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 <title>2000 Census: Analysis of Fiscal Year 2000 Amended Budget</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided information on the
Bureau of the Census&apos; fiscal year (FY) 2000 budget, focusing on: (1) an
overall analysis of the key changes in assumptions resulting in the
+$1.7 billion request increase; (2) details on the components of this
increase and which changes, according to the bureau, are related and
which are not related to the inability to use statistical sampling; and
(3) the process the bureau used for developing the increase in the
original FY 2000 budget request and the amended budget request.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) GAO found that the net $1.7 billion requested
increase in the original FY 2000 budget request of $2.8 billion resulted
primarily from changes in assumptions relating to a substantial increase
in workload, reduced employee productivity, and increased advertising;
(2) under the nonsampling design, census costs will increase because the
bureau expects to follow up on more nonresponding households than for a
sampling-based census and plans to use additional programs to improve
coverage because it cannot rely on statistical methods to adjust for
undercounting and other coverage errors; (3) the bureau assumes an
increased workload because the housing units that the bureau expects to
visit have increased from an estimated 30 million to 46 million; (4) the
16 million increase includes visiting 12 million additional
nonresponding housing units and 4 million additional housing units that
the Postal Service says are vacant or nonexistent; (5) this increased
workload, which increased costs for most bureau program activities,
relates primarily to additional salaries, benefits, travel, data
processing, infrastructure, and supplies; (6) another key factor
substantially increasing the FY 2000 budget request is that the bureau
reduced the assumed productivity of its temporary enumerator employees;
(7) because of the assumed increase in workload and reduction in
productivity, the total number of temporary field positions increased
from 780,000 in the original budget to 1,350,000 in the amended budget
request; (8) the bureau also included nearly $72 million of advertising
in the amended budget request to increase public awareness and hopefully
increase response rates for mailed questionnaires; (9) according to the
bureau, about $1.6 billion of this increase is related and $100 million
is not related to the inability to use statistical sampling; (10) the
items unrelated to the sampling issue include costs not included in the
original budget and revisions of prior estimates; (11) the bureau
developed its $4.5 billion amended budget request for FY 2000 using a
cost model consisting of a series of interrelated software spreadsheets;
(12) the original and amended budget requests were developed using this
cost model, with each estimate being developed independently using
different versions of the cost model; and (13) the bureau derived the
$1.7 billion requested increase by calculating the net difference
between the original budget request of $2.8 billion and the amended
budget request of $4.5 billion.</abstract>
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<identifier type="preferred citation">GAO/AIMD/GGD-99-291</identifier>
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<subject>
 <topic>Cost analysis</topic>
 <topic>Statistical methods</topic>
 <topic>Human resources utilization</topic>
 <topic>Budget amendments</topic>
 <topic>Census</topic>
 <topic>Presidential budgets</topic>
 <topic>Surveys</topic>
 <topic>2000 Decennial Census</topic>
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  <partNumber>Title 13 Section 195</partNumber>
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