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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:HEHS-97-128</classification>
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 <subject>Health care cost control</subject>
 <subject>Health care programs</subject>
 <subject>Budget outlays</subject>
 <subject>Managed health care</subject>
 <subject>State-administered programs</subject>
 <subject>Long-term care</subject>
 <subject>Payments</subject>
 <subject>Hospital care services</subject>
 <subject>Future budget projections</subject>
 <identifier>Medicaid Disproportionate Share Hospital Program</identifier>
 <identifier>Medicaid Managed Care Program</identifier>
 <identifier>Medicaid Program</identifier>
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<titleInfo>
 <title>Medicaid: Sustainability of Low 1996 Spending Growth Is Uncertain</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO reviewed Medicaid&apos;s spending
growth rate, focusing on: (1) the dominant factors affecting trends in
Medicaid spending growth from fiscal years 1989 to 1995; (2) key factors
that contributed to the low spending growth rate for fiscal year (FY)
1996 and variations in states&apos; Medicaid spending growth for the most
recent 2-year period; and (3) the implication of these factors for
future Medicaid spending.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) the Medicaid spending growth rate increased
dramatically in the early 1990s, rising to almost 29 percent in 1992,
with expenditures growing from almost $60 billion in FY 1989 to $157
billion in FY 1995; (2) factors that help explain this trend include:
(a) escalating disproportionate share hospital (DSH) payments made to
hospitals that cover a large proportion of low-income and Medicaid
beneficiaries; (b) the increasing cost of providing services (the prices
paid for services and the average costs of services per beneficiary);
and (c) the growing number of program beneficiaries; (3) each of these
factors prevailed to increase spending growth at different times; (4)
for example, from fiscal years 1990 to 1992, the contribution of DSH
payment increases soared from 6 to 46 percent of total spending growth
until those payments were brought under control in 1993; (5) while DSH
payment contributions erratically increased and decreased, the impact of
additional beneficiaries on overall expenditure growth steadily
increased due in part to mandated and optional eligibility expansions;
(6) by FY 1995, however, as Medicaid spending growth had abated
substantially, the contribution of these factors had decreased; (7) the
dramatically low Medicaid expenditure growth rate in FY 1996 masked wide
variations in states&apos; Medicaid growth; (8) one state&apos;s Medicaid
expenditures decreased by 16 percent, another&apos;s increased by 25 percent;
(9) most states, however, accounting for 80 percent of FY 1996 federal
Medicaid outlays, had moderate decreases or minimal changes from their
previous year&apos;s spending growth; (10) a combination of factors, some
affecting only certain states and others common to many states, explains
the low FY 1996 growth rate; (11) a number of other states GAO contacted
attributed lower growth rates to a generally improved economy and state
initiatives to limit expenditure growth through program changes such as
managed care programs and long-term care alternatives; (12) the low 1996
Medicaid spending growth rate of 3.3 percent appears to be an anomaly
not likely to persist in subsequent years; (13) the factors that reduced
growth in FY 1996 will continue to affect future Medicaid spending; (14)
the net effect of factors, such as DSH spending and the future economy,
however, are unknown; (15) some of these factors may contribute to
higher growth in the near future; (16) in addition, if the economy decl*</abstract>
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<subject>
 <topic>Health care cost control</topic>
 <topic>Health care programs</topic>
 <topic>Budget outlays</topic>
 <topic>Managed health care</topic>
 <topic>State-administered programs</topic>
 <topic>Long-term care</topic>
 <topic>Payments</topic>
 <topic>Hospital care services</topic>
 <topic>Future budget projections</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Disproportionate Share Hospital Program</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Managed Care Program</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Program</topic>
</subject>
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  <title>United States Code</title>
  <partNumber>Title 42 Section 1315(a)</partNumber>
  <partNumber>Title 42 Section 1396(a)(13)(A)</partNumber>
</titleInfo>
 <identifier type="USC citation">42 U.S.C. 1315(a)</identifier>
 <identifier type="USC citation">42 U.S.C. 1396(a)(13)(A)</identifier>
</relatedItem>
<relatedItem type="isReferencedBy">
 <titleInfo>
  <title>United States Public Law 234 (102nd Congress)</title>
</titleInfo>
 <identifier type="public law citation">Public Law 102-234</identifier>
</relatedItem>
<relatedItem type="isReferencedBy">
 <titleInfo>
  <title>United States Public Law 66 (103rd Congress)</title>
</titleInfo>
 <identifier type="public law citation">Public Law 103-66</identifier>
</relatedItem>
<relatedItem type="isReferencedBy">
 <titleInfo>
  <title>United States Public Law 193 (104th Congress)</title>
</titleInfo>
 <identifier type="public law citation">Public Law 104-193</identifier>
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