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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:GGD-00-57R</classification>
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 <subject>Property damage claims</subject>
 <subject>Comparative analysis</subject>
 <subject>Property losses</subject>
 <subject>Insurance companies</subject>
 <subject>Insurance cost control</subject>
 <subject>Insurance losses</subject>
 <subject>Financial analysis</subject>
 <identifier>Florida</identifier>
 <identifier>California</identifier>
 <identifier>Hurricane Andrew</identifier>
 <identifier>Northridge Earthquake</identifier>
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 <title>Insurers&apos; Ability to Pay Catastrophe Claims</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided information on the
insurance industry&apos;s capacity to pay natural catastrophe claims,
focusing on: (1) comparing available data on industry financial
resources to estimates of potential insured losses that would result
from natural catastrophes of various magnitudes; (2) two recent studies
of capacity; and (3) factors that may affect the stability of insurer
capacity over time.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) the insurance industry&apos;s financial resources have
grown substantially since 1990 and are large relative to the natural
catastrophe claims estimated to arise from a single major disaster; (2)
however, not all of those resources would be available to pay claims
from any single catastrophe because individual insurance companies, not
the industry as a whole, pay disaster claims; (3) because any analysis
of insurers&apos; capacity requires making assumptions about both the level
of their available resources and the timing, location, and size of
catastrophes, any estimate is subject to potentially serious
limitations; (4) to estimate how insurers might be affected by a
particular catastrophe, GAO compared estimates made by a catastrophe
modelling firm of potential losses from a major catastrophe in the 10
states that the firm estimated would face the largest losses in such a
catastrophe to the net worth of insurers that operate in each of those
states; (5) the results of GAO&apos;s analysis suggest that some insurers
might lose a significant share of their assets to a major catastrophe;
(6) catastrophes can disrupt insurance markets and harm insurance
companies and consumers even in cases where all claims are paid; (7)
therefore, determining whether insurance companies have resources to pay
all claims arising from a given natural catastrophe may ignore other
important aspects of insurer capacity; (8) the two recent studies of
capacity GAO reviewed found that the insurance industry as a whole,
implicitly including reinsurance, possesses the financial resources
needed to support its natural catastrophe risk; (9) one study found that
the catastrophes it modelled--a $100-billion catastrophe and a
$20-billion Florida hurricane--would cause a number of insurer
insolvencies; (10) the other study noted that it could not account for
differences in individual insurers&apos; capital adequacy; (11) neither study
evaluated in detail the degree of insurance market disruption that a
major catastrophe might cause; (12) although it appears the insurance
industry as a whole may be able to pay for most or all claims arising
from a 1-in-100-year loss, the current level of insurer resources to pay
catastrophe claims is unlikely to be stable over time; (13) a
catastrophe loss greater than a 1-in-100-year loss or a closely spaced
series of smaller disasters could temporarily deplete insurer resources,
including the supply of reinsurance; and (14) such disasters could lead
to a larger number of insurer insolvencies, or reduce the availability
of insurance in catastrophe-prone areas of the country.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO/GGD-00-57R</identifier>
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<note>Correspondence</note>
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 <searchTitle>GAO/GGD-00-57R; Insurers&apos; Ability to Pay Catastrophe Claims;
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<subject>
 <topic>Property damage claims</topic>
 <topic>Comparative analysis</topic>
 <topic>Property losses</topic>
 <topic>Insurance companies</topic>
 <topic>Insurance cost control</topic>
 <topic>Insurance losses</topic>
 <topic>Financial analysis</topic>
 <topic>Florida</topic>
 <topic>California</topic>
 <topic>Hurricane Andrew</topic>
 <topic>Northridge Earthquake</topic>
</subject>
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