    [Public Papers of the Presidents of the United States: WILLIAM J. CLINTON (1999, Book II)]
    [August 19, 1999]
    [Pages 1457-1460]
    [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office www.gpo.gov]

    Remarks on the Baby Boom Echo Education Initiative
    August 19, 1999

        Thank you very much, and welcome to the announcement of the
    administration's program to save the future for Secretary Riley's grandchildren. [Laughter]
        Thank you, Mr. Secretary, for your
    passionate dedication and leadership. Thank you, Wendell Greer. I also want to acknowledge here people who will be
    involved in, I think, briefing later: Dan Galloway, who is the principal of Adlai Stevenson High School in
    Lincolnshire, Illinois; Dr. Daniel Domenech, the superintendent of the Fairfax County schools; and Dr.
    Iris Metts, the superintendent of the Prince
    George's County schools, who was here at the White House with us when I
    signed the ed-flex bill last April.
        This is a busy time for educators, and I appreciate them for taking
    the time to join us. It's a busy time for parents and students, too,
    thinking about the back-to-school season. In so many ways it represents
    a new beginning. People get used to new teachers, new classmates, new
    schoolbooks, new jeans and clothes. It reminds us of the vital role that
    education plays in our children's lives and in the life of our Nation.
        Today I want to talk about what the previous speakers have said in
    terms of what it means for America, not just in a new school year but in
    a new century. In our lifetimes we have never had a better chance to
    prepare America's children and America's schools for the demands of the
    21st century. We can do it because of the longest peacetime expansion in
    our history, the highest homeownership, over 19 million new jobs,
    welfare at a 32 year low, crime a 26-year low, teen smoking, teen
    pregnancy, and as our annual survey showed just yesterday, teen drug
    abuse all down. We have a record surplus of $99 billion, and it's
    projected to grow and to sustain itself over the next 10 years.
        Now, there's a great debate in Washington about what we should do
    with this surplus and, in a larger sense, how to fulfill the promise and
    the obligation of preparing our schools and our children for the 21st
    century. How will we seize this chance to shape the future?

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        The big challenge, as Secretary Riley said, is that we're going to
    have young people in record numbers. They are also more diverse than
    ever before, and therefore, educating them represents more interesting
    and diverse challenges than ever before. But it's also important to
    recognize that, ironically, as we have young people in record numbers,
    we will also have senior citizens in record numbers. The number of
    people over 65 will double in the next 30 years.
        So the question is, how are we going to meet the challenge of the
    aging of America, the challenge of the swelling ranks of our
    schoolchildren, when education is more important not only to them but to
    our Nation than ever before, and how are we going to keep this economy
    going and spread its opportunities to the people who have not yet felt
    them?
        I believe, as all of you know, that we should make a commitment to
    invest in our future and to do it in a way that enables us to save
    Social Security, to save and strengthen Medicare, to invest in
    education, and to pay off the publicly held debt for the first time
    since Andrew Jackson was President in 1835, which will guarantee us
    long-term lower interest rates for everything from business investment
    to home mortgages to college loans to car payments.
        We can do all this and still have sensible tax cuts. We cannot do it
    unless we make the commitments to do first things first. Today we are
    releasing a report by the Department of Education that makes it clear
    that any part of a long-term successful strategy for America requires us
    to do more, not less, to meet our children's growing educational needs.
    Every year the halls of our schools resound more loudly with what has
    been called, as Secretary Riley said, the baby boom echo.
        The children of the baby boom generation are breaking enrollment
    records for the fourth year in a row now. This academic year, 53.2
    million students will fill our elementary and secondary schools. That's
    nearly half a million more than last year. All the details are in this
    report, and they will be released later today. But think about it, over
    53 million students, more diverse than ever before, from more
    backgrounds, giving us a chance to be the best prepared country in the
    world for the global society of the 21st century if, but only if, we
    educate them well.
        There's another thing I want to emphasize about it that this report
    said that I just hadn't thought about until I was briefed on it. The
    pattern of enrollment is changing. As the children grow older, it is the
    high schools and colleges, even more than the elementary and middle
    schools, that will carry the burden. During the next decade, our high
    schools are projected to swell with the ranks of 1.3 million new
    students. This report gives our Nation an important assignment, to make
    the investments necessary to meet the demands of the future and our
    obligations to these children.
        We've worked hard for 6\1/2\ years to invest in education and to
    bring real change to our schools. Secretary Riley's leadership has helped us to make historic investments.
    We've opened the doors to college to virtually every American with the
    HOPE scholarship and increased Pell grants and other loans and grants
    and credits. We have worked hard--and I think we're going to make it--to
    connect every classroom to the Internet by the year 2000. We have worked
    to strengthen performance and accountability in our schools and to help
    them meet the Nation's educational goals.
        But Principal Greer described the conditions that exist in an awful
    lot of our schools, far too many--overcrowded classes held in trailers,
    the shortage of individual attention by trained teachers. The challenges
    are going to increase as enrollment rises and a projected 2 million of
    our teachers retire in the next few years.
        The baby boom echo is another reason why I feel so strongly that we
    have to act now, to build new schools and fix old ones, to hire trained
    teachers, especially in math and science, especially for our high
    schools. I have proposed, as part of our balanced budget, to build or
    renovate up to 6,000 schools nationwide; and to fulfill the commitment I
    made to Congress to hire 100,000 new teachers for our Nation's schools,
    to lower class size in the early grades, coincidentally freeing up
    resources for our schools to hire the other teachers they need in other
    areas.
        Unfortunately, the congressional majority wants to back off from our
    commitment to more teachers and smaller classes, and the tax plan they
    have proposed would do further damage to those priorities. It would not
    do anything approaching what we've proposed to build or modernize
    schools--about a tenth of what we recommended. It would not allow us to
    pay off the debt. It would not add a day to the life of the Social
    Security Trust Fund or the

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    Medicare Trust Fund. It would also lead, if the present budget
    discipline holds, to substantial, even drastic cuts in education and
    other national priorities, like national defense, medical research, and
    fighting crime and protecting the environment.
        Now, I have said that I will veto this plan, and I know that there's
    a lot of hoopla going on around the country, from town meetings to paid
    political ads, to try to change the opinion of the American people. But
    no matter how much advertising is done or how much argument is made--
    since we're talking about education today, I think one of the central
    achievements of this administration has been to restore arithmetic to
    the budgeting of the Government. [Laughter] You know, this is not
    trigonometry. This is not algebra. This is not calculus, and it is not
    supply side economics. It's basic arithmetic.
        We got from a $290 billion deficit to a $99 billion surplus while
    almost doubling our investment in education and training by going back
    to arithmetic in Washington. And no amount of argument will change the
    arithmetic of the population of the kids going into our schools. No
    amount of argument will change the arithmetic of the doubling of our
    seniors. No amount of argument will change the arithmetic that there are
    going to be relatively fewer people working while more people draw
    Social Security and Medicare. No amount of argument will change the
    arithmetic of the number of teachers who are going to retire. And the
    truth is that the American people deep down inside sort of sense this.
        So yes, I'll veto the tax plan. But let's don't stop with a
    negative. Let's make something good happen here. This is about something
    positive. This can be a great thing for America, having all these kids
    in the schools from all these different backgrounds. They can make us a
    bigger, stronger, more diverse, richer, more successful country.
        But we have to do right by them. We've got to give them a good
    economy. We've got to make sure that when the baby boomers retire, the
    parents of these children don't have to spend money that they would
    otherwise spend educating their children and helping them grow, taking
    care of their parents because we haven't done right by Social Security
    and Medicare. And we've got to give them a decent, world-class
    education. And if we could just go back to arithmetic, we can figure it
    out.
        Now let me tell you what the alternative is. If this tax bill that's
    just passed, if I said, ``Oh, well, they had all these town meetings,
    and they had all these ads,'' and, ``Oh, the polls have changed,'' and,
    ``Oh, I better sign it,'' and ``Oh, we had a big celebration here,''
    within fairly short order, we would find the following: Today, we help
    12 million kids in poor communities to make more of their education. If
    the tax plan passes, over the new few years, we'd have to tell 6 million
    of them we couldn't do it anymore. Today, we help a million children
    learn to read independently by the third grade. If the plan passes, we'd
    have to tell more than half of them we couldn't help them anymore.
    Today, we're nearing our goal of enrolling a million preschoolers in
    Head Start. If the plan were to pass, we'd have to turn over 400,000
    away.
        Compared to our proposal, this tax plan would mean to those already
    in school--never mind the ones that are coming, already in school--
    larger classes, fewer teachers, more trailers. That's what it means.
    Sounds like a country song, doesn't it? [Laughter] Larger classes, fewer
    teachers, more trailers. [Laughter] I like country music, but we can do
    better than that. [Laughter]
        So again I say, let's put first things first. Let's decide--before
    we do the tax cut, let's decide what we have to do as a nation to be a
    great nation. Let's decide what it takes to take care of the aging of
    America, so the children of the baby boomers don't have to take funds
    away from raising their grandchildren; to save Social Security and
    Medicare. Let's decide what it takes, in addition to the surplus
    generated by Social Security taxes, to just get us out of debt in the
    next several years, to guarantee a whole generation of lower interest
    rates and higher economic growth. Let's decide what we have to do to
    give our children a world-class education.
        Then let's put that against the projected surplus--and I emphasize
    the word ``projected''--and string all those numbers out for 10 years,
    along with whatever we think we have to do for our farmers, who are
    getting killed out there in this very difficult international market;
    what we have to do for medical research; what it takes to protect the
    environment; and subtract from the projected surplus those things, after

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    which there will be a number. Let's give that number back to the
    American people in a tax cut. And you know, since it's 10 years and it's
    projected, maybe there's some little play one way or the other but not a
    lot.
        Now, ironically, the tax cut I proposed gives about the same dollar
    benefits to the middle class as the one that the Congress passed. People
    in my income group wouldn't get anything out of it, but people in my
    income group, by and large, and higher, have done pretty well in this
    economy, in this stock market, and care far more about keeping interest
    rates down and economic growth going, because they know they'll do well.
        The only other thing that I think is very important is, I think that
    my new markets tax cuts ought to pass, because I think we ought to give
    investors the same incentives to invest in poor areas in America we give
    them to invest in poor areas around the world now, from the Caribbean to
    Latin America to Africa to Asia, so that we can keep economic growth
    going by bringing economic opportunity to the communities that haven't
    had it yet and to the people who haven't had it yet.
        We can do this if we go back to priorities and arithmetic. What's
    the most important thing? A time like this comes along once in a
    generation. People my age, to 10 or 15 years older than me, to 20 years
    younger than me, they've never known anything like this. Never have we
    had an opportunity like this.
        And with our children going back to school, with more of them than
    ever, with the educational needs crying out there--and, I might add, one
    thing that Secretary Riley didn't say, to toot his own horn and the horn
    of these educators back here and all the rest of you, is that we now
    know what works. The test scores are going up. We're learning how to
    educate this incredibly diverse group of kids. And if we make the right
    investments in the right way, we can get the right results.
        So again I say, let's have the right priorities. Let's make an ``A''
    in arithmetic. Let's think about the 21st century and all these
    children. We'll make the right decisions.
        Thank you very much

    Note: The President spoke at 1:10 p.m. in Presidential Hall (formerly
    Room 450) in the Old Executive Office Building. In his remarks, he
    referred to Wendell Greer, principal, Manual Arts High School in Los
    Angeles, CA, who introduced the President.