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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:HEHS-98-16</classification>
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 <subject>Neurological diseases</subject>
 <subject>Disease detection or diagnosis</subject>
 <subject>Projections</subject>
 <subject>Elderly persons</subject>
 <subject>Health statistics</subject>
 <subject>Medical research</subject>
 <subject>Statistical data</subject>
 <subject>Statistical methods</subject>
 <subject>Health care planning</subject>
 <identifier>Alzheimer&apos;s Disease</identifier>
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<titleInfo>
 <title>Alzheimer&apos;s Disease: Estimates of Prevalence in the United States</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided estimates of the
prevalence of Alzheimer&apos;s Disease (AD) in the United States, including
projections for prevalence in the near future.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) on the basis of existing studies, it is estimated
that at least 1.9 million Americans 65 years of age or older suffered
from any level of AD--mild, moderate, or severe--in 1995; (2) this
number would be closer to 2.1 million if adjusted for the omissions, in
many of these studies, of cases with mixed dementia and cases missed by
the screening instruments used; (3) when only people likely to need at
least some active assistance with personal care are considered, the
results of GAO&apos;s meta-analysis show slightly more than 1 million people
with AD over the age of 64; (4) the result would be higher--closer to
1.4 million people with AD--if all mixed cases and missed cases were
included in all studies; (5) consistent with all earlier research, the
results for both any AD and moderate or severe AD demonstrate that the
prevalence rates increase sharply with age, doubling about every 5
years, at least until the age of 85, when the increase begins to slow;
(6) also consistent with some earlier research, the estimated rates for
women are higher than for men; (7) projecting the number of people with
AD into the future gives some indication of the long-term care and
research challenges that will face the nation as people grow older; (8)
GAO&apos;s meta-analysis, when combined with Bureau of the Census
projections, shows that more than 2.9 million people would have at least
a mild case of AD in 2015; of these, over 1.7 million would need active
assistance in personal care; (9) these figures jump to 3.2 million and
2.1 million, respectively, when mixed cases and missed cases are
included; (10) given the uncertainty surrounding existing estimates of
AD, a number of studies are now under way, supported by the National
Institute on Aging, that should yield better prevalence estimates of
African-Americans, Hispanics, and other nonwhite subpopulations; and
(11) the results of these studies, expected to be published over the
next several years, should improve GAO&apos;s picture of AD prevalence for
the United States as a whole, as well as for the specific population
segments studied.</abstract>
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 <searchTitle>GAO/HEHS-98-16; Alzheimer&apos;s Disease: Estimates of Prevalence in the United States;
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<subject>
 <topic>Neurological diseases</topic>
 <topic>Disease detection or diagnosis</topic>
 <topic>Projections</topic>
 <topic>Elderly persons</topic>
 <topic>Health statistics</topic>
 <topic>Medical research</topic>
 <topic>Statistical data</topic>
 <topic>Statistical methods</topic>
 <topic>Health care planning</topic>
 <topic>Alzheimer&apos;s Disease</topic>
 <topic>Medicare Program</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Program</topic>
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