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 <subject>Future budget projections</subject>
 <subject>Budget deficit</subject>
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 <title>Budget Process: Considerations for Updating the Budget Enforcement Act</title>
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<abstract>This testimony discusses issues related to the budget process
established by the Budget Enforcement Act (BEA), which will	 
expire in fiscal year 2002. Because the goal of achieving zero	 
deficit has been accomplished, the focus of the nation&apos;s budget  
process needs to change. Now, instead of aiming for a zero	 
deficit, the goal shifts to how to allocate surpluses among debt 
reduction, spending increases, and tax cuts. Also, the budget	 
process should be designed to avoid what has been described as	 
the year-end &quot;train wreck&quot;. A year-end &quot;train wreck&quot; is the	 
result of failing to reach agreement--or at least a compromise	 
acceptable to all parties--earlier in the year. Although it is	 
possible that reaching agreement on some broad parameters early  
on could facilitate a smoother process, it is not clear that such
an agreement will always prevent gridlock--it may just come	 
earlier. Two ideas that have been proposed to avert the year-end 
disruption caused by an inability to reach agreement on funding  
the government include joint budget resolutions and biennial	 
budgeting. In discussing alternatives for improving the budget	 
process, there is a broad consensus among observers and budget	 
analysts that the spending constraints established by the BEA is 
necessary even with the advent of actual and projected surpluses.
Such constraints include (1) extending the discretionary spending
caps, (2) extending the pay-as-you-go mechanism, and (3) creating
a trigger device or set of rules specifically designed to deal	 
with the uncertainty of budget projections.</abstract>
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<note>Testimony</note>
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<subject>
 <topic>Future budget projections</topic>
 <topic>Budget deficit</topic>
 <topic>Budget surplus</topic>
 <topic>Fiscal policies</topic>
 <topic>Macroeconomic analysis</topic>
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