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 <subject>Household goods</subject>
 <subject>Product safety</subject>
 <subject>Flammability standards</subject>
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 <subject>Cost effectiveness analysis</subject>
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 <title>Consumer Product Safety Commission: Additional Steps</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a legislative requirement, GAO provided information on the
Consumer Product Safety Commission&apos;s (CPSC) study on whether to set a
flammability standard for sofas, chairs, and other upholstered
furniture, focusing on the: (1) methodology CPSC used to estimate the
magnitude of the fire hazard that the standard would address; and (2)
reliability of this methodology for producing sound estimates of the
hazard that the standard would address.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) because no single national data source exists on the
magnitude of hazards and losses caused by upholstered furniture fires,
CPSC blends information from two different sources; (2) one source
provides national estimates on the total number of fires in four general
categories and the extent of losses, but it provides no information
about specific types of fires, such as upholstered furniture fires; (3)
the second source provides detailed information for specific types of
fires, but for only a portion of all fires in the United States; (4)
CPSC uses the details from the second source of data and the national
estimates from the first source to calculate national estimates of fire
losses from the kinds of upholstered furniture fires the standard would
address; (5) CPSC cannot ensure that its methodology provides a complete
picture of the national fire losses that the potential standard would
address; (6) CPSC does not develop a statement of precision for the
estimated losses from upholstered furniture fires; (7) without this,
CPSC&apos;s estimates of fire losses do not adequately disclose the range of
benefits that may be associated with its potential standard; (8) CPSC&apos;s
methodology for calculating fire losses has the effect of including
losses that are not likely to be addressed by the standard; (9) fire
losses involving upholstered furniture are counted even though other
factors not addressed by the standard may have been responsible, such as
fires that are intentionally set; (10) also, for those fires for which
the cause or origin is unknown, CPSC assumes that upholstered furniture
fires will occur in the same proportion they occur in fires with a known
cause; (11) GAO&apos;s testing shows that these methods are likely to
substantially overstate fire losses that the standard would address, and
as a result, they could have a material effect on the associated
benefits expected from the potential standard; and (12) various analyses
can be used to assess the validity of underlying assumptions and
ultimately strengthen CPSC estimates, but so far CPSC has not used them.</abstract>
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<note>Letter Report</note>
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<subject>
 <topic>Household goods</topic>
 <topic>Product safety</topic>
 <topic>Flammability standards</topic>
 <topic>Safety regulation</topic>
 <topic>Cost effectiveness analysis</topic>
 <topic>Evaluation methods</topic>
 <topic>Statistical data</topic>
 <topic>FEMA National Fire Incident Reporting System</topic>
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  <title>United States Code</title>
  <partNumber>Title 15 Section 1191</partNumber>
  <partNumber>Title 15 Section 1193</partNumber>
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 <identifier type="USC citation">15 U.S.C. 1191</identifier>
 <identifier type="USC citation">15 U.S.C. 1193</identifier>
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