Customs Service Modernization: Management Improvements Needed on 
High-Risk Automated Commercial Environment Project (13-MAY-02,	 
GAO-02-545).							 
                                                                 
The U.S. Customs Service requested $206.9 million for its	 
Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) project in February 2002. 
ACE, Customs' new import processing system is the first project  
under the Customs Modernization Program. Customs' second	 
expenditure plan satisfies the conditions specified in the	 
appropriations act. The plan provides for (1) meeting the Office 
of Management and Budget's capital planning and investment	 
control review requirements; (2) complying with Customs'	 
enterprise architecture; and (3) complying with federal 	 
acquisition rules, requirements, guidelines, and systems	 
acquisition management practices. ACE will fundamentally change  
Customs' and many other organizations' business processes by	 
introducing new system capabilities. Further, ACE will be	 
available around-the-clock to support important commercial and	 
enforcement systems. Customs did not meet key commitments made in
its first ACE expenditure plan because of underestimating funding
requirements. Actual requirements were 90 percent higher than	 
estimated. This history casts uncertainty on Customs' ability to 
reliably estimate costs and meet future commitments. Further,	 
Customs lacks management controls in four areas: enterprise	 
architecture, human capital, software acquisition management, and
cost estimation. Since Customs has compressed its ACE acquisition
plans from five to four years, the degree of overlap of program  
increments has increased. This may increases the risk that ACE	 
capabilities will not be delivered on time and within budget.	 
-------------------------Indexing Terms------------------------- 
REPORTNUM:   GAO-02-545 					        
    ACCNO:   A03262						        
  TITLE:     Customs Service Modernization: Management Improvements   
Needed on High-Risk Automated Commercial Environment Project	 
     DATE:   05/13/2002 
  SUBJECT:   Appropriated funds 				 
	     Appropriations					 
	     Emergency preparedness				 
	     Funds management					 
	     Internal controls					 
	     Program management 				 
	     Strategic planning 				 
	     National preparedness				 
	     Customs Service Automated Commercial		 
	     Environment System 				 
                                                                 
	     Customs Service International Trade Data		 
	     System						 
                                                                 
	     Customs Service Modernization Program		 
	     SEI Software Acquisition Capability		 
	     Maturity Model					 
                                                                 
****************************************************************** ** This file contains an ASCII representation of the text of a ** ** GAO Product. ** ** ** ** No attempt has been made to display graphic images, although ** ** figure captions are reproduced. Tables are included, but ** ** may not resemble those in the printed version. ** ** ** ** Please see the PDF (Portable Document Format) file, when ** ** available, for a complete electronic file of the printed ** ** document's contents. ** ** ** ****************************************************************** GAO-02-545 A Report to Congressional Committees May 2002 CUSTOMS SERVICE MODERNIZATION Management Improvements Needed on High- Risk Automated Commercial Environment Project GAO- 02- 545 Lett er May 13, 2002 The Honorable Byron L. Dorgan Chairman The Honorable Ben Nighthorse Campbell Ranking Minority Member Subcommittee on Treasury and General Government Committee on Appropriations United States Senate The Honorable Ernest J. Istook, Jr. Chairman The Honorable Steny H. Hoyer Ranking Minority Member Subcommittee on Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government Committee on Appropriations House of Representatives Pursuant to the U. S. Customs Service?s fiscal year 2002 appropriation, 1 Customs submitted to Congress in February 2002 its second expenditure plan, requesting $206.9 million for its Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) project. ACE is intended to be Customs? new import processing system and the first project under the Customs Modernization Program. As required by the act, we reviewed the expenditure plan. Our objectives were to (1) determine whether the second plan satisfied the legislative conditions specified in the act, (2) determine whether the plan is consistent with our open ACE recommendations, and (3) provide observations about the second plan and Customs? management of ACE. On March 8 and 11, 2002, we briefed your offices on the results of this review. This report officially transmits to you the results of our work and the recommendations we made to the commissioner of Customs. The full briefing, including our scope and methodology, is reprinted as appendix I. In brief, we determined that Customs? expenditure plan satisfies the legislative conditions specified in the appropriations act. The plan provides for (1) meeting the Office of Management and Budget?s (OMB) capital planning and investment control review requirements; (2) complying with 1 Public Law 107- 67, dated Nov. 12, 2001. Customs? enterprise architecture; 2 and (3) complying with federal acquisition rules, requirements, guidelines, and systems acquisition management practices. Further, it was reviewed and approved by Customs? Investment Review Board, 3 the Department of the Treasury, and OMB. Regarding the second objective, activities described in the plan are consistent with our open recommendations for Customs to (1) justify and make investment decisions incrementally; (2) strengthen ACE software acquisition management; (3) immediately transfer responsibility and accountability for the International Trade Data System 4 (ITDS) pilot to the ACE modernization program manager; (4) include any plans for further investing in the ITDS pilot, including cost, benefit, and risk justification, in the next ACE expenditure plan; and (5) clarify the roles and responsibilities of the ACE modernization independent verification and validation 5 (IV& V) agent to ensure that independence is not compromised. Finally, we made the following observations:  ACE is technically and managerially complex and challenging. Planned ACE functional and performance parameters are demanding, and the system is estimated to cost at least $1.5 billion just to put in place, not including operation and maintenance. Also, ACE aims to fundamentally change Customs? and many other organizations? business processes through the introduction of new system capabilities. Further, the system is to be available around- the- clock to provide critical information and support important commercial and enforcement systems.  Customs did not meet key commitments made in its first ACE expenditure plan because of a significant underestimation of funding requirements (actual requirements were about 90 percent higher than 2 An enterprise architecture is an institutional blueprint for guiding and constraining investments in business process change and systems. 3 Customs? Investment Review Board makes information technology funding decisions on the basis of comparisons and trade- offs among competing project proposals. 4 ITDS is a component of the ACE project that is to support governmentwide collection, use, and dissemination of trade data. 5 The purpose of IV& V is to provide an independent review of system processes and products. The use of IV& V is a recognized best practice for large and complex systems development and acquisition projects. To be effective, IV& V should be performed by an entity that is independent of the processes and products that are being reviewed. estimated). This history casts uncertainty on Customs? ability to reliably estimate costs and meet future commitments.  Despite progress, Customs does not yet have important ACE management controls in place in the following four areas: 1. Enterprise architecture: Customs? enterprise architecture has not yet been updated and extended to support ACE engineering tasks; consequently, Customs risks having an enterprise architecture that is not sufficiently complete to support ACE design activities. As a result, near- term system design and development decisions could later necessitate system rework to align ACE with the agency?s operating vision, embodied in the updated enterprise architecture. If such rework is necessary, promised system capabilities are unlikely to be delivered on time and within budget. 2. Human capital: ACE is being managed by the Customs Modernization Office (CMO). However, this office does not have the people in place to perform critical system acquisition functions. Moreover, the CMO does not have an effective strategy for meeting its human capital needs. This also increases the risk that promised system capabilities will not be delivered on time and within budget. 3. Software acquisition management: Customs has yet to establish software acquisition process controls that are recognized as best management practices. 6 In particular, Customs has not begun to establish process controls for determining whether acquired software products and services satisfy contract requirements before acceptance, nor to establish related controls for effective and efficient transfer of acquired software products to the support organization responsible for maintenance. These control weaknesses further reduce the level of assurance that ACE capabilities will be delivered on time and within budget. 6 These best practices are described in the Software Acquisition Capability Maturity Model (SA- CMM), developed by the Software Engineering Institute (SEI). In this model, SEI has provided criteria for characterizing an organization?s software development and acquisition processes according to five levels of maturity, with level 2 providing the minimum level of acceptable effectiveness. The Capability Maturity Model is a service mark of Carnegie Mellon University, and CMM is registered in the U. S. Patent and Trademark Office. 4. Cost estimation: Customs has not validated its ACE expenditure plan cost estimates, and its estimates of management reserve costs are not justified. As a result, its plan does not provide Congress with credible cost information needed for overseeing the project.  Customs has compressed its ACE acquisition plans from 5 to 4 years. This compression increases the degree of overlap of program increments, which in turn further increases the risk that ACE capabilities will not be delivered on time and within budget. Recommendations for To improve Customs? ACE modernization management, we recommend Executive Action that the Customs Service commissioner direct the chief information officer, as the designated modernization executive, to take the following actions:  Before building each ACE release (i. e., beginning detailed design and development), certify to Customs? House and Senate appropriations subcommittees that the enterprise architecture has been sufficiently extended to provide the requisite enterprise design content and has been updated to ensure consistency and integration across business areas.  Immediately develop and implement a CMO human capital management strategy that provides both near- and long- term solutions to the CMO?s human capital capacity limitations, including defining the office?s skill and capability needs in terms that will allow Customs to attract qualified individuals and that will provide sufficient rewards and training, linked to performance, to promote their retention.  Develop and implement process controls for the SEI SA- CMM level 2 key process areas and the level 3 acquisition risk management key process area.  By September 30, 2002, conduct and report to Customs? House and Senate appropriations subcommittees on the results of an internal assessment of the CMO?s maturity against the SEI SA- CMM level 2 key process areas and the level 3 acquisition risk management key process area.  Develop and implement a rigorous and analytically verifiable cost estimating program that embodies the tenets of effective estimating as defined in SEI?s institutional and project- specific estimating models.  Limit future expenditure plan requests for management reserve funds to 10 percent of the total funds requested for the program or adequately justify any management reserve requests in excess of 10 percent.  Address the risks associated with the accelerated ACE acquisition strategy, including (1) immediately analyzing the risks associated with the degree of design, development, and testing concurrency across ACE increments that is inherent in Customs? 4- year, schedule- driven acquisition strategy; (2) reconsidering the merits of this accelerated strategy; and (3) within 90 days of the date of this briefing, reporting to Customs? House and Senate appropriations subcommittees on the agency?s strategy for going forward and its plans for mitigating the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Agency Comments In written comments on a draft of this report, the director, Office of Planning, U. S. Customs Service, concurred with our recommendations and described specific actions that are being taken to respond to each. The director?s comments are reprinted in appendix II. We are sending copies of this report to the chairmen and ranking minority members of other Senate and House committees and subcommittees that have authorization and oversight responsibilities for the Customs Service. We are also sending copies to the secretary of the treasury, the commissioner of the Customs Service, and the director of OMB. Should you or your staff have any questions on matters discussed in this report, please contact me at (202) 512- 3439. I can also be reached by e- mail at HiteR@ gao. gov. Key contributors to this report were Mark Bird, Barbara Collier, Tamra Goldstein, Randolph Tekeley, Scott Pettis, and Aaron Thorne. Randolph C. Hite Director, Information Technology Architecture and Systems Issues Appendi xes Customs? Second Automated Commercial Appendi x I Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Briefing for the staffs of the Subcommittee on Treasury and General Government Senate Committee on Appropriations and Subcommittee on Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government House Committee on Appropriations March 8 and 11, 2002 Page 1 of 60 Briefing Overview Introduction Objectives, Scope, and Methodology Results in Brief Background Results Conclusions Recommendations for Executive Action Agency Comments Page 2 of 60 Introduction The U. S. Customs Service is acquiring a new trade processing system known as the Automated Commercial Environment (ACE)/ International Trade Data System (ITDS). 1 This project is intended to fundamentally transform not only Customs? internal import processing operations, but also the manner in which it and numerous other federal agencies interact with each other and with the trade community. According to Customs, the project will, for example, enable more efficient import processing; minimize the gap between revenue that should be collected and revenue that is actually collected; increase the flow of legitimate commerce; and provide the trade community a single interface with 104 federal agencies that have trade- related missions. 1 Hereafter referred to as ACE. Page 3 of 60 Introduction (cont.) Customs? FY 2001 and FY 2002 appropriations acts 2 provided $130 million and $300 million, respectively, for ACE. The acts specified that these funds not be obligated until Customs submits to the Congress for approval ACE expenditure plans that meet the Office of Management and Budget?s (OMB) capital planning and investment control review requirements; comply with the Customs Service?s enterprise architecture; comply with federal acquisition rules, requirements, guidelines, and systems acquisition management practices; are reviewed and approved by the Customs Investment Review Board, the Department of the Treasury, and OMB; and are reviewed by GAO. 2 Public Laws 106- 554 and 107- 67, respectively. Page 4 of 60 Introduction (cont.) On February 1, 2002, Customs submitted its second ACE expenditure plan to its House and Senate appropriations subcommittees, seeking release of $206.9 million from the ACE appropriations. Page 5 of 60 Objectives, Scope and Methodology Objectives As agreed, our objectives were to determine whether the second ACE expenditure plan satisfies the legislative conditions, determine whether the plan is consistent with our open ACE recommendations, and provide observations about the plan and Customs management of ACE. Page 6 of 60 Objectives, Scope and Methodology (cont.) Scope and Methodology To accomplish our objectives, we analyzed the plan against the legislative conditions, to determine if the conditions were met; analyzed the plan to determine consistency of actions taken by Customs in response to our open recommendations; interviewed ACE and ITDS program management, support contractor, and modernization contractor officials to understand the scope and content of plans, and to clarify information in supporting documentation; analyzed ACE supporting documentation to ensure consistency with information in the expenditure plan and to determine progress made in implementing program management capabilities (e. g., acquisition management, enterprise architecture, human capital, and cost and schedule estimating); Page 7 of 60 Objectives, Scope and Methodology (cont.) determined progress made against commitments in first expenditure plan; coordinated with the Treasury inspector general to avoid duplication of effort in reviewing ACE; did not evaluate the ACE Investment Strategy and Cost Benefit Analysis, which we received on February 13, 2002; and as agreed, did not independently validate Customs? provided information, including cost estimates and project content and status information. We performed our work from December 2001 through March 2002 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. Page 8 of 60 submitting it to the House and Senate Appropriations Committees. Results in Brief: Objective 1 Customs? expenditure plan satisfies the legislative conditions. Legislative conditions Satisfies Does not satisfy 1. Meets OMB capital planning and investment control review recommendations. manager. ACE expenditure plan. compromised. 3. Immediately transfer responsibility and accountability for the ITDS pilot to the ACE modernization program 4. Include any plans for further investing in the ITDS pilot, including cost, benefit, and risk justification, in the next 5. Clarify the roles and responsibilities of the ACE modernization independent verification and validation (IV& V) agents to ensure that independence is not Results in Brief: Objective 2 Customs? expenditure plan is consistent with open GAO Consistent GAO open recommendations Complete In progress 1. Justify and make investment decisions incrementally. Results in Brief: Objective 3 Other observations: Customs faces considerable risk in acquiring and implementing ACE. 1. ACE is technically and managerially complex Adds risk and challenging. + 2. Customs did not meet key commitments made Adds risk in its first ACE expenditure plan. + 3. Despite progress, Customs does not yet have Adds risk important ACE management controls in place. + 4. Customs has accelerated its ACE acquisition Adds risk plans. CUMULATIVE RISK IS HIGH Page 11 of 60 Background ACE Overview ACE is intended to support Customs? efforts to protect our nation?s borders, enforce trade laws, and facilitate the movement of legitimate trade. For example, ACE is to support all Customs functions associated with trade compliance (such as defining, capturing, and managing regulations for import and export compliance; establishing and managing accounts for trade participants; and verifying credentials and managing compliance levels); support other functions such as data analysis for trade law enforcement and border security purposes; support the trade information collection, processing, and dissemination needs of 104 other government agencies; and provide the trade community a single interface to the federal government. Page 12 of 60 Background (cont.) According to Customs, ACE will permit, for example, more efficient import and export operations; increased legitimate cargo flow; reduced paper burden; and more efficient and effective account management, including revenue billing and collection operations. We have testified that the need for Customs to modernize its trade processing capability is undeniable because, among other things, Customs? existing import processing system was paper- intensive, error- prone, transaction- based, and out of step with the just- in- time inventory practices of the trade community. 4 4 U. S. General Accounting Office, U. S. Customs Service: Observations on Selected Operations and Program Issues , GAO/ T- GGD/ AIMD- 00- 150 (Washington, D. C.: Apr. 20, 2000). Page 13 of 60 Background (cont.) ACE Acquisition Strategy Customs is using an integration contractor, supported by subcontractors, to develop and deploy ACE. The contractor and its subcontractors are collectively called the e- Customs Partnership or eCP. Initial modernization contract activities include establishing a management foundation (e. g., people, processes, tools) for Customs? overall modernization program. ACE is to be the first modernized system under this program. Customs? current plans call for release of ACE capabilities in four increments implemented over 4 years. Each increment is to contain discrete functionality, while building on the functionality in the previous increments. Page 14 of 60 Background (cont.) ACE Management Structure Page 15 of 60 expenditure plan. Congress for $45 million. Customs Background (cont.) Customs was investing in an ITDS pilot project in parallel with, and separate from, ITDS efforts under the ACE modernization program; and Customs had defined conflicting roles and responsibilities for its independent verification and validation (IV& V) contractor. Accordingly, we made the following recommendations, which Customs agreed to implement: Immediately transfer responsibility and accountability for the ITDS pilot to the ACE modernization program manager. Include any plans for further investing in the ITDS pilot, including cost, benefit, and risk justification, in the next ACE expenditure plan. Clarify the roles and responsibilities of the ACE modernization IV& V agent to ensure that independence is not compromised. Page 17 of 60 Background (cont.) On April 24 and 25, 2001, Customs? House and Senate appropriation subcommittees, respectively, released to Customs an additional $45 million in response to Customs? first ACE expenditure plan. On April 27, 2001, Customs awarded a 5- year, indefinite- delivery indefinitequantity contract, with options to extend the contract to not more than 15 years, to International Business Machines (IBM) Global Services. On February 1, 2002, Customs submitted its second ACE expenditure plan, seeking release of $206.9 million. The following two figures illustrate the recent history of ACE appropriations, expenditure plans, funding, and major contract events. Page 18 of 60 Background (cont.) ACE funding releases shown by fiscal year appropriations FY 2001 appropriations = $130 million FY 2002 appropriations = $300 million March 2001 $5 million April 2001 funding $45 million release funding release $127 million $173 million $80 million Second expenditure plan for $206.9 million Next expenditure plan (planned for May 2002) Page 19 of 60 Background (cont.) Illustrated chronology of ACE expenditure plans and funding Contractor authorized to Contract proceed awarded Initial three $5M $45M task orders release release signed First Second plan plan Next plan submitted submitted 12/ 00 3/ 01 6/ 01 9/ 01 12/ 01 3/ 02 6/ 02 Page 20 of 60 Background (cont.) Customs? second ACE expenditure plan requests funding for the following: Areas of expenditure Amount (millions) Funds to cover first expenditure plan cost variance 5 $22.4 National Customs Automation Program (NCAP) operations & maintenance $3.1 Program management and support $23.5 SAP 6 infrastructure $7.3 ACE increment 1, release 1.0 design, development, test, and deployment $104.0 ACE increment 2, detailed requirements and planning $11.2 Customs Modernization Office (CMO) management reserve $35.5 Total $206.9 5 The second expenditure plan requests funding equivalent to the difference between the negotiated price for the task orders ($ 47.4 million) and the funding released as a result of its first expenditure plan ($ 25 million). 6 These funds will be used to acquire hardware and supporting infrastructure for Customs? SAP Implementation Project, a joint project of the Office of Finance and the Office of Information Technology. SAP AG is a vendor that makes a software package called R/ 3, which is to be used by ACE to account for payments, collections, and refunds. Additionally, R/ 3 is to replace Customs? existing core budget, accounting, procurement, and property accountability systems. Page 21 of 60 Background (cont.) Customs attributes its first expenditure plan variance to underestimates or omissions in the following areas: Labor: $12.9 million (58 percent of the total variance) Variance (millions) Labor rates and skill mix $6.8 Tasks (e. g., change management, Stakeholder Relations Council) $4.5 Other (e. g., performance- based contracting) $1.6 Other direct cost: $9. 9 million (42 percent of the total variance) Task order planning $2.0 Facilities and support infrastructure $6. 7 Other (e. g., performance- based contracting, travel costs) $1.2 Total $22.8 Page 22 of 60 1. Plan meets OMB capital planning and investment control review requirements, including OMB Circular A- 11, part 3. Legislative conditions Satisfies? Results of our analysis regulations; Results: Objective 1 Customs? expenditure plan satisfies the legislative conditions. 2. Plan complies with Customs? 4. Plan is reviewed and approved by Customs Investment Review Board (IRB), Treasury, and OMB. Results: Objective 1 (cont.) Legislative conditions Satisfies? Results of our analysis recommendations. 1. Justify and make investment decisions incrementally, and for each increment: Use disciplined investment processes; Require a favorable return on investment and compliance with Customs architecture before making an investment decision; and Prepare realistic and supportable benefit expectations; Validate actual costs and benefits once an increment is piloted. Complete In progress resources; increment; process; and Results: Objective 2 Customs? expenditure plan is consistent with GAO open GAO recommendations Consistent? Actions planned or taken 2. Strengthen ACE software 3. Immediately transfer responsibility and accountability for ITDS pilot to the ACE modernization program manager. 4. Include any plans for further investing in the ITDS pilot (including cost, benefit, and risk justification) in the next ACE expenditure plan. 5. Clarify the roles and responsibilities of the ACE modernization IV& V agent to ensure that independence is not compromised. Complete In progress pilot. Results: Objective 2 (cont.) GAO recommendations Consistent? Actions planned or taken Results: Objective 3 Other observations: Customs faces considerable risk in acquiring and implementing ACE. 1. ACE is technically and managerially complex Adds Risk and challenging. + 2. Customs did not meet key commitments made Adds Risk in its first ACE expenditure plan. + 3. Despite progress, Customs does not yet have Adds Risk important ACE management controls in place. + 4. Customs has accelerated its ACE acquisition Adds Risk plans. CUMULATIVE RISK IS HIGH Page 29 of 60 example, ACE is to Results: Objective 3 (cont.) ACE is a large undertaking, as measured by the level of development resources needed. In particular, the cost of developing the entire system is estimated to be between $1.5 and $1.6 billion, and the number of professional staff needed to develop the system is estimated to be about 500 to 700. ACE is also intended to support and satisfy the needs of 104 other government agencies with international trade- related missions as well as the needs of thousands of importers. Accordingly, acquiring a system that meets this diverse set of needs will require an enormous level of stakeholder participation, cooperation, and interaction. ACE is intended to fundamentally change not only the way that Customs operates internally but also the way that importers and other government agencies operate. The ability of these organizations to accept and absorb such operational change is not guaranteed; their uncertainty has been recognized as a reason that COTS- based modernization efforts have not consistently met expectations. Page 32 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Observation 2: Customs did not meet key commitments made in its first ACE expenditure plan. One indication of future performance, and thus risk, is past performance. Customs? past performance in acquiring ACE fell short of the commitments it made in the first expenditure plan. In the first plan, Customs requested $25 million for three ACE tasks: (1) program management, (2) enterprise engineering, and (3) requirements development. Customs reports that it met commitments for task 3, but it did not meet all of the commitments for tasks 1 and 2. Specifically, because the cost to complete the three tasks collectively increased $22.8 million over what Customs requested in the first plan, Customs funded the first two tasks for only 6 months, rather than 18 months as specified in its expenditure plan. (See table on next page.) Page 33 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Task Summary of commitment in first plan Actual result Impact on second plan 1. Program Establish a program office to manage the Work was $22.4 million to management modernization program for an 18- month period. performed for 6 fund the months. remaining 12 2. Enterprise Establish and maintain the systems engineering Work was months on the engineering capability for implementing ACE for an 18 month performed for 6 first two task period. This work includes, for example, updating months. orders. and maintaining Customs? Enterprise Architecture, Enterprise Life Cycle Model, and Technical Reference Model. 3. ACE Develop high- level ACE system requirements, and ACE system None. requirements detailed increment 1 requirements, as well as ACE requirements, and planning project plan outlining the transition from ACS to including the ACE. This work was to be done within 6 months. detailed requirements for ACE increment 1, along with project plan, were delivered within 6 months. Page 34 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) According to Customs, the $25 million request in the first expenditure plan was based on a 1999 estimate. Customs officials acknowledged that derivation of this estimate lacked sufficient rigor because it was not based on detailed work statements. Customs? inability to meet its initial commitments casts uncertainty on its ability to meet future commitments and thus introduces an element of risk to the ACE project. Page 35 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Observation 3: Despite progress, Customs does not yet have key management controls for ACE. a. Extension of the enterprise architecture to support ACE engineering tasks is not complete. Enterprise architectures are corporate blueprints to guide and constrain operational and technological change, particularly investments in large system development or acquisition efforts, such as ACE. To effectively guide and constrain these efforts, enterprise architectures should be updated to ensure that they reflect changes in the strategic business direction of the enterprise. Further, they should be updated in a way that ensures consistency and integration across the full scope of the enterprise?s business areas; for Customs, these areas are commercial, enforcement, and administration. Also, these architectures should be sufficiently extended to recognize systemspecific business requirements upon which later design decisions will be based. Such extensions are both normal and a necessary part of methodologically sound system design and development. To minimize risk, these architectural activities should be completed before system design and development begins. Page 36 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Customs recognizes the need to ensure that its ACE system architecture is further defined, and it has instituted processes for providing such assurance. For example, it is having eCP extend the ACE system architecture to include logical data models and data flows and expand the standards for Web services. However, Customs has yet to commit to work on its enterprise architecture that eCP officials say is needed to ensure that Customs? enterprise architecture is internally consistent, sufficiently scoped, and adequately extended. Instead, Customs? plans to provide ?just enough? enterprise architecture ?justin- time? to guide and constrain the design of future ACE increments. According to eCP officials, parallel definition of the enterprise and system architectures is not typically done. The reason it is not typically done is because it risks not having sufficient enterprise context available to effectively design the system. We believe that the reason for Customs? parallel approach is the priority being given to meeting the ACE schedule. In our view, such a schedule- driven approach risks producing an enterprise architecture extension that is not sufficiently complete to support ACE design activities; this, in turn, could result in costly system rework and a failure to deliver system capabilities on time and within budget. Page 37 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) b. Customs does not have an effective strategy for meeting its modernization human capital needs. Effective human capital management is fundamental to any organization (or organizational component), such as the CMO. To be effective, information technology (IT) human capital management strategies should provide for identifying knowledge, skills, and experience requirements; continuously assessing existing capabilities; and developing effective strategies and implementing plans to fill any gaps, including developing compensation packages to attract and retain qualified individuals. Since the CMO?s establishment in June 2000, its approach to meeting its human capital needs has been to identify a set of CMO positions, develop position descriptions for each, advertise these positions, and select among applicants. Using this approach, the CMO currently does not have the human capital capacity it needs to effectively manage ACE. (See table on next page.) To compensate, Customs? approach has been to rely on support contractors. Page 38 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Status of CMO positions: Position title Level Filled? Number of months vacant Executive Director SES Yes - Deputy Director GS- 15 No 2 Requirements Executive GS- 15 Yes - Requirements Executive GS- 15 Yes - Executive Support GS- 14 Yes - Executive Support GS- 7 Yes - Requirements Management Lead GS- 14 No 7 Business Management Lead GS- 14 No 5 Communications Lead GS- 14 No 10 Program Control Lead GS- 14 No 0 Systems Engineering Lead GS- 13/ 14 No 9 Program Analyst GS- 9/ 13 No 0 Program Analyst GS- 9/ 13 No 5 Page 39 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) In our view, the CMO?s lack of adequate human capital can be traced to not having defined and implemented an effective human capital strategy. Such a strategy would, at a minimum, completely and correctly define the CMO?s human capital needs (both the proper skill levels and the commensurate compensation packages needed to attract and retain them) and provide Customs? full commitment (resources and management attention) for pursuing short- term and long- term actions to meet them. Unless Customs addresses its human capital weaknesses, it increases the risk of not delivering ACE capabilities on time and within budget. Page 40 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) c. Software acquisition management processes are incomplete. Effective IT management processes, such as processes for acquiring software, are essential to software- intensive system acquisitions. SEI, recognized for its expertise in software processes, has defined the tenets of effective software acquisition. The SA- CMM identifies, among other things, a number of key process areas that are necessary to effectively manage software- intensive system acquisition. As discussed earlier, Customs is addressing our recommendations aimed at correcting the ACE software acquisition management weaknesses that we identified in our February 1999 report, 12 and Customs officials told us that they plan to eventually assess their SA- CMM capabilities, although no time frame has been set. 12 U. S General Accounting Office, Customs Service Modernization: Serious Management and Technical Weaknesses Must Be Corrected, GAO/ AIMD- 99- 41, Washington, D. C., Feb. 26, 1999. Page 41 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Using Customs? reported data on the status of its efforts to address these weaknesses, we determined that one of the SEI key process areas is generally complete (i. e., the vast majority of practices in a key process area are in place), five key process areas are works in progress (i. e., one or more practices in a key process area are in place), and two key process areas are not started (i. e., no practices in a key process area are in place). Page 42 of 60 the project are included. the contractor. effective software acquisition. contract requirements. capable of satisfying the specified requirements. Requirements development and management: establishing a common and unambiguous definition of software acquisition Contract tracking and oversight: ensuring that the software Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Status at Customs on SEI key process areas: SEI SA- CMM key process area Generally Software acquisition planning: ensuring that reasonable planning for the software acquisition is conducted and that all elements of Solicitation: ensuring that award is made to the contractor most requirements understood by the acquisition team, system user, and Project office management: managing the activities of the project office and supporting contractor( s) to ensure a timely, efficient, and activities under contract are being performed in accordance with contract requirements, and that products and services will satisfy complete Work in transition to support. organization. the acquisition process. products being acquired to the eventual software support Results: Objective 3 (cont.) SEI SA- CMM key process area Generally Evaluation: determining that the acquired software products and services satisfy contract requirements prior to acceptance and Transition to support: providing for the transition of the software Acquisition risk management: 13 identifying risks as early as possible, adjusting acquisition strategy to mitigate those risks, and developing and implementing a risk management process as an integral part of 13 Acquisition risk management is an SEI SA- CMM level 3 key process area. complete Work in progress Not started Results: Objective 3 (cont.) As shown in the table above, Customs has yet to complete many key processes and, in particular, the evaluation and transition to support key process areas have not been started. The purpose of evaluation is to determine that the acquired software products and services satisfy contract requirements before acceptance. Evaluation should include developing and managing evaluation requirements in conjunction with developing software technical requirements. Transition to support is to provide for the effective and efficient ?hand off? of the acquired software products to the support organization responsible for software maintenance and should include designating a group that is responsible for coordinating transition and support activities. Customs officials agree that its software acquisition processes are incomplete and told us that Customs delayed addressing the evaluation and transition to support key process areas because resources (i. e., staff) were needed for higher priority activities. In the absence of an evaluation capability, Customs said that they are using a support contractor to perform evaluation activities. Page 45 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Because Customs has not yet established effective software acquisition processes, it does not have adequate assurance that ACE capabilities will be delivered on time and within budget. Page 46 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) d. Expenditure plan cost estimates have not been validated by Customs. Producing reliable cost estimates for inclusion in ACE expenditure plans is essential. Without such estimates, Customs cannot provide congressional committees with the information needed to exercise important ACE oversight. Ensuring that cost estimates are reliable requires, at a minimum, that Customs satisfy itself that rigorous, analytically verifiable methods are used to derive the estimates. To this end, SEI has defined models for (1) establishing an institutional estimating capability and (2) validating the reliability of a projectspecific estimate. 14 As discussed earlier, Customs? cost estimates for the initial ACE tasks in its first expenditure plan were not reliable because Customs did not use a rigorous approach in deriving them. 14 Software Engineering Institute, Checklists and Criteria for Evaluating the Cost and Schedule Estimating Capabilities of Software Organizations ( CMU/ SEI- 95- SR- 005 and A Manager s Checklist for Validating Software Cost and Schedule Estimates ( CMU/ SEI- 95- SR- 004 . Page 47 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) For its second expenditure plan, Customs did not use any method to derive contract- related costs. Instead, it simply passed along estimates developed by the ACE contractor, except for Customs? internal (CMO) costs and the management reserve. According to Customs, it plans to use an independent contractor to validate cost estimates after it submits future expenditure plans and to use this information in negotiating task orders. For the management reserve of $35.5 million requested in the second expenditure plan, Customs used a contractor to derive this estimate. This estimate represents about 21 percent of the total funds requested (excluding the reserve) in the expenditure plan. We found that this reserve estimate lacked analytical justification and relied extensively on the unsubstantiated assumptions and subjective judgments of a few individuals. In fact, we could have used the same methodology used by the contractor, made our own equally valid assumptions and judgments, and produced estimates either considerably higher or lower. Page 48 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Moreover, available information from studies and comparable system undertakings, such as the Internal Revenue Service?s Business Systems Modernization (BSM), do not support this level of management reserve. For example, the BSM management reserve is 10 percent, and a study covering about 500 Defense contracts showed a mean management reserve of about 4 percent. We conclude that the management reserve cost estimate appears overstated, and the reliability of the other estimates in the second expenditure plan is uncertain. Without reliable estimates, Customs increases the risk that it will repeat its first expenditure plan performance, and that it will not meet expenditure plan commitments. Page 49 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Observation 4: Customs has accelerated its ACE acquisition plans. When a system is incrementally acquired, it is important to carefully manage the extent to which design, development, testing, and implementation of the increments overlap (i. e., occur concurrently). The goal is to ensure that a given increment has been sufficiently matured (so that it is free of material defects and performs as intended) before later, dependent increments are built. While some degree of increment concurrency is appropriate, extensive overlap of increments? detailed design, development, and testing activities is generally not desirable because it increases the risk of overall system rework. Reasons for this include, carrying over unresolved defects into later increments; maintaining control over a proliferating number of system versions; stretching critical resources (such as people, development and testing laboratories); and introducing incremental change into the organization with such frequency that it exhausts the organization?s capacity to absorb the change. Page 50 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) As previously stated, Customs has committed to implementing our prior recommendation to incrementally acquire and invest in ACE. Until recently, Customs? incremental strategy provided for acquiring and deploying ACE in four major increments spanning 5 years, with the first three of the four increments consisting of two subincrements or releases. Even under this 5- year strategy, Customs? plans provided for some overlap among increments. For example, design activities in one increment were generally occurring concurrently with development activities in later increments. (See figure on next page.) In January 2002, Customs decided to accelerate its plans for acquiring and deploying ACE, electing to deliver ACE?s four increments in 4 years rather than 5 because, according to the Commissioner of Customs, ACE is important to our country?s security and the future of trade facilitation. While Customs has yet to develop a program schedule detailing the extent to which this compressed schedule will increase concurrency among system increment design, development, and testing, Customs and its integration contractor acknowledge that increased concurrency among increments will occur. Page 51 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) ACE 5- year implementation plan: CY2001 CY2001 CY2002 CY2002 CY2003 CY2003 CY2004CY2005 CY2004CY2005 CY2006 CY2006 CY2007 CY2007 I I crement crement 1, 1, Release Release 1 1 I I crement crement 1, 1, Release Release 2 2 I I crement crement 2, 2, Release Release 1 1 I I crement crement 2, 2, Release Release 2 2 I I crement crement 3, 3, Release Release 1 1 I I crement crement 3, 3, Release Release 2 2 Increme Increme t t 4 4 Requirements Requirements & & pla pla ning ning Desig Desig Develop Develop Deploy Deploy Page 52 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) The contractor has also acknowledged that this increased concurrency will exacerbate preexisting risks, such as the possibility that an increment?s requirements will not be fully understood before design and development is to begin; the possibility that the delivery of COTS and hardware products will not be timely; and the possibility that changes will be required to Customs? legacy systems with which ACE must interface. The contractor has also stated that the compressed schedule introduced new risks, such as funding requirements will be so high that budget approval is unlikely; staffing requirements will be so high that physical housing of all personnel will be difficult; and the trade community will not have sufficient lead time to make changes necessary to support ACE. Page 53 of 60 Results: Objective 3 (cont.) Combined with the other risks that we cited earlier (i. e., unresolved defects carrying over to later increments, version control, overtaxing core resources, and capacity for change absorption), the chances of not delivering ACE capabilities on time and within budget are increased appreciably. Page 54 of 60 Conclusions Customs? second ACE expenditure plan satisfies the legislative conditions and is consistent with our open recommendations. Nevertheless, ACE introduces a host of unavoidable risks, including the complexity of the work, the dependence of successful implementation on the interaction of a large and diverse set of stakeholders, and these stakeholders? ability to absorb the considerable operational changes to be introduced through ACE. One indicator of Customs? ability to successfully address these risks and deliver ACE capabilities on time and within budget is its past performance. Customs did not fulfill important commitments that it made in its first expenditure plan because the plan?s estimated costs for certain tasks were not reliable. Because of this track record, the risks in moving forward on ACE are amplified. Page 55 of 60 Conclusions (cont.) Another indicator of Customs? ability to successfully acquire and implement ACE is the effectiveness of the management controls it has in place to govern its system acquisition and implementation activities. For various reasons cited by Customs officials, including limited resources and schedule demands, Customs has yet to establish several important management controls, such as an updated enterprise architecture, adequate human capital capacity, complete software acquisition management processes, and reliable cost estimating. The absence of these controls further compounds the risks facing Customs on ACE. Notwithstanding these risks, Customs has recently decided to develop and deploy the system faster. This decision exacerbates an already risky undertaking by increasing the difficulty of the work without first providing for a commensurate increase in the capabilities needed to perform the work. Page 56 of 60 Recommendations for Executive Action To address the risks discussed in this briefing, we recommend that the Customs Service Commissioner direct the Chief Information Officer, as the designated Modernization Executive, to take the following actions: Before building each ACE release (i. e., beginning detailed design and development), certify to Customs? House and Senate appropriation subcommittees that the enterprise architecture has been sufficiently extended to provide the requisite enterprise design content and has been updated to ensure consistency and integration across business areas. Immediately develop and implement a CMO human capital management strategy that provides both near- term and long- term solutions to the CMO?s human capital capacity limitations, including defining the office?s skill and capability needs in terms that will allow Customs to attract qualified individuals and that will provide sufficient rewards and training, linked to performance, that promote their retention. Page 57 of 60 Recommendations for Executive Action Develop and implement process controls for the SEI SA- CMM level 2 key process areas and the level 3 acquisition risk management key process area. By September 30, 2002, conduct and report to Customs? House and Senate appropriation subcommittees on the results of an internal assessment of the CMO?s maturity against the SEI SA- CMM level 2 key process areas, and the level 3 acquisition risk management key process area. Develop and implement a rigorous and analytically verifiable cost estimating program that embodies the tenets of effective estimating as defined in SEI?s institutional and project- specific estimating models. Limit future expenditure plan requests for management reserve funds to 10 percent of the total funds requested for the program or adequately justify any management reserve requests in excess of 10 percent. Page 58 of 60 Recommendations for Executive Action Address the risks associated with the accelerated ACE acquisition strategy, including (1) immediately analyzing the risks associated with the degree of design, development, and testing concurrency across ACE increments that is inherent in Customs? 4- year, schedule- driven acquisition strategy; (2) reconsidering the merits of this accelerated strategy; and (3) within 90 days of the date of this briefing, reporting to Customs? House and Senate appropriations subcommittees on the agency?s strategy going forward and its plans for mitigating the inherent risks associated with this strategy. Page 59 of 60 Agency Comments In commenting on a draft of this briefing, the Customs Modernization Office Executive Director agreed with our findings, conclusions, and recommendations. Page 60 of 60 Appendi x II Comments from the U. S. Customs Service (310235) GAO?s Mission The General Accounting Office, the investigative arm of Congress, exists to support Congress in meeting its constitutional responsibilities and to help improve the performance and accountability of the federal government for the American people. GAO examines the use of public funds; evaluates federal programs and policies; and provides analyses, recommendations, and other assistance to help Congress make informed oversight, policy, and funding decisions. 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Order by Mail or Phone The first copy of each printed report is free. Additional copies are $2 each. A check or money order should be made out to the Superintendent of Documents. GAO also accepts VISA and Mastercard. Orders for 100 or more copies mailed to a single address are discounted 25 percent. Orders should be sent to: U. S. General Accounting Office 441 G Street NW, Room LM Washington, D. C. 20548 To order by Phone: Voice: (202) 512- 6000 TDD: (202) 512- 2537 Fax: (202) 512- 6061 To Report Fraud, Contact: Waste, and Abuse in Web site: www. gao. gov/ fraudnet/ fraudnet. htm E- mail: fraudnet@ gao. gov Federal Programs Automated answering system: (800) 424- 5454 or (202) 512- 7470 Public Affairs Jeff Nelligan, managing director, NelliganJ@ gao. gov (202) 512- 4800 U. S. General Accounting Office, 441 G Street NW, Room 7149 Washington, D. C. 20548 a GAO United States General Accounting Office Why GAO Did This Study The U. S. Customs Service is in the early stages of a multiyear, multibillion- dollar project: the Automated Commercial Environment (ACE), a new import processing system that is to support effective and efficient movement of goods into the United States. By congressional mandate, Customs? spending plans for ACE must meet certain conditions, including being reviewed by GAO. In this study, GAO addresses whether Customs? latest plan satisfies congressional conditions and is consistent with open GAO recommendations, and it identifies opportunities for strengthening project management. May 2002 CUSTOMS SERVICE MODERNIZATION Management Improvements Needed on High- Risk Automated Commercial Environment Project This is a test for developing highlights for a GAO report. The full report, including GAO's objectives, scope, methodology, and analysis is available at www. gao. gov/ cgi- bin/ getrpt? GAO- 02- 545. For additional information about the report, contact Randolph C. Hite (202- 512- 3439). To provide comments on this test highlights, contact Keith Fultz (202- 512- 3200) or E- mail HighlightsTest@ gao. gov. Highlights of GAO- 02- 545, a report to the Subcommittee on Treasury and General Government, Senate Committee on Appropriations, and the Subcommittee on Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government, House Committee on Appropriations. What GAO Recommends To increase the chances of delivering needed system capabilities on time and within budget, GAO is making recommendations to the commissioner aimed at improving Customs? management of ACE, including strengthening system alignment with Customs? enterprise architecture, cost estimating, human capital capacity, software process maturity, and sequencing of incremental releases. Customs concurred with GAO?s recommendations and described specific actions that it is taking to respond to each. United States General Accounting Office What GAO Found Customs? February 2002 ACE spending plan is the second in a series of legislatively required plans. This plan covers certain project management tasks as well as the definition, design, and development of the first ACE increment. GAO found that the plan meets the legislative conditions that Congress imposed on Customs and is consistent with GAO?s open recommendations. Nevertheless, investment in ACE is a high- risk endeavor for several reasons:  The system?s size, performance parameters, and organizational impact make it technically and managerially complex. For example, the estimated cost for acquisition alone is about $1.5 billion, the system is to operate around- the- clock, and it is to drive fundamental business process reform not only within Customs, but also within numerous other federal agencies and countless private sector importers.  Customs fell far short of key commitments made in its first spending plan because it severely underestimated costs. This track record casts doubt on Customs? ability to meet future commitments.  Despite progress, Customs still lacks important acquisition management controls. For example, it needs to update its enterprise architecture (its agencywide modernization blueprint) to support system design and development, and it needs to advance its acquisition office?s human capital and software management processes.  Customs has recently decided to compress its time frame for delivering the system from 5 to 4 years. This exacerbates the level of project risk by introducing more overlap among incremental system releases. Because of the system?s national importance, Customs is taking a schedule- driven approach to acquiring ACE. However, without the management capacity to effectively acquire such a large and complex system, particularly in light of Customs? performance to date and the accelerated acquisition and deployment schedule, this approach could backfire. Full system capabilities may take longer and cost more to acquire, deploy, and make operational, because the system delivered under the accelerated schedule could require considerable rework. ACE Is High Risk for Several Reasons Cumulative risk is high Size and complexity Past performance Management control weaknesses Accelerated schedule G A O Accountability Integrity Reliability Highlights G A O Accountability Integrity Reliability Highlights Page 1 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization United States General Accounting Office Washington, D. C. 20548 Page 1 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization A Page 2 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Page 3 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Page 4 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Page 5 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Page 6 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 7 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 8 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 9 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 10 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 11 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 12 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? Second Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) Expenditure Plan Page 13 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix I Customs? 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Customs Service Page 72 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix II Comments from the U. S. Customs Service Page 73 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization Appendix II Comments from the U. S. Customs Service Page 74 GAO- 02- 545 Customs Service Modernization United States General Accounting Office Washington, D. C. 20548- 0001 Official Business Penalty for Private Use $300 Address Correction Requested Presorted Standard Postage & Fees Paid GAO Permit No. GI00 *** End of document. ***