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(ni -2,33 3. 3 6:1 IWLAND HURRICANE SHELTER STUDY TECHNICAL DATA REPORT UPDATE DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Okeechobee and Polk Counties Prepared by the Central Florida Regional Planning Council for the Florida Department of Community Affairs October 1989 Funds for this project were provided by the Department of Environmental Regulation, Coastal Zone Management Section, using funds provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under the. Coastal Zone Management Act of 1972, as amended. 1989 CENTRAL FLORIDA REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL DESOTO COUNTY County Commissioner Kermit "Eddie" Roan Governor's Appointee Ernest E. Cross Arcadia City Council Member George Walker Development Director James Lee HARDEE COUNTY county Commissioner Benny Albritton Wauchula City Council Member Jerry Conery Governor's Appointee John Roy Gough Planning and Zoning Director Ron Stowers Office Manager Vida Tomlinson HIGHLANDS COUNTY County Commissioner Claude Howerton Governor's Appointee Madison Mosley Sebring City Council Member George Hensley, Jr. Planning Director William Stephenson OKEECHOBEE COUNTY County Commissioner Jack Williamson Governor's Appointee Lucille Head Okeechobee City Council Member Nick Collin POLK COUNTY County Commissioner Ernie Caldwell Lakeland City Commissioner Anne Furr Haines City City Council Member Owen Flowers Governor's Appointee John Fazzini Governor's Appointee Clayton Lyons Winter Haven City Council Member Ann Darby Director of Development Coordination Merle Bishop Council Attorney Ralph Artigliere Qj %)F- INLAND HURRICANE SHELTER STUDY TECHNICAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE CENTRAL FLORIDA REGION Mr. Carl Aleck Ms. Wynell Arnold Polk County Okeechobee County Civil Defense Civil Defense Mr. Ronald Luke Mr. Bruce Savage Hardee County Highlands County Disaster Preparedness Civil Defense Mr. Richard Wittmer Dr.Ron Patterson,Pastor DeSoto County Public Safety Lynchburg Baptist Church Mr. Don Woods Mr. Jerry Porter Polk County School Board DeSoto County School Board Mr. John Maddox Mr. John Kinsaul Hardee County School Board Okeechobee County School Board Mr. Tim Eures Highlands County School Board OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE OF WORK The purpose of the Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update is to provide information to emergency management, law enforcement, local officials and other related agencies that will be involved in the evacuation and sheltering of the population in the event of a hurricane. This information is based on the best available data and the analyses of past studies to provide the most accurate guidelines for disaster preparedness teams. A hurricane does not effect only one county. The problems of evacuation and sheltering are regional in scope. The Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update in not intended to serve as the operations plan for each unit of local government. The implementation of any emergency plan is a local function. The actual deployment and assignment of manpower and equipment is the task of the local emergency management team. TABLE OF CONTENTS Inland Hurricane Shelter Technical Advisory Committee Objective and Scope of Work . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . Table of Contents . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . iv List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . v List of Figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vi List of Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . vii List of Appendices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . viii Executive summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . I Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 About the Region . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Hazard/Vulnerability Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 Roadway Inundation Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Mechanism for Inter-County or Regional Evacuation . . . . . . 30 Behavioral Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Evacuation Zones and Scenarios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Intra- and Inter-County Evacuation Routes . . . . . . . . . . 40 Shelter Feasibility Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 Shelter Assignments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 Shelter Checkpoint/Reception Centers . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 Inventory of Inland Public Shelters . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50 Determination of Additional Shelter Space . . . . . . . . . . 60 iv LIST OF TABLES TABLE 1 - Bureau of Economic and Business Research Population Estimates . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 TABLE 2 - "At-Risk" Population . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 TABLE 3 - Historical Flooding of Roads . . . . . . . . . 26 TABLE 4 - Interregional Evacuation Routes . . . . . . . . 42 TABLE 5 - Regional Scenarios "Worst Case" . . . . . . . 58 v LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 1 - Area of Hurricane Formation ....................2 FIGURE 2 - Depiction of Hurricane Formation ..............4 FIGURE 3 - Path of Hurricane Donna, 1960 ..................6 FIGURE 4 - Major U.S. Hurricanes, 1901-1970 ...............7 FIGURE 5 - Florida Hurricanes, 1885-1984 ................. 11 vi LIST OF MAPS MAP 1 - DESOTO COUNTY - FLOOD PRONE AREAS ................ 20 MAP 2 - HARDEE COUNTY - FLOOD PRONE AREAS ................ 21 MAP 3 - HIGHLANDS COUNTY FLOOD PRONE AREAS ............. 22 MAP 4 - OKEECHOBEE COUNTY FLOOD PRONE AREAS ............ 23 MAP 5 - LAKELAND/POLK COUNTY - FLOOD PRONE AREAS ......... 24 MAP 6 - EVACUATION ROUTES - DESOTO, HARDEE, HIGHLANDS, OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES ................... 28 MAP 7 - EVACUATION ROUTES POLK COUNTY .................. 29 MAP 8 - EVACUATION ZONES HIGHLANDS COUNTY ............... 38 MAP 9 - EVACUATION ZONES POLK COUNTY ................... 39 MAP 10 - INTER-REGIONAL EVACUATION ROUTES ................ 44 MAP 11 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - ARCADIA ..................... 51 MAP 12 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - BARTOW ...................... 52 MAP 13 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - FT. MEADE ................... 53 MAP 14 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - HAINES CITY ................. 54 MAP 15 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - LAKE WALES .................. 55 MAP 16 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - LAKELAND .................... 56 MAP 17 - SHELTER LOCATIONS - WINTER HAVEN ................ 57 vii LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix A ......... Estimated Travel Conditions on State Highways Appendix B ................................... Behavioral Analysis Appendix C ...................................... Evacuation Zones Appendix D .... Potential Vehicle Numbers for Hurricane Evacuation Appendix E .... Inventory Criteria of Facilitiesfor Use as Public Shelters Appendix F ........................ List of Inland Public Shelters Appendix G ............ List of Hotels/Motels on Evacuation Routes viii I I I I I I EXECUTIVE SUMMARY I I I I I I I I I I I I I CENTRAL FLORIDA REGION INLAND HURRICANE SHELTER STUDY UPDATE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of updating the Central Florida Inland Hurricane Shelter Study was to factor current population, public shelter, transportation and behavioral information into an assessment of the potential effects of Category 3, 4, or 5 hurricanes on the five-county Central Florida region (DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Okeechobee and Polk Counties). The landfall of a major hurricane in Florida will affect a multi- county area. The devastation brought on by high winds, flooding and tornadoes will know no county boundaries. The evacuation and sheltering of hurricane victims therefore, is regional in scope. The preparation and execution of evacuation procedures -for weather emergencies requires the cooperation of local governments and other agencies from many counties. Law enforcement, Civil Defense, American Red Cross, fire departments, Emergency Medical Services, transportation services, utilities, local government officials and other entities are responsible for fast, safe and effective relocation and sheltering of evacuees from their jurisdictions and coastal counties. The overall objective of this Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update is to present the best available evacuation and shelter information to organizations that will be involved in emergency management. The study is meant to augment these agencies' plans to relocate and shelter the population vulnerable to hurricanes which can be expected to parallel or make landfall on Florida's southern or central coasts. Florida's inland counties are designated as host counties for sheltering a portion of the coastal evacuees in the event of a hurricane. The authors of evacuation plans for coastal regions have assumed that a percentage of coastal evacuees will seek shelter in inland regions. Coastal evacuees may assume that traveling to inland areas will be safe and that shelter space will be sufficient. However, the Central Florida region will have a deficit of public shelter spaces in many scenarios. Its roadways will be highly stressed to handle the excessive amounts of traffic associated with a major evacuation. Several of the designated evacuation routes in central Florida are subject to flooding. Emergency management officials must be aware of these critical circumstances and plan accordingly. I The Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update is not intended to be a detailed operations plan for any particular unit of government. The development and implementation of any emergency plan is a function of organizations which have emergency management authority. The actual deployment.and assignment of manpower and equipment is thetask of designated national, state and local emergency management agencies. The Central Florida Regional Planning Council, under contract with the Florida Department of Community Affairs, addressed specific issues in this separate update. Eleven contracted work tasks were addressed as separate sections in the study update: Hazard/Vulnerability Analysis Roadway Inundation Analysis Mechanism for Inter-County or Regional Evacuation Behavioral Data Intra- and Inter-County Evacuation Routes Evacuation Zones and Scenarios Shelter Feasibility Analysis Shelter Assignments Shelter Checkpoint/Reception Centers Inventory of Inland Public Shelters Determination of Additional Shelter Space 1) The most hazardous aspect of a hurricane is the storm surge. Storm surge is a large volume of water moving ahead of the storm near the area where the eye of the storm makes landfall. Inland counties, including the five counties of the Central Florida region, would not be directly affected by storm surge. The threat of storm surge in coastal areas, however, will be a prime reason for the issuance of coastal evacuation orders. Inland counties could be severely threatened by the high winds, spin-off tornadoes and large amounts of rainfall associated with hurricanes. The Central Florida region has a sustantial number of mobile homes. There are approximately 65,329 mobile home units in the five county area. Mobile home occupants will be required to evacuate when winds are expected to reach a minimum of 74 mph. This notable "at-risk" population, coupled with the significant number of people living in flood-prone areas and the potential number of coastal evacuees seeking shelter inland will greatly tax emergency management agencies and resources. Methodology for calculating the at-risk population of the inland counties included analyses of Flood Insurance Rate Maps, current population estimates for each county, and historical data from local Civil Defense offices and Post Offices for areas in each county that have been known to flood. Mobile home numbers were acquired through actual counts conducted by the Central Florida Regional Planning Council and the Polk County Planning Department, and information gathered through the Florida Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles, Licensing Bureau. Occupancy rates of mobile homes during the hurricane season varies throughout the region. This fact was taken into consideration in estimating the number of mobile occupants that would be seeking shelter in the event of a hurricane threat. Behavioral data was also considered. The following occupancy rates for mobile homes during the hurricane season were assumed to be as follows: DeSoto County 100%, occupancy Hardee County 100% occupancy. Highlands County 50% occupancy Okeechobee County 100% occupancy Polk County occupancy 2) There are several points of potential flooding along the evacuationroutes throughout the five county region. Because of the lack of alternate routes in some locations, there is a potential for traff-ic problems. Improvements to alleviate flooding have hot taken place in those areas since the previous Regional Hurricane Shelter Plan was completed in 1983. In September 1988, during heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane Gilbert, a segment of Interstate 4 flooded. The east bound lanes were impassable for two to three days, with only one lane opened after four days. This is the primary evacuation route for Hillsborough and Pinellas Counties. If this situation were to repeat itself, the relocation of evacuees from these coastal counties would be greatly hindered. 3) The implementation of each county emergency evacuation plan and the execution of evacuation procedures for the Central Florida Region will take a consummate effort of all emergency management agencies and organizations. The responsibility of relocation and sheltering evacuees is shared by many entities: Civil Defense American Red Cross Local law enforcement III Fire Protection Emergency Medical Response team County Transportation systems Elected officials School Board In addition, several non-profit organizations, many of them church affiliated, have extensive disaster experience and are available to assist government and the American Red Cross. @ach entity has emergency plans adopted by that agency which incorporate actions by the other entities. All emergency plans are dedicated to the safe and expedient evacuation, relocation and sheltering of the population. 4) A behavioral survey was conducted by Carnot E. Nelson and Michael Kleiman of the University of South Florida for the original Regional Hurricane Shelter Plan prepared in 1983. For the purposes of this update, those survey results are still considered valid. While the population of this region has increased considerably since that time, it was the consensus of the advisory committee for the study that the behavior of residents would not have appreciably changed. -At the time of this study, it was found that an average of 43% of the people surveyed in Central Florida would seek safety in a public shelter. Approximately 8% (avg.) would go to a motel or hotel. 5) Traffic moving into and through the region will be an immediate problem. Roadways will be stressed to handle the potential numbers of vehicles generated by the evacuees. Potentially heavy rains and hazardous driving conditions exacerbated by the evacuation circumstances will make traffic flow a major concern for law enforcement. Intra- and inter-county evacuations that were established for the 1983 Study have been utilized for the Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update. 6) Evacuation zones assigned for the 1983 Regional Hurricane Shelter Plan are included in the Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update. 7) Building surveys were conducted in Polk County by the Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Emergency Management. As of July 1989, the majority of buildings surveyed were schools which the American Red Cross had designated as primary public shelters. IV Some churches, and other possible alternate public shelters, have also been included. The survey evaluated the buildings for structural soundness relative to wind loading. The suitability of shelters in Polk County has been re-evaluated utilizing this analysis. In future years, possible shelter sites in the remaining counties may be surveyed. 8) Local emergency management plans generally call for evacuation orders to be issued at least 72 hours prior to expected landfall of a hurricane. Under these circumstances, evacuees from coastal counties may seek shelter at an earlier time than would evacuees from inland counties. Shelters will fill up along evacuation routes as evacuees enter the region. As the need for evacuation develops for vulnerable inland residents, shelter space will become less available. Shelters are assigned on an "as-needed" basis and facilities will be utilized by evacuees as they arrive, whether they are inland or coastal evacuees.. Those unable to find shelter space within the Central Florida region will then have to travel out of this region to seek shelter in counties further from their homes. 9) Shelter checkpoints and reception center sites are structured around evacuation zones to facilitate evacuation to the closest available shelter in the most expedient and safe manner. Those checkpoint/reception center sites designated in the 1983 Regional Hurricane Shelter Plan were utilized in the Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update. 10) Coastal evacuees will tend to seek shelter in hotels or motels, or with friends or relatives before they will seek public shelter. There are approximately 72 hotels and/or motels along evacuation routes through the Central Florida region. The typical hotel/motel occupancy rate in this region is 50t during the hurricane season. Availability of hotel/motel rooms would help to alleviate shelter space problems. However, there would still be a deficit in some scenarios. With the potential influx of coastal evacuees, the inland counties cannot shelter everyone. Coastal county officials and residents have assumed that inland regions can accommodate coastal evacuees in the event of a hurricane. This situation must be re-evaluated. The list of shelters presented in this section will be updated and a more accurate account of shelter spaces will be made available upon completion of building surveys. V The disaster recovery phase and sheltering of post-storm victims was not addressed in this study. Post-storm devastation of the coastal counties and also some inland areas could leave thousands without homes. After the severe weather conditions have dissipated, those facilities available for sheltering these persons could include churches and undamaged public buildings that may not have been considered safe prior to the onset of the disaster. The question of sheltering the "special needs" population is currently being addressed by Red Cross staff, Civil Defense, and others on the Polk County Disaster coordinating Committee (PCDCC). The size of this population is significant, but has not been quantified. Civil Defense, Red Cross and PCDCC are jointly conducting a campaign that will identify and locate that segment of this population with medical needs (identified here as "special needs") which would make the process of sheltering difficult. A mail-out questionnaire has been distributed to approximately 50,000 residents in Polk County and Civil Defense has received 250 responses. Pertinent information will be stored on computer.at the Civil Defense office and will be utilized when relocation of these residents is required. If they need to be evacuated, people with special needs will be sheltered in designated special needs shelters, hospitals, or nursing homes. 11) American Red Cross chapters and the counties are considering other buildings as alternate shelter facilities, such as lodges, churches, civic centers, and shopping malls. Alternate shelters are those that the Red Cross would be utilize if the primary shelters (schools) were either at capacity or otherwise not available. Their feasibility as shelters will be analyzed along with the new data for schools. While some of these facilities may not be able to withstand the high winds during a storm event, they could be used*for sheltering post-storm victims. The Central Florida region will face a number of difficulties in managing a hurricane related disaster. An inadequate number of public shelter spaces, the potentially large number of coastal evacuees seeking shelter inland, coastal evacuees arriving in Central Florida from both the southern and central coasts (depending on the track of the storm), the relatively large number of vulnerable Central Florida residents, high clearance times relative to the onset of sustained gale-force winds, and inadequate carrying capacity of local evacuation routes relative to the potential demand require careful planning and analysis to safely shelter and protect the population during a hurricane disaster. VI INTRODUCTION THE HURRICANE - NATURE'S DEADLIEST FORCE The hurricane has been termed nature's deadliest force. The winds associated with hurricanes do not necessarily compete with a tornado's capability of 300+ mph wind speeds, but the hurricane can pack a sustained wind speed of 155+. Sustained winds have been recorded in excess of 200 mph in several storms. Hurricanes travel for a great many miles from their point of origin. This is usually in the Caribbean or along the coast of Africa (Figure 1). Hurricanes sometimes move in an erratic course and have been known to make landfall in more than one location. The length of the hurricane's effect can last for weeks, from pre-landfall winds and rain with accompanying flooding, to the aftermath at its area of landfall and the storm's track across land and water bodies. The technology of today's weather services is impressive. Weather forecasting has become a much more precise science than it was a few short years ago. Doppler Radar, the GOES satellite, reconnaissance aircraft, and many computer models are available and able to provide the weather service network with the most accurate information possible. However, 100 percent accuracy in forecasting the hurricane's path and/or landfall location is still an educated guess. Some aspects of forecasting are not predictable, such as where rainfall will occur and the intensity of that rainfall. Therefore, flooding locations and levels cannot always be predicted. Wind speed at ground level is another condition that cannot be precisely predicted. There is a 10,000 foot ceiling for reconnaissance aircraft measurement of wind speed. This is not readily adjusted to surface wind speeds, or inland measurements. What is a Hurricane? Hurricanes begin as tropical cyclones. There are several climatic forces which are responsible for the formation and lifting of the initial mass of hot moist air. Moisture condenses as it rises, heat is thrown off and a cloud is formed. More air rises, creating a chimney effect. As the storm grows, this circle of air may form an area 50 to several hundred miles in diameter. The winds press in toward the central low-pressure core and that becomes the eye of the hurricane. The whirling winds around the eye ascend and begin to cool. FIGURE I AREA OF HURRICANE FORMATION ................. .. .......... .... ................... .......... ......... ............ ............ .. .............. ............ .......... ..... .... .. . ...... .......... ....... ............ .. ................. ......................... ................. ................ ....................... ....... ... 45 N ...... ...... .... ...... ...... ....... .. ......... ......... 30 N ....... ...... .............. ............... ............. ...... :c (a ....... 15 N ... ........ ........ ........ ....... EQUATOR 0 ...... ..... 15 S ............. ................ ....... ... .............. ............ . ....... ... .... . ..... ......... .... .............. ............. ......... 30 S .......... ...... ......... ........... 45 S -2- Much vapor condenses and liberates heat, thus further lowering the pressure in the eye. This makes the storm grow. The Coriolis Force, wind direction governed by the earth's rotation in the northern hemisphere, causes the counter-clockwise motion of the hurricane (Figure 2). Meteorologists divide the life of a hurricane into four general stages: 1. Formative - an organized circulation that ends only when wind speeds have reached hurricane intensity 2. Immature - period of actual growing to maximum intensity 3. Mature - not growing; greatest area covered by gale and hurricane force winds, 4. Decay - begins to disintegrate as it moves inland In some respects, mankind today is more vulnerable to hurricanes than were his predecessors several thousand years ago. The increase in population of coastal areas and their barrier islands creates the potential of thousands of lost lives and destruction of property that may mount into the billions of dollars. Florida has become synonymous with Hurricane. Since the 1900's Florida has experienced many devastating storms of hurricane proportion. During the first two decades, Florida was struck with twenty-two hurricanes. A Brief Historv' 1901 - two hurricanes struck in August 1902 - one struck in June 1903 - in September, same hurricane struck two areas 1906 - four hurricanes in four months; 200 people killed 1928 - flooding of Lake Okeechobee caused in excess of 2000 killed 1949 - central Florida heavily damaged, including the Lakeland area 1955 - Hurricane Diane considered the first "billion-dollar Hurricane" 1960 - Hurricane Donna swept through the Keys and up through central Florida, 148 dead (Figure 3) 1985 - Hurricane Elena threatened Tampa Bay causing evacuation of 500,000 residents Figures 4-5 depict the courses of hurricanes that have struck or have come within range of the Florida coastlines from 1901 to 1985. -3- FIGURE 2 DEPICTION OF HURRICANE FORMATION GENERAL FLOW OF AIR INTO STORM DIRECTION OF STORM (TRACK) GENERAL ISOBAR PATTERN -4- Because Florida has not suffered the direct hit of a hurricane in many years, residents have been lulled into a false sense of security. But the probability - not possibility - of a major hurricane is very real. Hurricane Elena Since the first Central Florida Regional Hurricane Shelter Study in 1983, Florida experienced Hurricane Elena on Labor Day weekend, September, 1985. Elena lashed the western coast with heavy rains, tornados and flooding, but never made landfall there. Seventeen (17) counties evacuated close to one million people. Several tornados damaged mo .bile"-homes in Central . Florida, Daytona Beach, Leesburg, and Lake counties. Two were killed and several injured. $4 million in damages were to.the mobile homes. The 40 mile wide eye, surrounded by 100 mph winds stalled about 100 miles northwest of Lakeland. Shelters reported 891 evacuees in Polk County, 200 in Hardee, and 60 in Highlands. One thousand people were without electricity in Lakeland. McDill Air Force Base evacuated 230 to Lakeland. Approximately 1000 Polk.County residents lost electrical power. Hurricane Elena did not make landfall in the Central Florida region. This area was spared the brunt of the storm. Hurricane Gilbert In September 1988, Hurricane Gilbert made landfall in Mexico, just 100 miles south of Brownsville, Texas. Hurricane Gilbert, a Category 5 on the Saffir/Simpson Scale, was the highest category storm recorded since historical records have been kept of named hurricanes. Had Gilbert's path taken an easterly route from the Yucatan@ Pinsular and into Florida, 1/3 to 1/2 of the state could have been entirely shut down. The devastation would have been beyond comprehension. Again, Central Florida was spared. -5- FIGURE 3 Row AUD" aw Wo . .. .... . wohmo st wa Xm DONNA'S PATH ACROSS FLORIDA ................ ............ 0 10 20 30 40 50 CAM 0 VAUl FIGURE 4 1901-1910 Major (category 3,4, or 5) landfalling hurricanes Al 0 01@ MAJOR (2: CATEGORY 3) U.S.-HURRICANES '1901-1910 1911-1920 Major (category 3,4,or 5) landfalling hurricanes. N-N Ik N 7- FIGURE 4 cont. 1921-1930 Major (category 3,4,or5) land f a I ling (U-S burr icanes. % 41\ - 49 MAJOR (2.:CATEGORY 3) fq 45- U.S. HURRICANES 1921-'1930 'hurricanes. 1931-1940 Major (categor.y 3,4, or 5) landfalling (U.S-. Nv/ - <1 w 193 193 -8- FIGURE 4 cont. 1941-1950 Major (category 3 4 or hurricanCr. A 191 MAJOR (2:CATEGORY 3) U.S- HURRICANES 1941- 1950 1951-1960 major (category 3,4,or 5) iaudfalliug (U.S.) hurricaues. 0- C '0 .0 Al 40(4 4t- io co CA 19 11 4ZE1 19.5 4C,,e 195.q FIGURE 4 cont. 1961-1970 Major (category 3,4, or 5) landfalling hurrLcancs- C 4% 14,C 9 MAJOR CATEGORY 3) U.S. HURRICANES 1961-1970 -Z 197 1-1990 Major (category 3.4, or 5) landfalling hurricanes. 19 9 -10- FIGURE 5 HURRICANES FROM 1885-1985 Asti 42" AM As 7 Alm Alas t124 1132 44S4 S4 ods WK t2n lam is "I Idu idwas 1945 lam 1221 4933 t939 M6 ti2i As" IOU 41135 Ilia 126 is" 6" IVI Ain 496S IN t135 '9FA 1909 Igis IsZG 19W 1906 1905 Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale The Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Scale is used by the National Weather Service-to give the public safety officials assessments of the potential for wind and storm damage from a hurricane in progress. Scale numbers are made available to public officials when a hurricane is within 72 hours of landfall. Scale assessments are revised regularly as new observations are made, and public safety organizations are kept informed of new estimates of the hurricane's disaster potential. Scale numbers range from 1 to 5. Scale number 1 begins with hurricanes in which the maximum sustained winds are between 74 and 95 mph, or which will produce a storm surge of 4 to 5,feet above normal water level, while a Scale number 5 applies to those in which maximum.sustainedwinds are 155 mph or above and have the potential to produce a storm surge of 18 feet above normal. The Scale was developed by Herbert Saffir, Dade County, Florida, consulting engineer, and Dr. Robert H. Simpson, former National Hurricane Center director, and projects scale assessment categories as follows: Category No. 1 - Winds of 74 to 95 mph. Damage primarily to shrubbery, trees, foliage, and unanchored mobile homes. NO real damage to other structures. Damage to poorly constructed signs. Storm surge 4 to 5 feet above normal. Low-lying coastal roads inundated, minor pier damage, some small craft in exposed anchorage torn from moorings. Category, No.-2 - Winds of 96-110 mph,. Considerable damage to shrubbery and tree foliage; some trees blown down. Major damage to exposed mobile homes. Extensive damage to poorly constructed signs. Some damage to roofing materials of buildings, some window and door damage. Coastal roads and low-lying evacuation routes inland cut off by rising water two to four hours before arrival of hurricane center. Considerable damage to piers. marinas flooded. Small craft in unprotected anchorages torn from moorings. Evacuation of some shoreline residences and low-lying island areas required. -12- Category No. 3 - Winds of 111 to 130 mph. Foliage torn from trees; large trees blown down. Practically all poorly constructed signs blown down. Some damage to roofing materials of buildings; some window and door damage. Some structural damage to small buildings. Mobile homes destroyed. Storm surge 9 to 12 feet above normal. serious flooding at coast and many smaller structures near coast destroyed. Large structures near coast damaged by battering waves and floating debris. Low-lying escape routes inland cut off by rising water three to five hours before hurricane center arrives. Flat terrain 5 feet or less above sea level flooded inland 8 miles or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences within several blocks of shoreline required. Category No. 4 - Winds of 131 to 155 mph. Shrubs and trees blown down; all signs down. Extensive damageto roofing materials, windows, doors. Complete failure of roofs on many small structures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Storm surge 13 to 18 feet above normal. Flat terrain 10 feet or less above sea level flooded inland as far-as six miles. Major damage to lower.floors of structures near shoreline due to flooding and battering of waves and floating debris. Low-lying escape routes inland cut off by rising water three to five hours before hurricane center arrives. Major erosion of beaches. Massive evacuation.of all residences within 500 yards of shore required. Single story residences on low ground within two miles of shore evacuated. Category No. 5 - Winds greater than 155 mph, Shrubs and trees blown down; considerable damage.to roofs on many residences and industrial buildings, Extensive.shattering of. glass windows and doors. Some complete building.failures.. Small buildings over-turned or blown away. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Storm surge greater than 18 feet above normal. Major damage to lower floors of all structures less than 15 feet above sea level within 500, yards of shore. Low-lying escape routes inland cut off by rising water three to five hours before hurricane center arrives. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within five to ten miles of shore required. -13- Atmospheric pressure was assigned to the Saffir/Simpsom Scale by Dr. Neil Frank. These pressure ranges, along with a numerical breakdown of wind and storm surge ranges are as follows: SCALE CENTRAL PRESSURES WINDS SURGE NUMBERS MILLIBARS INCHES (MPH) JETJ DAMAGE 1 980 28-94 74-95 4-5 minimal 2 965-979 28.50-28.91 96-110 6-8 Moderate 3 945-964 27.91-28.47 111-130 9-12 Extensive 4 920-944 27.17-27.88 131-155 13-18 Extreme 5 920 27.17 155+ 18+ Catastrophic -14- ABOUT THE REGION The Central Florida Region is an area that comprises five counties: DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Okeechobee and Polk : Together they encompass 4,900 square miles. The region is in close proximity to either coast and has been considered in the coastal hurricane plans as a host area for coastal evacuees in the event of a hurricane. The population of the region was estimated to be 541,216 in 1988. It is rural in nature with Lakeland/Winter Haven the only Standard Metropolitan Statistical Area. The population of the region has increased 26% since the 1980 Census (Table 1). This five-county region is unique in that it is the only state- organized planning region without a coastline. Four basic land formations are in the region: highlands, ridges (the highest @levation in the state is situated in Lake Wales, Polk County), intermediate plains, and lowlands. The region contains one of the highest concentrations of inland water bodies in the state. Major floodplains occur along two rivers.; the Peace and Kissimmee. Lake Okeechobee is partially located in the southern portion of Okeechobee County and is the largest lake in Florida. -15- TABLE 1 POPULATION OF CENTRAL FLORIDA REGION 1908, 1988 COUNTY 1980 1988 PERCENT CHANGE DeSoto 19,039 23,418 23.0 Hardee 20,357 22,231 9.2 Highlands 47,526 66,380 39.7 Okeechobee 20,264 28,762 41.9 Polk 321,652 400,426 24.5 Total 428,838 541,217 26.2 Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research, April 1988, P.37. -16- HAZARD/VULNERABILITY ANALYSIS TYPES OF HAZARDS The most devastating aspect of a hurricane is the storm surge. The storm surge is a dome of moving water located near the eye of the hurricane. A storm surge could reach a maximum of 20 feet in the Tampa Bay area. This storm surge could crash against coastal areas, causing flooding and damage to beaches, roads and buildings. The Central Florida Region, being landlocked, is not vulnerable to that devastating force. There are no concentric flood zones,in the inland counties, as illustrated in SLOSH (Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes) models. The SLOSH model predicts-the'tidal surge heights that would result from hypothetical hurricanes with selected various combination pressure,,size, forward speed, tract and winds. Because of the Central Florida Region's inland location, tidal surge would have no direct bearing on the evacuation of the inland population. However, the. storm surge indirectly affects the Central Florida area by generating potential coastal evacuees seeking inland shelter. High winds are the second most critical aspect of a hurricane. Winds can reach over 155 miles per hour (Category 5 on the Saffir/Simpson Scale). According to the National-Weather Service, the Central Florida Region can expect to experiencea storm no stronger than a Category 3 storm (winds of 111-130 mph) due to the hurricane's natural wind dissipation.as it moves over land. The topography of the land and the structures located on land dissipate the wind's force. While these two factors are not major problems to inland counties, the Central Florida Region is still vulnerable to the effects of a hurricane. High winds, large amounts of rainfall., and the possibility of "spinoff" tornados will necessitate the evacuation of a sizable portion of the population. Freshwater flooding is a primary concern to this region. Rainfall cannot be predicted for any given hurricane. There are no rainfall standards that may be applied to the regional hurricane scenarios. As a rule of thumb, however, a hurricane can be expected to produce from 6 to 12 inches of rain. Hurricanes can be "wet" (producing much more than 12 inches in a short time) or "dry" (producing very little rainfall). -17- With regard to rainfall, most of the Central Florida Region is relatively secure from large-scale freshwater flooding. However, the populated areas most vulnerable to flooding are along the Peace River, paticularly in DeSoto County, parts of Okeechobee County, and particularly the more densely populated areas around the many lakes. other less populated areas susceptable to flooding are in northern Polk County, known as the Green Swamp and along the Kissimmee River (see Maps 1-5). While flooding in the Green Swamp or along the Kissimmee River may not threaten many lives, flooding along the Peace River and around the many lakes could threaten hundreds of lives. Flooding in any of these areas may hinder evacuation or transportation through those areas. VULNERABILITY Mobile home residents are the most vulnerable to the effects of hurricane-force winds. Whether in low-lying areas ornot, evacuation would be mandatory. Approximately sixty (60%) percent of the "at-risk" population in this region are mobile home residents (Table 2). Although newer units are required to have tie-downs, and some residents have added "permanent" additions to their units, wind and wind-born debris can cause severe damage. The most securely tied down mobile home cannot withstand gale- force winds. It is mandatory to evacuate mobile homes if winds, are expected to reach 74 miles per hour or more. In this study, the "at-risk" population in flood-prone areas is an approximate count. Data were obtained from the previous regional hurricane study (1983), National Flood Insurance Program maps, historical data for the region, and current population numbers from the University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research Estimates for April 1, 1988. The estimated number of potential evacuees from the Central Florida Region is also an approximation. The total number of "at-risk" residents in the region would not be evacuating at one time. Past behavioral analyses are also considered in calculating the potential numbers of evacuees. TABLE 2 TOTAL "AT-RISK" POPULATION - CENTRAL FLORIDA REGION ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ POTENTIAL "AT-RISK" NUMBER OF POPULATION MOBILE HOMES ------------------------------------------------------------- DESOTO COUNTY: Non-Mobile Home Population 9,8AO Mobile Home Population 7,500 3,750 Total 17,3AO ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HAPDEE COUNTY: Non-Mobile Home Population 5,A60 Mobile Home Populaian 5,064 2,532 Total 10,52A ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HIGHLANDS COUNTY: Non-Mobile Home Population 7,684 8,000 Mobile Home Population 15,890 Total 23,574 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ OKEECHOBEE COUNTY: Non-Mobile Home Population 12,771 Mobile Home Population 17,800 8,900 Total 30,571 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ POLK COUNTY: Non-Mobile Home Population 52,290 Mobile Home Population 84,29A A2,147 Total 13S,584 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL "AT-RISK" 218.593 FOP REGION _19- 14 A R D C E c 0 U T y t R 23 E R 24E R 25 E R 26 E ko 17 n z I-- 0 BROW LE 4-: PIN L E BUNKILR cn t@ < CAD] z z co AN %14 IA Fort < amr 25 E R 26 E R 24 E + C H A R L 0 .T T E C 0 U N T Y (1 0 VJ L I N c 0 u I L L S B 0 R 0 U 1-1 0 L G R I rN4 C 0 U N T Y 664 664 4 664 6 64 64 35B 35B WY A C) 35A 6 Fee. c .9. L P P R I N, c3=r= :::come. At 6 A 64 64 Lj x== 684 LLJ F- pa"t z 94 ***C* low, (111; < fs 665 663 665 6 D E S 0 T 0 @CLOS 11 COT H Al YD " E E UINTY FLOOD HAZAF 627 64 AVON PAR FLOOD ........ .. ........ ... HIGHLA ..... 17 17A ...... ....... SEBRING 00 ..... ...... 3 623 .... 17 ........ 635 .. .... . 9 .... I.,,-,-,I,I,.*.'. *. j ....... ......... .... ............... . 66 17 621 ........... ... .................. ............... .. .. ................ .. .. . ............ ................. . . .............. .. .............. . 27 ........... ............ . . . ......... .......... 7 1 LAKE PLAQ0 19 29 0 COUNTY 25 31 GLADES .................. .................. .................. ..... .................. .... ........................ ....................... ....................... ....................... ............ ....... ........... . . . . . . . . . . Ld Ld 03 . . . . . . . . . . . . Lj 0 4- cl ............. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - . . . FL OKEECHO 0 1 7 3 4 M(LfS Prepared by the Central Floecdo R SCALE January. 1988 COUNTY ORANGE L@@E ICOUNTY SUMTER COUNTY FLOOL 7 .................. POLK C z .............. ................... ..................... ...................... . .................... ... ........................ ............... ..... ........ .......... ............ .... .. 0 ............. ..... < .., ........... 2 IL ............... . 4 ................ Pau CITY OSCEOLA ................ ........ .. 0 NPORT .............. .... ............... . . . ............... ................ .. ............. HAI LAKE CITY ............ 4 . . . . . .................. . ..... ..... ALFRED .................. .................. .................. COUNTY ... ....... ......... .... ....... -* ......... .......................... ... ................. I........ ............. ........ ............. ... .... ....... ............ ....... .......... LAKE HA LTON. ... .... ....... 92 ELAND ................. .................... A ..................... ..................... OUND E'- (3 ....... ................... .. '* ........................... ........ ...................... ..... . ...................... LE .... ....................... E .... ......................... ... ..... ......................... 9 . ...... ......... . ....................... ............. .... ...... ........................ 55 .......... ....... LAKE WALES 60 ..... ...... 17 ........... ........... . ........... ..... ......... .. . .............. MUL13ERRY HIGHLAND .... .............. . PARK .... .............. ............. ... ... ............ coo ..................... ... ...................... 8 ........... ......... .... .............. ILLCREST .... ........... . ..... ........... EIGHTS ............ .... ............. Of .......................... ........................ ORT ............................ ....................... ... ............................ ....................... ........................... ...................... .. ................... ...................... .. .... ... . ....................... ..................... .. . .. ... . ...................... ..................... .. ...................... .................... . ... . ..... ..................... ..................... .................. .. ....... .................... .................. ............. ................... .................. ............. ................... .. .............. .... ......... ................. .. .. . ........... ..... ........ ......... ................. ... ....... ................ .................... .. .. ....... ................ ........................... .... .......... .............. . ..................... ... .......... ............... .................................... .............. ....... .... ............... ..... . (917 ............ . ................................... .............. HARDEE COUNTY HIGHLANDS COUNTY d#x-- ROADWAY INUNDATION ANALYSIS The majority of central Florida roadways/evacuation routes have two lanes, and a Level of Service (LOS) of IICII (LOS IICII, on a scale of A to E, represents stable traffic flow. Flow, however, becomes susceptable to some congestion at this LOS. The main evacuation route from the West coast, Interstate 4, is classified in Polk County by The Florida Department of Transportation as having LOS "C". FDOT classifies this level of service as a roadway that within five (5) miles of a population between 50,000 and 500,000, accomodates 47,100 vehicles per day. Non- urbanized areas will accomodate 37,000 vehicles per day. Any addition in the numbers of vehicles would constitute a very heavy traffic situation. Some evacuation routes have particular segments of roadway that carry a LOS I'D". (LOS I'D" represents high density but stable flow of traffic. Speed and freedom to manuever become restricted. See Appendix A). A 49 mile segment of the 1-4 corridor, from Hillsborough County through Polk County to the Osceola County line is.one ofthe oldest segments of interstate highway system in the state, being built in the late 1950's and early 19601s. This is the primary evacuation route from to Central Florida from the West Coast counties being the principal evacuation route for Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. A segment of 1-4, near the Hillsborough and Polk County line flooded during the Fall of 1988 during a very heavy rain. 1-4 was closed at SR 579 for eastbound traffic for several days. A study being undertaken by the Florida Department of Transportation will evaluate 1-4 and upgrade the system to 6 to 8 lanes in Polk County by the year 2010. However, in the meantime, if flooding were to occur again during a "wet" hurricane, or other period of heavy rain, rapid relocation of the evacuating population through Polk County would not be possible. other roadways/evacuation routes in the Central Florida Region have segments where flooding is possible (Table 3 and Maps 6-7). As of 1989, FDOT had no plans to upgrade these roadways. Alternate evacuation routes are designated for some of the primary evauation routes, although many of the routes would not have any other roads available in case of flooding. Civil Defense and law enforcement officials determine alternate routes in these circumstances. In times of evacuation, direction of traffic is adjusted to facilitate movement of evacuees to the safest location inland, utilizing both lanes (or three of four lane roadways), in one direction. one lane is usually reserved for use by emergency vehicles. This increases the level of service and expedites traffic movement. -25- TABLE3 ROADS THAT HAVE HISTORICALLY FLOODED IN CENTRAL FLCOUNTIES COUNTY LOCATION EVAC.ROUTE1SHELTER LOCATION DESOTO HIDDEN ACRES - RR 2 Off HWY 72 West No DESOTO RT.7 - North Masters Road At Peace River No DESOTO KOA CAMPGROUND On HWY 70 West No HARDEE S.R. 64 Eest Of S.R-1 7 No HIGHLANDS S.R.700 (U.S." East Of Airport YES - ROUTE POLK Meadowbrook Mobile Park No Now Tampa Hwy 4400-4700 blk. No New Tampa Hwy 3710 blk No McCue Rd. and Harvey rd. No U.S. HWY 92 East-4200 blk, YES - ROUTE Melody Acres MHP- Glades Ave- No Twin Lakes MHP- Now Tampa Hwy No Village Lakeland- east side of cartal No Lori Lane S- No Lagoon Rd, 1600-1700 blk No Rollingwood lane- 1000 blk No Country Bend Subdivision No Old Salem Rd--3800 blk No Winchester Rd-- 3800-3900 blk No Pinewood Village Cir.W No Old Government Rd.-7400 blk No Dubois Rd. No Woodale Dr- No Brook Loop/ Way No Foresthrook Subdivision No Reynolds Rd, 3100 blk No Woodhaven Dr.- 6200 bilk No Valley High Dr. No Hamilton Rd-3400-3500 blk No Hiden Hills Dr. No Colbert Rd- No Creekwood Dr.-61 00 blk No Ewell Rd.- 3900 blk No Edgewood S.Extension-2222-231 0 No West Beacon Rd.5000 blk No Oak Dr. & Pablo St No Wilkenson Rd. No Gary Road No Wabash Road No Southern Ave. No Eva Ave- No Faye Street No Park St. below Poirtsetta No Satsuma St. & Rangpur No -26- TABLE 3 cont. ROADS THAT HAVE HISTORICALLY FLOODED IN CENTRAL FLCOUNTIES COUNTY LOCATION EVAC.ROUTE/SHELTER LOCATION POLK Lake Deeson Pt.-900-1400 blk No Glenview Dr.-4200-4300 blk No Meadowood Dr.-4300 blk No Creekwood Run-2000 blk No Ranchland Acres Rd--2200 blk No Ridge Meadow Dr.-2000 blk. No Traitwood Path-1 800-1 900 blk No Rockridge Rd-9900-10200 blk No S.B.Marion Rd- No Tom Moore Rd. No Max Cash. Rd. No Britt Rd. No Shadywood Rd- No Ponderosa Trail No Earnest Rd. No Socrum Loop Rd-W -700 blk. No Banana Rd- -1400 -1600 blk No Brown Rd. No Palm Rd. -3500 blk No Sunnyside Dr, 4200 blk No Mt.Tabor Rd- -3200 blk No Sleepyhill Rd. - 3000 blk No Countryview Estates: No NW 1 at St. No Dove Meadow Tr. No G Ion Meadow Loop No Dove Crest Tr. No Femwood Dr. No Brookridge Tr. No Roflinglen Subdivision. No Rollinglen Loop EfW No Rollinglen Court No Shadyglen Dr. No Strickland Rd No Youngs Ridge Ct North Florida Ave. blk.600-700 -27- 27(5 -i BOWLING GREEN 64 64 35 62 AVON WALICHULA 66 64 ARK HIGHLANDS 64a 17 HARD E 17A 0. 00 64 636 S BRING ZOLPHO SPRINGS 66 2 65 663 u 17 635 98 35 634 66 17 621 66 - - - - - - - -- 27 . . . . . . .... ..... 661 .. ..... E ... ..... LA DESOTO PLACID 660 70 29 ARCADIA 72 60 661 760 60 . ..... ...... 7 ... .... ... 35 .... ... HAR 17 HIG . . ...... ...... 31 OKEEC ... .... ...... EVAC C7A6LOTTE COUNTY GLADES POTENTIAL ROADWAY INUNDATION (ED 5 4 3 2 1 0 5 MILES SCALE INTER-REGIONAL EVACUATION &PC ORANGE NTY COUNTY --Lc-ou LAKE SUMTER COUNTY 27 z 0 54 700 92 4 POLK 0@ CITY DAVENPORT 4 LAKE HAINES CITY ALFRED OSCE&A AUBURNDA LAKE HAM T 92 ..... 92 N R ............. 600 A DUNDEE LAKELAND 9 F-A LAKE LAKE 555 WALES MUL13ERRY 60 BARTOW 14IGHLAND 60 F-') PARK 98 7 67 ILLCREST EIGHTS 60 co FORT 63 MEADE 700 98 FROSTPR F 37 4 35 2 COUNTY HIGHLANDS COUNTY HARDEE &PC MECHANISM FOR INTER-COUNTY OR REGIONAL EVACUATION The warning and response function associated with hurricane evacuation is carried out by several entities at the Federal, State, and local levels. 1. National Weather Service There are two major elements of the National Weather Service directly involved in the hurricane evacuation process. These are the National Hurricane Center and the Local Weather Service offices. a) National Weather Center The need for hurricane evacuation is determined from a warning system that originated from the detection and monitoring of tropical storm activity by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the National Weather Service. The NHC, located in Miami, identifies such activity as a tropical depression and monitors its development into a tropical storm. At this point, the disturbance is named. As the tropical storm intensifies and the maximum sustained surface winds exceed 74 miles per hour, the disturbance becomes a hurricane. Throughout the monitoring of tropical cyclones, the NHC forwards information on the characteristics of the disturbance to a network of local National Weather Service offices throughout the country. This information is normally channeled in the form of advisory bulletins to the local offices at six-hour intervals. These bulletins include the location and characteristics of the storm, as well as forecast what can be expected over the next 12 to 24 hours. As the hurricane comes closer to striking land, the six-hour interval advisories may be supplemented by intermediate advisories every three hours or less, as needed. In addition, local and state disaster preparedness agencies are provided with restricted information on the hazard potential of the hurricane as the storm moves within 72 hours of projected landfall. -30- This information is channeled over the National Warning System (NAWAS) and normally categorizes the hurricane based on a general description scale of hazard potential. Th is scale, the Saffir/Simpson Scale, defines the "category" of a hurricane based on several measurable characteristics or parameters of the storm. b) Local Weather Service Offices As the NHC forwards information on the hurricane to local National Weather Service offices, each office records and interprets the information relative to how it could be expected to effect its areas of responsibility. DeSoto, Hardee, Highland, and Polk Counties fall under the responsibility of the Tampa Bay Office of the National Weather Service, located in Ruskin. Okeechobee County falls under the Palm Beach office. As the hurricane approaches a particular coastal area, the local weather service adds local statements to the advisory bulletins from the NHC. These local statements are forwarded via NAWAS to those county disaster preparedness agency communication centers included in the area addressed by the advisory bulletin. Local statements include recommended precautionary and response actions to be carried out and estimated times by when they should be.completed. They also include existing local conditions of winds and tides (where applicable) as monitored by local wind and tide gauge systems. Local statements from Tampa Bay office include a description of any areas recommended to be evacuated from the approaching hurricane. Currently, such general descriptions entail the listing of estimated distances in blocks or miles from water bodie's and defined in land elevations. The Tampa Bay office local statements would include one of two general lists or areas to be evacuated: (1) areas vulnerable to a 10 foot storm surge, or (2) areas vulnerable to a 20 foot storm surge. -31- 2) State of Florida The two major entities at the state level directly involved in the hurricane evacuation process are the Governor and the Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Emergency Management. a) The Governor Authority to order evacuation from approaching hurricane is conferred to the Governor by Chapter 252.36(-5)(e), Florida Statutes, stating that the Governor may: "Direct and compel the evacuation of all or part of the population from any stricken or threatened area within the state if he deems the action necessary for the preservation of life or other disaster mitigation, responsel or recovery." b) Division of Emergency Management The Division of Emergency Management (DEM) within the Florida Department of Community Affairs, is responsible for directing and coordinating disaster mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery activities of the state. Included the DEM's many duties is the power to make official recommendations for prevention and preparedness measures designed to eliminate or reduce disasters or their impacts. Consequently, the DEM performs the primary staff function to the Governor as to the nature, extent and timing of the issuance of the evacuation order. 3) Local Government At the local level, elected officials, local disaster preparedness agencies and other departments of local government all become involved in the evacuation process. -32- a) Elected Officials The same power to order evacuation from an approaching hurricane conferred upon the Governor under Chapter 252.36(5)(e), Florida Statutes, is also delegated to the governing body of each political subdivision of the State by Chapter 252.32, FLorida Statutes, and Executive order 80- 29. The term "political subdivision" is defined under the Statutes as "any county or municipality created pursuant to law." Therefore, the chief elected official of both county and -municipality is delegated to order the evacuation from an approaching hurricane. b) County Disaster Preparedness Agencies Just as the Division of Emergency Management recommends emergency measures to be ordered by the Governor, county disaster preparedness agencies serve the same staff functions to the governing body of the political subdivision. Hurricane evacuation orders are normally issued by the chief elected official based on the recommendation of the director of the county disaster preparedness department or a previously established disaster advisory council/committee. Such recommendations should be based on previously formulated evacuation plans. C) Municipal Disaster Preparedness Agencies Although not mandated by Chapter 252, Florida Statutes, municipalities are authorized by the same Statues to create and establish a local disaster agency for disaster operations and planning. Just as with counties, the decision of the governing body to order an evacuation normally results from a recommendation from the municipal disaster preparedness director or disaster advisory council. d) Local Government Departments The actual execution of an evacuation requires local resources normally based in several key county or city departments. -33- These key departments include law enforcement, fire, public works, utilities, health services, and traffic engineering. Disaster preparedness or response activities of the manpower and equipment of such departments are coordinated by the local disaster preparedness department upon declaration of emergency conditions. Although normally directing a department function in day-to-day governmental operations, the disaster preparedness director automatically assumes the direct line function as primary advisor to the governing body for disaster activities. 4) American Red Cross The local chapters of the American Red Cross are responsible for the overall management of public natural disaster shelters as designated by local government. This includes the provision of trained staff, food supplies and registration procedures throughout the duration of the shelter stay. American Red Cross responsibility has beendelegated by Congressional charter under Public Law 58-4 and subsequent legislation. The American Red Cross and its local chapters is responsible for helping meet the human needs created by a disaster. In a hurricane situation, the ARC will provide food, clothing, shelter, blood and blood products on a mass care basis. 5) Coordination of Government Action In Emergency Evacuation Decisions Decision-making and the power to issue an evacuation order has been conferred or delegated to three different levels of government; state, county, and municipal. Further, the advisory authority of the National Weather Service at the Federal level is an essential component of the warning and evacuation procedure. Such emergency powers at the various levels of government are innate responsibilities of the particular jurisdictions to safeguard the lives of their citizens. However, this diffusion of the authority to issue and evacuation order demands firm interjurisdictional coordination. An uncoordinated evacuation order could have a devastating impact of the safety of not only the citizens of the jurisdiction issuing the order, but also the surrounding jurisdiction or an urban region. -34- Chapter 252, Florida Statutes, and the Governor's Executive Order 80-29, empower any local political subdivision (county or municipality) to order an evacuation of its endangered population without prior order by other levels of government. Therefore, in the event that the state fails to order evacuation as early as required by local conditions, a county may order evacuation within its physical boundaries. However, evacuation orders issued by higher levels of government are binding upon lower levels of goverment. For example, a State order is binding upon counties and a county order is binding upon a municipality. There is an obvious need for coordination of emergency action with other levels of government and private agencies to,ensure the availability of adequate resources to support evacuation. As long as the evacuation decision-making forum includes all relevant Jurisdictional entities communicating while analyzing the approaching hurricane hazard from a common data base, negative impacts of an evacuation should be minimized. -35- BEHAVIORAL DATA Behavioral assumptions regarding the population's response to evacuation are at best, tenuous. The majority of the population of Florida has never experienced a hurricane. Hurricane Donna in the 1960's was the last hurricane to actually strike this region. A false sense of security is felt by the residents and it is difficult to convince the public of the possible threat. Actual response of the population in a hurricane situation may be considerably different than in surveys administrated when there is no threat. However, since there have been only limited situations to test the public, past surveys will be utilized for this hurricane shelter study update. The behavioral study conducted by the University of South Florida for.the 1983 Central Florida Regional Hurricane Plan remains valid and is incorporated in this 1989 Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update (Appendix B). While the population of this region has grown considerably since the survey, it is felt that behavioral data have not changed to any great extent. Information derived from the 13-item questionnaire is presented in both narrative and tabular form (broken down by county). Some of the most import ant highlights are as follows: 1. The population in general, especially those who live in mobile homes, is elderly. 2. Respondents cited the National Weather Service as the primary source of information influencing an individual's decision to evacuate. 3. Respondents indicated that if all family members are present, they could be ready to leave almost immediately. 4. Most people will evacuate when ordered to do so. Mobile home residents would tend to evacuate prior to the order. 5. If ordered to do so, most people will evacuate even if the weather is fine. 6. If those individuals who responded they "don't know" what they would do under an evacuation order did actually seek public shelter, the shelters would be overwhelmed. -36- EVACUATION ZONES AND SCENARIOS INLAND EVACUATION It is proposed that intra-regional evacuation in Central Florida will be structured around evacuation zones in order that residents may be evacuated to the closest available shelter in the most expedient and safest manner. Because public shelters are concentrated in the major cities of DeSoto, Hardee, and Okeechobee counties, each of these counties was designated as an evacuation zone unto itself. Polk and Highlands County shelters are more dispersed and multiple zones were delineated in those two counties. Maps 8 and 9 depict the evacuation zones for Highlands and Polk Counties. Hurricane sheltering will be on a first-come, first-served basis. Evacuation routes will be the shortest routes from an evacuee's residence to a public shelter. Those evacuees who find inadequate space at the shelters in their zone must seek the next closest shelter in the next zone. Counties who do not have adequate space for their own residents will send local evacuees to the closest county for sheltering. It is mandatory that all mobile homes evacuate in the event that winds are in excess of 74 miles per hour. Residents in flood- prone areas are dispersed throughout the region and evacuation would be at the discretion of each family according to their personal situation. Evacuation of the Central Florida Region cannot be relegated to strict zones or concentric areas as represented in the SLOSH models of the coastal areas. The Office of Civil Defense in each county will observe tropical storms from the time they form until there is no more danger to their area. Twenty-four to thirty-six hours prior to landfall, projected wind speeds are watched and the evacuation situation is calculated. If winds speeds are predicted to reach 70-90 mph or higher, mobile home residents will be evacuated. Shelters will be opened as evacuee influx from coastal counties and inland evacuation is warranted. The track of the hurricane and projected eye landfall will determine which inland counties would be affected, thereby dictating evacuation routes used, shelter locations and number of potential evacuees to shelter (Appendix C). -37- 627 64 AVON ARK H-1 HIG 17A SEBRING 00 3 H-2 17 635 98 66 17 27 721 LAKE PLACID 19 H-3 29 70 COUNTY H-3 25 731 A.3 GLA@ES &PC ORANGE LAKE COUNTY COUNTY SUMTER COUNTY 2 z D I 0 70 P-2 P-3 P-4 92 POLK (@@o P-1 CITY DAVENPC P-3 LAKE HAINES CITY RED P-9 P-4 0 OSCEOLA AUBURN L p - AKE HAMIL 92 R 6 P-16 -1 DUNDEE LAKELAND P- 14. P-18 9 AGLE P-18 P-13 p 1 LAKE 37 P-21 P-23 5 P-26 LAKE MULBER P-29 BARTOW HIGHLAND 60 p PARK P-23 P-28 P-29 P-2 1 27A 674 EIGHTS 0 0 FORT P-2 C@A MEADE -30 FROSTPR F P-31 674 37 P P-30 P-31 0 2 HARDEE COUNTY HIGHLANDS COUNTY &PC INTRA- AND INTER-COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES Evacuation routes are designated to provide the quickest and safest ingress and egress into and through the counties during the hurricane evacuation process, and to facilitate the expedient transport of evacuees to shelters. Maps 8 and 9 depict evacuation routes that have been designated for the Central Florida Region. Because of the rural nature of the region there are relatively few alternate routes. Evacuation routes to be utilized by east and west coast counties are exhibited in Map 10. Appendix D, summarizes volumes and percentages of evacuees leaving Tampa Bay and Southwest FLorida counties and were summarized by the Florida Department of Community Affairs. Incoming vehicles, coupled with inter-county evacuee traffic, will place a burden on most of the roadways of Central Florida. Information on estimated travel conditions on state highways in the Central Florida Region (including the inter-regional evacuation routes) are exhibited in Table 4 and Appendix A. Map 10 illustrates those evacuation routes. Designated evacuation routes are the same as those presented in the 1983 study. The Florida Department of Transportation has plans to re-build some of the bridges in the Central Florida Region, but most will remain two-lane. SR 674 over Pierce Branch, Howard Prairie, Little Manatee Relief, and Little Manatee River: four two-lane bridges located in Hillsborough County between Wimauma and Polk.County line. Proposed replacements are "in kind" (two-lane). US 17 over Thornton Branch: two-lane bridge located in DeSoto County, two miles north of Charlotte County line and 13 miles south.of Arcadia. Proposed replacement is in kind. US 17 over Charlie Creek Overflow: two-lane bridge located in Hardee County, approx. 2.5 miles north of the DeSoto County line and 12 miles north of Arcadia. Bridge will be widened to add 10 ft. safety shoulder .(no increase in lanes). -40- SR 37 over North prong Alafia River: two-lane bridge located in Polk County approximately nine miles south of Mulberry and 1.7 miles north of SR 630. Replacement in kind. SR 37 over South prong Alafia River: two-lane bridge located in Polk County approximately nine miles south of Mulberry and 1.7 miles north of SR 630. Replacement in kind. SR 60 over Peace Creek Drainage Canal: dual two-lane bridges located in Polk County approximately eight miles east of Bartow. Widening to 10 ft. safety shoulders (no lane increase). Capacities of the roadway system will *be strained with the influx of coastal evacuees. While most of the system is adequate to handle the traffic that is carried under "normal" conditions, an increase in volume would tax the carrying capacity of these roadways. Law enforcement officials will, wherever possible, utilize both lanes (or three of four lanes) in the direction of evacuation flow, leaving one lane free for emergency vehicles.. While this will help to alleviate some of the burden, the number of potential vehicles from coastal counties, along with evacuating inter-county residents, would create a traffic situation that would not be conducive to rapid movement through. the counties. -41- TABLE 4 INTERREGIONAL EVACUATION ROUTES - EAST COAST HWY NUMBER FROM TO Possible number Capacity Cles"noe Possibility Alternate I I . of Vehioles for LOS C Time--hrs. of Flooding Routes S.R.60 Indian River Okeechobee 4897 870 5.6 yes none S.R. 68 St. Lucie Okeechobee 6372 am 7.3 U.S.91 S.R.70 870 S.R.60 INTRAREGIONAL EVACUATION ROUTES - CENTRAL FLORIDA HWY NUMBER FROM TO Possible number Capacity Clearanos Possibility Alternate of Vehicles for LOS C ITime-hrz._ of Flooding Routes S.R.31 Desoto am yes none S.R. 17 Desoto 870 in three locations none S.R.64 Hardee 870 minimal S.R.62 S.R.62 Hardee 870 minimal S.R.64 S.R. 17 Hardee 870 in three none locations U.S27 Highlands 1750 near Glades none oounty line U.S.9e Okeechobee 870 yes 441 1-4 pol@ 3990 near Plant U.S. 92 City exit U.S.92 Polk 1990 S.R.37 Polk 870 minimal S.R.60 to U.S.17 U.S.98 Polk am minimal S.R.60 to U.S.27 S.R.27 Polk 175a minimal S.R.60 to U.S.117 S.R.60 Polk 19W minimal S.R@630,640 S.R.640 Polk am minimal S.R.60,630 S.R.674 Polk 870 minimal none S.R.630 Polk M minimal S.R.640,60 -42- TABLE 4 CONT. INTERREGIONAL EVACUATION ROUTES - WEST COAST HWY NUMBER FROM TO Poesible number Capacity Clearance Possibility Alternate I of Vehicles for LOS C Time-hrs. of Flooding Routes 1-4 Hillsbofough Polk 5783 3990 1.4 near Plant City 582 Pinellas 7803 3990 2.0 exit U.S.92 U.S.92 Hillsborough Polk 3759 1990 1.9 1-4 S.R.542 S.R. 60 HIllsborough Polk 5673 870 6.8 [may flood] S.R.640 S.R. 640 Hillsborough Polk 870 S.R.674 Hillsborough Polk 870 S.R.60 via37 none S.R. 674 Hillsborough Polk 870 via 630 U.S. 37 Manatee Polk 4690 w 5.0 none U.S, 17 Charlotte Desoto 5273 1034 5.1 in three CR 630 to locations CR 555 S. R. 31 Charlotte Desoto 3797 870 4.4 yes none U.S@ 27 Glades Highlands 411 1369 0.3 near Glades none county line -43- MAP 10 INTER-REGIONAL EVACUATION ROUTES 19 ss MINOLE LANDO RANGE HERN NDO INEW sw 41 MELBOURNE - COCOA 7*, 0 F 3m )SCEOLA TAMP NTIR A AK A AUBLHNl` .1 PINE POLK (D 04 INRIA I sa nnww MANA LE OKEECHOBEE t ST LUCIE FT PIERCE SARASOTA HI GHLAND BRADENTON SARASOTA DE SOTO F_j MA RTIN GLADES CHARLOTTE 27 WEST 7g- + 0 27 PALM 41 6D .1 BEACH LEE HENDRY ALM BEACH FT M 77 ou F 0 10 20 30 40 '50 SCALE IN'MILES -44- SHELTER FEASIBILITY ANALYSIS The Florida Department of Community Affairs, Division of Emergency Management conducted a shelter survey during 1988 in Polk County. This survey was performed for those buildings that are designated as primary and secondary shelters at the request of the Polk County Chapter of the American Red Cross and Polk County Civil Defense. The methodology used for this analysis compares each building, or building part, to a model standard. Wind resistance is the primary concern in this survey. Points are awarded or subtracted based on the building's performance at each step in the calculation and a cumulative score is assessed. The score is categorized on a scale of one to five, with one representing the most superior rating. The results do not indicate which building is the best or second best in a county, but rather where each building falls in relation to the established criteria. Additionally, the data provided no conclusions regarding suitability of the shelters surveyed, but merely state the results of the relative wind impact calculations. A wind resistance code is also provided for each building which illustrated the building's ability to resist wind loads. The resistance is coded from "All to "Ell with A as the best rating. A building's resistance rating does not change with a change in wind speed; however, it may improve with the addition of shutters. The results of this survey will enable the counties to evaluate their shelters for potential safety problems related to wind damage in the event of hurricane force winds. The other counties in the Central Florida Region will be completing more thorough surveys of their shelters to provide more accurate information for future use. Designated shelters that may be located in flood-prone areas are not considered primary shelters by the American Red Cross. These facilities would only be utilized in a "worst case" situation if no other shelter was available, or for post-storm sheltering. The Central Florida Region has a total of approximately twelve (12) shelters located in flood-prone areas. In the following months, as surveys are completed for the other counties in the Central Florida Region, the number of possible sheltering spaces may change from those presented in this Inland Hurricane Shelter Study Update. -45- SHELTER ASSIGNMENTS Shelter surveys completed after Hurricane Elena indicated that people go to particular public shelters because: (1) they have friends or family that will be at that particuar shelter, and (2) they are familiar with the school or church that is designated as the shelter.* Evacuees are assumed to go to the nearest open shelter. Those evacuees entering the Central Florida Region from the coastal counties would be directed to the nearest shelter along that particular evacuation route. Coastal evacuees will be sheltered in coastal counties as it becomes necessary in a concentric zone pattern, moving somewhat inland in progression. Inland counties do not have these concentric flood zones, therefore shelters are opened by the American Red Cross as needs of coastal and/or inland evacuees dictates. It was felt by the local chapters of the American Red Cross and most of the emergency management directors that shelter assignment was not effective for the inland region because of the unpredictability of demand. Tampa Bay Regional Hurricane Study 1988, page 314. -46- SHELTER CHECKPOINT/RECEPTION CENTERS The purpose of checkpoints/reception sites is to provide supporting services and guidance to evacuees seeking arrangements for shelter; to provide a control mechanism for officials keeping track of evacuees; and to distribute maps and directions to shelters. Sites may be established in Polk, Highlands, and Okeechobee Counties and are based on those counties' Nuclear Civil Protection Plans. DeSoto County, because of its location (the primary point of ingress of Southwest Florida evacuees) will not establish checkpoint sites. Shelters in DeSoto County will reach capacity in a short period of time and establishing checkpoints would be superfluous. After absorbing as many evacuees as possible, directing evacuees through DeSoto to other counties will be the major concern of DeSoto County officials. . Related to this point is the assertion that the primary purpose of checkpoints is for local officials to communicate with those evacuees who do not know where to go and direct them to public shelters. Moreover, once shelters reach capacity, checkpoints will be dismantled and evacuees still on the regional road network will be directed to areas where shelter space is available. Thus, as shelters to which certain checkpoints have been directing evacuees reach capacity, these checkpoints will be closed. It is assumed then, that checkpoints in counties with limited shelter capacity, such as Hardee and Okeechobee will be opened for a relatively short period of time. The following are the potential locations of shelter checkpoints and reception sites in the Central Florida Region. DeSoto * None Hardee * Wauchula State Bank: Southeast corner of U.S.17 and Main Street * Ernest Plaza: Northeast corner of U.S.17 and Main Street * Wauchula State Bank: U.S.17, Bowling Green -47- Shelter Checkpoint/Reception Centers cont. * Tropicana company parking lot: SR 64, East of Ona * Ben Hill Griffin Ranch * Junction of SR 62 and Seaboard Coast Line Railroad Tracts * Lemon Grove: junction of SR 64 and SR 636 Highlands * Venus Post Office: junction of SR 731 and US 27 * St.Regis Co. Warehouse: SR 70 and U.S.27 * Avon Park Airport * Springlake Shopping Center: junction of U.S.27 and Lakeview Blvd. * South Florida Junior College: 1 1/2 miles south of Avon Park Okeechobee Rodeo Arena (Reception Center): north of Okeechobee City limits on U.S.441 * K-Mart Shopping Center: U.S.98/441 just south of city limits Polk Lake Wales Plaza: junction of SR 60 and U.S.27 * Lake Wales Shopping Center: SE corner of junction of U.S.60 and U.S.27 -48- Shelter Checkpoint/Reception Centers cont. Golden Gate Shopping Center: SE corner of junction of U.S.60 by pass and U.S.98, Bartow * Bartow Mall: NE corner of junction of S.R.60 by-pass and U.S.98, Bartow Lake Miriam Square Shopping Center: junction of SR 37 and Lake Miriam Dr., Lakeland 40 Acre Truck Stop: junction of Memorial Blvd. and Wabash Ave. -49- INVENTORY OF INLAND PUBLIC SHELTERS The five inland counties of Central Florida have a total shelter capacity of approximately 65,000 spaces. This includes primary American Red Cross and county operated shelters, alternate shelters (churches, lodges, other public buildings). Space for hotels/motels...is approximately 2,600. Space has been calculated at 20 sq.ft. per person for Red Cross shelters. Hotel/motel occupancy rates have been calculated at 50% for the hurricane months of June through November. This was based on telephone and/or written correspondence with the facilities, and an average was used for the region. An updated inventory form has been developed for future use in evaluating possible hurricane shelters (Appendix E). Forms will be completed for buildings designated for use as public shelters and copies will be filed with American Red Cross chapters, Civil Defense and the Regional Planning Council. Schools in Hardee and Highlands Counties currently have the updated inventory forms on file with the Regional Planning Council. Polk and Okeechobee Counties will be completing the updated inventory form for 1990. The majority of schools that are designated Red Cross shelters in this five county region do not have auxiliary power sources (generators). The cost of furnishing generators for schools in this region has been prohibative. Similarily, most of the schools use a large percantage of glass in their construction, whichireduces the structural integrity. Many schools have restroom facilities located outside of the main buildings, making accessibility a problem during the storm event. Kitchen facilities for some schools were not located in close proximity to the designated "safe" areas. A list of shelter locations for each county, along with the capacities is listed in Appendix F. Shelter locations are pinpointed by streets for the inland county cities. Only those cities with at least three shelters were mapped.(Maps 11-17). Some mobile home parks offer shelter spaces in their recreation facilities, and many of the newer parks have large multi-use buildings which could possibly be used for this purpose. However, these facilities may not be structurally adequate in a storm event due to the amount of window area. Shelters in the inland region are limited due to the above mentioned reasons. However, storm category (wind intensity) and rainfall amounts during a storm would have a great bearing on which shelters were utilized. -50- S, Qw HL HH SOURCC- Florida Dep of Tronspo June 1975 7 if MAIP 12 027 SHELTER LOCATION MAP UTY OF BARTOW POLK COUNTY- FLORIDA % LEGEND F--] 0 19 11 27 - STEPHENS ELEMENTARY 28 - 3AkTOW ELEMENTARY 29 - 3ARTOW SENIOR HIGH 30 - 3AkTOW JUNIOR HIGH 8 El" 31 INION ACADEMY 76 -,LORAL AVENUE ELEMENTARY E100 77 WASE CAREER DEVELOPMENT CENTER 78 - GIBBONS STREET. ELEMETARY =El -LJUU 79 - @P-OLK LIFE & LEARNING CENTER r 78 OH 02 79 030 76 . . ...... .... Prepared by the 0 250 500 low ism SOURCE-Poll, County Chapter ... ... . ... ....- CENTRAL rLORIDA REGIONAL Americon Red Cross. 1959 PLANNING COUNCIL I Apl@. SCALE iN FEET ..... ..... -52- MAP 13 S ELTER LOCATION MAP OTY OF FORT MEADE c"At" POLK COUNTY- FLORIDA Of F1 F].. 53 ____j FIE'll [I EU 82 LEGEND 53 - FORT MEADE JUN IOR/SENIOR HIGH 54 - LEWIS ELEMENTARY 55 - FORT M A IDDLE 'SCHOOL 82 - RIVERSIDE ELEMENTARY r",ao 2", B 9- OOOADWAY ST.t. sit ADWAY 7. 54* OF]:] 11 1 z sOuRCE: Polk Qwnty Ct,.pt@r Cefican Red Cros-3. 1989 55 f v f T 9 S T . Pccporcd by th, 0 250 SGO 1000 15W CCNTRAL FLORIDA REGIONAL F__1 HH 4" tl@ OF] Lin. [ILI Llul 11@ iH H1 n EE F, PLANNING COUNCIt 7@E April. 1988 SCALC IN (T-El E ----------- J-E@LEN Q 57 - BETHUNE ELEMENTARY 58 - EASTSIDE ELEMENTARY 59 - OAINES CITY HIGH 60 - HAINES CITY. JUNIOR HIGH 61 4ILTA VISTA ELEMENTARY ... P3 F-1 00 MLP 14 poo rin cl SHELTER LOCATION MAP CITY OF HAINES CITY POLK COUNTY FLORIDA C= I SOURCE: Polk Conty Chnpter Prepared by the American Red C@oss. 1909 CCNTRAL FLORIDA RCGIONAL 0 1 4AILE PLANNING COUNCIL AprIl. 1988 SCAU -54- MAP 1-5 SHELTER LOCATION MAP CITY OF LAKE WALES -OUNTY FLORIDA 62 POLK LEGEND 62 - JANIE HOWARD WILSON ELEMENTARY 63 63 - LAKE WA ILES HIGH Flf-l 64 - ROOSEVELT VOCATIONAL. SCHOOL ]ULU 65 - SPOOK HILL ELEMENTARY 66 - POLK AVENUE ELEMENTARY 67 - HILLCREST ELEMENTARY 65 68 - LAKE WALES JUNIOR HIGH V4-*-Iu E01 0 ElEl =El F-10 (-IDS C2@ ..... El F-1 F- I EF-=] Cal ...... El[]F--] 467 66 I ou 68 0 ----------- - ----- e,p@@4 by tt, UNTRAL FLOR10A REGIONAL 0 300 600 1700 souRcc: PoA C@nty C-hoptc4:, PLANNING COUNCIL A-,@-Ic@ Rcd Cl-i@ 1969 Ap-1. 11388 -,CALC IN FCCT -55-. MORMONS IMENOWN VERMEER MAP 16 SHELTER -..LOCATION M.AP LAKELAND URBAN AREA r7m by &* cmf IF, LEGEND- 01C C?,0pie(77-4"Ac,,io1F1cm6o. Complete list of shelters located IOCAVI LOOP Mo. in Appendix F I.--- t 1 $0. .0. C."6tLI. A 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ! Ioch- LOOP -6 A 0 J3 087 00? 1 2 DAVE lot too, I #92 Y I A 0 04 A 0 1 W". % I R.OA tAti, AD. 95 StLLA % *j &Art "jh,t* 9 OILLO." AD tot 7 6 LARtt.Ah*\o- A 0 I.INOtLL V-DtEk .0 v I 10 DAN' it Iit k@ v t VI A. iff lo" 19 to *1 1 Sw iox; (I t.. 13 J2 cnItAL J A,I?A, &Art ",.OAF. 1 0 A$ .6 IIk1tjjtA AD. 096 15 0 16 VAIN, It %Wo Doll 14 It At -06, 17 I - - - - - - - - - - - - Alo 20 S -.ott.. 16 AD 2 1 A#A- L'If 01.11. I" A* Cott D"t lCott CACA&I LA. LAI' 22 *23 tAAI aw $Aolk I-Ell AD. N a OCALA IN MILOS 1110 411, OUCKC Yf @Vf T-_ X 2@ V' I 'If 61 Al AVC. S L A KE ID r/ 1: it C.,,, RUCKE),E 0 V1. i-0- z I LAKE 211 LAKE i-ANIVON 0 1 AVE 3@ PARKwAy 2 N Nw LEGEND V LAA AVE P ME A. t AKE MIRROR -,>/-,Ylfv .4. i - AVE Arw AVE 0 fIC eu"CTE LA@C CIRCL VFF CQ-RT I 3t AVE CC 40 GARNER ELEMENTARY WE K -Bfl z a x 0 A"C' K AVE M MIN x x A POLK COMM. COLLEGE ---h 41 JEWETT ELEMENTARY X A W@V" AIC K E Mw C, 7. x Ind ACCESS ROAO(PRIVA LA - GEM -La A' L 11 L Nw I, [ 0 AV!@ K ME GOLF Ga."C LVC JK 0 Ave FIW FULK HE 43 WESTWOOD JUNIOR HIGH -01111-ILINITY KE 43 -L- VC2w 64 A :. G x !, X AVE J LLEGE SYL VER AVE I ME I COLOIT HE 44 INWOOD ELEMENTARY AVE G -I Mw Nw SR 542 A4E N fif I a ve F ?w AVE 45 - ELBERT ELEMENTARY AVE Fww E LAKE tic AVE G G !ry AVE aw AfAR MA AVE rt; F @f F srw 46 - DENISON JUNIOR HIGH "r Nw 3@ AVE 0 it 1- ve LAKE ELBERT z Hyf@ AVE LAKE DEER ?4 19 AVE E ME AVE OCEXCL AVE 14E 47 WINTER HAVEN HIGH AVE C 20 22 AVE 0 HE A 0 Nw -E < 227 E LAKE HOWARD VC C ME VC C HE 48 - LAKE SHIPP ELEMENTARY I !gj AVE A LVE A 45 A AVER ME 99 - BRIGHAM ELEMENTARY IIAL 4-1 f PIT VE tic z: Aj'E EI S. j@ AV; SIX Sw AVE a _AVEIV 5 24 @D C, L X I a 94TES AVE 5 AVZ I C SE E Cri. S. AVI)C S w TOTTY 0 AVEI Sw Avr to) AVE 0 Sw. NE 07 AVE1 D -SE AKE A--- tatt. L 4KC OTIS 4.4 ffE b1A RIA Al OA. AVE AVE 14 `A-, LAK@C` AVE A..,C 14 S' !: AVE MA 11 AVE F 0 Ro. 0<, 47' C', 25 0 _T ORIVE ku AVE K SW AVE K SC @j C, PLAZA 32 A L @%.5 .54 z AVE L SE1 Q1 ?, SOURCE: Polk County Chapter A AVE 04 SE AfAS4.* American Red Cross. 1989 W- A-i SEARS AVE 0 SW AVE 0 SE GMPOI*T A% 204, OLEANOIER Riff COUR, r x AV P OLEA FOCR P ETP VE SW POST A ;E NT PICO ONT U t-WOOO z CIRCLE vC 0 wfDGCwoOO x CRYSTAL SCACH ROAO SR 540 AV 0 S CYP S 0 NS GL%O SR540 YPRESS GAP ---- TICE AV R CIVIUS CITY LIMI MAP 17 'L .4 ff,, SHIPP SHOW AVE 5 SE ARLC A 36 AVE T ,V V C T 31 !jTE HAVEN H U4- 4-Af(ES P -vC v@ SHELTER LOCATION MAP ILL- 48 'WE x S@ 633 jM@f jj" CITY OF WINTER HAVEN L 5.1Pf A -57- EVACUEES SEEKING SHELTER BY STORM CATEGORY (WORST CASE SCENARIOS) Central FLCo Expected TOLEVaC- Public Availability/ coastal Unable DO Central FLCo E:KVcctcd Tot-Evac. Public Availability/ Coastal Unable Do Evacuees to Not Vulnerable to Shelter Socldng shelter (Deficit) of Evacuees to Not Von.blc to Shelter S.Id-g Shelte, (Deficit) -1 Leaving County Shelter Know Population 43% Shelter Space Shelter Space Leaving County Shelter Know Id ulation 43% shelter Space Shelter Space CATEGORY I CATEGORY 4 TAMPA BAY REGION: TAMPA 'BAY REGION: Pinellas 25,749 [not provided [none are Pinellas 49,122 [not provided DeSoto-17,340 7,456 Hillsborouoh 29,601 for Tampa Bay Hard 1 10,524 4,525 Hillsborough 14,193 for Tampa Bay anticipated ie- Manatee 13,783 region] Polk-S3,900 36,077 Manatee 9,108 region] in this i TOTAL 49,050 category] NA 49,050 64,698 15 641 TOTAL 92,506 TOTIL,111,764 48,058 140,564 64,698 (75,866) SOUTHWEST REGION: SOUTTIWEST REGION: Charlotte 20,942 2,429 12,935 Charlotte 32,002 19,337 19,766 DS.@-17,340 7,456 Sarasota 51,098 15,974 31,5 Hardee-10,52,4 4,525 Sarasota 30,124 1,169 18,606 60 1 Lee 76,592 0 44,307 Lee 104,030 64701 64,254 High4nds-11,694 5,024 Collier 31,972 10,368 19,747 Collier 51,967 34,882 32,097 Polk '900 36,077 TOTAL 159,630 NA 159,630 64,698 (94,932) TOTAL 239,097 TOTJ -123,448 53,082 292,179 64,698 (227,481) TREASURE COAST. TREASURE COAST- Martin 17,377 [not provided Martin 20,685 [not provided High4nds-11,684 5,024 St.Lucie 18,400 for Treasure Coast St.Lucie 31,860 for Treasure Coast Okeechobee-30,571 13,146 Indian River 10,148 region] Indian River 12,242 region] TOTAL 45,9Z5 NA 45,925 64,698 18,773 TOTAL 64,787 T`Ojj!:2!@55 18,170 82,957 64,698 (18,259) CATEGORY 2 CATEGORY 5 TAMPA BAY REGION: TAMPA BAY REGION-. Pinellas 36,018 [not provided DeSoto-17,340 7,456 Pinellas 51,993 [not provided DeSow-17,340 7,456 Hillsborough 20,637 for Tampa Bay Hardee-10,524 4,525 Hillsborough 30,915 for Tampa Bay Hard=-10,524 4,525 Manatee 9,911 region] Polk-83,900 36,077 Manatee 15,004 region] Polk-8p,900 36,077 TOTAL 66,556 TOTAL-111,764 48,058 114,624 64,698 (49,926) TOTAL 97,912 TOT11,-111,764 48,058 145,970 64,698 (81,272) SOUTHWEST REGION: SOUTHWEST REGION: Charlotte 25,366 10,248 15,677 DeSoto-17,340 7,456 Charlotte 32,012 19,345 19,772 D -17,340 7,456 Sarasota 34,744 4,430 21,460 Hardee-10,524 4,525 Sarasota 78,232 35,127 48,320 Harde.--10,524 4,525 Lee 99,048 24,546 61,177 Highlands-11,694 5,024 Lee 108,730 76,750 67,157 Highlands-11,684 5,024 Collier 37,768 16,959 23,327 Polk-83,900 36,077 Collier 52,722 35,416 32,564 Polk-83,900 36,077 TOTAL 196,926 TOTAL-123,448 53,082 250,008 64,698 (185,310) TOTAL 271,696 TOTAL-123,448 53,082 3Z4,778 64,698 (260,080) TREASURE COAST- TREASURE COAST- Martin 17,377 [not provided Highlands-11,684 5,024 Martin 20,685 [not provided Highl#ds-11,684 5,024 St.Lucie 18,400 for Treasure CA)ast Okeechobee-30,571 13,146 St.Lucie 31,860 for Treasure Coast Okeechobee-30,571 13,146 Indian River 10,148 region] Indian River 12,Z42 region] TOTAL 45,925 TOTAL-42,255 18,170 74,243 64,698 (9,545), TOTAJ- 64,787 TOTJ . IA2,255 18,170 95,199 64,698 (30,501) CATEGORY 3 TAMPA BAY REGION: Pinellas 43,812 [not provided DeSoto-17,340 7,456 Hillsborough 26,559 for Tampa Bay Hardee-10,5Z4 4,525 Manatee 11,726 region] Polk-83,900 36,077 TOTAL 82,097 TOTAL,111,764 48,058 130,155 64,698 (65,457), SOUTHWEST REGION: Charlotte 31,039 18,658 19,171 DeSoto-17,340 7,456 Sarasota 43,828 10,942 Z7,070 Hardee-10,524 4,525 Lee 103,549 49,513 63,957 Highlands-11,684 5,024 Collier 49,723 33,298 30,711 Polk-83,900 36,077 TOTAL 229,139 TOTAI-123,448 53,082 281,221 64,698 (216,523) TREASURE COAST: Martin 20,685 [not provided Highlands-11,684 5,024 St.Lucie 31,W for Treasure Coast Okeechobee-30,571 13,146 Indian River 12,2,42 region] TOTAL 64,787 TOTAL-42,25� 18,170 95,199 64,698 (30,501)@ -58- Table 5 cont. Footnotes REGION - Combination of coastal counties that would probably be affected if a hurricane made landfall in that area. Coastal Evacuees Leaving County - Thess figures were provided by the respective Regional Planning Councils and Florida Department of Community Affairs. Unable to Shelter - These numbers are provided for the Southwest Florida evacuees only, and are not incorporated into evacuee totals. Do Not Know - These numbers are provided for the Southwest Florida evacuees only, and are not incorporated into evacuee totals. Central FL Counties Vulnerable Population - Includes inland counties most likely to be involved. Total includes eac h county's "at-risk" population minus seasonal vacancy rates for mobile homes. Seasonal occupancy for each county is assumed to be: DeSoto 100% Hardee 100% Highlands 50% Okeechobee 100% Polk 75% Expected to Shelter F43%1 - This figure was based on the results of the Behavioral Survey from the Central Florida Regional Hurricane Shelter Plan, 1983. An average was derived from data in Table 2B of that study (see Appendix B, p. B-47). Tot.Evac.Seeking Shelter - This the total of coastal and inland evacuees that would potentially be seeking shelter in public shelters. Public Shelter Space - This figure is the total inland public shelter space available. It includes primary and secondary shelters used by the American Red Cross and Civil Defense. Motel/Hotel space is not included in this number. The available space of hotels and/or motels for this region is 2286 (at 50% vacancy rate for the season). Availability/Deficit of Shelter Space - The results of subtracting available spaces from potential evacuee numbers. -59- DETERMINATION OF ADDITIONAL SHELTER SPACE Inland demand in worst case scenarios would tax available shelter space. The predicted influx of coastal evacuees would put the counties in a large deficit for the majority of hurricane scenarios. The American Red Cross generally utilizes public schools as primary shelters. Alternate shelters include churches and in some instances, other public buildings such as civic centers. A great portion of these buildings may be structurally unsound for use as public shelters in a hurricane situation due to type of roof construction or the amount of glass windows. However, there are a limited number of facilities available for use as shelters, especially in the more rural counties, and evacuees must be housed in whatever shelter is available. Hotels and motels may.be utilized as shelters and would most likely be the first choice of those evacuees traveling through the counties from outside the region. There are approximately 72 hotels/motels along the evacuation routes in the five county region (Appendix G), having a total of 4,469 rooms. The occupancy rate*.for hotels/motels during the hurricane months of June through November is an average of 50% for the region. Thus approximately 2,600 units will be available to evacuees. However, if the threat of a hurricane was present, there is the chance that occupants would leave the area prior to evacuation of the coastal and inland counties. Behavioral data show that an average of 8% of the evacuees would.seek shelter in hotels/motels. Use of shopping malls as shelters for this region would not be feasible during the storm event. There are only three enclosed shopping malls in the five county region: the Lakeland Square Mall, the Lakeland Mall, and the Winter Haven Mall. While these facilities are large enough to house many occupants, the following reasons would limit their use as shelters: 1. Lack of rest rooms in close proximity to designated shelter areas. Most rest rooms are located in the stores themselves, and not accessible-if the stores were locked. Also, there are no shower facilities. 2. Structural soundness would be questionable, as roofs @may contain skylights and/or would not be able to withstand gale force winds. Occupancy information was determined by telephone and written correspondence with the hotels/motels.. -60- 3. Security could prove to be a major problem for the stores located in the mall. The store locations are often in a "spread-out" arrangement and would make observation by security personnel difficult. There may be shopping areas located in the mall thoroughfares that are not enclosed and would make securing them impossible. The State Division of Emergency Management and county agencies will be conducting in-depth engineering surveys during the next few years that will evaluate all buildings with regard to their use as public shelters. Current information for this region may be re-evaluated when this survey is completed. After the survey results are examined by the office of Civil Defense and the American Red Cross Chapters, the current shelters will be re- evaluated as to their potential use. There is a potential for any building to be used as a public shelter when the need is clearly present. Actual use of a facility depends on its location, physical characteristics, and the location and capacity of safe areas within the facility. It is the task of.government ad the American Red Cross to locate, inventory and evaluate potential alternate public shelters. -61- I I I I I I I I APPENDIX A I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX A ESTIMATED TRAVEL CONDITIONS ON STATE HIGHWAYS IN DISTRICT I COUNTY HIGHWAY FROM TO THROUGH TRAFFIC LEVEL OF VIOLATE' LANES VOLUME SERVICE DOT STO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DESOTO US 17 CHARLOTTE COUNTY CP 760A 2 7.300 C NO US 17 CP 760A ARCADIA 2 7,300 C NO US 17 ARCADIA SR 70 2 12,300 C NO US 17 SP 70 ARCADIA AVE. 2 11,900 C NO US 17 ARCADIA AVE. HARDEE COUNTY a 7,500 C NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DESOTO SR 31 CHARLOTTE COUNTY CA 763 2 2,900 C NO SP 31 CA 763 SP 70 2 5,600 C NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DESOTO SA 70 MANATEE COUNTY LILY GRADE AD. 2 2,600 C NO SP 70 LILY GRADE PD. SP 72 2 4,900 C NO SA 70 SR 72 BEGINNING A-LANES 2 11,900 D YES SP 70 BEGINNING A-LANES BEGINNING ONE-WAY A 11,900 C NO SP 70 BEGINNING ONE-WAY US 17 2 8,200 C NO 5P 70 US 17 END ONE-WAY 2 9,AOO C NO SP 70 US 17 END ONE-WAY 2 8,AOO C NO SP 70 BEGINNING ONE-WAY US 17 2 7,500 C NO SP 70 @END ONE-WAY AVE.18th A 1,500 C NO SP 70 AVE.18th SP 31 2 1,500 C NO SR 70 SP 31 HIGHLANDS COUNTY a 7,500 C NO ------ DESOTO ----- SP-72 ---- SAPASOTA-COUNTY ---- SP-70,A*RCADIA ---------- 2------ A,100 ------C-------- NO-- HARDEE US 17 DESOTO COUNTY SP 66 2 6,AOO C NO US 17 SR 66 5P 6A 2 10,800 C NO US 17 SA 6A WIL.DUKE(WAUCHULA) 2 9,600 C NO US 17 WILL DUKE SR 636 A 16,500 C NO US 17 SP 636 TROPICANA PD. 2 1A,600 C NO US 17 TROPICANA PD. SP 62 2 IA,600 C NO US 17 SP 62 HARDEE ST. 2 9,200 C NO US 17 HARDEE ST. POLK COUNTY A 9,200 C NO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HARDEE SA 62 MANATEE COUNTY US 17 2 2,600 C NO HARDEE SP 6A MANATEE COUNTY PEACE RIVER 2 2,600 C NO SP 6A PEACE RIVER US 17 2 4,000 C NO SP 6A US 17 SA 636 2 3,AOO C NO SR 64 SR 636 HIGHLANDS COUNTY 2 5,500 C NO --------- ------ HARDEE SP 66 US 17 HIGHLANDS COUNTY 2 3,500 C NO ------- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HARDEE SR 636 US 17(WAUCHULA) AIRPORT ROAD. 2 7,200 C NO SA 636 AIRPORT ROAD SR 6A 2 3,100 C NO HIGHLANDS US 27 GLADES COUNTY SP 70 A 9,500 C NO US 27 SP 70 CR 29 .1 11,600 C NO US 27 CA 29 5R 661US 98 A 18,300 C NO US 27/98 SA 66fUS 98 SR 17(SEBAING) A 22,600 C NO US 27/98 SA 17(SEBAING) HAMMOCK ROAD A 38,500 C NO A-1 APPENDIX A cont. US 27198 HAMMOCK ROAD CA 63AA A 30,500 C NO US 27/98 CA 63AA SA 6A(AVON PARK) A 30,500 C NO US 27/98 SR 6A(AVON PARK) CA 17A A 29,700 C NO US 27/98 CA 17A POLK COUNTY A 25,600 C NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLANDS US 98 OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AIRPORT ROAD 2 3,500 C NO us 98 AIRPORT ROAD US 27 2 5,700 C NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLANDS SR 17 US 27 KENIWORTH (SEBRING 2 13,900 D No SP 17 KENIWORTH (SEBPING)PINE ROAD A 13,900 D NO SP 17 PINE ROAD EUCALPTUS 2 13,900 C NO SP 17 EUCALPTUS MAIN ST,(AVON PARK 2 5,600 C NO SP 17 HIGHLANDS US 27 A 13,100 C NO ------------------- w---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HIGHLANDS SR 6A HARDEE COUNTY US 27 2 9,100 C NO t__HIGHLANDS_____SP_66 ---- HAPDEE-COUNTY ------ US-27 ------------------ 2------ 2,600 ------C-------- NO- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ HIGHLANDS SP 70 DESOTO COUNTY US 27 2 3,500 C NO SP 70 US 27 CA 29 2 'q, AOO C NO SP 70 CA 29 OKEECHOBEE COUNTY 2 3,200 C NO ---------- OKEECHOBEE US 98/AAI MARTIN COUNTY HODGES ROAD 2 2,300 C NO US 98/A41 HODGES ROAD SP 78 2 9,700 C NO US 98/AAl SP 78 SP 70 A 22,900 c NO US 98/SSP70 US AAI END OF A LANES A 17,200 C NO US 98/SSP70 END OF A LANES SA 70 2 17,200 C NO ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 7 --------------------- OKEECHOBEE US 911 SP 70 CA 71B 2 7,600 C NO us 98 CA 71B CA 700A 2 2,300 C NO US 98 CA 700A HIGHLANDS COUNTY 2 2,100 C NO ------------------- I----------------------------------------------- --------------------------------- OKEECHOBEE US A41 SP 70 CSX RAILROAD 6 17,800 C NO US 4AI CSX RAILROAD CEMETARY ROAD 2 17,800 C NO US AA1 CEMETARY ROAD CR 68 5 2 A,AOO C NO US AA1 CA 68 S OSCEOLA COUNTY 2 3,200 C NO --------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------ OKEECHOBEE SP 70 HIGHLANDS COUNTY CA 70A 2 A,600 C NO SP 70 CA 70A us 98 2 9,AOO c NO SR 70 US 98 (OKEE.) END OF A LANES 4 20,200 C NO SR 70 END OF A LANES SA 710 2 20,200 F YES SP 70 SP 710 ST.LUCIE COUNTY 2 7,100 C NO VOK-EECH-0-BEE ------ S-P-7-8 ----- G_L_ADES__C_0_U_NT_Y ------- US_9_8__/A_A_l -------------- -2 ------ A,700 ------C--- NO ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OKEECHOBEE SP 710. SP 70 MARTIN COUNTY 2 6,AOO C NO POLK US 17 HARDEE COUNTY NORTH OF RAILROAD 2 6,AOO C NO US 17 NORTH OF RAILROAD SAND MOUNTAIN RD. 2 6,400 C NO US 17 SAND MOUNTIAN PD. US 9B A 11,AOO C NO US 17198 us 98 STUART RD.(BARTOW) Iq 13,100 C NO US 17/98 5TUART RD.(BARTOW) BU5.60 A 20,200 C NO US 17/98 BUS.60 SP 60 2 17,300 C NO US 17 SP 60 CRYSTAL BEACH RD. A Iq,eoo C NO A - 1) APPENDIX A cont. US 17 CPSYTAL BEACH RD. LAKE SHIPP DR. a 15,200 C NO US 17 LAKE SHIPP DR. SP 5AO 2 23,800 F YES US 17 SP 5AO SP 5A2 A 18,AOO C NO US 17 SP 5A2 SP 5AA A 22,500 D NO US 17 SP 5AA us 92 A 18,AOO C NO US 17/92 US 92 COLUMBIA STREET A 18,AOO C NO US 17/92 COLUMBIA STREET 5R 557 2 15,700 C NO US 17192 SP 557 END OF 2 LANE 2 15,700 C NO US 17/92 BEGINNING OF A LANEUS 27 A 15,700 C NO US 17/92 US 27 SP 17 A 17,900 C NO US 17/92 SP 17 ST. 17th 2 14,600 D NO US 17/92 HINSON AVENUE JOHNSON AVENUE 2 11,700 C No US 17/92 JOHNSON AVE. WIGGEP ROAD 2 8,700 C NO US 17/92 WIGGEA ROAD OSCEOLA COUNTY 2 C. NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK US 27/98 HIGHLANDS COUNTY ALT.US 27 A 20,100 c NO US 27/98 ALT.US 27 us 98 A 19,100 c NO US 27 us 98 RAY MARTIN ROAD A 21,100 C NO US 27 RAY MARTIN ROAD SP 60 A 29,300 C NO US 27 SR 60 CYPRESS GARDENS RD A 22,100 c NO US 27 CYPRESS GARDENS RD.SR 5A2.(DUNDEE PD) A 21,100 c NO US 27 DUNDEE ROAD SP 5AA (LUCERNE PK A 22,200 C NO US 27 LUCERNE PARK US 17/US 92 4 27,000 C NO US 27 US 17/ US 92 OLD POLK CITY PD. A 32,000 C NO US 27 OLD POLK CITY RD. 1-4 A 26,400 C NO US 27 I-A US 192 (LAKE CO.) A IA,000 C NO ------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------ POLK ALT.US 27 US 27 CR 630 a 1,800 c NO ALT.US 27 CR 630 N.FROSTPPOOF 2 6,300 C NO .ALT.US 27 NO.FPOSTPPOOF ROSS AVENUE 2 2,300 c NO ALT.US 27 ROSS AVENUE SA 60 a A,700 C NO ALT.US 27 SP 60 NO.PIDGE AVENUE 2 8,600 C NO ALT.US 27 NORTH RIDGE AVE. SR 5AO 2 5,700 C NO ALT.US 27 SR 5AO SR 5A2 2 4,000 C NO ALT.US 27 SR 5A2 SR 5AA 2 5,200 c NO ALT.US 27 SP 54A US 171 US 92 2 9,700 c NO ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- t ---------- POLK us 92 HILLSBOROUGH CO. SR 572 (AIRPORT RD 2 9,800 c NO US 92 AIRPORT ROAD WABASH AVENUE 2 19,600 0 NO US 92 NEW TAMPA HWY MEMORIAL BLVD. A 23,200 C NO US 92 WABASH AVE. KATHLEEN ROAD A 33,500 c NO US 92 KATHLEEN ROAD LINCOLN AVENUE A 34,500 D NO US 92 LINCOLN AVENUE SP 563 6 3A,500 C NO US 92 SP 563 US 98 (FL. AVE.) 6 36,800 C NO US 92 FLORIDA AVENUE LAKELAND HILLS 6 A3,800 D NO US 92 LAKELAND H.(SP 33) US 98 (PARKER) A 42,600 F YES US 92 PARKER GARY (BUS.92) A 32,100 C NO US 92 GARY (BUS.92) RECKER HWY A 32,000 C NO .US 92 RECKER HWY BARTOW AVENUE 6 29,100 C NO US 92 BARTOW AVE.(SP559) HAVENDALE BLVD 6 31,600 c NO US 92 HAVENDALC eLVD us 17 A 17,700 C NO -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ------------ POLK BUS.US 92 WABASH AVENUE BEGINNING ONE-WAY A 17,300 C NO BUS.Us 92 BEGINNING ONE-WAY SP 563 2 7,700 c NO A- 'I APPENDIX A cont. BUS.Us 92 SA 563 SR 37 (FL.AVE.) 2 9"600 C NO BUS*U5 92 FLORIDA AVE, MASS,AVENUE 2 10,000 C NO Bus.us 92 MASSACHUSETS AVE. MAIN STREET 2 10"400 C NO BU5.US 92 BEGINNIGN ONE-WAY SP 37 2 11,800 C NO BUS.Us 92 SP 37 SR 563 2 9,600 C NO BUS.Us 92 SP 563 END OF ONE-WAY 2 8,500 C NO BUS.US 92 END OF ONE-WAY BARTOW ROAD A 21,200 C NO BUS.Us 92 BARTOW ROAD us 98 A 12,900 C NO BUS.Us 92 us 98 GARY ROAD A 15,500 C NO BUS.Us 92 MAIN STREET MEMORIAL 4 11,AOO C NO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK -US 98 US 27 EDGEWOOD (FT.MEADE 2 3,700 C NO us 98 EDGEWOOD US 17 2 7,AOO c NO us 98 SP 60A(BAPTOW) MCKINNEY ST. 6 39,200 C NO @Us 98 MCKINNEY ST. PARKER AVE. 'q 32,700 c NO US 98 BARTOW ROAD BUS.92 (MAIN) A 26,900 C NO us 98 MAIN STREET US 92 (MEMORIAL) A 15,700 C NO 'US 98 MEMORIAL SR 563 2 21,500 C NO us 98 SP 563 I-A 2 25,600 F YES us 98 I-A SHARON DRIVE A 35,900 C NO us 98 SHARON DRIVE END OF A LANE A 2A,200 C NO US 911 END (IF A LANE Sll 171 2 12'Loo D No @Us 98 SP 471 PASCO COUNTY 2 4,600 C No ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ POLK HILLSBOROUGH CO. IMPERIAL PARKWAY A 59,600 0 NO I-A IMPERIAL PARKWAY MCNORIAL A 59600 D NO I-A MEMORIAL KATHLEEN PD. A A2200 C NO I-A KATHLEEN PD. us 98 A A9300 C NO I-A US 98 SOCAUM LOOP A 36700 C NO I-A SOCPUM LOOP SP 33 A AOAOO C NO I-A SR 33 SP 559 A AA300 C NO I-A SP 559 SP 557 A AA100 C NO I_'q 5R 557 US 27 A 13000 C NO -'I-A US 27 OSCEOLA COUNTY A 56600 C NO ------------------------------------------------------------------------ -------------------------- POLK SR 33 BUS.US 92 MEMORIAL A 19700 D NO SR 33 MEMORIAL ROBSON STREET 4 25000 C NO SP 33 ROBSON STREET I-A & SOCRUM LOOP 2 25000 F YES SR 33 I-A & SOCRUM LOOP 1-4 2 15000 C NO SP 33 1-4 SP 559 (POLK CITY) 2 7100 C No SP 33 SP 559 LAKE COUNTY 2 A200 C NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SR 35 BUS 60 (BARTOW) SP 60A A 18800 E YES SR 35 PARKER AVENUE BUS.92 A 14900 D NO SP 35 BUS.92 (MAIN) us 98 A 17500 D No F_ POLK ----- SA 37 -------- MANATEE -COUNTY ----- WIMAUMA-ROAD ----------- 2------- I-qoo ------ C-------- NO-- SR 37 SP 67A CP 6AO 2 A100 C NO SP 37 CR 640 DEAN (MULBERRY) 2 7400 C NO SP 37 DEAN SP 60 A 13000 C NO SP 37 SP 60@ SHEPARD ROAD 4 16500 C NO I.SR 37 SHEPARD ROAD PIPKIN ROAD A 22800 C NO SP 37 PIPKIN ROAD OPANEFIELD 6 A1400 C NO SR 37 DRANEFIELD ARIANA STREET A 39300 F YES 7\ - 4 APPENDIX A cont. SP 37 APIANA STREET BUS US 92 A 26200 E NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP 60 HILLSBOPOUGH CO. SR 37 (MULBERRY) A 19900 C NO S A60 SP 37 BUS.US 60 (BARTOW) A 22100 C NO SP 60 BUS.US 60 (BARTOW) US 98 2 18900 D NO SP 60 us 98 US 17 A 32800 D NO SP 60 US 17 - BUS.US 60 2 17300 C NO SP 60 BUS.US 60 US 27 (LAKE WALES) A 21100 c NO SP 60 US 27 ALT 27 A 17300 C NO SP 60 ALT 27 ELEVENTH ST. A 22700 c NO SP 60 ELEVENTH ST. CAPPS ROAD 2 8700 C NO SP 60 CAPPS ROAD LK.WALK-IN-WATEP 2 8700 c NO SP 60 LK.WALK-IN-WATEP ST.ANNE SHRINE PD. 2 7500 c NO SA 60 ST.ANNE SHRINE RD. FEDHAVEN 2 5900 c NO SR 60 FEDHAVEN TIGER LAKE ROAD 2 5900 C NO SP 60 TIGER LAKE ROAD CA 630 (INDIAN LK. 2 6AOO c NO ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP A71 us 98 SUMTER COUNTY 2 3AOO C NO POLK SR 531? SR 563 US 98 (MEMORIAL) q 13200 c NO SP 539 MEMORIAL I-A A 15800 c NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP 5AO US 17 NINTH STREET A 26AOO D NO SP 5AO NINTH STREET OVERLOOK DRIVE 2 26AOO F YES SR 540 OVERLOOK DRIVE US 27 A 9600 C NO SR 540 US 27 ALT 27 2 1900 c NO t --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP 5A2 US 17 BUCKEYE LOOP ROAD 2 29AOO c NO Sn 5A2 BUCKEYE LOOP PbAD US 27 2 12AOO c NO ------- ---- ---- -- -- POLK SP 5AA us 92 US 17 6 291qoo c NO SP 54A US 17 FIRST STREET 2 22700 F YES SA 5AA FIRST STREET US 27 2 9000 c NO SP 54A US 27 MYRTLE (HAINES CIT 2 5700 c NO SP 5Aq MYRTLE ALT 27 A 5700 c NO POLK SR 550 SR 540 SR 5A2 a 5900 c NO --------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------- t POLK SP 557 US 921 US 17 1-4 2 6000 c NO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SR 559 US 92 (AUBURNDALE) BOLENDER ROAD 2 6100 c NO SR 559 BOLENDER ROAD I-A 2 3500 c NO SR 559 I-A SP 33 (POLK CITY) 2 2200 c NO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP 563 BUS.US 92 (MAIN) KATHLEEN ROAD A 9800 c NO SR 563 KATHLEEN ROAD MEMORIAL A 9800 c NO SP 563 MEMORIAL US 98 (FLORIDA AVE A 9200 c NO ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POLK SP 572 US 92 (NEW TAMPA HYDPANE FIELD ROAD 2 6600 C NO SP 572 AIRPORT ROAD SP 37 2 12500 c NO ------- ---- POLK 5R 674 HILL560ROUGH CO. 5P 37 2 2200 C NO --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A - 5 I I I I I I I I APPENDIX B I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX B Development, Administration, and Analysis of a Behavioral Survey for the Central Florida Hurricane Shelter Plan b y Carnot E. Nelson and Michael Kleiman University of South Florida Submitted to the Central -@Iorida Regional Planning Council June, 1982 INTRODUCTION The purpose of this study was to provide the.Central Florida Regional Planning Council with behavioral data concerning residents' evacuation plans in the event of a hurricane. Data from this study will be used by the Council in developing an ev'acuation plan for the five county region (Polk, Hardee, Okeechobee, Highlands, and De Soto counties). Although not a coastal region, hurricanes preparedness is necessary for the region because of: (1) the necessity to evacuate mobile home residents because of high winds and the possibility of tornadoes, (2) the need to evacuate residents from flood prone areas and (3) the large influx of coastal residents who would flee inland if a hurricane struck the coast. METHODOLOGY Questionnaire Desiqn The Request for Proposal specified nine questions that the study needed to answer. These questions were: 1. The tendency to evacuate immediately if officially ordered by authorities even if storm conditions do not appear threatening to the resident. 2. When residents would tend to evacuate. 3. From what sources would the resident seek advice on whether and when to evacuate? 4. The desired destination of the resident when evacuating. 5. Route the evacuee would take to reach desired destination. 6. Number and type of vehicles at the place of residence. 7. How many vehicles would the household use in an evacuation? 8. Household characteristics: a. type of dwelling unit b. number of persons in household C. does hou.sehold need transportation assistance? d. number of handicapped persons B-1 9. Previous hurricane experience of resident. Based upon these questions and the study conducted by H. W. Lochner, Inc. for the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Council, a questionnaire was developed which formed part of the proposal to conduct the study. This draft was modified after consultation with CFRPC staff and a pretest of 20 randomly chosen residents of the five county area. The final questionnaire (see Appendix A), in addition to being designed to answer the specific questions of the Request for Proposal, contained questions relating to the age of the residents, the length of time they had lived in the five county area and where residents would go if evacuated.. Sampling Design and.Data Collection The sampling design-employed involved systematic sampling of residence listings in the phone-directories covering the five-county area. This type of sampling.is-considerLed a close approximation to random sampling forstudies such as the present one, and provides a nearly-complete coverage.of households* because the vast' bulk of households nowadays have listed phones. Sampling was done separately for each county to help ensure a sufficient.sample size from the less populous counties. To help ensure a sufficient numbers.1of mobile home households for analysis, a slight oversample of mobi.le homes was effected; it is estimated that, the proportion of mobile. home residences in the sample was 4.0% higher than in the population. The total number of completed interviews was 1257; the number of cases upon which each of the statistics @presented in this report is based are indicated in the tables in which the data are displayed. Interviewing was done by women from the Tampa Women's Survival Center, who were trained and supervised for accuracy by the principle investigators. Phone calls to sample members were made from 9:00 A.M. to 9:30-P.M.,seven days B-2 a week to help ensure variation in which household member answered the Iphone. Unless a particular phone number was not a working number or otherwise was unusable, an effort was made to make four attempts to reach someone at each number,, to minimize bias which might occur by completing interviews only for persons who are easy to reach. The overall interview completion rate was 78.9%; that is, 21,1% of persons reached by:phone refused to participate in the survey or the interview could not be completed because the individual being interviewed was hard of hearing or ill. This completion rate is within the range typically achieved for surveys of this type. Information from the completed questionnaires was coded by the principle investigators and by trained assistants supervised by them. Coded data were keypuhched by the University of South Florida's Keypunch Services. Apparent mispunches (which were few) were identified through the use of appropriate computer analysis by the principal investigators, and those potential mispunches were checked against the survey forms and corrected if a keypunching error had occurred. The data are stored on magnetic tape so that further analyses can be undertaken to address any future questions planning agencies may have. Several cautions which derive from the sampling methodology should be observed when interpreting the findings from the study. First, because of the oversample of mobile homes, analyses which aggregate mobile home with non-mobile home residences likely will include a larger proportion of mobile home households.than is the case for the actual five-county population. However, this is not expected-to be a major biasing factor for most analyses because the oversample of mobile homes was not large (see above). A second caution which should be observed in interpreting the findings involves results which are based on small numbers of cases (the numbers of cases are indicated B-3 in the each of.report's tables).. Sampling error is Tikely to be larger when small numbers of cases are involved than when results are derived from analyses based upon a large number of survey respondents. So that the reader will have a better idea of the accuracy of the sampling, Appendix B contains the means, standard errors, and 95'/0 confidence intervals for selected study variables, by county. The standard error aids judgment of the accuracy of the sampling because it helps in d etermining the potential degree of discrepancy between the sample mean and the population mean; in our case, between the means cal,culated from the data we collected and the actual means one would be able to calculate if one had complete data on everyone, rather than. just a sample of persons, from each county. Information on the exact statistical procedures for estimating standard errors for studies such as ours; that is, for which the researcher has data from one sample and does not know the true population means, can be found-in most good texts dealing with inferential statistics for survey research. Another measure which helps in judging the accuracy of sampling is the. 95% confidence interval. A 95% confidence interval is calculated from the.. sample mean and the standard error. This means that there is a 95% chance that the population mean lies within this interval. Because of the possibility, in any sampling procedure, of discrepancy between the values observed in the sample and the true population values, users of this report or of any study based on sample data should proceed with caution when it appears that the sampling may introduce inaccuracies large enough to meaningfully bias conclusions drawn from the data. Due to the nature and complexity of the information contained in the present report, confidence intervals or related statistics are not presented for all findings in this report. However, the standard errors and confidence intervals B-4 presented in Appendix B provide a useful guide to the degree of precision in the samples employed. Users of this report who have a need for information on the sampling accuracy relevant.to particular report findings should contact the principal investigators of the study prior to employing the study results for planning decisions. SURVEY RESULTS This section of the report will present findings relevant to the nine quest ions specified in the Request for Proposal and restated under "Questionnaire Design," above. The findings are organized into two broad categories. First, demographic and household characteristics are presented. These-are characteristics which help describe the nature of the people in the five-county area -- for example, what type of housing do people have, how many households consist of an elderly person living alone, and so for th. These demographic and household descriptions are important because they can help identify some of the special needs of the population in an evacuation. Second, evacuation-related findings are.presented. These findings deal with such issues as individual's willingness to evacuate, the route they might take in an evacuation, and.so forth. Household Characteristics Number of persons and agd"-6f oldest person in household. Information on household size and on the number of elderly residents is important because it can help pinpoint the number of people who would evacuate and the proportion of elderly residents who live alone. Household size varies somewhat from county to county (see Table 1). For example, about one in five (20.7%) households in,Highlands county consists of a lone resident. The analogous B-5 percentages for Polk and De Soto counties are .16.9 and 14.6, respectively, but in Hardee (9.9%) and Okeechobee (8.6%) counties less than one in ten households are comprised of a single person living alone. Breakdown of these. data separately for mobile home and non-mobile home.residents (Table 2) suggests only fairly small differences between these two types of residences with regard.to the proportion of single person households. The potentially critical nature of the above information is highlighted when one examines the age data. As.can be seen in Table 3, for example, between 28.9% (Okeechobee county) and 44.4% (DeSoto county) of households in the five-county region include a household member age 65 or over. Furthermore, in each county a large proportion of these househo.l,ds consists of an elderly (over age .65) person living al.one or with one other person also age 65 or older (Table 4). Combining the above information from Table 3 with that from Table 4 allows us to calculate the percentage of.total households. in--each county wbich consist of an aged individual living alone or with one other person who is elderly also. These percentages.are 26 for Polk, 18.3 for Hardee, 12.6 for Okeechobee county, 32.8 fo r Highlands, and 27.5 for DeSoto. The large number of families whicK contain at least one elderly individual,, and especially the-high proportion of households which consist of an aged person living alone or with one other person over 65, suggests that7planners may wish.to give extra consideration to the special needs of the aged when designing evacuation programs, planning for the operation of public shelters, And so forth. (See the discussion on special needs and Tables 7, 8, and 9 below.) One additional aspect of households with an aged resident or residents should be mentioned. In each county, mobile homes are more likely to contain an elderly household member than are non-mobile home households (Tab.le 5). B-6 That this dwelling type (mobile homes) which is especially susceptible to wind damage is also especially likely to.house the aged further complicates the evacuation planning. An estimate of the proportion of households in each county which are mobile homes is shown in Table 6; these percentages range from 50.0 for Okeechobee county to 16.2 for Hardee county. The reader should keep in mind, however, that these figures are slight overestimates because of the required oversampling of mobile homes. Need for special evacuation assistance. In order to help determine the independent ability of people to evacuate, we asked whether anyone in the household would need special assistance to travel, whether outside assistance would be required to evacuate those persons, and whether transportation such. as a bus or taxi would be needed. Data relevant to these questions are presented in Tables 7, 8, and 9. Shown in Table 7 are both the proportions of households which contain someone who needs special assistance to travel, as well as the specifi.c reasons given for the need for assistance. The percentages of households with such needs are 8.6 for Polk, 11.3 for Hardee, 5.3 for Okeechobee county, 9.2 for Highlands, and 5.1 for DeSoto. The-percentages of households for which outside assistance would be needed, due to the handicaps in Table 7, for evacuation are 5.5 for Polk, 7.7 for Hardee, 3.3 for Okeechobee county, 7.5 for Highlands,:and 2.2 for DeSoto (Table 8). Outside assistance in the fo rm of bus or taxi transportation will also be needed for some households; the percentages of households which need assistance of this type are, for the above counties, respectively,.2.8, 2.8, 3.3, 5.2, and 1.5 (Table 8). these data are disaggregated in Table 9 so that the percentages are calculated separately for mobile home and non-mobile home dwellers. Transportation resources. Survey respondents were asked to specify the numb er of cars and trucks in the household, and to indicate the types of vehicles owned (sedan, station waqon, jeep, pickup truck, or van). This information is presented in Table 10 and is decomposed for mobile home.and non-mobile home residents in Table 11. The data from this portion of the survey are consistent with that regarding needs for evacuation assistance (see above) in suggesting that only a small proportion of households is without household-owned transportation. For example; the proport ions of households with no vehicle range from 5.2% in Kighlands county to 2.6% in Okeechobee.county. Furthermore, these percentages are, for each county except Highlands, higher than those..indicating the proportion of persons needing transportation such as a bus or taxi (see Table 8). These results imply that members of some households with no vehicle may be able to get transportation from a neighbor or.friend. In any event, the vast bulk of households have at least one vehicle, and. when one considers that few households contain more members (see Table 1) than can fit in a typical.. car or truck, it becomes clear why so few households specify a need for bus or. taxi transportation. Length of residence in area, seasonal residence, and previous hurricane experience. Length of residence in the area canbe-an important factor in a hurricane because-persons who are relative, newcomers may not be famfliar with the local civil defense system, public shel,ter network, roads, and other elements crucial to a successful evacuation effort. As can be seen in Table 12 at least one out of ten persons in each county has lived in the region for four years or less; for Okeechobee county and Highlands county the proportions are almost one in four (23.7%) and close to one in three (29.9%), respectively. Inspection of Table 13 reveals that the "typical" mobile home B-8 dweller is likely to have more recently settled in the area than is the case for his non-mobile home counterpart. In each county, the median number of years in the area is lower for mobile home residents than for non-mobile home residents. It will also be useful in developing an evacuation plan to know how many persons have experienced a hurricane previously, and how many have been evacuated. This type of information provides yet.another indication of the extent of the public's inexperience with hurricane evacuations. As can be seen in Table 14, the vast majority of the regi,on's residents have never been evacuated due to a hurricane. The county with the highest proportion (21.7%) of residents which have experienced an evacuation is Okeechobee. And, about one in three (32.9%) of Okeechobee respondents said they had experienced Hurricane Frederick in 1979. With regard to the other counties, much smaller percentages of residents than is the case for Okeechobee have been evacuated, and the most common hurricane experience involved Hurricane Donna, which occured more than twenty years ago, in 1960. It would seem, then, that experience with previous hurricanes and hurricane evacuati.ons is not widespread in the five-county region, and thus planners will not be dealing with a populace which has had widespread direct familiarity with hurricane conditions. The breakdown of these results by residence type (Table 15) shows som e interesting patterns. In all counties except De Soto, mobile home residents are less likely than non-mobile home residents to have been in a hurricane. Yet in three of the five counties, mobile home residents are more likely to have been evacuated. These data are consistent with findings to be presented later (Tables 21 and 23) which will show that mobile home residents are more likely than non-mobile home residents to say they will evacuate, will evacuate B-9 immediately upon an evacuation order if the weather were fine, and will leave before an official order if a hurricane were to make landfall. These various findings suggest that mobile home residents may be aware of the particular dangers a hurricane will pose for them and are by and large willing to evacuate, and to do so in short order, jf the need arises. Tables 16 and 17 show that most residents of the region are year-round residents. It is important to note, however, that for several counties the proportion of mobile home residents who are seasonal is high. For example,. 20.1% of mobile home residents in Polk county are seasonal, and the analogous figures for Highlands and De Soto counties are 17.9% and 15.1%,..respectively.. As might be expected, the bulk of these seasonal residents are."snowbirds" who are here from November/December to April/May. Evacuation Behavior The information presented thus far has@concerned the household and demographic characteristi.cs of the residents of.the five, county region. Of. more direct concern is the anticipated behavior of those residents in an evacuation. The present section of this report will present selected-findings relevant to the prediction of evacuation beh avior. These findings will address the issues of (1) the sources from which individuals will seek evacuation advice, (2) if and when residents.will evacuate., (3) the.vehicles they will use to evacuate.' and (4) the desired and anticipated shelters, and their locations, to which evacuation will occur.,, as well the'roadways which. evacuees will use to travel to those locations. Anticipated sources of evacuation advice. Survey respondents were asked from whom they would seek advice on whether and when to evacuate. Four sources--neighbor, friend, local government or law enforcement officials, and B-10 National Weather Service advisories on radio or television -- were presented to the persons interviewed, who were encouraged to specify all sources from which they would seek information. As can be seen in Table 18, for each county more than 9 out of every 10 respondents specified National Weather Service advisories-as a source from which they would seek evacuation advice. These percentages are high for both non-mobile home and mobile home residents (Table 19). These results suggest that, while ideally all available media should be employed to ensure that publicity of an evacuation reaches as many persons as possible, from the standpoint of efficiency or in a situation of limited resources National Weather Service advisories may provide the most effective single source for disseminating evacuation information. Anticipated time respondent would evacuate. Persons interviewed were asked, "If a hurricane were to.hit the coast when, if ever, would you evacuate: (a) before an official order to do so, (b) when given the official order to do so, or (c) would not evacuate." Individuals who indicated that they would evacuate before an official order to do so were asked how soon before the hurricane was expected to hit the coast they would leave, and persons who said they would leave when given the official order to do so were asked how soon, assuming everyone were home, they would be ready to leave. Results for these survey items are presented in Table 20 for all types of residences combined, and separately for mobile homes and non-mobile homes in Table 21. The percentages of respondents who would not evacuate even if given an official order to do so range from 9.9 (for Okeechobee county) to 24.1 (for Hardee county), although in each county the proportion of mobile home residents who say they woul.d not evacuate is much lower than the analogous percentage for non-mobile home residents (Table 21). The fact that at least roughly one in ten respondents, and as high as almost one in four persons inter-viewed (in Hardee county), said thev would not evacuate suggests that evacuation orders should stress the necessity of evacuating and perhaps be. worded in such a way that persons understand the risks involved in failing to. evacuate. In this regard, one important factor which helps identify those persons who are reluctant to evacuate is long-tem,,residence in the five county area (Table 22). In three of the five counties studied, respondents who have resided in the area for 30 years or more are substantially more likely than are their neighbors who are more recent arrivals to say they will not evacuate. For those three counties (Polk, Hardee, and Highlands) evacuation. personnel may-wish.to try to orient evacuation announcements toward these "old timers," if possible. Most respondents, however, indicated that they would evacuate, and the most frequently stated time of evacuation, forboth mobile'home and non-mobile home dwellers, is wfien given the official. evacuation order rather than.before such an order is issued. -Yet, it should be stressed that in general mobile. homeresidents exhibit substantially greater evacuation readiness..than do. their non-mobile home counterparts (Table 21). As stated above, mobile home dwellers are wre likely to evacuate, and they also are more likely to evacuate before an official order than are non-mobile home residents. Regardless of residence type, th e data suggest that, typically, individuals will be ready to leave almost immediately, assuming everyone is home. In no category in Table 20 or Table 21 is the median time needed to be ready to leave over one hour. These results suggest that residents of the five-.county region do not feel that they will need a long time period. to pack up or otherwise put things in order, and that delays of this type are not likely to be a problem in a hurricane evacuation in this area. The reader should B-12 remember, however, that the survey question assumes that all household members are home, and that a substantial proportion of individuals surveyed say they will not evacuate at all (see discussion above). The information in Tables 20 and 21 can serve as a rough quide for planners and others- in estimating the time sequencing of demands on roadways, shelters, and the like in the event of an evacuation. What these data provide is a means for estimating the numbers of people who will evacuate before an evacuation order, and how long before that order those persons will evacuate; the numbers of individuals who will leave when the evacuation order' is forthcoming and.how soon those persons would be ready to leave; and the numbers of individuals who would not evacuate at all. This type of information can be critical in judging the gradualness or suddenness of the "phase-in" of traffic build-up, need for special evacuation.assista'nce, influx to public shelters, and so forth. However, it should be stressed that these data should be employed in a judgmental sense rather thanas an exact predictive model. The reason for this is that the phase-in,may diverge from that suggested by Tables 20 and 21as the conditions associated with the particular hurricane vary. For example, it seems reasonable to assume that more people would evacuate before an official evacuation order if the order were given very late and the weather appeared very ominous, than if the evacuation were given early on and the weather were fine. To get a perspective on this particular issue, we asked whatrespondents would do if told to evacuate but the weather were fine. Between 62.7% and 78.4% of persons in each county said they would leave immediately (Table 23), and, except for Okeechobee county, mobile home residents are more likely than non-mobile home residents to do so (Table 24). Additional details are, available from Tables 23 and 24. B-13 Vehicles to be used for evacuation. Data,concerning the number and types of vehicles which survey respondents anticipate they would use if they were to evacuate are shown in Tables 25 and 26. Perhaps the most relevant point here. relates to the proportions of respondents who specified that two,or more vehicles would be employed. These proportions are generally low for both mobile home and non-mobile home dwellers. This finding jibes with the information on household size (Tables 1 and 2) presented earlier, and that regarding number of vehicles per household (Tables 10 and 11), which suggests that the vast bulk of households have a vehicle and are small enough that all busehold residents probably can fit in that vehicle. The likelihood that the overwhelming majority.of households will use one vehicle to evacuate can be used in conjunct ion with data from Tables 20 and 21 (when they would evacuate) to help judge the extent of traffic in an evacuation. Again, however, this information should be used in aJudgmental sense-because such factors as the number of persons who would not evacuate my change with specific conditions (for example, the weather) associated with a particular hurricane. Anticipated evacuation destinations, locations, and routes to be taken. Persons interviewed were asked both where they would like to go if evacuated and- where they would go. Responses were sought both in terms of the type of evacuation destination (public shelter, friend or relative, or motel), its geographic location, and the major streets and highways respondents would use to travel to the destination. Data on respondents! desired evacuation destinations are given in Tab,le 27. The most frequently mentioned such destination is a public shelter. Around half the persons interviewd from each of the three counties Polk (49.4%), Hardee (51.2%), and Highlands (54.4%) specified this type of facility; the analogous percentages for Okeechobee and De Soto counties are B-14 39.6 and 58.5, respectively. Planners thus should keep in mind that in an evacuation in these five counties, demand for public shelter space may be very high, and that the public shelter system may well be asked to accommodate between four and six out of every ten households. In this regard, it should also be noted that-the vast bulk of households,(between 89.6% and 98.6%) may want to.use a public shelter in the county of residence rather than in another county. Besides public shelters, the next most frequently mentioned desired evacuation destinations, in order of frequency of mention, are "friend" and motel Roughly one*fifth to o*ne-third of respondents specified friend, and about one-tenth to one-fifth of persons interviewed mentioned motel. It is worth.noting that evacuees are more likely to desire to travel out of county to reach these two. types of-destinations; this is especially true for Hardee county residents desiring to go to a motel. It should also be mentioned that between 8.1% (for Hardee county) and 16.6% (for Polk cou nty) of,survey respondents indicated that they do not know what type of shelter they would like to travel to in an evacuation. Additional details on desired evacuation destinations and locations are available from Table 27. It is perhaps.worth stressing again the heavy demand on public shelters which may be likely to occur in an evacuation. Not only do many people state outright they would want to go to a public shelter (see above), it is also true that among respondents who said they would want to go to a friend or relative, for each county more than half specified the location of the friend or relative as within the same county as that in which the personbeing interviewed resides. Of course, it is possible or perhaps even likely that the friend or relative that the survey respondent had in mind when answering would himself have to evacuate. In such a case, the friend or relative would not constitute-a viable evacuation destination., and such evacuees may show up at a public s@elter (a motel may also not be a suitable location for the same reason). The above data on persons' desired destinations parallel those regarding where respondents feel they would go (Tables 28 and 29), at least as far as the ordering of frequency of mention of destinations is concerned. That is, the most frequently mentioned destination remains public shelter, followed by friend or relative and motel in that order. This pattern holds both for all residents and separately for mobile home dwellers and non-mobile home residents. However, mobile home residents (except those in Polk county) are somewhat more likely to say they would go to a public shelter than are their non-mobile home counterparts, and are somewhat more likely to know what shelter type '(public shelter, friend or relative, or.motel) they would seek (again, Polk county is the exception). In general, as might be expected,--- respondents were more likely-to say they don't know where they would.go (Tables 28 and 29) than to say they don't know where they would like-.to go (Table 27). If we assume that respondents who indic.ate they do not know where they wou-ld go will end up at a public shelter, the proportion of evacuees who will have to be taken care of by public shelters ranges from 82.1% in Highlands to 59.9% in Okeechobee County. One finding from Table 28 which planners will want to heed involves the large proportions of persons who say they would go to a public shelter., who do not know where that public shelter is located. These proportions range from 38.8% (Polk) to 83.6% (De Soto). One possibility here is that individuals know which facilities are likely to be used as public shelters but do not know which particular shelter they would use. But another possibility is that B-16 people do not know the locations of their public shelters or likely public shelters at all. Thus, planners fruitfully might give some thought to providing clear and intensive information about public shelter locations prior to a potential hurricane landfall, to ensure that confusion about where the public shelters arie located is kept to a minimum during the actual evacuation. As a possible aid in such publicity efforts, Table 30 disaggregates infonnation on where people would go by number of years of residence in the five-county area. In addition to knowing the types of facilities people would seek out in an evacuation, it will be useful to know how many individuals feel they will travel out-of-county or out-of-state. Information of this sort for each facility type and with regard to where individuals would like to go is presented in Table 27 and was summarized briefly above. Tables 31 and 32 show these results aggregated for al I facilities and with regard to where persons say they would go. Al I three of the tables just mentioned suggest that people general.ly will travel within their county of residence rather than going out-of-state or out-of-county. This pattern holds both for all dwellinq types as a group, and separately for mobile homes and non-mobile homes. But, between 31.9% (Okeechobee county) and 12.2% (De Soto county) of residents do expect to travel beyond their county line, and evacuation personnel may wish to use the. information in Tables 31 and 32 to estimate the amount and directions of inter-county travel. However, these data should be used as a rough guide only, in conjunction with the specifics of the particular threatening hurricane. For example, although 11.0% of Hardee respondents said they would evacuate to Polk county, that figure way be lessened if weather reports are forecasting extensive damage in the Polk area. As a last observation regarding Tables 31 and 32, it is interesting to note how many A_ 1 -7 respondents specified they would go out-of-state (including Georgia) or "north". For all counties except De Soto, roughly one out of ten persons interviewed so responded. Interestingly, for DeSoto the comparable figure is only 2.4%. Tables 33 and 34 show the most frequently mentioned routes respondents said they would take in an evacuation. For Polk county residents, routes 60 (18.0% mentioned this route) and 27 (22.8%) may experience heavy travel, as to .a lesser extent may route 98 (8.8%), 1-4 (6.0%) and 1-75 (11.2%). Hardee county residents say they will use routes 17 (31.3%), 64 (11.9%) and 27 (2.9,b). For Okeechobee county, a variety of roadways were.mentioned, most commonly routes 441 (37.4%) and 70 (18.7%). Highlands county residents overwhelmingly say they will.use route 27 (45.9%),. al-ong with local roads (43.2%),-'and some will use 1-75 (9.4%). De Soto county residents mentioned two routes most frequently': 17 (35.2%) and 70 (25.3%). It should be noted- that in addition to the routes mentioned above, in all counties local roads. are likely to be fairly heavily traveled. The percentages of respondents who mentioned local roads are 28.8 for Polk, 47.8 for Hardee, 12.1 for Okeechobee, 43.2 for Highlands, and 30.1 for De Soto. .In using these results for planning purposes, two things should be kept ininind. First, as with some of the other data presented in thi s report (see above), road usage may vary somewhat with the particulars of the hurricane involved. Second, it is likely that many individuals mentioned the most major routes they might use. Planners should be sensitive as well to the possibilities for heavy traffic problems on more minor routes,.such as short access roads leading from population centers to the more major thoroughfares shown in Tables 34 and 34. B-18 General Conclusions In this section we will present some of the most important highlights for plannings purposes. 1. The population in general and especially those who live in mobile homes is elderly. 2. Although a relatively small percentage of the residents need special assistance to evacuate or are without transportation, in absolute numbers this could be a substantial amount of people. 3. Although a substantial percentage of the respondents indicated experience with hurricanes, this experience except for Okeechobee county was with Donna in 1960. 4. The National Weather Service is the source of advice most frequently mentioned. 5.. Although most people will evacuate when ordered to do so, a substantial proportion would never evacuate and mobile home dwellers would tend to evacuate prior to the order to so. 6. If family members are home, respondents indicated they could be ready to leave almost immediately. 7. In general only one vehicle per residence will be used. 8. Most people would evacuate to public shelters within their own county. Based on these data, there will be a great demand placed on public shelters. 9. A substantial proportion of respondents do not know where.their public shelter is. B-19 Ta I e I Number Persons in Household By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Hi hlands DeSoto Number (N=650) (N=142) (N=152) (C174) (N=137) 1 16.9 9.9 8.6 20.7 14.6 2 42.0 33.8 44.7 51.1 45.3 3 18.6 23.2 21.2 11.5 17.5 4 13.5 13.4 16.4 13.8 13.9 5 6.0 11.3 5.9 1.1 5.8 6 or more 2.9 8.4 2.8 1.7 2.9 B-20 Tabl e 2 Number of Persons in Household for Mobile Homes and Non-Mobile Homes by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH Number (N=159) (N=491) (N=23) (N=119) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=135) (N=53) (N=84' 1 17.3 13.0 9.2 9.2 7.9 17.9 21.5 13.2 15.5 2 50.3 39.3 43.5 31.9 56.6 32.9 64.1 47.4 60.4 35.7 3 12.6 20.6 30.4 21.8 17.1 26.3 10.3 11.9 15.1 19.0 4 12.6 13.8 8.7 14.3' 10.5 22.4 5.1 16.3 7.5 17.9 5 5.7 6.1 ---- 13.4 3.9 7.9 2.6 1.5 1.9 8.3 6 or more 3.2 2.8 4.3 9.2 2-6 2.6 ---- 1.5 1.9 3.6 Median 2.18 2.33 2.35 2.90 2.22 2.85 2.00 2.1 2.11 2.47 B-21 Jable 3 Age of Oldest Resident By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto (N=641) (N=141) (N=152) (N=170) (N=137) 24 and Under 1.2 2.1 2.6 4.2. 2.2 25 - 34 11.9 10.7 7.9 8.8 8.7 35-- 44 15.1 18.4 13.2 8.8 13.2 45 - 54- 14.2 19.9 21.7 5.9 15.3 55 - 64 17.4 14.1 1,83 18.8 16.1 65 74 26.5 19.9 19.0 24.7 29.9 75 84 11.5 10.6 7.9 15.9 12.4 85 and Over 1.2 4.3* '2.0 2.9 2.2 Median 5'9.8 53.4 50.0 65.0 60.7 Percentage.of residences 39.2 .34.8 28.9 43.5 44.5 with at least one per- son 65 and over B-22 Table 4 Number of Residents in Homes Where Oldest Resident 65 or Older by County (Percenta-ge) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Number (N=258) (N=49) (N=54) (N=94) (N=61) 1 30.2 18.4 13.0 28.7 21.3 2 56.2 57.1 59.3 62.8 67.2 3 9.3 10.2 14.8 4.3 6.6 4 or-more 4.3 14.3 13.0 4.3 4.9 Note: Percentage of cases where second older resident also 65 or over 64.2 60.0 56.5 74.6 60.4 Note: Percentage of either alone or with person 65 or over 66.3 52.7 43.5 75.5 61.9 B-23 Table 5 Age of Oldest Resident for Mobile Homes and Non-Mobile Homes by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH. NMH MH RMH MH NMH. MH NF Age (N=159) (,N=4a3) (.N=22) (N=119) (N=76) (N=76) (N=38) (N=132) (N=53) (N=, .34 and under 12.7 13.3 18.2 11.8 7.9 13.2 7.9 12.1 13.2 35 64 38.6 49.2 40.9 54.6 47.4 60.5 13.2 38.7 35.0 51 65 and over 48.7 37. 5 40.9 33.6 45.7 26.3 78.9 49.2 52.8 3S Median 62.2 58.1 56.5 52.9 60.5 53.0 68.2 64.2 64.8 59 B-24 Table 6 Type of Residence By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Type (N=651) (N=142) (N=152) (N=174) (N=137) Single Family 67.7 80.3 46.7 70.7 55.5 Two Fa@mily 2.0 2.1 2.6 3.4 4.4 Apartment 5.7 1.4 0.7 2.9 1.5 Mobile Home 24.4 16.2 50.0 22.4 38.7 Other 0.2 ---- ---- 0.6 ---- B-25 Jabl e 7 Special Needs of Residents By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Need (N=645) (N=142) (N=152) (N=174) (N=137) Elderly 1.8 3.5 2.6 1.1 1.5 No Car or Doesn't Dri've 1 -.1 1.4 --- 2.8 0.7 Blind 0.3 0.7 0.6 Walks With Cane 0.5 --- --- Arthritis 0.5 0.6 --- Parkinson's Disease 0.2 --- Retirement Home 0.2 --- --- Retarded 0.3 1.4 Paralyzed 0.2 Bad Knees or Legs 0.3 --- --- --- --- Wheel Chair Bound 0.5 0.7 1.3 0.6 0.7 Invalid 0.2 0.7 --- 1.1 --- Heart Trouble & Stroke 0.5 1.4 0.7 1.7 0.7 Brain Tumor --- --- ---- --- 0.7 Bad Sight & Hearing --- --- 0.6 --- Multiple Sclerosis 0.2 --- --- Mentally Ill 0.2 Emphysema 0.2 --- Diabetes 0.2 --- --- --7 Doesn't Want to Travel 0.2 Need Oxygen --- 0.7 Handicapped --- 0.7 --- --- --- Not Specified 0.5 0.7 --- --- --- I No Need 91.4 88.7 94.7 90.8 94.9 B-26 Table 8 Assistance Needed By County (Percent) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto (N=651) (N=142) (N=152) (N=174) (N=137) Assistance Because of Handicap 5.5% 7.7% 3.3% 7.5% 2.2% Assistance Because Need Bus or Taxi 2.8% 2.8% 3.3% 5.2% 1.5% Number of People Who Need Assistance and Have No Car 19 4 6 1 B-27 Tabl e 9 Special Needs of Residents and Mobile Home, Non-Mobile Homes Residence by County County Polk Hardee' Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH. NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH Nh (N=159) (N=492) (N=23) (N=119) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=132) (N=53) (N@_@ P Percent with Special Needs 8.2 7.5 13.0 14.3 3.9 5.3 10.3 7.4 ---- 9 Assistance Needed Because of Handicap 6.3 .5.3 13.0 6.7 3.9 2.6 7.7 7.4 ---- Need Bus or Taxi 1.9 3.0 3.4. 2.6 3.9 5.1 5.2 ---- IB-28 Table 10 Type of Vehicles and Number by County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Number (N=650) (N=139) (N=152) (N=122) (N=137) Total 0. 4.5 3.6 2.6 5.2 2.9 1 37,4 33.8 33..6 55.8 51.1 2 42.4 38.1 38.8 26.2 32.8 3 11.8 15.8 21.1 8.7 8.0 4 3.1 6.5 2.6 2.3 2.9 5or more 1.1 2.1 1.4 1.7 2.1 Sedans 0 13.7 27.1 20.4 17.3 19.7 1 58.2 49.3 54.6 69.4 68.6 2 23.1 20.7 23.0 10.4 3 4.0 2.9 2.0 2.3 2.2 4 0.6 ---- ---- 0.6 ---- 5or more 0.3 ---- ---- ---- Station Wagons 0 90.9 81.0 88.2 88.4 86.1 1 8.9 17.6 11.2 10.4 13.9 2or mo re 0.2 ---- 0.7 1.2 ---- Jeeps 0 98.0 92.9 96.7 99.4 97.8 1 or more 2.0 7.1 3.3 0.6 Z.2 Pick Up Trucks 0 70.3 50.0 52.0 75.1 64.2 1 26.3 41.4 41.4 22.0 33.6 2or more 3.5 8.5 6.6 2.9 2.2 Vans 0 95.4 95.0 93.4 93.6 92.7 1 or more 4.6 5.0 6.6 6.4 7.3 B-29 Table 11 Type of Vehicles, Number and Mobile Home, Non-Mobile Home Resident by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMHI _MH NMH MH NYIH MH NMH MH NMH Number (N=159) (N=491) (N=23) (N=116) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=133). (N=53) (N=8 Total 0 1.3 5.5 4.3 2.6 2.6 5.1 5.3 1.9 3 1 50.9 33.0 56.5 29.3 47.4 19.7 69.2 51.9 69.8 39. 2 34-6. 44.6 34.8 38.8 35.5 42.1 23.1 27 * 1 20.8 40. 3 11.3 12.0 8.7 17.2 10.5 31.6 2.6 10.5 3.8 10, 4 or more 1.8 4.9 7.8 3.9 3.9 ---- 5.3- 3.8 6. Sedans 0 13.8 13 * 7 34.8 25.6 25.0 15.8 20.5 16.4 28.3 14 1 67.3 55.3 52.2 48.7 57.9 51.3 .74.4 67.9 66.0 70 2 15-7 25.5 13.0 22.2 14.5 31.6 5.1 11.9 5.7 11, 3 or more 3.1 5.5 3.4 2.6 1.3 ---- 3.7 3 Station Wagons 0 90.6 91.0 73.9 83.8 92.1 84.2 89.7 88.1 84.9 86. 1 or more 9.4 8.8 26.1 16.2 7.9 14.5 10.3 11.9 15.1 13. Jeeps 0 99.4 97.6 100.0 91.5 96.1 97.4 100.0 99.3. 100.0 96 1 or more 0.6 2.4. 8.5 3.9 2.6 ---- 0.7 3 Pick Up Trucks 0 73.0 69.4 60.9 47.9 51.3 52.6 87.2 71.6 66.0 63 1 or more 27.0 30.6 39.1 52.1 48.7 47.4 12.8 28.4 34.0 36 Vans 0 .93.1 96.1 95.7 94.9 96.1 90.8 92.3 94.0 94.3 91 1 ormore 6.9 3.9 4.3 5.1 3.9 9.2 7.7 6.0 5.7 & B-30 Table 12 Years Living In Five County Area By County (_Percentage) County Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Years (.N=647) (N=140) (N=152) (N=1.74) (N=137) 0 - 4 15.8 10.0 23.7 29.9 17.5 5 - 9 16.2 12.9 22.4 17.2 27.0 10 - 14 13.7 10.7 18.4 19.5 17.5 15 --19 8.2 11.4 7.2 3.4 9.5 20 - 24 8.1 12.1 4.0 7.5 9.5 .25 - 29 7.9 4.3 3.9 5.2 4.4- 30 - 34 6.5 7.2 3.3. 4.6 6.1 35 - 39 6.3 3-5 3.3 4.0 0.7 40 - 44 5.4 4.3 2.6 2.3 2.2 45 - 49 2.4 4.3 3.3 0.6 1.5 50 or more 9.7 19.3 7.9 5.7 5.1 Median 16.6 21.5 10.0 9.8 10.2 B-31 Table 13 Years Living in Area and Mobile Home, Non-Mobile Home Resid.ence by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH Years (N=159) (N=488) (N=22) (N=118) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=135) .(N=53) (N=8 0 - 9 56.6 24.0 36.4 20.3 56.6 35.5 71.8 40.0 43.4 45.2 10 - 19 20.8 22.3 27.2 21.2 27.6 23.7 23.1 23.0 28.3 26.2 20 - 29 11.3 17.2 18.2 16.1 6.6 -9.2 ---- 16.3 18.9 10.7 30.- 39 7.5 14.6 ---- 12.7 7.9 2.6 10.3 7.5 4.8 40 - 49 1.9 9.6 4.5 9.4 1.3 10.5 ---- 3.7 ---- 6.0 50 or more 1.9 12.3 16.6 20.3 2.6 13.2 2.6 6.7 1.9 7.1 Median 7.4 20.4 15.0 22.3 7.3 12.5 4.9 11.6 9.9 11.0 B-32 Table 14 Previous Hurricane Experience By County (Percentage) qounty Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Percent (N=651) (N=142) (N=152) (N-174) (N=137) Yes 64.7 67.6 80.3 67.8 67.2 Donna 1960 29.3 39 .4 6.6 22.4 29.2 Frederick 1979 4.1 2.1 32.9 12.6 2.2 1938 korm ---- -- 6.6 1964 Storm ---- ---- 4.6 ---- ---- 1969 Storm ---- 7.0 ---- ---- ---- Several 1.1 4.9 .9.9 5.7 4.4 Evacuated 9.1 11.3 21.7 10.9 12.4 B-33 Table 15 Previous Hurricane Experience of Mobile and Non-Mobile Home Res idents by County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH (N=159) (N=490). (N=23) (N=118) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=135) (N=53) (N=84, Percent Yes 54.1 68.1 56.5 70.3. 78.9 81.6 43.6 74.8 71.7 64.3 Donna 1960- 20.8 32.1 34.8 .40.3 3.9 9.2 7.7 26.7 20.8 34.5 Frederick 1979 5.0 .3.9 8.7 0.8 34.2 '31.6 12.8. 12.6 3.8 1.2 Several 1.3 1.0 ---- 0.8 6.6 13.2 10.3 4.4 3.8 1.2 Evacuated 10.1 8.7 .4.3 12.6 31.1 13.3 7.7 11.9 13.2 11.9 B-34 Table 16 Year Around Residents By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto Live Year Around (N=649) (N=141) (N=151) (N=174) (N=137) Yes 91.7 96.5 94.0 90.8 94.2 No 8.3 2.8 .6.0 9.2 5.8 B-35 Table 17 Year Around Residency and Mob.ile Home, Non-Mohile Home by County County Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH N.MH MH NW, Live Year Around (N=159) (N=490) (N=23) (N=118). (.N=76) (N=75) (9=39) (N=135) CN=;53) (N=84 'Yes 79.9 95.5 91.3 98.3 90.8 97.3 82.1 93.3 84.9 100.0 No 20.1 4.5 8.7 1.7 9.2 2.7 17.9 6.7 15.1 B-36 Tabl e 18 From Whom Seek Evacuation Advice By County -(Percent Yes) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Hi hlands DeSoto Whom (N=633) (N=139) (N=149) (@-168) (N=131) Neighb.or 29.1 23.0 18.8 20.2 17.4 Friend 32.0 35.0 26.4 25.1 19.0 Local Government or Law Enforcement Official 66.0 72.7 60.8 58.3 56.5 National Weather Service on Radio or TV 92.7 94.2 94.0 92.3 91.7 B-37 Tabl e 20 When Residents Would Evacuate By County Oercentage) County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto When (N=647) (N=138) (N=152) (N=172) (N=135) Before Official Order 16.1% 13.9% 27.0% 13.9% 17.0% Median Time Before Hit Coast 2.0 Hrs 4.2 Hrs 2.3 Hrs 2.5 Hrs 2.5 Hrs When Given Official Order 68.9% 59.9% 61 . 2 62.2% 66.7% Median Time After Order' 0.3 Hrs 0.2 Hrs 0.2 Hrs 0.2 Hrs 0.1 Hrs Percent Leaving Within 1 Hour of Receiving Order 94.1%. 92.6% 94.6% 95.3% 94.4% Would Not Evacuate 10.9% 24.1% 9.9% 18.6% 15.6% Use Own Judgment 1.5% 2.2% ---- ---- Do Not Know 2.6% 0.7% 2.0% 5.2% 0.7% B-38 Table 21 When Mobile Home and Non-Mobile Home Residents Would Evacuate by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH When (N=159) (N=492) (N=22) (N=116) (N=76) (N=76) (N=39) (N=133) (N=53) (N=82'; 3efore Official Order* 32.7 10.6 27.3 11.2 34.2 19.7 20.5 12.9 20.8 14.6 Median Time Before 2.0 1.8 8.0 3.5. 3.25 1.5 1.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 Hit Coast Hours. Hours Hou rs Hours Hours Hours Hou@s Hours Hours Hour. When Given Official Order 62.3 70.5 63.7 58.6 .57.9 64.5 74.4 62.9 67.9 65.9 Median Time After 0.30 0.29 0.14 0.26 0.17 0.20 0.10 0.24 0.17 0.1 Hours Hours Hours Hours Hours Hours Hours Hours Hours Hour -Percentage Leaving With One Hour 91.9 94.1 100.0 91.0 97.7 91.8 100.0 93.6 97.2 92.6 Would Not Evacuate 3.T 13.4 4.5 27.6 5.3 14.5 5.1 24.2 9.4 19.5 Use Own Judgment 1 .2' 0.2 ---- 2.8 ---- ---- ---- ---- Do Not Know 0.6 4.1 .4.5 ---- 2.6 -1.3 ---- ---- 1.3 B-39 Table 22 Years Living In Area And Would Not Evaculate By County County Years In Area Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto 5 or less 2.2 16.7 8.3 16.4 16.2 (N=136) (N=18) (N=48) (N=55) (N=37) 6 - 14 11.2 10.7 12.5 17.0 16.7 (N=152) (N=28) (N=48) (N=53) (N=48) 15 - 29 8.1 13.9 4.5 15.4 13.3 (N=149) (N=36) (N=22) (N=26) (N=30) 30 and over 19.8 40.7 12.9 34.5 15.8 (N=192) (N=.54) (N=31) (N=29) (N=19) Entries: Percentage Not Evacuating N= Total N for Particular Years in Area -B-40 Tabl e 24 What Mobile Home and Non-Mobile Home Residents Would do if Ordered to Evacuate But Weather Fine County Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH 'hat Do '(N=151) (N=444) (N=21) (N=103) (N=75) (N=71) (N=38) (N=111) (N=51) (N=82? eave Immediately 77.5 67.6 73.9 60.2 62.7 67.6 76 .3 64.0 78.7 70.7 lait One Hour 5-3 4.3 4.3 4.8 10.7 9.9 2.6 5.4 3.9 8.5 lait Two or More Hours 2.6 0.9 8.7 6.8 1.3 5.6 --- 6.3 10.2 4.9 Js@e Own Judgment or Oo, Not Oow 16.0 26.6 8.7 28.1 25.3 16.9 21.1 24.3 8.1 6.1 B-42 Tabl e 25 Vehicles Used To Evacuate By County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto 'Vehicle (N=588) (N=127) (N=141) (N=160) (N=129) Sedan 72.8 52.8 46.2 72.5 65.9 station Wagon 7.8 12.6 9.8 5.6 9.3 Jeep 1.4 2.4 0.7 0.6 ---- Pick Up Truck 9.7 18.9 25.2 10.6 14.7 Van 2.6 3.1 2.8 3.8 4.6 Other 1.7 3.1 2.8 3.1 1.6 Two or More 4.1 7.1 12.6 3.8 3.9 B-43 Tabl e 26 Vehicles Used to Evacuate and Mobile Home, Non-Mobile Home Residence by County County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH Vehicle 0=159) (N=437) (N=23) (N=104) (N=72) (N=71). (N=39) (N=126) (N=53) (N=7E Sedan 71.5 73.2 47.8 53.8 45.8 46.5 74.3 71.4 66.0 65.E Station Wagon 7.3 8'.0 21.7 10.6 6.9 12.7 5.7 5.6 11.3 7.S Jeep 0.7 1.6 ---- 2.9 1.4 ---- ---- 0.8 ---- ---- Pigk Up Truck 9.3 9.8 17.4 19.2 27.8 , 22.5 8.6 11.1 13.2 15.1 Van 2.6 2.5 4.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 5.7 3.2 3.8 5.'.! Other 4.6 0.7 4.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.2 1.9. l.: Two-or More 4.0 4.1 4.3 7.7 12.5 12.7' 2.9 4.0 3.8 3. B-44 Tabl e 27 Where Residents Would Like To Go By County (Percentage) County Polk Hardee Ok echobee Hi Hands DeSoto (N=609) (N=123) X144) (91'149) (N=123) Public Shelter 49.4 51.2 39.6 54.4 58.5 Where (N=291) (N=64) (N=54) (N=80) (N=71) Polk 89.6 3.1 1.4 Hardee 0.3 90.6 ---- ---- Okeechobee ---- 1.6 90.7 ---- Highlands 0.3 3.1 91.2 ---- DeSoto 0.7 1.6 1.2 98.6 Other 1.0 ---- 1.2 ---- Do Not Know 7.9 ---- 9.3 6.2 ---- Friend 21.7 31.7 31.9 18.1 21.1 Where (N=105) (N=30) (N=27) (N=20) (N=22) Polk 64.7 13.3 ---- 5.0 13.6 Hardee 1.9 53.3 ---- ---- ---- Okeechobee ---- 3.3 51.8 5.0 Highlands l..O 3.3 3.7 70.0 DeSoto ---- 72.3 Other 14.3 3.3 .22.2 .10.0 4.5 Do Not Know 18.1 20.0 22.2 10.0 9.1 Motel 12.3 8.9 19.4 13.4 9.8 Where (N=k) (N=7) (N=19) (N=17) (N=6) Polk 48.3 14.3 5.9 16.7 Hardee 14.3 5.9 ---- Okeechobee ---- ---- 36.8 ---- ---- Highlands ---- 10.5 35.3 ---- DeSoto ---- ---- ---- ---- 33.3 Other 16.7 28.6 5.2 11.8 Do'-Not Know 35.0 42.8 47.4 41.2 50.0 Do Not Know 16.6 8.1 9.0 14.1 10.6 B-45 Tabl e 28 Where Would Residents Go By County (Percent) County Where Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto (N=542), (N=119) (N=137) (N=129) (N=119) Public Shelter 47.2 36.8 35.8 52.7 46.2 Know Where It Is 38.8 67.4 57.8 56.3 83.6 Friend 13.8 25.2 21.9 11.6 16.0 Know Where It Is 73.6 69.6 81.5 61.5 70.6 Motel 9.6 4.2 18.2 5.4 5.0 Know Where It Is 67.4 60.0 69.2 66.7 66.7 Other 3.1 7.6 ---- 1.6 4.2 Do Not Know 25.6 26.0 -24.1 29.4 28.6 B-46 Table, 29 Where Would Mobile'Home'and Non-Mobile Home Evacuate to by County County Polk Hardee* Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH 'Where (N=137) (N=405) (N=22) (N=97) (N=67) (N=70) (N=31) (N=98) (N=49) (N=7( Public Shelter 31.4 52.6 54.5 33.0 38.8 32.9 58.1 51.0 49.0 44 Friend 21.2 11.1 22.1 25.8 14.9 28.6 12.9 11.2 18.4 IC Motel 12.4 8.6 5.1 26.9 10.0 3_2 6.1 6.1 4. Other 5.1 3.2 4.5 8.2 ---- ---- 3.2 1.0 2.0 5 Do. Not Know 29.2 24.4 18.2 27.8 '19.4 28.6 22.6 30.6 24.5 31-. B-47 Table 30 Time in Area and Where Would Go by- County County Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto lears PS DKN PS DKN PS DKN PS DKN PS DKN 5 or less 44.3 29*6 38.9 5.6 35.6 20.0 46.8 34-0 30.0 29.4 (N=115) (N=18) (N=45) (N=47) (N=34) 6 14 35.7 32.5 32.0- 24.0 31.0 26.2 51.2 34.1 50.0 31.0 (N=126) (N=25) (N=42) (N=41-) (K=42) 15 29 45.9 26.3 38.2 32.4 47.6 23.8 50.0 15.0 44.0 20.0 (N=133) (N=34) (N=21) (N=20) (N=25) 30 and over. 54.0 16.9 39.0 29.3 34.5 27.6 68.2 18.2 33.3 22.2 (N=166). (N=41) (N=29) (N=22) (N=18) N Total N for particular years in area. PS Public shelter. DKN Do not I@now where they would go. B-48 Table 31 County Would Go To By County County In Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto L'ounty or State Go To (N=361) (N=82)- (N=94) (N=1:04) (N=82) Pol k - 77.0 11.0 1.1 1.0 3.6 Hardee 0.3 69.5 Okeechobee 68.1 1.0 Hi ghl a nds ---- 2.4 3.2 81.7 ---- DeSoto 0.6 1.1 87.8 Georgia 5.0 6.1 6.4 2.4 Out of State North 5.3 4.9 5.3 9.6 ---- Orange 1.4 2.4 1.9 ---- -Alachua 1.9 Central Florida ---- ---- 2.1 Far Away T. 1 2.1 ---- ---- Palm. Beach ---- 2.1 ---- North Carolina 0.8 ---- ---- Marion 0.8 ---- ---- Illinois 1.1 ---- ---- ---- Oceola 0.8 ---- .B-49 Table 32 County Would Evacuate to and Mobile Home, Non-Mobile Home by Co.unty County Polk Hardee Okeechobee Highlands Desoto County or MH NMH MN NMH MH NMH MH NMHI. MH NMH State Go To (N=95). (N=266). (N=14) (N=68) (N=55) (N=39) -(N=31) (N=73) (N=34) (N=49 Polk 75.8 -77.4 14.3* 10.3 1.8 ---- ---- -1.4 2.4 4.1 Hardee ---- 0.4 78.6 67.6 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- Okeechobee ---- ---- ---- 7M 64.1 ---- 1.4 ---- ---- Highlands ---- 2.9 1.8 5.1 80.6 82.2 ---- ---- Desoto ---- ---- - ---- ---- ---- 1.4 85.3 87. Georgia 3.2 5.6 7.1 5.9 5.5 7.7 ---- ----- 4. Out of State 3.2 6.0 5.9 5-5 5.1 12.9 8.2 4.5 --- North.. ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- B-50 Table 33 14ost Frequently Mentioned Routes By County County Polk* Harde& Okeechobee Hilands DeSoto Route (N=250) (N=67) (N=91) N=74) (N=71) 60 18.0 ---- 27 22.8 8.9 12.1 45.9 ---- 1-4 6.0 ---- ---- ---- ---- Local Streets 28.8 47.8 12.1 43.2 .30.1 1-75 11.2 ---- 7.7 9.4 7.0 98 8.8 8.9 ---- ---- 37 4.0 ---- ---- 64 ---- 11.9 ---- ---- ---- 17 ---- .31.3 ---- ---- 35.2. 70 ---- 18.7 25.3 441 ---- 37.4 ---- ---- Turnpike ---- 6.6 ---- ---- 710 ---- 6.6 ---- ---- 31 ---- ---- ---- 7.0 B-51 Table 34 Most Frequently Mentioned Routes and MoUile Home, Non-Mobile Home by County County Pol k Hardee Okeechobee Highlands DeSoto MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH MH NMH Route (N=68) (N=182) (N=14) (N=S3) (N=46) (N=45) (N=22) (N=52) (N=29) (N=38 60 25.0 15.4 ---- ---- ---- ---- 27 27.9 20.8 ---- 9.4 13.0 17.7 45.5 46.1 ---- -- 1-4 4.4 6.0 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- Local Streets 25.0 29.1 35.7 50.9 8.7 15.5 54.5 38.5 34.4 36A 1-75 11.7 11.0 ---- ---- 8.7 ---- ---- ---- 7.F 98 ---- ---- 10.9 6.7 ---- ---- ----- ---- 37 2.9 4.4 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 64- ---- ---- 14.3 11-3 ---- ---- - ---- 5.8 ---- ---- 17 5-8 2..2 28.6 32.1 ---- 4.4 ---- ---- 27.6 44.@ 70 ---- ---- ---- 26.0 11.1 ---- ---- 37.9 18.1 441 ---- ---- 34.8 40.0 ---- ----- Turnpike ---- ---- ---- ---- 13.3 ---- ---- 710 ---- ---- ---- ---- 10.9 ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 31 ---- ---- 6.5 ---- ---- ---- B-52 Appendix A HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS QUESTIONNAIRE Name Interviewer Code No-. Address Respondent Code No. Phone No. 2 3 4 Date of Attempt Time of Attempt Result of Attempt Person and Time to call back Hello, I am of the University of South Florida. We are doing a study for the ffe'ntral Florida Regional Planning Council regard- ing peoples' plans for hurricane evacuation. I hope that you will. - answer the few questions we need to ask so that evacuation plans can be developed. All your responses will remain anonymous in that after the data are coded all identifying InforTnation will be destroyed. Is this Mr. or Ms. ? If no, do you live at this residence? yes - no If yes, continue. If no, find out when r0denfs will be there. 1'. What type of home do you live in? ... 5ingle family house -two family house ___@partment mobile home B-53 2. How many persons live in your house or apartment? What are their ages? Does anyone in your home have special transportation.needs or need special assistance to travel for example is anyone handicapped or elderly? _yes -no If yes, why do they have special needs? Would you need outside assistance to evacuate them? _yes no 3. How many cars or trucks are there in your household? What kinds of vehicles are they?. sedan- station wagon- Jeep_ pickup truck- van- other (specify) (If zero to question 3): Would you need transportation such as a bus or taxi? yes- no- 4--.. If you were to evacuate, which of the vehicles would you use? Specify B-54 5. From whom would you s@ek advice on whether and when to evacuate? Neighbor: ye s- no- Friend: yeS- no- Local government or law enforcement officials: yes no- National Weather Service advisories on radio.or TV: yes- no-. G. If a hurricane were to hit the coast when, if ever, would you evacuate? a. Before an official order to do so. b. @When given the official order to do so. C. Would not evacuate. (if a.) How soon before the hurricane was expected to hit.the coast. would you leave? hours. (If b.) Assuming everyone is home, how soon would you be ready to leave? hours. 7. What.would you do if told to evacuate but the weather was fine. outside? (e.g., wait, leave immediately). If wait, when would you leave? hours (0 hours for. leave immediately) B-55 8. If you evacuated, where would you like to go? Public shelter in the five-county area (DeSoto, Hardee, Polk, Highlands, Okeechobee) (If yes, in wbich county? Friend or relative (if yes, where do they live? city and county) Motel (if yes, where city and county) Don't-know (Do not say this) 9. If you evacuated, where would you go? (city and county, also record don't know) Do you know where that i s? yes no- (If no, go to question 11). 10. What route would you take to get there, especially major streets and highways? 11. How long have you lived in the five-county area? 12. Do you live here all year round? ye@__ no- If no, during what months do you live here? B-56 13. Have you ever been in a hurricane? yes- no- If yes, where and when Have you ever been evacuated because of a hurricane? yes-- no Thank you for your h@lp. B-57 Appendix B TABLE I Means, Standard Errors, and 95% Confidence Intervals for Selected Variables, Polk County Standard Confidence Variable X Error Interval Number of household residents 2.60 0.05 2.50- 2.70 Age of oldest household resident 56.45 0.66 55.16-57.74 Total number of vehicles in household 1.75 0.04 1.67- 1.83 Time in hours would leave before expected landfall 8.31 1.89 4.61-12.01 Time in hours to be ready to leave, assuming everyone home 0.84 0.27 0.30- 1.38 Time to leave if-told to evacuate but weather fine 0.91 0.10 0.71- 1.11 Years of residence in the five- county area 21.46 0.68 20.13-22.80 B-58 Appendix B TABLE Means, Standard Errors, and 95% Confidence Intervals for Selected Variables, Hardee County Standard Confidence Variable Error Interval Number of household residents 3.14 OA 3 2.89-.3.39 Age of oldest household resident. 55.03 1.44 52.21-57.85 Total number of vehi.cles in household 1.96 0.09 1 .78- 2.14;@_ Time in hours would leave before expected landfall 14.77 7.2 0.66-28.88 Time in hours to be ready to leave, assuming everyone home 0.40 0.07 0.26- 0.54 Time to leave if told to evacuate, but weather fine 1.69 0.-26 1.18- 2.20 Years of residence.in the five- county area 27.01 1.74 23.60-30.42 B-59 ,Appendix B TABLE 3 Means, Standard Errors, and 95% Confidence Intervals for Selected Variables, Okeechobee County Standard Confidence Variable X Error Interval Number of household residents 2.80 0.11 2.58-.3.02 Age of oldest household resident 55.70 1.28 53.19-58.21 Total number of vehicles in household 1.93 0.08 1.7-7- 2.09 Time in hours would leave before expected landfall 6.57 1.73 3.18- 9.96 Time in hours to be ready to leave, assuming everyone home 0.33 0.06 0.21- 0.45 Time to leave if told to evacuate but weather fine 1.14 0.21 0.73- 1.55 Years of residence in the five- county area 16.68 1.37 13.99-19.37, B-60 Appendix B TABLE 4 Means, Standard Errors and 95% Confidence Intervals for Selected Variables, Highlands County Standard Confidence Variable X Error Interval Number of household residents 2.'39 0.1 4 2.12- 2.66 Age of oldest household resident 61.08- 1.27 58.59-63.57 Total number of vehicles in household 1.52. 0.07 1.45- 1.59@ Time in hours.would.leave before expected landfall 8.15 2.23 3.78-12.52 Time in hours to be ready to leave, assuming everyone home 1.04- 0.65 0.00- 2.31 Time to leave if told to.evacuate but weather fine 1.59 0.23 1.14- 2.04 Years of residence-in the five- county area 15.17 1.14: 12.94-16.31 Appendix B TABLE 5 Means, Standard Errors, and 95% Confidence Intervals for Selected Variables, DeSoto County Standard !Confidence Variabl e Error Interval Number of household residents 2.61 0.11 2.39- 2.83 Age of oldest household resident 57.45 1.40 54.71-60.19 Total number'of vehicles in household 1.66 0.09 1.48- 1.84 Time in hours would leave before expected landfall 6.67 2.08 2.59-10.75 Time in hours to be ready to leave, assuming everyone home 0.29 0.06 0.17- 0.41 Time to leave if told to evacuate. but weather fine 0.66 0.16 0.35- 0.97 Years of residence in the five- county area 15.62 1.29 13.09-18.15 B-62 I I I I I I I I APPENDIX C I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-1 North: Pasco Co. line & US 98 W. Socrum Loop Rd(SR 35A and Kathleen Elementary East: US 98, SR 582 (W. Socrum SR 582) Banana/Wilder Rd Kathleen Jr. High Loop Rd), Polk City Rd, W. Campbell Rd, Duff Rd, Griffin Elementary McDonald Rd. Daughtery Rd, Deeson Rd, Winston Elementary South: 1-4 Knight Station/Griffin Rd, West: Hillsborough and Pasco (SR 582), Bella Vista St., County lines. Kathleen Rd (SR 35A) Providence Rd (US 98) P-2 North: Sumter and Lake Co. line Old Polk City Rd, SR 33, Polk City Elementary East: Hickman Rd (graded Rd SR 559A, SR 559 extension of SR 557A) South: 1-4, Socrum Loop/Polk City Rd. West: Socrum Loop Rd, US 98 P-3 North: Lake County Line US 27, Dean Still Rd Polk City Elementary East: Osceola County Line (graded) SR 54, Vaughn South: 1-4 Beauchamp Rd. West: Hickman Rd (graded Rd extension of 557A) P Polk County APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-4 North and East: Osceola Co. line US 17/92, County Rd 17, US 27, Davenport Elementary South: US 17/92, US 27, North SR 574, SR 580, SR 544, Hinson Bethune Elementary City limit of Lake Ave,(Haines City), Peninsular Eastside Elementary Hamilton, SR 546, and a Dr(Haines City), Polk City Rd/ Haines City Sr. High line extending east from Minnie Ave,(Haines City) 10th Haines City Jr. High SR 546 to the Polk/ St/Kingham, Rd,(Haines City) Alta Vista Elementary Osceola County line. Jackson Hwy.(Davenport). West: SR 557A, SR 557, Creek Rd, Evenhouse Rd, Jackson Rd, Old Haines City-Lake Alfred Rd, Fletchers Cut- off, North and East Shorelines of Lake Haines, East',and South Shorelines of Lake Rochelle. P-5 North: 1-4 SR 35A, US 92 Business, Kathleen Sr. High East: SR 35A (Kathleen Rd) SR 600A (Memorial Blvd), Seth McKeel Jr. High SR 37. Galloway Rd. Jesse Keen Elementary South: Cresap, St/Lake Hunter Dr. Bennett/Highland St, SR 542. West: Polk/Hillsborough County line. P-6 North: 1-4 US 98, SR 582, SR 700 North Lakeland Elementary East: SR 33 to Lakeland City (N. Florida Ave.) SR 33 limit. (Lakeland Hills Blvd.) South: 10th St/Parkview Place West: SR 35A APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-7 North: 10th St/Parkview Place, SR 37 (S. Florida Ave.) Lime Street Elementary south shoreline of Lake SR 600A (Memorial Blvd) Lakeland Sr. High Parker, US 92 US 92 (Lake Parker Dr.) Crystal Lake Elementary East: SR 33A (Combee Rd.) US 92 Business (Gary Rd.) Crystal Lake Jr. High South: SR 33A (Edgewood Dr.) US 98, US 98 Business Cleveland Court Elementary West: SR 37 (S. Fla Ave.) SR 33 (Massachusetts Ave/ SR 35A (Kathleen Rd.) Lakeland Hills Blvd. SR 33A (Edgewood Dr.) Crystal Lake Dr. P-8 North: 1-4 Old Combee Rd, Tenoroc Combee Elementary East: SR 33, Seaboard Coast- Mine Rd, SR 33A (Combee line R.R. Right-of-way, Rd), SR 546 (Saddle SR 546, Saddle Creek Creek Rd) Lake Parker Dr, South: US 92, South shoreline East Lake Parker Dr. of Lake Parker West: SR 33 from Lakeland City limit to 1-4, 1-4 P-9 North: 1-4 Same as boundaries Combee Elementary East: SR 655/Seaboard C.L.R.R. Lena Vista Elementary South: SR 546 West: Seaboard Coastline R.R., SR 33 MM APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-10 North: 1-4 SR 559, SR 559A, SR 655, US 92, Auburndale Sr. High East: East shore of Lake Ariana Blvd, Plaklakaha Ave, Auburndale Jr. High Mattie, Lake Mattie Rd, Bridgers Ave, US 92 (Magnolia Auburndale Middle School Adams drove Rd, Ave) SR 544A Bridgers Ave. Elementary Lynchburg Rd. Auburndale Central Elem. South: US 92, west shoreline Lena Vista Elementary of Lake Jessie, SR 544A/ Derby Rd. West: SR 655/Seaboard C.L.R.R. P-11 North: 1-4 SR 557A, SR 557, SR 555, Lake Alfred Primary School East: SR 557AP SR 557, Creek Rd, US 17/92 Lake Alfred Elementary Evenhouse Rdj Jackson Rd, Old Haines City-Lake Alfred Rd, Fletchers cut- off, north and east shore- lines of Lake Haines, east and south shorelines of Lake Rochelle. South: US 92 West: Lynchburg Rd, Adams Grove Rd, Lake Mattie Rd, east shoreline of Lake Mattie. P-12 North: US 17/92 SR 544, Old Lucerne Park Rd. Ridge Vocational Technical East: US 27, West city limits Center of Lake Hamilton & Dundee. South: Country Club Dr. Buckeye Loop Rd. West: West city limits of Winter Haven, west shoreline of Lake Smart, east shoreline of Lake Rochelle, south city limits of Lake Alfred, east shoreline of Lake Haines. APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-13 North: SR 542, Bennett/Highland SR 542, Airport Rd, Drane Southwest Jr. High St.,,. Lake Hunter Dr, Field Rd, Medtlla/Pipkin Rd/ Carlton Palmore Elementary Cresap St. Lake Miriam Dr, SR 540A, Lakeland Highlands Jr. High East: SR 37 (Florida Ave),SR 33A SR 37A (Scott Lake Rd), SR 37B Medulla Elementary (Edgewood Dr), SR 37B (Lake- (Lakeland Highlands Rd) Scott Lake Elementary land Highlands Rd). South: SR 540A (Central Barn Rd) Carter Rd, Shepherd Rd. West: Hillsborough County line. P-14 North: US 92 Maine Ave, Reynolds Rd, US 98, Oscar J. Pope Elementary East: Saddle Creek SR 540 Polk Vocational Technical South: SR 540, US 98 Center West: SR 33A (Combee Rd) P-15 North: SR 546 (Saddle Creek Rd/ SR 542, US 92 Westwood Jr. High Old Dixie Hwy. East: Phillips Rd, Howard Dr, US 92, Thornhill Rd. South: SR 540 West: Saddle Creek P-16 North: SR 544A Recker Hwy, SR 542, Spirit Garner Elementary East: W. shoreline of Lake Lake Rd/42nd St., NW Jersey Inwood Elementary Jessie, Lk Jessie/Lk Rd, 26th St NW, 34th St NW, Westwood Jr. High Idylwild Canal, Lk Coleman Rd, 20th St NW, 21st Idylwild/Lk Cannon Canal, St. NW, Lk Howard Dr NW, 24th Lk Cannon/Lk Howard Canal, St NW. Lk Howard/Lk May Canal, Lk May/Lk Shipp Canal. South: Lk Shipp Dr, Ave Q SW, SR 540 West: Thornhill Rd, US 92, Howard Dr, Phillips Rd. APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES . ROUTES P-17 North: US 92, W.. shoreline US 17, SR 542(E. Central Jewett Elementary of Lk Rochelle, Hilltop/ Ave), Cypress Gardens Blvd, Northeast Jr. High Conine Dr, W. Shoreline lst St SW, 6th St SW. Elbert Elementary of Lk Smart, llth St NW, Denison Jr. High Buckeye Loop Rd/N.Country Winter Haven Sr. High Dr./S. Country Club Dr. East: S. Country Club Dr, Lk Daisy Rd. South: SR 542/SR 540, Ave R SW. West: Lk May/Lk Shipp Canal, Lk Howard/Lk May Canal, Lk Cannon/Lk Howard Canal, Lk Idylwild/Lk Cannon Canal, Lk Jessie/Lk Idylwild Canal, west shoreline of Lk Jessie. 01 P-18 North: North city limit of Lake SR 546, SR 542, US 27, US 27A, Dundee Elementary Hamilton, SR 546 and a line SR 17A, SR 540. extending east from SR 546 to the Polk/Osceola county line. East: Polk/Osceola county line. South: Old Mammouth Grove Rd/Camp Mack Rd. West: US 27, West city limits of Dundee and Lake Hamilton. P-19 North: SR 33A (Edgewood Dr), US US 98, SR 540, SR 540A, SR 37B Polk Vocational Technical 98, SR 540. Center East: West shoreline of Lake Highland City Elementary Hancock. South: SR 540A. West: SR 37B APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-20 North: SR 540, Lk Shipp Dr, SR 17, Old Bartow-Winter Eagle Lake Elementary Ave Q SW. Haven Rd, Thornhill Rd, Lake Shipp Elementary East & South: North City Limit of Eagle Lake Loop Rd. Bartow US 17 South/and east city limits of Eagle Lake. West: US 98 to SR 540, west shoreline of Lake Hancock. P-21 North: Ave.A SW, SR 542/540, US 17, SR 655, SR 540, SR 542 Snively Elementary S Country Club Rd, Crump Garden Grove Elementary Rd. East: West City limits of Lake Hamilton and Dundee, US 27 South: Peace Creek drainage canal, Seaboard Coa'stline R.R., right-of-way SR 540A/Eagle Lake Loop Rd, Rifle Range Rd, SR 559 P-22 North: Shepherd Rd, Carter Rd. SR 60, SR 37, SR 640, Mulberry Jr-Sr High East: Seaboard Coastline R.R. SR 630, SR 674. Kingsford Elementary right-of-way, Bonney Mine Mulberry Elementary Rd, SR 640, SR 555. South: Hardee County line. West: Hillsborough County line. APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-23 North: SR 540A US 98, Broadway Ave, Van Stephens Elementary East: US 98/Broadway Ave, Fleet Dr, SR 60, E.F. Bartow Middle School SR 60W (main St.), Griffin Rd/old Lakeland Rd. SR 555 South: SR 640 West: Bonney Mine Rd, SR 60 Seaboard Coastline R.R. right-of-way, SR 37A P-24 North: SR 60 (Main St.) Main St, Broadway Ave, Bartow Civic Center East: Broadway Ave, Stuart Ave, Stuart St, Clower St, Bartow High South: Six Mile Creek/Cedar Branch SR 555, Kissingen Ave. Bartow Jr. High West: SR 555 P-25 North: North city limit of Bartow, SR 60 By-pass, Main St, Bartow Elementary US 17, 91 Mine Rd, SR 60. US 17, Kissingen Ave. Bartow Jr. High co East: SR 655A Bartow Sr. High South: Mann Rd and a line extending from Mann Rd to SR 559. West: Kissingen Ave, Stuart St, Broadway Ave. P-26 North: SR 555, SR 559, Rifle SR 559, SR 655, SR 60, old Eagle Lake Elementary Range Rd, Eagle Lake Bartow-Lake Wales Rd. Loop Rd/SR 540A. East: Seaboard Coastline R.R. right-of-way. South: SR 60 West: 91 Mine Rd. APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-27 North: Cedar Branch/Sixmile Same as Boundaries Bartow Civic Center Creek, US 17, Mann Rd Bartow Jr. High and a line extending Bartow Sr. High from Mann Rd to SR 559. East: SR 559 South: SR 640 West: SR 555 P-28 North: SR 60 SR 60, SR 655A, Alturas- Alturas Elementary East: Seaboard Coastline right- Babson Park cut-off Rd. of-way, Lake Burrum Rd. South: Lake Buffum. Rd, Sinkhole Rd, SR 640. West: SR 559 P-29 North: Peace Creek Drainage Canal, SR 60, US 27, SR 17A, Lake Wales Sr. High US 27, Old Mamouth Grove Rd, SR 17B, US 27A Lake Wales Jr. High Camp Mack Rd. Hillcrest Elementary East: Osceola County Line Janie Howard Wilson Elem. South: River Ranch Blvd, SR 60/ Polk Ave. Elementary SR 630, Lake Walk-in-the- Roosevelt Elementary water Rd, Lake Buffum. Rd, Spook Hill Elementary the south town limit of Lake Wales Adult School Hillcrest Heights, Alico Rd, and Lake Walk-in-the-water Rd. West: Lake Buffum-West Lake Wales Rd/ Seaboard Coastline R.R. P-30 North: SR 640, Sinkhole Rd. US 17, SR 630, District Ft. Meade Jr-Sr High East: A line from Grassy Lake Line Rd, SR 555, Lake Riverside Elementary south to Hardee Co. line. Hendry Rd, Lake Buffum Rd. Ft. Meade Middle School South: Hardee County Line. West: District Line Rd/SR 555 APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES P-31 North: Lake Buffum Rd, a line Lake Buffum Rd, SR 700, Frostproof Elementary connecting Lake Buffum US 27, SR 630A, SR 630, Frostproof Jr-Sr High Rd, the south Town of US 27A Hillcrest Heights, Alico Rd and Lake Walk-in-the-water Rd, SR 630/SR 60, River Ranch Blvd. East: Osceola County Rd. South: Hardee/Highlands County line. West: A line from Grassy Lake south to Hardee County Line. H-1 North: Polk County Line. SR 64, US 27, SR 17A, Avon Park High East: Okeechobee County Line. SR 17, SR 627 Missionary Church South: A line from Hardee 1ST Baptist Church County line south of old Armory Building 0 Lake Glenda, including Avon Park City Hall the southern shoreline Walker Memorial Jr. Academy of Lake Letta and Alt- So. Florida Jr. College water Rd, the south boundary of Avon Park Bombing Range to Okee- chobee County Line. West: Hardee County Line. H-2 North: A line from Hardee County US 27, US 98, SR 66, SR 17, Sebring Middle School line, south of Lake Glenda, SR 17A, SR 634, SR 635, Agri-Civic Center including the southern SR 623. Fred Wild Elementary shoreline of Lake Letta and 1ST Presbyterian Church Atwater Rd, the South bound- Education Building ary of Avon Park Bombing Range City Pier Youth Center to Okeechobee County line. Highlands County Courthouse East: Okeechobee County Line. South: W. Josephine Rd/Lk Josephine Rd and a line from Lk Josephine Rd to Okeechobee County Line. West: Hardee County Line. APPENDIX C EVACUATION ROUTES (continued) ZONE ZONE EVACUATION SHELTERS NUMBERS BOUNDARIES ROUTES H-3 North: West Josephine Rd/Lk US 17, SR 621, SR 29, SR 731 Lake Placid Grove Warehouse Josephine Rd and a line SR 619, SR 70 St. Regis Warehouse from Lake Josephine Rd Lake Placid High School to Okeechobee County Line. East: Okeechobee County Line. South: Glades County Line. West: DeSoto County Line. H Highlands County I I I I I I I I APPENDIX D I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX D POSSEW-C NUMBER OF VEIiICLES LEAVING TAMPA BAY REGIONAL.PLANNING COUNCIL DUE TO A 11URRICANE LVACUATION Daily Evacuation Volune X Percentage Leaving Region = Possible Number of Vehicles Storm Category: 3 Response Time: Short Daily % Evac. Leaving Possible I NO. Coun@y Name From TO Volume Region, of Vehicles 1 Pasco SR-52 US-19 I-75N 10,375 X .11 1,141 2 Pasco SR-54 US-19 I-75N 10,750 X .11 1,183 3 Pinellas CR-582/I-75 US-19A I-75N 9,600 X .09 864 4 Pinellas CR-584/US-9@ US-19A I-4E 9,250 X .09 833 5 Pinellas SR-60/I-275 US-19A I-4E 10,500 X .09 945 6 Pinellas CR-688/I-27E US-19A I-4E 47,500 X .09 4,275 7 Pinellas CR-694/US-9@ US-19A 1-4E 18,756 X .09 1,688 8 Pinellas US-19A/I-27-f CR-699 I-4E 7,250 X .09 653 9 Hillsborough 1-275/1-4 Westshore I-4E 59,000 X .09 5,310 Road 10 Hillsborough US-92 Gandy 1-4E 13,750 X .09 1,238 Bridge 11 Manatee SR-64 Anna Mariz Manatee 8,280 X .11 911 Bridge CA 12 Mana-tee CR-684 Cortez SR-641 16,500 X .11 1,815 Bridge TOrAL 20,8S6 1988 Tbnpa Bay Region Hurricane Study provided hurricane scenarios for category 1, 3, and 5 storms only. D-1 APPENDIX D cont. 1,,0SS111UU:' 011MBCR 111' VE111CLES LCAVING TAMPA BAY REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL DUE '110 A HURRICANE EVACUATION Daily Evacuation Volume X Percentage Leaving Region = Possible Number of vehicles Storm Category: 5 Response Time: Short Daily % Evac. Leaving Possible No. County Nam From TO volume Region of vehicles- I Pasco SR-52 US-19 I-75N 14,500 X .11 1,595 2 Pasco SR-54 US-19 I-75N 14,700 X .11 1,6617 3 Pinellas CR-582/I-75 US-19A 1-75N 12,500 X .09 1,125 4 Pinellas CR-584/US-9' , USr-19A I-4E 10,000 X -09 900 5 Pinellas SR-60/I-275 -US-19A I-4E 13,500 X .09 1,215 6 Pinellas CR-688/1-27f US-19A I-4E 59,000 X .09 5,310 7 Pinellas CR-694/US-9@ US-19A i-4E 22,000 X .09 1,980 8 Pinellas US-19A/I-27-1 CR-6.99 1-4E 7,250 X .09 653 z 9 Hillsborough 1-275/1-4 Westshore I-4E 64,250 X .09 5,783 Road 10 Hillsborough US-92 Gandy 1-4E 15,000 X .09 1,350 Bridge 11 Manatee SR-64 Anna Mariz Manatee 9,000 X .11 990 Bridge C/L 1,2 Manatee CR-684 Cortez SR-64W l6r5OO X .11 1,815 Bridge TGrAL 24,333 1988 Tanpa Bay Region Hurricane Study provided hurricane scenarios for category 1, 3, and 5 storms only. D-2 APPENDIX D cont. ON PLANN N N DO POSS113LC NUMBER OF VF-IilCf-CS LEAVING TAMPA BAY REGI AL I G COU IC I L C TO A HURRICANE EVACUATION Daily E:vacuation Volume X Percentage Leaving Region = Possible Number of Vehicles storm Category: 3 Response Tinve: Average Daily Evac. Leaving Possible I No. County Nam From TO Volume Region of Vehicles. 1 Pasco SR-52 m-19 1-75N 10,500 X .11 1,155 2 Pasco SR-54 US-19 1-75N 10,800 X .11 11188 3 Pinellas CR-582/1-75 US-19A I-75N 10,600 X .09 1,166 4 Pinellas CR-584/US-9@ US-19A 1-4E 9,300, X .09 837 5 Pinellas SR-60/I-27S US-19A 1-4E 10,600 X .09 954 6 Pinellas CR-688/I-27! us-19A I-4E 47,900 X .09 4,311 7 Pinellas CR 694/US-9@ US-19A 1-4E 18,900 X .09 1,701 8 Pinellas US-19A/I-27@ CR-699 I-4E 7,300 X 1 .09 9 Hillsborough 1-275/1-4 Westshore 1-4E 59,500 X .09 5,355 Poad 10 Hillsborough US-92 Gandy I-4E 13,900 X 1,251 Bridge 11 Manatee SR-64 Anna Mariz Manatee 8,400 X .11 9,24 Bridge C/L 12 Manatee CR-684 Cortez sR-64W 16,800 X .11 1,848 Bridge TOTAL 21,347_ 1988 Ibnpa Bay Region Hurricane Study provided hurricane scenarios for category 1, 3, and 5 storms only. D-3 APPENDIX D cont- POSSIBLE NUMBER OC VEHICLES LEAVING TAMPA BAY REGICNAL PLANNING COUNCIL DUE TO A HURRICANE EVACUATIaN Daily Evacuation Volume x Percentage Leaving Region = Possible Number of Vehicles Storm Category: 5 Response Time: Average Daily % Evac. Leaving Poss ible I No. County Name From TO Volume Reqion. of vehicles I Pasco SR-52 US-19 I-75N 14,600 X .11 1,606 2 Pasoo, SR-54 US-19 I-75N 14,800 X .11 1,628 3 Pinellas CR-582/1-75 US-19A I-75N 12,600 -x .09 4 Pinellas CR-584/US-9' , US-1@A I-4E 10,080 X .09 907 5 Pinellas SR-60/I-275 US-19A 1-4E 13,600 X .09 1,224 6 Pinellas CR-688/I-27E US-19A I-4E 59,500 X .09 5,355 7 Pinellas CR-694/US-9@ US-19A 1-4E 22,200 X .09 1,998 8 Pinellas US-19A/1-27f CR-699 1-4E 7,300 X .09 657 9 Hillsborough 1-275/1-4 westshore 1-4E 64,800 X .09 5,832 Road 10 Hillsboroujh US-92 Gandy I-4E 15,100 X .09 1,359 Bridge 11 Manatee SR-64 Anna Mariz Manatee 9,100- X 11 itool Bridge CA 12 Manatee CR--684 Cortez SR-64W 16,800 X .11 1,848 Bridge TOM 24,549. 1988 7@amp@t Bay Region Hurricane Study provided hurricane. scenarios for category, 1, 3 and 5 storms only. D-4 APPENDIX D cont. POSSIBLE NUMBER OF VE11ICLFS LEAVING SOUTHWEST FLORIDA REGIONAL PLANNING COUNCIL DUE TO A 11URRICANC EVACUATION Route Capacity X County Clearance Time = Possible Number of vehicles Storm Category: 3 Possible Clearance Number of No. c6urity Route Capacit Times vehicles I Collier 1-75 2,432 x 15.7 38,214 2 Collier SR-29 698 x 15.7 10,959 3 Lee US-41 2,260 X 20.0 45,200 4 Lee 1-75 2,432 x -20..0 48,640 5 Lee SR-31 620 X 20.0 12,400 6 Lee SR-80 1,043 X 20.0 20,860. 7 Charlotte US-41 2,034 x 8.5 17,289 8 Charlotte SR-776 1,489 x 8.5 12,657 9 Charlotte US@17 1,034 X 8.5 8,789 10 Charlotte CR-74 751 X 8.5 6,384 11 Sarasota 1-75 3,647 X 12.4 45,223 12 Hendry SR-80 848 x .7 594 13 Hendry US-27 2,300 x .2 460 14 Glades US-27 1,369 x .3 411 is Glades CR-721 4 71 x .3 141 16 Glades SR-708 506 x .3 152 TOTAL 268,373 source: Department of Community Affairs D-5 I I I I I I I I APPENDIX E I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX E INVENTORY CRITERIA OF FACILITIES FOR USE AS PUBLIC SHELTERS GENERAL INFORMATION Name of Facility: Address: Telephone number: City: County: Name of facility administrator (principal, if a school): Office phone: Home phone-- 'Public Safety Jurisdiction Police: Fire: SHELTER AMENITIES A. Designated shelter area/areas. Capacity of safety area/areas (at 20 sq.. f t per person) Number of paved parking spaces: Size and location of any additional accessible parking areas: What power company- provides service to your -facility? Alternate power source: Generator: yes no 'Battery powered lights: yes no What areas of facility does alternate. source service? If alternate power source available, does it require an operator? If yes, name. of person to initiate alternate power source E-1 B_ reeding Capability Kitchen facilities: yes no Number of people that can be fed based on three meals per day.(from food normally on hand) How long can food service be provided without a new supply.of.food? Where are nearest alternate food suppliers Sources of power for meal preparation: electric gas propane Could food service be carried out if commercial electrical power source failed? C. Sanitary Facilities 1. Toilet facilities: number of restrooms: men women number of showers: men women Are restrooms located inside safety area/areas of shelter? yes 110 2. Type of wastewater treatment facilities: Is this facility connected to a county or.municipal sewer system? Is this facility connected to an on-site self-contained "package" sewer system? 3. Potable. water -supply furnished through (check applicable item(s) a..city system b. *p*rivate company (name) c. county system d. has own well 4. Communication Devices Are there two-way radios at your facility? E-2 If yes, specify type and number of units Do you have radio contact with a school bus network or other radio network? Lf so, please specify How many telephone lines does your facility have? 5- First Aid Facilities Is a First Aid Room accessible to the safety area/areas of shelter? yes no How many beds/cots does it contain? M. STRUCTURE Elevation of site: Is.site floodprone? yes no Type of structure: Roof; Walls: Date of construction: Number of stories/levels: Appendages (awnings, covered walks, etc.) Percentage of glass/windows in saf ety. area/areas. Date of last code inspection: E-3 I I I I I I I I APPENDIX F I I I I I I I I I I I APPENDIX F INLAND PUBLIC SHELTERS DESOTO COUNTY PUBLIC SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY (20sq.ft.per person) 1. DeSoto County High School 1710 E. Gibson Avenue 2,124 2. DeSoto County Middle School 420 E. Gibson Avenue 1,688 3. West Elememtary School 310 W. Whidden Street 849 4. Memorial Grammar School 150 N. Mills Avenue 469 5. First Christian School 518 Wilson Avenue 43 6. Nocatee Elementary School Nocatee 150 7. Brownville School Brownville 179 8. First Presbyterian Church 209 W. Hickory 242 9. Trinity Methodist Church 14 W. Oak Street 708 10. Episcopal Church 18 N. Manatee Avenue 85 11. St. Paul's Catholic Church 1208 E. Oak Street 91 12. Church of God 1423 N.E. Oak Street 77 F-1 APPENDIX F cont. 13. Hillsboro Baptist Church North Hillsboro Avenue 52 14. First Christian Church Maple Street 47 15. Central Missionary Church 10th Avenue 63 16. Apostilic Church of Jesus Christ 205 S. Luther 88 17. Calvery Baptist Church 15th Avenue 195 18. First Assembly of God 10th Avenue 109 19. Temple Baptist Church North Mills Avenue 41 20. Southside Baptist Church South Hillsboro Avenue 71 21. First Baptist Church Hwy 17 North Used as Medical Center 22. Heritage Baptist Church 27 N. Polk Avenue 430 TOTAL CAPACITY 7,801 F-2 APPENDIX F cont. HARDEE COUNTY PUBLIC SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY (20sq.ft.per person) 1. Bowling Green Inn 101 North Oak 100 Bowling Green 2. Bowling Green Elementary School House Road 200 Bowling Green 3. Zolfo Springs Civic Center Highway 17 50 Zolfo Springs 4. Zolfo Springs Elementary School House Road 200 Zolfo Springs 5. Hardee Manor Nursing Home 401 Orange Place 50 Wauchula 6. New Zion African Baptist Church New York Avenue 50 Wauchula 7 Hardee Junior High 200 South FL Avenue 500 Wauchula 8. Hardee Senior High Altman Road 500 Wauchula 9. Resthaven Rt.2, Box 71 50 Zolfo Springs 10. Baptist Church Corner of Grape & Dixiana 50 Bowling Green TOTAL CAPACITY 1,750 F-3 APPENIDIX F cont. HIGHLANDS COUNTY PUBLIC SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY 1. Sebring High School (20sq.ft.per person) 3514 Kenilworth 3,000 Sebring 2. Avon Park High School 700 East Main Street 1,866 Avon Park 3. Sebring Middle School 500 East Center Street 2,970 Sebring 4. Avon Park Middle School 401 South Lake Avenue 2,245 Avon Park 5. Lake Placid High School 202 Lake Drive West 2,285 Lake Placid 6. Lake Placid Elementary 101 Lake Drive 1,135 Lake Placid 7. Fr ed Wild Elementary 1910 South Highlands Ave. 750 Sebring 8. Apostilic Church of Jesus 920 Carolina Avenue 65 Avon Park 10. Lake Avenue County Building South Lake Avenue 60 Avon Park 11. Fellowship Baptist Church West Thomas Street 60 Avon Park F-4 APPENDIX F cont. 15. First Baptist Church 100 North Lake Avenue 90 Avon Park 16. First Christian Church 101 West Walnut Street 70 Avon Park 17. National Guard Armory U.S.Hwy 27 South 90 Avon Park 18. Our Lady of Grace Church 595 East Main Street 60 AvonPark 19. Reflection Club House U.S. Hwy 27 South 76 Avon Park 20. Resurrection Lutheran Church 324 East Main Street 100 Avon Park 21. Seventh Day Adventist Church Lake Lillian 475 Avon Park 22. South FL Community College West College Drive 885 Avon Park 23. Walker Memorial Jr. Academy 1525 Avon Blvd. 315 Avon Park 24. Agricultural Center U.S. Hwy 27 South 522 Sebring 25. Church of the Nazarene 318 S.Commerce 170 Sebring 26. Covenant Presbyterian Church 4500 Sun n' Lake Blvd. 118 Sebring F-5 APPENDIX F cont. 27. Jack and Jill Nursery Highlands Ave. 67 Sebring 28. Lake Josephine Church 117 Lake Josephine 115 Sebring 29. Lorida Community Center U.S. Hwy 98 60 Lorida 30. Presbyterian Church Poinsettia Street' 130 Sebring 31. St. Catherine Catholic Church 820 Hickory 200 Sebring 32. Whispering Pines Church 303 White Pines Drive 117 Sebring 3 3. Youth Center Highlands Drive 95 Sebring 34. American Legion Post #25 U.S. Hwy 27 North 255 Sebring 35. Lake Placid Elks Club 2661 North Tower 120 Sebring 36. United Methodist Church SR 731 60 Venus 38. Venus Baptist Church SR 731 85 Venus 39. Venus Community Center Club House Road 45 Venus TOTAL CAPACITY 18,756 F-6 APPENDIX F cont. OKEECHOBEE COUNTY PUBLIC SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY (20sq.ft.per person) 1. South Elementary 1,606 575 SW 28th St. 2. Fort Drum Community Church 90 32415 Hwy 441 North Ft. Drum 3. Fifth/Sixth Grade Center 1,241 610 SW 2nd Ave. 4. First Baptist Church 250 401 SW 4th St. 5. First United Methodist Church 464 200 NW 2nd St. 6. Sacred Heart Catholic Parish 350 701 SW 6th St. 7. Central Elementary 896 610 SW 5th Ave. 8. North Elementary 956 3000 NW 10th Terr. 9. Okeechobee High School 3,090 2800 Hwy 441 North 10. Okeechobee Junior High School 1,912 925 NW 23rd. Lane 11. Northside Baptist Church 75 Okeechobee Little Farms 12. Elks Lodge 250 Hwy 70 East 13. Everglades Elementary 1,710 650 SE 2nd Ave. 14. Moose Lodge 100 NW 36th St. TOTAL CAPACITY 12,034 F-7 APPENDIX F cont. POLK COUNTY PUBLIC SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY (20sq.ft.per person) 1. Kathleen El ementary School (F) 750 3515 Sheretz Road Lakeland, FL 33809 858-4487, 858-2264, 858-3450 2. Lake Gibson Junior High 175 6901 N. Socrum Loop Rd. Lakeland, FL 33809 858-87B5 3. Padgett Elementary School (F) 60 110 Leelon Road Lakeland, FL 33805 858-4461 4. Griffin Elementary School 200 3315 Kathleen Road Lakeland, FL 33809 859-1454 5. North Lakeland Elementary 65 410 Robson Street Lakeland, FL 33805 688-5437 6. Winston Elementary School 150 3415 Swindell Road Lakeland, FL 33801 683-0471 7. Kathleen High School 500 2600 N.Crutchfield Road Lakeland, FL 33801 665-1129, 665-7077 8. John Cox Elementary 280 1005 N. Massachusetts Lakeland, FL 33805 688-9577, 688-9669 F-8 APPENDIX F cont. 9. Combee Elementary 300 2805 Morgan Combee Road Lakeland, FL 33801 665-1455 10. Seth McKeel Junior High (F) 646 1810 W. Parker Lakeland, FL 688-6605 11. Jesse Keen Elementary 231 815 Plateau Avenue Lakeland, FL 33801 688-1005 12. Lakeland High School 670 726 Hollingsworth Lakeland, FL 33801 682-5163 13. Crystal Lake Jr. High (F) 300 2410 N. Crystal Lake Dr. Lakeland, Fl 33801 665-1129, 665-7077 14. Southwest Jr. High 629 2815 South Eden Parkway Lakeland, FL 33803 683-6461 15. Cleveland Court Elementary 44 328 Edgewood Drive Lakeland, FL 33803 686-8663, 688-6275 16. Oscar Pope Elementary (F) 439 2730 Maine Avenue Eaton Park 665-6341 17. Carlton Palmore Elementary 200 3725 Cleveland Heights Blvd. Lakeland, FL 33803 644-0445, 646-2737 F-9 APPENDIX F cont. 18. Polk School Opportunity Center (see Note) 400 N. Florida Avenue Lakeland, F1 33805 688-1208 19. Crystal Lake Elementary (F) 75 700 Galvin Drive Lakeland, FL 33801 665-4251 20. Travis Vo-Tech 150 3225 Winter Lake Rd. ( Rt.540) Eaton Park, FL 33840 665-1220 21. Lakeland Highlands Jr, High 200 740 Lake Miriam Dr. Lakeland, FL 33813 644-2441 22. Medulla Elementary 83 850 Schoolhouse Road Lakeland, FL 33811 646-1221 23. Scott Lake Elementary 250 1140 East State Road 540-A Lakeland, FL 33803 644-8449, 644-8440 24. Kingsford Elementary 150 1400 Dean Street Mulberry, FL 33860 425-3056 25. Mulberry High School 100 N.E. Fourth Cirlce Mulberry, FL 33860 646-1884 26. Highland City Elementary 50 9th and Bay Streets Highland City, FL 33846 644-8478 F-10 APPENDIX F cont. 27. Stephens Elementary 50 1350 Maple Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-1544 28. Bartow Elementary 250 590 S. Wilson Avenue Bartow, FL 13830 533-0456 29. Bartow Senior High 200 1270 S. Broadway Bartow, FL 33830 533-3125, 533- 3251 30. Bartow Jr, High School 300 550 E. Clower Street Bartow, FL 33830 533-0547, 533-4417, 533-3269 31. Union Academy 200 1795 E. Wabash BArtow, FL 33830 533-7185 32. Polk City Elementary (see Note) 125 S. Bouganvillea Ave. Polk City, FL 33868 984-1332, 984-1859 33. Lena Vista Elementary 150 208 South Berkley Road Auburndale, FL 33823 967-8598 34. Auburndale High School 500 125 Prado Auburndale, FL 33823 967-4173 33. Auburndale Jr.High 250 121 Ohio Avenue Auburndale, FL 33823 967-1191 36. Caldwell Elementary 500 141 Dairy Road Auburndale, FL 33823 967-8534 F-11 APPENDIX F cont. 37. Central Elementary 53 320 Lemon Street Auburndale, FL 33823 967-7581 38. Lake Alfred Elementary 628 550 E. Cummings Lake Alfred, FL 33850 956-1472. 956-1870 39. Ridge Vo-Tech * 200 770 State Road 544 Winter Haven, FL 33880 294-5151 40. Garner Elementary 250 2500 Havendale Blvd. Winter Haven, FL 33881 294-7657 41. Jewett Elementary 450 601 Avenue T, N.E. Winter Haven, FL 33881 294-1538, 299-5200 43. Westwood Jr. High 300 3520 Avenue J, N.W. Winter Haven, FL 33881 967-0673 44. Inwood Elementary 53 2200 Avenue G, N.W. Winter Haven, FL 33880 293-6370, 299-8040 45. Elbert Elementary 450 205 15th Street, N.E. Winter Haven. FL 33880 299-5222, 293-2559 46. Denison Jr. High * 150 400 Avenue A, S.E. Winter Haven, FL 33880 294-5151 47. Winter Haven High School 600 600 6th Street, S.E. Winter Haven, Fl 33880 294-7631 @F-12 AP PENDIXF cont. 48. Lake Shipp Elementary 150 250 Camillia Drive. Winter Haven, FL 33880 293-8874, 299-5073, 293-8873 49. Snively Elementary 300 1004 Snively Avenue Winter Haven, FL 33880 294-1475 50. Garden Grove Elementary 150 4599 Cypress Gardens Rd. Winter Haven, FL 33880 324-6557 51. Eagle Lake Elementary 500 400 Crystal Beach Road Eagle Lake, FL 33839 293-2971, 299-4341 52. Alturas Elementary 90 4th and Oak Alturas, FL 33820 537-1357 53. Fort Meade Jr./Sr.High 375 700 Edgewood Drive Fort Meade, FL 33841 285-8174 54. Lewis Elementary 400 115 S. Oak Avenue Fort Meade, FL 33841 285-7104 55. Fort Meade Middle School 75 610 S. Charleston Ave. Fort Meade, FL 33841 285-8128 56. Davenport Elementary 1,321 8 Palmetto Street Davenport, FL 33837 422-2257, 422-5389 F-13 APPENDIX F cont. 57. Bethune'Elementary 52 900 Avenue F Haines City, FL 33844 422-1307, 422-4763, 422-1997 58. Eastside Elementary 50 1820 E. Johnson Avenue Haines City, FL 33844 422-1464, 422-7111 59. Haines City High School 200 2800 Grace Avenue Haines City, FL 33844 422-6415 60. Shelly Boone Middle School 375 225 S. 2nd St. Haines City 422-5956 61. Alta Vista Elementary 70 801 S. Scenic Highway Haines City, FL 33844 422-2889 62. Janie Howard Wilson Elementary (see Note) 604 North Franklin Lake Wales, FL 33853 63. Lake Wales High School 125 1009 N. 6th Street Lake Wales, FL 33853 676-8545 64. Roosevelt Vocational School 500 115 "Ell Street Lake Wales, FL 33853-3599 6776-9402 65. Spook Hill Elementary 40 321 E. Worth Avenue Lake Wales, FL 33853 676-8568 66. Polk Avenue Elementary 460 110 E. Polk Avenue Lake Wales, FL 33953 676-9491 F-14 APPENDIX F cont. 67. Hillcrest Elementary 200 1051 Hisperides Road Lake Wales, FL 33853 676-6437 68. Lake Wales Jr.HIgh 1,004 Lake Wales, FL 33853 676-3427 69. Babson Park Elementary 513 815 Hwy Alt.27 Babson Park, FL 33827 638-1483 70. Frostproof Jr./Sr. High 276 1000 N. Palm Ave. Frostproof, FL 33843 635-2221 71. Frostproof Elementary 50 118 West 3rd Street Frostproof, FL 33843 635-4841 72. Sikes Elementary 50 2727 Shepherd Road Lakeland, FL 33811 646-9208 73. Clarence A. Boswell Elementary 680 2820 K-Ville Avenue Auburndale, FL 33823 666-2758, 666-6996 74. North Central Adult & Community School 100 300 E. Brodgers Ave. Auburndale, FL 33823 965-2507 75. Stambaugh Middle School 500 226 N. Bartow Avenue 967-8781, 967-8782 76. Floral Avenue Elementary 72 1530 S. Floral Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-0484 F-15 APPENDIX F cont. 77. Gause Career Development Center 250 1395 W. Polk Street Auburndale, Fl 33823 533-8898 78. Gibbons Street Elementary 72 1860 E. Gibbons Street Bartow, FL 33830 533-7524 79. Polk Life & Learning center 110 1310 S. Floral Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-2279 80. Dundee Elementary 300 215 Frederick Avenue Dundee, FL 33838 422-5533 81. Dundee ESE Center 19 213 E.Lake Avenue Dundee, FL 33838 439-4017, 439-2548 82. Riverside Elementary 200 1002 N.E. 6th Street Fort Meade, FL 33841 295-9151, 285-8753 83. Jenkins Middle School 85 701 Ledwith Avenue Haines City, FL 33844 84. Boone Middle School 136 225 S.22nd Street Haines City, FL 33844 422-5956 85. Fruitland Park Learning Center 244 690 North Third Street Lake Alfred, FL 33850 956-1131 86. Career Development Center 100 455 E.Cummings Street Lake Alfred, FL 956-1473, 956-1870 F-16 APPENDIX F cont. 87. Lake Gibson High School 600' 7007 N. Socrum Loop Rd. Lakeland, FL 33805 858-4436 88. Central Avenue Elementary 150 604 South Central Avenue Lakeland, FK 33801 688-0266, 688-0369 89. Churchwell Elementary 550 8201 Park Byrd Road Lakeland, FL 33809 858-1402 90. Dixieland Elementary 100 416 Ariana Street Lakeland, FL 33801 682-5101 91. Doris A.Sanders Learning Center 175 1201 Enchanted Drive Lakeland, Fl 33801 666-1070, 666-1163, 665-3874 92. Kathleen Jr.High (F) 100 3627 Kathleen Pines Road Lakeland, FL 33809 858-3881 93. Lincoln Avenue Elementary 150 1330 N.Lincoln Avenue Lakeland, FL 33805 688-2347 94. Lime Steet Elementary 500 1225 E.Lime Street Lakeland, FL 33801 688-5200, 687-2630, 688-3346 95. Rochell Elementary (F) 400 1501 Martin Luther King Ave. Lakeland, FL 33801 688-3881 F-17 APPENDIX F cont. 96. Southwest Elementary 110 2650 Southwest Avenue Lakeland, FL 33803 688-2331 97. McLaughlin Jr.High 210 South 4th St. & Winston Ave. Lake Wales, FL 33853 676-3427 98. Purcell Elementary 70 305 N.E. First Aveneu Mulberry, FL 33860 425-4542 99. Brigham Elementary 250 6th Street & Avenue C, S.E. Winter Haven, FL 33880 293-3206, 293-3966, 293-9746 100. Wahneta Elementary 40 Fourth Street East Wahneta, FL 234-5210 TOTAL CAPACITY 25,750 denotes primary shelters (F) denotes shelters located in flood-prone areas Note these locations will be utilized as post-storm shelters only F-18 APPENDIX F cont. POLK COUNTY ALTERNATE SHELTERS LOCATION CAPACITY 1. Bartow Civic Center 365 2250 S. Floral Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-0773 2 Carver Recreation Center 335 520 S. Idlewood Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-9516 3. Polk Street Community Center 194 1255 W. Polk Street Bartow, FL 33830 533-5713 4. Mulberry Civic Center 75 901 N.E. Fifth Street Mulberry, FL 33960 425-2412 5. American Legion 100 614 E.Orange Lakeland, FL 683-8710 6. Calvery Baptist Church 250-300 1945 N. FLorida Ave. Lakeland, FL 683-6781 7. First Church of the Nazarene 50 950 Floral Avenue Bartow, FL 33830 533-3915 8. Eastside Baptist Church 50-100 217 Pike Street Auburndale, FL 967-1089 9. Polk Community College 400 999 Avenue H, S.E. Winter Haven, FL 297-1098 F-19 APPENDIX F cont. 10. First Baptist Church 150-300 3800 N. Oak Avenue Frostproof, FL 635-3603 11. First Baptist Church 150 First and Ledweth Street Haines City, FL 422-4488 12. Wahneta Church of God 105 647 S. Rifle Range Road Winter Haven. FL 324-5594 TOTAL CAPACITY 2,474 F-20 I I I I I I I APPENDIX G I I I I I I I .I I I I I APPENDIX G HOTELS/MOTELS ALONG POLK COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES BEST WESTERN IMPERIAL MOTEL 508 E. MEMORIAL BLVD. 740 E. MAIN LAKELAND LAKELAND BEST WESTERN LAKE IDA MOTEL 1504 US HWY 27 S. 2524 US HWY 17 N. RAINES CITY WINTER HAVEN BOWEN MOTOR LODGE LAKE PARKER MOTEL 2854 US HWY 17 N.. 1539 MEMORIAL BLVD. WINTER HAVEN LAKELAND BUDGET MOTEL LANDMARK MOTOR LODGE 1418 US HWY 27 S. 1965 US HWY 17 N. LAKE WALES WINTER HAVEN CATALINA MOTEL LANTERN MOTEL AAA US US HWY 27 N.- 3949 US HWY 27 S. DUNDEE LAKE WALES DAVIS BROTHERS MOTOR LODGE MEMORIAL MOTOR LODGE 1035 N.BROADWAY 508 E. MEMORIAL BLVD. BARTOW LAKELAND DAYS INN MONTICELLO MOTEL 3223 US HWY. 98 N. US HWY 27 S. LAKELAND DUNDEE HOWARD JOHNSONS LAKELAND MOTEL US HWY 98 N. 1224 MEMORIAL BLVD. LAKELAND LAKELAND IMPERIAL MOTEL QUALITY INN 740 E. MAIN 3311 US HWY 98 N. LAKELAND LAKELAND RAMADA MOTEL RAMADA HOTEL 601 E. MEMORIAL BLVD. 3320 US HWY 98 N. LAKELAND LAKELAND G-1 APPENDIX G cont. RED CARPET INNS ECONO LODGE 3410 US HWY 98 N. 1817 MEMORIAL BLVD. LAKELAND LAKELAND SCOTTISH INNS ECONO LODGE 244 N. FLORIDA AVE. 501 US HWY 27 S. LAKELAND LAKE WALES SCOTTISH INNS ECONOMY MOTOR LODGE 3525 US HWY 17 N. 329 US HWY 27 S. LAKELAND DUNDEE SHERATON AMIGO 4141 S. FLORIDA AVE. US HWY 17-92 LAKELAND LAKE ALFRED STATE MOTEL FORTY ACRE MOTEL 905 US HWY 27 N. 2025 W. MEMORIAL BLVD. HAINES CITY LAKELAND SUNNY'S MOTEL HOLIDAY INN 35 US HWY 17-92 910 E. MEMORIAL BLVD. HAINES CITY LAKE14AND SUNSHINE MOTEL HOLIDAY INN 3560 US HWY 17 N. 3405 S. FLORIDA AVE. LAKELAND LAKELAND SUSSE MOTOR LODGE HOLIDAY MOTEL 5620 US HWY 27 N. 915 US HWY 27 S. HAINES CITY LAKE WALES TRAVELER'S VIEW MOTEL WIS-FLO HOTEL 830 US HWY 27 N. 635 CENTRAL AVE. LAKE WALES WINTER HAVEN G-2 APPENDIX G cont. HOTELS/MOTELS ALONG DESOTO COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES ARCADIA MOTEL DESOTO MOTEL US HWY 17 S. 1021 N. BREVARD AVE. ARCADIA ARCADIA BEST WESTERN WATERS MOTEL 504 S. BREVARD AVE. NOCATEE ROAD ARCADIA ARCADIA CITY MOTEL HI-WAY MOTEL 324 BREVARD AVE. US HWY 17 S. ARCADIA ARCADIA COLONIAL ARMS MOTEL US HWY 17 N. ARCADIA HOTELS/MOTELS ALONG HARDEE COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES TROPICANA MOTEL US HWY 17 N. WAUCHULA WAUCHULA MOTEL US HWY 17 N. WAUCHULA COLONIAL ARMS MOTEL US HWY 17 N. WAUCHULA G-3 APPENDIX G cont. HOTELS/MOTELS ALONG HIGHLANDS COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES REED'S MOTEL AVON MOTEL US HWY 27 US HWY 27 N. AVON PARK AVON PARK SAFARI INN HOLIDAY MOTEL 1406 US HWY 27 N. 2919 US HWY 27 S. SEBRING SEBRING SHARON MOTEL ISIS SHORES MOTEL US HWY 27 N. 1300 US HWY 27 N. AVON PARK AVON PARK SOUTHERNAIRE MOTEL LAKE BRENTWOOD MOTEL US HWY 27 AND 98 2060 US HWY 27 N. AVON PARK AVON PARK WHATLEY MOTEL MILLER MOTEL 3620 US HWY 27 S. 3751 US HWY 27 S. SEBRING SEBRING INTER-SET MOTEL ORANGE BLOSSOM MOTEL 5272 US HWY 27 S. US HWY 27 N. SEBRING AVON PARK GETTINGS HIGHLANDER MOTEL US HWY 27 S. SEBRING G-4 APPENDIX G cont. HOTELS/MOTELS ALONG OKEECHOBEE COUNTY EVACUATION ROUTES PALM MOTEL PORTERHOUSE WEST US HWY 441 S. US HWY 27 W. OKEECHOBEE OKEECHOBEE PIER II TREASURE ISLAND MOTEL 2200 US HWY 441 S. 3525 US HWY 441 S. OKEECHOBEE OKEECHOBEE PLAZA MOTEL OKEECHOBEE MOTEL 621 US HWY 27 S. 312 US HWY 441 S. CLEWISTON OKEECHOBEE PORTERHOUSE EAST US HWY 27 E. OKEECHOBEE G-5 NOAA COASTAL SERVICES CTR LIBRARY 3 6668 14111361 5