[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 229 (Wednesday, November 27, 2019)]
[Notices]
[Pages 65353-65357]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-25809]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
[RTID 0648-XV011]
Draft 2019 Marine Mammal Stock Assessment Reports
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; request for comments and new information.
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SUMMARY: NMFS reviewed the Alaska, Atlantic, and Pacific regional
marine mammal stock assessment reports (SARs) in accordance with the
Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA). SARs for marine mammals in the
Alaska, Atlantic, and Pacific regions were revised according to new
information. NMFS solicits public comments on the draft 2019 SARs. In
addition to releasing draft 2019 Pacific SARs for public comment, NMFS
is also providing an opportunity to comment on the final 2018 Western
North Pacific (WNP) gray whale SAR previously published in the Federal
Register on June 19, 2019 (84 FR 28489). NMFS is also requesting new
information for strategic stocks that were not updated in 2019.
DATES: Comments must be received by February 25, 2020.
ADDRESSES: The 2019 draft SARs are available in electronic form via the
internet at https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/draft-marine-mammal-stock-assessment-reports. The 2018 final
Gray Whale Western North Pacific SAR is available at https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/national/marine-mammal-protection/marine-mammal-stock-assessment-reports-species-stock#cetaceans---large-whales.
Copies of the Alaska Regional SARs may be requested from Marcia
Muto, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS, 7600 Sand Point Way NE,
Seattle, WA 98115-6349.
Copies of the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Regional SARs
may be requested from Elizabeth Josephson, Northeast Fisheries Science
Center, 166 Water St., Woods Hole, MA 02543.
Copies of the Pacific Regional SARs may be requested from Jim
Carretta, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, 8604 La Jolla Shores
Drive, La Jolla, CA 92037-1508.
You may submit comments or new information, identified by NOAA-
NMFS-2019-0090, by either of the following methods:
Federal e-Rulemaking Portal: Go to www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;D=NOAA-NMFS-2019-0090, click the ``Comment Now!'' icon,
complete the required fields, and enter or attach your comments.
Mail: Send comments, new information, or requests for copies of
reports to: Dr. Zachary Schakner, Protected Species Science Branch,
Office of Science and Technology, National Marine Fisheries Service,
1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910-3226, Attn: Stock
Assessments.
Instructions: NMFS may not consider comments if they are sent by
any other method, to any other address or individual, or received after
the end of the comment period. All comments received are a part of the
public record and will generally be posted for public viewing on
www.regulations.gov without change. All personal identifying
information (e.g., name, address, etc.), confidential business
information, or otherwise sensitive information submitted voluntarily
by the sender will be publicly accessible. NMFS will accept anonymous
comments (enter ``N/A'' in the required fields if you wish to remain
anonymous).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dr. Zachary Schakner, Office of
Science and Technology, 301-427-8106, [email protected]; Marcia
Muto, 206-526-4026, [email protected], regarding Alaska regional
stock assessments; Elizabeth Josephson, 508-495-2362,
[email protected], regarding Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and
Caribbean regional stock assessments; or Jim Carretta, 858-546-7171,
[email protected], regarding Pacific regional stock assessments.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Section 117 of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) requires NMFS and
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to prepare stock assessments
for each stock of marine mammals occurring in waters under the
jurisdiction of the United States, including the U.S. Exclusive
Economic Zone. These reports must contain information regarding the
distribution and abundance of the stock, population growth rates and
trends, estimates of annual human-caused mortality and serious injury
(M/SI) from all sources, descriptions of the fisheries with which the
stock interacts, and the status of the stock. Initial reports were
completed in 1995.
The MMPA requires NMFS and FWS to review the SARs at least annually
for strategic stocks and stocks for which significant new information
is available, and at least once every three years for non-strategic
stocks. The term ``strategic stock'' means a marine mammal stock: (A)
For which the level of direct human-caused mortality exceeds the
potential biological removal level or PBR (defined by the MMPA as the
maximum number of animals, not including natural mortalities, that may
be removed from a marine mammal stock while allowing that stock to
reach or maintain its optimum sustainable population); (B) which, based
on the best available scientific information, is declining and is
likely to be listed as a threatened species under the Endangered
Species Act (ESA) within the foreseeable future; or (C) which is listed
as a threatened species or endangered species under the ESA. NMFS and
the FWS are required to revise a SAR if the status of the stock has
changed or can be more accurately determined.
Prior to public review, the updated SARs under NMFS' jurisdiction
are peer-reviewed within NMFS Fisheries Science Centers and by members
of three regional independent Scientific Review Groups, established
under the MMPA to independently advise NMFS on information and
uncertainties related to the status of marine mammals.
The period covered by the 2019 draft SARs is 2013-2017. NMFS
reviewed the status of all marine mammal strategic stocks as required
and considered whether significant new information was available for
all other stocks under NMFS' jurisdiction. As a result of this review,
NMFS revised a total of 65 reports representing 76 stocks in the
Alaska, Atlantic, and Pacific regions to incorporate new information.
The 2019 revisions consist primarily of updated or revised M/SI
estimate, updated abundance estimates, including the
[[Page 65354]]
application of an established capture-mark-recapture method to estimate
the abundance of Gulf of Maine humpback whales, and the introduction of
a new method for estimating cryptic mortality for Gulf of Maine
humpback whales and North Atlantic right whales. One stock (Alaska
ringed seal) changed in status from non-strategic to strategic, and
four stocks (Western North Atlantic false killer whale and St. Andrew
Bay, St. Joseph Bay, and West Bay common bottlenose dolphin stocks)
changed in status from strategic to non-strategic. Substantive
revisions to the SARs are discussed below.
NMFS solicits public comments on the draft 2019 SARs. In addition
to releasing draft 2019 Pacific SARs for public comment, NMFS is also
providing an opportunity to comment on the final 2018 WNP gray whale
SAR previously published in the Federal Register on June 19, 2019 (84
FR 28489). NMFS is providing this opportunity because of the difference
in abundance reported in the draft and final reports. To ensure NMFS is
aware of new information relevant to all strategic stocks, NMFS
requests new information for strategic stocks that were not updated in
2019. Specifically, new relevant information could include peer-
reviewed information on human-caused serious injury and mortality,
fishery interactions, abundance, distribution, stock structure and
habitat concerns, which could be incorporated into the SARs, and other
information on emerging concerns for a strategic stock.
Alaska Reports
In 2019, NMFS reviewed all 45 stocks in the Alaska region for new
information, and revised 18 SARs under NMFS jurisdiction representing
29 stocks (15 strategic and 14 non-strategic). The Alaska ringed seal
stock changed from non-strategic to strategic status because the stock
is now considered threatened under the ESA (see below). A list of the
29 stocks revised in 2019 for the Alaska region (contained in 18
reports) is presented in Table 1. Information on the remaining Alaska
region stocks can be found in the final 2018 reports (Muto et al.,
2019).
Table 1--List of Marine Mammal Stocks in the Alaska Region Revised in
2019
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Strategic stocks Non-strategic stocks
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Steller sea lion, Western U.S. Steller sea lion,
Eastern U.S.
Northern fur seal, Eastern Harbor seals (12
Pacific. stocks):
Bearded seal, Alaska.......... [cir] Aleutian Islands.
Ringed seal, Alaska........... [cir] Pribilof Islands.
Beluga whale, Cook Inlet...... [cir] Bristol Bay.
Killer whale, AT1 Transient... [cir] N Kodiak.
Harbor porpoise, Southeast [cir] S Kodiak.
Alaska.
Harbor porpoise, Gulf of [cir] Prince William Sound.
Alaska.
Harbor porpoise, Bering Sea... [cir] Cook Inlet/Shelikof
Strait.
Sperm whale, North Pacific.... [cir] Glacier Bay/Icy
Strait.
Humpback whale, Western North [cir] Lynn Canal/Stephens
Pacific. Passage.
Humpback whale, Central North [cir] Sitka/Chatham Strait.
Pacific.
Fin whale, Northeast Pacific.. [cir] Dixon/Cape Decision.
North Pacific right whale, [cir] Clarence Strait.
Eastern North Pacific.
Bowhead whale, Western Arctic. Killer whale, Eastern
North Pacific Northern
Resident.
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Revisions to the Alaska SARs included updates of abundance and/or
M/SI estimates. New abundance estimates are available for the Western
and Eastern U.S. Steller sea lion, harbor seal (12 stocks), Alaska
ringed seal, AT1 Transient and Eastern North Pacific Northern Resident
killer whale, Southeast Alaska and Gulf of Alaska harbor porpoise,
North Pacific sperm whale, Northeast Pacific fin whale, and Western
Arctic bowhead whale stocks.
Alaska Ringed Seal
In 2012, NMFS listed the Arctic ringed seals (Pusa hispida
hispida), and thus the Alaska stock of ringed seals, as threatened
under the ESA (77 FR 76706, December 28, 2012). The primary concern for
this population is the ongoing and projected loss of sea-ice and snow
cover stemming from climate change, which is expected to pose a
significant threat to the persistence of these seals in the foreseeable
future. On March 11, 2016, the U.S. District Court for the District of
Alaska issued a decision vacating NMFS' listing in a lawsuit that
challenged listing ringed seals under the ESA (Alaska Oil and Gas
Association v. Pritzker, Case No. 4:14-cv-00029-RPB). Consequently, it
was also no longer designated as depleted or classified as a strategic
stock. In 2018, the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals overturned the
decision and approved the agency's protection of the seals, and the ESA
listing was reinstated. Because of its threatened status under the ESA,
this ringed seal stock is considered depleted under the MMPA and is now
classified as a strategic stock. NMFS did not revise the Alaska ringed
seal report in 2018 because at the time the draft 2018 SARs were
prepared, this stock was not considered to be depleted or strategic
under the MMPA. The change in status from non-strategic to strategic
was notated in the final 2018 Alaska Marine Mammal Stock Assessments
stock summary table (Appendix 2, Muto et al., 2019).
Atlantic Reports
In 2019, NMFS reviewed all 116 stocks in the Atlantic region for
new information (including the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and U.S.
territories in the Caribbean) under NMFS jurisdiction. This year, NMFS
revised 35 reports, created 1 new common bottlenose dolphin report (St.
Andrew Bay) and resubmitted 1 new common bottlenose dolphin report
(West Bay). These updated reports represent 37 stocks (5 strategic and
32 non-strategic). The Western North Atlantic (WNA) false killer whale
stock and three common bottlenose dolphin stocks (St. Andrew Bay, St.
Joseph Bay, and West Bay) changed from strategic to non-strategic
status because they do not meet the criteria to qualify as strategic. A
list of the 37 stocks in the Atlantic region is presented in Table 2.
Information on the remaining Atlantic region stocks can be found in the
final 2018 reports (Hayes et al., 2019).
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Table 2--List of Marine Mammal Stocks in the Atlantic Region Revised in
2019
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Strategic stocks Non-strategic stocks
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North Atlantic right whale, Humpback whale, Gulf
Western Atlantic. of Maine.
Fin whale, WNA................ Minke whale, Canadian
East Coast.
Sei whale, Nova Scotia........ Dwarf sperm whale,
WNA.
Blue whale, WNA............... Pygmy sperm whale,
WNA.
Sperm whale................... Pygmy killer whale,
WNA.
False killer whale,
WNA.
Cuvier's beaked whale,
WNA.
Blainville's beaked
whale, WNA.
Gervais beaked whale,
WNA.
Sowerby's beaked
whale, WNA.
True's beaked whale,
WNA.
Melon-headed whale,
WNA.
Risso's dolphin, WNA.
Pilot whale, long-
finned, WNA.
Pilot whale, short-
finned, WNA.
Atlantic white-sided
dolphin, WNA.
White-beaked dolphin,
WNA.
Common dolphin, WNA.
Atlantic spotted
dolphin, WNA.
Pantropical spotted
dolphin, WNA.
Striped dolphin, WNA.
Fraser's dolphin, WNA.
Clymene dolphin, WNA.
Spinner dolphin, WNA.
Common bottlenose
dolphin, WNA offshore.
Harbor porpoise, Gulf
of Maine/Bay of Fundy.
Harbor seal, WNA.
Gray seal, WNA.
Harp seal, WNA.
Bottlenose dolphin,
West Bay.
Bottlenose dolphin,
St. Andrew Bay.
Bottlenose dolphin,
St. Joseph Bay.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Revisions to the Atlantic SARs included updates of abundance and/or
M/SI estimates. New abundance estimates are available for the North
Atlantic right whale, WNA fin whale, Nova Scotia sei whale, WNA blue
whale, North Atlantic sperm whale, Gulf of Maine humpback whale,
Canadian East Coast minke whale, WNA dwarf and pygmy sperm whale (Kogia
spp.), WNA false killer whale, WNA beaked whale (Ziphius and Mesoplodon
spp.), WNA Risso's dolphin, Long-finned pilot whale, WNA Atlantic
white-sided dolphin, WNA White-beaked dolphin, WNA common dolphin, WNA
Atlantic spotted dolphin, WNA pantropical spotted dolphin, WNA striped
dolphin, WNA Clymene dolphin, WNA spinner dolphin, WNA common
bottlenose dolphin, Gulf of Maine/Bay of Fundy harbor porpoise, and the
West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, and St. Joseph Bay common bottlenose dolphin
stocks.
Estimating Cryptic Mortality for North Atlantic Right Whale and Gulf of
Maine Humpback Whale
The North Atlantic right whale and Gulf of Maine humpback whale
reports include the presentation of cryptic mortality estimates and
attempt to apportion unseen mortality to various sources while
considering detection bias. The cryptic mortality estimate is
calculated by taking the annual population estimate generated from the
Pace et al. (2017) approach and applying a basic population dynamic
formula. A method to assign cause to these unseen mortalities is still
being established, as such these additions are not counted towards PBR
at this time.
North Atlantic Right Whale, Western Atlantic
The western North Atlantic right whale stock size is based on a
state-space model of the sighting histories of individual whales
identified using photo-identification techniques (Pace et al. 2017).
Using a hierarchical, state-space Bayesian open population model of
these histories produced a median abundance value. The best abundance
estimate available for the North Atlantic right whale stock is 428
individuals (95% credible intervals 406 to 447). The previous best
abundance estimate in the 2018 SAR was 451 (95% credible intervals 434
to 464). As a result of the lower abundance estimate, the PBR decreased
from 0.9 (in the 2018 SAR) to 0.8. Only 5 and 0 calves were detected in
2017 and 2018, respectively. Therefore, it is estimated the decline in
the right whale population will continue for at least an additional 2
years.
Humpback Whale, Gulf of Maine
For the Gulf of Maine humpback whale report, two new independent
abundance estimates are available from different methods--one based
upon ship and aerial line-transect surveys, and a second from applying
mark and recapture methods to photo identification records from the J.
Robbins studies (Robbins and Pace 2018). The best abundance estimate
for the Gulf of Maine humpback whale stock is 1,396 (based upon the
mark and recapture method). The minimum abundance estimate is 1,380
(previously 896 in 2018 SAR) and PBR for the Gulf of Maine humpback
whale stock is 22 whales (previously 14.6). This stock is not
considered strategic, but if the newly estimated cryptic mortality were
included, the estimated annual anthropogenic mortality would be over
PBR.
False Killer Whale, Western North Atlantic
The WNA false killer whale WNA stock changed from strategic to non-
[[Page 65356]]
strategic because it does not meet the criteria to qualify as
strategic. When this stock was last revised in 2014, it was considered
strategic because the abundance of the stock is small and NMFS was
concerned that relatively few mortalities and serious injuries would
exceed PBR. While no fishery-related mortality or serious injury has
been observed in the last five years, there was a recorded interaction
with the pelagic longline fishery in 2011. False killer whale
interactions with longline fisheries in the Pacific are of considerable
concern, but little is known about interactions in the Atlantic.
Common Bottlenose Dolphins
NMFS is in the process of writing individual stock assessment
reports for each of the 31 bay, sound, and estuary stocks of common
bottlenose dolphins in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Two new individual
reports, for St. Andrew Bay and West Bay Estuarine System stocks, were
completed for the draft 2019 SARs. The West Bay report was originally
submitted with the draft 2018 SARs but was withdrawn because the
updated abundance estimate for this stock was based on a publication
that was still under review at the time the 2018 SARs were finalized.
That publication is now ``in press,'' so NMFS is resubmitting the West
Bay stock as a new draft 2019 report. The reader will not see tracked
changes in the West Bay or St. Andrew Bay reports because these are new
reports. To date, NMFS has completed seven individual bottlenose
dolphin stocks reports (St. Andrew Bay, West Bay, Terrebonne-Timbalier
Bay Estuarine System, Barataria Bay Estuarine System, Mississippi
Sound/Lake Borgne/Bay Boudreau, Choctawhatchee Bay, and St. Joseph
Bay), and the remaining 24 stocks are included in the Northern Gulf of
Mexico Bay, Sound, and Estuary Stocks report.
The West Bay, St. Andrew Bay, and St. Joseph Bay common bottlenose
dolphin stocks changed from strategic to non-strategic. These stocks
were previously considered strategic in part due to an Unusual
Mortality Event (UME) of unprecedented size and duration (2010 through
2014) among common bottlenose dolphins along the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast. Although these stocks do not meet the criteria to qualify
as strategic under the GAMMS (NMFS 2016), NMFS continues to have
concerns regarding these stocks due to their small stock size and the
high number of common bottlenose dolphin deaths associated with UMEs in
the Florida panhandle since 1999.
Pacific Reports
In 2019, NMFS reviewed all 85 stocks in the Pacific region (waters
along the west coast of the United States, within waters surrounding
the main and Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, and within waters
surrounding U.S. territories in the Western Pacific) for new
information, and revised SARs for 10 stocks (6 strategic and 4 non-
strategic). A list of the 10 reports revised in 2019 is presented in
Table 3. Information on the remaining Pacific region stocks can be
found in the final 2018 reports (Carretta et al., 2019).
Table 3--List of Marine Mammal Stocks in the Pacific Region Revised in
2019
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Strategic stocks Non-strategic stocks
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Guadalupe fur seal Harbor porpoise, Morro
Bay.
Hawaiian monk seal Harbor porpoise, Monterey
Bay.
Killer whale, Eastern N Harbor porpoise, San
Pacific Southern Resident Francisco-Russian River.
Sperm whale, CA/OR/WA Harbor porpoise, Northern
CA/Southern OR.
Humpback whale, CA/OR/WA
Blue whale, Eastern N
Pacific
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New abundance estimates are available for 8 stocks: Guadalupe fur
seals, Hawaiian monk seals, four harbor porpoise stocks (Morro Bay,
Monterey Bay, San Francisco-Russian River, and Northern California/
Southern Oregon), Southern Resident killer whales, and Eastern North
Pacific blue whales.
2018 Final Western North Pacific Gray Whale SAR
In addition to releasing draft 2019 Pacific SARs for public
comment, NMFS is also providing an opportunity to comment on the final
2018 WNP gray whale SAR previously published in the Federal Register on
June 19, 2019 (84 FR 28489). NMFS is providing this opportunity because
of the difference in abundance reported in the draft and final reports.
The draft 2018 WNP gray whale stock assessment was prepared during
autumn 2017/winter 2018 in advance of the Pacific Scientific Review
Group meeting in February 2018. The draft 2018 report included an
abundance estimate and calculated PBR based on results from Cooke et
al. (2016), who estimated WNP gray whale stock abundance at 175 whales
(95% credible intervals 158 to 193). Following the publication of the
draft report, the SAR authors reviewed abundance estimates by Cooke
(2017) and Cooke et al. (2018) published in November 2017 and January
2018, respectively. Those publications estimate WNP abundance to be 290
individuals (90% credible intervals 271 to 311) due to differences in
the data analyzed. Cooke et al. (2016) estimated abundance based on
Sakhalin Island whales only, while Cooke (2017) and Cooke et al. (2018)
estimates included whales from both Sakhalin and Kamchatka regions.
After considering public comments on the draft 2018 SAR regarding open
versus closed population assumptions on the combined Sakhalin-Kamchatka
feeding aggregation (84 FR 28489, June 19, 2019), the SAR authors
updated the abundance estimate in the final 2018 report using the
values from Cooke 2017 and Cooke et al. 2018. The WNP abundance
estimates in the final 2018 report are higher than the draft report
because the final estimates included Kamchatka whales. As a result, PBR
values changed from 0.07 in the draft report to 0.12 whales in the
final 2018 WNP SAR. In light of these changes, NMFS is now accepting
public comment on the abundance estimates that appear in the final 2018
Western North Pacific Gray Whale SAR.
References
Cooke, J.G., Weller, D.W., Bradford, A.L., Sychenko, O.A., Burdin,
A.M., Lang, A.R. and Brownell, R.L., Jr. 2016. Updated population
assessment of the Sakhalin gray whale aggregation based on a photo-
identification study at Piltun, Sakhalin, 1995-2015. Paper SC/66b/
BRG25 presented to the International Whaling Commission Scientific
Committee.
Cooke J.G. 2017. Updated assessment of the Sakhalin gray whale
population and its relationship to gray whales in other areas. IUCN
Western Gray Whale Advisory Panel document 18/24.
Cooke, J.G., Taylor, B.L., Reeves, R. & Brownell Jr., R.L. 2018.
Eschrichtius robustus western subpopulation. The IUCN Red List of
Threatened Species 2018: e.T8099A50345475. http://dx.doi.org/10.2305/IUCN.UK.2018-2.RLTS.T8099A50345475.en.
Muto, M.M., V.T. Helker, R.P. Angliss, P.L. Boveng, J.M. Breiwick,
M.F. Cameron, P.J. Clapham, S.P. Dahle, M.E. Dahlheim, B.S. Fadely,
M.C. Ferguson, L.W. Fritz, R.C. Hobbs, Y.V. Ivashchenko, A.S.
Kennedy, J.M. London, S.A. Mizroch, R.R. Ream, E.L. Richmond, K.E.W.
Shelden, K.L. Sweeney, R.G. Towell, P.R. Wade, J.M. Waite, and A.N.
Zerbini. 2019. Alaska marine Mammal Stock Assessments, 2018. NOAA
Technical Memorandum NMFS-AFSC-393, June 2019. 390 pp.
Pace, R.M., III, P.J. Corkeron and S.D. Kraus. 2017. State-space
mark-recapture
[[Page 65357]]
estimates reveal a recent decline in abundance of North Atlantic
right whales. Ecol. and Evol. 7:8730-8741. DOI: 10.1002/ece3.3406.
Dated: November 22, 2019.
Chris Oliver,
Assistant Administrator for Fisheries, National Marine Fisheries
Service.
[FR Doc. 2019-25809 Filed 11-26-19; 8:45 am]
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