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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:GAO-01-526T</classification>
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 <subject>Funds management</subject>
 <subject>Mortgage loans</subject>
 <subject>Econometric modeling</subject>
 <subject>Economic analysis</subject>
 <subject>Mortgage programs</subject>
 <subject>Mortgage protection insurance</subject>
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 <identifier>Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund</identifier>
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 <title>Mortgage Financing: Actuarial Soundness of the Federal</title>
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<abstract>This testimony discusses the results of GAO&apos;s analysis of the financial
health of the Federal Housing Administration&apos;s Mutual Mortgage
Insurance. GAO estimates that the Fund had an economic value of about
$15.8 billion at the end of fiscal year 1999. This estimate implies a
capital ratio of 3:20 percent, which is higher than the 2 percent
capital ratio mandated by law. Given the economic value of the Fund and
the state of the economy at the end of fiscal year 1999, a 2-percent
capital ratio appears sufficient to withstand moderately severe economic
downturns that could lead to worse-than-expected loan performance. Some
more severe downturns that GAO analyzed also did not cause the estimated
capital ratio to decline by as much as 2 percentage points. Because of
the nature of such analysis, GAO urges caution in concluding that the
estimated value of the Fund today implies that the Fund would
necessarily withstand any particular economic scenario under all
circumstances. Congress and the Secretary of Housing and Urban
Development have taken and could take a number of actions to influence
the economic value of the Fund. Actions that influence the Fund&apos;s
reserve levels will also affect the federal budget. In short, any
proposal that seeks to use reserves, if not accompanied by a reduction
in other spending or an increase in receipts, will result in a decline
in the federal budget surplus.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO-01-526T</identifier>
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<note>Testimony</note>
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<subject>
 <topic>Funds management</topic>
 <topic>Mortgage loans</topic>
 <topic>Econometric modeling</topic>
 <topic>Economic analysis</topic>
 <topic>Mortgage programs</topic>
 <topic>Mortgage protection insurance</topic>
 <topic>Risk management</topic>
 <topic>Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund</topic>
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