[Weekly Compilation of Presidential Documents Volume 35, Number 27 (Monday, July 12, 1999)]
[Pages 1293-1296]
[Online from the Government Publishing Office, www.gpo.gov]

<R04>
Interview With Ron Insana of CNBC's ``Business Center'' in Clarksdale, 
Mississippi

July 6, 1999

New Markets Initiative

    Mr. Insana. Mr. President, this trip and your new markets initiative 
in some ways have already been compared to Lyndon Johnson's War on 
Poverty, Bobby Kennedy's swing through Appalachia. How will this program 
work where some of the other Government programs on poverty have failed 
in the past?
    The President. Well, first of all, I think it's important to 
recognize that this is different because we don't say the Government can 
solve all these problems, but we do say the Government can no longer 
ignore them. And, in fact, we've been working on them for 6\1/2\ years, 
ever since I took office.
    This is a classic example, this approach to new markets, of the New 
Democratic or Third Way philosophy that I articulated back in 1991 and 
1992. That is, Government's role is to create the conditions for 
success, give people the tools they need to succeed, and then, in 
effect, empower people to make the most of it.
    But we recognize if you look at--go back to the War on Poverty, it 
did a lot of good in terms of giving children preschool and feeding 
hungry children and giving them access to health care. But in the end, 
if you want these communities to be self-sustaining, they have to get 
private-sector capital with private-sector jobs, and they have to prove 
that they can compete for it, they can win it, and that people can 
actually make a profit investing in these places and that it will be 
profitable to put people to work.
    And because I believe that very passionately, especially now--you 
know, there was all this big discussion in business circles and the 
people that watch your program, there was all this big discussion over 
the last few weeks about would the Fed raise interest rates or not. And 
it was like the fifth reincarnation of how much can we grow and how low 
can unemployment get before we have this big explosion of inflation 
which then we'll have to clamp down, which will then kill the recovery, 
so everybody's been trying to avoid it.
    Well, I think about that all the time. And it seems to me that the 
way to keep America's economy growing without inflation is to sell more 
products overseas and find more consumers and workers at the same time 
here at home. And there are only--there are a couple of options. You can 
bring more people from welfare or from the ranks of the disabled into 
the work force, or you can go to these areas where you invest in them 
and you get more consumers and more workers at the same time. And I 
think this is terribly important.
    Mr. Insana. What specific items will be included in the legislation 
to advance those goals? What kind of tax credits?
    The President. Well, the big ideas in the legislation are a tax 
credit of up to 25 percent for people who invest in vehicles that will 
be creating businesses or expanding businesses in high-unemployment, 
underdeveloped areas. In addition to that, once you get into those 
vehicles, then you would be eligible to borrow $2 for every $1 invested 
and have the money borrowed be subject to a Government loan guarantee, 
which would mean the interest rates would be much, much lower. So by 
those two things, you lower the relative risk of investing in these new 
markets.
    But we've seen--you heard the person from Bank of America say today, 
we heard the gentleman from a local bank in Kentucky yesterday, or the 
people from Aetna or these other companies say, ``These are good 
investments; we can make money here.'' So if you lower the relative risk 
of getting in in the first place and, in effect, try to provide for the 
whole Nation what now you can find in the empowerment zones that the 
Vice President's worked so hard to manage over the last 6 years, I think 
we can get a lot more growth here.

Republican Proposal

    Mr. Insana. Now, House Speaker Dennis Hastert sent you a letter over 
the weekend attacking poverty from a slightly different approach with 
respect to more tax-cut-type incentives. Do you have common ground with 
him where you can fashion some----

[[Page 1294]]

    The President. Well, I want to have a chance to evaluate it. It 
would seem to me, though, that we would have--this is something that 
Democrats and Republicans all agree on. I mean, our approach is a 
completely private-sector approach. We do have, in addition to the big 
tax cuts I talked about, we have a venture capital approach where we 
want to try to do a little more to get real venture capital out there. 
You heard the lady testify today that she went from being an employer to 
a business owner, and she had no equity so she had to have venture 
capital to start. So we do that. And we have a little bit of technical 
assistance to help communities and businesses that don't have any way of 
getting the information they need.
    But apart from that, I think we ought to be able to find common 
ground. I can't imagine that Republicans wouldn't want to do this. This 
has got to be good for Republican businesspeople, to have a better 
chance to invest in areas where you can have more growth without 
inflation.

Interest Rates

    Mr. Insana. Now, last week, some congressional Democrats led by 
Barney Frank came out and suggested that if the Fed raised interest 
rates, something you mentioned a minute ago, that it would hurt the 
poor, people you've been visiting here over the last couple of days. Is 
that what the Fed's doing, or is the Fed extending a noninflationary 
economic environment by tapping on the brakes a little bit?
    The President. Well, I think that plainly that's what the Fed is 
trying to do. And I've made a real practice of trying not to comment on 
interest rate changes and trying to let Chairman Greenspan and the Fed 
do their work, and I would do mine.
    But again I say, look--look at what we've done here. I think if you 
just look at Chairman Greenspan's own testimony, we've all been somewhat 
surprised that we could grow as much as we have, have unemployment as 
low as we've had, and have virtually no inflation. And it's a tribute to 
the productivity of the American businesspeople and the explosion of 
technology, and it's rifling through every sector of the economy and 
giving us more high productivity-driven growth without inflation than 
anyone dreamed.
    The trick is if--to go back to what Barney Frank said--what he wants 
is to keep the economy going, to keep the growth going until middle and 
lower middle income working people can get their wages up to overcome 
the stagnation of 20 previous years and until we can get more people 
caught up in the areas where the recovery hasn't occurred. That's why, 
it seems to me, the most important thing to do is to have initiatives 
like this which give you concrete examples of how you can have growth 
without inflation.

Tax Cuts

    Mr. Insana.  Now, Republicans would argue that one other way to 
extend the recovery here would be to cut taxes even further. And you 
hinted last week in USA Today that if you got what you wanted on 
Medicare reform and prescription drug benefit subsidies, that you might 
go along with an expanded list of tax breaks. Can you elaborate on that? 
What would you accept in exchange for a Medicare deal?
    The President. Let me make it clear. What I said was that, 
obviously, we would be working together on all the appropriations issues 
and expenditure of money, if we did first things first. But I think that 
it's quite important that the Republicans say how they're going to pay 
for all these things. You know, they say they want even larger increases 
for defense than I do, and I've proposed substantial increases. Then 
they want huge increases in tax cuts. Do they propose to keep us in 
debt? Do they propose to basically eviscerate the education and health 
and environment budgets of the country? What is their proposal?
    Of course, we will negotiate, but we ought to think about first 
things first. Let me just say this: I think we proved in '93, when we 
didn't have a single Republican vote and the Vice President had to break 
the tie in the Senate, that we were right and they were not right about 
what would be the best economics for their constituents. That is, when 
we passed that '93 economic plan, there is no question that it sparked a 
huge drop in interest rates, a huge increase in investment, and an 
explosion in economic activity. And it had

[[Page 1295]]

a lot more positive impact on the markets and on business investment and 
on job creation than a tax cut which perpetuated a deficit would have 
had.
    Now, in 1997, we reached agreement on a bipartisan balanced budget 
deal which kept that philosophy going. We continued to invest in 
education and technology and research. We provided tax cuts to families 
and for college education. We did it in a balanced way, and what's 
happened? Now we've got this surplus.
    I will say this: The most important thing we can do for the long-
term health of the economy is to say to the whole world, we're going to 
make America debt-free in 15 years. If we did that, what does that mean? 
Much lower interest rates, higher business investment, lower credit 
card, lower consumer, low homeownership rates, higher wages.
    So will we negotiate? Will there be a negotiation? Of course there 
will be. But let's do the first things first. Let's keep America 
economically strong. We've got 6\1/2\ years of evidence now about what 
works. Why in the world would we take a U-turn and run this deficit back 
up or just pull out of the education business?
    Mr. Insana. Let me ask the question more simply than the way maybe 
an individual might, which is, if I overpay my taxes every year, I get a 
refund; if I overpay for 15 years, why can't I get a really big refund 
and get that money back in the way of a tax cut?
    The President. Well, how do you define ``overpay''?
    Mr. Insana. Well, if you're running a surplus, I mean, Government 
has more money than it can use.
    The President. That's right. But Government has more money than they 
can use for 15 years after quadrupling the debt in the 12 years of the 
Reagan-Bush years. I mean, we tried it their way. We tried it their way. 
We tried all the supply-side economics. Every year--every year--they 
came in and said, ``Oh, we're going to get rid of the deficit this 
year.'' And every year, it got bigger and bigger and bigger. You go back 
and look at what they said, my predecessors said, was going to happen to 
the budget and what, in fact, had.
    You know, sooner or later, results should account for something. 
Sooner or later, we should stop having this debate as if there is no 
history, no evidence, no facts, no results. Now, we've produced an 
economy with 19 million new jobs, the longest peacetime expansion in 
history, and if we get out of debt, the average person will get much 
more than they would from an extra tax cut.
    Second, I am for a sizable tax cut. I have proposed a sizable tax 
cut. I also supported the previous tax cuts, the $500 child credit, the 
college credit which is $1,500 a year. I supported all these tax cuts. 
But first things first. If we take this country out of debt for the 
first time since 1835, then average people are going to have more money 
in their pockets than if we keep the country in debt and give them a tax 
cut now because we've got an election in a year and a half.

Stock Market and the National Economy

    Mr. Insana. Can I stick in one final question? As we speak right 
now, the stock market again is at a new all-time high--the Dow, the 
Nasdaq--everything's going very well on Wall Street. Do you worry at all 
about a bubble in the stock market or the economy today?
    The President. Well, I think every person who's thoughtful, who 
knows that nothing lasts forever, wonders how this will all play out. I 
think every thoughtful person does. But I think what we should do is to 
make the most of this and to make no move which would turn it into a 
bubble prematurely.
    But it seems to me again, we can have a tax cut, but if I 
announced--just suppose, think about this--suppose you had an 
announcement--you don't expect this to occur--where Speaker Hastert and 
Senator Lott joined Mr. Gephardt and Senator Daschle and me, and we 
said, ``Look, here's our program. Here's what we're going to do to save 
Medicare; here's what we're going to do to save Social Security. We're 
going to make the country debt-free in 15 years; we've got some more 
money for education, and we've got to take care of defense, and here's a 
sizable tax cut. This is our program.'' I believe that would lengthen 
the period of this recovery. I think it would minimize the chances of a 
bubble.

[[Page 1296]]

    If, by contrast, we went out and said, ``Hot dog! Right here before 
the next election, we're going to give you a $1 trillion tax cut. 
Unfortunately, our deficit will be bigger, and we won't get ourselves 
out of debt. And unfortunately, we'll have to cut education spending and 
research. But we just think this is more important, and I know it didn't 
work the last time, but somehow we think it will work this time--even 
though it didn't work. We tried it for 12 years, and it never worked. 
Somehow, we think, poof, magically it will work this time''--I believe 
that my course of action is better for the American economy than that 
latter course of action.
    Mr. Insana. Mr. President, we appreciate your time. Thanks for 
joining us.
    The President. Thank you.

Note: The interview began at 12:16 p.m. on July 6 at the loading area of 
the Waterfield Cabinet Co., and it was videotaped for broadcast later 
that evening. The transcript was released by the Office of the Press 
Secretary on July 7. A tape was not available for verification of the 
content of this interview.