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<classification authority="sudocs">GA 1.13:AIMD-97-88</classification>
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 <subject>Future budget projections</subject>
 <subject>Economic growth</subject>
 <subject>Fiscal policies</subject>
 <subject>Macroeconomic analysis</subject>
 <subject>Investments</subject>
 <subject>Budget deficit</subject>
 <subject>Budget functions</subject>
 <subject>Deficit reduction</subject>
 <subject>Budget outlays</subject>
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<titleInfo>
 <title>Budget Trends: Federal Investment Outlays, Fiscal Years 1981-2002</title>
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<abstract>Pursuant to congressional requests, GAO provided information on federal
investment trends and estimates of future outlays for investments
through fiscal year 2002. GAO did not independently verify this
information but traced totals to published budget documents.&lt;p/&gt;GAO noted that: (1) the share of total federal budget outlays and of
gross domestic product devoted to investment gradually declined from the
early 1980s through 1996; (2) according to the administration&apos;s policy
estimates, this decline will continue for 1997 through 2002; (3)
however, over the same time period, a slightly different picture emerges
when investment outlays are converted to constant 1992 dollars; (4)
investment spending in estimated constant dollar outlays increased
slightly from the 1980s to the mid-1990s, with a gradual decline through
2002; (5) investment by category (character class) in constant dollars
shows varying patterns; (6) physical capital remained relatively stable
from the 1980s through 1995, with slight declines in 1996 and in the
President&apos;s policy estimates for fiscal years 1997 through 2002; (7)
research and development shows increases from the 1980s through 1990 and
then drops off gradually; (8) in contrast, education and training has
shown a relatively steady increase from 1981 that is projected to
continue through 2002; (9) the pattern of investment from 1981 through
2002 in constant dollars varies across budget functions; (10) seven
functions contain about 96 percent of investment outlays; (11) two of
those functions, Education and Training and Health, show a general
increase over the period; (12) the General Science function shows an
increase to the mid-1990s and then levels off; (13) the National Defense
and Transportation functions show increases followed by declines in the
1990s and through 2002; and (14) investment spending in the Natural
Resources and Environment and Energy functions show a continued downward
trend from the 1980s through 2002.</abstract>
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<subject>
 <topic>Future budget projections</topic>
 <topic>Economic growth</topic>
 <topic>Fiscal policies</topic>
 <topic>Macroeconomic analysis</topic>
 <topic>Investments</topic>
 <topic>Budget deficit</topic>
 <topic>Budget functions</topic>
 <topic>Deficit reduction</topic>
 <topic>Budget outlays</topic>
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