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 <subject>Defense capabilities</subject>
 <subject>Defense contingency planning</subject>
 <subject>Documentation</subject>
 <subject>Program evaluation</subject>
 <subject>Strategic mobility forces</subject>
 <subject>Strategic planning</subject>
 <subject>Transportation</subject>
 <subject>Computer modeling</subject>
 <subject>Statistical data</subject>
 <subject>DOD Mobility Capabilities Study</subject>
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 <title>Defense Transportation: Opportunities Exist to Enhance the Credibility of the Current and Future Mobility Capabilities Studies</title>
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<abstract>We are reviewing the processes the Department of Defense (DOD) is
using to conduct its Mobility Capabilities Study (MCS). The MCS  
is to address changes in DOD&apos;s transportation force structure and
mobility requirements due to changes in threats and certain	 
national security and military strategies. The study results may 
underpin decisions on future strategic airlift, aerial refueling 
aircraft, and sealift procurements. The study relies on the use  
of various models and data inputs to develop and evaluate	 
transportation alternatives, including variations in alternative 
transportation modes (air, land, sea) and sources (military,	 
civilian, foreign), as well as factors that affect transportation
mode and source decisions. The Senate Armed Services Committee	 
directed us to monitor the conduct of the MCS and report on the  
adequacy and completeness of the report no later than 30 days	 
after DOD completes the study. DOD plans to issue the MCS report 
during 2005. This letter is intended to bring to the Secretary of
Defense&apos;s attention preliminary observations on certain aspects  
of the MCS methodology to permit you to ensure the credibility of
this and future studies. In our letter, we address the adequacy  
of the department&apos;s verification, validation, and accreditation  
(VV&amp;A) of the models and simulations being used to conduct the	 
MCS--that is, the process the MCS team is using to identify the  
models&apos; capabilities, limitations, and performance relative to	 
the real world events they simulate. We will continue to monitor 
the MCS and will report on the adequacy and completeness of the  
methodology after DOD issues its report.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO-05-659R</identifier>
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<note>Correspondence</note>
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 <searchTitle>GAO-05-659R; Defense Transportation: Opportunities Exist to Enhance the Credibility of the Current and Future Mobility Capabilities Studies;
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<subject>
 <topic>Defense capabilities</topic>
 <topic>Defense contingency planning</topic>
 <topic>Documentation</topic>
 <topic>Program evaluation</topic>
 <topic>Strategic mobility forces</topic>
 <topic>Strategic planning</topic>
 <topic>Transportation</topic>
 <topic>Computer modeling</topic>
 <topic>Statistical data</topic>
 <topic>DOD Mobility Capabilities Study</topic>
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