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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:RCED-98-239</classification>
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 <subject>Environmental monitoring</subject>
 <subject>International agreements</subject>
 <subject>Energy research</subject>
 <subject>Air pollution control</subject>
 <subject>Atmospheric research</subject>
 <subject>Thermal pollution</subject>
 <subject>Hazardous substances</subject>
 <subject>Economic analysis</subject>
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<titleInfo>
 <title>Climate Change: Information on Limitations and Assumptions of DOE&apos;s Five-Lab Study</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided information on the
study conducted by five Department of Energy (DOE) national laboratories
on reducing U.S. emissions through energy-efficient and low-carbon
technologies, focusing on: (1) how the study&apos;s scope and methodology may
limit its usefulness; (2) key assumptions that may have influenced the
study&apos;s results; and (3) the study&apos;s role in the formulation of the
October 1997 climate change proposal and the Kyoto Conference&apos;s
emission-reduction goals for the United States.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) the five-lab study is an important step in
evaluating the role that energy-efficient and low-carbon technologies
can play in the nation&apos;s efforts to reduce global warming gases; (2)
however, the study&apos;s usefulness is limited because it does not discuss
the specific policies needed to achieve its estimate of 394 million
metric tons of carbon reductions by 2010 and does not fully consider the
costs to the nation&apos;s economy of reaching this goal; (3) according to
DOE laboratory officials, specifying the types of policies needed to
achieve such significant reductions by 2010 was not one of the study&apos;s
objectives; (4) furthermore, the study assumes a fee of $50 per ton for
carbon emissions, which would increase the cost of energy; however, the
study does not evaluate the broader impacts that this cost may have on
the economy; (5) DOE officials acknowledge that the study does not
examine the broader economic impacts of such a carbon fee on the U.S.
economy but said that, in their opinion, these broader economic impacts
would be minor; (6) the study&apos;s finding that the widespread adoption of
energy-efficient technologies can be achieved with low to no net cost to
the nation is heavily dependent on the assumptions made for four sectors
of the U.S. economy--buildings, industry, transportation, and
electricity production; (7) among the groups that GAO interviewed, GAO
found a disparity of views on key assumptions that may have influenced
the study&apos;s results; (8) several of the groups questioned some of these
assumptions as being too optimistic, such as those about the payback
period, rate of adoption of new technologies, or timing of technological
breakthroughs; (9) however, most of the representatives of the seven
industries that used about 80 percent of the manufacturing energy
consumed in the United States in 1994 indicated this assumption may be
too optimistic given their current capital constraints, market
conditions, and existing manufacturing processes; (10) on the other
hand, some groups believed that certain assumptions in the study appear
reasonable; (11) the study has been cited as one of many documents
considered in formulating the administration&apos;s October 1997 climate
change proposal; and (12) according to the Department&apos;s Assistant
Secretary for Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, the study was one
of the documents considered in formulating the emission-reduction goals
for the United States at the December 1997 Kyoto Conference.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO/RCED-98-239</identifier>
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<note>Letter Report</note>
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 <searchTitle>GAO/RCED-98-239; Climate Change: Information on Limitations and Assumptions of DOE&apos;s Five-Lab Study;
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<subject>
 <topic>Environmental monitoring</topic>
 <topic>International agreements</topic>
 <topic>Energy research</topic>
 <topic>Air pollution control</topic>
 <topic>Atmospheric research</topic>
 <topic>Thermal pollution</topic>
 <topic>Hazardous substances</topic>
 <topic>Economic analysis</topic>
 <topic>Environmental policies</topic>
 <topic>Energy efficiency</topic>
 <topic>Kyoto Protocol</topic>
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