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 <subject>Budget administration</subject>
 <subject>Financial management</subject>
 <subject>Strategic planning</subject>
 <subject>Recession</subject>
 <subject>Budget surplus</subject>
 <subject>Entitlement programs</subject>
 <subject>Economic stabilization</subject>
 <subject>Fiscal policies</subject>
 <subject>Coast Guard Deepwater Project</subject>
 <subject>Hospital Insurance Trust Fund</subject>
 <subject>Medicaid Program</subject>
 <subject>Medicare Program</subject>
 <subject>Social Security Program</subject>
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 <title>Budget Issues: Long-Term Fiscal Challenges</title>
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<abstract>Combating terrorism and ensuring the nation&apos;s homeland security
have created urgent claims on our attention and on the federal	 
budget. Although there are indications that an economic recovery 
is underway, the recession that began last spring has had real	 
consequences for the budget. At the same time, the fiscal	 
pressures created by the retirement of the baby boom generation  
and rising health care costs remain the same. The surpluses also 
put the nation in a stronger position to respond to the events of
September 11 and to the economic slowdown than would otherwise	 
have been the case. The nation&apos;s commitment to surpluses will be 
tested. A return to surplus will require sustained discipline and
difficult choices. Because the longer-term outlook is driven in  
large part by known demographic trends the outlook 20 years from 
now is surer than the forecast for the next few years. The	 
message of GAO&apos;s updated simulations remains the same as last	 
year--absent structural changes in entitlement programs for the  
elderly, in the long term persistent deficits and escalating debt
will overwhelm the budget. Both longer-term and new commitments  
undertaken after September 11 sharpen the need for competing	 
claims and new priorities. A fundamental review of existing	 
programs and activities is necessary both to increase fiscal	 
flexibility and to make government fit the modern world. Stated  
differently, there is a need to consider the proper role of the  
federal government in the 21st century and how the government	 
should do business in the future. The fiscal benchmarks and rules
that moved the country from deficit to surplus expire this fiscal
year. Any successor system should include a debate about	 
reprioritization today and a better understanding of the	 
long-term implications of different policy choices. There are	 
many things that the nation may be able to afford today but may  
not be sustainable in the future.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO-02-467T</identifier>
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<note>Testimony</note>
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<subject>
 <topic>Budget administration</topic>
 <topic>Financial management</topic>
 <topic>Strategic planning</topic>
 <topic>Recession</topic>
 <topic>Budget surplus</topic>
 <topic>Entitlement programs</topic>
 <topic>Economic stabilization</topic>
 <topic>Fiscal policies</topic>
 <topic>Coast Guard Deepwater Project</topic>
 <topic>Hospital Insurance Trust Fund</topic>
 <topic>Medicaid Program</topic>
 <topic>Medicare Program</topic>
 <topic>Social Security Program</topic>
 <topic>Supplementary Medical Insurance Program</topic>
 <topic>Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust</topic>
 <topic>Fund</topic>
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