[Federal Register Volume 67, Number 250 (Monday, December 30, 2002)]
[Notices]
[Pages 79565-79570]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 02-32846]


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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

[I.D. 120202A]


Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; 
Taking of Ringed and Bearded Seals Incidental to On-ice Seismic 
Activities

AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.

ACTION: Notice of receipt of application and proposed authorization for 
a small take exemption; request for comments.

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SUMMARY: NMFS has received a request from ConocoPhillips Alaska Inc. 
(CPA) for an authorization to take small numbers of ringed and bearded 
seals by harassment incidental to conducting on-ice seismic operations 
in the Beaufort Sea during oil and gas exploration activities. Under 
the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments on 
its proposal to authorize CPA to incidentally take, by harassment, 
small numbers of these two species in the above mentioned area during 
the winter of 2002/2003.

DATES: Comments and information must be received no later than January 
29, 2003.

ADDRESSES: Comments on the application should be addressed to Donna 
Wieting, Chief, Marine Mammal Conservation Division, Office of 
Protected Resources, NMFS, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 
20910-3225. A copy of the application, Environmental Assessment (EA), 
and/or a list of references used in this document may be obtained by 
writing to this address or by telephoning one of the contacts listed 
here.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Kenneth Hollingshead, Office of 
Protected Resources (301) 713-2322, ext. 128, or Bradley Smith, Alaska 
Region (907) 271-5006.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

    Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) 
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the 
incidental, but not intentional taking of small numbers of marine 
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than 
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain 
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking 
is limited to harassment, notice of a proposed authorization is 
provided to the public for review.
    Permission may be granted if NMFS finds that the taking will have 
no more than a negligible impact on the species or stock(s) and will 
not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the availability of the 
species or stock(s) for subsistence uses and that the permissible 
methods of taking and requirements pertaining to the monitoring and 
reporting of such taking are set forth.
    On April 10, 1996 (61 FR 15884), NMFS published an interim rule 
establishing, among other things, procedures for issuing incidental 
harassment authorizations (IHAs) under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA 
for activities in Arctic waters. For additional information on the 
procedures to be followed for this authorization, please refer either 
to that document or to 50 CFR 216.107.

Description of the Activity

Background

    Deep seismic surveys use the ``reflection'' method of data 
acquisition. Reflection seismic exploration is the process of gathering 
information about the subsurface of the earth by measuring acoustic 
(sound or seismic) waves, which are generated on or near the surface. 
Acoustic waves reflect at boundaries in the earth that are 
characterized by acoustic impedance contrasts. The acoustic impedance 
of a rock layer is its density multiplied by its acoustic velocity. 
Geologists and geophysicists commonly attribute different acoustic 
impedances to different rock characteristics. Seismic exploration uses 
a controlled energy source to generate acoustic waves that travel 
through the earth (including sea ice and water, as well as subsea 
geologic formations), and then uses ground sensors to record the 
reflected energy transmitted back to the surface. Energy that is 
directed into the ground takes on numerous forms. When acoustic energy 
is generated, compression (p) and shear (s) waves form and travel in 
and on the earth. The compression and shear waves are affected by the 
geological formations of the earth as they travel in it and may be 
reflected, refracted, diffracted or transmitted when they reach a 
boundary represented by an acoustic impedance contrast.
    The basic components of a seismic survey include an energy source 
(either acoustic or vibratory), which generates a seismic signal; 
hydrophones or geophones, which receive the reflected signal; and 
electronic equipment to amplify and record the signal. The number and 
placement of sensors, the energy sources, the spacing and placement of 
energy input locations, and the specific techniques of recording 
reflected energy are broadly grouped as ``parameters'' of a given 
exploration program.
    In modern reflection seismology, many sensors are used to record 
each energy input event. The number of sensors in use for each event 
varies widely according to the type of survey being conducted and the 
recording equipment available. Common numbers of groups of sensors are 
240, 480, and 1040, and some new recording instruments may use as many 
as 4000 groups of sensors at the same time. The sensors are normally 
placed in one or more long lines at specified intervals. In North 
America the common group

[[Page 79566]]

placement intervals are multiples of 55 feet (17 meters), 110 feet 
(33.5 meters) and 220 feet (67 meters).

Vibroseis

    Vibroseis seismic operations use large trucks with vibrators that 
systematically put variable frequency energy into the earth. At least 
1.2 m (4 ft) of sea ice is required to support heavy vehicles used to 
transport equipment offshore for exploration activities. These ice 
conditions generally exist from 1 January until 31 May in the Beaufort 
Sea. The exploration techniques are most commonly used on landfast ice, 
but they can be used in areas of stable offshore ice. Several vehicles 
are normally associated with a typical vibroseis operation. One or two 
vehicles with survey crews move ahead of the operation and mark the 
energy input points. Crews with rubber-tire or rubber-track vehicles 
often require trail clearance with bulldozers for adequate access to 
and within the site. Crews with rubber-tracked vehicles are typically 
limited by heavy snow cover, and may require trail clearance 
beforehand.
    A typical wintertime exploration seismic crew consists of 40-110 
personnel. Roughly 75 percent of the personnel routinely work on the 
active seismic crew, with approximately 50 percent of those working in 
vehicles and the remainder outside laying and retrieving geophones and 
cable.
    With the vibroseis technique, activity on the surveyed seismic line 
begins with the placement of sensors. All sensors are connected to the 
recording vehicle by multi-pair cable sections. The vibrators move to 
the beginning of the line, and recording begins. The vibrators move 
along a source line, which will be at some angle to a sensor line. The 
vibrators begin vibrating in synchrony via a simultaneous radio signal 
to all vehicles.
    In a typical survey, each vibrator will vibrate four times at each 
location. The entire formation of vibrators subsequently moves forward 
to the next energy input point (e.g., 67 m (220 ft) in most 
applications) and repeat the process. In a typical 16- to 18-hour day, 
4 to 10 linear miles (6 to 16 km) in 2D seismic operations and 15 to 40 
linear miles (24 to 64 km) in a 3D seismic operation are conducted. A 
detailed description of the work proposed for 2003 is contained in this 
document and in the application which is available upon request (see 
ADDRESSES).

Summary of the Request

    CPA is requesting an IHA for the taking of ringed seals (Phoca 
hispida) and bearded seals (Erignathus barbatus) for a period of 5 
months beginning January 1 (upon the expiration of the existing 
regulations covering the Alaskan North Slope on 31 December 2002 (see 
63 FR 5277, February 2, 1998) and ending on about May 31, 2003). On-ice 
seismic operations are ordinarily confined to this five-month period 
since this is the period when ice is sufficiently thick (4 - 5 ft; 1.2 
- 1.5 m) to safely support the equipment.
    The geographic region of activity in 2003 encompasses a 846-square 
mile (2,190 km2) area extending from approximately Cape Halkett on the 
west to Oliktok Point on the east and to approximately 4-20 nm (7.4 - 
37 km) offshore the coast. Water depths in most ( 60 
percent) of the area are less than 10 ft (3 m), but drop to 30 ft (9 m) 
along the northern fringe of the region of activity. Few seals inhabit 
water less than 10 ft (3 m) during winter, since water typically 
freezes to or near the bottom at this depth or what water is available 
supports few food resources (Miller et al., 1998 and Link et al., 
1999).

Description of Habitat and Marine Mammals Affected by the Activity

    A detailed description of the Beaufort Sea ecosystem can be found 
in several documents (Corps of Engineers, 1999; NMFS, 1999; Minerals 
Management Service (MMS), 1992, 1996) and is not repeated here.

Marine Mammals

    The Beaufort/Chukchi Seas support a diverse assemblage of marine 
mammals, including bowhead whales (Balaena mysticetus), gray whales 
(Eschrichtius robustus), beluga (Delphinapterus leucas), ringed seals, 
spotted seals (Phoca largha) and bearded seals. Descriptions of the 
biology and distribution of these species and of others can be found in 
NMFS (1998, 1999), Western Geophysical (2000) and several other 
documents (Corps of Engineers, 1999; Lentfer, 1988; MMS, 1992, 1996; 
Angliss et al. (2001)). Angliss et al. (2001) is available online 
at:http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/prot_res/PR2/[numsign]Stock--Assessment--
Program/sars.htmlStock Assessment Reports.
    Ringed and to a lesser degree bearded seals could be affected by 
on-ice seismic activities. These species as well as other marine mammal 
species in the Beaufort Sea appear to have stable to increasing 
populations, which is a condition indicative of a healthy ecosystem. 
Polar bears, which prey on these species, are believed to be stable or 
increasing in numbers in the Beaufort Sea (U.S. Fish and Wildlife 
Service (USFWS), 2000 a, b). Similarly, the most recent estimate of 
bowhead whales shows the population has steadily increased annually at 
a growth rate of 3.2-3.3 percent to 9,860 (7,700-12,600) animals 
(International Whaling Commission, 2002). These increases are occurring 
in concert with subsistence harvest of these species including a five-
year harvest quota of 255 bowheads. The status of these marine mammal 
populations reflects the high quality of the habitat, which supports 
abundant and diverse prey populations.
    Ringed seals are year-round residents in the Beaufort Sea. They are 
the most abundant and widely distributed species of marine mammal in 
the Beaufort Sea (Frost et al., 1988). The world-wide population is 
estimated at 6 to 7 million (Stirling and Calvert, 1979). The Alaska 
stock of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort Sea area is roughly estimated at 
between 1 to 1.5 (Frost, 1985) to 3.3 to 3.6 million seals (Frost et 
al., 1988). Although there are no recent population estimates in the 
Beaufort Sea, Bengston et al. (2000) estimated ringed seal abundance 
from Barrow south to Shismaref in a portion of the Chukchi Sea to be 
245,048 animals from aerial surveys flown in 1999. In Angliss et al. 
(2001), marine mammal scientists state that there are at least that 
many ringed seals in the Beaufort Sea. Frost et al. (1999) reported 
that observed densities within the area of industrial activity along 
the Beaufort Sea coast were generally similar between 1985-87 and 1996-
98, suggesting that the regional population has been relatively stable 
during this 13-year period of industrial activity.
    During winter and spring, ringed seals inhabit landfast ice and 
offshore pack ice. Seal densities are highest on stable landfast ice 
but significant numbers of ringed seals also occur in pack ice (Wiig et 
al., 1999). Seals congregate at holes and along cracks or deformations 
in the ice (Frost et al., 1999). Breathing holes are established in 
landfast ice as the ice forms in autumn and maintained by seals 
throughout the winter. Adult ringed seals maintain an average of 3.4 
holes per seal (Hammill and Smith, 1989). Some holes may be abandoned 
as winter advances probably in order for seals to conserve energy by 
maintaining fewer holes (Brueggeman and Grialou, 2001). As snow 
accumulates, ringed seals excavate lairs in snowdrifts surrounding 
their breathing holes, which they use for resting and for the birth and 
nursing of their single pups in late March to May (McLaren, 1958; Smith 
and Stirling, 1975; Kelly and Quakenbush, 1990). Pups have been 
observed to enter the water, dive to over

[[Page 79567]]

10 m (32.8 ft), and return to the lair as early as 10 days after birth 
(Brendan Kelly, personal communication, June 2002), suggesting pups can 
survive the cold water temperatures at a very early age. Mating occurs 
in late April and May. From mid-May through July, ringed seals haul out 
in the open air at holes and along cracks to bask in the sun and molt.
    The seasonal distribution of ringed seals in the Beaufort Sea is 
affected by a number of factors but a consistent pattern of seal use 
has been documented since monitoring began over 20 years ago by using 
aerial surveys. Seal densities have historically been substantially 
lower in the western than the eastern part of the Beaufort Sea (Burns 
and Kelly, 1982; Kelly, 1988). Frost et al. (1999) reported 
consistently lower ringed seal densities in the western versus eastern 
sectors they surveyed in the Beaufort Sea during 1996, 1997, and 1998. 
The relatively low densities appear to be related to much of the area 
occurring between the shore and the barrier islands, which is generally 
shallow. This area of historically low ringed seal density is also the 
focus for much of the recent on-ice seismic surveys.
    The estimated number of ringed seals likely to be in the 846-square 
mile (2,190 km\2\) activity area is less than 3,900 animals. This 
estimate is based on a density of 1.73 seals per km\2\, which was 
derived from the most current aerial surveys of the region. Frost and 
Lowry (1999) reported an observed density of 0.61 ringed seals per 
km\2\ on the fast ice from aerial surveys conducted in spring 1997 of 
an area (Sector B2) overlapping the activity area, which is in the 
range of densities (0.28-0.66) reported for the Northstar project from 
1997 to 2001 (Moulton et al., 2001). This value (0.61) was adjusted to 
account for seals hauled out but not sighted by observers (x 1.22, 
based on Frost et al. (1988)) and seals not hauled out during the 
surveys (x 2.33, based on Kelly and Quakenbush (1990)) to obtain the 
density of 1.73 seals/km\2\. This estimate covered an area from the 
coast to about 2-20 miles beyond the activity area, and it assumed that 
habitat conditions were uniform and, therefore, it was not adjusted for 
water depth. Since a high proportion ( 60 percent) of the 
activity area is within water less than 3 m (9.8 ft) deep, which 
Moulton et al. (2001) reported for Northstar supported about five times 
fewer seals (0.12 0.13 seals/km\2\) than the 0.61 seals reported by 
Frost and Lowry, the actual number of ringed seals is probably closer 
to slightly more than half of the 3,900 seals or about 2,000 seals. 
This estimate is calculated as follows: (1) 1,314 km\2\ x 0.13 x 1.22 x 
2.33 = 486 seals in area having water depths of 0-3 meter (60 percent) 
in activity area; (2) 876 km\2\ x 0.61 x 1.22 x 2.33 = 1,519 seals in 
area having water depths over 3 meters (40 percent) in activity area; 
and (3) combining the two numbers gives an estimate of 2,005 seals or 
approximately 2,000 for the entire activity area. Observed densities of 
ringed seals reported over 15 years ago in the region of the activity 
area from 1985 through 1987 (0.85, 1.09, and 1.11 seals per km2) were 
not used in this analysis, since an estimate was available within the 
last five years (Frost and Lowry, 1999).
    The bearded seal inhabits the Bering, Chukchi, and Beaufort seas 
(Burns and Frost, 1979). Numbers are considerably higher in the Bering 
and Chukchi seas, particularly during winter and early spring. Early 
estimates of bearded seals in the Bering and Chukchi seas range from 
250,000 to 300,000 (Popov, 1976; Burns, 1981). Reliable estimates of 
bearded seal abundance in Alaska waters are unavailable. Since there is 
no evidence of a decline in the population, the population is presumed 
to be healthy. Bearded seals are generally associated with pack ice and 
only rarely use shorefast ice (Burns and Harbo, 1972). Bearded seals 
occasionally have been observed maintaining breathing holes in annual 
ice and even hauling out from holes used by ringed seals (Mansfield, 
1967; Stirling and Smith, 1977). However, since bearded seals are 
normally found in broken ice that is unstable for on-ice seismic 
operation, bearded seals will be rarely encountered during seismic 
operations.
    There are no reliable estimates for bearded seals in the Beaufort 
Sea or in the activity area (Angliss et al., 2001), but recent surveys 
show that few bearded seals inhabit the activity area during December 
through May. An indication of their low numbers is provided by the 
results of aerial surveys conducted east of the activity area near the 
Northstar and Liberty development sites. Three to 18 bearded seals were 
observed in these areas compared to 1,911 to 2,251 ringed seals in the 
spring of 1999 through 2001 (Moulton et al., 2001; Moulton and Elliott 
2000; Moulton et al., 2000). Similarly small numbers of bearded seals 
would be expected to occur in the activity area, where habitat is even 
less favorable because of the high proportion of shallow water area.

Potential Effects on Marine Mammals

    NMFS and CPA anticipate that only small numbers of ringed seals 
and, if encountered, very small numbers of bearded seals will be 
affected. Any takes that occur would result from short-term 
disturbances by noise and physical activity associated with on-ice 
seismic operations. While operations have the potential to disturb and 
temporarily displace some seals, any impacts will likely be confined to 
small numbers of seals in the immediate vicinity of the activities.
    Burns and Kelly (1982) concluded that displacement of ringed seals 
in close proximity (within 150 m (492 ft)) to seismic lines does occur, 
and ringed seal pupping in shorefast ice habitats within this distance 
of an on-ice shot line in favorable ringed seal habitat are likely to 
be disturbed by vibroseis operations. However, considering (1) the 
limited area of seismic surveys, (2)
    the non-random distribution of ringed seals, (3) avoidance by 
seismic operator of optimal seal habitat (i.e., areas of extensive 
pressure ridging and snow accumulation) due to safety and operational 
constraints,(4) occurrence of most of the on-ice seismic surveys in 
shallow and near shore waters where ringed seal densities are low, (5) 
the relatively large size of the ringed seal population in the Beaufort 
Sea and throughout Alaska, and (6) the lack of evidence of on-ice 
seismic activity negatively affecting the reproductive viability or 
distribution of the ringed seal population, the disturbance is not 
likely to have any effect on the ringed or bearded seal populations as 
a whole.
    Aerial survey data collected from 1985 to 1987 and 1997 indicate 
that ringed seal densities in the fast ice of the region of the 
activity area as well as among different section of the Beaufort Sea 
are highly variable among years (Frost et al., 1999). The reported 
inter-annual variability in overall average density during these years 
in the region of the activity area was 0.61 to 1.11 seals per km\2\. 
Based on an estimated rate of temporary displacement determined by 
Burns (1981) of 0.6 ringed seals per nm\2\ (0.52 per mile) of area 
subjected to seismic activity, a maximum of 832 seals could be 
displaced from 1,600 mi (2,575 km) of seismic surveys assuming a 
uniform distribution. However, since the distribution is not uniform 
and most of the activity area is marginal habitat for ringed seals, 
considerably fewer seals would likely be temporarily displaced by the 
seismic operations. Furthermore, the proposed seismic operations will 
be concentrated in 143 mi\2\ (378 km\2\) or about 17 percent of the 846 
mi\2\ (2,190 km\2\) activity area. Consequently, a more accurate 
maximum limit of the potential take of ringed seals by the proposed 
seismic operations is 340 (17 percent x 2000)

[[Page 79568]]

seals, which would be considerably higher than any incidental take of 
seals in birthing lairs.
    Pup mortality could occur if any of these animals were nursing and 
displacement was protracted. However, due to mitigation measures 
undertaken by the industry and because it is highly unlikely that a 
nursing female would abandon her pup given the normal levels of 
disturbance from the proposed activities and the typical movement 
patterns of ringed seal pups among different holes as reported by 
Lydersen and Hammill (1993), pup mortality is unlikely. Similarly, 
Kelly and Quakenbush (1990) observed that radio-tagged seals used as 
many as four lairs spaced as far as 3,437 m (11,276 ft) apart, with 
mean distances for males equaling 1,997 m (6,552 ft) and for females 
634 m (2,080 ft). In addition, seals have multiple breathing holes. 
Pups may use more holes than adults (mean 8.7), but the holes are 
generally closer together (Lydersen and Hammill, 1993). Holes have been 
found as far apart as 0.9 km (0.56 mi). This pattern of use indicates 
that adult seals and pups can move away from seismic activities, 
particularly since the seismic equipment does not remain in any 
specific area for a prolonged time. Given the small proportion (<1 
percent) of the population potentially disturbed by the proposed 
activity, impacts are expected to be negligible for the overall ringed 
and also bearded seal populations.
    Masking effects on pinniped vocalizations and other natural sounds 
are expected to be limited. Although pulse repetition rates will be 
high during vibroseis surveys, the source levels of those pulses will 
be considerably lower than during open-water seismic surveys. This will 
considerably reduce the potential for masking.

Potential Effects on Subsistence

    Residents of the village of Nuiqsut are the primary subsistence 
users in the activity area. The subsistence harvest during winter and 
spring is primarily ringed seals, but during the open-water period both 
ringed and bearded seals are taken. Nuiqsut hunters may hunt year 
round; however, in more recent years most of the harvest has been in 
open water instead of the more difficult hunting of seals at holes and 
lairs (McLaren, 1958; Nelson, 1969). The most important area for 
Nuiqsut hunters is off the Colville River Delta, between Fish Creek and 
Pingok Island, which corresponds to approximately the eastern half to 
the activity area. Seal hunting occurs in this area by snow machine 
before spring break-up and by boat during summer. Subsistence patterns 
are reflected in harvest data collected in 1992 where Nuiqsut hunters 
harvested 22 of 24 ringed seals and all 16 bearded seals during the 
open water season from July to October (Fuller and George, 1997). Only 
a small number of ringed seals was harvested during the winter to early 
spring period, which corresponds to the time of the proposed on-ice 
seismic operations.
    Based on harvest patterns and other factors, on-ice seismic 
operations in the activity area are not expected to have an unmitigable 
adverse impact on subsistence uses of ringed and bearded seals because:
    (1) Operations would end before spring breakup, after which 
subsistence hunters harvest most of their seals.
    (2) Operations would temporarily displace relatively few seals, 
since most of the habitat in the activity area is marginal to poor and 
supports relatively low densities of seals during winter. Displaced 
seals would likely move a short distance and remain in the area for 
potential harvest by native hunters (Frost and Lowry, 1988; Kelly e3, 
1988).
    (3) The area where seismic operations would be conducted is small 
compared to the large Beaufort Sea subsistence hunting area associated 
with the extremely wide distribution of ringed seals.
    In order to ensure the least practicable adverse impact on the 
species and the subsistence use of ringed seals, all activities will be 
conducted as far as practicable from any observed ringed seal 
structure, and crews will be required to avoid hunters and the 
locations of any seals being hunted in the activity area, whenever 
possible. Finally, the applicant will consult with subsistence hunters 
of Nuiqsut and provide the community, the North Slope Borough, and the 
Inupiat Community of the North Slope with information about its planned 
activities (timing and extent) before initiating any on-ice seismic 
activities.

Mitigation

    Similar to work in previous years, NMFS expects the following 
mitigation will be undertaken by the applicant to ensure that any 
taking will be at the lowest level practicable. All activities will be 
required to be conducted in a manner that minimizes adverse effects on 
ringed and bearded seals and their habitat. Activities must be 
conducted as far as practicable from any observed ringed seals or 
ringed seal lair. For example, no energy source may be placed over an 
observed ringed seal lair and only vibrator-type energy-source 
equipment will be used. Seismic crews will receive training so that 
they can recognize potential ringed seal lairs and adjust their seismic 
operations. Furthermore, if seismic operations go beyond March 20, 2003 
in waters deeper than 3 m (9.8 ft), a survey using trained dogs will be 
completed to identify active seal holes/ birthing lairs or hole/lair 
habitats so they can be avoided by seismic operations to the greatest 
extent practicable. If trained dogs are not available, then potential 
habitat will be identified by trained marine mammal biologists based on 
the characteristics of the ice (i.e., deformation, cracks, etc.).

Monitoring and Reporting

    Ringed seal pupping occurs in lairs from late March to mid-to-late 
April (Smith and Hammill, 1981). Prior to commencing on-ice seismic 
surveys after March 20\th\ , a survey using experienced field personnel 
and trained dogs will be conducted to identify potential seal 
structures along the planned on-ice seismic transmission routes. The 
seal structure survey will be conducted before selection of precise 
transit routes to ensure that seals, particularly pups, are not injured 
by equipment. The locations of all seal structures will be recorded by 
Global Positioning System (GPS), staked, and flagged with surveyor's 
tape. Surveys will be conducted 150 m (492 ft) to each side of the 
transit routes. Actual width of route may vary depending on wind speed 
and direction, which strongly influence the efficiency and 
effectiveness of dogs locating seal structures. Survey will only be 
conducted in the portions of the activity area where water depths 
exceed 3 m (9.8 ft). Few, if any, seals inhabit ice-covered waters 
below 3 m (9.8 ft) due to water freezing to the bottom or poor prey 
availability caused by the limited amount of ice-free water.
    The level of take, while anticipated to be negligible, will be 
assessed by conducting a second seal structure survey immediately after 
the end of the seismic surveys. A single on-ice survey will be 
conducted by biologists on snowmachines using a GPS to relocate and 
determine the status of seal structures located during the initial 
survey. The status (active vs. inactive) of each structure will be 
determined to assess the level of incidental take by seismic 
operations. The number of active seal structures abandoned between the 
initial survey and the final survey will be the basis for enumerating 
take. If dogs are not available for the initial survey, take will be 
determined by using observed densities of seal on ice reported by 
Moulton et al. (2001) for the Northstar project, which is

[[Page 79569]]

approximately 20 nm (37 km) from the eastern edge of the proposed 
activity area.
    In the event that seismic surveys can be completed in that portion 
of the activity area deeper than 3 m (9.8 ft) before mid-March, no 
field surveys would be conducted of seal structures. Under this 
scenario, surveys would be completed before pups are born and 
disturbance would be negligible. Therefore, take estimates would be 
determined for only that portion of the activity area exposed to 
seismic surveys after March 20, which would be in water 3 m (9.8 ft) or 
less deep. Take for this area would be estimated by using the observed 
density (13/100 km2) reported by Moulton et al. (2001) for water depths 
between 0 to 3 m (0 to 9.8 ft) in the Northstar project area, which is 
the only source of a density estimate stratified by water depth for the 
Beaufort Sea. This would be an overestimation requiring a substantial 
downward adjustment to reflect the actual take of seals using lairs, 
since few if any of the structures in these water depths would be used 
for birthing, and Moulton et al. (2001) estimate includes all seals.
    This monitoring program was reviewed at the fall 2002 on-ice 
meeting sponsored by the National Marine Mammal Laboratory, NMFS in 
Seattle and found acceptable.
    An annual report must be submitted to NMFS within 90 days of 
completing the year's activities.

National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)

    As a result of the information provided in EAs prepared in 1993 and 
1998 for winter seismic activities, NOAA concluded that implementation 
of either the preferred alternative or other alternatives identified in 
the EA would not have a significant impact on the human environment. 
Therefore, an Environmental Impact Statement was not prepared. 
Accordingly, because the proposed action discussed in this document is 
not substantially different from the 1992 and 1998 actions, and because 
a reference search has indicated that no significant new scientific 
information or analyses have been developed in the past several years 
significant enough to warrant new NEPA documentation, this action is 
categorically excluded from further review under NOAA Administrative 
Order 216-6. A copy of the 1998 EA and FONSI is available upon request 
(see ADDRESSES).

Endangered Species Act (ESA)

    NMFS has determined that no species listed as threatened or 
endangered under the ESA will be affected by issuing an authorization 
under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA.

Preliminary Determinations

    The anticipated impact of winter seismic activities on the species 
or stock of ringed and bearded seals is expected to be negligible for 
the following reasons:
    (1) The activity area supports a small proportion (<1 percent) of 
the ringed seal populations in the Beaufort Sea;
    (2) Most of the winter-run seismic lines will be on ice over 
shallow water where ringed seals are absent or present in very low 
abundance. Over 60 percent of the activity area is near shore and/or in 
water less than 3 m (9.8 ft) deep, which is generally considered poor 
seal habitat. Moulton et al. (2001) reported that only 6 percent of 660 
ringed seals observed on ice in the Northstar project area were in 
water between 0 to 3 m (0 to 9.8 ft)deep.
    (3) Seismic operators will avoid moderate and large pressure 
ridges, where seal and pupping lairs are likely to be most numerous, 
for reasons of safety and because of normal operational constraints;
    (4) Many of the on-ice seismic lines and connecting ice roads will 
be laid out and explored during January and February when many ringed 
seals are still transient and considerably before the spring pupping 
season;
    (5) The sounds from energy produced by vibrators used during on-ice 
seismic programs typically are at frequencies well below those used by 
ringed seals to communicate (1000 Hz). Thus, ringed seal hearing is not 
likely to be very good at those frequencies and seismic sounds are not 
likely to have strong masking effects on ringed seal calls. This effect 
is further moderated by the quiet intervals between seismic energy 
transmissions.
    (6) There has been no major displacement of seals away from on-ice 
seismic operations (Frost and Lowry, 1988). Further confirmation of 
this lack of major response to industrial activity is illustrated by 
the fact that there has been no major displacement of seals near the 
Northstar Project. Studies at Northstar have shown a continued presence 
of ringed seals throughout winter and creation of new seal structures 
(Williams et al. 2001).
    (7) Although seals may abandon structures near seismic activity, 
studies have not demonstrated a cause and effect relationship between 
abandonment and seismic activity or biologically significant impact on 
ringed seals. Studies by Williams et al. (2001), Kelley et al. (1986, 
1988) and Kelly and Quakenbush (1990) have shown that abandonment of 
holes and lairs and establishment or re-occupancy of new ones is an 
ongoing natural occurrence, with or without human presence. Link et al. 
(1999) compared ringed seal densities between areas with and without 
vibroseis activity and found densities were highly variable within each 
area and inconsistent between areas (densities were lower for 5 days, 
equal for 1 day, and higher for 1 day in vibroseis area), suggesting 
other factors beyond the seismic activity likely influenced seal use 
patterns. Consequently, a wide variety of natural factors influence 
this patterns of seal use including time of day, weather, season, ice 
deformation, ice thickness, accumulation of snow, food availability and 
predators as well as ring seal behavior and populations dynamics.
    In winter, bearded seals are restricted to cracks, broken ice, and 
other openings in the ice. On-ice seismic operations avoid those areas 
for safety reasons. Therefore, any exposure of bearded seals to on-ice 
seismic operations would be limited to distant and transient exposure. 
Bearded seals exposed to a distant on-ice seismic operation might dive 
into the water. Consequently, no significant effects on individual 
bearded seals or their population are expected, and the number of 
individuals that might be temporarily disturbed would be very low.
    As a result, CPA believes the effects of on-ice seismic are 
expected to be limited to short-term and localized behavioral changes 
involving relatively small numbers of seals. As NMFS came to a similar 
finding in the EA prepared in 1998 for on-ice seismic activity in the 
Beaufort Sea, NMFS has preliminarily determined that these changes in 
behavior are expected to be negligible (NMFS, 1998). Therefore, the 
potential effects of the proposed on-ice seismic operations during 2003 
are unlikely to result in more than small numbers of seals being 
affected, have no more than a negligible impact on ringed and bearded 
seal stocks and not have an unmitigable adverse impact on subsistence 
uses of these two species.

Information Solicited

    NMFS requests interested persons to submit comments, and 
information, concerning this request (see ADDRESSES).


[[Page 79570]]


    Dated: December 19, 2002.
Laurie K. Allen,
Acting Deputy Director, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine 
Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 02-32846 Filed 12-27-02; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-S