs</subject>
 <subject>Social security benefits</subject>
 <subject>Retirement benefits</subject>
 <subject>Economic analysis</subject>
 <subject>Elderly persons</subject>
 <subject>Population statistics</subject>
 <subject>Budget deficit</subject>
 <subject>Privatization</subject>
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 <title>Social Security Reform: Demographic Trends Underlie Long-Term Financing Shortage</title>
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<abstract>GAO discussed: (1) the demographic trends contributing to the social
security financing problem; (2) when the problem will begin to confront
the federal government; (3) the alternatives for addressing the problem;
and (4) the implications of these alternatives.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) increasing life expectancy and declining fertility
rates pose serious challenges not just for the social security system
but also for Medicare, Medicaid, the federal budget, and the economy as
a whole; (2) the aging of the baby-boom generation will simply
accelerate this trend; (3) social security receives more from payroll
taxes than it pays out in benefits; (4) this excess revenue is helping
build substantial trust fund reserves that are projected to help pay
full benefits until 2029, according to social security&apos;s intermediate
projections; (5) at the same time, this excess revenue helps reduce the
overall federal budget deficit but will start to taper off after 2008;
(6) in 2012, social security benefit payments are projected to exceed
cash revenues, and the federal budget will start to come under
considerable strain as the general fund starts to repay funds borrowed
from the trust funds; (7) although social security&apos;s revenues currently
exceed its expenditures, revenues are expected to be about 14 percent
less than total projected expenditures over the next 75 years, according
to Social Security Administration projections; (8) a variety of benefit
reductions and revenue increases within the current program structure
could be combined to restore financial balance; (9) some observers
believe that the program structure should be reevaluated; (10) reform is
necessary, and the sooner it is addressed, the less severe the necessary
adjustments will be; (11) any economic growth and improvements in living
standards achieved will also mitigate the strains that reform will
impose; (12) any course taken will substantially affect both workers and
retirees, other sources of retirement income, the income distribution,
the federal budget, and even the economy as a whole; and (13) such
effects should be well understood in making reforms.</abstract>
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<note>Testimony</note>
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 <topic>Future budget projections</topic>
 <topic>Federal social security programs</topic>
 <topic>Social security benefits</topic>
 <topic>Retirement benefits</topic>
 <topic>Economic analysis</topic>
 <topic>Elderly persons</topic>
 <topic>Population statistics</topic>
 <topic>Budget deficit</topic>
 <topic>Privatization</topic>
 <topic>Medicare Program</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Program</topic>
 <topic>Social Security Trust Fund</topic>
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