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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:AIMD-99-142</classification>
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 <subject>Strategic planning</subject>
 <subject>Financial management</subject>
 <subject>Cost analysis</subject>
 <subject>Financial analysis</subject>
 <subject>Utility rates</subject>
 <subject>Energy costs</subject>
 <subject>Cost control</subject>
 <subject>Electric power generation</subject>
 <subject>Competition</subject>
 <subject>Federal corporations</subject>
 <identifier>TVA 10-Year Business Plan</identifier>
 <type>Letter Report</type>
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 <title>Tennessee Valley Authority: Assessment of the 10-Year</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided information on the
Tennessee Valley Authority&apos;s (TVA) 10-year business plan, focusing on
whether the 10-year plan: (1) addresses key issues facing TVA; (2) takes
into consideration all applicable costs and revenue sources; (3)
contains goals and assumptions that are achievable or reasonable and in
line with industry estimates and expectations; and (4) has been updated
to reflect significant changes in key goals and assumptions or actual
experience.

GAO noted that: (1) implementation of the 10-year plan is moving TVA in
the right direction toward its strategic objectives by addressing the
key issues it faces--its high fixed financing costs and large investment
in nonproducing and other deferred assets that have not been recovered
through utility rates; (2) the plan calls for lowering fixed costs by
reducing outstanding debt by about one-half--to about $14 billion--by
2007; (3) the plan also provides for the recovery through rates of all
but about $500 million of the $8.5 billion in deferred assets
outstanding as of the plan issuance date; (4) the year 2007 is key for
TVA because it expects to face greater competitive pressures by then and
because many long-term contracts with customers could expire at about
that time; (5) the plan emphasizes changes designed to enable TVA to
offer competitive rates by the end of 2007; (6) while focusing on the
right issues, TVA&apos;s plan does not fully address certain costs; (7) the
plan does not include: (a) the capital costs of increasing generating
capacity to meet the growth in demand for power as is now planned;
instead, it provides for meeting the growth in demand for power by
purchasing power from other utilities; (b) the costs of complying with
new and proposed environmental regulations; and (c) the costs of
nonpower programs that were formerly fully funded through
appropriations; (8) TVA estimates that these additional costs will total
about $1 billion over the remaining life of the plan and will likely be
higher; (9) GAO also found that while many of the plan&apos;s goals and
assumptions were achievable or reasonable, certain of them were not,
largely due to the additional expected costs described above; (10) some
of these additional costs could be offset by increases in expected
market rates of power in 2007; (11) because of the additional costs not
addressed in the 10-year plan, it is unlikely that TVA can reduce its
debt to the extent planned by 2007; (12) estimates in TVA&apos;s fiscal year
2000 federal budget request indicate that its debt reduction goal will
likely not be achieved until 2009; (13) however, since it is not
possible to accurately predict what the market price of power will be in
2007, TVA could still achieve its objective of offering competitively
priced power, even if it does not fully achieve the plan&apos;s other goals
and objectives; and (14) while TVA has acknowledged major changes to
several of the plan&apos;s goals and assumptions and has factored these into
its internal planning, the 10-year plan has not been formally updated to
reflect these changes.</abstract>
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<note>Letter Report</note>
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<subject>
 <topic>Strategic planning</topic>
 <topic>Financial management</topic>
 <topic>Cost analysis</topic>
 <topic>Financial analysis</topic>
 <topic>Utility rates</topic>
 <topic>Energy costs</topic>
 <topic>Cost control</topic>
 <topic>Electric power generation</topic>
 <topic>Competition</topic>
 <topic>Federal corporations</topic>
 <topic>TVA 10-Year Business Plan</topic>
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