[Federal Register Volume 82, Number 16 (Thursday, January 26, 2017)]
[Notices]
[Pages 8542-8544]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2017-01704]


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OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET


2016 Statutory Pay-as-You-Go Act Annual Report

AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget (OMB).

ACTION: Notice.

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SUMMARY: This report is being published as required by the Statutory 
Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) Act of 2010, 2 U.S.C. 931 et seq. The Act 
requires that OMB issue 1) an annual report as specified in 2 U.S.C. 
934(a) and 2) a sequestration order, if necessary.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Erin O'Brien. 202-395-3106.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This report and additional information about 
the PAYGO Act can be found at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/paygo_default.

David Rowe,
Deputy Assistant Director for Budget.

    This Report is being published pursuant to section 5 of the 
Statutory Pay-As-You-Go (PAYGO) Act of 2010, Public Law 111-139, 124 
Stat. 8, 2 U.S.C. 934, which requires that OMB issue an annual PAYGO 
report, including a sequestration order if

[[Page 8543]]

necessary, no later than 14 working days after the end of a 
congressional session.
    This Report describes the budgetary effects of all PAYGO 
legislation enacted during the second session of the 114th Congress and 
presents the 5-year and 10-year PAYGO scorecards maintained by OMB. 
Because neither the 5-year nor 10-year scorecard shows a debit for the 
budget year, which for purposes of this Report is fiscal year 2017,\1\ 
a sequestration order under subsection 5(b) of the PAYGO Act, 2 U.S.C. 
934(b) is not necessary.
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    \1\ References to years on the PAYGO scorecards are to fiscal 
years.
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    During the second session of the 114th Congress, no laws were 
enacted with emergency requirements under section 4(g) of the PAYGO 
Act, 2 U.S.C. 933(g). Additionally, the scorecards include no current 
policy adjustments made under section 4(c) of the PAYGO Act, 2 U.S.C. 
933(c). The authority for current policy adjustments expired as of 
December 31, 2011, so the Report does not contain any information about 
or descriptions of any current policy adjustments.

I. PAYGO Legislation With Budgetary Effects

    PAYGO legislation is authorizing legislation that affects direct 
spending or revenues, and appropriations legislation that affects 
direct spending in the years beyond the budget year or affects revenues 
in any year.\2\ For a more complete description of the Statutory PAYGO 
Act, see Chapter 9, ``Budget Concepts,'' of the Analytical Perspectives 
volume of the 2017 President's Budget, found on the Web site of the 
U.S. Government Printing Office (https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BUDGET-2017-PER/pdf/BUDGET-2017-PER.pdf).
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    \2\ Provisions in appropriations acts that affect direct 
spending in the years beyond the budget year (also known as 
``outyears'') or affect revenues in any year are considered to be 
budgetary effects for the purposes of the PAYGO scorecards except if 
the provisions produce outlay changes that net to zero over the 
current year, budget year, and the four subsequent years. As 
specified in section 3 of the PAYGO Act, off-budget effects are not 
counted as budgetary effects. Off-budget effects refer to effects on 
the Social Security trust funds (Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and 
Disability Insurance) and the Postal Service.
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    The 5-year and 10-year PAYGO scorecards for each congressional 
session begin with the balances of costs or savings carried over from 
previous sessions and then tally the costs or savings of PAYGO laws 
enacted in the most recent session. The 5-year PAYGO scorecard for the 
second session of the 114th Congress began with balances of savings of 
$4,896 million in 2017, $4,057 million in 2018, $4,082 million in 2019, 
and $3,456 million in 2020. The completed 5-year scorecard for the 
session shows that PAYGO legislation enacted during the session was 
estimated to have PAYGO budgetary effects that increased the deficit by 
an average of $478 million each year from 2017 through 2021.\3\ These 
new costs on the scorecard decreased the balances of savings in each 
year on the 5-year scorecard from 2017 through 2020, and created new 
costs in 2021.
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    \3\ As provided in section 4(d) of the PAYGO Act, 2 U.S.C. 
933(d), budgetary effects on the PAYGO scorecards are based on 
congressional estimates for bills including a reference to a 
congressional estimate in the Congressional Record, and for which 
such a reference is indeed present in the Record. Absent such a 
congressional cost estimate, OMB is required to use its own estimate 
for the scorecard. None of the bills enacted during the second 
session of the 114th Congress had such a congressional estimate and 
therefore OMB was required to provide an estimate for all PAYGO laws 
enacted during the session.
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    The 10-year PAYGO scorecard for the second session of the 114th 
Congress began with balances of savings of $15,448 million in each year 
from 2017 to 2020, $9,077 million in 2021, $8,367 million in 2022, 
$7,232 million in 2023, $7,239 million in 2024, and $5,718 million in 
2025. The completed 10-year scorecard for the session shows that PAYGO 
legislation for the session increased the deficit by an average of $980 
million each year from 2017 through 2026. These new costs decreased the 
balances of savings in each year on the 10-year scorecard from 2017 
through 2025, and created new costs in 2026.
    In the second session of the 114th Congress, 52 laws were enacted 
that were determined to constitute PAYGO legislation. Of the 52 enacted 
PAYGO laws, 16 laws were estimated to have PAYGO budgetary effects 
(costs or savings) in excess of $500,000 over one or both of the 5-year 
or 10-year PAYGO windows. These were:
     Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015, 
Public Law 114-125;
     An act to direct the Administrator of General Services, on 
behalf of the Archivist of the United States, to convey certain Federal 
property located in the State of Alaska to the Municipality of 
Anchorage, Alaska, Public Law 114-161;
     Frank R. Lautenberg Chemical Safety for the 21st Century 
Act, Public Law 114-182;
     FAA Extension, Safety, and Security Act of 2016, Public 
Law 114-190;
     Comprehensive Addiction and Recovery Act of 2016, Public 
Law 114-198;
     Department of Veterans Affairs Expiring Authorities Act of 
2016, Public Law 114-228;
     United States Appreciation for Olympians and Paralympians 
Act of 2016, Public Law 114-239;
     Treatment of Certain Payments in Eugenics Compensation 
Act, Public Law 114-241;
     Full Annuity Supplement for Certain Air Traffic 
Controllers, Public Law 114-251;
     Further Continuing and Security Assistance Appropriations 
Act, 2017, Public Law 114-254;
     21st Century Cures Act, Public Law 114-255;
     National Park Service Centennial Act, Public Law 114-289;
     Jeff Miller and Richard Blumenthal Veterans Health Care 
and Benefits Improvement Act of 2016, Public Law 114-315;
     Water Infrastructure Improvements for the Nation Act or 
the WIIN Act, Public Law 114-322;
     Ensuring Access to Pacific Fisheries Act, Public Law 114-
327;
     National Defense Authorization Act for FY 2017, Public Law 
114-328.
    In addition to the laws identified above, 36 laws enacted in this 
session were estimated to have negligible budgetary effects on the 
PAYGO scorecards--costs or savings of less than $500,000 over both the 
5-year and 10-year PAYGO windows.

II. Budgetary Effects Excluded From the Scorecard Balances

A. Statutory Provisions Excluding Legislation From the Scorecards

    One law enacted in the second session of the 114th Congress had 
estimated budgetary effects on direct spending and revenues that were 
excluded from the calculations for the PAYGO scorecards due to 
provisions in law excluding all or part of the law from section 4(d) of 
the Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Act of 2010: The 21st Century Cures Act, 
for which Division A was excluded from the scorecards. No laws included 
provisions excluding their budgetary effects from the PAYGO scorecards 
entirely.

III. PAYGO Scorecards

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                                                           Statutory Pay-As-You-Go Scorecards
                                        [In millions of dollars, negative amounts portray decreases in deficits]
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                                            2017        2018        2019        2020        2021
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Second Session of the 114th Congress...         478         478         478         478         478
Balances from Previous Sessions........      -4,896      -4,057      -4,082      -3,456           0
Five-year PAYGO Scorecard..............      -4,418      -3,579      -3,604      -2,978         478
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                                               2017        2018        2019        2020        2021       2022       2023       2024       2025     2026
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Second Session of the 114th Congress...         980         980         980         980         980        980        980        980        980      980
Balances from Previous Sessions........     -15,448     -15,448     -15,448     -15,448      -9,077     -8,367     -7,232     -7,239     -5,718        0
Ten-year PAYGO Scorecard...............     -14,468     -14,468     -14,468     -14,468      -8,097     -7,387     -6,252     -6,259     -4,738      980
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    The total net budgetary effects of all PAYGO legislation enacted 
during the second session of the 114th Congress on the 5-year scorecard 
increased the deficit by $2,389 million. This total is averaged over 
the years 2017 to 2021 on the 5-year PAYGO scorecard, resulting in 
costs of $478 million in each year. Combining these costs with balances 
carried over from prior sessions of the Congress creates total net 
savings in 2017 of $4,418 million, $3,579 million in 2018, $3,604 
million in 2019, and $2,978 million in 2020. The 5-year PAYGO window 
extended only through 2020 in the first session of the 114th Congress, 
so there were no 5-year scorecard balances in 2021 to carry over and 
the 5-year scorecard total is the average $478 million cost from this 
session.
    The total 10-year net impact of legislation enacted during the 
second session of the 114th Congress was costs of $9,800 million. The 
10-year PAYGO scorecard shows the total net impact averaged over the 
10-year period, resulting in costs of $980 million in each year. 
Combining these costs with balances from prior sessions results in net 
savings of $14,468 million in 2017 through 2020, $8,097 million in 
2021, $7,387 million in 2022, $6,252 million in 2023, $6,259 million in 
2024, and $4,738 million in 2025. The 10-year PAYGO window extended 
only through 2025 in the first session of the 114th Congress, so there 
were no 10-year scorecard balances in 2026 to carry over and the 10-
year scorecard total is the average $980 million costs from this 
session.

IV. Sequestration Order

    As shown on the scorecards, the budgetary effects of PAYGO 
legislation enacted in the second session of the 114th Congress, 
combined with the balances from previous sessions of the Congress left 
on each scorecard, resulted in net savings on both the 5-year and the 
10-year scorecard in the budget year, which is 2017 for the purposes of 
this Report. Because the costs for the budget year, as shown on the 
scorecards, do not exceed savings for the budget year, there is no 
``debit'' on either scorecard under section 3 of the PAYGO Act, 2 
U.S.C. 932, and there is no need for a sequestration order.
    The savings shown on the scorecards for 2017 will be removed from 
the scorecards that are used to record the budgetary effects of PAYGO 
legislation enacted in the first session of the 115th Congress. The 
totals shown in 2018 through 2026 will remain on the scorecards and 
will be used in determining whether a sequestration order will be 
necessary in the future. Each year from 2018 to 2020 of the 5-year 
scorecard that will carry over into the first session of the 115th 
Congress shows balances of savings. The year 2021 shows balances of 
costs. Each year from 2018 to 2025 of the 10-year scorecard that will 
carry over into the first session of the 115th Congress shows balances 
of savings. The year 2026 shows balances of costs.

    Authority:  2 U.S.C. 934.

[FR Doc. 2017-01704 Filed 1-25-17; 8:45 am]
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