[Economic Report of the President (2003)]
[Administration of George W. Bush]
[Online through the Government Printing Office, www.gpo.gov]


 
Table B-73.--Bond yields and interest rates, 1929-2002
[Percent per annum]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
U.S. Treasury securities              Corporate     High-
--------------------------------------------      bonds       grade                                       Discount
Bills  (new            Constant           (Moody's)     munici-     New-    Com-  mer- Prime  rate     rate,
issues)\1\           maturities\2\     ----------------    pal      home        cial      charged     Federal   Federal
Year and  month                           --------------------------------------------                  bonds     mort-    paper,  6       by        Reserve     funds
(Stand-     gage                 banks\6\    Bank  of   rate\7\
3-        6-       3-      10-     30-   Aaa\3\    Baa     ard &  yields\4\  months\5\                   New
month     month    year    year    year                   Poor's)                                       York\6\
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1929...............................................................  ........  ........  ......  ......  ......    4.73    5.90     4.27  .........       5.85    5.50-6.00        5.16  .......
1933...............................................................     0.515  ........  ......  ......  ......    4.49    7.76     4.71  .........       1.73    1.50-4.00        2.56  .......
1939...............................................................      .023  ........  ......  ......  ......    3.01    4.96     2.76  .........        .59         1.50        1.00  .......

1940...............................................................      .014  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.84    4.75     2.50  .........        .56         1.50        1.00  .......
1941...............................................................      .103  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.77    4.33     2.10  .........        .53         1.50        1.00  .......
1942...............................................................      .326  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.83    4.28     2.36  .........        .66         1.50     \8\1.00  .......
1943...............................................................      .373  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.73    3.91     2.06  .........        .69         1.50     \8\1.00  .......
1944...............................................................      .375  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.72    3.61     1.86  .........        .73         1.50     \8\1.00  .......

1945...............................................................      .375  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.62    3.29     1.67  .........        .75         1.50     \8\1.00  .......
1946...............................................................      .375  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.53    3.05     1.64  .........        .81         1.50     \8\1.00  .......
1947...............................................................      .594  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.61    3.24     2.01  .........       1.03    1.50-1.75        1.00  .......
1948...............................................................     1.040  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.82    3.47     2.40  .........       1.44    1.75-2.00        1.34  .......
1949...............................................................     1.102  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.66    3.42     2.21  .........       1.49         2.00        1.50  .......

1950...............................................................     1.218  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.62    3.24     1.98  .........       1.45         2.07        1.59  .......
1951...............................................................     1.552  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.86    3.41     2.00  .........       2.16         2.56        1.75  .......
1952...............................................................     1.766  ........  ......  ......  ......    2.96    3.52     2.19  .........       2.33         3.00        1.75  .......
1953...............................................................     1.931  ........    2.47    2.85  ......    3.20    3.74     2.72  .........       2.52         3.17        1.99  .......
1954...............................................................      .953  ........    1.63    2.40  ......    2.90    3.51     2.37  .........       1.58         3.05        1.60  .......

1955...............................................................     1.753  ........    2.47    2.82  ......    3.06    3.53     2.53  .........       2.18         3.16        1.89     1.78
1956...............................................................     2.658  ........    3.19    3.18  ......    3.36    3.88     2.93  .........       3.31         3.77        2.77     2.73
1957...............................................................     3.267  ........    3.98    3.65  ......    3.89    4.71     3.60  .........       3.81         4.20        3.12     3.11
1958...............................................................     1.839  ........    2.84    3.32  ......    3.79    4.73     3.56  .........       2.46         3.83        2.15     1.57
1959...............................................................     3.405     3.832    4.46    4.33  ......    4.38    5.05     3.95  .........       3.97         4.48        3.36     3.30

1960...............................................................     2.928     3.247    3.98    4.12  ......    4.41    5.19     3.73  .........       3.85         4.82        3.53     3.22
1961...............................................................     2.378     2.605    3.54    3.88  ......    4.35    5.08     3.46  .........       2.97         4.50        3.00     1.96
1962...............................................................     2.778     2.908    3.47    3.95  ......    4.33    5.02     3.18  .........       3.26         4.50        3.00     2.68
1963...............................................................     3.157     3.253    3.67    4.00  ......    4.26    4.86     3.23      5.89        3.55         4.50        3.23     3.18
1964...............................................................     3.549     3.686    4.03    4.19  ......    4.40    4.83     3.22      5.83        3.97         4.50        3.55     3.50

1965...............................................................     3.954     4.055    4.22    4.28  ......    4.49    4.87     3.27      5.81        4.38         4.54        4.04     4.07
1966...............................................................     4.881     5.082    5.23    4.92  ......    5.13    5.67     3.82      6.25        5.55         5.63        4.50     5.11
1967...............................................................     4.321     4.630    5.03    5.07  ......    5.51    6.23     3.98      6.46        5.10         5.61        4.19     4.22
1968...............................................................     5.339     5.470    5.68    5.65  ......    6.18    6.94     4.51      6.97        5.90         6.30        5.16     5.66
1969...............................................................     6.677     6.853    7.02    6.67  ......    7.03    7.81     5.81      7.81        7.83         7.96        5.87     8.20

1970...............................................................     6.458     6.562    7.29    7.35  ......    8.04    9.11     6.51      8.45        7.71         7.91        5.95     7.18
1971...............................................................     4.348     4.511    5.65    6.16  ......    7.39    8.56     5.70      7.74        5.11         5.72        4.88     4.66
1972...............................................................     4.071     4.466    5.72    6.21  ......    7.21    8.16     5.27      7.60        4.73         5.25        4.50     4.43
1973...............................................................     7.041     7.178    6.95    6.84  ......    7.44    8.24     5.18      7.96        8.15         8.03        6.44     8.73
1974...............................................................     7.886     7.926    7.82    7.56  ......    8.57    9.50     6.09      8.92        9.84        10.81        7.83    10.50

1975...............................................................     5.838     6.122    7.49    7.99  ......    8.83   10.61     6.89      9.00        6.32         7.86        6.25     5.82
1976...............................................................     4.989     5.266    6.77    7.61  ......    8.43    9.75     6.49      9.00        5.34         6.84        5.50     5.04
1977...............................................................     5.265     5.510    6.69    7.42    7.75    8.02    8.97     5.56      9.02        5.61         6.83        5.46     5.54
1978...............................................................     7.221     7.572    8.29    8.41    8.49    8.73    9.49     5.90      9.56        7.99         9.06        7.46     7.93
1979...............................................................    10.041    10.017    9.71    9.44    9.28    9.63   10.69     6.39     10.78       10.91        12.67       10.28    11.19

1980...............................................................    11.506    11.374   11.55   11.46   11.27   11.94   13.67     8.51     12.66       12.29        15.27       11.77    13.36
1981...............................................................    14.029    13.776   14.44   13.91   13.45   14.17   16.04    11.23     14.70       14.76        18.87       13.42    16.38
1982...............................................................    10.686    11.084   12.92   13.00   12.76   13.79   16.11    11.57     15.14       11.89        14.86       11.02    12.26
1983...............................................................     8.63      8.75    10.45   11.10   11.18   12.04   13.55     9.47     12.57        8.89        10.79        8.50     9.09
1984...............................................................     9.58      9.80    11.89   12.44   12.41   12.71   14.19    10.15     12.38       10.16        12.04        8.80    10.23

1985...............................................................     7.48      7.66     9.64   10.62   10.79   11.37   12.72     9.18     11.55        8.01         9.93        7.69     8.10
1986...............................................................     5.98      6.03     7.06    7.68    7.78    9.02   10.39     7.38     10.17        6.39         8.33        6.33     6.81
1987...............................................................     5.82      6.05     7.68    8.39    8.59    9.38   10.58     7.73      9.31        6.85         8.21        5.66     6.66
1988...............................................................     6.69      6.92     8.26    8.85    8.96    9.71   10.83     7.76      9.19        7.68         9.32        6.20     7.57
1989...............................................................     8.12      8.04     8.55    8.49    8.45    9.26   10.18     7.24     10.13        8.80        10.87        6.93     9.21

1990...............................................................     7.51      7.47     8.26    8.55    8.61    9.32   10.36     7.25     10.05        7.95        10.01        6.98     8.10
1991...............................................................     5.42      5.49     6.82    7.86    8.14    8.77    9.80     6.89      9.32        5.85         8.46        5.45     5.69
1992...............................................................     3.45      3.57     5.30    7.01    7.67    8.14    8.98     6.41      8.24        3.80         6.25        3.25     3.52
1993...............................................................     3.02      3.14     4.44    5.87    6.59    7.22    7.93     5.63      7.20        3.30         6.00        3.00     3.02
1994...............................................................     4.29      4.66     6.27    7.09    7.37    7.96    8.62     6.19      7.49        4.93         7.15        3.60     4.21

1995...............................................................     5.51      5.59     6.25    6.57    6.88    7.59    8.20     5.95      7.87        5.93         8.83        5.21     5.83
1996...............................................................     5.02      5.09     5.99    6.44    6.71    7.37    8.05     5.75      7.80        5.42         8.27        5.02     5.30
1997...............................................................     5.07      5.18     6.10    6.35    6.61    7.26    7.86     5.55      7.71        5.62         8.44        5.00     5.46
1998...............................................................     4.81      4.85     5.14    5.26    5.58    6.53    7.22     5.12      7.07   .........         8.35        4.92     5.35
1999...............................................................     4.66      4.76     5.49    5.65    5.87    7.04    7.87     5.43      7.04   .........         8.00        4.62     4.97

2000...............................................................     5.85      5.92     6.22    6.03    5.94    7.62    8.36     5.77      7.52   .........         9.23        5.73     6.24
2001...............................................................     3.45      3.39     4.09    5.02    5.49    7.08    7.95     5.19      7.00   .........         6.91        3.40     3.88
2002...............................................................     1.62      1.69     3.10    4.61  ......    6.49    7.80     5.05      6.43   .........         4.67        1.17     1.67
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Rate on new issues within period; bank-discount basis.
\2\ Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Department of the Treasury. In February 2002, the Department of the Treasury discontinued publication of
the 30-year series.
\3\ Beginning December 7, 2001, data for corporate Aaa series are industrial bonds only.
\4\ Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assuming, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Rates
beginning January 1973 not strictly comparable with prior rates.

See next page for continuation of table.


Table B-73.--Bond yields and interest rates, 1929-2002--Continued
[Percent per annum]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
U.S. Treasury securities              Corporate     High-
--------------------------------------------      bonds       grade                                       Discount
Bills  (new            Constant           (Moody's)     munici-     New-    Com-  mer- Prime  rate     rate,
issues)\1\           maturities\2\     ----------------    pal      home        cial      charged     Federal   Federal
Year and  month                           --------------------------------------------                  bonds     mort-    paper,  6       by        Reserve     funds
(Stand-     gage                 banks\6\    Bank  of   rate\7\
3-        6-       3-      10-     30-   Aaa\3\    Baa     ard &  yields\4\  months\5\                   New
month     month    year    year    year                   Poor's)                                       York\6\
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

High-low    High-low
--------------------------

1998:
Jan..............................................................     5.09      5.07     5.38    5.54    5.81    6.61    7.19     5.07      7.27   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.56
Feb..............................................................     5.11      5.07     5.43    5.57    5.89    6.67    7.25     5.16      7.24   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.51
Mar..............................................................     5.03      5.04     5.57    5.65    5.95    6.71    7.32     5.30      7.17   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.49
Apr..............................................................     5.00      5.08     5.58    5.64    5.92    6.69    7.33     5.33      7.19   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.45
May..............................................................     5.03      5.15     5.61    5.65    5.93    6.69    7.30     5.21      7.18   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.49
June.............................................................     4.99      5.12     5.52    5.50    5.70    6.53    7.13     5.13      7.16   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.56
July.............................................................     4.96      5.03     5.47    5.46    5.68    6.55    7.15     5.18      7.13   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.54
Aug..............................................................     4.94      4.97     5.24    5.34    5.54    6.52    7.14     5.13      7.09   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.55
Sept.............................................................     4.74      4.75     4.62    4.81    5.20    6.40    7.09     4.98      6.98   .........    8.50-8.25   5.00-5.00     5.51
Oct..............................................................     4.08      4.15     4.18    4.53    5.01    6.37    7.18     4.90      6.85   .........    8.25-8.00   5.00-4.75     5.07
Nov..............................................................     4.44      4.43     4.57    4.83    5.25    6.41    7.34     5.06      6.80   .........    8.00-7.75   4.75-4.50     4.83
Dec..............................................................     4.42      4.43     4.48    4.65    5.06    6.22    7.23     5.00      6.94   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.68

1999:
Jan..............................................................     4.34      4.36     4.61    4.72    5.16    6.24    7.29     5.04      6.96   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.63
Feb..............................................................     4.45      4.43     4.90    5.00    5.37    6.40    7.39     5.03      6.92   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.76
Mar..............................................................     4.48      4.52     5.11    5.23    5.58    6.62    7.53     5.10      6.86   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.81
Apr..............................................................     4.28      4.36     5.03    5.18    5.55    6.64    7.48     5.07      6.85   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.74
May..............................................................     4.51      4.55     5.33    5.54    5.81    6.93    7.72     5.17      6.89   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.74
June.............................................................     4.59      4.81     5.70    5.90    6.04    7.23    8.02     5.34      7.03   .........    7.75-7.75   4.50-4.50     4.76
July.............................................................     4.60      4.62     5.62    5.79    5.98    7.19    7.95     5.36      7.29   .........    8.00-8.00   4.50-4.50     4.99
Aug..............................................................     4.76      4.88     5.77    5.94    6.07    7.40    8.15     5.59      7.09   .........    8.25-8.00   4.75-4.50     5.07
Sept.............................................................     4.73      4.91     5.75    5.92    6.07    7.39    8.20     5.70      7.09   .........    8.25-8.25   4.75-4.75     5.22
Oct..............................................................     4.88      4.98     5.94    6.11    6.26    7.55    8.38     5.92      7.17   .........    8.25-8.25   4.75-4.75     5.20
Nov..............................................................     5.07      5.17     5.92    6.03    6.15    7.36    8.15     5.85      7.24   .........    8.50-8.25   5.00-4.75     5.42
Dec..............................................................     5.23      5.43     6.14    6.28    6.35    7.55    8.19     5.93      7.28   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.30

2000:
Jan..............................................................     5.34      5.52     6.49    6.66    6.63    7.78    8.33     6.10      7.45   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.45
Feb..............................................................     5.57      5.75     6.65    6.52    6.23    7.68    8.29     6.06      7.54   .........    8.75-8.50   5.25-5.00     5.73
Mar..............................................................     5.72      5.85     6.53    6.26    6.05    7.68    8.37     5.89      7.60   .........    9.00-8.75   5.50-5.25     5.85
Apr..............................................................     5.67      5.82     6.36    5.99    5.85    7.64    8.40     5.76      7.63   .........    9.00-9.00   5.50-5.50     6.02
May..............................................................     5.92      6.12     6.77    6.44    6.15    7.99    8.90     6.04      7.55   .........    9.50-9.00   6.00-5.50     6.27
June.............................................................     5.74      6.02     6.43    6.10    5.93    7.67    8.48     5.84      7.50   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.53
July.............................................................     5.93      5.99     6.28    6.05    5.85    7.65    8.35     5.72      7.51   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.54
Aug..............................................................     6.11      6.09     6.17    5.83    5.72    7.55    8.26     5.63      7.54   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.50
Sept.............................................................     6.00      5.98     6.02    5.80    5.83    7.62    8.35     5.64      7.52   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.52
Oct..............................................................     6.10      6.04     5.85    5.74    5.80    7.55    8.34     5.65      7.53   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.51
Nov..............................................................     6.19      6.07     5.79    5.72    5.78    7.45    8.28     5.60      7.47   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.51
Dec..............................................................     5.83      5.70     5.26    5.24    5.49    7.21    8.02     5.30      7.40   .........    9.50-9.50   6.00-6.00     6.40

2001:
Jan..............................................................     5.27      5.04     4.77    5.16    5.54    7.15    7.93     5.15      7.20   .........    9.50-9.00   6.00-5.00     5.98
Feb..............................................................     4.93      4.78     4.71    5.10    5.45    7.10    7.87     5.21      7.10   .........    8.50-8.50   5.00-5.00     5.49
Mar..............................................................     4.50      4.36     4.43    4.89    5.34    6.98    7.84     5.19      7.04   .........    8.50-8.00   5.00-4.50     5.31
Apr..............................................................     3.92      3.89     4.42    5.14    5.65    7.20    8.07     5.33      7.07   .........    8.00-7.50   4.50-4.00     4.80
May..............................................................     3.67      3.66     4.51    5.39    5.78    7.29    8.07     5.35      7.12   .........    7.50-7.00   4.00-3.50     4.21
June.............................................................     3.48      3.44     4.35    5.28    5.67    7.18    7.97     5.24      7.12   .........    7.00-6.75   3.50-3.25     3.97
July.............................................................     3.54      3.48     4.31    5.24    5.61    7.13    7.97     5.22      7.11   .........    6.75-6.75   3.25-3.25     3.77
Aug..............................................................     3.39      3.31     4.04    4.97    5.48    7.02    7.85     5.06      7.15   .........    6.75-6.50   3.25-3.00     3.65
Sept.............................................................     2.87      2.84     3.45    4.73    5.48    7.17    8.03     5.09      6.89   .........    6.50-6.00   3.00-2.50     3.07
Oct..............................................................     2.22      2.19     3.14    4.57    5.32    7.03    7.91     5.07      6.73   .........    6.00-5.50   2.50-2.00     2.49
Nov..............................................................     1.93      1.94     3.22    4.65    5.12    6.97    7.81     5.06      6.63   .........    5.50-5.00   2.00-1.50     2.09
Dec..............................................................     1.72      1.81     3.62    5.09    5.48    6.76    8.05     5.28      6.79   .........    5.00-4.75   1.50-1.25     1.82

2002:
Jan..............................................................     1.66      1.74     3.56    5.04    5.45    6.55    7.87     5.19      6.87   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.73
Feb..............................................................     1.73      1.83     3.55    4.91  ......    6.51    7.89     5.14      6.82   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.74
Mar..............................................................     1.81      2.02     4.14    5.28  ......    6.81    8.11     5.27      6.76   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.73
Apr..............................................................     1.72      1.97     4.01    5.21  ......    6.76    8.03     5.27      6.74   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.75
May..............................................................     1.74      1.88     3.80    5.16  ......    6.75    8.09     5.22      6.59   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.75
June.............................................................     1.71      1.83     3.49    4.93  ......    6.63    7.95     5.11      6.47   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.75
July.............................................................     1.68      1.71     3.01    4.65  ......    6.53    7.90     5.01      6.37   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.73
Aug..............................................................     1.63      1.62     2.52    4.26  ......    6.37    7.58     4.92      6.26   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.74
Sept.............................................................     1.63      1.61     2.32    3.87  ......    6.15    7.40     4.73      6.17   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.75
Oct..............................................................     1.60      1.57     2.25    3.94  ......    6.32    7.73     4.85      6.09   .........    4.75-4.75   1.25-1.25     1.75
Nov..............................................................     1.26      1.29     2.32    4.05  ......    6.31    7.62     4.98      6.08   .........    4.75-4.25   1.25-0.75     1.34
Dec..............................................................     1.20      1.26     2.23    4.03  ......    6.21    7.45     4.91      6.04   .........    4.25-4.25   0.75-0.75     1.24
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\5\ Bank-discount basis; prior to November 1979, data are for 4-6 months paper. Series no longer published.
\6\ For monthly data, high and low for the period. Prime rate for 1929-33 and 1947-48 are ranges of the rate in effect during the period.
\7\ Since July 19, 1975, the daily effective rate is an average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. Prior to that date, the daily effective rate
was the rate considered most representative of the day's transactions, usually the one at which most transactions occurred.
\8\ From October 30, 1942, to April 24, 1946, a preferential rate of 0.50 percent was in effect for advances secured by Government securities maturing in 1 year or less.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Finance Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's.