[From the U.S. Government Printing Office, www.gpo.gov]





                                   Harborcreek Tow'nship


                                                                 Draff
                                       Background Analysls












                                                                     prepared by
                                                                         the
                                                           Harborcreek Township Officials
                                                                       and the
                                                         Erie County Department of PI      g


                    I IIN
                    90
                    29
                    C6
                    1994















                                       1994 BACKGROUND ANALYSIS
                                                FOR THE
                                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP COMPREHENSIVE PLAN





                A REPORT OF THE PENNSYLVANIA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES TO
                   THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION PURSUANT TO
                                      NOAA AWARD NO. - NA370ZO351


                                 DER GRANT/CONTRACT NO. - CZ1:93.01PE
                                     GRANT TASK NO.    CZ1:93PE.05
                                            ME NO.   93229


				COASTAL
							Funded and Coordinated
					through Department of Environmental Resour-
					ses. Office of Resourses Management, Bureau
					of Resourses Management, Division of Coast-
					al Zone Management and the Erie County De-
					partment of Planning.
										ZONE



                                                    


               This project was financed in part through a Federal Coastal Zone
               Management Grant from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental
               Resources with funds provided by the NOAA.           The views expressed
               herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the
               views of NOAA or any of its subagencies.
        
               This  project was financed in part by the Township of Harborcreek and
               the Erie County Department of Planning.



                                                                    US Department of Commerce
                                                               NOAA Coastal Services Center Library
                                                                     2234 South Hobson Avenue
                                                                     Charleston, SC 29405-2413


									i
 






                                         1994 BACKGROUND ANALYSIS
                                                  FOR THE
                                  HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
                 Chapter                     TABLE OF CONTENTS                     -Page
                 TITLE PAGE  ....................................................     i

                 TABLE OF CONTENTS  .............................................  ii-iv

                 INTRODUCTION ..................................................   1 & 2

                 CHAPTER 1 HISTORY   ............................................   1-3

                     Introduction ..............................................      1
                     Early History  .............................................     I
                     Topography, Transportation and Economy   ....................    I
                     Recent History  ............................................     3

                 CHAPTER 2 PHYSICAL FEATURES   ..................................   1-5

                     Introduction ..............................................      1
                     Soils  .....................................................     1
                     Physical and Water Features  ...............................     2
                     Climate  ...................................................     3

                 CHAPTER 3 POPULATION ANALYSIS   ................................   1-3

                     Introduction ..............................................      I
                     Population Composition  ....................................     1
                     Population Projections  ....................................     2
                     Demographic Report  ........................................     3

                 CHAPTER 4 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS   ..................................   1-9

                     Introduction ..............................................      1
                     Employment Areas  ..........................................     1
                     Employers ................................................       2
                     Demographic Report  ........................................     2

                 CHAPTER 5 HOUSING ANALYSIS   ...................................   1-9

                     Introduction ..............................................
                     Housing Market  ............................................     3
                     Mobile Homes ..............................................      3
                     Housing Tenure and Supply  .................................     5
                     Housing Occupancy  .........................................     6
                     Housing Structure Conditions  ..............................     6
                     Housing Units Per Structure  ...............................     8
                     Housing Age  ...............................................     9
                     Housing Need ..............................................      9







                 CHAPTER 6 LAND USE ANALYSIS     ..................................      1-4

                      Introduction ..............................................         I
                      Classifications  ...........................................        1
                      Land Use Patterns   .........................................       2

                 CHAPTER 7 TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS      ............................     1-11

                      Introduction ..............................................         1
                      Highway System ............................................         1
                      Traffic Volumes  ...........................................        2
                      Road Mileage ..............................................         5
                      Signing and Signalization   .................................       5
                      Pending Improvement Projects    ..............................      6
                      Roadway Maintenance   .......................................       7
                      LIFT Service .............................................          8
                      Air Service  ...............................................        8
                      Rail Service ..............................................         8

                 CHAPTER 8 COMMUNITY FACILITIES     ...............................      1-23

                      Introduction ..............................................         1
                      Schools  ...................................................        I
                      Recreation  ................................................        7
                      Police Protection   .........................................      10
                      Fire and Emergency Protection    .............................     10
                      municipal Services and Facilities    .........................     14
                      Hospitals/Medical Facilities    ..............................     15
                      Libraries ..........................................     *''****   17
                      Churches  ..................................................       18
                      Historic Sites ............................................        19
                      Communications ............................................        20

                 CHAPTER 9 PUBLIC UTILITIES     .....  .............................     1-7


                      Water Facilities   ..........................................       I
                      Sanitary Sewer Facilities   .................................       2
                      Storm Drainage Facilities   .................................       3
                      Electric                                                            4
                      Natural Gas Facilities   ....................................       4

                 APPENDIX   .....................................................

                      Harborcreek Demographic Analysis and Population
                      Projections Report - 1994   .................................      1-75






                                             TABLE OF CONTENTS


                                               LIST OF MAPS

                                                                     Chapter       Paqe

                Regional Location  ...............................      1            2
                Prime and Unique Agricultural Soils    ..............   2            4
                Sensitive Environmental Areas  ....................     2            5
                Census Tracts  ....................................     5            2
                Generalized Present Land Use   .....................    6            3
                Protected Agricultural Lands   .....................    6            4
                Highway System and Traffic Volumes    ...............   7           10
                Signalization and Rail System  ....................     7           11
                Cable Service System   .............................    8           22
                Ownership Patterns   ...............................    8           23
                Water Distribution System   ........................    9            5
                Sanitary Sewer Collection System   .................    9            6
                Natural Gas Distribution System   ..................    9            7

































                                                    iv







                                                 INTRODUCTION


                 Local    comprehensive     planning is not new to the community of
                 Harborcreek Township. This planning effort represents the third time
                 in 30 years that the municipality will develop a background analysis
                 of the study area, formalize the community development goals and
                 objectives, and finalize the plan elements. The first planning
                 endeavor was in the 1960's; the second plan document was adopted'in
                 1980; with this endeavor resulting in the Harborcreek Township
                 Background Analysis-1994 and the Harborcreek Township Comprehensive
                 Plan-1995.

                 This    Comprehensive     Plan will assist the elected officials in
                 developing a policy to guide decisions in regard to the physical
                 development of the community. It is important to understand that the
                 Comprehensive Plan, and its various elements, is not a legally
                 binding document, and it does not take the form of an ordinance.
                 When a community decides to adopt a comprehensive plan, it is-
                 accepting by resolution that the recommendations within the plan are
                 the guidelines for future development and related government actions
                 of municipal officials.

                 The various elements of this Plan should be reviewed on a periodic
                 basis in the future, and revised when unforeseen conditions occur
                 which    reflect on the social, economic and physical makeup of
                 Harborcreek Township and its immediate adjacent area. The goals and
                 objectives of the Plan and the policies upon which the Plan is based,
                 should be regarded as a more permanent part of the document. It is
                 intended that the goals and objectives of the plan represent the
                 official philosophy of the governing body of the municipality and its
                 planning commission.

                 The elected and appointed officials of Harborcreek Township are
                 inescapably involved in questions of physical development. At nearly
                 every meeting of the Board of Supervisors and the Planning Commission
                 development decisions must be made concerning zoning, subdivisions,
                 utilities, facilities and so on. Public officials must plan for
                 future demands on community services and fiscal outlays by which
                 improvements to these services can be made. These officials need an
                 instrument by wh-1ch to inventory the community's resources and
                 liabilities, and establish short and long range policies for the
                 physical development of the community in a coordinated, unified
                 manner that can be continually referred to in order to intelligently
                 make these decisions.        Such is the intent behind the Harborcreek
                 Township Comprehensive Plan.

                 Probably    the most difficult goal facing any community is the
                 development of a means for promoting and controlling orderly growth.
                 This Plan is an integral part of the municipal effort toward reaching
                 that goal.      Although other studies, together with ordinances and
                 regulations, are or may become important to achieving the desired
                 goals, the Harborcreek Township Comprehensive Plan should be the
                 basis upon which those other documents are founded.




 




     REGIONAL LOCATION MAP

      H a r b o r c r e e k  T o w n s h i p

       ERIE COUNTY, PENNSYLVANIA
                           















		Lake Erie								ERIE COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF PLANNING
													1994

                         






                                                    CHAPTER 1


                                                     HISTORY

                  Introduction

                  The following information was taken from a paper developed by Judy
                  Wieczorek, Chairperson of the Harborcreek Township Historical Society
                  and local historian, specifically for this study.

                  Early History

                  Harborcreek Township in the last several decades of the eighteenth
                  century was a wilderness. It is likely that,the area now comprising
                  Harborcreek    Township was at various times inhabited by native
                  Americans consisting of, for example, the Eriez, usually referred to
                  as the Cat Nation. The much disputed Erie Triangle, which included
                  what would become Harborcreek Township, was transferred from the
                  Federal   government     to    Pennsylvania    on April 23, 1792.          The
                  Pennsylvania Population Company, which had 390 warrants on land
                  located within the Triangle, hired Thomas Rees in 1792 to survey the
                  Triangle.    The compensation given to Rees-for acting as agent for the
                  Pennsylvania Population Company was 30,000 acres for one dollar an
                  acre.   Fifteen thousand acres are of particular relevance, for it is
                  within this very large body of real estate that a significant portion
                  of Harborcreek is contained.         The Rees reserve was laid out and
                  surveyed between 1797 and 1799. In 1802 Rees moved to Harborcreek,
                  laid out his land in farms, sold them off except for one parcel which
                  he retained for himself, and ended his days on May 1, 1848 at the age
                  of 55.     He is buried in Gospel Cemetery with other family members.
                  Other   early    Harborcreek family names were Chambers, Saltsman,
                  Prindle, Elliot and Moorhead.

                  Some   of these early settlers, notably Thomas Rees and Thomas
                  Moorhead, brought with them slaves. Two African-Americans, Robert
                  McConnell and James Titus, ages four and one respectively, arrived
                  with the household of Rees. A woman who was known only as Phoebe and
                  her son Ceasar Augustus were members of the Moorhead household.
                  After their 28     years of service some of Rees' slaves apparently were
                  freed and given    land by their former owner. At the time of his death
                  in Harborcreek     in 1871, McConnell had eight children most of whom
                  were married.      Thus, Harborcreek, one of the original 16 Townships
                  established in     Erie County, became home to the largest African-
                  American population in the County at that time.

                  Topography, Transportation and Economy

                  Harborcreek Township today, consisting         of 33.7 square miles, is
                  bounded by Lake Erie on the north giving the Township a lake frontage
                  of about seven miles. North East and Greenfield Townships constitute
                  the eastern limits of Harborcreek, while it is bounded on the south
                  by   Greene Township.      Originally, Millcreek Township formed the
                  western     border   of Harborcreek. Through time, however, changes
                  occurred modifying the western limits of Harborcreek. Wesleyville,
                  one   of     three   villages    in   the    Township,    was a thriving,
                  entrepreneurial community by 1890. In 1912 the Borough of Wesleyville





                 was established as a separate political entity. Then in the .1920's,
                 on the heels of World War I, the General Electric plant located in
                 what had been the northeastern part of Millcreek. Today Lawrence
                 Park Township, just east of GE, forms the northernmost section of
                 Harborcreek's     eastern   border.    Continuing southward Wesleyville
                 Borough is another section of the eastern border, then Erie City for
                 about two miles and finally Millcreek Township forms the southernmost
                 eastern boundary.

                 Historically, it appears the lake frontage of Harborcreek experienced
                 little systematic planning and/or development. Presently, the lake
                 front consists of residential, business and agricultural zones. A
                 short    distance    from the lake shore a gradual ascent begins,
                 eventually forming two principle land forms - lakeplain and the
                 upland.    The lakeplain, which parallels Lake Erie, extends inland
                 three to four miles reaching a ridge between 900 and 1,000 feet
                 elevation. Early in the Township's existence this area was used to
                 cultivate fruits, berries, grapes and melons, meeting with a high
                 degree of success.       More recently, this area has been used for
                 growing cash crops such as grapes, sour cherries, tomatoes and
                 peaches. Of note, Harborcreek and Northeast Townships form               the
                 largest concentration of concord grape land in the United States.        The
                 upland area, between the first and second ridges, has been               and
                 continues to be suitable for farming. South of this area the land is
                 used    for   grazing and grain.       It is obvious that Harborcreek
                 historically has been an agrarian community. There is little doubt
                 that it continues to be, recent development notwithstanding. For
                 example, in 1980 45% of the Township was used for agricultural
                 purposes.    Evidence of the Township's strong determination to retain
                 its rural character was the passage in 1992 of an Agricultural
                 Security      Area   providing    protection    from   encroaching      urban
                 development.

                 In     its   early   history, some of the inland waterways figured
                 significantly in the Township's economy. The Cooper Grist, Saw and
                 Cider Mill along Fourmile Creek near the foot of Wintergreen Gorge
                 was once a famous landmark of the lake shore region. Troop's Basket
                 Factory and Cider Mill wer       'e located at Harbor Creek Station on
                 Sevenmile    Creek, and the historically important Cass Woolen Mill
                 stood at the headwaters of Sixmile Creek in the southeastern section
                 of     the  Township.     Technologically     advanced sources of power
                 eventually made these mills obsolete.

                 The railroads were another feature of Harborcreek's economy. The
                 Lake Shore and Nickel Plate Railroads passed through the Township
                 from east to west. Stations for these railroads were located in the
                 Villages    of    Wesleyville,    Harborcreek    and Moorheadville.      The
                 Philadelphia and Erie Railroad traveled through the western part of
                 the Township in a semi-circular direction at the gully of Fourmile
                 Creek. This railroad was a flag station at Shannon's Crossing.

                 East Lake (State Route 5), Buffalo (U.S. Route 20) and Station (State
                 Route 430) Roads were the main roads of the Township in the 1860's
                 and continue to be to this day. The first two are in the northern
                 section and run east to west. Route 5 provides direct access to
                 shoreline and lakefront properties. Both Routes 5 and 20 continue


                                                      2





                  eastward into New York State and westward into Ohio. In 1813 Station
                  Road was laid out from Colt's Station in Greenfield Township to
                  Mayville, New York.        No later than 1865 Station Road extended
                  northwesterly     into    Wesleyville. It now parallels Route 17 in
                  Pennsylvania and western New York State. A benefit to Harborcreek
                  was realized in 1957 when Interstate 90 was laid out running east to
                  west.    Two exits (#9 and 10) provide access to Harborcreek from.this
                  principal arterial.       Presently there are approximately 120 miles of
                  State and Township owned/maintained roads.             The tradition of very
                  well maintained roads continues to be observed.

                  Recent History

                  In keeping with its history and growth, Harborcreek continues to
                  provide    its citizenry with a comprehensive spectrum of goods,
                  services    and activities.       There are shopping plazas, day care
                  centers, parks, sports fields, restaurants, residences. Penn State-
                  Erie, The Behrend College provides a cultural series and a new-
                  library complex. Harborcreek also is home to a community YMCA, as
                  well as an AARP Chapter. In all, Harborcreek today has at least 50
                  trades, occupations, professions and agencies of one kind or another
                  to serve Harborcreek residents and others outside of the Township.

                  The Harborcreek Area Chamber of Commerce was originally formed in
                  1961 but had waned by the mid-eighties.               It was reactivated and
                  revitalized in 1989.        In addition to its purpose of promoting the
                  business community, it now sponsors the widely acclaimed Harborfest.
                  This event is a family oriented festive celebration lasting several
                  days each year that attracts visitors from the whole region.

                  Much of the growth of Harborcreek has been dependent upon the
                  availability of potable water and sewer systems.              In 1964, nearly
                  90% of Harborcreek residents had their own wells, and all residents
                  depended upon septic systems to handle sewage. The first sewer
                  project was      begun in 1971 and completed in 1974. Gradually, water
                  and sewer lines were and continue to be extended, and have both
                  serviced existing development in need, and encouraged new growth. In
                  1940, before water and sewer facilities were available, Harborcreek's
                  population was 3,600. After World War II in 1950, there were nearly
                  7,500 residents.       In 1960 the population had risen to over 10,000.
                  The decade     of the sixties saw the beginning of water and sewer
                  facilities.    In addition, as Erie, like other large cities, began to
                  experience     urban disorganization, out-migration became a common
                  pattern of     mobility. As a result, Harborcreek has been a primary
                  beneficiary    of out-migration from the City of Erie. Between 1950 and
                  1990     Erie's   population had declined nearly 17%. Harborcreek's
                  population has increased by over 100% in the same time period.
                  Harborcreek's current population is estimated to be nearly 16,000.
                  An interesting characteristic of the in-migration to Harborcreek is
                  that it has cut across socio-economic classes and ethnic groups.
                  Racial groups, however, are disproportionate in the Township. In
                  1990,     97.7%   of the population was listed as White and 2.3%
                  represented all other races. Also in 1990, 81% of the housing units
                  in Harborcreek were single family dwellings and 19% were all other
                  forms of housing.



                                                        3







                                                   CHAPTER 2


                                               PHYSICAL FEATURES

                  Introduction

                  The physical nature of the earth, its topography, slope, geological
                  composition, and type of soil structure, is a primary influence-in
                  determining how a community may be developed. The character of the
                  land varies from one location to another as may be easily observed on
                  the surface.     Together these characteristics play an important role
                  in determining a logical use of the land. The following data is a
                  presentation of the physical and water features, and the general
                  soils   development     potential    as they exist within Harborcreek
                  Township. It is not the intent of thi's section to develop and analyze
                  the problems that may arise due to the existence of these natural
                  features for future development in the rural areas of Harborcreek.

                  Soils

                  Soil types play a very important      role in determining the development
                  patterns of a community. While one location may be readily suitable
                  for urban development, another may have certain hidden limitations
                  which must be made recognizable and taken into account. The decision
                  as to whether or not a soil will be used for a specific purpose,
                  regardless of the      limitation, is beyond the scope of this document.
                  It also indicates    those soils which have been determined to have the
                  greatest potential for agriculture, mineral extraction, and areas
                  most suitable for general development.

                  Prime Agricultural Soils:

                  Not all soils are well suited for agriculture. Stoniness, steep
                  slopes, shallow scil and high water tables are conditions which
                  restrict agricultural productivity.        Soils which have the highest
                  potential for productivity are usually known as prime agricultural
                  soils.   Such soils are typically deep, fertile, well to moderately
                  well drained and are found on slopes which usually measure less than
                  ten percent.     The water holding capacity, texture and nutrients
                  within these soils are conducive to high agricultural productivity,
                  and being relatively level and well drained, a wide variety of crops,
                  can be efficiently grown as well. These soils are frequently found
                  in floodplains and valleys where adequate moisture provides for good
                  plant growth.     A combination of lakeplain soils and lake effect
                  climate are highly conducive to the production of vine and tree fruit
                  along the northern third of the Township.

                  The   accompanying     Prime and Unique Agricultural Soils Map for
                  Harborcreek does not make allowances for those locations where
                  existing development may already be situated.             Instead, the map
                  outlines all of the land where prime agricultural soils currently
                  exist or had ex4sted before development. The source of this map is
                  the Erie County Environmental Protection Plan.






                 Mineral Resources:

                 Within   Harborcreek    Township,    the   possibility exists for the
                 extraction of two resources, natural gas and gravel. Natural gas is
                 most likely to be found within two areas of Harborcreek: the
                 northeast corner and the center of the Township. These pools are
                 situated in such a manner that geologic formations have proven that
                 gas production could occur.        These two gas pools have proven to be
                 economically feasible as a number of gas wells do exist within the
                 pools in Harborcreek. However, within most of Erie County, there are
                 few new wells due to a depressed national market. The potential for
                 gravel extraction also exists in Harborcreek as soil types conductive
                 to production are prevalent in several locations.            There is one
                 active gravel operation located in the center of the Township.

                 Soil Capability for General Development:

                 Components of the plan such as residential, commercial and industrial
                 areas, transportation facilities, and public utilities are greatly
                 influenced as to the extent and location of development by the basic
                 capability of the land to support development.
                 Slope - This is the rise and fall of the land and is measured in feet
                 per hundred (percent) and is rated for general development as
                 follows:

                     Level or nearly level, 0-3% slope - excellent
                     Gently rolling, 3-8% slope - good
                     Rolling, 8-15% slope     moderate
                     Steep, 13-25% slope    poor
                     Very steep, 25-35% slope - unsuitable

                 Escarpments and Steep Slopes - In general, escarpments and steep
                 slopes are areas which range from 25 percent to vertical as a result
                 of stream erosion. The degree of slope involved coupled with a trend
                 of insufficient development practices have caused these areas to be
                 considered unsuitable for general development.

                 Floodplains - These are low-lying areas found within the numerous
                 stream valley corridors which are prone to flooding during high water
                 periods.     These   areas    are   considered unsuitable for general
                 development, but can be utilized for outdoor recreational activities.

                 Buildable Land - Soil properties affect the location, construction
                 and maintenance of buildings.        The soils are rated in terms of the
                 degree of limitation - slight, moderate, or severe. The degree of
                 limitation    indicates   the severity of problems expected to be
                 encouraged.    The ratings are for buildings of three stories or less
                 with basements (homesites).

                 Physical and Water Features

                 Land   utilization, to varying degrees, becomes affected by the
                 naturally occurring physical and water features that exist within the
                 scope of a community. Steep slopes, flood prone areas and wetlands
                 all play a role in determining the type or extent of development
                 that may be economically feasible.' It therefore becomes necessary

                                                      2






                to look at these natural characteristics.          A physical and water
                features map was developed to outline those natural areas that may
                have a direct impact on a community's growth. The source of the,
                accompanying Sensitive Environmental Areas Map for Harborcreek is the
                Erie County Environmental Protection Plan.
                Topographically, the Township varies in elevation from 572 feet at
                the Lake Erie shoreline to 1400 feet above sea level. The lower
                areas are primarily along the lakeplain gradually increasing in
                elevation to the southwestern corner of Harborcreek. This relatively
                consistent rise to the land generally does not cause problems for
                development.    However, there are a number of steep slopes and
                escarpments located primarily along the Lake Erie shoreline and where
                streams have directly-cut deeply into the land.

                The main water feature associated with Harborcreek is of course Lake
                Erie and its shoreline which comprises the entire northern border of
                the community.     The major water features in the Township are: the
                extensive floodplain and escarpment networks of Fourmile Creek along
                the western side of the Township between Lawrence Park Township and
                Interstate 90 known as the Wintergreen Gorge; and Sixmile Creek south
                of Route 20 south to the end of the Township. Smaller floodplains
                are located along a number of streams emptying into Lake Erie.

                Flood prone lands in Harborcreek Township have been determined
                through    the use of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
                Development's Federal Insurance Agency (FIA) Flood Hazard Maps and
                also through topographic mapping done by the United States Geological
                Survey (U.S.G.S.) relating to flood prone areas. These agencies have
                determined the 100 Year Flood Level to be the greatest flood that
                will occur over a 100 year period. Since development is generally
                considered to be unsuitable in these areas, a substantial portion of
                land becomes consumed.

                The   majority    of the wetlands are      also located in the areas
                encompassed by the floodplains as this is generally characteristic of
                relatively low flatlands.      These wetlands provide a source of water
                supply for the portions of Harborcreek that are not served by public
                water supply.     Water features also play a very important role in
                determining the quantity and quality of water that is available to
                the rural portion of Harborcreek and also act as a significant part
                of the wildlife ecosystem.

                Climate

                Harborcreek    Township   has a temperate continental climate with
                moderate to severe winters and evenly distributed precipitation. Its
                weather    patterns   are directly influenced by the Great Lakes,
                predominantly Lake Erie.      Based on National Weather Service figures
                from the Erie Weather Station, the average annual precipitation is
                37.3 inches. The average annual         snowfall is 100 inches with the
                portion of Harborcreek south of Interstate 90 being in, what has
                become known as, the "snowbelt" area south of Lake Erie in the tri-
                state region.     Temperatures range from an annual average of 50
                degrees    Fahrenheit to a high average of 53 degrees and a low average
                of 38 degrees. The hottest month is July, averaging in the lower
                70's, and the coldest month is February, averaging in the high 20's.

                                                    3














































                                                                                      11 A   K   E
                                                                 MAP
                                         PRIME & UNIQUE AGRICULTURAL SOILS

                                                 PRIME & UNIQUE AGRICULTURAL SOILS
                                                 URBAN AREA
                                         A,,Vlqreli WOODLANDS

















                                                                                                IN





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                                                                            T, A   K  E       E  R  I  E
                                                          MAP
                                     SENSITIVE ENVIRONMENTAL AREAS

                                            STREAMS                     FLOODPLAINS
                                            LAKES, PONDS, RESERVOIRS    ESCARPMENTS (-25%)
                                            WETLANDS                    PARKS & GAME LANDS
                                            WATERSHEDS
                                                                        URBAN AREA
                                            CONTINENTAL DIVIDE          WOODLANDS





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                                                  CHAPTER 3


                                             POPULATION ANALYSIS

                 Introduction
                 An   analysis of the character, composition and distribution of
                 population    along   with    knowledge of household composition and
                 educational attainment of the residents of the community are pre-
                 requisites for any planning program.           Population data helps to
                 determine    the needs of a community in relation to education,
                 highways,    housing,    commerce,    industry,    recreation and public
                 improvements. In addition, recent trends serve as indicators for
                 projecting future growth and development. The study of the population
                 is   primarily concerned with future changes and as such it should be
                 used as a base tool for local decision making.

                 Population Composition
                 In order to analyze the various subgroups of the          population, it is
                 important to know which groups are growing or declining. Since each
                 group will have different needs and impacts within the community, it
                 is necessary to study the characteristics of these sub-groups.
                 The number of persons in each age group is constantly fluctuating.
                 These fluctuations, which may be quite extensive in some cases, are
                 brought about by three basic factors: births, deaths, and migration.
                 Changes in the birth rate affect the number of persons, and the
                 percentage of persons in the youngest age group.               Although the
                 immediate affect of birth rate changes is only on the 0-4 age group,
                 within five years the change impacts the next age group and so on.
                 Death rates, on the other hand, can be a factor in any of the age
                 groups, but obviously have their major affect on the older groups.

                 Migration, either into or out of Harborcreek Township, will affect
                 .all age groups.      Harborcreek is especially influenced by migration.
                 The Township contains end portions of several larger demographic
                 regions of Erie County, namely the eastern edge of the Erie Urbanized
                 Area, the western edge of the lakeplain specialized agricultural
                 region,    and part of the northern edge of the upland general
                 agricultural "snowbelt" region. All three regions attract different
                 portions of the population sub-groups. The predominant change due to
                 migration occurs in the more mobile age groups, such as young adults,
                 first-time suburban home buyers, or those who have reached retirement
                 age.

                 The analysis of the Harborcreek age and gender structure is one of
                 the more important aspects of the population study because it
                 provides a basis for determining the makeup of the community's
                 population in the future.         This analysis will also aid in the
                 determination of the potential labor force, school age population,
                 requirements for needed community facilities, and future housing
                 requirements. For example, a decrease in the school-age population
                 may affect the size and cost of proposed school improvements. Also,
                 an increase in the number of senior citizens would necessitate
                 additional facilities for the elderly.         All of these factors put





                 together serve as indicators in determining the future economic,
                 social, and cultural stability of the community.
                 As noted previously, each age group has its own particular needs and
                 these needs vary as individuals pass from one age group to the next.
                 For example, the basic need for the school age population is for the
                 provision of adequate recreational and educational facilities. These
                 will provide ampie opportunity for social and physical development
                 for both the individual as well as the group as a whole.

                 Individuals in their twenties and thirties have a different set of
                 needs.    The primary need for people in this age group is for
                 employment opportunities.       A secondary need, particularly as these
                 individuals marry and begin to raise families, is that of housing in
                 terms of quality, income range, and size to meet varying needs and/or
                 preferences.     It should be noted that individuals in this group, as
                 well as their families, are extremely mobile, basically in search of
                 better employment opportunities.
                 Middle-aged individuals comprise a more stable element within the
                 total population.      Members of this age group are more likely to be
                 the civic leaders, political decision makers, and managers in the
                 local economy.      Their numbers and characteristics are of extreme
                 importance to the well being of the community.

                 The number of senior citizens in most communities has been increasing
                 over the last two decades, particularly as a result of advances in
                 the field of medicine.         This has resulted in more people living
                 longer.      Recognition    of    older    individuals    and     appropriate
                 consideration for their needs can turn what some might consider a
                 liability into an asset for the community. The basic needs of the
                 people within this age group are the provision of safe and adequate
                 housing that is proportional to their limited income level and
                 convenient access to necessary services.

                 Population Projections

                 Population growth (or lack of growth) is a             *basic -element of a
                 community's comprehensive development plan. A reasonable projection
                 of the anticipated growth in population for a community is needed in
                 order to properly determine the nature and extent of future services
                 that may be necessary to best accommodate a community's future
                 requirements.

                 Many factors completely beyond the control of the local government
                 can also change the rate of growth such as natural disasters, quality
                 of the local job market, overall economy of the County, and even
                 nationa-1 recession/boom periods. These factors could produce a major
                 alteration in the population growth potential.

                 The effects of outside regulatory agencies will continue to have
                 noteworthy    effects on the population growth as well.               Current
                 enforcement of State on-site septic regulations have limited the
                 construction of new homes and businesses outside the publicly served
                 areas. Soils wi,thin the rural upland area are generally characterized
                 by slow permeability and/or high groundwater tables, thereby making
                 siting for on-lot septic sewage systems difficult.

                                                      2





                 Another   factor    that can affect the population growth is the
                 availability of group water/sewer facilities.          This would occur,
                 either by the extension of public lines, or involve the construction
                 of package treatment plants and group water well systems. Isolated
                 systems will most likely serve clustered developments such as multi-
                 family residential complexes, single-family subdivisions and mobile
                 home parks in the rural area. Any such residential development using
                 group systems in the future will contribute towards significant
                 population increases.

                 Demog raphic Report
                 Due to the diverse nature of Harborcreek Township, a combination
                 analysis   of U.S. Census related socio-economic information was
                 completed for background purposes.         This "study within a study" is
                 known as the Harborcreek Township Demographic Analysis and Population
                 Projections Report and is located at the, end of the Background
                 Analysis.

                 The   following    research,    tables and graphs pertaining to the
                 population analysis portion are integrated within the Demographic
                 Report.
                 Municipal trends from 1950 to 1990 ar         e analyzed and compared to
                 neighboring municipalities and the County as a whole. The key to
                 this analysis is an attempt to discern why changes occurred. This
                 analysis addresses a number of factors, including natural increase,
                 housing starts, and institutional group quarter changes. The final
                 product is a detailed examination of why local changes occurred. Sub-
                 municipal changes are analyzed using census track data. Social
                 characteristics govern the nature of the community. They include a
                 comparative analysis of generalized age profiles. When combined with
                 gender,   this    age    breakdown   facilitates    comparison to other
                 municipalities, the County, and the State.            Next, age data is
                 examined by five-year cohorts.        This is particularly valuable for
                 understanding school, workforce, and the community service needs.
                 .base.  Race/ethnic data is examined. Changes in hou5ehold size and
                 structure, family size and type, and group quarters are examined.
                 Data from these sections, supplemented with Pennsylvania Health Data
                 Center material, is then utilized to develop a series of population
                 projections.     These    projections    analyze   how    population age,
                 fertility, and mortality could potentially combine with migration
                 trends to show the municipality's population in 2000 and 2010. There
                 are three population scenarios that were developed and explained.
                 See the accompanying Appendix.












                                                     3






                                                  CHAPTER 4


                                             ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

                 Introduction

                 An analysis of the local economy will provide useful information
                 necessary to understand the economic growth (or lack of it) within
                 the community.     The economic climate is analyzed through examination
                 of present and current trends within the community as evidenced by
                 employment and labor force data, retail, selected services, wholesale
                 and   manufacturing    statistics    and   the status of agricultural
                 activity.    The purpose of this section is to examine where growth has
                 occurred and to present date for the possibilities of new growth in
                 the community.

                 Employment Areas
                 Traditionally, Harborcreek Township's principle economic activity had
                 been agriculture, primarily located in the northeastern quadrant of
                 the Township. Harborcreek is second only to North East Township in
                 Erie County in the production of grapes. Although a large amount of
                 land is devoted to the various fruit, crop, nursery and pasture
                 agricultural activities in the community, a naturally small number of
                 persons are employed in such activities.

                 Industrial    development    is   currently limited to a handful of
                 establishments.    The majority of Harborcreek residents, employed in
                 manufacturing,    work outside of the Township, primarily in the
                 remainder of the Erie Urbanized Area. Of note, the largest single
                 site for employment in Erie County is the one square mile complex of
                 the General Electric Company located just one mile west of the
                 northwestern    border   of    Harborcreek.    This GE Plant produces
                 locomotives.    Within Harborcreek Township, the larger industrial
                 employment is provided by the following manufacturers: Port Erie
                 Plastics (custom and co-injection molding) on Troupe Road; Dorries
                 Scharmann (lathes and vertical boring mills) on Iroquois Avenue; and
                 Thermoclad (heat fusible powders, primers and paints) on Iroquois
                 Avenue.

                 Commercial activity has grown substantially recently and is primarily
                 located along Buffalo Road from Wesleyville to Hannon Road. This
                 commercial district is anchored by three plaza complexes: Eastway, K-
                 Mart and Giant Eagle. This portion of the Township can be considered
                 a "full service" business district, as it now provides at least one
                 of everything normally associated with a suburban commercial strip
                 district.    The large number of commercial businesses and services
                 located in this area clearly indicates that far more than the
                 residents of Harborcreek are being accommodated. The dozen closest
                 municipalities -in Erie County and western New York extensively
                 utilize the Harborcreek Buffalo Road commercial district as well.
                 There is also less concentrated commercial activity on: the western
                 portion of East Lake Road: in Harborcreek Village; and at the two
                 Interstate 90 Interchanges.






                 Employers

                 An inventory of the major employers within the community gives a good
                 indication for determining the future economic, social and cultural
                 stability of the community. In Harborcreek Township, the following
                 larger single site employers are primarily located in the west
                 central and central portion of the community:              Penn State-Erie
                 (college), Giant Eagle Supermarket, K-Mart East, Brevillier Village
                 (elderly    care    service),    Port   Erie    Plastics     (manufacturer),
                 Harborcreek Junior-Senior High School, Eastside YMCA, Rolling Ridge
                 Elementary School, Gannondale (girls care service), Erie Infants and
                 Youth Home, Harborcreek Youth Service (boys care service), Quality
                 Market, and Dorries Scharmann (manufacturer). A detailed description
                 of various public and institutional employers in Harborcreek can be
                 seen in the following Community Facilities Chapter.

                 Through the efforts of the Township officials, an extensive inventory
                 of   employers     has   been    assembled, and is delineated in the
                 accompanying table, Employers and Employment in Harborcreek Township
                 in 1994.     The table includes the full range of employers in the
                 Township from the large institutional, industrial and commercial
                 sites down to the self-employed operating our of home sites. Of
                 note, the number of employees listed are estimates representing the
                 total    persons that were employed for that enterprise in 1994
                 (multiple shi fts and locations, part-time, replaced employees, etc.
                 included), not the average daily employment at the establishment.
                 The table lists over 360 employers employing over 5,600 persons in
                 1994.

                 Demographic Report

                 Due to the diverse nature of Harborcreek Township, a combination
                 analysis    of U.S. Census related socio-economic information was
                 completed for background purposes.          This "study within a study" is
                 known as the Harborcreek Township Demographic Analysis and Population
                 Projections Report and is located at the end of the Background
                 Analysis.

                 The following research, tables and graphs pertaining to the economic
                 analysis portion are integrated within the Demographic Report.

                 This section serves as a supplement to the economic analysis. It
                 focuses upon generalized and detailed income statistics. Both U.S.
                 Census    of 1990 and HUD low-moderate income data are utilized for
                 comparison.    The central feature of this section is local household
                 income change from 1979 to 1989, analyzed by constant dollars or
                 changes in the Consumer Price Index. See the accompanying Appendix.









                                                      2






                            EMPLOYERS AND EMPLOYMENT IN HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP-1994


                  Name of Employer                                No. of Employees

                  A & B Screw Machine Products                               2
                  A.J. Construction                                          1
                  Abbey's Auto Service                                       4
                  Abel Contractors                                           1
                  Akerly Concrete                                            2
                  Alex Roofing                                               1
                  Allen, Donald                                              2
                  Allison, Robert   D.O.                                     4
                  AMF Management,   Inc.                                     4
                  Aqualand Plus, Inc.                                     10
                  Arby's Restaurant                                       97
                  Art's Auto Service Center                                  3
                  Associated Accountants                                     1
                  Automotion Electronics                                     1
                  Automotive Paint & Supply                                  2
                  B & M Electronics                                          1
                  Bait Shop                                                  1
                  Barb's Care Alot                                        20
                  Bean Construction                                          I
                  Beatty Diesel, Inc.                                     10
                  Beckman Brothers                                        11
                  Beckwith Machinery                                      29
                  Blaine, Bell, M.D.                                      17
                  Benetwood Corporation                                      4
                  Berkheimer Associates                                      1
                  Big Lots                                                46
                  Bigfoot Pest Control                                       4
                  Blanchfields                                               1
                  Bob's Excavating                                           1
                  Brevillier Village                                      184
                  Brinkley Trucking                                          I
                  Brooks Landscaping                                      26
                  Brookside Inn                                              3
                  Burger King                                             43
                  Bush Locksmith                                             3
                  Cade Electric                                              7
                  Calico Patch Shop.                                         1
                  Callahan's Beauty   Shop                                   1
                  Camp Glinodo                                            16
                  Canales Tree Service                                       3
                  Card Gallery                                               8
                  Carter Lumber                                           22
                  Carter Plumbing & Heating Company                       12
                  Cass, George                                               1
                  Cass & Cass Construction                                   4
                  Cedarcrest Chiropractic                                    3
                  China Moon Restaurant                                      1
                  China Inn                                                  7
                  Christian Life Campus                                      I
                  Clothes Bin                                                5
                  Commonwealth of PA Liquor Store                            4


                                                        3





                 Name of Employer                             No. of Employees
                 Complete Sports                                      I
                 Conway & O'Malley                                    6
                 Continental Bakery                                  12
                 Corey Construction                                   9
                 Cottrell Builder                                     1
                 Country Fair #32                                    15
                 Country Fair #48                                    19
                 Country Fair #56                                    18
                 Crain Eggs                                           7
                 Cruise Connection                                    I
                 Czarnecki Notary                                     1
                 D & K Store                                         12
                 Dahlkempers Department Store                        49
                 Dailey's Plumbing                                    1
                 Dale Ceramics                                        1
                 Dance Company                                        2
                 Data Track Accounting Service                        1
                 Dave's Auto Body                                     2
                 Davis Aqua Propeller Service                         4
                 Dee's Painting                                       1
                 Del Mar Motel                                        1
                 Ditch Witch                                          1
                 DJ's Village Dairy                                  13
                 Don's CB Sales & Service                             I
                 Dorries Scharmann, Inc.(RD & D)                     75
                 DOTS, Inc.                                          30
                 Dougan, Terrill                                      1
                 Downing Golf Course                                 20
                 Dunar's Lakeshore Feeds                              2
                 East Erie County Emergency Communication            17
                 Eaglens Hardware                                     I
                 Early Years Learning Center                         10
                 East Erie Moose Club #593                            4
                 East Erie Assembly of God Church                     1
                 Eastway Billiards                                    2
                 Eastway Twin Theatre                                15
                 Eastway Bowling Lanes                               12
                 Eastway Sunoco                                       4
                 Eastway Emergi-Center                               12
                 Elite Treats Ice Cream                               1
                 Emling Farms                                         1
                 Erie Allied Industries                              25
                 Erie Gymnastics                                     11
                 Erie City Memorials                                  1
                 Erie Infants & Youth Home                           95
                 Erie Fire Equipment                                  6
                 Evans Acres Tack Shed                                1
                 Evergreen Trailer Court                              I
                 Ewaik Remodeling                                     1
                 Exit 9 Sunoco Station                                7
                 Fabin's Trailer Sales                                7
                 Fairfield Sunoco                                     2
                 Fairfield Beer Distributor                           1
                 Fairfield Hose Company Club                         20


                                                    4





                Name of Employer                             No. of Employees
                Faith Lutheran Church                                3.
                Faith Reformed Church                                1
                Family Dental Care                                   6
                Fantastic Sam's                                      7
                Fashion Bug                                         27
                Fellowship Baptist   Church                          2
                Fiddle Inn                                           3
                Finnel Farms                                         3
                Finazzo Construction                                 2
                Fireside Lounge                                      7
                First Presbyterian Church                            8
                Fish, Attorney Burton                                1
                FORMU-3 of Northern Ohio                             3
                Fournier Construction                                6
                Fruit Farms, Inc.                                    5
                Gadomski Electrical Contractor                       3
                GameTime                                             1
                Gannondale                                          104
                Ganzer Equipment                                     6
                Gary's Superette                                     8
               .Gas Oil Distribution System                          9
                Giant Eagle Supermarket                             220
                Grace Bible Church                                   I
                Grossman's Lumber                                   30
                Guehring Automation, Inc.                            I
                H & R Block East                                     9
                Haircrafters                                         5
                Hallgren, Ted                                        1
                Harbor Care                                         20
                Harborcreek  Auto Sales                              I
                Harborcreek  Baptist Church                          4
                Harborcreek  Chamber of Commerce                     2
                Harborcreek  Evangelical Church                      1
                Harborcreek  Hairlines and Tanning                   7
                Harborcreek  Manor                                   2
                Harborcreek  Sample Service                          I
                Harborcreek'School District                         407
                Harborcreek Shurfine                                18
                Harborcreek Township Government                     46
                Harborcreek  Township Sewer Authority                4
                Harborcreek  Township Tax Office                     I
                Harborcreek  Youth Service                          97
                Harcourt Insurance                                   3
                Hedlund Insurance Broker                             1
                Heise Rebuilding                                     2
                Hi Fi Hospital                                       I
                Hi Tech Collision                                    1
                Hilltop Beer Distributor                             7
                Hinkler Construction                                 3
                Hinspeter Roofing                                    I
                Holiday Hair                                        10
                Hollarn Insurance                                    3
                Holly Shop                                           7
                Home Video Exchange                                  3


                                                   5





                 Name of Employer                             No. of Employees

                 Hoover Sand & Gravel                                 28
                 Hoover Excavating                                      4
                 Hoover Trucking, Inc.                                11
                 Huskie Auto Service                                    I
                 Huskie Beer Distributor                                3
                 Innovation Design Service                              2
                 Iron Age Corporation                                   2
                 Iroquois Medical Center                                2
                 J. W. Sharpening                                       3
                 JAB Enterprises                                      17
                 Jackson Plumbing                                       3
                 Jackson, Ed                                            1
                 Janicki Drywall                                      16
                 Jaskiewicz, Carrie                                     1
                 Jaworek Trailer Court                                  I
                 jeanne's Flower Shop                                   2
                 Jemko Petroleum Equipment, Inc.                      12
                 JoAnn Fabric                                         12
                 Johannes Chiropractor                                  1
                 Johnson Personnel Computer                           10
                 Jones, Robert                                          1
                 Jozefczyk, Jody                                        1
                 Jud, Inc.                                              3
                 June's Hair Fashion                                    2
                 K-Mart East                                          197
                 Kaufman, Brenda                                        I
                 Kazmaier Contracting                                   1
                 Kegler Lounge                                        21
                 Kelly's Market                                         4
                 Kentucky Fried Chicken                               35
                 Keystone Rehabilitation Systems                        3
                 Kindland, Fred                                         I
                 Krystal Klear Ice                                    13
                 Kuholski Excavating                                    4
                 Kulisek, Kathleen                                      4
                 Kwik-Fill                                            35
                 Laidlaw Transit, Inc.                                63
                 Lake Erie Systems                                    15
                 Lake Shore Bus, Inc.                                   1
                 Lakeshore Towing                                       I
                 Lake Shore Auto Body                                   2
                 Lakeside Motel                                         1
                 Lakeview Motel                                         2
                 Langdon Produce                                        I
                 Langdon, Mary                                          2
                 Langer, Richard                                        I
                 Larson Texts                                         60
                 Leech, Ronald                                          2
                 Little Caesars Pizza                                 24
                 Lochbaum Rehabilitation Center                       17
                 Machintosh Antiques                                    1
                 Magee, Robert                                          1
                 Mainline Mechanical  Contractors, Inc.               21
                 Malinowski, Theresa                                    1


                                                    6





                 Name of Employer                             No. of Employees
                 Margosian & Sons Plumbing                              I
                 Marine Bank                                            7
                 Martin's Country Clean                               13
                 Martin's Service Station                               1
                 Master Tech Auto Body                                  4
                 Maxwells Hobby Shop                                    I
                 Maynard Construciton                                   2
                 McDaniels Machinery                                    9
                 McDonald's Restaurant                               112
                 Melody's Day Care                                      1
                 Mellon Bank North                                      7
                 Midway Inn                                             1
                 Mighty Fine Doughnuts                                  9
                 Miles Meldisco Taxes                                   5
                 Miller Travel Service                                  3
                 Mindek Brothers Fur Farm                               4
                 Ministries To The World                              16
                 Monroe Muffler                                         8
                 Moorhead, John                                       11
                 Moorhead Vineyards, Inc.                               5
                 Mott, Pierre                                           5
                 Mount Saint Benedict                                 35
                 Mr. Mobile Lube                                        1
                 My Dad's Pizza                                         5
                 Myers Pl umbi ng                                       1
                 Makoski District Justice                               1
                 National Bank of North East                            9
                 Nelson's Farm                                          8
                 Nelson Fruit Farm                                      1
                 Newcome, Cheryl                                        1
                 New Horizon Realtors                                   1
                 Nine Hundred Ninety Variety                            7
                 North American Compound                                8
                 Northwest Savings Bank (Mall)                          5
                 Northwest Savings Bank (Plaza)                         9
                 Nutech Custom Counter Top                              1
                 Ollinger Plumbing & Heating                          21
                 Our Lady of Mercy Church                               9
                 Palloto Rentals                                        1
                 Paris Company                                          4
                 Partner's Tavern                                       2
                 Patrick's Restaurant                                 72
                 Payless Shoes                                          8
                 PCA National, Inc.                                     6
                 Penn State University                                730
                 Perkins Restaurant                                   138
                 Peters Welding                                         1
                 Piazza Horseshoeing                                    1
                 Pickway Shoes                                        12
                 Pizza Hut Restaurant                                 51
                 PNC Bank                                             14
                 Polatas, Robert                                        2
                 Pomorski  Construction                                 1
                 Ponderosa Restaurant                                 43


                                                     7





                Name of Employer                             No. of Employees

                Port Erie Plastics, Inc.                            179
                Prather, Edward                                       1
                Precision Sharpening                                10
                Prichard, Scott                                       1
                Prichard, Loren                                       4
                Prischak & Godzac, Optometrist                        9
                Pulakos Candy                                         2
                Putt Putt Golf                                        5
                Qual-Krom                                             1
                Quality Market                                      100
                Quick Oil & Lube Center                             13
                Quick Photo                                           2
                Radio Shack                                           5
                Rag Shops, Inc.                                     22
                Rainbow Motel                                         2
                Randolph Masonry                                      9
                Rathman Plumbing                                      7
                Ravine Motel                                          1
                Ray Norris Enterprises                                2
                Ray's Auto Body                                       1
                RCR'Screw Machine                                     6
                Reel Entertainment Video                              7
                Regional Health Service                             13
                Rex TV & Appliances                                   3
                Richter Farms                                         7
                Rick Heating & Air Conditioning                       4
                Ron's Construction                                    1
                Rose Construction                                   13
                S & S Rentals, Inc.                                   1
                S.E. Erie Industrial Federal Credit Union             2
                Savoia's Auto Body Shop                               1
                Schmitt Custom Tooling                                2
                Senior Citizen Home Maintenance                       1
                Shaffer & Son, Inc.                                   4
                Shannon Shooting Suuplies                             2
                Shorehaven                                          10
                Skateway                                            16
                Skindell's  Towing Service                            1
                Smith Construction                                    2
                Snow, David                                           3
                Snoozies Pub                                          I
                Sound Trak Enterprises                                1
                South Haborcreek United Methodist Church              2
                Sparkle Wash of Erie                                  I
                Spectrum Office Products                              7
                Spiegel Realtors                                      2
                Stafford Sign Systems                                 2
                Stan's Garden Center                                40
                Star Tech                                             2
                Steele, Dennis                                        1
                Stinson Auto                                          1
                Streicher, Donald D.D.S.                              3
                Suburban Container Service                            4
                Subway Sandwich Shop                                13


                                                    8






                 Name of Empl oyer                              No. of Em P1 oyees

                 Suddarth & Son                                           1
                 Sue's Daycare                                            I
                 Sul Fruit Farm                                           3
                 Suzi's Chocolates & Supplies                             4
                 Szewczyk & Son PI umbi ng                                4
                 Szklenski Farms                                        23
                 T-N-T Carpet Center                                      1
                 Taco Bell Restaurant                                   36
                 Taylor, Sima, Loftus                                     1
                 Tele Communications,   Inc.                            32
                 Thermoclad Company                                     40
                 Thrift Drug                                            10
                 TK's Lake Breeze Tavern                                  I
                 Tom Sanner's T-Prints                                    I
                 Tom's Tire Service                                       2
                 Tracy's Excavating                                       3
                 Travel Ports of America                                11
                 Tresler Construction                                     2
                 Tri-County Bus Equipment                                 9
                 Tri County Intermediate Unit                           14
                 Tri-State Metal Cleaning                                 2
                 Tupperware                                               7
                 Twinbrook Veterinary Hospital                          15
                 U-Haul of Pennsylvania                                 13
                 Val Pak                                                  4
                 Video U.S.A., Limited                                  24
                 Vip Cleaners                                           18
                 Wallywood                                                I
                 Waterfall Restaurant                                   84
                 Waterhouse Supply                                        2
                 Wendy''s Restaurant                                    73
                 Wheels Auto Parts                                        8
                 Whitney Farms                                            3
                 Wilczanski, Helena                                       2
                 Wintergreen Gorge Cemetery                               2
                 Wolbert, Debra                                           I
                 Wolfe's Fireworks                                        1
                 Wood Farms                                             11
                 Woodring Builders                                        5
                 YMCA, Eastside                                        104
                 Young & Sons                                           15
                 Yount Alarm Systems                                      9
                 Zelazny, Edward                                          1
                 Zimmerman Tool & Equipment                               1
                 Zukowski Photo                                           1










                                                      9







                                                    CHAPTER 5


                                               HOUSING ANALYSIS

                 Introduction

                 The quality of housing has a definite influence on the welfare of a
                 community      and   the   well being of its residents.           Housing   is
                 essentially the sheltering of people. It also provides a sense              of
                 place and a sense of individual and social identity. The quality            of
                 housing can command pride and respect or create an atmosphere               of
                 despair and unrest. Adequate housing is basic to our quality                of
                 life.     Housing that is overcrowded, dilapidated or lacking               in
                 plumbing and other facilities does not provide a suitable living
                 environment.     Beside fulfilling the basic human needs for which it
                 was designed, housing        condition is an important factor in the
                 general well     being of a community and its tax base. This section
                 will examine     the current supply, condition and future housing needs
                 for the community.

                 The housing analysis     is an important element in the planning process.
                 The    data     gathered - here    is   necessary to develop goals and
                 recommendations that will help the community to best achieve proper
                 development patterns and adequate quality in existing and future
                 housing units.      By   inventorying the housing related characteristics
                 of    the     community,   problems    and/or needs can be identified.
                 Correlation and analysis of the information will reveal obstacles
                 relative to the existing and future housing situation. The findings
                 of    the housing analysis will be used toward improving and/or
                 maintaining the quality of existing units as well as to provide for
                 orderly development of new residential areas and structures.

                 The statistical data for this section was gathered from U.S. Census
                 data, and an extensive field survey undertaken by the staff of the
                 Erie County Department of Planning and the Erie County Redevelopment
                 Authority.     Sub-municipal information is provided at the Census Tract
                 level. See the accompanying Census Tract Map.




















                                                                                                         LAST LAKE RD
                                                                                            ILID
                                                                                                                                                       115.05
                                                                 LAWRENCE
                                                                                               115.03
                                                         0            PARK
                                                         UE     TOWNSHIP

                                                              N L w RR
                                                                                        %  %   %    % % % %   % % %    % %  %   %                WESTERN RAILROAD
                                     WESLEYVILLE-,---,,                         --                        ;,%%%%%
                                                                                                            hurrALO 10.
                                         BOROUGH


                                                       Z. 26TH. ST.  -
                                                                                        1.15.04

                                                                        No Dt


                                                                                                                                       115.06

                                                                                                          ol
                                                                               Coort,
                                                                                             REESE RD.



                                                                                                      HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP






                   1990 CENSUS TRACTS

                                ME COUNTY DEPARTMENT Or PLANNING
                                                                                  DER
                                                                                  ',' @E

                                                                                  i
                                                                        0 1, D Tzo,






                 Housing Market

                 The U.S. Bureau of the Census defines housing units as single-family
                 homes, mobile homes, and units within housing structures (such as
                 apartments, flats and single rooms), whether occupied or vacant but
                 intended for occupancy.        The 1990 Census revealed that there were
                 5,158    total    housing    units   within Harborcreek Township. This
                 represented an increase of 416 units over the 1980 housing supply of
                 4,742 units.      During this same 10 year period, the Erie County
                 housing supply increased 4.7 percent.           Of the total 1990 housing
                 supply in the Township, 5,028 units were year-round units, and 130
                 units were seasonal, primarily located near the Lake Erie shoreline.
                 Of note, 62% of the housing units were located in the Erie Urbanized
                 Area portion of Harborcreek (Census Tracts 115.03 and 115.04). The
                 accompanying table      illustrates the change in the number of housing
                 units in Harborcreek and in Erie County as a whole from 1980 to 1990.


                                      TOTAL HOUSING UNITS 1980 AND 1990


                                               Total           Total        1980-1990
                                            units 1980      Units 1990      % Change

                 Harborcreek Township          4,742           5,158          +8.8
                 b@ Census Tract

                  1980      1990
                           115.0                               1,263
                           115.05                              1.234
                 115.01      TOTAL             2,308           2,497          +8.2
                           115.04                              1,522
                           115.06                              1.139
                 115.02      TOTAL             2,435           2,661          +9.3

                 Erie County                                                  +4.7

                 Source: 1990 Census, STF #3

                 Mobile Homes

                 Another element of the housing supply is the availability of mobile
                 homes and mobile home parks. In recent years, this type of dwelling.
                 has come to play an important role in the housing supply, mainly
                 because the cost when compared to site-built housing is lower. For
                 this reason, this type of housing has become an'economically feasible
                 source of housing for low, moderate and even middle income families.
                 As illustrated in the accompanying table, the supply of mobile homes
                 in Harborcreek increased by 37 units between 1980 and 1990.






                                                      3







                                       MOBILE HOME SUPPLY 1980 and 1990


                                                     1980         1990          1980-1990
                                                      Total        Total      % Change

                  Harborcreek Township                   185         222          +20.0

                  by Cens s Tract

                   1980      1990
                            115.0                                    39
                            115.05                                   55
                  115.01      TOTAL                      44          94          +113.6
                            115.04                                   109
                            115.06                                   19
                  115.02      TOTAL                      141         128           -9.2

                  Erie County                                                     +46.9

                  Source: 1990 Census, STF #3

                  According to the 1980 Census, there were 185 mobile homes in
                  Harborcreek.     In 1993, there were 176 mobile home units.                  The
                  reduction    is attributed to the conversion of mobile homes to
                  conventional housing along the Lake             Erie shoreline.       It can be
                  assumed that the relative attractiveness of mobile homes to low-to-
                  moderate income persons will increase as the cost of new conventional
                  housing units increases. The community can expect the rate of mobile
                  home placements to rise in the future.

                  There are six mobile home parks within Harborcreek with a total of
                  128 units. The following table indicates the locations and capacity
                  of these mobile home parks.            The remaining 48 mobile homes are
                  intermixed with conventional housing primarily located near the Lake
                  Erie shoreline.


                                             MOBILE HOME PARKS 1994

                                                     Census Tract       Existing     Estimated
                  Name of Mobile Home Park              Location          Units       Capacity

                  Lakeside Mobile Home Park              115.03            22            Full
                  Bargain Mobile Home Park               115.04              7           Full
                  Evergreen Trailer Park                 115.04            17            Full
                  Springcreek Mobile Home Park           115.04            65            Full
                  Shorewood Trailer Park                 115.05              6           Full
                  Waite Trailer Court                    115.05            11            Full

                  Source: Erie County Assessment Bureau






                                                         4






                 In   the     past   decade, design and construction techniques have
                 significant y improved the appearance and livability of mobile homes.
                 In fact, the newer overall sizes have made it almost impractical to
                 move the units from place to place, leading to the improvement of the
                 unit itself through permanent foundations and landscaping.                The
                 Township has regulations designed to keep these units and park
                 locations up to minimum standards and in line with community housing
                 policies.

                 Housing Tenure and Supply

                 In terms of tenure, the Harborcreek housing stock is predominantly
                 owner-occupied.     According to the 1990 Census, 3,948 of the total
                 5,158 occupied units are owner-occupied. Rental units comprise 964
                 units, of the total housing stock.           In comparison, Erie County's
                 supply of rental housing units is 29.3 percent. Rental housing
                 demand could increase within the Township in future years as more
                 families become priced out of the site built housing market. Mobile
                 homes, modular design, and multi-family housing represent viable
                 alternatives to this potential rental-demand. The Penn State-Erie,
                 the Behrend College impact on rental housing should eliminate most
                 vacancies currently existing, and naturally increase the building of
                 new multi-family housing and the conversion of some single-family
                 housing.

                 There are two ways of examining the supply of housing in a community,
                 by type and by ownership or occupancy. Occupancy is an important
                 characteristic of the housing market within any community. The
                 accompanying table illustrates occupancy statistics from the 1990
                 Census for Harborcreek.


                               OWNER & RENTER OCCUPANCY CHARACTERISTICS 1990

                                  Total     Owner                           Occupancy
                                  Uaj@Ls  Occupied    Rental      Vacant        Rate

                 Harborcreek
                 Township         5,158    76.5%      18.7%        4.8%       95.2%

                 by Census
                     Tract

                     115.03       1,263    69.1%      28.6%        2.3%       97.7%
                     115.04       1,522    80.9%      15.7%        3.4%       96.6%
                     115.05       1,234    70.0%      19.2%        10.8%      89.2%
                     115.06       1,139    86.0%      11.2%        2.8%       97.2%

                 Erie County               64.2%      29.3%        6.5%        93.5%

                 Source: 1990   Census, STF #3







                                                      5






                  Housing Occupancy

                  As a whole, the average occupancy rate within Harborcreek is 95.2
                  percent, which slightly exceeds the Erie County occupancy rate of
                  93.5 percent. These rates indicate that there is adequate housing in
                  Harborcreek at this time.         The additional population generated by
                  Penn State-Erie, the Behrend College, who choose to live close to the
                  facility, will be absorbed within the Township and the western
                  adjacent three municipalities.          Currently, the main concern facing
                  Harborcreek is being prepared to accept new housing starts and the
                  type and expense of the housing that will be built by the expansion
                  of the Erie Urbanized Area. Of course, the options available to the
                  Township    vary    by the use of land use controls and building
                  guidelines.     The    level     of   preparedness    also    depends     upon
                  infrastructure, mainly public water and sanitary sewer. The Township
                  is fortunate to have the low vacancy rate of 246 units, which shows
                  that market conditions are receptive to absorb housing when it is
                  available for sale or rent.

                  Home ownership is generally viewed by many people as a beneficial
                  condition.    The popular conception that home owners have a high
                  degree of community concern and are responsible citizens does much to
                  promote this belief.        With the except    'ion of federally subsidized
                  housing, the general trend within Erie County has been toward an
                  increasing rate of home ownership, and Harborcreek is definitely
                  following this trend to an even greater degree.

                  Housing Structure Conditions

                  In order to determine the q       uality of the existing housing stock in
                  Harborcreek Township, a parcel by parcel field survey was conducted
                  in mid-1994 by the Erie County Department of Planning with the Erie
                  County Housing and Redevelopment Authority. Each dwelling structure
                  (not each dwelling unit) within the Township was classified as
                  follows:

                      Sound - Housing which has no defects or only slight defects which
                      are normally corrected during the course of regular maintenance.
                      Examples include:

                      - minor lack of paint maintenance

                      - slight damage to porches or steps

                      - small cracks in walls, foundations, or chimneys

                      - broken gutters or drainspouts.










                                                        6






                     Deteriorating - Housing which needs more repair than would be
                     provided in the course of regular maintenance.           It has one or
                     more defects of an intermediate nature that must be corrected if
                     the dwelling unit is to continue to provide safe and adequate
                     shelter.    Such defects are signs of neglect which lead to serious
                     structural daniage if not corrected.         In addition to the minor
                     defects associated with the sound condition, further examples of
                     the deteriorating condition include:

                     - shaky or unsafe foundations, porches, or steps

                     - small holes, open cracks or missing material on walls or roof

                     - rotted windowsills or frames

                     - deep wear on stairs or doorsills

                     - broken or loose stair treads or missing rail supports.

                     Dilapidated - Housing which does not provide safe or adequate
                     shelter.     It   has one or more critical defects or has a
                     combination of intermediate defects in sufficient number to
                     require extensive repair or rebuilding.          Critical defects are
                     those which indicate continued neglect and serious damage to the
                     structure.    Inadequate original construction would also cause a
                     structure to be listed as dilapidated. This includes structures
                     built of makeshift materials and inadequately converted cellars,
                     or garages not originally intended for living quarters. In
                     addition to the serious defects associated with the deteriorating
                     condition, further examples of the dilapidated condition include:
                     - large holes, open cracks, or missing material on walls or roof

                     - structural sag in the walls or roof.

                 The condition of each structure is classified on the basis of a
                 visual exterior survey of the current situation and projected through
                 to five years in the future. No evaluation was made of interior
                 deficiencies such as plumbing, heating, wiring or other conditions
                 which in themselves could pose health and safety hazards. The final
                 results of the survey are tabulated in the accompanying table.


                                  HOUSING STRUCTURE CONDITION SURVEY 1994
                                             (EXTERNAL FEATURES)

                                   Structures     Sound     Deteriorating     Dilapidated

                 Harborcreek          5,056       82.0%         16.7%             1.3%
                 Township

                 Source: Erie County Planning Department and Redevelopment Authority
                           1994 Field Survey





                                                     7






                 This survey indicates that 4,146 housing structures in Harborcreek
                 are in sound condition, 842 are deteriorating, and               only 67 are
                 dilapidated. Of note, even though a building is deemed to        be in sound
                 condition, it does not mean that no cost is involved in          maintaining
                 it.    The individual housing surveys indicated that up to       $1,000 may
                 be needed to be spent within the next 5 years on the average "sound"
                 housing structure in Harborcreek to keep the structures in sound
                 condition.    For deteriorating housing structures, an average cost
                 could be four times higher than that to bring them up to sound
                 condition.    This indicates that the community may need to consider
                 minimum code standards in order to prevent blighted areas from
                 occurring in the future.

                 Housing Units Per Structure

                 The accompanying table depicts housing units by the number of units
                 in each structure.       When looking at direct Harborcreek Township
                 comparisons    with Erie County, the Township falls below County*
                 averages for*structures which have two or more units. This indicates
                 a need to provide more varied housing types as an alternative to the
                 standard detached single family home.


                                       HOUSING UNITS IN STRUCTURE 1990

                                                                            *5 or
                                       Total     *1       *2      *3&4        More
                                       Units    Unit      Units    Units     Units     Other

                 Harborcreek           5,158    86.0%     3.2%      1.5%      7.4%     2.2%
                 Township

                 by Census Tract

                      115.03           1,263    71.9%     1.4%      0.6%     20.3%     5.8%
                      115.04           1,522    91.6%     4.5%      2.4%      0.7%     0.9%
                      115.05           1,234    84.7%     3.6%      2.3%      6.7%     2.7%
                      115.06           1,139    93.8%     4.0%      1.1%      0.0%     1.1%

                 Erie County                    72.2%     11.1%     5.7%      9.8%     1.2%

                     Units in structures that   contain ...
                     Housing units in commercial or institutional structures.

                 Source: 1990 Census, STF #3

                 Single family units continue to dominate the housing market in the
                 suburban    and rural areas of Erie County.            However, multi-unit
                 dwellings should become more prevalent as costs in the housing
                 industry and private on-site utilities continue to rise outside the
                 public service areas. The most predominant type of housing available
                 within Harborcreek Township is -single family dwellings, including
                 mobile homes. According to 1990 Census figures, 4,434 units of the
                 total housing stock are categorized as one unit structures in the
                 Township. In comparison, only 72.2 perce         'nt of the County's housing
                 stock is classified as single family dwellings. 946 units of the
                 total housing stock in the Township are multi-unit structures.

                                                       8






                 Housing Age

                 The age of housing within the community can often be an indicator of
                 housing   conditions.     Generally, a community which has a large
                 percentage of old homes can expect to have a higher blight rate than
                 a community in which most of the housing is relatively new. However,
                 there are many exceptions to this assumption.             Therefore, each
                 municipality    must be reviewed in light of its actual housing
                 conditions.


                                            HOUSING AGE 1939-1989

                                   1939       1940      1950     1960      1970      1980
                                    &          to       to        to        to       to
                                   Older      1949      1959     1969      1979      1989


                 Harborcreek       13.5%      13.7%     20.7%    12.7%     24.3%     15.1%
                 Township

                 by Census Tract
                     115.03          4.8%      6.9%     13.5%    15.2%     39.4%     20.1%
                     115.04        10.1%      13.6%     23.7%    11.3%     30.1%     11.2%
                     115.05        23.4%      16.9%     27.3%    11.8%       8.3%    12.3%
                     115.06         17.0%      17.8%     17.4%    13.0%     17.2%     17.6%

                 Erie County       32.3%      11.1%     15.4%     11.0%    18.5%     11.5%

                 Source: 1990 Census, STF #3

                 Housing Need

                 Housing need is determined by utilizing the population and persons
                 per household figures from the accompanying Harborcreek Demographic
                 Analysis and Population Projections Report.           If the "most likely"
                 population projections from that Report are realized, then 800 new
                 households will be accommodated in Harborcreek in some form of
                 housing by the year, 2000, and 750 more households by the year 2010.

















                                                     9







                                                 CHAPTER 6


                                             LAND USE ANALYSIS
                Introduction    part of any  comprehensive plan is the survey, analysis,
                An important
                and study of the land use patterns wbich exist within the community.
                Without a thorough knowledge of the existing land use patterns and
                how they developed, it is nearly impossible to plan for the future
                use of the land, and to properly develop achievable goals and a valid
                plan of action.

                It is important to remember that land use decisions are nearly always
                irreversible.    Once residential land is developed for commercial or
                industrial    use, it is seldom changed back to its prior use.
                Likewise, farm land which is used for residential purposes will
                probably never revert back to an agricultural use.

                In order to develop a        realistic land use plan of alternative land
                uses for the community,      existing patterns must first be determined.
                The existing uses will       partially guide the formation of land use
                districts and become a       foundation for future development. This
                section provides an overview of the existing land use patterns in the
                community and forms a visual baseline for future planning efforts.

                As is traditional in physical planning, new community-wide base and
                property    line   maps were developed to delineate the land use
                information collected. Utilizing the new maps, an extensive visual
                land use field survey of all structures, facilities and lands was
                conducted in the third quarter of 1994 in Harborcreek Township.
                Detailed parcel by parcel land uses were then delineated on 17 large
                scale property maps corresponding to aerial orthophotos covering the
                entire Township.     For the purpose of this study, a small scale
                composite was then completed and can be seen as the accompanying
                Generalized Present Land Use Map.

                Classifications

                The following land use classifications are utilized in this section
                and throughout the Background Analysis:

                    Single Family Residential - This classification denotes land used
                    for single family detached dwellings.

                    Other Resident'lal - This classification includes land used for
                    housing structures for more than one family, and includes single-
                    family attached dwellings (such as duplexes, townhouses and
                    condominiums), apartment buildings, and similar uses.

                    Institutional - This classification includes facilities that
                    provide mental, spiritual, and physical development, but does not
                    include facilities which are basically recreational in nature.
                    Included are government buildings and facilities, schools and
                    colleges, places of worship, libraries, hospitals, cemeteries,
                    fire and police stations, and similar uses.






                     Recreational - This classification denotes land which is used or
                     set aside for use as playgrounds, parks, outdoor sport areas, and
                     similar uses. It also includes Pennsylvania Game Lands.

                     Commercial - This classification refers to land used for the
                     purpose of supplying commodities or services to the general
                     public.    Included are uses relating to both retail and wholesale
                     trade,    professional    and   personal services, general office
                     facilities, sales and service, entertainment, restaurants, motels
                     or hotels, and similar uses.

                     Industrial - This classification denotes land which contains
                     facilities for the mechanical or chemical transformation of
                     substances    into new products.       This includes manufacturing,
                     processing,    packaging,    storage,    warehousing, power plants,
                     treatment    or   filtration plants, research laboratories, and
                     similar uses.

                     Agricultural - This classification includes land which is used
                     for the cultivation of fruits, crops, grazing of livestock, or
                     the growing of nursery and forest products.

                     Open Space - This designation refers to areas of land'with no
                     active current use.       Open space includes streams, wetlands,
                     brushland, woodland, steep slopes, and idle land suitable for
                     crops or development.

                 Land Use Patterns

                 When compared to the last extensive land use analysis completed in
                 1980, the current basic land use patterns for Harborcreek are
                 essentially the same even to this day. On the surface, a highly
                 similar pattern scenario seems to conflict with the high level of
                 present residential development (and to a lesser extent commercial)
                 activity that is occurring in quite a number of locations in the
                 Township concurrently at this,time.

                 The primary development influences at work in Harborcreek today have
                 been firmly established. The strong influences of soils, topography
                 and climate (described and mged in the previous Physical Features
                 Chapter), together with the emp oyment areas and employers (described
                 in the previous Economic Analysis Chapter), together with an active
                 agricultural    community    seeking   to    preserve    itself (see the
                 accompanying Protected Agricultural Lands Map) have combined to lay
                 out a distinctive and resilient land use pattern. This pattern in
                 the Township is present regardless of population/economic growth or
                 decline periods (unlike many other areas of Erie County).

                .These basic land use patterns are: the Erie Urbanized Area is
                 pressuring    expansion into western Harborcreek; the agricultural
                 industry is solidifying its area in the eastern portion of the
                 Township; and the cottage development area along the Lake Erie
                 shoreline is converting from seasonal and scattered housing to more
                 permanent and concentrated uses. Essentially what is being witnessed
                 today in Harborcreek comes down to a matter of timing. It is now
                 Harborcreek's    "turn"    for   development activity that, up until
                 recently, was going to other portions of the Erie Urbanized Area and
                 Lake shore.





                                                     H a r b o r c r e e k T o w n s h                 p

                                       GENERALIZED,PRESENT LAND USE




                 AS OF OCTOBER 1994



                         OPEN   WOODED    VACANT
                                                                                                                    "All
                         SINGLE FAMILY RESIDENTIAL


                         OTHER RESIDENTIAL


                         RECREATIONAL


                         INSTITUTIONAL


                         COMMERCIAL


                         INDUSTRIAL


                         AGRICULTURAL












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                                                  H a r b o r c r e e k T o w n s h              p

                                   PROTECTED AGRICULTURAL LANDS





               AS OF DECEMBER 1994



                       AGRICULTURAL SECURITY AREA PARCELS


                       CLEAN & GREEN PARCELS

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                                                CHAPTER 7


                                         TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS

                Introduction

                An   efficient   land    transportation   system is critical to the
                maintaining and improving of the quality of life of a community. The
                future development of Harborcreek Township must be properly managed
                through the implementation of a practical transportation plan. A
                carefully planned and maintained system of roads and highways is
                necessary in order to ensure the efficient and safe movement of
                persons, products and services to their respective destinations. The
                ease and efficiency by which traffic is able to move through and
                within Harborcreek Township affects the immediate concern for life
                and property as well as the economic development of the region. The
                development of an adequate and sustainable transportation system
                should, therefore, be considered to be a critical priority for
                Harborcreek Township.

                Pursuant to this objective, a detailed inventory has been completed
                of the Township's transportation system. Included in the inventory
                are roadway classifications, traffic volumes and current and pending
                maintenance and improvement projects and programs. The inventory
                facilitates the identification and analysis of transportation-related
                concerns throughout the Township,

                Highway 5ystem

                The highway system in Harborcreek Township play a vital role in the
                economic stability of the community. Residents must have access to
                employment opportunities, commercial and residential districts, and
                recreation areas.     The highway system throughout the Township may be
                analyzed by classifying the various roads according to usage.

                The categorizing of the highway system in the Harborcreek Township is
                based on the Federal concept of functional classification which is
                the process by which roads, streets and highways are grouped into
                classes, according to the character of the service (not necessarily
                volume) that they provide. Also basic to functional classification
                is the concept of the proportion of a road that serves traffic
                mobility versus land access; the higher the mobility, the higher the
                classification.    The official Erie County highway system is known as
                the Functional Classification System, which was updated in 1993
                statewide by PennDOT.      The highway system of Harborcreek is divided
                into five classes which are described below:

                    Principal Arterial - This class of highways is devoted primarily
                    to traffic movement (high mobility) and performs little land
                    service function.     These expressways are characterized by a high
                    degree of access control. Expressways accommodate large volumes
                    of traffic and are primarily intended to serve trips of some
                    distance through the tri-state region.






                    Minor Arterial     - This class of highways brings traffic to and
                    from the expressways and from a significant number of urban and
                    suburban areas.     These roads serve those major traffic movements
                    predominantly through, as well as within, Harborcreek not served
                    by   the expressways.      Minor arterials mainly serve to move
                    traffic, but serve an incidental land service function.

                    Major Collector - This class of highways serves a middling
                    function within the highway network.          These roads serve both
                    traffic movement and land service.          Major collectors receive
                    traffic from lesser streets as well as provide interconnection
                    and    support   to    minor   arterials.    They generally connect
                    Harborcreek with the immediately surrounding area.

                    Minor Collector - This class of streets serves the internal
                    movement of the highway network. This classification does not
                    generally handle through trips, but supplies abutting property
                    with access, while at the same time providing local traffic
                    movement.

                    Local -     The primary function of this classification is to
                    provide direct access to immediately adjacent land. These roads
                    carry a small proportion of the vehicle miles of travel but make
                    up    a large percentage of the total street mileage within
                    Harborcreek.

                The primary transportation routes in and through Harborcreek Township
                are Interstate 90, Station Road from Interstate 90 to the Wesleyville
                Borough municipal boundary, and Buffalo Road from the Wesleyville
                Borough municipal boundary to Hannon Road. The accompanying Table
                shows the classification of all State and local roads in the
                Township. See the accompanying Highway System Map.

                Traffic Volumes

                The utilization of, or traffic demand on, a road is measured in terms
                of average daily traffic (ADT) volume. The ADT represents the number
                of vehicles traveling on a given roadway segment over an averaged 24
                hour period.     It is critical to maintain an inventory of current
                traffic volumes on the highway system to evaluate both existing and
                projected needs.

                Both the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation (PennDOT) and the
                Erie County Department of Planning are involved in the acquisition of
                traffic volume data.       Actual field data are obtained by using
                portable traffic counters. Additionally, computer models may be used
                to   generate    projected    traffic volumes by anticipating future
                development conditions.      See the accompanying Traffic Volumes Table
                and Map.








                                                    2






                                   HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP HIGHWAY SYSTEM



                CLASSIFICATION       ROAD NAME             FROM                TO


                Principal Arterial

                                   Interstate 90       Greene Twp.      Greenfield Twp.
                                   Station Rd.         Wesleyville      Interstate 90
                                   Buffalo Rd.         Wesleyville      Hannon Rd.


                Minor Arterial

                                   Station Rd.         Interstate 90    Greenfield Twp.
                                   Buffalo Rd.         Hannon Rd.       North East Twp.
                                   East Lake Rd.       Lawrence Park    Troupe Rd.
                                   Iroquois Ave.       Lawrence Park    Buffalo Rd.
                                   Depot Rd.           Buffalo Rd.      Interstate 90
                                   E. 38th St.         Shannon Rd.      City of Erie
                                   Hannon Rd.          Station Rd.      Buffalo Rd.
                                   WElbridge Rd.       Buffalo Rd.      East Lake Rd.
                                   Nagle Rd.           Station Rd.      Buffalo Rd.
                                   Shannon Rd.         Norcross Rd.     Wesleyville
                                   Norcross Rd.        Shannon Rd.      Millcreek Twp.
                Major Collector    East Lake Rd.       Troupe Rd.       North East Twp.
                                   Depot Rd.           Interstate 90    Station Rd.
                                   Kuhl Rd.            Station Rd.      Greene Twp.
                                   Reese Rd.           Station Rd.      Hannon Rd.
                                   Cooper Rd.          Shannon Rd.      Station Rd.
                                   Saltsman Rd.        Station Rd.      Buffalo Rd
                                   Ridge Parkway       Nagle Rd.        Hannon Rd.
                                   Nagle Rd.           Buffalo Rd.      East Lake Rd.
                                   Boyer Rd.           Iroquois Ave.    East Lake Rd.
                                   Troupe Rd.          Iroquois Ave.    East Lake Rd.
                                   Krtlett Rd.         Buffalo Rd.      East Lake Rd.


                Minor Collector

                                   Wales Rd.           Station Rd.      Greene Twp.
                                   Moorheadville Rd.   East Lake Rd.    Moorheadville Rd.
                                   Clark Rd.           Depot Rd.        Buffalo Rd.
                                   Davison Rd.         Depot Rd.        Buffalo Rd.
                                   Belle Rd.           Depot Rd.        North East Twp.


                NOTE: All roads    not listed above are classified as   Local Roads.




                                                     3




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                Road Mileage

                The Harborcreek Tclwnship highway system consists of 119.13 miles of
                public roads.     This figure may be further broken down as 80.30 miles
                of Township-owned roadways and 38.83 miles of highway owned by the
                Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.      The Township Officials have accepted
                road dedications from new developments over the past several years.
                It is anticipated that with the projected future growth will come new
                roads and rights-of-way.

                Signing and Signalization

                Basic to the safety and convenience of the traveling public using the
                transportation    system   is the proper signing and signalization
                provided throughout the system. Various signs, such as speed limit,
                advisory, street name, directional, etc., and traffic signals (fixed
                time   signals and flashing beacons) are located throughout the
                Township to accommodate site-specific concerns. See the accompanyinq
                Signalization Map.

                At the present time there are eight (8) intersections controlled by a
                fixed time traffic  signal. These intersections are as follows:

                     -Buffalo  Road at Eastway Plaza West Entrance/Eastway Lanes
                     -Buffalo  Road at Nagle Road
                     -Buffalo  Road at Giant Eagle Plaza Entrance/Cook Avenue
                     -Buffalo  Road at Saltsman Road
                     -Buffalo  Road at Walbridge Road
                     -Station  Road at Saltsman Road
                     -East Lake Road at Nagle Road
                     -Iroquois Avenue at Walbridge Road

                Flashing beacon signals are located at the following seven (7)
                intersections:

                     -Buffalo Road at Depot Road
                     -Buffalo Road at Iroquois Avenue
                     -Buffalo Road at Bartlett Road
                     -East Lake Ro&d at Lowry Road
                     -East Lake Road at Walbridge Road
                     -East Lake Road at Bartlett Road
                     -Shannon Road at E. 38th Street/Cooper Road

                Also  basic to the convenience and efficiency at which motorists
                travel is the posting of street name signs. Harborcreek Township
                maintains a uniform street name sign program whereby all State and
                local roadways are properly posted.

                There are five (5) at grade railroad crossings in Harborcreek
                Township.   There is a. great disparity between the types of signing
                and   signalization    at   these crossings.     The at-grade railroad
                crossings of King and Shannon Roads are simply signed, which have no
                signals and no gates. The crossings located on Davison, Moorheadville
                and Walbridge Roads are properly signed with signals and gates. It
                should be noted that the former at-grade railroad crossing at Nagle
                Road remains closed to traffic by order of the Pennsylvania Public
                Utility Commission.






                  Pending Improvement Projects

                  Harborcreek Township, as well as the County of Erie, has an organized
                  program    to    identify,   prioritize     and implement transportation
                  improvements.       The   local    Metropolitan     Planning     Organization
                  recognized by PennDOT is known as the Erie Area Transportation Study
                  (EATS) Committee.      The EATS Committee assembles to represent and
                  prioritize the transportation needs of Erie County. On a Statewide
                  .basis, PennDOT maintains a Twelve Year Highway and Bridge Program
                  which is the planning tool for State and local transportation
                  projects.    The Twelve Year Program may be viewed as a needs list
                  which is updated on a biannual cycle. Projects appearing on the
                  current   Twelve     Year   Program which will have an impact upon
                  transportation in Harborcreek Township are as follows:

                  Project Name                            Description

                  East Side Access Study                  Design and construction
                  Port Access Road to 1-90                of new 4 lane highway

                  Station Road                            Widen existing highway to
                  Interstate 90 to Buffalo   Road         24 feet

                  Station Road: Behrend                   Design and construction of
                  Jordan Road - Behrend Campus            turning land

                  Depot Road                              Widen existing highway to
                  Interstate 90 to Buffalo Road           24 feet

                  East Lake Road Bridge                   Design and construction of
                  Over ElliOtt5 Creek                     bridge replacement

                  Southern Tier Expressway                Design and construction of
                  Interstate 90 to Route 89               additional 2 lanes

                  U.S. Route 20 Bridge                    Design and construction of
                  Over Sevenmile Creek                    bridge replacement
                  Buffalo Road                            Design and construction of
                  Knoll Avenue to Clark Road              turning lane

                  Lawrence Parkway                        Reconstruct to 36 feet
                  Buffalo Road to East Lake Road

                  Shannon and Cooper Roads                Design and construction of
                  Road Intersection                       turning lanes

                  Boyer Road Bridge                       Design and construction
                  Over Sixmile Creek                      of bridge replacement
                  Depot Street Bridge                     Design and construction of
                  Over Sevenmile Creek                    bridge replacement
                  Bartlett Road Bridge                    Design and construction of
                  Over Sevenmile Creek   Branch           bridge replacement


                                                       6






                 Roadway Maintenance

                 Roadway   maintenance    programs,    both typical summer and winter
                 maintenance, are implemented by PennDOT and Harborcreek Township
                 personnel.   PennDOT is responsible for the proper maintenance of
                 Interstate 90 and all State-owned highways located in Harborcreek
                 Township.   These duties are managed from PennDOT's Erie County
                 Maintenance garage on State Route 89 in North East Township.

                 Harborcreek Township maintains the local roadway system with its
                 municipal employees.     All equipment and materials necessary are
                 located at the Harborcreek Township garage adjacent to the Municipal
                 Building on Buffalo Road.

                 During the spring and summer months, the Township Officials place an
                 emphasis on drainage and roadway maintenance. Typical projects would
                 consist of storm sewer and drainage related construction, bituminous
                 seal coating and &sphalt paving. Harborcreek Township has eliminated
                 all unimproved local roads (e.g. gravelled roads) in favor of
                 bituminous and concrete pavements. The bituminous pavements (i.e.
                 bituminous seal coat and asphalt) require more frequent maintenance,
                 although the maintenance required on concrete pavements would be more
                 extensive.

                 During the autumn months, Harborcreek Township performs a variety of
                 preventative maintenance activities.       Leaves and yard wastes are
                 collected as a service to residents.          This service also tends to
                 minimize the maintenance effort required to keep the storm sewers and
                 drainage ditches free from debris.         Additionally, materials are
                 stockpiled and all winter maintenance equipment is inspected and
                 prepared for service.

                 Winter maintenance activities typically consist of snow removal and
                 related safety enhancements (e.g. spreading of salt and anti-skid
                 materials).     Harborcreek Township personnel are responsible for
                 winter maintenance of all Township roads and a number of State-owned
                 highways in accordance with contracts between the Township and
                 PennDOT.    Additionally,     Harborcreek   Township    provides     winter
                 maintenance on roadways located within new developments which will
                 eventually be dedicated to the Township.

                 Harborcreek Township is not obligated to provide winter maintenance
                 on State-owned or new development roads.           However, the Township
                 Officials believe that residents are entitled to a high level of
                 service which, in these cases, is best provided by the Township.

                 Mass Transit

                 The Erie Metropolitan Transit Authority (EMTA) provides bus service
                 to   the   western    portion    of   Harborcreek Township.      EMTA has
                 experimented    over   the years with various routes and schedule
                 adjustment in order to maximize service and, ultimately ridership.





                                                     7





                 The bus service provided by the EMTA appears to be adequate at this
                 time. High demand regions of the Township are presently served.
                 Examples of these areas include Penn State-Erie, The Behrend College;
                 Buffalo Road commercial district; Brookside community; Harborcreek
                 Mall; Ball Pavillion: Benetwood Apartments and the Eastside YMCA.

                 The LIFT Service

                 "The LIFT" program is the name of the County's shared ride advance
                 request transportation system for eligible persons living beyond the
                 bus routes or who are unable to take advantage of its regularly
                 scheduled   service.     Transportation services are provided under
                 contract to the County's Department of Human Services by Erie
                 Transportation Services.     The vehicles under this program are marked
                 "The LIFT" and/or "Erie Yellow Cab." All vehicles have disability
                 accessibility and can accommodate most, if not all, accessibility
                 devices.   Services provided by "The Lift" are available to all
                 organizations and residents of the County and are available Monday
                 through Friday from 6:30 AM until 5:30 PM, except holidays. Hours
                 may be extended if there is adequate demand.

                 Air Service

                 Full commercial air service is provided at the Erie International
                 Airport which is a small hub airport located in the western portion
                 of the Erie Urbanized Area.        The highway travel distance from the
                 center   of   Harborcreek    Township   to    the Airport terminal is
                 approximately 15 miles.      Erie International Airport is the major
                 airport   serving    northwestern   Pennsylvania and the immediately
                 adjacent counties in New York and Ohio.

                 Rail Syste

                 As can be seen on the accompanying Rail Systems Map, Harborcreek
                 Township has within its boundaries four railroad rights-of-way.
                 Three of these are parallel to one another in a corridor running east
                 and west adjacent to U.S. Route 20.           The fourth right-of-way is
                 located in the southwestern portion of the Township adjacent to
                 Millcreek Township and the City of Erie.

                 The east-west rail corridor contains the main line freight and
                 passenger trackage of the Conrail Railroad and the main line freight
                 track of the Norfolk Southern Railroad.          These two lines pass
                 through the entirety of Erie County and continue on to cities such as
                 Buffalo, New York and Cleveland, Ohio. Also included in the corridor
                 is the East Erie Commercial Railroad which begins in Lawrence Park
                 Township and dead ends just east of Troupe Road in the Township.
                 This line is utilized primarily for testing locomotives and mass
                 transit cars manufactured at the General Electric Plant in Lawrence
                 Park Township.    A fourth line located in the southwestern portion of
                 the Township, is a small portion of the north-south Allegheny
                 Railroad track which connects bayfront facilities in the City of Erie
                 to Union City Borough and the City of Corry in the southeastern
                 portion of Erie County and beyond.




                                                    8





                Although substantial trackage lays within Harborcreek Township, there
                is practically no on-site rail service provided at this time. There
                are no sidings currently in use in the Township. This situation
                relegates the Township to a mere custodian of a number of railroad
                tracks which inherently interfere with the convenience and safety of
                the highway system.     Thus, the Township has not had the opportunity
                to take advantage of any of the economic amenities that these several
                rail systems could provide.

                Included on the Rail Systems Map are the locations of all the at-
                grade rail crossings. There are nine locations wfiere the rail lines
                intersect with the highway system within the Township. They are:
                Shannon Road with a single track crossing; and Walbridge, Davison,
                King and Moorheadville Roads. The spacing of the two sets of track
                is pronounced enough at the latter four roads that two separate at-
                grade crossings actually occur at each of these locations.





































                                                  9













                                                       HIGHWAY               SYSTEM





              STATE FUNCTIONAL CLASSIFICATION



                     PRINCIPAL ARTERIAL


                     MINOR ARTERIAL


                     URBAN/MAJOR COLLECTOR

                     MINOR COLLECTOR



   I                              SIGNALIZATION AND RAIL SYSTEMS MAP
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                                                     CHAPTER 8


                                              COMMUNITY FACILITIES

                  Introduction

                  Community    facilities    are those services and institutions whose
                  primary purpose is to     satisfy the basic physical and social community
                  needs that fall under the direct or indirect auspices of local
                  government.      Communities     depend upon these services which are
                  necessary for the continued comfort, convenience, social welfare and
                  protection of life and property. The character of a community and
                  the nature of future land development is determined to a large degree
                  by the availability and adequacy of community facilities. These
                  facilities ordinarily involve substantial expenditures of public
                  funds and are intended for public use and benefit. These facilities
                  may    include    buildings,     equipment and services in educational
                  institutions,      health   services,     police    and    fire    protection,
                  recreational facilities, libraries, solid waste and a number of other
                  facilities required for appropriate living conditions.            In fact, the
                  demand    for more and better public facilities and services is
                  commonplace     today.     Local    governments     are increasingly being
                  pressured    to    expand    and improve their public facilities and
                  services.    The effects of growing demand and increased use are
                  clear.    Existing facilities and services are heavily strained and
                  local governments are hard pressed to keep pace with the new
                  demands.    This section will inventory and evaluate existing community
                  facilities for adequacy in meeting present needs and probable future
                  effectiveness in achieving the facilities' intended purposes.

                  Included at the end of this Chapter is the Ownership Patterns Map for
                  Harborcreek Township.       The map indicates property owned by various
                  community facilities discussed in this Chapter, and the property
                  owned by the public utilities discussed in the following Chapter of
                  this study. This map differs from the map in the Land Use Chapter
                  which indicates the amount of property being utilized for public and
                  institutional purposes at this time.

                  Schools

                  Harborcreek School District:

                  The Harborcreek Township School District currently operates and
                  maintains three elementary school and a combined junior-senior high
                  school.    Due to the large land area which the Township encompasses,
                  nearly all of the students are bused to school.

                  The present school property tax is assessed at 115.5 mills. A $15.00
                  per capita tax is also levied, $10.00 of which goes to the school
                  district. The school district also receives 50% of Harborcreek
                  Township's     1.0% income tax, and 50% of the Township's $10.00
                  Occupational     Privilege     Tax.   The buildings which comprise the
                  physical plant of the Harborcreek Township School District are all
                  adequate for current needs.          Additional information concerning the
                  adequacy and life span of the various district schools will follow as
                  each individual schcol is discussed.






                 Klein Elementary School - Built in 1954 with substantial renovations
                 and additions made in 1965 and again in 1990, Klein School is one of
                 the older schools in the Harborcreek Township School District. It is
                 a one story brick building located on East Lake Road and houses
                 grades Kindergarten through six. Current enrollment for the 1994-95
                 school year is 489 pupils, and the school is adequate in size for
                 present    use as the capacity is 600 pupils.             The building is
                 considered to be in good physical condition.

                 Eighteen (18) classrooms, in addition to administrative facilities, a
                 kitchen, library, faculty room, several storage rooms, and a speech
                 and reading room are contained in Klein School. The 12.5 acre site,
                 of which five acres are utilized for recreational purposes, allows
                 sufficient room for additional expansion.           Klein School currently
                 maintains a staff of 37.

                 Clark Elementary School - Located on Depot Road in the central
                 portion of the Township, Clark School is one of the newer school
                 district facilities. The one story brick building was constructed in
                 1960, expanded in 1968 and renovated in 1990. Like Klein School, it
                 also includes grades Kindergarten through six. This school is in
                 very good physical condition.

                 Recreational facilities (including playground equipment) comprise two
                 acres of the 14.1 acre site, and ample space for further expansion of
                 the school is available.         The 1994-95 enrollment is 338 which is
                 significantly under the school's present capacity of 438 pupils.

                 In addition to 113 regular classrooms, Clark School also provide a
                 kindergarten room, administrative rooms, a kitchen, medical suite,
                 multi-purpose rooms, library, combined music/art room, faculty room,
                 art storage, general storage and book storage, as well as a seminar
                 and elementary curriculum room.          Clark School currently employs a
                 total of 32 people.

                 Rolling Ridge School - Situated on approximately 60 acres of land on
                 Ridge Parkway in the western portion of Harborcreek Township. Opened
                 for use in the Fall of 1970, it is the newest elementary school
                 facility maintained by the school district.             In addition to 26
                 regular classrooms, the school also houses six.small seminar rooms, a
                 library, cafeteria, gymnasium, a large group instruction room which
                 seats approximately 150 students, as well as faculty rooms, health
                 services    facilities and administrative offices.          The school is
                 considered    to be in excellent condition. Rolling Ridge School
                 currently employs 48 people.

                 The approximate capacity of 840 students allows some room for growth
                 in that the current school year enrollment is 562 pupils. Of the
                 total    site    acreage,    approximately    four acres is devoted to
                 recreational use consisting of playground facilities and open space.






                                                      2






                 Junior-Senior High School - The Harborcreek Township Junior-Senior
                 High School is a brick structure located on Buffalo road and Depot
                 Road.    Originally constructed in 1941, additions and one building
                 replacement have enlarged and modernized the facility. The first two
                 additions were completed in 1952 and 1959. In 1973, an addition was
                 constructed, adding approximately 15 classrooms as well as a swimming
                 pool, a remedial gymnasium, a large group instruction room and a new
                 cafeteria in addition to enlarging and improving other miscellaneous
                 facilities.     In 1991 the section housing the Junior High School was
                 demolished and replaced. The school now includes, in addition to the
                 above, 25 classrooms, a 900 seat auditorium, a double gymnasium, a
                 library, administrative offices, guidance and counseling offices,
                 faculty rooms, storage rooms, nurses facilities, agricultural, wood
                 and metal shops, home economic facilities, a commercial suite,
                 science laboratories, arts and crafts facilities, and music and
                 drivers education rooms.        Twenty acres of the 40 acre site are
                 devoted to recreational use with football, baseball and track fields
                 being the dominant facilities.

                 The present 1994-95 enrollment is 1,369 students which is well below
                 the building's present capacity of 2,575 students. One hundred and
                 twenty-nine employees, or more than one-half of all the school
                 district's 246 employees, work at the Junior-Senior High School.

                 Enrollment Trends:

                 From the 1979-80 school year to the present, as depicted on the
                 accompanying graph, "School Enrollment Trends," Harborcreek Township
                 School District enrollment has decreased by just over 300 students.
                 As may be noted from the above-mentioned chart, total enrollment
                 decreased relatively rapidly from the 1979-80 school year to the 1982-
                 83 school year.       From the 1982-83 school year to the 1984-85 school
                 year, the downward trend slowed significantly, only to accelerate
                 downward by 90 students in the 1985-86 school year. Since that time,
                 enrollment has been fairly stable, with an increase of approximately
                 140 students by the 1994-95 school year.




















                                                      3



 I                        HARBORCREEK SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT TRENDS TABLE
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                Other Educational Facilities:

                Although not under local school district control, there are other
                school facilities within Harborcreek Township which deserve mention
                in this section of the plan.

                Harborcreek Youth Services and Gannondale School for Girls - Located
                on Iroquois Avenue and East Lake Road respectively, these school are
                maintained under the auspices of the Catholic Diocese of Erie. They
                are residential treatment centers for court-referred juveniles and
                provide a variety of services designed to aid residents in coping
                more effectively with living in the community.

                There    are   currently   60 boys participating in the on-grounds
                residential living program at Harborcreek and approximately 60 more
                are located in small group homes throughout Erie county.               The
                capacity of the school is 137 boys. The Gannondale School for Girls
                currently has 45 girls participating in the residential program and
                is the only facility of its type in the Township.

                Daycare and Preschool Centers:

                The accompanying list shows the names and addresses of the five
                daycare/preschool    centers   which are located within Harborcreek
                Township.    These centers can accept a total of 340-350 infants and
                children ranging from 6 weeks to 12 years of age.


                Harbor Care Christian Child Care Center
                7895 Buffalo Road
                Harborcreek, PA 16421
                75 children, 6 weeks-12 years, daycare & preschool

                Early Years Learning Center
                4403 Iroquois Avenue
                Erie, PA 16511
                40-50 children, 6 weeks-6th grade, daycare & preschool

                Barb's Care Alot Day Care
                5163 Buffa-lo Road
                Erie, PA 16510
                65 children, 6 weeks-12 years, daycare & preschool, security system

                YMCA Eastside Family Branch
                2101 Nagle Road
                Erie, PA 16510
                40 children, 6 weeks-6th grade, daycare & preschool, summer program

                Penn State Behrend Child Care Center
                Station Road
                Erie, PA 16510
                120 children. 6 weeks-6 years, daycare & preschool





                                                    5






                 Technical Schools:

                 There are a number of technical schools in Erie County offering
                 practical courses of study in such diverse areas as welding, women's
                 and men's hair styling, barbering, photography, mechanical repair and
                 drafting   courses.     Nursing, business, secretarial and computer
                 courses are also offered at the technical schools.

                 Universities and Colleges:

                 There are a number of Universities and Colleges located in Erie
                 County:   Gannon University, City of Erie; Mercyhurst College, City of
                 Erie with a branch in North East Township: Edinboro University of
                 Pennsylvania, Edinboro Borough with a branch in Millcreek Township;
                 and the Behrend College of Penn State University in Harborcreek
                 Township.   The following is a brief history and general description
                 of the Behrend College taken from a recent Penn State University
                 course catalogue.

                 Penn State Erie, The Behrend College, is a four-year and graduate
                 college of Penn State.       The College's campus was donated to the
                 University in 19A8 by Mary Behrend in memory of her husband, Ernst,
                 co-founder (with his father and brother) of the Hammermill Paper
                 Company, now a part of International Paper. In donating her family's
                 Glenhill Farm Estate to Penn State, Mrs. Behrend was responding to
                 the need, expressed by a committee of prominent Erie residents, for a
                 public, coeducational, non-sectarian university presence in Erie.

                 In 1948, 152 students enrolled at what was known as The Behrend
                 Center.   Those first students could complete only their freshman year
                 at the Center. When Penn State reorganized in 1959, the Commonwealth
                 Campus System was established and The Behrend Center became The
                 Behrend Campus of Penn State. Both the enrollments and the physical
                 expanse of the campus grew throughout the 1960's and early 1970's.
                 By 1971, over 1,200 students were enrolled.

                 On January 20, 1973, the Penn State Board of Trustees granted four-
                 year college and graduate status to Penn State-Behrend. With that
                 decision, Penn State-Behrend became the first Penn State campus
                 outside of Univers@ty Park to achieve such status.

                 Today, 3,100 students attend classes in original buildings from the
                 Glenhill Farm Estate and in the more recently constructed academic
                 buildings.   Over 1,100     students are now housed in residence halls
                 and student apartments on campus,

                 The College offers baccalaureate and associate degrees in business,
                 engineering,   the    humanities, the social sciences, science and
                 engineering technology, as well as the Penn State MBA program and
                 other special topics graduate courses.         Penn State-Behrend awards
                 honors degrees to students who have successfully completed the
                 requirements   of    the University Scholars Program. Penn State's
                 University-wide honors program.





                                                     6






                 Penn   State-Behrend    has recorded increasing enrollments for 23
                 semesters and is continuing to expand its facilities. An $11 million
                 library/academic    building    and   an   engineering and engineering
                 technology laboratory complex are the newest additions to the campus.

                 Recreation

                 Harborcreek Township residents are fortunate to have a number of
                 recreational facilities provided by the Township and the school
                 district.   Many of these facilities are used by both students and
                 members of the community.

                 One excellent park facility known as the Harborcreek Community Park
                 is   located just south of the Municipal Building.            A detailed
                 inventory of facilities for this park and the other parks is listed
                 at the end of this section.

                 Harborcreek Community Park supports a very large amount of warm
                 weather activity for youth and adults, as well as a number of other
                 organized activities such as the four day long Harborfest festival,
                 sponsored by the Harborcreek Area Chamber of Commerce. A sampling of
                 organized activities is listed below:

                 -   Little League baseball and softball programs for 800 boys and
                     girls:
                 -   Youth and adult soccer programs;
                 -   Softball and soccer clinics;
                     Local church softball leagues;
                 -   Hosts the Lakeshore Modified Adult American Softball Association
                     (ASA) Approved Softball League (the largest ASA approved softball
                     league in Pennsylvania):
                 -   Tri-Community Little Gridders Football Program in conjunction
                     with Lawrence Park Township and Wesleyville Borough;
                 -   Boy Scout camp outings;
                 -   Harborcreek Fire Department activities.

                 In  addition to Harborcreek Community Park, Harborcreek Township owns
                 and maintains three other parks: Whitford Park on Iroquois Avenue in
                 the vicinity of Sixmile Creek; Rolling Ridge Park at Tanglewood and
                 Brierwood Roads in the west central portion of the Township: and
                 Slade Road Ball Park which is located approximately 1.5 miles west of
                 North East Township.      One Erie County Park, Sixmile Creek Park, is
                 located within the Township.

                 Wesleyville Borough also owns Memorial Park which is adjacent to the
                 Borough in the western portion of Harborcreek Township. This park is
                 a 4.5 acre parcel which contains playground facilities and a general
                 purpose field.     in addition, the City of Erie maintains Downing Golf
                 Course, a 195 acre, 18 hole golf course, between East Lake Road and
                 Iroquois Avenue along Troupe Road in the north central portion of the
                 Township.

                 The Slade Road Ball Park ball fields, which are located in the
                 eastern portion of the Township, are maintained by Harborcreek for
                 use by Township residents.




                                                     7






                 The    Eastside YMCA, which is located at 2101 Nagle Road, was
                 constructed in 1976.        This facility has two gymnasiums, an indoor
                 track, a sauna and wfiirlpool, baseball equipment, exercise equipment,
                 and two indoor pools which were constructed in 1989. The YMCA
                 property, wfiich consists of 21 acres, adjoins the Tri-Community Pool
                 facility.    This facility consists of two outdoor pools, and is
                 managed by YMCA staff.         The Tri@Community Pool facility is a joint
                 cooperative     venture between Harborcreek Township, Lawrence Park
                 Township and Wesleyville Borough. Management of this facility, along
                 with an increase in regular YMCA activities over the years, has
                 boosted    current    employment     to 21 full-time and 91 part-time
                ,employees, up from 3 full-time and 29 part-time employees in 1980.
                 Present    membership     is approximately 7,400, while in 1980 the
                 membership figure was 5,800.

                 In addition to the above-mentioned public facilities, there are also
                 many    private or semi-private recreational areas in Harborcreek
                 Township.    Behrend College utilizes a portion of its 420 acre site
                 for recreational facilities which include baseball and soccer fields,
                 tennis courts, an outdoor swimming pool, and rope-tow ski slope.
                 Camp Glinodo, owned by the Benedictine Sisters of Erie maintains 25
                 of its total 124 acres as recreational including a swimming pool and
                 volley    ball    court.     In addition, Gannondale Academy includes
                 approximately one acre for recreational purposes including playground
                 facilities, while Harborcreek Youth Services maintains approximately
                 five acres for recreational use.

                 Other private recreational facilities in the Township include the
                 Gos el Hill Golf course, an 18 hole facility maintained by Gospel
                 HM Golf Club Incorporated which is located on Reese Road, and a
                 public boat ramp located at the end of Shorewood Road.
























                                                       8




 I                                 EXISTING RECREATIONAL FACILITIES
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                 Police Protection

                 Harborcreek Township has no municipal police force at the present
                 time and relies on the Troop E Headquarters of the Pennsylvania State
                 Police (PSP), located at 4320 Iroquois Avenue in Lawrence Park
                 Township, for all needed police protection. This barracks of the PSP
                 not only patrols Harborcreek Township, but also patrols nine other
                 Townships and four Boroughs in the central and eastern portions of
                 Erie County.     Additionally, Troop E covers Crawford, Venango and
                 Warren    Counties    in   northwestern    Pennsylvania.      The Troop E
                 Headquarters is one of the three stations in Erie County, the other
                 two being located in Wayne Township and Girard Township. This
                 station is presently staffed by more than 65 employees: 1 station
                 commander, 10 supervisors (Sergeants and Corporals), 47 troopers and
                 5 civilians.     The following specialty personnel also work for the
                 Erie barracks: a Fire Marshall, Polygraph Examiner, Weight Detail,
                 Garage Inspector and 3 troopers who process crime scenes. The State
                 Police    provide   a    seven day, 24 hour service.          The Troop E
                 Headquarters    has    30 radio equipped vehicles and a helicopter
                 available    for   duty.     In addition to this standard equipment
                 additional emergency equipment is available from other State Police
                 stations when needed.

                 The State Police Crime Laboratory is located next door to the Troop E
                 Headquarters.    It is responsible for analyzing many kinds of evidence
                 for the various police departments in northwestern Pennsylvania.

                 The municipalities of Lawrence Park Township, Wesleyville Borough and
                 Millcreek Township, although located adjacent to the western border
                 of Harborcreek Township, do not provide police protection to any
                 portion of the Township. However, in an extreme emergency situation
                 the -police departments in these municipalities could be called upon
                 to assist the State Police in Harborcreek Township. Harborcreek
                 Township does have a contract with the Lawrence Park Township Police
                 Department wrhich provides for patrols of the parking lots of the
                 Eastway,    K-Mart    and   Giant Eagle Plazas.       These patrols deal
                 exclusively with parking violations.

                 Fire and Emergency Protection

                 Fire protection fcr Harborcreek Township is furnished by three
                 volunteer fire departments located in four stations. The Harborcreek
                 Fire Department currently has two stations in operation. The first
                 station, built in 1948, is located on Buffalo Road in Harborcreek
                 Village in the central portion of the Township. The second station,
                 built in 1989, is located at the intersection of Highmeyer and East
                 Lake Roads.     The older station may be replaced within the next five
                 years.    The Fairfield Fire Department operates one station located at
                 the intersection of East Lake and Walbridge Roads. This station,
                 which was constructed in the 1950's, will be replaced by a new
                 structure in the summer of 1995.           The Brookside Fire Department
                 operates one station which is located on Athens Road in the west
                 central part of the Township. This station was constructed in 1975.





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                The personnel and equipment inventories for these stations are as
                follows:


                                      Harborcreek Fire Department
                                            (Two Stations)

                Officers:

                -   (2) Chiefs
                -   (1) Assistant Chief
                -   (1) Captain
                -   (2) Lieutenant.c

                Firemen:

                -   (26) Active Members
                -   (26) Reserve Members

                Equipment:

                -   Engine 223 - 1994 Ford Pierce Pumper
                    1,250 gallon per minute pump with 750 gallon tank
                    1,400 feet of 4 inch diameter hose

                -   Engine 224 - 1990 Ford Pierce Pumper
                    1,250 gallon per minute pump with 1,000 gallon tank
                    1.400 feet of 4 inch diameter hose

                -   Engine 225 - 1979 Ford Hamerly Tanker
                    450 gallon per minute pump with 1,800 gallon tank
                    600 feet of 3 inch diameter hose

                -   Ambulance 227 - 1992 Ford Horton Modular Type

                -   Rescue 228 - 1994 International KME Rescue Vehicle
                    with hurst tool, light tower with 25,000 watt generator,
                    12 ton winch and rescue equipment







                                       Fairfield Fire Department
                                             (One Station)

                Officers:

                -   (1) Chief
                -   (1) Assistant Chief
                -   (1) Captain
                -   (3) Lieutenants

                Firemen:

                -   (29) Active Members
                -   (20) Reserve Members

                Equipment:

                -   Engine 262 - 1970 Maxium Pumper
                    1,250 gallon per minute pump with 750 gallon tank
                    1,500 feet of 4 inch diameter hose

                -   Engine 265 - 1986 Volvo
                    450 gallon per minute pump with 2,000 gallon tank
                    1,100 feet of 2 112 inch diameter hose

                -   Engine 268 - 1977 Chevrolet Pumper
                    1,000 gallon per minute pump with 400 gallon tank
                    1,500 feet of 4 inch diameter hose

                -   Ambulance 267 - 1990 Ford Econoline with full equipment























                                                  12








                                      Brookside Fire Department
                                            (One Station)

                Officers:

                -  (1) Chief
                -  (1) Assistant Chief
                -  (1) Captain
                -  (2) Lieutenants

                Firemen:

                -  (21) Active Members
                -  (24) Reserve Members

                Equipment:
                -  Engine 244 - 1992 Emergency One Pumper
                   1,500 gallon per minute pump with 750 gallon tank
                   1,500 feet of 4 inch diameter hose

                -  Engine 245 - 1985 GMC Tanker
                   450 gallon per minute pump with 1,800 gallon tank

                -  Car 246 - 1990 Chevrolet Suburban
                   transport vehicle with rope rescue equipment

                -  Ambulance 247 - 1989 Sentinal - fully equipped

                -  Ambulance 248 - 1988 Horton - fully equipped

                -  Ladder 249 - 1976 Oshkosh Ladder Truck
                   100 foot LTL ladder with 1,000 gallon per minute pump
                   NFPA rated ladder truck

                The three departments jointly service all of Harborcreek Township.
                The departments receive approximately 320 fire calls per year, 850
                emergency medical service calls, 170 motor vehicle accident calls and
                approximately 80 calls of other types.       Annual funding of each
                department is raised through a variety of activities including
                Harborfest, Harborcreek Township's summer festival; fund drives;
                raffles; bingo games; donations; Fireman's Relief Fund activities,
                and special dinners.    The annual budget for all three department
                exceeds $300,000.   One hundred and eighty-six fire hydrants are
                located across much of the Township, but are concentrated primarily
                in the western urbanized portion of the Township.









                                                 13






                Emergency Medical Service is also provided by each of the fire
                departments for all Harborcreek Township residents. Each department
                has at least eight State certified Emergency Medical Technicians, in
                keeping with State standards. In addition to the basic life support
                services provided by the three fire departments, advanced life
                support services are provided in the Township by Emergycare, Inc. a
                private    ambulance service jointly operated by three Erie area
                hospitals.    This   ambulance    service is located in the Harborcreek
                Fire Department station on East Lake Road, and services a number of
                municipalities    in   eastern Erie County.      The East Erie County
                Emergency Communications Center, Inc., which is located in the
                Harborcreek Township Municipal Building, provides Enhanced 911 (E-
                911) dispatch service not only to residents of Harborcreek Township,
                but also to residents in a number@of adjacent communities. Police
                units dispatched through the 911 center service Wesleyville Borough,
                Lawrence Park Township, North East Borough and Township, and The
                Behrend Campus of Penn State University.          The fire and emergency
                medical service units dispatched through this 911 center service
                Wesleyville Borough, Lawrence Park Township, North East Township and
                Borough, and Greenfield Township. This 911 operation also serves as
                a backup dispatch center for Millcreek Township. To protect the East
                Erie County Emergency Communications Center from power failures, the
                Township installed a 20,000 watt natural gas powered emergency
                electrical generator  in 1991.

                Accidents involving hazardous waste are handled by the Erie County
                Hazardous Materials Response Team which is based in the City of
                Erie.   This team is  made up of volunteer firefighters from throughout
                Erie County as well   as volunteers from various private companies that
                have experience in dealing with hazardous materials.

                MuniciQal Services and FacilitieS

                Harborcreek Township is governed by a Board of Supervisors. The
                three Supervisors are elected for overlapping six year terns, one
                Supervisor being elected every two years. The governing powers of
                the Supervisors are broad and extensive, covering virtually the
                entire range of municipal government functions. Their decisions take
                form in ordinances and resolutions, and must be passed by a simple
                majority of votes.

                The   Supervisors of Harborcreek Township have appointed various
                personnel and boards to assist them in government: a five member
                Planning Commission: three member Zoning Hearing Board; seven member
                Parks Commission; five member Sewer Authority; four member Insurance
                Committee; a Zoning Administrator; a Township Secretary/Controller;
                Tax Collector; an Engineer and two Solicitors.








                                                    14 -






                 The Harborcreek Township Municipal Building, located at 5601 Buffalo
                 Road, is a relatively modern structure wfiich was constructed in 1972
                 on a 10 acre parcel of Township-owned land situated approximately 1.6
                 miles east of Lawrence park Township. The building currently houses
                 the offices of the Township Supervisors, general administrative
                 support offices,     the zoning administration and code enforcement
                 offices, the Engineering Office, and the income tax and 1% wage tax
                 offices.    In addition, the building houses the recently established
                 office of the Harborcreek Township Historical Society and the office
                 of the East Erie County Emergency Communications Center, Inc., as
                 well as the office of the Harborcreek Township Chamber of Commerce.
                 The Township also rents space to the American Association of Retired
                 Persons (AARP) which holds monthly meetings in a large basement room
                 in the facility. A group known as the Merry Mixers also utilizes the
                 Township Building for a variety of monthly activities.

                 The Township Garage, located behind the Municipal Building, is also a
                 relatively new structure, having been built in 1971. A number of
                 internal improvements have been made to this structure, but no
                 additions have been necessary. Other buildings and property owned by
                 Harborcreek Township include a 30 foot by 40 foot maintenance
                 building located in Rolling Ridge Park, where all park equipment
                 repairs are done, and a former weigh station south of 1-90 on Station
                 Road.   The Station Road property is currently leased to a trucking
                 company and is used as a trailer terminal.

                 Hospitals/Medical Facilities

                 No   hospital facilities are located within Harborcreek Township
                 itself.    However, seven hospitals are located within Erie County,
                 five of which are located in the Erie Metropolitan Are. One walk-in
                 medical facility, the Eastway Emergi-Center, handles minor medical
                 emergencies for area residents.         This facility is located at 4234
                 Buffalo Road in Harborcreek Township.

                 The accompanying table provides some relative data as to the capacity
                 and patient load of the seven hospitals which service Harborcreek
                 Township.




















                                                      15 -






                                         HOSPITALS INVENTORY 1994
                                            ((WITHIN ERIE COUNTY)

                                                      Treatment
                                         Profit/      In-Patient    Out-Patient    Bed
                                       Non-Profit       Days          Visits     Capacity

                 Corry Memorial         Non-Profit        2,302       24,051         82
                   Hospital,
                 City of Corry

                 Metro Health           Non-Profit      19,771        37,764       150
                   Center,
                 City of Erie

                 Millcreek Community    Non-Profit      60,851        34,864       101
                   Hospital,
                 Millcreek Township

                 Hamot Medical          Non-Profit      118,650       138,625       536
                   Center,
                 City of Erie

                 Veteran's              Non-Profit      38,126        59,181       120
                   Admi ni strati on
                   Hospital,
                 City of Erie

                 St. Vincent Health     Non-Profit      124,104       186,640      511
                   Center,
                 City of Erie

                 Union City Memorial    Non-Profit        5,009       16,119         35
                   Hospital,
                 Union City Borough


                 Source: Area Hospital Administrators June 1994



















                                                     16






                 Libraries

                 Harborcreek Township residents have access to two libraries: the
                 Penn State Behrend Library, located on the Behrend Campus of the
                 Pennsylvania State University; and the Lawrence Park branch of the
                 Erie County Library System.

                 The Penn State Behrend Library is a new facility, having opened in
                 August of 1993.     This library has a collection of 75,000 books and
                 approximately 5.000 bound periodicals, and has significant room for
                 additions to the collection. The Penn State Behrend Library is open
                 8:00 a.m. to 11:00 p.m. Monday through Thursday, 8:00 a.m. to 5:00
                 p.m. on Friday, 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. on Saturday, and 12:00 p.m.
                 to 11:00 p.m. on Sunday, for a total of 87 hours per week.

                 The Lawrence Park branch of the Erie County Library System is located
                 at 4212 Iroquois Avenue, less then one-half mile west of the boundary
                 between Lawrence Park and Harborcreek Townships. This library branch
                 was established in 1949, and currently has a collection of 40,000
                 books and 26 bound periodicals.        According to a recent study of
                 library patronage patterns done by the County Library System staff,
                 approximately 148,000 books were checked out at the Lawrence Park
                 branch in 1991.      Of this total, 42% or roughly 62,250 books were
                 checked out by Harborcreek Township residents. This is approximately
                 equal to four books for each of Harborcreek Township's 15,100+
                 residents.   Hours of operation for the Lawrence Park branch are 10:00
                 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. on Monday and Tuesday, 12:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. on
                 Thursday, and 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. on Friday and Saturday, for a
                 total of 42 hours per week.

























                                                    17







                Churches

                Harborcreek     Township   has   a    representative    mix of religious
                denominations and places of worship. A total of twelve churches are
                located in Township. The name and addresses of these churches are as
                follows.                I

                     East Erie Assembly of God
                     2653 Saltsman Road
                     Erie, PA 16510

                     Fellowship Baptist church
                     2420 Cumberland Road
                     Erie, PA 16510

                     Harborcreek Baptist Church
                     4719 Buffalo Road
                     Erie, PA 16510

                     North Harborcreek Baptist Church
                     8800 Buffalo Road
                     Harborcreek, PA 16421

                     Our Lady of Mercy Church
                     837 Bartlett Road
                     Harborcreek, PA    16421

                     Harborcreek Evangelical Free Church
                     1061 Bartlett Road
                     P.O. Box-136
                     Harborcreek, PA 16421

                     Christian Life Church and Campus
                     5019 Buffalo Road
                     Erie, PA 16510

                     Faith Lutheran Church
                     5414 East Lake Road
                     Erie, PA 16511

                     Faith Reformed Church
                     2953 Saltsman Road
                     Erie, PA 16510

                     Harborcreek First Presbyterian Church
                     6722 Buffalo Road
                     Harborcreek, PA 16421

                     South Harborcreek United Methodist Church
                     7929 McGill Road
                     Harborcreek, PA 16421

                     Grace Bible Church
                     5200 Yale Drive
                     Erie, PA 16510



                                                     18






                  Historic Sites

                  A number of historic sites of local interest can be found throughout
                  Harborcreek    Township.      These    landmarks    are   examples of the
                  architectural design of varying types of structures which have
                  existed throughout the Township's past and reflect the original
                  development pattern as well. Such buildings and sites contribute to
                  the variety and character of the Township. They form an important
                  part of the community's historic and cultural heritage. This does
                  not mean that a building must be saved because it is old. It does
                  mean that a municipality, as part of its comprehensive planning
                  program, should make a thorough inventory of its resources and take
                  the necessary steps to preserve all landmarks that are found to
                  contribute significantly to its physical and cultural heritage. The
                  following list denotes those sites which have major historical
                  significance, although none are currently listed on the National
                  Register for Historic Preservation:

                  Harborcreek Township Site #1

                  Map 1
                  Name of Site: John Dodge House
                  Site Classification: Architectural Dwelling
                  Location: North side of Route 20, west Bartlett Road

                  This brick U-shaped structure has a hip roof with a square hip roof
                  frame cupola.      Paired brackets support a cornice which extends from
                  the roof.     Stone lintels decorate each window. The house was built
                  in 1854 by the Dodge family who also owned 600 acres adjacent to Lake
                  Erie.

                  Harborcreek Township Site #2

                  Map 1
                  Name of Site: Joseph M. Moorhead House
                  Site Classification: Architectural Dwelling
                  Location: 8014 East Lake Road

                  This house was probably constructed in the 1830's. (See Harborcreek
                  Township Site #4.)

                  Harborcreek Township Site #3

                  Map 1
                  Name of Site: Joseph M. Moorhead House
                  Site Classification: Architectural Dwelling
                  Location: South side of Route 20, east of King Road

                  This residence is reported to have been constructed in 1832 by the
                  same   man    who constructed Harborcreek Township Site #2.               (See
                  Harborcreek Township Site #4.)







                                                        19 -






                  Harborcreek Township Site #4

                  Map 1
                  Name of Site: J.Y. Moorhead House
                  Site Classification: Architectural Dwelling
                  Location: Southwest corner of Route 20 and Moorheadville Road

                  Five Moorhead brothers came here from Lancaster County, Pennsylvania
                  in the years between 1801 and 1805 and cleared this property, one of
                  the earliest clearings in the County.            The house was erected in
                  1832.   A natural gas well, supposedly the first in the County,
                  provides light and heat.

                  Communications

                  Communications have become a vital part of our society in our
                  personal and business lives as well as being an important factor in
                  assuring health and safety.         The media that serves a community
                  provides a vital service of communicating facts, ideas and community
                  events.   Without this exchange of information any community would
                  soon become isolated from outside events and ideas.

                  Telephone Facilities:

                  Telephone service is offered to Harborcreek Township residents by the
                  General Telephone Company of Pennsylvania.            The telephone cable
                  network servicing Harborcreek Township residents originates at a
                  central switching center located on Buffalo Road (U.S. Route 20)
                  between Riverside Drive and Water Street in Wesleyville Borough.
                  Customer calls are handled by a computerized switching system put
                  into service in August of 1979. Harborcreek Township residents are
                  fortunate to have such a large base calling area, as they may call
                  the   communities of North East, Wattsburg, Waterford, Edinboro,
                  Fairview, Girard, McKean and Erie without paying toll charges.

                  Television and Radio:

                  Harborcreek Township is currently served by five Erie television
                  stations:    WICU (NBC-12), WJET (ABC-24), WSEE (CBS-35), WQLN (Public-
                  54), and WETG (FOX-66).

                  Depending on the weather conditions, the Township is also served by
                  most of the radio stations operating in Erie County: WRIE (1260 AM),
                  WFLP (1330 AM). WLKK (1400 AM), WQLN (91.3 FM), WFGO (94.7 FM), WXTA
                  (97.9 FM), WXKC (99.9 FM), WRKT (100.9 FM), WJET (102.3 FM), WMXE
                  (103.7 FM), WRTS (104 FM), and WCTL (106.3 FM).                 In addition,
                  Harborcreek Township can also receive broadcasts by WREO (97.1 FM)
                  from Astabula, Ohio.

                  Cable Television Facilities:

                  Cable television services in Harborcreek Township are provided by TCI
                  of   Pennsylvania, Inc.       The densely populated areas within the
                  Township are generally fully serviced.           The extension of cable
                  television facilities by TCI of Pennsylvania, Inc. will likely
                  continue    to occur pursuant to demand.           See accompanying Cable
                  Television Facilities Map.         - 20 -





                Newspapers:

                Harborcreek Township is served by two newspapers: the Erie Times-
                News and the North East Breeze, a Brown-Thompson newspaper. The
                North East Breeze is published weekly and serves approximately 1,500
                customers in northeastern Erie County. Of this total, approximately
                100 newspapers are either home delivered or purchased over the
                counter in Harborcreek Township.       The Erie Time-News publishes two
                daily   papers as well as a Sunday edition.          All editions are
                circulated   throughout Harborcreek Township.      These papers carry
                County-wide news as well as international, national and State wire-
                service coverage.












































                                                   21




 I                                      CABLE SERVICE SYSTEM MAP
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                                                            H a r b o r c r e e k T o w n s h                          p

                                                           OWNERSHIP PATTERNS





                  AS OF DECEMBER 1994



                           INSTITUTIONAL        MUNICIPAL

                           ROAD RIGHT-OF-WAYS


                           PRIVATE

















































































                  SCALE    I /rich   3350 Feet







                                                 CHAPTER 9


                                             PUBLIC UTILITIES

                Introduction

                The availability of public utilities is a prime determinant in
                relation     to  the    location,   character, and intensity of land
                development.    Future development is more likely to occur in those
                areas that offer water distribution, sanitary sewage disposal, and
                storm sewers.      Included at the end of the last Chapter is the
                Ownership Patterns Map for Harborcreek Township. The map indicates
                property owned by various community facilities discussed in the last
                Chapter, and the property owned by the public utilities discussed in
                this Chapter of this study.

                An inventory of the public    utilities existing in Harborcreek Township
                has been completed.        For purposes of this planning document, public
                utilities include municipal water, sanitary sewer and storm sewer
                systems as well as electric and natural gas services. Since the
                existence of public utility facilities provides the foundation for
                land use intensity and future development, the inventory of such
                facilities is viewed as having major importance.

                Water Facilities

                The existing public water system located in and serving Harborcreek
                Township     is  operated    and maintained by the Erie City Water
                Authority.    This system, formerly operated by the City of Erie Water
                Bureau, was transferred to the Erie City Water Authority in 1992 in
                an attempt to improve service and to develop and implement a critical
                capital improvements program.        See the accompanying Public Water
                Distribution System Map.

                The existing public water system encompasses the entire northwestern
                quadrant of Harborcreek Township.         As a result, approximately one
                third of the Township's 33.7 square miles has public water service
                availability.

                Based on information provided by the Erie City Water Authority, there
                are    approximately     3,100  residential    customers in Harborcreek
                Township.    Thus, it is estimated that two-thirds of the Township's
                population is served by the Erie City Water Authority. Additionally,
                the Authority services 152 commercial, 23 public and 4 manufacturing
                customers (January 1994 figures),

                The Harborcreek Township Board of Supervisors plays an active role in
                the extension of public water service.           In fact, the most recent
                water line extension project was completed by the Board in 1994. The
                Harborcreek    Township Water Authority continues to exist as an
                advisory and recommending body to the Board of Supervisors. Despite
                not being an operating authority, the Harborcreek Township Water
                Authority acts as a useful liaison between the Board of Supervisors
                and the general public.






                The remaining one-third of the Township's population must rely on
                individual private water wells for potable water. The quantity and
                quality of the water supplied by individual wells vary considerably
                throughout the Township.

                It is believed that many of the relatively shallow dug wells located
                in the northern portion of the Township are of inconsistent quantity
                and quality.     Water quantity varies on a seasonal basis. However,
                there have been reports of widespread contamination of these shallow
                wells.

                On the other hand, the southern portion of Harborcreek Township is
                supported by relatively stable acquifers. These wells are typically
                deeper drilled wells and are more consistent than the shallow wells
                located along Lake Erie.

                Sanitary Sewer Facilities

                The collection, conveyance, treatment and disposal of sanitary wastes
                (i.e. sewage) in Harborcreek Township may be classified as three
                distinct methods. The three classifications may be described as the
                municipal    system, private systems and individual on-lot septic
                systems.     Each of these classifications will be described and
                discussed herein.

                The municipal system (i.e. public sanitary sewer system is the most
                recently    developed and serves approximately 60 percent of the
                Township's population.      This service area is generally consistent
                with that of the public water system, excluding the northeastern
                portion    of   the water service area.        Municipal sanitary sewer
                facilities    are    found   in the more densely populated area of
                northwestern Harborcreek     Township adjacent to Lawrence Park Township
                and Wesleyville Borough.     The Harborcreek Sewer Authority was created
                in 1970 and is responsible for all of the public sewer facilities
                within Harborcreek Township.

                There were no public sewer facilities located in Harborcreek Township
                prior to 1971.       Construction of the present sewer system began in
                November of 1971 and was completed in January of 1974. The system
                was designed so that all sewage flows northerly toward East Lake Road
                (State Route 5) and is pumped via four sewage 1i ft stations into
                Lawrence    Park    Township and ultimately to the Erie Wastewater
                Treatment Plant. See the accompanying Public Sewer Collection System
                Map.

                There are a number of private sewage treatment facilities located in
                Harborcreek Township.      Two of these private systems were constructed
                prior to the inStdllation of public sewer facilities and, in effect,
                supplement the municipal system. One such private system is owned,
                operated and maintained by the South Shore Service Company. This
                system is located in the extreme northwestern portion of the Township
                between East Lake Road and Lake Erie. Approximately 965 residents
                are served by this system.          Homes on Lowry, South Shore, Harbor,
                Micah and Aaron Drives, the South Shore Apartments located on Joshua
                Street and the Harborcreek Mall are served by this system. All
                sewage from this service area is directed to a private treatment plan
                located along Fivemile Creek near its mouth at Lake Erie.

                                                     2






                 The second such private system services Penn State-Erie, The Behrend
                 College wbich had a 1994 enrollment of approximately 3,100 students.
                 In   addition     to   faculty     and other staff persons, there are
                 approximately 1,100 students which live on campus in the dormitories
                 or on-campus apartments.

                 In recent years, a number          of individual and community small flow
                 treatment    facilities     have    been   approved     and constructed in
                 Harborcreek    Township.       In  the case of the several individual
                 treatment plants (i.e. single      residence sewage treatment plants), the
                 system is owned, operated and maintained by the property owner. A
                 community system, however, would typically be owned and operated by a
                 non-profit corporation, such as a property owners association.

                 Due to the existence of relatively poor soils for on-lot septic
                 systems in the non-served portions of the Township, it is anticipated
                 that there will be an increase in the construction of such private
                 treatment facilities.       These systems, however, must still go through
                 a regulatory review and approval process and are considered by the
                 Harborcreek Officials to be an appropriate method of sewage disposal.

                 The remaining areas of the Township in which the development is
                 relatively sparse must rely on individual on-lot sewage disposal
                 systems.    The effectiveness of the on-lot septic systems depends upon
                 the local soil conditions as well as the groundwater table in the
                 area.    There is no evidence that large areas of malfunctioning on-lot
                 septic    systems    as approved by the Pennsylvania Department of
                 Environmental Resources and the Erie County Health Department will be
                 acceptable.

                 Storm Drainage Facilities

                 The   existing     storm drainage facilities located in Harborcreek
                 Township are owned and maintained by the Township. These facilities
                 are located in various areas throughout the Township since there is
                 no comprehensive storm drainage plan.

                 The existing facilities are generally located in the western portion
                 of Harborcreek Township.        Additionally, the new developments which
                 have recently been completed all include storm drainage systems.

                 The Harborcreek Township Stormwater Management Ordinance was adopted
                 in 1993.     The provisions of this Ordinance require that stormwater
                 runoff be properly managed and controlled in conjunction with new
                 development      such      as   residential      subdivisions,      commercial
                 establishments, etc. In addition to storm drainage collection and
                 conveyance systems, stormwater retention facilities will frequently
                 be required.      It is the intention of the Harborcreek Officials that
                 relatively large retention facilities serving residential development
                 will ultimately be owned and maintained by the Township. Conversely,
                 the stormwater management systems, including retention facilities,
                 supporting commercial and other non-residential developments should
                 be owned and mainta'Ined by the individual property owners.

                 Generally, storm drainage concerns are addressed as they arise.
                 Isolated areas      of   concern must be        resolved on a very local
                 basis. A stormwater management plan is currently under development
                 for Harborcreek as a part of a countywide effort at this time.
                                                       3






                 Electric Facilities

                 Residents in Harborcreek Township receive electric service from the
                 Pennsylvania Electric Company (Penelec).       This service is available
                 throughout the entire Township.

                 Penelec also has three       high    voltage   power transmission line
                 rights-of-way which cross portionS of the southern part of the
                 Township.    They    meet   at a substation just northwest of the
                 intersection of Harborgreen and Jordan Roads. From this point, the
                 three lines branch out in various directions. One goes west along
                 Harborgreen Road into Millcreek Township. Another follows Fourmile
                 Creek northwesterly into the City of Erie, and the third line goes
                 easterly   between Harborgreen and Station Roads into Greenfield
                 Township.   Power from these lines is not directly accessible to
                 residents of Harborcreek Township.

                 Natural Gas Facilities

                 Natural gas services in Harborcreek Township are provided by the
                 National Fuel Gas Corporation (National Fuel). The densely developed
                 areas within the Township are generally served and have been for many
                 years.   The extension of natural gas facilities by National Fuel will
                 likely continue to occur pursuant to demand. See the accompanying
                 Natural Gas Distribution System Map.





























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 I                               PUBLIC WATER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM MAP
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 I                                             APPENDIX
 I                                              TO THE
                                       1994 BACKGROUND ANALYSIS
                                                FOR THE
 I                             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
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                      HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
 
                      DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS
                                AND
                     POPULATION PROJECTIONS
                               REPORT
 
                         OCTOBER 1994
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 








                                                     TABLE OF CONTENTS




                1.      Historic Trends    .........................................                                I
                               Sub-Municipal Analysis       .......................                  * * * ' * * * *2

                11.     Social. Characteristics   .....................................                             3
                               Age and Gender       ....................................                            3
                               Race and Edinicity       ...................................                         5
                               Households and Families       ...............................                        7


                III.    Economic Characteristics      ...................................                           9

                IV.     Population Projections    ....................................                             15
                               Tract Level Projection Analysis        .........................                    18

                V.      Policy Implications      .....................................                             21

                                                               Tables
                Table 1 - Comparative Growth Rates - 1 *980-1990 - Harborcreek Township and
                           Surrounding Municipalities     .............                                             2
                Table 2 - Comparative Age by Proportion - Selected Pennsylvania Places            ..........        3
                Table 3 - Male/Female Population by Proportion - Selected Pennsylvania Places            ......     4
                Table 4 - Harborcreek Township: 1990 Population by Age/Sex              ................            4
                Table 5 - Harborcreek Township - 1980-1990 - Population Proportion By Race               ......     5
                Table 6 - Harborcreek Township - Census Tracts: Race by Proportion              ...........         6
                Table 7 - Harborcreek Township - 1980-1990 - Household Number and Persons
                           Per Household       .......................................                              7
                Table 8 - Household Structure for Selected Household Types - Harborcreek
                           Township       ..........................................                                8
                Table 9 - Group Quarters - Harborcreek Township - 1980-1990             ................            9
                Table 10 - Household Income in Harborcreek Township Compared Using the Consumer
                           Price Index (CPI)       .....................................                           10
                Table 11 - HUD L1W Limits in Erie County            ..........................                     14
                Table 12 - LW Concentration by Census Tract, Harborcreek Township                ..........        15
                Table 13 - Harborcreek Township, Zero Net Migration - 1960-2010              ............          16
                Table 14 - Harborcreek Township, Population Projection: High Scenario             .........        16
                Table 15 - Harborcreek Township, Population Projection: Low Scenario              .........        17
                Table 16 - Harborcreek Township, Population Projection: Long-Term Scenario               .....     18
                Table 17 - Harborcreek Township, Tract Level -Population Projections           ...........         19
                Table 18 - Comparative Population Projection - Harborcreek Township - 1990-2010                    20

                                                                Maps

                Map of 1990 Census Tracts       ..............................                       Follows Page 6










                                YURBORCREEK TOWNSHIP DEMOGRAPHICS


                                               1. HISTORIC TRENDS



              Unlike many places in Northwestern Pennsylvania, Harborcreek Township has
              experienced continuous growth since 1930. Much of this growth is related to the
              Township's strategic position within the Erie Metropolitan Area.                Since 1950,
              Harborcreek has been a primary beneficiary of out-migration from the City of Erie. In
              1950, the City'of Erie had 130,803 persons, while Harborcreek Township had 7,475
              persons.    By 1990, the City had declined to 108,718 persons (-16.9%), while
              Harborcreek had expanded to include 15,108 persons (+ 102.1            A comparison of-this
              is depicted in the chart.



                                         COMPARME POPULAMN CHANGE 1950-19M
                                        HARBORCREEK TWP. AND CITY OF ERIE
                                    140-


                                    120-


                                    100-


                                     80.


                                     60-


                                     40-


                                     20
                                                   1%0      1970              im
                                       0


                                    HARBORCREEK TW - CITY OF ERIE       MILLCREEK TWP.



              Obviously, Harborcreek was not the sole beneficiary of out-migration from the City of
              Erie. Millcreek Township has seen suburban growth. However, even traditionally high
              growth communities were affected by the regional economic problems of the early 1980s.
              Places like Harborcreek, which had seen 7 to 20 percent, growth between each Census
              only experienced 2 to 3 percent from 1980 to 1990.                  Traditionally, declining
              municipalities had accelerated losses.









                                                   TABLE 1
                              COMPARATIVE GROWTH RATES - 1980-1990
                  HARBORCREEK TOWNSIRE AND SURROUNDING MUNICIPALITIES

                                                     1980         1990           % ChanN

            City of Erie                            119,123       108,718           -8.7%
            Millcreek Township                       44,303        46,820          +5.7%
            Harborcreek Township                     14t644        159108          +3.2%
            Lawrence Park Township                    4,584        4,310            -6.0%
            Wesleyville Borough                       3,998        3,665            -8.6%
            North East Township                       5,750        6,283           +9.3%
            Greenfield Township                       1,677        1,770           +5.5%
            Greene Township                           5,238        4,759            -5.3%


            Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1980-1990


            As a result of 1990 Census analysis, Erie City remains the Commonwealth's third largest
            municipality. Harborcreek is the twenty-first largest. However, in the context of Erie
            County, Harborcreek is the third largest community, following only Millcreek and the
            City of Erie. Spatially, this explains Harborcreek's truly suburban role in the County,
            with truly urbanized places to the west and rural communities to the east and south.

            Sub-Municipal Analysis:       It is difficult to examine census tract population in
            Harborcreek prior to 1990 because of delineation changes. In 1980, Harborcreek was
            divided into two census tracts. For the 1990 Census, the number of tracts was increased
            to four. Population estimates of the pre-1990 population of each tract are included in
            Section IV.


            Harborcreek has indeed had significant growth over the past 40 years. Yet, this growth
            slowed dramatically during the 1980s. There is an obvious link between economics and
            demographics in this case.

            The post-World War II years represented a time of transition in American urban
            structure. The automobile allowed middle-class households great flexibility in choosing
            a place to live. Once given a choice, families chose the newer homes and larger yards
            of the suburbs. It is this trend that began to cause the growth of Harborcreek's
            population and the corresponding decline in the City of Erie.


                                                       2








            The outstanding element of this migration is that it often cut across economic class and
            ethnic lines. Millworkers were as likely to join this migration as businessmen. All who
            could afford to relocate were anxious to live in places like Harborcreek.

            The early 1980s brought double-digit unemployment and major restructuring of industry
            in the Erie area. This changed migration patterns radically. Many persons left
            Northwestern Pennsylvania in search of jobs elsewhere. This regional trend affected
            Harborcreek by slowing in-migration. There was simply a smaller pool of persons with
            both the means and inclination to live in Harborcreek.

            It is hoped that the population trends of the 1980s were a temporal anomaly. This
            assumption has been made and will be discussed further in the Population Projections
            section.


                                      H. SOCUL CHARACTERISTICS

            Age and Gender: Because of a common life-span disparity between men and women,
            these two social characteristics are often linked. Generally, populations with more older
            persons will also have more females. This is also true in the inverse, with younger
            populations having greater number of males.

            The aforementioned trend is more important because a general aging of the population
            has been noted in Pennsylvania. However, it is interesting to note that Harborcreek and
            Erie County, as a whole, have not paralleled the State in this trend.

                                                    TABLE 2
                                   COMPARATIVE AGE BY PROPORTION
                                   SELECTED PENNSYLVANIA PLACES


                                                         Age Groups

              Place                         0-17                 18-64                65+

            Pennsylvania                    23.5                 61.1                 15.4
            Erie County                     25.9                 60.3                 13.8
            Harborcreek Township            25.3                 62.0                 12.7



            Source: Penn State Data Center





                                                        3







                   In real numbers, these proportions give Harborcreek 3,827 school-aged children, 9,368
                   worldng age adults, and 1,913 retirement-age adults. This data would seem to indicate
                   a more even gender split, as is shown in the next table.

                                                                              TABLE 3
                                               MALE/FEMALE POPULATION BY PROPORTION
                                                   SE@LECTED PENNSY ANIA PLACES - 1990


                                                                                          Fem                            Male


                             Pennsylvania                                                 52.1                           47.9
                             Erie County                                                  51.7                           48.3
                             Harborcreek Township                                         50.2                           49.8



                   Source       Penn State Data Center



                   Finally, for micro-planning purposes and the development of population projections, age
                   and gender, by 5-year cohorts, is presented.


                                                                                TABLE 4
                                                  HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP: 1990 POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                                                     1980-90             1980-90              198G-90
                   Age of                   1990        1990           1990          % of            Change              Change               Change
                   Cohort                   Total      Male            Female         Total          -Total                Male                Female

                        0-4                   798       415                383           5.3%              (223)               (113)                (110)
                        5-9                 1,120       560                560           7.4%              (28)                (35)                    7
                      10-14                 1,173       602                571           7.8%              (189)               (84)                 (105)
                      15-19                 1,704       893                811           11.3%             (155)               (80)                 (75)
                      20-24                 1,240       761                479           8.2%              62                  129                  (67)
                      25-29                   759       352                407           5.0%              (355)               (179)                (176)
                      30-34                 1,097       535                562           7.3%              88                  44                   44
                      35-39                 1,264       628                636           8.4%              286                 120                  166
                      40-44                 1,051       505                546           7.0%              322                 163                  159
                      45-49                   917       487                430           6*1%              172                 116                  56
                      50-54                   665       311                354           4.4%              (188)               (93)                 (95)
                      55-59                   645       318                327           4.3%              (135)               (74)                 (61)
                      60-64                   762       359                403           5.0%              129                 31                   98
                      61-69                   648       321                327           4*3%              210                 122                  88
                      70-74                   524       228                296           3.5%              209                 98                   ill
                      75-79                   342       131                211           2.3%              129                 51                   78
                      80-84                   223         65               158           1.5%              72                  17                   55
                        85+                   176         51               125           1.2%              -58                 12                   46

                        Totals             15,108      7,522             7,586         100.0%              464                 245                  219


                        Percent            100.0%     49.8%             50.2%             N.A.          100.0%                 52.9%             47.2%



                   Source: Consultants' computations from 1990 Census data


                                                                                    4








             Table 4 shows fewer parallels to Statewide trends. The number of elderly persons grew,
             but simply not at the accelerated rate experienced by the State. The number of children
             and young adults declined, but less so than was true for the whole of Pennsylvania.
             Because of these changes, Harborcreek Township remains a much younger and more
             gender balanced community than the Statewide norm.

             Race and Ethnicity: Many demographers believe that the ethnic and racial diversity
             which have historically characterized the United States will continue to broaden. Overall,
             the numbers of racial minorities have expanded in recent years across the nation.
             However, many rural or suburban places remain predominantly White. As of 1990,
             14@746 (97.7%) of the Township's residents are White, while 362 (2.3%) are racial
             minorities. A comparison of 1980 and 1990 racial,counts is depicted below, by
             proportion.

                                                      TABLE 5
                                    HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP - 1980-1990
                                     POPULATION PROPORTION BY RACE



                                                                           1980                 1990


                    White                                                   98.4%                 97.7%
                    Black                                                   1.0%                  1.6%
                    Asian/Pacific Islander                                  0.2%                  0.4%
                    American Indian/Aleut                                   0.2%                  0.0%
                    Other Race                                              0.2%                  0.3%
                                          Total                            100.0%               100.0%



             Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, STF-1 Files


             It should be noted that these numbers are not strictly comparable, particularly in ter mis
             of the "Other Race" category, due to changes in social definition by the Census Bureau.
             In spite of this, there is an overall constancy in racial distribution through the 1980s. The
             slight rise in Black and Asian populations parallels the national trends of suburbanization
             of the Black middle class and increased immigration from Asia. The decline in American
             Indians represents a typical problem with self-identification of racial or ethnic groups.
             The Census Bureau believes there is substantial over-reporting for American Indian
             descent. For example, it is not uncommon for persons with a single Indian ancestor to
             identify strongly with that racial group.

                                                           5








             In a similar manner, Hispanic groups present a delineation problem. Technically,
             "Hispanic" identifies linguistic, ethnic, and national groups. There are Hispanic persons
             representing all races. However, many persons of this group regard it as their race as
             well. To try to fiffly tabulate these persons, the Census Bureau asks specifically whether
             persons are of Hispanic origin. In 1980, 31 persons in Harborcreek answered "yes." By
             1990, this had risen to 83. This increase equates to a nationwide increase of Hispanic
             persons. This population is comprised primarily of Puerto Ricans.

             When ancestry issues beyond race and Hispanic origin are addressed, the sea of data
             becomes even more muddled. There was also a major change in tabulation methods
             between 1980 and 1990, maldng direct comparison very difficult. At best, some
             generalities can be drawn from 1990 data.

             Overall, the most common ancestry claimed was German. Over 9,100 Township
             residents claimed at least some German blood. Other major ancestries included Polish
             (4,126 claimants), Irish (3,480 claimants), English (2,358 claimants), and Italian (2,370
             claimants). Virtually, every other ethnic group has at least a handful of representatives
             in the Township. In a typical suburban pattern, there are no discernable racial or ethnic
             enclaves or settlement patterns.

             This lack of discernable pattern is most visible by examining this data by census tract.
             A map of census tracts in 1990 is also attached. The 1980 Census Tracts were split to
             create the 1990 Tracts. Thus, 115.03 and 115.04 were a single tract in 1980, as were
             115.05 and 115.06.


                                                     TABLE 6
                                          HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                 CEN5!15 TRACTS: R-ACE BY PROPORTION

                                       C.T.          C.T.         C.T.           C.T.
                                     115.03        115.         115.05        115.06             Range

             White                     97.92%        99.01%        98.01%       96.31%         1.35%
             Black                     1.23%         0.83%          1.06%        2.60%         0.88%
             Native American           0.06%         0.09%          0.19%        0.14%         0.06%
             Asian/Pacific
              Islander                 0.60%         0.05%          0.13%        0.63%         0.29%
             Other Race                0,18%         0. %           0,61%        0,32%         0.29%
                    Total             100.00%       100.00%       100.00%      100.00%           N.A.



             Source: U.S. Census of 1990 and consultants' computations



                                                         6


















                                                                                            JAY,% nis


                                                                                                   CAST LAKK
                                                                 114
                                                             LAWRENCE
                                                                  PARK                    115.03
                                                             TOWNSHIP

                                                               v An
                                   WESLEYVILLE
                                                                                                                              NOR FOLK  VCSTEAN RAILROAD
                                       BOROUGH                                                       I;UFFALO to.
                                                                    113


                                                                                  115-04             op
                                                                                                    .f
                                                                                                    or

                                                                                                                                                                                      4   OF 4
                                                                                                                             115.06
                                                                         Most



                                                                                              HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP




                1990 CENSUS TRACTS
                            SA'S COUNTY D"AMIXT Or PLAMMING
                                          logo








             Overall, there is very little difference in the racial breakdown between each census tract.
             This seems to indicate that race does not play a factor in the Township's internal
             settlement patterns.

             Households and Families: Humans typically live in social units. A knowledge of the
             nature of these social units assists planners in understanding impacts on housing and
             economics'.

             Nationwide, household and family size has been falling. Households of one or two
             persons were much more common in 1990 than 1980.

                                                     TABLE 7
                                   HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP - 1980-1990
                        HQjjSEHQLD MMBER AkM RE-RSQNS PER HQUSEUQLD



                                                                                    Persons
                                         Number of            Number                  Per
                    Year                 Households           of Persons           Households


                    1980                  41,483                14,644               3.07*
                    1990                  4,912                 15,108               2.80*


             *Calculated as population - group quarters/number of households

             Source: 1980 and 1990 Census, STF-1


             Table 7 shows that total population in Harborcreek rose modestly (3.2%) in the 1980s.
             However, the number of households grew a dramatic 9.5 percent. This simply means
             that fewer persons will require more housing units.

             Clues to this trend can be found in a number of household structural characteristics. The
             Township had 3,692 family households in 1980. This increased to only 3,790 in 1990.
             Therefore, there was an identifiable increase in the proportion of non-family households.
             Further structural analysis is detailed in Table 8.





                                                          7









                                                    TABLE 8
                   HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE FOR SELECTED HOUSEHOLD TYPES
                                   HAUQRCREEK 1:QWNSHIP - 19@0-1990

                                                                                         No.
                                                               1980          1990       Changg

            Householder Living Alone                             692          992        +300
            Married Couples Without Children                   1,466        1,692        +226
            Married Couples With Children                      1,801        1,652        +149
            Single Parents With Children                         224          239          +15
            Non-Family, Multi-Person Household                    99          130          +31


            Source: U.S. Census, STF-1, 1980-1990


            It is readily discemable that the smaller form of households grew. This is due to aging
            of the population, divorce trends, and the decline in births that followed the baby boom,
            and a general decline in the traditional extended family or large nuclear family
            households. In the future, this trend will probably continue, though with less dramatic
            momentum.


            Some Township residents occupy group quarters rather than households. Group quarters
            can include a variety of institutional and non-institutional facilities. Growth in group
            quarters population can be arbitrary and completely divorced from other trends in a
            community. This can be seen by comparing 1980 and 1990 residents of group quarters
            by type. The influence of Behrend College is obvious from the figure in Table 9.














                                                        8









                                                   TABLE .9
                                             GROUP QUARTERS
                                  ffLRBQgCREEK JOWNSHIP - 1980-1920

               Type of
            Group Quarters                              1980          1990              Change,

            Mental Hospital                               84             0                 -84
            Nursing Home                                 118          109                    -9
            Juvenile Detention                             0          100               +100
            College Dormitory                            567         1,014              +447
            Other Group Quarters                          96          131                 +35
                          Total                          865         1,354              +489


            Source: U.S. Census Bureau, STF-1


            Overall, the number of group quarter residents can be expected to grow over the next 10
            to 20 years. Nursing home and college dormitories, capacity will probably see specific
            expansions.

                                   M. ECONONUC CELARACTERISTICS


            Median household income (MHI) represents one of the most basic indicators of local
            economic performance. Like many suburban places, Harborcreek Township enjoys a
            relatively high median. The 1989 median household income for the Township was
            $32,670 per year; $10,000 higher than the Erie City median of $22,032. It is also
            significantly higher than the Countywide median of $26,581 per annum. The Township
            has even surpassed the Statewide figure of $29,069 per year. The Table inflates the 1979
            median household income to 1989 values using a factor based upon the Consumer Price
            Index. The results are a little surprising.

            In spite of this encouraging trend, the median income in Harborcreek Township did not
            remain at pace with inflation from 1980 to 1990.








                                                        9







                                                TABLE 10
                        HOUSEHOLD INCOME IN HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                       COMPARED USING THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CM

            Actual              Adjusted     Actual        Actual      Percent      Non-Adjusted
            1979 MHI           1979 MHI 1989 MHI        Difference Difference      Difference

            $20,029             $33,569     $32,670      _$899         -2.7%         +63.1%


            Source: Consultants' computations


            Table 9 shows the 1979 median household income in terms of constant dollar buying
            power (adjusted 1979 MHI). This number is actually higher than the 1989 MIR. The
            implication is that even though the median income rose 63.1 percent, the real buying
            power of these dollars is significantly less than was found in the 1980 Census.

            The household income of Harborcreek Township residents vary by the age of
            householders. Overall, very young or very old heads of household are more likely to
            have lower incomes. Middle-age households tend to have higher incomes. It is very
            possible that this was a factor in the charted decline in buying power.

            Among households headed by someone age 15-24, none enjoyed an income greater than
            $50,000 per year. This pattern is very common form younger wage earners.


                                       HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                      HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 15-24 AGE COHORT

                                 45


                                 40--



                               0
                               x
                               W
                               to
                               =)
                               0
                               x
                               LL 2o.
                               0
                               cc
                               '11 15-
                               ca
                               :3 10
                               z

                                   5.


                                      0$0-9K $10-15K $15-25K $25-44% S35WK $50-75K $75K+










                                                     10








                A majority of persons in this young age cohort have annual inco                     mes of less than $25,000
                per year.

                Persons 25-34 are shown as beginning to break into upper income levels. However, 27
                percent of this cohort still have incomes under $25,OW per annum.



                                                 HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                                HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 25-34 AGE COHORT




                                        2W-




                                        iso-



                                        100-
                                        50      FA                                          W1117A
                                          0     $"K            $15-25K $25-35K'$3S-50K*$60-7SK' $75K+



                The 35-44 age group closely mirrors the 25-34 cohort, though more 35-44 householders
                have achieved high incomes.


                                                  HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                        4W-      HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 35-44 AGE COHORT
                                        4W-


                                        3W-


                                        3W


                                        250


                                        200-


                                        150-


                                        100.


                                          50'


                                            0
                                                  W9K    $10-16K $15-25K $264SK'M-50K $60-76K $75K+








                     The 45-54 householders begin to show maximum income levels. Only 9 percent of these
                     households have incomes below $25,WO per year.


                                                               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                                             HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 45-54 AGE COHORT

                                                    3W-



                                                    2W-



                                                    200-



                                                    150-



                                                    100.



                                                    so-



                                                      0-
                                                              $0-9K   $10-16K $16-25K'$25--WASK $3S-SOK'$50-76,K



                     As heads of household approach retirement, incomes begin to fall. This probably reflects
                     a number of early retirees.



                                                           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                                         HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 55-64 AGE COHORT

                                               180.


                                               160-


                                               140-


                                               120-


                                               100-









                                                 20


                                                  0                                      ...
                                                          $0-9K    $10-15K $15-25K $25-35K $3S-SOK $;0-













                                                                                         12










                  This trend is more visible among householders age 65-74.


                                                       HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                                      HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 65-74 AGE COHORT

                                            300-



                                            250-



                                            200-



                                            150-



                                            100-



                                             So-

                                              0-t     $04




                  Finally, among the elderly (75                           income levels mirror those of very young
                  householders.



                                                      HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                            200-      HOUSEHOLD INCOME: 75+ AGE COHORT

                                            180-

                                            160-

                                            140-

                                            120-

                                            100-

                                             so-

                                             60-

                                             40-

                                             20-
                                              0-      $0-9K  $10-15K $15-25K'$25-WK'$-3S,50K'$50-75K' $75K+
                                                                      5 25K @$2S,15K $35-WK
                                                      $"K $10-15K $1






















































                                                                               13








             Income in Harborcreek Township is quite pyramidal. Young households earn less
             money, but earnings increase with age to a middle age apex. As persons reach traditional
             retirement age, income declines significantly.

             Finally, to deduce any spacial trends, the HUD LMI (low-moderate income) statistics
             were consulted. This statistic is a central feature of the CDBG Program and can be used
             as an index of sub-municipal economic performance. To qualify as low or moderate
             income, the household must fall below the current income limits shown in Table 11.


                                                   TABLE 11
                      Persons      JUM _LMI LIM11S IN ERIE COLJNTY
                   Per Household                                      Income Limits


                         1                                                $20,000
                         2                                                $22,850
                         3                                                $25,700
                         4                                                $28,550
                         5                                                $30,850
                         6                                                $33,150
                         7                                                $35,400
                8 or More                                                 $37P700


             Source: Pennsylvania Department of Community Affairs


             Township-wide, only 23.76 percent of Harborcreek residents fall below these limits.
             Tract analysis information in Table 12 shows no significant concentration of LMI
             households.















                                                        14









                                                      TABLE 12
                                  LMI CONCENTRATION BY CENSUS TRACT
                                            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP


                            Tract                                   LM1
                            Numb                                  Proportion

                            115.03                                  27.26%
                            115.04                                  20.55%
                            115.05                                  28.34%
                            115.06                                  23.17%



             Source: Pennsylvania Department of Community Affairs


                                       IV. POPULATION PROJECTIONS

             One of the main objectives in collecting demographic data is to attempt a forecast of
             future population. Population projections are not crystal balls; they are merely an attempt
             to logically carry past and current trends into the future.

             Certain key demographic data are essential for projections. An understanding of the age
             structure of the population is used to forecast mortality. Gender analysis can determine
             both mortality and the population's potential for natural increase through child birth. Past
             migration trends are also helpful to understand underlying factors of community change.

             The full analysis of population projections is made on five-year age/sex cohorts. Because
             it typically involves about 50 pages of spreadsheet calculations, the full projection printout
             is not included in this report. A full copy of the projection series calculations is available
             from Harborcreek Township.

             The first population projection is based upon a zero net migration scenario. This scenario
             simply assumes that the 1990 population would reproduce and die, without any in- or out-
             migration.








                                                           15








                                                   TABLE 13
                                         HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                    ZERO NET MLG_RATION - 1960-2010

                    Year                PMulation                  Change                 % Change

                    1960                10,569                        282                    7.8%
                    1970                12,038                     19469                    13.9%
                    1980                14,644                     29606                    21.6%
                    1990                15,108                        464                    3.2%
                    2000                15,114                          6                    0.0%
                    2010                14,831                      (283)                   -1.9%



             Source: Consultants' computations


             As this scenario plays out, it shows that the Township's population would be almost
             completely static from 1990 to 2000, and declines slightly from 2000 to 2010. This
             decline is due to a general aging of the population and a lowering of birth rates.

             As the historic data shows, the 1970 to 1980 decade was a time of significant growth for
             the Township. Table 14 shows if that high rate of in-migration were applied to the post-
             1990 population.

                                                   TABLE 14
                                         HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                              PQLI                          N: HIGH SCENARIO
                                    &ATION PROJECTIO

                    Year                Ppyulatio                  Change                % Cha=


                    1960                10,569                         282                   7.8%
                    1970                12,038                      1,469                   13.9%
                    1980                14,644                      29606                   21.6%
                    1990                15,108                         464                   3.2%
                    2000                18,523                      3,415                   22.6%
                    2010                22,201                      3,678                   19.9%



             Source: Consultants' computations


                                                        16








             In this scenario, the 1980 to 1990 decade appears as an anomaly. The 3.2 percent
             population growth was only a slight interruption in a long-term pattern of higher growth.
             If the economic factors which slowed in-migration in the 1980s were applied to the
             future, population would resemble the numbers in Table 15.

                                                    TABLE 15
                                         HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                               POEULAMN PRQJECn0N: LQ3Y SCENARIQ

                    Year                ftpulatio                   Change              % Chan=

                    1960                10,569                         282                     7.8%
                    1970                12,038                       1,469                    13.9%
                    1980                14,644                       2,606                   21.6%
                    1990                15,312                         464                     3.2%
                    2000                15,312                        (204)                    1.3%
                    2010                14,938                        (374)                   -2.4%



             Source: Consultants' computations


             If the economic devastation of 1980 returned in the years 1990-2010, the Township would
             experience a slight population loss. However, the final project scenario in Table 16
             attempts to account for migration trends over a 20-year average. This longer term
             analysis tends to be a balancing factor, duffing extreme fluctuations.














                                                        17









                                                    TABLE 16
                                          HARBORCREEK TOWNSRUP
                          POEI&ATIQN PROJECU                LONG-TERM SCENAM
                                                      QN:

                    Year                 P=latio                    Change               % Chnn


                    1960                 10,569                       N.A.                  N.A.
                    1970                 12,038                       1,469                   13.9%
                    1980                 14,644                       2,606                   21.6%
                    1990                 15,108                         464                     3.2%
                    2000                 17,360                       2,252                   14.9%
                    2010                 19,440                       2,079                   12.0%


             Source: Consultants' computations


             From a purely statistical vantage, the long-term scenario is most likely. However, when
             each decade is examined upon its own merit, it becomes readily apparent that 1980-1990
             period interrupted the general pattern of growth. When this analysis is combined with
             building permit data and similar growth indicators, it is readily apparent that the
             Township's historic growth will probably continue.

             Tract Level Projection Analysis: Regardless of the projection scenario employed, it
             appears that Harborcreek Township will experience population growth into the next
             century. However, the divergence of each tract indicates that tract level refinement of
             this data may be in order. However, it should be noted that the previously mentioned
             difficulty with historical tract level comparisons is still applicable. Specifically, the
             delineation of tracts has changed since 1980. Therefore, the consultants were forced to
             make an estimate of pre-1980 data for the projection. Otherwise, these scenarios parallel
             the process used in developing the Township-wide projections. An attempt was made to
             link this mathematical material with known trends- in residential building pernuts and
             expansion programs envisioned by major group quarter providers (especially Behrend
             College). In spite of this, tract-level refinements can account for expected events in the
             Township's future. In this case, projected Behrend College enrollment and growth
             patterns from building permits were considered in developing the projection series. With
             this in mind, the tract level projections are shown in Table 17.



                                                         18











                                                                       TABLE 17
                                                            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
                                                  TRACT LEVEL PQPULATION ROJE TIQNS
                                                                                     E--_ C

                            Historical:                                            Projected:

              Tract         Do            1970          1980          1990         12K           2M            2005            2010

              115.03        21,719*       3,000*        3,,400*        3,320        3,573         3,830         3,900         39980

              115.04        3,550*        3,800*        4,301*         49239        4,533         4,830         5,030         5,230

              115.05        2,000*        2,300*        3,043*         3,112        3,260         3,400         3,590         3,780

              115.06        2,300*        2,938*        3,900*         49421        4,610         5,300         5,380         6,450



              *Estimated


              Source: Consultants' computations










                                                                           19









             Tract 115.03 is the northwest section of the Township. Building permit data for this area
             indicates continued residential growth at a relatively dense level. There is also a large
             nursing home facility which will remain constant and possibly experience slight growth
             to 2010. Tract 115.04 will probably experience even more growth in single-family,
             detached housing. Tract 115.05 is highly developed and may have less space to
             accommodate future growth. Tract 115.06 is the home of Behrend Campus of Penn
             State. It is estimated their dormitories will add group quarters for 250 students by 2000
             and another 750 by 2010.

             The tract level analysis also serves as a cross check for the validity of the municipal level
             projections. When the pure mathematical projections were refined to reflect expected
             future development, the tract analysis mirrors the most likely or long-term projection
             series.


                                                      TABLE 18
                                 COMPARATIVE POPULATION PROJECTION
                                    HARBQRCREEK TQ.WNSHIP - IL90-2010

                                                 1990                 2000                  2010


             All Tracts                          15,108                17,360               19,440

             Township                            159108                179360               199440


             Source: Consultants' computations


             The main tract level consists of the addition of 1,000 persons in Tract 115.06. This
             addition is wholly dependent upon an enrollment expansion by Behrend College. It is
             expected that the bulk of this increase will not be reflected in census counts until 2010.
             Even without the proposed expansion program by Behrend College, it is obvious that
             Harborcreek Township has a high potential for future growth. Its implications will be
             examined in the final section.










                                                          20









                                         V. POLICY DAPLICATIONS

             The implications of the preceding demographic data are far reaching, but can be
             summarized as follows:

                    10.    Harborcreek Township has seen a consistent trend of historic
                           growth. The growth has been largely due to in-migration
                           rather than natural increase. The Township should work to
                           preserve those features of the community which have made it
                           a popular place to locate.

                    0      Fewer retirement-age persons lessens the immediate need for
                           specific services oriented toward the elderly. However, there
                           are large numbers of working age adults within 10 to 20 years
                           of retirement. Proper preparations will increase the chance
                           that many of these persons remain to retire in the Township.

                           In spite of declines, significant numbers of children remain in
                           the Township.      With about one fourth of Harborcreek
                           residents under 18, there is a ready market for youth-oriented
                           services (playgrounds, parks, teen centers). The capacity of
                           current facilities should be carefully examined.

                    P.     The number of persons living in a group-quarter setting win
                           probably continue to expand in the future.

                           Household sizes and types are changing. Local regulations
                           should be examined to determine their adequacy for
                           facilitating the smaller household types that are becoming
                           more common. In particular, minimum unit sizes and
                           densities should be examined.

                    10.    'I"he Township will probably continue to grow through further
                           in-migration. Because of this impending growth, a number of
                           policies are recommended. First, the Township should take
                           advantage of the planning process to make policy decisions
                           about the location, intensity, and timing of future growth.
                           Specifically, portions of the Township could be reserved to
                           accommodate growth while others could be reserved for
                           traditional rural, low-density uses.


                                                         21





















                            APPENDIX A




               DETAIL DATA OF THE PROJECTION SERIES
                              FOR THE
                       HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP
         DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS AND POPULATION PROJECTIONS
                              REPORT









                                 HARBORCREEK                                       DATE: 10/11/94


        POPULAMON PROJECTIONS LOW SERIES                                         FIGURES ROUNDED





                                                                       1990-00    1990-00 1990-00
         AGE OF 2000*              2000*       2000*       % OF CHANGE            CHANGE       CHANGE
         COHORT TOTAL              MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL TOTAL             MALE        FEMALE
            0-4           601          311         290         3.9%        (197)      (104)          (93)
            5-9           875          454         422         5.7%        (245)      (106)        (138)
            10-14         917          480         437         6.0%        (256)      (122)        (134)
            15-19       1,912          972         940        12.5%        208          79           129
            2D-24       1,322          571         751         8.6%         82        (190)          272
            25-29         696          330         366         4.5%        (63)         (22)         (41)
            30-34       1,137          729         408         7.4%         40          194        (154)
            35-39         860          447         413         5.6%        (404)      (181)        (223)
            4044        1,143          540         603         7.5%         92          35            57
            45-49       1,184          615         569         7.7%        267          128          139
            50-54         959          463         495         6.3%        294          152          141
            55-59         793          418         375         5.20/o      148          100           48
            60-64         594          288         306         3.9%        (168)        (71)         (97)
            65-69         536          231         305         3.5%        (112)        (90)         (22)
            70-74         641          245         396         4.20/c      117          17           100
            75-79         500          192         308         3.3%        158          61            97
            8G-84         367          102         265         2.4%        144          37           107
            85+           275            74        201         1.8%         99          23            76
         TOTALS         15,312        7,461       7,851      100.0%        204          (61)         265
        PERCENT         100.0%       45.2%        54.8%      NA         10 0. (r/o    -30.0%      130.0%


         AGE OF         2000*      2000*                  AGE OF       1990-00     1990-00
         COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT     CHANGE      % CHNG
            0-4           601          3.9%                  0-4           (197)      -24.6%
            5-19        3,704        24.2%                  5-19           (293)      -7.3%
            20-34       3,155        20.6%                  20-34           59          1.9%
            35-64       5, 55M       36.1%                  35-64          229          4.3%
            65+         2,319        15.1%                  65+            406        21.2%
         TOTALS         15,312       100.0%               TOTALS           204          1.3%


        *LOW SERIES                                                                           POPROI






                                                                                          DATE: 10/11/94


                                                                                       FIGURES ROUNDED



                                                                            2000-10 2000-10 2000-10
           AGE OF 2010*               2010*        2010*         % OF CHANGE             CHANGE        CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE        FEMALE        TOTAL TOTAL               MALE         FEMALE
              0-4            510           264         246           3.4%         (91)         (47)          (44)
              5-9            779           404         375           5.20/c       (96)         (50)          (46)
              10-14          691           360         331           4. 651/o   (226)        (120)          (106)
              15-19        1,789           930         859          12.01/6     (123)          (42)          (81)
              20-24        1,344           698         646           9.0%         22           127          (105)
              25-29          679           313         366           4.5%         (17)         (17)            (0)
              30-34          998           566         432           6.7%       (139)        (163)             24
              35-39          789           420         370           5.3%         (71)         (27)          (43)
              40-          1,184           736         448           7.9%         41           196          (155)
              45-49          807           439         368           5.4%       (377)        (175)          (201)
              50-54        1,042           495         547           7.0%         83           32              52
              55-59        1,025           528         497           6.9%         231          110           121
              60-64          856           428         429           5.7%         262          139           123
              65-69          657           305         352           4.4%         121          74              47
              70-74          497           197         299           3.3%       (144)          (48)          (96)
              75-79          415           136         279           2.8%         (85)         (55)          (29)
              80-84          457           ill         346           3.1%         90           10              81
              85 +           419           110         309           2.8%         143          36            107
           TOTALS         14,938         7,439        7,498      100.0%         (374)          (22)         (352)
           PERCENT         100.0%        45.2%        54.8%       NA          100.0%           5.8%         94.2%


           AGE OF         2010*       2010*                    AGE OF        2000-10      2000-10
           COHORT        TOTAL           %                     COHORT       CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4            510           3.4%                   0-4             (91)       -15.1%
              5-19         3,259         21.8%                   5-19           (445)        -12.0%
              20-34        3,020         20.2%                   20-34          (134)        -4.3%
              35-64        5,703         38.20/a                 35-64            170          3.1%
              65+          2,445         16.4%                   65+              126          5.4%
           TOTALS         14,938        100.0%                 TOTALS           (374)        -2.4%


           *LOW SERIES                                                                                POPROI









                                                                     2









                                   HARBORCREEK                                       DATE: 10/11/94


         POPULATION PROJEC11ON MOST LIKELY SERIES                                  FIGURES ROUNDED





                                                                         1990-00     1990-00       1990-00
          AGE OF 2000*              2000*        2000*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE       CHANGE
         COHORT TOTAL               MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL TOTAL               MALE        FEMALE
             0-4            734          380         353         4.4%         (64)         (35)          (30)
             5-9            960          489         471         5.7%         (160)        (71)          (89)
             10-14        1,074          559         515         6.4%         (99)         (43)          (56)
             15-19        1,956          991         965        10.1%         252          98            154
             20-24        1,327          750         577         6.4%         87           (11)          98
             25-29        1,081          509         572         6.4%         322          1.57          165
             30-34        1,491          911         580         8.8%         394          376           18
             35-39        1,043          526         517         6.2%         (221)      (102)          (119)
             40-44        1,263          602         661         7.5%         212          97            115
             45-49        1,326          682         644         7.9%         409          195           214
             50-54        1,086          523         563         6.4%         421          212           209
             55-59          891          469         422         5.3%         246          151           95
             6G-64          630          299         331         3.7%         (132)        (60)          (72)
             65-69          558          256         302         3.3%         (90)         (65)          (25)
             70-74          664          257         408         3.9%         140          29            112
             75-79          570          229         341         3.4%         228          98            130
             80-84          404          119         286         2.4%         181          54            128
             85+            301            83        218         1.8%         125          32            93
          TOTALS         17,360        8,634        8,727      100.0%       2,252        1,112        1,141
         PERCENT         100.0%        45.2%       54.8%       NA          100.0%        49.4%        50.60/a


          AGE OF         2000*      2000*                   AGE OF       1990-00      1990-00
         COHORT         TOTAL          %                    COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
             0-4            734          4.20/o                0-4            (64)       -8.1%
             5-19         3,990        23.0%                  5-19              (7)      -0.2%
             20-34        3,899        22.5%                  20-34           803        25.9%
             35-64        6,239        35.9%                  35-64           935        17.6%
             65+          2,498        14.4%                  65+             585        30.6%
          TOTALS         17,360       100.0%                TOTALS          2,252        14.9%


         *MCST LIKELY                                                                            POPROI





                                                                 3







                                                                                       DATE: 10/11/94


                                                                                    FIGURES ROUNDED



                                                                          2000-10     2000-10 2000-10
          AGE OF 2010*              2010*        2010*        % OF CHANGE             CHANGE       CHANGE
          COHORT TOTAL               MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL TOTAL               MALE         FEMALE
             0-4            723          375         348          3.910/0       (11)         (6)           (5)
             5-9            994          506         488          5.4%          35           18            17
             10-14          992          515         478          5.4%          (82)        (44)           (38)
             15-19        1,969        1,010         959          8.0%          13           19            (6)
             20-24        1,492          733         759          5.4%          165         (17)           182
             25-29        1,091          496         595          5.9%          10          (13)           23
             30-34        1,301          751         550          7.1%        (190)       (160)            (30)
             35-39        1,494          763         730          8.1%          451         238            213
             40 44        1,715        1,030         685          9.3%          453         428            25
             45-49        1,100          573         527          6.0%         (226)      (108)          (118)
             50-54        1,311          62.6        685          7.1%          225         103            121
             55-59        1,295          660         635          7.0%          404         191            213
             60-64        1,035          506         529          5.6%          404         206            198
             65-69          771          380         391          4.2%          213         124            89
             70-74          551         .215         336          3.0%         (113)        (42)           (71)
             75-79          500          127         373          2.7%          (70)      (102)            32
             80-84          530          148         382          2.9%          125          29            96
             85+            577          288         288          3.1%          275         205            70
          TOTALS         19,440        9,701        9,739       100.0%       2,079        1,067         1,012
          PERCENT         100.0%        45.2%       54.8%       NA          100.0%        51.3%        48.7%


          AGE OF         2010*       2010*                   AGE OF       2000-10      2000-10
          COHORT        TOTAL           %                    COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
             0-4            723          3.7%                   0-4             (11)      -1.5%
             5-19         3,955         20.3%                   5-19            (34)      -0.9%
             2G-34        3,884         20.00/6                20-34            (15)      -0.4%
             35-64        7,949         40.9016                35-64          1,709       27.4%
             65+          2,929         15.1%                   65+             430       17.2%
          TOTALS         19,440        100.0%                TOTALS          2,079        12.0%


          *MOST LIKELY                                                                            POPROI








                                                                  4







                                       HARBORCREEK                                               DATE: 10/11 /94

           POPULATION PROJECTION HIGH SERIES                                                  FIGURES ROUNDED


                                                                  2000* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                                  1990-00 1990-00               1990-00
           AGE OF          2000*         2000*         2000*         % OF CHANGE                CHANGE         CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL                  MALE         FEMALE        TOTAL TOTAL                  MALE          FEMALE
              0-4              830            429           401           4.6%           32            14               18
              5-9              992            514           478           5.5%          (128)         (46)            (82)
             10-14           1,177            616           560           6.5%             4           14             (11)
             15-19           1,900          1,091           809           9.20/o        196           198               (2)
             2D-24           1,266            665           601           5.6%           26           (96)            122
             25-29           1,425            676           749           7.90/6        666           324             342
             30-34           1,779          1,140           638           9.9%          682           605               76
             35-39           1,175            610           564           6.5%          .(89)         (18)            (72)
             40-44           1,314            621           694           7.3%          263           116             148
             45-49           1,398            726           672           7.8%          481           239             242
             @@54            1,156            559           597           6.4%          491           248             243
             55-59             941            496           445           5.20/c        296           178             118
             60-64             631            306           325           3.5%          (131)         (53)            (78)
             65-69             548            236           312           3.0%          (100)         (85)            (15)
             70-74             650            249           401           3.61/o        126            21             105
             75-79             610            234           377           3.4%          268           103             166
             80-84             420            117           303           2.3%          197            52             145
             85+               311              83          228           1.7%          135            32             103,
           TOTALS          18,523           9,368         9,155        100.0%        3,415          1,846           1,569
           PERCENT. 100.00/c                45.2%         54.8%        NA            100.00/0       54.1%          45.9%


           AGE OF          2000*         2000*                      AGE OF         1990-00       199G-00
           COHORT TOTAL                     %                       COHORT        CHANGE       % CHNG
              0-4              830            4.5%                     0-4               32'          4.1%
             5-19            4,068          2 2. (r/c                 5-19              -71           1.8%
             20-34           4,470          24.1%                     20-34          1,374          44.4%
             35-64           6,615          35.7%                     35-64          1,311          24.7%
             65+             2,539          13.7%                     65+               626         32.7%
           TOTALS          18,523          100.0%                   TOTALS           3,415          22.6%


           *HIGH SERIES                                                                                      POPROI






                                                                          5







                                                                                                    DATE: 10/11/94


                                                                                                 FIGURES ROUNDED



                                                                                     2000-10       2000-10 2000-10
            AGE OF 2010*                   2010*         2010*           % OF CHANGE               CHANGE         CHANGE
            COHORT TOTAL                   MALE         FEMALE         TOTAL TOTAL                  MALE           FEMALE
                0-4              888            459           429           4.2%            57            30               28
                5-9            1,117            579           538           5.30/a         126            65               61
                10-14          1,233            642           591           5.8%            56            26               30
                15-19          1,972          1,027           945           6.90/0          72           (64)            136
                20-24          1,527            808           719           4.8%           261           143             118
                25-29          1,390            641           749           6.6%           (36)          (35)              (1)
                30-34          1,440-           816           623           6.8%          (33.q)        (324)            (15)
                35-39          2,221          1,180         1,041          10.5%        1,046            570             476
                40-44          2,142          1,332           810          10.1%           828           711             116
                45-49          1,304            710           594           6.2%           (93)          (15)            (78)
                50-54          1,455            691           764           6.9%           299           133             167
                55-59          1,444            744           760           6.8%           503           248             255
                60-64          1,108            553           555           5.2%           477           247             230
                65-69            800            371           429           3.8%           252           135             117
                70-74            537            213           324           2.5%          (112)          (35)            (77)
                75-79            529            173           356           2.5%           (81)          (60)            (21)
                80-84            525            128           397           2.5%           105            11               94
                85+              567            149           418           2.7%           256            66             190
            TOTALS            22,201       11,219          10,981        100.0%         3,678          1,851           1,827
            PERCENT          1 OO.Cr/o        50.5%         49.5%         NA            100.0%          50.3%          49.7%


            AGE OF           2010*         2010*                      AGE OF          2000-10       200040
            COHORT           TOTAL            %                        COHORT        CHANGE       % CHNG
                0-4              888            4.0%                      0-4               57           6.9%
                5-19           4,322          19.5%                      5-19              254           6.2%
                20-34          4,356          19.6%                      20-34             (114)        -2.5%
                35-64          9,675          4 3. Vlo                   35-64          3,061           46.3%
                65+            2,959          13.3%                      65+               420          16.5%
            TOTALS            22,201         100.0%                   TOTALS            3,678           19.9%

            *HIGH SERIES                                                                                         POPROI







                                                                            6








           HARBORCREEK                                                                         DATE: 10/11/94


           AIG/A ZERO NET MIGRATION
              YEAR          POP. CHANGE              % CHNG
              1960          1 0,-=49         282           7.8%
              1970          12,038         1,469           13.9%
              1980          14,644         2,606           21.6%
              1990          15,108           464           3.2%
              2000*         15,114               6         0.0%
              2010*         14,831           (283)         -1.9%

           AIG/A HIGHEST
              YEAR          POP.        CHANGE       % CHNG
              1960          10,569           282           7.8%
              1970          12,038         1,469           13.9%
              1980          14,644         2,606           21.6%
              1990          15,108           464           3.2%
              2000*         18,523         3,415           22.6%
              2010*         22,201         3,678           19.9%


           AIG/A MOST LIKELY
              YEAR          POP.        CHANGE       % CHNG
              1960          10,569           282           7.8%
              1970          12,038         1,469           13.9%
              1980          14,644         2,606           21.6%
              1990          15,108           464           3.20/6
              2000*         17,360         2,252           14.90/6
              2010*         19,440         Z079            12.0%


           AIG/A LOWEST
              YEAR          POP.        CHANGE       % CHNG
              1960          10,569           282           7.8%
              1970          12,038         1,469           13.90/6
              1980          14,644         2,606           21.6%
              1990          15,108           464           3.20/c
              2000*         15,312           204           1.3%
              2010*         14,938           (374)         -2.4%









                                                                        7





















                            APPENDIX B



       GENERAL DATA OF THE BACKGROUND AND  PROJECTION SERIES
               FOR THE HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP PORTION
                              OF THE
                 ERIE COUNTY DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS
                              REPORT










          HARBCREK            A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                          PAGElA


         REPORT A             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                         DATE:     7/26/94


         HARBORCREEK                                1970 POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                     5-YEAR    AGE OF       1970      1970       1970      % OF
                   OF BIRTH COHORT TOTAL*             MALE*   FEMALE*      TOTAL
                     1966-70      0-4         984        492        492       8.2%
                     1961-65      5-9         1,343      690        653      11.2%
                     1956-60      10-14       1,448      749        699      12.0%
                     1951-55      15-19       1,419      747        672      11.8%
                     1946-50      20-24       763        349        414       6.3%
                     1941-45      25-29       673        312        361       5.6%
                     1936-40      30-34       648        314        334       5.4%
                     1931-35      35-39       719        342        377       6.0%
                     1926-30      40-44       826        389        437       6.9%
                     1921-25      45-49       809        410        399       6.7%
                     1916-20      50-54       709        355        354       5.9%
                     1911-15      55-59       552        285        267       4.6%
                     1906-10      60-64       398        200        198       3.3%
                     1901-05      65-69       240        117        123       2.0%
                     1896-00      70-74       207        100        107       1.7%
                     1891-95      75-79       145          64         81      1.2%
                     1886-90      80-84          95        35         60      0.8%
                     1860-85      85+            60        25         35      0.5%
                               TOTALS       12,038      5,975     6,063      100.0%
                              PERCENT 100.0%            49.6%     50.4%      NA
                                                      YEAR       POP.      CHANGE   % CHNG
          AGE OF      1970        1970                1900        1,687      NA         NA
         COHORT TOTAL             %                   1910        2,074       387       22.9%
            0-4           984        8.2%             1920**      2.212       138        6.7%
            5-19        4,210     35.0%               1930        2,890       678       30.7%
            20-34       2,084     17.3%               1940        3,602       712       24.6%
            35-64       4,013     33.3%               1950        7,475      3,873      107.5%
            65+           747        6.2%             1960       10,569      3,094      41.4%
          TOTALS       12,038     100.0%              1970       12,038      1,469      13.9%
                                                      1975       13,341      1,303      10.8%
                                                      1980       14,644      1,303       9.8%
         SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS 1970                     1985       14,876       232        1.6%
         *ERIE CO. POPULATION ANALYSIS ('72).         1990       15,108       232        1.6%
            WELSEYVILLE B. FROM MILLCREEK & HARBORCREEK - 1912                       POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                 PAGE 2A


           REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94




           HARBORCREEK                                     1980 POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1970-80 1970-80 1970-80
           AGE OF         1980        1980        1980        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE      FEMALE       TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4         1,021          528         493         7.0%         37           36             1
              5-9         1,148          595         553         7.8%        (195)        (95)        (100)
              10-14       1,362          686         676         9.3%         (86)        (63)        (23)
              15-19       1,859          973         886        12.7%         440         226         214
              20-24       1,178          632         546         8.0%         415         283         132
              25-29       1,114          531         583         7.6%         441         219         222
              30-34       1,009          491         518         6.9%         361         177         184
              35-39         978          508         470         6.7%         259         166          93
              40-44         729          342         387         5.0%         (97)        (47)        (50)
              45-49         745          371         374         5.1%         (64)        (39)        (25)
              50-54         853          404         449         5.8%         144          49          95
              55-59         780          392         388         5.3%         228         107         121
              60-64         633          328         305         4.3%         235         128         107
              65-69         438          199         239         3.0%         198          82         116
              70-74         315          130         185         2.2%         108          30          78
              75-79         213            80        133         1.5%         68           16          52
              80-84         151            48        103         1.0%         56           13          43
              85+           118            39          79        0.8%         58           14          44
           TOTALS         14,644       7,277        7,367     100.0%       2,606        1,302        1,304
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.7%       50.3%       NA         100.0%        50.0%       50.0%


           AGE OF         1980        1980                  AGE OF       1970-80     1970-80
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4         1,021          7.0%                  0-4            37          3.8%
              5-19        4,369        29.8%                  5-19            159         3.8%
              20-34       3,301        22.5%                  20-34        1,217        58.4%
              35-64       4,718        32.2%                  35-64           705       17.6%
              65+                        8.4%                 65+             488       65.3%
           TOTALS         14,644       100.0%               TOTALS         2,606        21.6%


           SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS 1980                                                             POPROI










            HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE3A


            REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94




            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                           1990 POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                         1980-90 1980-90 1980-90
            AGE OF         1990       1990        1990        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
            COHORT. TOTAL            MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL       TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
               0-4           798         415          383         5.3%        (223)      (113)       (110)
               5-9         1,120         560          560         7.4%        (28)         (35)           7
               10-14       1,173         602          571         7.8%        (189)        (84)      (105)
               15-19       1,704         893          811        11.3%        (155)        (80)        (75)
               20-24       1,240         761          479         8.2%         62          129         (67)
               25-29         759         352          407         5.0%        (355)      (179)       (176)
               30-34       1,097         535          562         7.3%         88           44          44
               35-39       1,264         628          636         8.4%        286          120         166
               40-44       1,051         505          546         7.0%        322          163         159
               45-49         917         487          430         6.1%        172          116          56
               50-54         665         311          354         4.4%        (188)        (93)        (95)
               55-59         645         318          327         4.3%        (135)        (74)        (61)
               60-64         762         359          403         5.0%        129           31          98
               65-69         648         321          327         4.3%        210          122          88
               70-74         524         228          296         3.5%        209           98         ill
               75-79         342         131          211         2.3%        129           51          78
               80-84         223            65        158         1.5%         72           17          55
               85+           176            51        125         1.2%         58           12          46
            TOTALS         15,108       7,522        7,586      100.0%        464          245         219
            PERCENT        100.0%       49.8%       50.2%       NA         100.0%        52.8%       47.2%


            AGE OF         1990       1990                   AGE OF       1980-90     1980-90
            COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
               0-4           798         5.3%                   0-4           (223)      -21.8%
               5-19        3,997        26.5%                  5-19           (372)      -8.5%
               20-34       3,096        20.5%                 20-34           (205)      -6.2%
               35-64       5,304        35.1%                 35-64           586        12.4%
               65+         1,913        12.7%                  65+            678        54.9%
            TOTALS         15,108       100.0%                TOTALS.         464          3.2%


            SOURCE: U.S. CENSUS 1990                                                             POPROI










          HARBCREK                  A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                     PAGE 4A


          REPORT A                  HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                 DATE:       7/26/94


                         NUMBER       BIRTH NUMBER             DEATH BIRTHS-           % DEATHS
             YEAR         BIRTHS      RATE* DEATHS              RATE* DEATHS           OF BIRTHS
             1970             166        13.8%           83         6.9%          83        50.0%
             1971 **          177        14.7%           80         6.6%          97        45.2%
             1972**           144        12.0%           86         7.1%          58        59.7%
             1973**           136        11.3%           79         6.6%          57        58.1%
             1974**           151        12.5%           88         7.3%          63        58.3%
             1975**           150        11.2%           90         6.7%          60        60.0%
             1976**           163        12.20/6       100          7.50/6        63        612%
             1977**           152        11.4%           77         5.8%          75        50.7%
             1978**           173        13.00/6         86         6.4%          87        49.7%
             1979**           144        10.8%           90         6.7%          54        62.5%
             1980             156        10.7%         101          6.9%          55        64.7%
             1981 **          163        11.1%           92         6.3%          71        56.4%
             1982**           155        10.6%           97         6.6%          58        62.6%
             1983**           155        10.6%           99         6.8%          56        63.9%
             1984**           166        11.3%         123          8.4%          43        74.1%
             1985**           141          9.5%        116          7.8%          25        82.3%
             1986**           110          7.4%        122          8.2%          (12)     110.9%
             1987**             94         6.3%        115          7.7%          (21)     122.3%
             1988**           103          6.9%        115          7.7%          (12)     111.7%
             1989**           126          8.5%        117          7.9%             9      92.9%
             1990             109          7.2%        113          7.5%            (4)    103.7%
             1970-89        2,925        NA           1,956       NA              969       66.9%


                          1970-79     1980-89     %CHANG        1970-89      AVG.
                          AVG.         AVG.         AVG.         AVG.       DEATHS/
                          BIRTHS       BIRTHS      BIRTHS      BIRTHS BIRTHS
                             155.6       136.9        -12.0%       146.3        66.9%
                         DEATHS       DEATHS       DEATHS       DEATHS
                              85.9       109.7         27.7%        97.8


                       NATURAL CHANGE                                     MIGRATION 1970-90
                        CHANGE % CHNG                                      CHANGE RATE
             1970-79          697          5.8%                 1970-80         1,909       15.9%
             1980-89          272          1.9%                 1980-90           192          1.3%
          *STATE DATA CENTER (RATES PER 1,000)
          "RATES ARE BASED ON A/G/A ESTIMATED POPULATION                                             POPROI










          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                            PAGE5A


          REPORT A             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                          DATE:     7/26/94


          5-YEAR SURVIVAL RATES                        FEMALE       1990      1990       FERT.
                                                      COHORT BIRTHS             %       RATE#
          AGE OF       MALE      FEMALE                 10-14            0       0.0%       0.0%
          COHORT RATES*          RATES*                 15-19          10        9.2%      12.3%
          BIRTHS       0.9853     0.9879                20-24          27       24.8%      56.4%
             0-4       0.9975     0.9979                25-29          34       31.2%      83.5%
             5-9       0.9988     0.9991                30-34          27       24.8%      48.0%
             10-14     0.9964     0.9988                35-39            9       8.3%      14.2%
             15-19     0.9925     0.9978                40-44            2       1.8%       3.7%
             20-24     0.9912     0.9971                45-49            0       0.0%       0.0%
             25-29     0.9915     0.9965                UNKWN            0       0.0%       0.0%
             30-34     0.9902     0.9953                TOTAL          109      100.0%     24.5%
             35-39     0.9859     0.9924
             40-44     0.9776     0.9874              AGE OF        1990     %1990      DEATH
             45-49     0.9633     0.9802              COHORT DEATHS         DEATHS      RATE#
             50-54     0.9424     0.9699                 0-4             2       1.8%       2.5%
             55-59     0.9099       0.953                5-19            1       0.9%       0.4%
             60-64     0.8623     0.9275                20-24            1       0.9%       0.3%
             65-69     0.7975       0.889               25-34            1       0.9%       0.5%
             70-74     0.7134     0.8304                35-44            3       2.7%       1.3%
             75-79     0.6109     0.7386                45-54            6       5.3%       3.8%
             80-84     0.4896     0.6061                55-64          13       11.5%       9.2%
             85+         0.319    0.3916                65-74          28       24.8%      23.9%
                                                        75-84          34       30.1%      60.2%
          1990 FERTILITY RATE***                         85+           24       21.2%      136.4%
          COHORT MALE FEMALE                            TOTAL          113      100.0%      7.5%
             0-4     0.101441   0.097463              #PER 1,000
                                           FERTILE FEMALES


             AGE       1970       1980       1990       2000**     2010**    1970-90 1990-10
          COHORT FEMALE         FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE %CHNG %CHNG
             5-39        3,510      4,232     4,026      3,586       3,448      14.7%      -14.4%
             10-44       3,294      4,066     4,012      3,751       3,553      21.8%      -11.4%


          *CAPP POPULATION PROGRAM (KLOSTERMAN)
          **ZERO NET MIGRATION
          ***SMALL TOWN PLANNING HANDBOOK FORMULA                                      POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE6A


           REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE:      7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION

           HARBdRCREE      K                               1995* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1990-95 1990-95 1990-95
           AGE OF        1995        1995         1995        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE        FEMALE
              0-4           798          407         391         5.3%          (0)         (8)             8
              5-9           796          414         382         5.3%         (324)     (146)         (178)
              10-14        1,119         559         559         7.4%         (54)        (43)        (12)
              15-19        1,170         600         570         7.7%         (534)     (293)         (241)
              20-24        1,696         886         809        11.2%         -456        125         330
              25-29        1,232         754         478         8.1%         473         402          71
              30-34         755          349         406         5.0%         (342)     (186)         (156)
              35-39        1,089         530         559         7.2%         (175)       (98)        (77)
              40-44        1,250         619         631         8.3%         199         114          85
              45-49        1,033         494         539         6.8%         116            7        109
              50-54         891          469         421         5.9%         226         158          67
              55-59         636          293         343         4.2%          (9)        (25)         16
              60-64         601          289         312         4.0%         (161)       (70)        (91)
              65-69         683          310         374         4.5%          35         (11)         47
              70-74         547          256         291         3.6%          23          28              (5)
              75-79         408          163         246         2.7%          66          32          35
              80-84         236            80        156         1.6%          13          15              (2)
              85+           193            48        145         1.3%          17          (3)         20
           TOTALS        15,133        7,520        7,612     100.0%           25          (2)         26
           PERCENT       100.0%        49.7%       50.3%       NA         100.0%        -7.3%       107.3%


           AGE OF        1995        1995                   AGE OF       1990-95     1990-95
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           798          5.3%                  0-4               0        0.0%
              5-19         3,085       20.4%                  5-19            (912)     -22.8%
              20-34        3,682       24.3%                  20-34           586       18.9%
              35-64        5,500       36.3%                  35-64           196         3.7%
              65+          2,067       13.7%                  65+             154         8.1%
           TOTALS        15,133        100.0%               TOTALS             25         0.2%


            ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE7A


           REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK                                     2000* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1995-00 1995-00 1995-00
           AGE OF 2000*               2000*      2000*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT. TOTAL              MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL        MALE      FEMALE
              0-4           801          408         392         5.3%             3         1              1
              5-9           796          406         390         5.3%             0         (8)            8
              10-14         795          413         382         5.3%       (324)        (146)        (178)
              15-19       1,116          557         559         7.4%         (54)        (43)        (11)
              20-24       1,164          595         569         7.7%       (531)        (291)        (240)
              25-29       1,685          879         807         11.2%        453         124         329
              30-34       1,224          748         476         8.1%         469         399          70
              35-39         749          346         404         5.0%       (340)        (184)        (156)
              40-44       1,077          522         555         7.1%       (173)         (97)        (76)
              45-49       1,228          605         623         8.1%         196         112          84
              50-54       1,004          476         528         6.6%         113           6         107
              55-59         851          442         409         5.6%         214         149          65
              60-64         594          267         327         3.9%          (7)        (23)         16
              65-69         539          250         289         3.6%       (145)         (60)        (85)
              70-74         579          247         332         3.8%          32           (9)        42
              75-79         424          183         241         2.8%          16           20           (4)
              80-84         281            99        182         1.9%          45           19         26
              85+           206            55        151         1.4%          13           6              6
           TOTALS         15,114        7,497       7,617      100.0%         (18)        (23)             5
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.6%       50.4%       NA          100.0%       125.1%      -25.1%


           AGE OF         2000*       2000*                 AGE OF       2000-05     2000-05
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4           801          5.3%                  0-4                3       0.3%
              5-19        2,708        17.9%                  5-19          (378)       -12.2%
              20-34       4,074        27.0%                  20-34           392        10.6%
              35-64       5,504        36.4%                  35-64               4       0.1%
              65+         2,028        13.4%                  65+             (39)       -1.9%
           TOTALS         15,114       100.00/0             TOTALS            (18)       -0.1%


            ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                   POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE8A


           REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK                                     2005* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2000-05 2000-05 2000-05
           AGE OF 2005*               2005*      2005*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE      FEMALE      TOTAL         TOTAL      MALE        FEMALE
              0-4           746          381         366         5.0%         (55)        (28)        (27)
              5-9           799          407         392         5.3%            3           1          1
             10-14          795          405         390         5.3%            0          (8)         8
             15-19          793          412         381         5.3%       (323)       (145)         (177)
             20-24        1,111          553         558         7.4%         (54)        (42)        (11)
             25-29        1,158          590         567         7.7%       (528)       (288)         (239)
             30-34        1,675          871         804        11.2%         451         123         328
             35-39        1,214          741         474         8.1%         465         395           70
             40-44          741          341         401         4.9%       (336)       (182)         (155)
             45-49        1,059          511         548         7.1%       (170)         (95)        (75)
             50-54        1,194          583         611         8.0%         190         107           82
             55-59          961          448         513         6.4%         110            6        104
             60-64          792          402         390         5.3%         198         136           62
             65-69          533          230         303         3.6%           (5)       (20)          14
             70-74          456          199         257         3.0%       (123)         (48)        (75)
             75-79          452          176         276         3.0%          28           (7)         35
             80-84          290          112         178         1.9%            9          12          (3)
             85+            235            66        169         1.6%          30           12          18
           TOTALS         15,004       7,428        7,577      100.0%       (110)         (70)        (40)
           PERCENT       100.0%        49.5%       50.5%        NA        100.0%        63.4%        36.6%


           AGE OF       2005*         2005*                 AGE OF       2000-05     2000-05
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           746          5.0%                   0-4           (55)      -6.8%
             5-19         2,388        15.9%                   5-19         (320)       -11.8%
             20-34        3,943        26.3%                 20-34          (130)       -3.2%
             35-64        5,961        39.7%                 35-64            457         8.3%
             65+          1,967        13.1%                   65+            (62)      -3.0%
           TOTALS         15,004       100.0%               TOTALS          (110)       -0.7%


            ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGEgA


           REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2005-10 2005-10 2005-10
           AGE OF 2010*              .2010*      2010*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           713          364         350         4.8%         (33)        (17)        (16)
              5-9           744          380         365         5.0%         (55)        (28)        (27)
             10-14          798          407         391         5.4%            3           1          1
             15-19          793          404         389         5.3%            0          (8)         8
             20-24          789          409         381         5.3%         (321)       (144)       (177)
             25-29        1,104          548         556         7.4%         (53)        (42)        (11)
             30-34        1,151          585         565         7.8%         (525)       (286)       (239)
             35-39        1,663          862         800         11.2%        449         122         327
             40-44        1,200          730         470         8.1%         459         389          70
             45-49          729          333         396         4.9%         (330)       (178)       (153)
             50-54        1,029          492         537         6.9%         (165)       (91)        (74)
             55-59        1,142          549         592         7.7%         181         101          80
             60-64          896          408         488         6.0%         104            6         99
             65-69          708          347         361         4.8%         175         117          58
             70-74          453          183         270         3.1%           (3)       (16)         13
             75-79          355          142         213         2.4%         (97)        (34)        (63)
             80-84          311          108         204         2.1%          22           (4)        26
             85+            250            76        174         1.7%          15           10          5
           TOTALS         14,831       7,327        7,504     100.0%          (174)       (101)       (73)
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.4%       50.6%        NA         100.0%         58.0%      42.0%


           AGE OF        2010*        2010*                 AGE OF       2005-10     2005-10
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           713          4.8%                   0-4           (33)        -4.4%
             5-19         2,336        15.8%                  5-19            (52)        -2.2%
             20-34        3,044        20.5%                  20-34           (899)     -22.8%
             35-64        6,659        44.9%                  35-64           698         11.7%
             65+          2,078        14.0%                  65+             112         5.7%
           TOTALS         14,831       100.0%               TOTALS            (174)       -1.2%


            ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                    P.10A


           REPORT A                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            1990 TO 2010* POPULATION CHANGE



                        1990-10 1990-10 1990-10             1990-10 1990-10          1990-10
           AGE OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE      % CHNG      % CHNG       % CHNG
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
              0-4            (85)        (51)         (33)     -10.6%         -12.3%     -8.7%
              5-9           (376)       (180)        (195)     -33.5%         -32.2%   -34.8%
              10-14         (375)       (195)        (180)     -32.0%         -32.4%   -31.5%
              15-19         (911)       (489)        (422)     -53.4%         -54.8%   -52.0%
              20-24         (451)       (352)         (98)     -36.3%         -46.3%   -20.6%
              25-29          345         196          149       45.5%         55.8%      36.6%
              30-34           54           50            3        4.9%        9.4%        0.6%
              35-39          399         234          164       31.5%         37.3%      25.8%
              40-44          149         225          (76)      14.2%         44.6%    -13.9%
              45-49         (188)       (154)         (34)     -20.5%         -31.6%     -8.0%
              50-54          364         181          183       54.8%         58.2%      51.8%
              55-59          497         231          265       77.0%         72.8%      81.2%
              60-64          134           49         85        17.6%         13.6%      21.2%
              65-69           60           26         34          9.3%        8.1%       10.5%
              70-74          (71)        (45)         (26)     -13.5%         -19.6%     -8.9%
              75-79           13           11            2        3.9%        8.4%         1.1%
              80-84           88           43         46        39.6%         65.5%      29.0%
              85+             74           25         49        42.1%         48.4%      39.5%
           TOTALS           (277)       (195)         (82)      -1.8%         -2.6%      -1.1%
           PERCENT        100.0%        70.3%       29.7%      100.0%         141.3%     59.1%


           AGE OF        1990-10     1990-10                AGE OF        1990-10    1990-10
           COHORT        TOTAL         %**                   COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4            (85)       30.5%                  0-4            (85)     -10.6%
              5-19         (1,661)     598.7%                  5-19           (1,661)  -41.6%
              20-34          (52)       18.7%                  20-34          (52)       -1.7%
              35-64         1,355     -488.4%                  35-64          1,355      25.5%
              65+            165       -59.5%                  65+            165         8.6%
           TOTALS           (277)      100.0%                TOTALS           (277)      -1.8%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION
           "REPRESENTS A PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                         POPROI









         HARBCREK              A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P. 11A


         REPORT A              HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                           DATE: 7/26/94


                               AGE CHARACTERISTICS


                                AGE OF       1970       1970
                                COHORT TOTAL              %
                                   0-4           984        8.2%
                                   5-19        4,210      35.0%
                                   20-34       2,084      17.3%
                                   35-64       4,013      33.3%
                                   65+           747        6.2%
                                TOTALS        12,038      100.0%


          AGE OF       1980        1980                           AGE OF       1990       1990
          COHORT TOTAL              %                             COHORT TOTAL              %
             0-4         1,021        7.0%                           0-4           798        5.3%
             5-19        4,369      29.8%                            5-19       3,997       26.5%
             20-34       3,301      22.5%                            20-34      3,096       20.5%
             35-64       4,718      32.2%                            35-64      5,304       35.1%
             65+         1,235        8.4%                           65+        1,91 3      12.7%
          TOTALS       14,644      100.0%                         TOTALS        15,108     100.0%




          AGE OF       2000*       2000*                          AGE OF       2010*     2010*
          COHORT       TOTAL        %                             COHORT       TOTAL        %
             0-4         . 801        5.3%                           0-4           713        4.8%
             5-19        2,708      17.9%                            5-19       2,336       15.8%
             20-34       4,074      27.0%                            20-34      3,044       20.5%
             35-64       5,504      36.4%                            35-64      6,659       44.9%
             65+         2,028      13.4%                            65+        2,078       14.0%
          TOTALS       15,114      100.0%                         TOTALS        14,831     100.0%










          *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                           POPROI










          HARBCREK              A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                             P. 12A


          REPORT A              HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                          DATE: 7/26/94


                                           AGE BY SEX


          AGE OF       1970        1970       1970        1970      1970       1970
          COHORT TOTAL              %         MALE        %        FEMALE        %
            0-14        3,775       31.4%      1,931      51.2%      1,844       48.8%
            15-24       2,182       18.1%      1,096      50.2%      1,086       49.8%
            25-34       1,321       11.0%        626      47.4%        695       52.6%
            35-44       1,545       12.8%        731      47.3%        814       52.7%
            45-54       1,518       12.6%        765      50.4%        753       49.6%
            55-64         950         7.9%       485      51.1%        465       48.9%
            65-74         447         3.7%       217      48.5%        230       51.5%
            75+           300         2.5%       124      41.3%        176       58.7%
          TOTALS       12,038      100.0%      5,975      49.6%      6,063       50.4%


          AGE OF       1980        1980       1980        1980      1980       1980
          COHORT       TOTAL        %         MALE        %        FEMALE        %
            0-14        3,531       24.1%      1,809      51.2%      1,722       48.8%
            15-24       3,037       20.7%      1,605      52.8%      1,432       47.2%
            25-34       2,123       14.5%      1,022      48.1%      1,101       51.9%
            35-44       1,707       11.7%        850      49.8%        857       50.2%
            45-54       1,598       10.9%        775      48.5%        823       51.5%
            55-64       1,413         9.6%       720      51.0%        693       49.0%
            65-74         753         5.1%       329      43.7%        424       56.3%
            75+           482         3.3%       167      34.6%        315       65.4%
          TOTALS       14,644      100.0%      7,277      49.7%      7,367       50.3%


          AGE OF       1990        1990       1990        1990      1990       1990
          COHORT       TOTAL        %         MALE        %        FEMALE        %
            0-14        3,091       20.5%      1,577      51.0%      1,514       49.0%
            15-24       2,944       19.5%      1,654      56.2%      1,290       43.8%
            25-34       1,856       12.3%        887      47.8%        969       52.2%
            35-44       2,315       15.3%      1,133      48.9%      1,182       51.1%
            45-54       1,582       10.5%        798      50.4%        784       49.6%
            55-64       1,407         9.3%       677      48.1%        730       51.9%
            65-74       1,172         7.8%       549      46.8%        623       53.2%
            75+           741         4.9%       247      33.3%        494       66.7%
          TOTALS       15,108      100.0%      7,522      49.8%      7,586       50.2% POPROI










          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P. 13A


          REPORT A              HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                          DATE: 7/26/94


                                           AGE BY SEX



          AGE OF        2000*     2000*      2000*      2000*      2000*      2000*
          COHORT TOTAL              %        MALE         %        FEMALE        %
            0-14        2,392       15.8%      1,228      51.3%      1,164       48.7%
            15-24       2,281       15.1%      1,153      50.5%      1,128       49.5%
            25-34       2,909       19.21/o    1,626      55.9%      1,283       44.1%
            35-44       1,827       12.1%        868      47.5%        959       52.5%
            45-54       2,233       14.8%      1,081      48.4%      1,152       51.6%
            55-64       1,445         9.6%       709      49.1%        736       50.9%
            65-74       1,118         7.4%       496      44.4%        621       55.6%
            75+            911        6.0%       337      37.0%        574       63.0%
          TOTALS        15,114      100.0%     7,497      49.6%      7,617       50.4%



          AGE OF        2010*     2010*      2010*      2010*      2010*       2010*
          COHORT       TOTAL        %        MALE         %        FEMALE        %
            0-14        2,256       15.2%      1,150      51.0%      1,106       49.0%
            15-24       1,583       10.7%        813      51.4%        770       48.6%
            25-34       2,255       15.2%      1,133      50.3%      1,121       49.7%
            35-44       2,863       19.3%      1,593      55.6%      1,270       44.4%
            45-54       1,758       11.9%        825      46.9%        933       53.1%
            55-64       2,038       13.7%        957      47.0%      1,081       53.0%
            65-74       1,161         7.8%       530      45.7%        631       54.3%
            75+            917        6.2%       325      35.5%        592       64.5%
          TOTALS        14,831      100.0%     7,327      49.4%      7,504       50.6%














          *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                           POPROI










          HARBCREK            A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                         P.14A


          REPORT A            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                       DATE: 7/26/94


                                        OLDER CITIZENS



          AGE OF      1970       1970       1970      1970     1970       1970
          COHORT TOTAL            %        MALE       %       FEMALE       %
           65-69         240      32.1%      117      48.8%       123      51.3%
           70-74         207      27.7%      100      48.3%       107      51.7%
           75-79         145      19.4%       64      44.1%        81      55.9%
           80-84           95     12.7%       35      36.8%        60      63.2%
           85+             60      8.0%       25      41.7%        35      58.3%
          TOTALS         747     100.0%      341      45.6%       406      54.4%



          AGE OF      1980       1980       1980      1980     1980       1980
          COHORT TOTAL            %        MALE       %       FEMALE       %
           65-69         438      35.5%      199      45.4%       239      54.6%
           70-74         315      25.5%      130      41.3%       185      58.7%
           75-79         213      17.2%       80      37.6%       133      62.4%
           80-84         151      12.2%       48      31.8%       103      68.2%
           85+           118       9.6%       39      33.1%        79      66.9%
          TOTALS        1,235    100.0%      496      40.2%       739      59.8%



          AGE OF      1990       1990       1990      1990     1990       1990
          COHORT TOTAL            %        MALE       %       FEMALE       %
           65-69         648      33.9%      321      49.5%       327      50.5%
           70-74         524      27.4%      228      43.5%       296      56.5%
           75-79         342      17.9%      131      38.3%       211      61.7%
           80-84         223      11.7%       65      29.1%       158      70.9%
           85+           176       9.2%       51      29.0%       125      71.0%
          TOTALS        1,913    100.0%      796      41.6%      1,117     58.4%








                                                                                 POPROI










          HARBCREK            A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                           P.15A


          REPORT A            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                        DATE: 7126/94


                                        OLDER CITIZENS




          AGE OF     2000*      2000*      2000*     2000*      2000*     2000*
          COHORT TOTAL            %        MALE        %      FEMALE,       %
           65-69         539      26.6%       250      46.3%       289      53.7%
           70-74         579      28.6%       247      42.6%       332      57.4%
           75-79         424      20.9%       183      43.1%       241      56.9%
           80-84         281      13.8%         99     35.4%       182      64.6%
           85+           206      10.1%         55     26.5%       151      73.5%
          TOTALS        2,028     100.0%      833      41.1%      1,195     58.9%



          AGE OF     2010*      2010*      2010*     2010*      2010*     2010*
          COHORT TOTAL            %        MALE        %       FEMALE       %
           65-69         708      34.1%       347      49.0%       361      51.0%
           70-74         453      21.8%       183      40.5%       270      59.5%
           75-79         355      17.1%       142      39.9%       213      60.1%
           80-84         311      15.0%       108      34.6%       204      65.4%
           85+           250      12.0%         76     30.3%       174      69.7%
          TOTALS        2,078     100.0%      856      41.2%      1,223     58.8%






















          *ZERO NET MIGRATION









         HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P.16A


         REPORT A               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                         DATE:      7/26/94


                                POPULATION CHANGE 1920-2010


            YEAR        POP.      CHANGE    % CHNG        YEAR       POP. CHANGE         % CHNG
            1920         2,212        138         6.7%    1920         2,212       .138        6.7%
            1930         2,890        678       30.7%     1930         2,890        678      30.7%
            1940         3,602        712       24.6%     1940        3,602         712      24.6%
            1950         7,475      3,873       107.5%    1950         7,475     3,873      107.5%
            1960        10,569      3,094       41.4%     1960       10,569      3,094       41.4%
            1970        12,038      1,469       13.9%     1970       12,038      1,469       13.9%
            1980        14,644      2,606       21.6%     1980       14,644      2,606       21.6%
            1990        15,108        464         3.2%    1990       15,108         464        3.2%
            2000*       15,114           6        0.0%    20009      18,134      3,026       20.0%
            2010*       14,831        (284)      -1.9%    2010@      21,765      3,632       20.0%
           1960-10      14,831      4,262       40.3%     1960-10    21,765     11,196       105.9%


          EX. OF TOTAL POPULATIONS IF PAST % CHANGES WERE TO OCCURE AGAIN.


                       1930-40    1940-50    1950-60      1960-70    1970-80   1980-90
                     % CHNG      % CHNG     % CHNG        % CHNG     % CHNG   % CHNG
            YEAR        TOTAL      TOTAL     TOTAL        TOTAL      TOTAL      TOTAL     TOTAL@
            2000        18,830      31,353     21,361     17,208     18,379     15,587      18,134
            2010        23,469      65,064     30,203     19,600     22,357     16,081      21,765


                       1920-40    1930-50    1940-60      1950-70    1960-80   1970-90
                      % CHNG     % CHNG     % CHNG        % CHNG     % CHNG   % CHNG
            YEAR        TOTAL      TOTAL     TOTAL        TOTAL      TOTAL      TOTAL     TOTAL"
            2010        24,602      39,077     44,330     24,330     20,933     18,961      21,408


                                RANGE OF POPULATION CHANGES


                        2000        2010                  RANGE RANGE
          LOWEST        15,587      16,081                AMOUNT      %
          HIGHEST       31,353      65,064                49,477     327.5%


          *ZERO NET MIGRATION
          @1950 - 1990 AVERAGE DECENIAL PERCENTAGE CHANGE
          **l 950-1990 20 YEAR AVERAGE PERCENTAGE CHANGE
          END OF REPORT A                                                                POPROI









          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                             PAGE113


          REPORT B             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                          DATE: 7/26/94


          REPORT B IS USED TO DETERMINE THE 1980 -1990 NET MIGRATION RATES.


          5-YEAR SURVIVAL RATE                                    BIRTH                 DEATH
                                             YEAR      BIRTHS     RATE# DEATHS          RATE#
          AGE OF       MALE       MALE       1980          156       10.7%       101        6.9%
          COHORT RATES*          RATES*      1981          163       11.1%         92       6.3%
          BIRTHS       0.9853     0.9879     1982          155       10.6%         97       6.6%
              0-4      0.9975     0.9979     1983          155       10.6%         99       6.8%
              5-9      0.9988     0.9991     1984          166       11.3%       123        8.4%
            10-14      0.9964     0.9988     1985          141        9.5%       116        7.8%
            15-19      0.9925     0.9978     1986          110        7.4%       122        8.2%
            20-24      0.9912     0.9971     1987            94       6.3%       115        7.7%
            25-29      0.9915     0.9965     1988          103        6.9%       115        7.7%
            30-34      0.9902     0.9953     1989          126        8.5%       117        7.9%
            35-39      0.9859     0.9924    TOTAL        1,369       NA,        1,097     NA
            40-44      0.9776     0.9874
            45-49      0.9633     0.9802               1980 - 1990 NATURAL CHANGE
            50-54      0.9424     0.9699                         CHANGE % CHNG
            55-59      0.9099      0.953               1980-90        272        1.9%
            60-64      0.8623     0.9275
            65-69      0.7975      0.889               1980 TO 1990 NET MIGRATION
            70-74      0.7134     0.8304                         NUMBER RATE
            75-79      0.6109     0.7386               1980-90        192        1.3%
            80-84      0.4896     0.6061
            85+          0.319    0.3916               1980 FERTILITY RATE@
                                                       COHORT MALE FEMALE
                                                         0-4    0.128064 0.123042


                               FERTILE FEMALES
            AGE        1970       1980      1990**     2000'      2010***    1980-90 1990-00
          COHORT FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE                  FEMALE     FEMALE    % CHNG % CHNGx
            5-39         3,510     4,232      4,219      3,417       3,103       -0.3%     -15.1%
            10-44        3,294     4,066      4,231      3,571       3,242       4.1%      -11.0%
          CAPP
          ***PROJECTED BASED ON 1980 ZERO NET MIGRATION
          ***PROJECTED BASED ON 1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE
          @SMALL TOWN PLANNING HANDBOOK FORMULA
          #PER 1,000           xl 990 ACTUAL NUMBER OF FEMALES                         POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE 2B


           REPORT B               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS TO FIND MIGRATION RATES*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            1985* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1980-85 1980-85 1980-85
           AGE OF 1985*              1985*       1985*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4          1,021         521         500         6.8%            0          (7)            7
              5-9          1,019         527         492         6.8%        (129)        (68)        (61)
              10-14        1,147         594         553         7.6%        (215)        (92)        (123)
              15-19        1,359         684         675         9.0%        (500)                    (211)
              20-24        1,850         966         884         12.3%       672          334         338
              25-29        1,171         626         544         7.8%          57           95        (39)
              30-34        1,107         526         581         7.3%          98           35             63
              35-39        1,002         486         516         6.6%          24         (22)             46
              40-44          967         501         466         6.4%        238          159              79
              45-49          716         334         382         4.7%          (29)       (37)             8
              50-54          724         357         367         4.8%        (129)        (47)        (82)
              55-59          816         381         435         5.4%          36         (11)             47
              60-64          726         357         370         4.8%          93           29             65
              65-69          566         283         283         3.8%        128            84             44
              70-74          371         159         212         2.5%          56           29             27
              75-79          246          93         154         1.6%          33           13             21
              80-84          147          49           98        1.0%          (4)           1             (5)
              85+            129          36           93        0.9%          11           (3)            14
           TOTALS         15,085        7,479                 100.0%         441          202         239
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.6%        50.4%      NA          100.0%        45.8%       54.2%


           AGE OF        1985*       1985*                  AGE OF        1980-85     1980-85
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4          1,021         6.8%                  0-4                        0.0%
              5-19         3,524       23.4%                  5-19           (845)      -19.3%
              20-34        4,128       27.4%                  20-34          K7          25.1%
              35-64        4,952       32.8%                  35-64          234          5.0%
              65+          1,460         9.7%                 65+            225         18.2%
           TOTALS         15,085       100.0%               TOTALS           441          3.0%


           *1980 ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                              POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE313


           REPORT B               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS TO FIND MIGRATION RATES*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            1990* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                         1985-90     1985-90 1985-90
           AGE OF 1990*               1990*      1990*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE     CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL       TOTAL        MALE      FEMALE
              0-4          1,063         542         521         6.9%          42           21         20
              5-9          1,019         519         499         6.6%            0          (7)           7
              10-14        1,018         526         492         6.6%          (129)      (68)         (61)
              15-19        1,144         592         552         7.4%          (215)      (91)        (123)
              20-24        1,352         678         674         8.7%          (498)      (287)       (210)
              25-29        1,839         957         881         11.9%         668        331         337
              30-34        1,164         621         543         7.5%          56           95         (38)
              35-39        1,100         521         578         7.1%          98           35         63
              40-44          991         479         512         6.4%          24         (22)         45
              45-49          950         490         461         6.1%          234        155          78
              50-54          697         322         375         4.5%          (27)       (35)            8
              55-59          692         337         356         4.5%          (124)      (44)         (80)
              60-64          761         346         415         4.9%          35         (10)         45
              65-69          651         308         343         4.2%          85           25         60
              70-74          477         226         251         3.1%          106          67         39
              75-79          290         113         176         1.9%          43           20         23
              80-84          170           57        113         1.1%          23            8         15
              85+            131           35          96        0.8%            2          (1)           3
           TOTALS         15,507        7,670       7,837      100.0%          422        191          231
           PERCENT         100.0%      49.5%        50.5%      NA          100.0%        45.3%      54.7%


           AGE OF         1990*       1990*                 AGE OF        1985-90     1985-90
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4          1,063         6.9%                  0-4             42         4.1%
              5-19         3,180       20.5%                  5-19             (344)      -9.8%
              20-34        4,354       28.1%                  20-34            226        5.5%
              35-64        5,191       33.5%                  35-64            239        4.8%
              65+          1,719       11.1%                  65+              259       17.8%
           TOTALS         15,507       100.00/0             TOTALS             422        2.8%


           *1980 ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                             POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE413


           REPORT B               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 1990 ACTUAL POPULATION & 1990 PROJECTED POPUL.


                       1990-90* 1990-90* 1990-90*            1990@90*    1990-90*   1990-90*
           AGE OF        DIFF.        DIFF.      DIFF.      % DIFF. % DIFF.         % DIFF.
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE      FEMALE       TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4            (265)       (127)      (138)       -24.9%       -23.4%    -26.4%
              5-9            101           41         61         9.9%        7.8%        12.2%
              10-14          155           76         79        15.3%        14.4%       16.2%
              15-19          560         301          259       49.0%        50.8%       47.0%
              20-24          (112)         83       (195)       -8.3%        12.2%     -28.9%
              25-29        (1,080)       (605)      (474)       -58.7%       -63.2%    -53.8%
              30-34          (67)          (86)       19        -5.7%        -13.9%       3.6%
              35-39          164          107         58        15.0%        20.5%       10.0%
              40-44           60           26         34         6.1%        5.4%         6.7%
              45-49          (33)          (3)       (31)       -3.5%        -0.5%       -6.6%
              50-54          (32)          (11)      (21)       -4.5%        -3.4%       -5.5%
              55-59          (47)          (19)      (29)       -6.8%        -5.6%       -8.0%
              60-64               1        13        (12)        0.1%        3.6%        -2.9%
              65-69            (3)         13        (16)       -0.4%        4.4%        -4.7%
              70-74           47           2          45         9.8%        1.1%        17.7%
              75-79           52           1.8        35        18.1%        15.7%       19.6%
              80-84           53           8          45        31.1%        14.7%       39.2%
              85+             45           16         29        33.8%        44.1%       30.1%
           TOTALS            (399)       (148)      (251)       -2.6%        -1.9%       -3.2%
           PERCENT 100.0%               37.1%      62.9%        100.0%       75.1%     124.4%


                       1990-90*     1990-90*
           AGE OF      CHANGE       CHANGE                  AGE OF       1990-90*   1990-90*
           COHORT TOTAL               %**                   COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4            (265)      66.3%                   0-4          (265)     -33.2%
              5-19           817      -204.6%                   5-19         817         20.4%
              20-34        (1,258)    315.20/6                  20-34        (1,258)   -40.6%
              35-64          113      -28.3%                    35-64        113          2.1%
              65+            194      -48.6%                    65+          194         10.1%
           TOTALS            (399)    100.0%                 TOTALS          (399)       -2.6%

           *1980 ZERO NET MIGRATION
           "REPRESENTS A PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                         POPROI










            HARBCREK                 A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                       PAGE513


            REPORT B                 HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                  DATE: 7/26/94


            POPULATION PROJECTIONS BASED ON 1980-1990 MIGRATION RATES


            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               2000* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                              1990-00     1990-00 1990-00
            AGE OF 2000*                2000*        2000*        % OF CHANGE              CHANGE       CHANGE
            COHORT TOTAL                MALE        FEMALE       TOTAL         TOTAL        MALE        FEMALE
               0-4             601          313          289          4.1%        (197)        (102)         (94)
               5-9             875          438          438          5.9%        (245)        (122)        (122)
               10-14           917          473          444          6.20%       (256)        (129)        (127)
               15-19        1,662           840          821         11,20/o       (42)         (53)          10
               20-24        1,072           668          405          7.2%        (168)         (93)         (74)
               25-29           696          323          373          4.7%         (63)         (29)         (34)
               30-34        1,137           644          493          7.7%           40         109          (69)
               35-39           860          416          444          5.8%        (404)        (212)        (192)
               40-44        1,143           550          592          7.7%           92          45           46
               45-49        1,184           602          582          8.0%         267          115          152
               50-54           959          459          499          6.5%         294          148          145
               55-59           793          417          376          5.4%         148           99           49
               60-64           594          276          318          4.0%        (168)         (83)         (85)
               65-69           536          260          276          3.6%        (112)         (61)         (51)
               70-74           641          250          391          4.3%         117           22           95
               75-79           500          211          289          3.4%         158           80           78
               80-84           367          114          253          2.5%         144           49           95
               85+             275            79         197          1.9%           99          28           72
            TOTALS          14,812        7,335        7,477        100.0%        (296)        (187)        (109)
            PERCENT         100.0%        49.5%        50.5%        NA          100.0%         63.3%        36.7%


            AGE OF          2000*       2000*                   AGE OF         1990-00     1990-00
            COHORT         TOTAL          %                      COHORT       CHANGE      % CHNG
               0-4             601          4.1%                   0-4            (197)       -24.6%
               5-19         3,454         23.3%                    5-19           (543)       -13.6%
               20-34        2,905         19.6%                   20-34           (191)        -6.2%
               35-64        5,533         37.4%                   35-64            229          4.3%
               65+          2,319         15.7%                   65+              406         21.2%
            TOTALS          14,812        100.0%                TOTALS            (296)        -2.0%


            *1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE                                                           POPROI









            HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                     PAGE613


            REPORTB                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                 DATE: 7/26/94


            POPULATION      PROJECTION*


            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2005* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                          2000-05 2000-05 2000-05
            AGE OF        2005*        2005*      2005*         % OF CHANGE            CHANGE       CHANGE
            COHORT        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL         TOTAL       MALE        FEMALE
               0-4           710          362         348          4.9%         109          50               59
               5-9           600          312         288          4.1%         (275)      (126)        (150)
               10-14         874          437         437          6.0%         (42)         (36)             (6)
               15-19         915          471         443          6.3%         (747)      (369)        (378)
               20-24        1,654         834         819         11.3%         '581         166         415
               25-29        1,065         662         403          7.3%         370          339              31
               30-34         692          320         371          4.7%         (446)      (324)        (122)
               35-39        1,129         638         491          7.7%         268          222              47
               40-44         851          410         441          5.8%         (292)      (140)        (152)
               45-49.       1,123         538         585          7.7%         (61)         (64)             3
               50-54        1,150         580         570          7.9%         192          121              71
               55-59         917          433         484          6.3%         124          15          108
               60-64         738          380         358          5.1%         144          103              41
               65-69         533          238         295          3.7%           (3)        (22)             19
               70-74         453          208         245          3.1%         (188)        (42)       (146)
               75-79         503          178         325          3.5%            3         (33)             36
               80-84         342          129         213          2.3%         (24)         15           (40)
               85+           324            94        230          2.2%           49         16               34
            TOTALS         14,573       7,225        7,348      100.0%          (239)      (109)        (130)
            PERCENT         100.0%      49.6%        50.4%       NA          100.0%        45.7%        54.3%


            AGE OF        2005*        2005*                  AGE OF       2000-05      2000-05
            COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
               0-4           710          4.9%                   0-4            109        18.1%
               5-19         2,389       16.4%                   5-19          (1,065)      -30.8%
               20-34        3,411       23.4%                   20-34           505        17.4%
               35-64        5,908       40.5%                   35-64           375          6.8%
               65+          2,155       14.8%                   65+             (163)      -7.0%
            TOTALS         14,573       100.0%                TOTALS            (239)      -1.6%


            *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                    POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE713


           REPORTB                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2005-10 2005-10 2005-10
           AGE OF         2010*       2010*      2010*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL       TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           680          347         333         4.8%         (31)         (16)         (15)
              5-9           709          361         347         5.0%         109          49           59
              10-14         599          312         288         4.2%         (275)      (126)          (150)
              15-19         872          436         437         6.1%         (42)         (36)         (6)
              20-24         910          468         442         6.4%         (744)      (366)          (377)
              25-29       1,644          827         817         11.5%        579          165          414
              30-34       1,058          656         402         7.4%         367          336          31
              35-39         687          317         369         4.8%         (442)      (321)          (121)
              40-44       1,116          629         487         7.8%         265          218          46
              45-49         836          401         435         5.9%         (287)      (137)          (150)
              50-54       1,092          518         573         7.6%         (59)         (62)           3
              55-59       1,100          547         553         7.7%         183          114          69
              60-64         855          394         462         6.0%         117          14           103
              65-69         660          328         332         4.6%         127          89           38
              70-74         452          190         262         3.2%           (1)        (18)         17
              75-79         352          148         203         2.5%         (151)        (30)         (121)
              80-84         349          109         240         2.4%            6         (20)         27
              85+           313            93        219         2.2%         (12)          (1)         (11)
           TOTALS         14,283       7,080        7,203      100.0%         (291)      (146)          (145)
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.6%       50.4%       NA          100.0%        50.1%      49.9%


           AGE OF         2010*       2010*                 AGE OF       2005-10      2005-10
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4           680          4.8%                  0-4            (31)       -4.3%
              5-19        2,180        15.3%                  5-19            (209)      -8.7%
              20-34       3,612        25.3%                  20-34           202          5.9%
              35-64       5,686        39.8%                  35-64           (223)      -3.8%
              65+         2,125        14.9%                  65+             (31)       -1.4%
           TOTALS         14,283       100.0%               TOTALS            (291)      -2.0%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                   POPROI









            HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                    PAGE813


            REPORT B               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                 DATE: 7/26/94


            POPULATION PROJECTIONS BASED ON 1980-1990 MIGRATION RATES


            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                           2000-10     2000-10 2000-10
            AGE OF 2010*              2010*       2010*         % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
            COHORT TOTAL              MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL         TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
               0-4           510          265         245          3.7%         (91)        (47)         (44)
               5-9           779          390         390          5.6%         (96)        (48)         (48)
               10-14         691          357         334          5.0%       (226)        (117)       (109)
               15-19       1,299          657         642          9.3%       (362)        (184)       (179)
               20-24         835          525         314          6.0%       (238)        (143)         (90)
               25-29         679          304         377          4.9%         (17)        (19)             5
               30-34         998          565         416          7.2%       (140)         (79)         (77)
               35-39         789          382         406          5.7%         (71)        (34)         (38)
               40-44       1,183          663         520          8.5%         41          112          (73)
               45-49         807          399         406          5.8%       (377)        (203)       (176)
               50-54       1,042          500         542          7.5%         83           41          42
               55-59       1,024          516         509          7.4%         231          99          133
               60-64         856          408         448          6.1%         262         132          131
               65-69         657          342         317          4.7%         121          81          41
               70-74         497          192         308          3.6%       (144)         (57)         (83)
               75-79         415          171         243          3.0%         (85)        (40)         (45)
               80-84         457          125         334          3.3%         90           11          81
               85+           418          134         285          3.0%         143          56          89
            TOTALS         13,938       6,895        7,038      100.0%        (874)        (439)       (440)
            PERCENT       100.0%        49.5%        50.5%        NA        100.0%         50.2%        50.3%


            AGE OF        2010*       2010*                   AGE OF       2000-10      2000-10
            COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
               0-4           510          3.7%                    0-4           (91)      -15.1%
               5-19        2,770        19.9%                   5-19          (684)       -19.8%
               20-34       2,511        18.0%                   20-34         (394)       -13.6%
               35-64       5,702        40.90/6                 35-64           169         3.1%
               65+         2,444        17.5%                   65+             126         5.4%
            TOTALS         13,938       100.0%                TOTALS          (874)        -5.9%

            *1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE                                                        POPROI










           HARBCREK                A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                 PAGE913


           REPORT B                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


                                   1990-2010 POPULATION CHANGE
                                   (BASED ON 1980 -1990 NET MIGRATION)


                         1990-10    1990-10 1990-10 1990-10 1990-10 1990-10
           AGE OF       CHANGE     CHANGE       CHANGE      % CHNG      % CHNG      % CHNG
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           (288)       (150)       (138)      -27.1%       -27.6%     -26.5%
              5-9           (341)       (170)       (170)      -33.5%       -32.8%     -34.1%
             10-14          (482)       (245)       (237)      -47.4%       -46.7%     -48.2%
             15-19          (405)       (236)       (169)      -35.4%       -39.9%     -30.6%
             20-24          (401)       (236)       (165)      -29.6%       -34.8%     -24.4%
             25-29            (78)        (48)        (30)      -4.2%       -5.0%       -3.4%
             30-34          (115)         30        (146)       -9.9%        4.9%      -26.8%
             35-39          (476)       (246)       (230)      -43.2%       -47.2%     -39.7%
             40-44          131           158         (26)      13.2%       32.9%       -5.1%
             45-49          (112)         (88)        (24)     -11.8%       -18.0%      -5.2%
             50-54          377           189         188       54.2%       58.8%       50.2%
             55-59          380           198         182       54.9%       58.8%       51.1%
             60-64             94         49           45       12.4%       14.2%       10.9%
             65-69             11         21          (10)        1.6%       6.8%       -3.0%
             70-74            (24)        (36)         12       -4.9%       -15.9%        4.9%
             75-79             73         40           32       25.1%       35.7%       18.3%
             80-84          236           60          176      138.6%       105.5%     155.1%
             85+            244           83          160      185.4%       235.7%     166.9%
           TOTALS         (1,175)       (627)       (548)       -7.6%       -8.2%       -7.0%
           PERCENT        100.0%        53.3%      46.7%       100.0%       107.8%      92.3%


           AGE OF        1990-10     1990-10                AGE OF      1990-10       1990-10
           COHORT        TOTAL        %**                   COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4           (288)       24.5%                  0-4          (288)      -36.0%
             5-19         (1,228)     104.6%                   5-19         (1,228)    -30.7%
             20-34          (594)       50.5%                  20-34        (594)      -19.2%
             35-64          395       -33.7%                   35-64         395          7.5%
             65+            539       -45.9%                   65+           539        28.2%
           TOTALS         (1,175)     100.0%                 TOTALS         (1,175)     -7.8%


           *1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE
           "REPRESENTS A PERCENT OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                           POPROI










           HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                               P.10B


           REPORT B             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            DATE: 7/26/94


                                AGE CHARACTERISTICS


           AGE OF       2000*     2000*                 AGE OF       2010*      2010*
           COHORT       TOTAL        %                 COHORT TOTAL               %
             0-4           601         4.1%                0-4          510         3.7%
             5-19        3,454       23.3%                5-19        2,770       19.9%
             20-34       2,905       19.6%                20-34       2,511       18.0%
             35-64       5,533       37.4%                35-64       5,702       40.9%
             65+         2,319       15.7%                65+         2,444       17.5%
           TOTALS       14,812      100.0%              TOTALS       13,938       100.0%


                                            AGE BY SEX


           AGE OF       2000*     2000*       2000*       2000*      2000*      2000*
           COHORT       TOTAL        %        MALE          %       FEMALE        %
             0-14        2,393       16.20%     1,224       51.1%     1,170       48.9%
             15-24       2,734       18.5%      1,508       55.2%     1,226       44.8%
             25-34       1,833       12.4%        967       52.8%       866       47.2%
             35-44       2,003       13.5%        967       48.3%     1,036       51.7%
             45-54       2,143       14.5%      1,061       49.5%     1,081       50.5%
             55-64       1,387         9.4%       694       50.0%       694       50.0%
             65-74       1,177         7.9%       510       43.3%       667       56.7%
             75+         1,142         7.7%       404       35.4%       738       64.6%
           TOTALS       14,812       100.0%     7,335       49.5%     7,477       50.5%


           AGE OF       2010*      2010*      2010*       2010*      2010*      2010*
           COHORT       TOTAL        %        MALE          %       FEMALE        %
             0.14        1,980       14.20/o    1,012       51.1%       969       48.9%
             15-24       2,134       15.3%      1,182       55.4%       956       44.8%
             25-34       1,676       12.0%        869       51.9%       794       47.3%
             35-44       1,973       14.2%      1,045       53.0%       926       48.1%
             45-54       1,849       13.3%        899       48.6%       948       51.8%
             55-64       1,881       13.5%        924       49.1%       957       33.2%
             65-74       1,154         8.3%       534       46.3%       625       74.8%
             75+         1,291         9.3%       431       33.4%       863       66.8%
           TOTALS       13,938       100.0%     6,895       49.5%     7,038       50.5%


           *1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE                                               POPROI









          HARBCREK           A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                          P. 11B


          REPORT B           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                        DATE: 7/26/94


                                        OLDER CITIZENS


          AGE OF     2000*      2000*     2000*     2000*     2000*      2000*
          COHORT TOTAL           %        MALE        %       FEMALE       %
           65-69        536      23.1%       260      48.6%       276      51.4%
           70-74        641      27.6%       250      39.0%       391      61.0%
           75-79        500      21.6%       211      42.3%       289      57.7%
           80-84        367      15.8%       114      31.1%       253      68.9%
           85+          275      11.9%         79     28.6%       197      71.4%
          TOTALS       2,319    100.0%       914      39.4%      1,405     60.6%


          AGE OF     2010*      2010*     2010*     2010*     2010*      2010*
          COHORT TOTAL           %        MALE        %       FEMALE       %
           65-69        657      26.9%       342      52.0%       317      48.2%
           70-74        497      20.3%       192      38.7%       308      62.1%
           75-79        415      .17.0%      171      41.3%       243      58.6%
           80-84        457      18.7%       125      27.3%       334      73.1%
           85+          418      17.1%       134      32.1%       285      68.2%
          TOTALS       2,444    100.0%       965      39.5%      1,488     60.9%


                             POPULATION CHANGE 1900 - 2010
                                YEAR      POP. CHANGE            %
                                1900        1,687     NA         NA
                                1910        2,074       387      22.9%
                                1920        2,212       138       6.7%
                                1930        2,890       678      30.7%
                                1940        3,602       712      24.6%
                                1950        7,475     3,873      107.5%
                                1960      101569      3,094      41.4%
                                1970      12,038      1,469      13.9%
                                1980      14,644      2,606      21.6%
                                1990      15,108        464       3.2%
                                2000*     14,812        (296)    -2.0%
                                2010*     13,938        (874)    -5.9%
                               1960-10    13,938      3,369      31.9%


          *1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION RATE
          END OF REPORT B                                                        POPROI









          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                             PAGElC


          'REPORT C            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                          DATE: 7/26/94


          REPORT C IS USED TO DETERMINE THE 1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION RATES.


          5-YEAR SURVIVAL RATES                                   BIRTH                  DEATH
                                             YEAR     BIRTHS     RATE# DEATHS            RATE#
          AGE OF       MALE      FEMALE      1970          166      13.8%         83        6.9%
          COHORT RATES*          RATES*      1971          177      14.7%         80        6.6%
          BIRTHS       0.9853    0.9879      1972          144      12.0%         86        7.1%
            0-4        0.9975    0.9979      1973          136      11.3%         79        6.6%
            5-9        0.9988    0.9991      1974          151      12.5%         88        7.3%
            10-14      0.9964    0.9988      1975          150      11.2%         90        6.7%
            15-19      0.9925    0.9978      1976          163      12.2%        100        7.5%
            20-24      0.9912    0.9971      1977          152      11 . 4*/o     77        5.8%
            25-29      0.9915    0.9965      1978          173      13.0%         86        6.4%
            30-34      0.9902    0.9953      1979          144      10.8%         90        6.7%
            35-39      0.9859    0.9924    1970-79       1,556      NA           859      NA
            40-44      0.9776    0.9874
            45-49      0.9633    0.9802               1970 - 1980 NATURAL CHANGE
            50-54      0.9424    0.9699                          CHANGE % CHNG
            55-59      0.9099      0.953              1970-79         697        5.8%
            60-64      0.8623    0.9275
            65-69      0.7975      0.889              1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION
            70-74      0.7134    0.8304                          NUMBER RATE
            75-79      0.6109    0.7386               1970-80       1,909       15.9%
            80-84      0.4896    0.6061
            85+          0.319   0.3916               1970 FERTILITY RATE@
                                                      COHORT MALE FEMALE
                                                         0-4     0.15235 0.146375


                               FERTILE FEMALES
            AGE        1970      1980** 2000***       2010***    1970-80 1990-00 2000-10
          COHORT FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE                 FEMALE     %CHNG %CHNGx %CHNG
            5-39         3,510     3,758      4,013      4,141         7.1%      -0.3%      3.2%
            10-44        3,294     3,607      4,216      4,365         9.5%      5.1%       3.5%
          *CAPP
          "PROJECTED BASED ON 1970 ZERO NET MIGRATION
          ***PROJECTED BASED ON 1990 -1980 NET MIGRATION RATE
          @SMALL TOWN PLANNING HANDBOOK FORMULA
          #PER 1,000           xl 990 ACTUAL NUMBER OF FEMALES                         POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE 2C


           REPORT C               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS TO FIND MIGRATION RATES*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            1975* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1970-75 1970-75 1970-75
           AGE OF 1975*              1975*       1975*        % OF CHANGE           CHANGE       CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           984          502         482        .7.8%             0       10          (10)
              5-9           982          491         491         7.8%       (361)       (199)        (162)
              10-14       1,342          689         652        10.6%       (106)         (60)        (47)
              15-19       1,444          746         698        11.4%         25            (1)        26
              20-24       1,412          741         671        11.2%         649        392          257
              25-29         759          346         413         6.0%         86          34           52
              30-34         669          309         360         5.3%         21            (5)        26
              35-39         643          311         332         5.1%         (76)        (31)        (45)
              40-44         711          337         374         5.6%       (115)         (52)        (63)
              45-49         812          380         431         6.4%             3       (30)         32
              50-54         786          395         391         6.2%         77          40           37
              55-59         678          335         343         5.4%         126         50           76
              60-64         514          259         254         4.1%         116         59           56
              65-69         356          172         184         2.8%         116         55           61
              70-74         203           93         109         1.6%             (4)       (7)            2
              75-79         160           71           89        1.3%         15            7              8
              80-84           99          39           60        0.8%             4         4           (0)
              85+             75          25           50        0.6%         15            0          15
           TOTALS         12,629       6,243       6,385      100.0%          591        268          322
           PERCENT       100.0%        49.4%       50.6%        NA        100.0%        45.4%        54.6%


           AGE OF        1975*       1975*                  AGE OF       1970-75     1970-75
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           984          7.8%                   0-4               0      0.0%
              5-19        3,768        29.8%                  5-19          (442)       -12.5%
              20-34       2,840        22.5%                  20-34           756       18.3%
              35-64       4,144        32.8%                  35-64           131        2.6%
              65+           893          7.1%                 65+             146       10.0%
           TOTALS         12,629       100.0%               TOTALS            591        3.9%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE3C


           REPORT C               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                DATE:    7/26/94


           POPULATION             PROJECTIONS               TO FIND MIGRATION                     RATES*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            1980* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1975-80 1975-80 1975-80
           AGE OF         1980*      1980*       1980*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT        TOTAL       MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL        MALE      FEMALE
              0-4         1,049          535         514         7.9%          65          33          32
              5-9           982          501         481         7.4%          (0)         10         (10)
              10-14         981          490         491         7.4%       (361)         (199)       (162)
              15-19       .1,338         687         652        10.1%       (106)         (60)        (47)
              20-24       1,437          741         697        10.9%          25           (1)        26
              25-29       1,403          735         669        10.6%        645         389           256
              30-34         754          343         411         5.7%          85          34          52
              35-39         664          306         358         5.0%          21           (5)        26
              40-44         636          307         330         4.8%          (75)       (31)        (44)
              45-49         699          330         369         5.3%       (113)         (51)        (62)
              50-54         789          366         423         6.0%            3        (29)         32
              55-59         752          372         379         5.7%          74          38          36
              60-64         632          304         327         4.8%        118           45          73
              65-69         460          224         236         3.5%        104           51          52
              70-74         301          138         163         2.3%          98          44          54
              75-79         157           67           91        1.2%          (3)          (5)          2
              80-84         109           44           66        0.8%          10           4            6
              85+              83         27           56        0.6%            8          2            6
           TOTALS         13,227        6,515       6,712     100.0%         598         271           327
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.3%       50.7%        NA        100.0%         45.4%       54.6%


           AGE OF         1980*      1980*                  AGE OF       1975-80      1975-80
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4         1,049          7.9%                   0-4            65        6.6%
              5-19        3,301        25.0%                  5-19          (467)       -12.4%
              20-34       3,595        27.2%                  20-34          755         26.6%
              35-64       4,172        31.5%                  35-64            28        0.7%
              65+         1,110          8.4%                 65+            217         24.3%
           TOTALS         13,227       100.0%               TOTALS           598         4.7%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI










            HARBCREK                 A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                      PAGE4C


            REPORT C                 HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                   DATE: 7/26/94


            DIFFERENCE BETWEEN 1980 ACTUAL POPULATION & 1980 PROJECTED POPULA


                        1980-80* 1980-80* 1980-80*               1980-80*     1980-80*    1980-80*
            AGE OF        DIFF.          DIFF.        DIFF.     % DIFF.       % DIFF.      % DIFF
            COHORT      TOTALS          MALE        FEMALE        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE
               0-4             (28)           (7)        (21)        -2.6%          -1.3%      -4.0%
               5-9             166            94          72         16.9%          18.9%      14.9%
               10-14           381         196           185         38.9%          39.9%      37.8%
               15-19           521         286           234         38.9%          41.7%      36.0%
               20-24           (259)        (109)        (151)       -1 8.00A       -14.7%    -21.6%
               25-29           (289)        (204)        (86)        -20.6%         -27.7%    -12.8%
               30-34           255         148           107         33.8%          43.2%      25.9%
               35-39           314         202           112         47.2%          65.8%      31.3%
               40-44            93            35          57         14.5%          11.6%      17.3%
               45-49            46            41            5         6.6%          12.6%       1.2%
               50-54            64            38          26          8.1%          10.3%       6.2%
               55-59            28            20            9         3.8%          5.3%        2.3%
               60-64              1           24         (22)         0.2%          7.7%       -6.8%
               65-69           (22)          (25)           3        -4.7%          -11.0%      1.3%
               70-74            14            (8)         22          4.7%          -5.5%      13.3%
               75-79            56            13          42         35.4%          20.2%      46.5%
               80-84            42            4           37         38.3%          10.1%      56.9%
               85+              35            12          23         42.1%          43.6%      41.4%
            TOTALS           1,417         762           655         10.7%          11.7%       9.8%
            PERCENT         100.0%         53.8%       46.2%         100.0%         109.2%     91.1%


                          1980-80      1980-80
            AGE OF      CHANGE        CHANGE                    AGE OF        1980-80*    1980-80*
            COHORT TOTAL                  %**                    COHORT      CHANGE % CHANGE
               0-4             (28)         -1.9%                    0-4            (28)       -2.6%
               5-19          1,068         75.4%                     5-19           1,068      33.6%
               20-34           (294)      -20.8%                     20-34          (294)      -6.8%
               35-64           546         38.5%                     35-64          546        10.5%
               65+             125         8.8%                      65+            125         7.3%
            TOTALS           1,417        100.0%                 TOTALS             1,417       9.1%


            *1970 ZERO NET MIGRATION
            "REPRESENTS A PERCENTAGE OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                               POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE5C


           REPORT C               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP.                               DATE:    7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS BASED ON 1970-1980 MIGRATION RATES                              RATES


           HARBORCREE      K TOWNSHIP                      2000* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                         1990-00     1990-00      1990-00
           AGE OF 2000*              2000*       2000*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL         TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           780          403         377.        4.6%         (18)        (12)          (6)
              5-9           931          483         448         5.5%       (189)         (77)       (112)
              10-14        1,105         579         526         6.5%         (68)        (23)        (45)
              15-19        1,549         790         760         9.2%       (155)       (103)         (51)
              20-24         954          508         446         5.6%       (286)       (253)         (33)
              25-29        1,338         635         704         7.9%         579         283         297
              30-34        1,670       1,071         599         9.9%         573         536          37
              35-39        1,103         573         530         6.5%       (161)         (55)        (106)
              40-44        1,234         583         651         7.3%         183         78          105
              45-49        1,312         681         631         7.8%         395         194         201
              50-54        1,085         524         561         6.4%         420         213         207
              55-59         884          466         418         5.2%         239         148          91
              60-64         592          287         305         3.5%       (170)         (72)        (98)
              65-69         515          222         293         3.0%       (133)         (99)        (34)
              70-74         610          233         377         3.6%          86           5          81
              75-79         573          219         354         3.4%         231         88          143
              80-84         394          109         285         2.3%         171         44          127
              85+           292            78        214         1.7%         116         27           89
           TOTALS         16,922       8,445        8,478     100.0%        1,814         923         892
           PERCENT       100.0%        49.9%       50.1%       NA         100.0%        50.9%        49.1%


           AGE OF       2000*        2000*                  AGE OF       1990-00     1990-00
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           780          4.6%                  0-4            (18)      -2.3%
              5-19         3,585       21.2%                  5-19          (412)       -10.3%
              20-34        3,962       23.4%                  20-34           866       28.0%
              35-64        6,211       36.7%                  35-64           907       17.1%
              65+          2,384       14.1%                  65+             471       24.6%
           TOTALS         16,922       100.0%               TOTALS          1,814       12.0%


           *1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION RATE                                                      POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE 6C


           REPORTC                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2005* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2000-05 2000-05 2000-95
           AGE OF 2005*               2005*      2005*       % OF CHANGE            CHANGE       CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE      FEMALE      TOTAL         TOTAL      MALE        FEMALE
              0-4           839          428         411         5.0%          59          24          34
              5-9           778          402         376         4.6%       (153)          (80)        (73)
              10-14         930          482         448         5.6%       (175)          (97)        (78)
              15-19       1,102          577         526         6.6%       (447)       (213)        (234)
              20-24       1,542          784         758         9.2%        588           276         312
              25-29         948          503         445         5.7%       (390)       (131)        (259)
              30-34       1,331          629         701         7.9%       (339)       (441)          102
              35-39       1,657        1,060         597         9.9%        554           487         67
              40-44       1,091          565         526         6.5%       (143)          (18)      (125)
              45-49       1,213          570         643         7.2%       (100)       (112)          12
              50-54       1,275          656         618         7.6%        189           132         57
              55-59       1,038          494         544         6.2%        155           29          126
              60-64         822          424         398         4.9%        230           136         93
              65-69         531          248         283         3.2%          16          26          (10)
              70-74         437          177         260         2.6%       (173)          (56)      (116)
              75-79         479          166         313         2.9%          (94)        (53)        (41)
              80-84         395          134         261         2.4%             1        25          (24)
              85+           335            79        256         2.0%          43            0         43
           TOTALS         16,742       8,378        8,364      100.0%       (180)          (67)      (114)
           PERCENT 100.0%              50.0%       50.0%       NA          100.0%       37.0%        63.0%


           AGE OF        2005*        2005*                 AGE OF       2000-05     2000-05
           COHORT TOTAL                %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           839          5.00/0                0-4             59          7.5%
              5-19        2,810        16.8%                  5-19          (775)       -21.6%
              20-34       3,821        22.8%                 20-34          (142)       -3.6%
              35-64       7,095        42.4%                 35-64           885        14.2%
              65+         2,177        13.0%                  65+-          (207)       -8.7%
           TOTALS         16,742       100.0%               TOTALS          (180)       -1.1%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                 POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE7C


           REPORT C               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2005-10 2005-10 2005-10
           AGE OF 2010*               2010*      2010*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL               MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           798          407         391         4.8%          (40)       (21)        (20)
              5-9           837          427         410         5.1%          59          24              34
              10-14         777          402         375         4.7%        (153)        (80)        (73)
              15-19         928          480         448         5.6%        (174)        (96)        (78)
              20-24       1,097          572         524         6.6%        (445)       (212)       (234)
              25-29       1,533          777         756         9.3%          585        273         311
              30-34         942          499         443         5.7%        (388)       (130)       (258)
              35-39       1,321          623         698         8.0%        (336)       (437)        101
              40-44       1,637        1,045         592         9.9%          546        480              66
              45-49       1,072          552         519         6.5%        (141)        (17)       (124)
              50-54       1,179          549         630         7.1%          (96)      (108)             12
              55-59       1,218          618         600         7.4%          180        124              56
              60-64         968          450         519         5.9%          146         26         120
              65-69         735          365         370         4.4%          204        118              87
              70-74         449          198         251         2.7%          12          21              (9)
              75-79         342          126         216         2.1%        (137)        (40)        (97)
              80-84         333          102         231         2.0%          (63)       (32)        (30)
              85+           349            91        259         2.1%          14          12              2
           TOTALS         16,516       8,283        8,232     100.0%         (227)        (95)       (132)
           PERCENT 100.0%              50.2%       49.8%       NA          100.0%        41.8%       58.2%


           AGE OF        2010*        2010*                 AGE OF       2005-10      2005-10
           COHORT TOTAL                %                    COHORT       CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4           798          4.8%                  0-4             (40)      -4.8%
              5-19        2,542        15.4%                  5-19           (269)       -9.6%
              20-34       3,572        21.6%                  20-34          (249)       -6.5%
              35-64       7,395        44.8%                  35-64            300        4.2%
              65+         2,208        13.4%                  65+              31         1.4%
           TOTALS         16,516       100.0%               TOTALS           (227)       -1.4%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                   POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE8C


           REPORT C               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTIONS BASED ON 1970-1980 MIGRATION RATES


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2000-10 2000-10 2000-10
           AGE OF 2010*              2010*       2010*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT TOTAL              MALE       FEMALE       TOTAL        TOTAL        MALE      FEMALE
              0-4           777          402         375         4.2%           (2)         (1)       1 (1)
              5-9           978          507         471         5.3%          47           25         23
             10-14        1,079          562         517         5.8%         (26)        (16)          (9)
             15-19        1,289          680         608         6.9%       (261)       (109)         (151)
             20-24          899          488         411         4.8%         (55)        (20)        (35)
             25-29        1,217          561         659         6.6%       (122)         (73)        (44)
             30-34        1,261          715         558         6.8%       (4W)        (356)         (41)
             35-39        1,945        1,034         916         10.5%        842         460         386
             40-44        1,875        1,166         694         10.1%        641         583          43
             45-49        1,142          622         526         6.2%       (170)         (60)        (105)
             50-54        1,274          605         669         6.9%         189           81        108
             55-59        1,264          651         614         6.8%         381         186         195
             60-64          970          485         483         5.2%         378         197         178
             65-69          700          325         374         3.8%         186         103          82
             70-74          470          187         285         2.5%       (140)         (47)        (92)
             75-79          463          152         317         2.5%       (110)         (68)        (37)
             80-84          460          112         362         2.5%          66             3        78
             85+            497          130         366         2.7%         205           52        152
           TOTALS         18,561       9,384        9,207     100.0%       1,639          940         729
           PERCENT        100.0%       50.6%       49.6%       NA          100.0%        57.3%       44.5%


           AGE OF        2010*       2010*                  AGE OF       2000-10     2000-10
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT     CHANGE. % CHNG
              0-4           777          4.2%                  0-4              (2)     -0.3%
             5-19         3,346        18.0%                  5-19          (239)       -6.7%
             20-34        3,376        18.2%                  20-34         (586)       -14.8%
             35-64        8,471        45.6%                  35-64        2,260         36.4%
             65+          2,591        14.0%                  65+             207,        8.7%
           TOTALS         18,561       100.0%               TOTALS         1,639          9.7%


           1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION RATE                                                      POPROI









            HARBCREK                 A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                      PAGE9C


            REPORT C                 HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                  DATE: 7/26/94


                                     1990-2010 POPULATION CHANGE
                                     (BASED ON 1980 - 1990 NET MIGRATION)


                          2010-90      2010-90      2010-90     2010-90 2010-90            2010-90
            AGE OF CHANGE            CHANGE        CHANGE       % CHNG       % CHNG       % CHNG
            COHORT TOTAL               MALE         FEMALE       TOTAL        MALE         FEMALE
               0-4                0           (8)           8         0.0%        -1.6%         1.7%
               5-9           (283)        (133)         (150)      -28.9%         -27.2%     -30.5%
               10-14         (396)        (200)         (196)      -29.5'/o       -29.1%     -30.09/6
               15-19         (776)        (413)         (363)      -53.7%         -55.3%     -52.1%
               20-24         (143)        (189)           45       -10.2%         -25.5%        6.8%
               25-29          774          425           349       102.0%         122.8%      84.5%
               30-34         (155)           (36)       (119)      -23.1%         -11.6%     -33.0%
               35-39             57           (5)         62          8.9%        -1.5%       18.6%
               40-44          586          540            46        82.4%         160.2%      12.3%
               45-49          155             65          89        19.0%         17.2%       20.7%
               50-54          514          238           276        65.4%         60.2%       70.6%
               55-59          573          300           273        84.6%         89.8%       79.5%
               60-64          206             91         116        40.1%         35.0%       45.4%
               65-69             87           44          43        24.4%         25.7%       23.2%
               70-74            (75)         (30)         (45)     -37.0%         -32.6%     -40.7%
               75-79              0           (5)           5         0.3%        -6.5%         5.7%
               80-84          110             37          73       110.8%         93.9%      121.9%
               85+            173             40         134       230.6%         158.1%     267.0%
            TOTALS           1,408         761           646        11.1%         12.2%       10.1%
            PERCENT         100.0%        54.1%         45.9%      100.0%         109.4%      90.8%


            AGE OF        1990-10      1990-10                  AGE OF        1990-10      1990-10
            COHORT         TOTAL          %**                    COHORT       CHANGE      % CHNG
               0-4                0        0.0%                    0-4                0         0.0%
               5-19         (1,455)      -103.4%                   5-19           (1,455)    -36.4%
               20-34          476         33.8%                    20-34            476       15.4%
               35-64         2,091        148.6%                   35-64          2,091       39.4%
               65+            295         21.0%                    65+             295        15.4%
            TOTALS           1,408        100.0%                 TOTALS           1,408         9.3%


            *1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION RATE
            "REPRESENTS A PERCENT OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                                 POPROI









          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P. loc


          REPORT C             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            DATE:   7/26/94


          AGE OF       2000*      2000*                           AGE OF       2010*      2010*
          COHORT TOTAL              %                             COHORT TOTAL              %
             0-4           780        4.6%                           0-4           777        4.2%
             5-19       3,585       21.2%                           5-19        3,346       18.0%
             20-34      3,962       23.4%                           20-34       3,376       18.2%
             35-64      6,211       36.7%                           35-64       8,471       45.6%
             65+        2,384       14.1%                           65+         2,591       14.0%
          TOTALS       16,922       100.0%                        TOTALS       18,561      100.0%



          AGE OF       2000*      2000*      2000*      2000*       2000*      2000*
          COHORT       TOTAL        %        MALE         %       FEMALE        %
             0-14       2,816       16.6%      1,464      52.0%      1,351      48.0%
             15-24      2,503       14.8%      1,298      51.8%      1,206      48.2%
             25-34      3,008       17.8%      1,705      56.7%      1,303      43.3%
             35-44      2,337       13.8%      1', 156    49.5%      1,181      50.5%
             45-54      2,398       14.2%      1,206      50.3%      1,192      49.7%
             55-64      1,476         8.7%      753       51.0%        723      49.0%
             65-74      1,125         6.6%      455       40.5%        669      59.5%
             75+        1,259         7.4%      407       32.3%        852      67.7%
          TOTALS       16,922       100.0%     8,445      49.9%      8,478      50.1%


          AGE OF       2010*      2010*      2010*      2010*       2010*      2010*
          COHORT       TOTAL        %        MALE         %       FEMALE        %
             0-14       2,835       15.3%      1,471      51.9%      1,364      48.1%
             15-24      2,187       11.8%      1,169      53.4%      1,020      46.6%
             25-34      2,477       13.3%      1,276      51.5%      1,217      49.1%
             35-44      3,820       20.6%      2,200      57.6%      1,610      31.3%
             45-54      2,416       13.00/,    1,227      50.8%      1,195      45.4%
             55-64      2,235       12.0%      1,136      50.8%      1,097      29.5%
             65-74      1,171         6.3%      512       43.7%        659      89.2%
             75+        1,420         7.7%      394       27.8%      1,045      73.6%
          TOTALS       18,561       100.0%     9,384      50.6%      9,207      49.6%






          *1970 - 1980 NET MIGRATION RATE                                              POPROI









          HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P. lic


          REPORT C             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                           DATE: 7/26/94


                                           OLDER CITIZENS


          AGE OF      2000*       2000*      2000*      2000*      2000*      2000*
          COHORT TOTAL              %        MALE         %        FEMALE       %
            65-69         515       21.6%       222       43.1%        293      56.9%
            70-74         610       25.6%       233       38.3%        377      61.7%
            75-79         573       24.00/6     219       38.3%        354      61.7%
            80-84         394       16.5%       109       27.8%        285      72.2%
            85+           292       12.2%          78     26.8%        214      73.2%
          TOTALS         2,384     100.0%       863       36.2%      1,521      63.8%


          AGE OF       2010*      2010*      2010*      2010*      2010*      2010*
          COHORT TOTAL              %        MALE         %        FEMALE       %
            65-69         700       27.0%       325       46.4%        374      53.4%
            70-74         470       18.2%       187       39.7%        285      60.6%
            75-79         463       17.9%       152       32.8%        317      68.3%
            80-84         460       17.8%       112       24.4%        362      78.8%
            85+           497       19.2%       130       26.2%        366      73.7%
          TOTALS         2,591     100.0%       906       35.0%      1,704      65.8%


                                POPULATION CHANGE 1900 - 2010
                                  YEAR       POP. CHANGE             %
                                   1900        1,687      NA         NA
                                   1910        2,074        387      22.9%
                                   1920        2,212        138        6.7%
                                   1930        2,890        678      30.7%
                                   1940        3,602        712      24.'6%
                                   1950        7,475      3,873      107.5%
                                   1960      10,569       3,094      41.4%
                                   1970      12,038       1,469      13.9%
                                   1980      14,644       2,606      21.6%
                                   1990      15,108         464        3.2%
                                  2000*      16,922       1,814.     12.0%
                                  2010*      18,561       1,639        9.7%
                                 1960-10     18,561       7,992      75.6%


          *1970-1980 NETMIGRATION
          END OF REPORT C                                                              POPROI









         HARBCREK            A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                        PAGE11)


         REPORT D            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                      DATE: 7/26/94


         REPORT D AVG.THE 1970-80 & THE 1980-90 MIG.RTS.TO ARRIVE AT FUTURE POP.


         1970 -1990 NET MIGRATION RATE                     1970 - 1990 NET MIGRATION


                     1970-90  1970-90 1970-90              1970-80       1,909       15.9%
         AGE OF % CHNG       % CHNG     % CHNG             1980-90         192        1.3%
         COHORT TOTAL          MALE**  FEMALE"
         0-4          -13.8%     -12.3%   -15.2%
         5-9           13.4%     13.3%     13.6%           1990 FERTILITY RATE***
         10-14         27.1%     27.2%     27.0%
         15-19         43.9%     46.3%     41.5%            COHORT MALE FEMALE
         20-24        '-l 3.2%   -1.3%    -25.3%               0-4    0.101441 0.097463
         25-29        -39.7%     -45.5%   -33.3%
         30-34         14.0%     14.6%     14.8%
         35-39         31.1%     43.2%     20.6%
         40-44         10.3%      8.5%     12.0%
         45-49          1.5%      6.0%     -2.7%
         50-54          1.8%      3.4%       0.3%
         55-59         -1.5%     -0.1%     -2.9%
         60-64          0.1%      5.7%     -4.8%
         65-69         -2.5%     -3.3%     -1.7%
         70-74          7.3%     -2.2%     15.5%
         75-79         26.7%     17.9%     33.0%
         80-84         34.7%     12.4%     48.1%
         85+           38.0%     43.9%     35.7%
         TOTALS         4.1%      4.9%       3.3%
           AVG.        10.0%      9.9%       9.8%


                                       FERTILE FEMALES


           AGE        1970      1980      1990     2000*     2010*     1970-90 1990-10
         COHORT FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE FEMALE                    % CHNG % CHNG
           5-39       3,510      4,232    4,026      3,715     2,845      14.7%     -29.3%
           10-44      3,294      4,066    4,012      3,894     3,000     21.8%      -25.2%


         *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATES
         "ONLY THE MALE/FEMALE COLUMNS THROUGH 85+ ARE USED FOR PROJ.
         ***SMALL TOWN PLANNING HANDBOOK FORMULA                                POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE21)


           REPORT D               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2000* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        1990-00 1990-00 1990-00
           AGE OF         2000*       2000*      2000*       % OF CHANGE             CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           691          358         333         4.4%        (107)        (57)        (50)
              5-9           903          460         443         5.7%        (217)       (100)        (117)
              10-14       1,011          526         485         6.4%        (162)        (76)        (86)
              15-19       1,606          815         791         10.1%        (98)        (78)        (20)
              20-24       1,013          588         425         6.4%        (227)       (173)        (54)
              25-29       1,017          479         538         6.4%         258         127         131
              30-34       1,404          857         546         8.8%         307         322         (16)
              35-39         982          495         487         6.2%        (282)       (133)        (149)
              40-44       1,188          566         622         7.5%         137          61          76
              45-49       1,248          642         606         7.9%         331         155         176
              50-54       1,022          492         530         6.4%         357         181         176
              55-59         839          442         397         5.3%         194         124          70
              60-64         593          282         311         3.7%        (169)        (77)        (92)
              65-69         525          241         284         3.3%        (123)        (80)        (43)
              70-74         625          241         384         3.9%         101          13          88
              75-79         537          215         321         3.4%         195          84         110
              80-84         381          112         269         2.4%         158          47         ill
              85+           284            78        205         1.8%         108          27          80
           TOTALS         15,867        7,890       7,978      100.0%         759         368         392
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.7%        50.3%      NA          100.0%        48.4%       51.6%


           AGE OF         2000*       2000*                 AGE OF        1990-00     1990-00
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                     COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4           691          4.4%                  0-4           (107)      -13.5%
              5-19        3,520        22.2%                  5-19           (477)      -11.9%
              20-34       3,434        21.6%                  20-34           338        10.9%
              35-64       5,872        37.0%                  35-64           568        10.7%
              65+         2,351        14.8%                  65+             438        22.9%
           TOTALS         15,867       100.0%               TOTALS            759         5.0%


           *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE                                               POPROI









           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE3D


           REPORT D                HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2005* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2000-05 2000-05 2000-05
           AGE OF         2005*       2005*      2005*         % OF CHANGE           CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT        TOTAL        MALE       FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE        FEMALE
              0-4            774         395         379         4.9%          84          37          47
              5-9            689         357         332         4.4%          (214)     (103)       (111)
              10-14          902         460         443         5.7%          (109)       (66)        (42)
              15-19        1,008         524         484         6.4%          (597)     (291)       (306)
              20-24        1,598         809         789         10.1%         .585        221         363
              25-29        1,007         583         424         6.4%          (10)        104       (114)
              30-34        1,011         475         536         6.4%          (393)     (383)         (10)
              35-39        1,393         849         544         8.8%          411         354         57
              40-44          971         488         483         6.2%          (217)       (79)      (139)
              45-49        1,168         554         614         7.4%          (80)        (88)           8
              50-54        1,212         618         594         7.7%          190         126         64
              55-59          978         464         514         6.2%          139         22          117
              60-64          780         402         378         5.0%          187         120         67
              65-69          532         243         289         3.4%            6           2            5
              70-74          445         192         253         2.8%          (180)       (49)      (131)
              75-79          491         172         319         3.1%          (46)        (43)          (2)
              80-84          369         132         237         2.3%          (12)        20          (32)
              85+            430         107         323         2.7%          146         28          118
           TOTALS         15,758        7,822       7,936      100.0%          (110)       (68)        (42)
           PERCENT        100.0%        49.6%       50.4%       NA         100.0%        61.7%       38.3%


           AGE OF         2005*       2005*                 AGE OF        2000-05     2000-05
           COHORT        TOTAL          %                    COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4            774         4.9%                   0-4            84          2.4%
              5-19         2,600        16. 5%                 5-19            (920)    -26.8%
              20-34        3,616        22.9%                  20-34           182         3.1%
              35-64        6,502        41.3%                  35-64           630       26.8%
              65+          2,266        14.4%                  65+             (85)      -0.5%
           TOTALS         15,758       100.0%               TOTALS             (110)     -0.7%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                   PAGE4D


           REPORT D               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


           POPULATION PROJECTION*


           HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                            2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                        2005-10 2005-10 2005-10
           AGE OF 2010*               2010*      2010*        % OF CHANGE            CHANGE      CHANGE
           COHORT        TOTAL        MALE      FEMALE       TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE       FEMALE
              0-4           739          377         362         4.8%         (36)        (18)        (17)
              5-9           773'         394         379         5.0%          84           37         47
              10-14         688          357         332         4.5%       (214)        (103)       (111)
              15-19         900          458         442         5.8%       (108)         (66)        (42)
              20-24       1,003          520         483         6.5%       (594)        (289)       (306)
              25-29       1,588          802         787         10.3%        582         219         362
              30-34       1,000          578         423         6.5%         (11)        103        (114)
              35-39       1,004          470         534         6.5%       (389)        (379)        (10)
              40-44       1,377          837         539         8.90/0       406         349          56
              45-49         954          477         477         6.2%       (214)         (77)       (137)
              50-54       1,135          533         602         7.4%         (77)        (85)           7
              55-59       1,159          582         577         7.5%         181         119          62
              60-64         912          422         490         5.9%         132           20        112
              65-69         697          346         351         4.5%         166         103          62
              70-74         451          194         257         2.9%            6           1           4
              75-79         347          137         210         2.2%       (144)         (35)       (109)
              80-84         341          105         235         2.20/.       (28)        (26)          (2)
              85+           369            98        270         2.4%         (61)          (8)       (53)
           TOTALS         15,437       7,688        7,749     100.0%        (321)        (134)       (187)
           PERCENT        100.0%       49.8%       50.2%        NA        100.0%         41.7%       58.3%


           AGE OF        2010*        2010*                 AGE OF       2005-10     2005-10
           COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE      % CHNG
              0-4           739          4.8%                   0-4           (36)       -1.4%
              5-19        2,361        15.3%                  5-19          (239)        -6.6%
              20-34       3,592        23.3%                  20-34           (24)       -0.4%
              35-64       6,540        42.4%                  35-64            39         1.7%
              65+         2,204        14.3%                  65+             (62)       -0.4%
           TOTALS         15,437       100.0%               TOTALS          (321)        -2.0%


           *ZERO NET MIGRATION                                                                  POPROI









            HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE5D


            REPORT D               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


            POPULATION PROJECTIONS*


            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                           2010* POPULATION BY AGE/SEX


                                                                         2000-10 2000-10 2000-10
            AGE OF 2010*             2010*       2010*         % OF CHANGE           CHANGE      CHANGE
            COHORT TOTAL             MALE        FEMALE      TOTAL        TOTAL       MALE        FEMALE
              0-4            637          330        307         3.9%         (53)        (28)         (26)
              5-9            877          447        430         5.4%         (27)        (14)         (13)
              10-14          875          454        421         5.4%         (136)       (72)         (64)
              15-19        1,295          670        625         8.0%         (310)      (145)        (165)
              20-24          875          514        361         5.4%         (138)       (74)         (64)
              25-29          962          437        524         5.9%         (55)        (42)         (14)
              30-34        1,147          662        485         7.1%         (256)      (195)         (61)
              35-39        1,317          673        644         8.1%         335         178          157
              40-44        1,512          908        604         9.3%         324         341          (17)
              45-49          970          505        464         6.0%         (278)      (136)        (142)
              50-54        1,156          552        604         7.1%         133           60          74
              55-59        1,142          582        560         7.0%         303         140          163
              60-64          912          446        466         5.6%         319         164          155
              65-69          680          335        345         4.2%         155           94          61
              70-74          486          190        297         3.0%         (139)       (52)         (87)
              75-79          441          162        279         2.7%         (96)        (54)         (42)
              80-84          467          118        349         2.9%           86            7         80
              85+            508          142        367         3.1%         225           63         162
            TOTALS        16,258        8,125       8,133      100.0%         391         236          155
            PERCENT       100.0%        50.0%       50.0%       NA         100.0%        60.3%        39.7%


            AGE OF        2010*      2010*                  AGE OF        2000-10     2000-10
            COHORT        TOTAL         %                    COHORT      CHANGE     % CHNG
              0-4            637          3.9%                 0-4            (53)       -7.7%
              5-19         3,046        18.7%                  5-19           (473)      -13.40%
              20-34        2,984        18.4%                  20-34          (450)      -13.1%
              35-64        7,008        43.1%                  35-64         1,136       19.4%
              65+          2,582        15.9%                  65+            231         9.8%
            TOTALS        16,258       100.0%               TOTALS            391         2.5%


            *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE                                              POPROI









            HARBCREK                 A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                     PAGE61)


            REPORT D                 HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                                  DATE: 7/26/94


                                     1990 - 2010 POPULATION CHANGE


                          1990-10      1990-10      1990-10      1990-10      1990-10     1990-10
            AGE OF       CHANGE       CHANGE       CHANGE      % CHNG       % CHNG        % CHNG
            COHORT TOTAL               MALE         FEMALE       TOTAL        MALE        FEMALE
               0-4            (161)         (85)         (76)      -20.1%        -20.4%      -19.9%
               5-9            (243)        (113)        (130)      -21.7%        -20.3%      -23.2%
              10-14           (298)        (148)        (150)      -25.4%        -24.6%      -26.3%
              15-19           (409)        (223)        (186)      -24.0%        -25.00/6    -22.9%
              20-24           (365)        (247)        (118)      -29.5%        -32.5%      -24.6%
              25-29           203            85          117        26.7%        24.2%        28.9%
              30-34             50          127          (77)        4.6%        23.8%       -13.7%
              35-39             53           45             8        4.2%         7.2%         1.2%
              40-44           461           403           58        43.9%        79.8%        10.7%
              45-49             53           18           34         5.8%         3.8%         8.0%
              50-54           491           241          250        73.8%        77.4%        70.6%
              55-59           497           264          233        77.0%        82.9%        71.2%
              60-64           150            87           63        19.7%        24.2%        15.7%
              65-69             32           14           18         4.9%         4.3%         5.5%
              70-74             (38)        (38)            1       -7.2%        -16.9%        0.2%
              75-79             99           31           68        28.9%        23.6%        32.3%
              80-84           244            53          191       109.4%        82.0%       120.7%
              85+             332            91          242       188.9%        177.7%      193.4%
            TOTALS           1,150          603          547         7.6%         8.0%         7.2%
            PERCENT 100.0%                 52.5%       47.5%       100.0%        105.4%       94.7%


            AGE OF 1990-10             1990-10                  AGE OF        1990-10-    1990-10
            COHORT TOTAL                 %**                    COHORT       CHANGE       % CHNG
               0-4            (161)      -14.0%                    0-4            (161)      -20.1%
              5-19            (951)      -82.7%                    5-19           (951)      -23.8%
              20-34           (112)        -9.8%                   20-34          (112)       -3.6%
              35-64          1,704       148.2%                    35-64         1,704        32.1%
              65+             669          58.2%                   65+            669         35.0%
            TOTALS           1,150       100.00/0                TOTALS          1,150         7.6%



            *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE
            "REPRESENTS A PERCENT OF THE TOTAL CHANGE                                                 POPROI










           HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                                  PAGE7D


           REPORT D               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                               DATE: 7/26/94


                                              AGE CHARACTERISTICS


           AGE OF        2000*      2000*                              AGE OF        2010*      2010*
           COHORT TOTAL                %                               COHORT TOTAL                %
              0-4            774         4.9%                             0-4            637         3.9%
              5-19        2,600        16.5%                             5-19         3,046        18.7%
              20-34       3,616        22.9%                             20-34        2,984        18.4%
              35-64       6,502        41.3%                             35-64        7,008        43.1%
              65+         2,266        14.4%                             65+          2,582        15.9%
           TOTALS        15,758       100.00/0                         TOTALS        16,258       100.0%


                                              AGE BY SEX


           AGE OF        2000*      2000*        2000*       2000*       2000*       2000*
           COHORT        TOTAL         %         MALE          %       FEMALE          %
              0-14        2,366        15.0%      1,212        51.2%      1,154        48.8%
              15-24       2,606        16.5%      1,333        51.1%      1,273        48.9%
              25-34       2,018        12.8%      1,058        52.4%        960        47.6%
              35-44       2,364        15.0%      1,337        56.6%      1,027        43.4%
              45-54       2,380        15.1%      1,172        49.2%      1,208        50.8%
              55-64       1,758        11.2%        865        49.2%        893        50.8%
              65-74          977         6.2%       435        44.6%        541        55.4%
              75+         1,289          8.2%       410        31.8%        879        68.2%
           TOTALS        15,758        100.0%     7,822        49.6%      7,936        50.4%


           AGE OF        2010*      2010*        2010*       2010*       2010*       2010*
           COHORT        TOTAL         %         MALE          %       FEMALE          %
              0-14        2,388        14.7%      1,231        51.5%      1,158        48.5%
              15-24       2,170        13.3-0/6   1,183        54.5%        987        45.5%
              25-34       2,109        13.0%      1,100        52.1%      1,009        47.9%
              35-44       2,829        17.4%      1,581        55.9%      1,248        44.1%
              45-54       2,125        13.1%      1,057        49.7%      1,068        50.3%
              55-64       2,054        12.6%      1,027        50.0%      1,026        50.0%
              65-74       1,166          7.2%       524        45.0%        642        55.0%
              75+         1,416          8.7%       422        29.8%        994        70.2%
           TOTALS        16,258        100.0%     8,125        50.0%      8,133        50.0%


           *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE









         HARBCREK           A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                        PAGE81)


         REPORT D            HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                       DATE: 7/26/94


                                       OLDER CITIZENS


         AGE OF      2000*     2000*     2000*     2000*     2000*      2000*
         COHORT TOTAL            %       MALE        %       FEMALE       %
           65-69       532       23.5%      243      45.7%      289       54.3%
           70-74       445       19.6%      192      43.2%      253       56.8%
           75-79       491       21.7%      172      35.1%      319       64.9%
           80-84       369       16.3%      132      35.7%      237       64.3%
           85+         430       19.010/0   107      24.8%      323       75.2%
         TOTALS        2,266    100.0%      846      37.3%      1,420     62.7%


         AGE OF      2010*     2010*     2010*     2010*     201D*      2010*
         COHORT TOTAL            %       MALE        %       FEMALE       %
           65-69       680       26.30/6    335      49.3%      345       50.7%
           70-74       486       18.8%      190      39.0%      297       61.0%
           75-79       441       17.1%      162      36.7%      279       63.3%
           80-84       467       18.1%      118      25.3%      349       74.7%
           85+         508       19.7%      142      27.9%      367       72.1%
         TOTALS        2,582    100.0%      946      36.6%      1,636     63.4%

























         *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE                                POPROI









        HARBCREK             A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                        PAGE9D


        REPORT D             HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                     DATE:      7/26/94


                             1900 - 2010 POPULATION CHANGE



                                                                      CUMILITIVE
                                YEAR      POP. NUMBER % CHNG % CHNG
                                1900       1,687     NA         NA        NA
                                1910       2,074       387      22.9%     22.9%
                                1920       2,212       138       6.7%     31.1%
                                1930       2,890       678      30.7%     71.3%
                                1940       3,602       712      24.6%    113.5%
                                1950       7,475     3,873      107.5%   343.1%
                                1960      10,569     3,094      41.4%    526.5%
                                1970      12,038     1,469      13.9%    613.6%
                                1980      14,644     2,606      21.6%    768.0%
                                1990      15,108       464       3.2%    795.6%
                                2000*     15,867       759       5.0%    840.6%
                                2010*     16,258       391       2.5%    863.7%
                              1960-10     16,258     5,689      153.8%    NA
























         *1970 - 1990 AVERAGE NET MIGRATION RATE










         HARBCREK               A/G/A POPULATION PROJECTIONS                              P.10D


         REPORT D               HARBORCREEK TOWNSHIP                         DATE:      7/26/94


                                COMPARABLE POPULATION PROJECTIONS


         A/G/A ZERO NET MIGRATION
            YEAR       POP. CHANGE          % CHNG
            1960       10,569       3,094       41.4%
            1970       12,038       1,469       13.9%
            1980       14,644       2,606       21.6%
            1990       15,108         464        3.2%
            2000*      15,114            6       0.0%
            2010*      14,831         (284)     -1.9%


         A/G/A HIGHEST
            YEAR       POP.      CHANGE     % CHNG
            1960       10,569       3,094       41.4%
            1970       12,038       1,469       13.9%
            1980       14,644       2,606       21.6%
            1990       15,108         464        3.2%
            2000*      16,922       1,814       12.0%
            2010*      18,561       1,639        9.7%


         A/G/A 1970-1990 AVG. NET MIGRATION
            YEAR       POP. CHANGE          % CHNG
            1960       10,569       3,094       41.4%
            1970       12,038       1,469       13.9%
            1980       14,644       2,606       21.6%
            1990       15,108         464        3.2%
            2000*      15,867         759        5.0%
            2010*      16,258         391        2.5%


         A/G/A LOWEST
            YEAR       POP.      CHANGE     % CHNG
            1960       10,569       3,094       41.4%
            1970       12,038       1,469       13.9%
            1980       14,644       2,606       21.6%
            1990       15,108         464        3.2%
            2000*      14,812         (296)     -2.0%
            2010*      13,938         (874)     -5.9%
         END OF REPORT D                                                                POPROI







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