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CO c7sta/ _Ab fo 017e. @Matio, Cef7t er Areawide Water Quality Management Plan Prepared by.the \onning W a t RHODE ISLAND STATEWIDE 0 PLANNING RROGRAM c 140r,iV@ plementation 'Rublic 0 _0 co HB "44 JIM. 849 53 .H3 -MIL 1977 coo 017e 0taZ /7 rr)7ati oil C @et ) Iter @A ---LROSE STREET --------JENC@E RHODE ISLAND The Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program, a division of the Department of Administration, is the central planning agency for state government. The work of the Program is guided by the State Planning Council, comprised of state, local, public, and federal representatives. The objectives of the Program are to plan for the physical, economic, and social development of the -state to coordinate the activities of governmental agencies and private individuals and groups within this framework of plans and programs and to provide planning assistance to the Governor, the General Assembly, and the agencies of state government. Program activities are assisted by federal grants through jointly funded assistance. The contents of this report reflect the views of the Statewide Planning Program, which is responsible for the accuracy of the facts and data presented herein. The contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the sponsoring agencies. This publication is based upon publicly-supported researc.h and may not be copyrighted. It may be reprinted, in part or in full, with the customary crediting of the source. C POPULATION AND ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS PrOPerty Of CSC Library U - S - DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE NOAA CIO COASTAL SERVICES CENTER 2234 SOUTH HOBSON AVENUE CHARLESTON SC 2940'-24 13 Prepared Pursuant to Title- II, Section 208 Federal Water Pollution Control Act Amendments of 1972 July, 1977 C4_ C@_ Areawide Water Quality Management Planning Project Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program 265 Melrose Street Providence, Rhode Island 02907 _T 4- (401) 277-2656 THE STATE OF RHODE ISLAND AND PROVIDENCE PLANTATIONS J. Joseph Garrahy, Governor RHODE ISLAND STATEWIDE PLANNING PROGRAM The State Planning Council Mt. Robert E. Liguori, Director, Rhode Island Department of Administration .(Chairman) Honorable Humphrey J. Donnelly, III, Mayor, City of Newport Mr. John J. Affleck, Director,. R.I. Department of Social and.Mhabilitative @Services Mr. Edward Casey, Executive Director, R.I. Federation of Teachers, AFT AFL-CIO Honorable Vincent A. Cianci, Jr., Mayor, City of Providence Mr. Wendall Flanders, Director, R. 1. Department of Transportation Reverend Francis J. Giudice, Vicar for Community Affairs, Diocese of Providence Ms. Mary C. Hackett, Director, R.I. Department of Employment Security Mr. Gordon G. Hoxie, Division Administrator, Federal Highway Administration Ms. Pauline Leven, President, Council for Community Services, Inc. Honorable Dennis M. Lynch, Mayor, City of Pawtucket Mr. John Lyons,-Chairman,, Coastal Resources Management Council Ms. Patricia A. Mathews, Deputy Director, the Urban League Mr. Edmund M. Mauro, Jr., Chairman, the Providence Foundation Mr. Edwin P. Palumbo, Executive Director, R. I. Consumer's Coundil Mr. Robert K. Pirraglia, Special Assistant to the Governor Mr. Robert J. Rahill, Executive Assistant for Policy and Program Review, Office of the Governor Mr. James 0. Roberson, Director, R. I. Department of Economic Development Ms. Lucy Schmidt, Barrington,. R4I. Mr.'Raymond W. Stone, Federal Aviation Administration State Planning Council., continued Honorable James L. Taft, Jr., Mayor, City of Cranston Honorable Jose ph P. Walsh, Mayor, City of Warwick Mr. Frederick C. Williamson, Director, R. I. Department of Community Affairs Mrs. Marion Wolk, Save the Bay, Inc. The Technical Committee Mr. Ernest Friday, Planning and Program Coordinator, Rhode Island Department of Community Affairs (Chairman) Mr. Francis H. Dutra, Chief of Planning, Rhode Island Department of Transportation (Vice Chairman) Mr. Robert Bendick, Jr., Planning Director, City of Woonsocket Mr. Paul Carvisiglia, Executive Director, Health Planning Council, Inc. Mr. Alfred Conca, Budget Examiner, Rhode Island Department of Administration Mr. David Davies, Rhode Island League of Cities and Towns Mr. Calvin Dunwoody, Chief, Division of Planning and Development, Rhode Island Department of Natural Resources Mr. Vartges Engustian, Director, Department of Public Works, City of East Providence Professor Dieter HammerschlAg, Associate Professor of Urban Design, 'University of Rhode Island Mr. Eric Jankel, Office of the Governor Professor Leo Kadanoff, Physics Department, Brown University Mr. Jerome Lessuck, Economist, Rhode Island Department of Economic Development Mr. Carleton Maine, Chief, Division of Water Supply and Pollution Control, Rhode Island Department of Health Mr. Francis J. Perry, Design Engineer, Rhode Island Department of Transportation Mr. Marvin Perry, Chief, Division of Standards and Planning, Rhode Island Department of Employment Security Mr. Nicholas P. Retsinas, Director, Office of Community Affairs, Pawtucket Mr. David Rosenfield, Planning and Research Engineer, Federal Highway Administration, Mr. Robert Russ, General Manager, Rhode Island Water Resources Board Mr. William Sutton, Chief, Division of Planning and Development, Rhode Island Department of Community Affairs Mr. Charles Wood, Division of Public.Utilities and Carriers iv THE AREAWIDE POLICY COMMITTEE BARRINGTON William A. Halliwell, Assistant to Town Manager BRISTOL Anthony E. Agatiello, Town Administrator BURRILLVILLE Lorraine Contre CENTRAL FALLS Robert W. Gilstein, Planning Director CHARLESTOWN C. Robert McLean, Town Council President COVENTRY Arnold L. Blasbalg,. Town Council,President CRANSTON Stanton M. Latham, Public Works Director CUMBERLAND Edward J. Hayden, Town Administrator EAST GREENWICH John K. Cook, Public Works Director EAST PROVIDENCE Frank P. Hertel, City Engineer EXETER Lewis E. Peck, Jr., Town Councilman FOSTER Edwin J. Luther, Town Councilman, GLOCESTER Anthony Calouri, Town Council President HOPKINTON Joseph L. Cypriano, Town Council President JAMESTOWN Robert W. Sutton, Jr., Town Administrator JOHNSTON Ralph A. aRusso, Mayor LINCOLN Maurice P. Trudeau, Town Engineer LITTLE COMPTON Richard C. Almy, Town Councilman MIDDLETOWN Raymond J. Jacome, Director of Public Works NARRAGANSETT George-R. Allaire, Acting Public Works Director NEWPORT Samuel L. Jernigan, Planning Director NEW SHOREHAM Herbert S. Whitman, First Warden. NORTH.KINGSTOWN Lloyd J. Sherman, Public Works Director NORTH PROVIDENCE Ronald Poirier, Conservation Commissioner NORTH SMITHFIELD Steven J. Carlson, Conservation Commissi.oner PAWTUCKET Edward M. Hennigan, Planning Director PORTSMOUTH John 0. Thayer, Town Administrator PROVIDENCE John R. Kellam, Supervisor, Long Range Planning Department of Planning and,Urban .@Development v RICHMOND Richard J. Hull, Councilman SCITUATE Thomas R. Yeaw, Town Council President SMITHFIELD William T. Garriepy, Sewer Authority SOUTH KINGSTOWN Norman Bampton, Town Engineer & Utilities Director TIVERTON Raymond.Dias, Town.Council President WARREN John M. Jannitto, Chairman., Warren Sewer Commission WARWICK Leonard T. Maynard, Engineer, Sewer Authority WESTERLY John, F. Donnoe, Town Manager WEST GREENWICH Robert H. Maguire, Town Council President WEST WARWICK John O'Hare, Town Planner WOONSOCKET Hedley V. Patterson, III, Public Works Director Massachusetts Communities: BLACKSTONE Raymond J. Howland, Town Administrator MILLVILLE Charles Bourassa, Board of Selectmen vi THE CITIZENS' IPOLICY COMMITTEE Mark Gould, Chairperson Steven H. Carlson Armen Casparian William Comery James E. Crowley Robert Ferry. James A. Haigh, Jr. Francis Kelly Richard Kerr Virginia McConnell Richard Malachowski Robert Mauro John Schultz Hugh Sheran Donald Silversmith James Simon Barbara Spraragen PREFACE Section 208 of the Federal Water Pollution Control Act Amendments of 1972 (PL 92-500) mandates@that areawide water quality management plans be developed and implemented to assure adequate control of all sources of pollution in each state. On April 23, 1975, in response to this federal mandate, the Honorable Philip W. Noel, then Governor of Rhode Island, designated 38 Rhode Island com- munities and the two neighboring Massachusetts towns of Blackstone and Millville as a single "208" planning area. The Rhode.Island Statewide Planning'Program (SPP) also was designated at this time as the agency responsible for developing the Rhode Island area "208" plan. On June 25, 1975 the U.S. Environmental Pro- tection Agency-(EPA) awarded the state $2.3 million to conduct the study. The main objective of the Rhode'Island "208" planning programis to develop a water quality management plan which is capable of attaining the Act's 1983 goals - fishable and swimmable water quality, wherever possible. To achieve this goal, the "208" plan will need-to establish management strategies for all activities associated with the generation of point and non-point sources of pollu- tion. Non-point sources of pollution are diffuse sources that do not usually emanate from a pipe. These include leachate from landfills and malfunctioning septic tanks, recreational boat marinas, erosion and sedimentation, hydrologic modifications, and urban runoff. Point sources are more easily recognizable and are usually pipe discharges.from industrial and municipal wastewater treatment facilitie 's and combined sewer overflows. Management strategies to control the discharge of pollutants from the point and non-point sources could take the form of regionalization of services, discharge limitations, land.use regulations, con- servation measures, legislation changes, etc. In order to properly identify, feasible management alternatives, it is necessary to inventory various existing structural and management controls. This report contains population and economic pro jections for the "208" plan- ning area and a discussion of the influence of those factors on water quality. Although this is a single report of a multi-phased program, future "208" planning decisions will be based on the results of these reports. Therefore, it is impor- tant that these reports be as accurate as possible. Public comment on this and othe'r outputs of the "208" planning program is welcomed and appreciated * Only with this public input can the water quality goalsland needs of Rhode Island's "208" planning program and area be realized. This report was prepared by Teree Lee Hartt, AIP', environmental planner, under the supervision of Thomas Brueckner, project manager. Population, employ- ment, and labor force projections were prepared by Chester F. Symanski, principal research technician. Other staff members assisting in this project were Patrick T. Lee, environmental planner and James A. Andrade, electronic computer program- mer. Additional assistance was provided by Paul R. Manning, principal planner, Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission, and Robert Lussier, research analyst, Rhode Island Department of Economic Development. viii NOTE ON REPORT FORMAT This document incorporates a simple and efficient system for identifying source materials consulted. This scheme replaces the usual numbered footnotes placed at the bottom of text pages or in a separate list at the end of the document. Instead, numbers in double parentheses, e.g. ((3:59)), follow the quoted or paraphrased material in the text. The first number refers to the reference number listed in the bibliography. The number after the colon refers to the page number in the reference work. If material in the text has been derived from more than one source, the notation indicates all pages. Occasion- ally, a reference will have no numbers, in which case a section, table, or other feature is cited, if possible. ix T A B L E 0 F C 0 N T E N T S Page Preface . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . viii Introduction . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Population Projections . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . .. Public Input . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . 2 Employment and Labor Force Projections . . . ... . . . 5 Economic Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . 5 Population Projections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 Employment and Labor Force Forecasts . . . . . . . . . . . 15 Economic Statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Influence of Population and Economic Development on Water Quality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 References . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 52 x L I S T 0 F 'T A B L.E S P a g e Population Replies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . 4 Rhode Island.Population Estimates: 1970 to 1974 . . . . . . .. . . 9 Rhode Island Population Projections: 1975 to 1979 . . . . . . . . 10 Rhode Island Population Projections: 1970 to 1990 . . . . . . . 11 Rhode Island Population Projections: 1995 to 2015 . . . . . . . . 12 Rhode Island Population Projections: 2020 to 2040 . . . . . . . . 13 Massachusetts Population Projections: 1975 to 2000 . . . . . . . . . 14 Resident Civilian Labor Force in Rhode Island: 1976 . . . . . . . 16 Rhode Island Employment and Labor Force Forecasts: 1975 to 2000 17 Adjusted Socio-Economic Data: 1980 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 Adjusted Socio-Economic Data: 2000 . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . 19 Characteristics of the Labor Force: 1960 . . . . . . . . . ... . 20 Employment and Labor Force Projections: 1980 and 2000 . . . . . . 20 Resident Employment: 1974 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Median Family Income, 1969, and Estimates, 1976 . . . . . . . . . 23 Rhode Island Personal Income: T929 to 1975 . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Rhode Island'Personal Income by Source: 1973 to 1975 . . . . . .. 27 Rhode Island Total Personal Income by Source for Selected Years: 1929 to 1949 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Rhode-Island Total Personal Income by Source: 1950 to 1963 . . . 29 Distribution of Family Income for Rhode Island: 1969 . . . . .. . 30 Med i an Fami 1 y Income f or Rhode I s 1 a nd: 1949 to 1969 . . . . . . . 31 New Industrial Construction in Rhode Island: 1955 to 1976 . . . . 33 New Construction for Manufacturers in Rhode Island: 1955 to 1976. 34 New Industrial Construction in Rhode Island by Industry: 1959 to 1976 . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 New Commercial. Construction in Rhode Island: 1966 to 1976 . . . . 36 xi L I S 'T 0 F T A B L E S (cont. Page New Commercial Construction in Rhode Island by County, City and Town: 1966 to 1976 . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Capital Expenditures for New Plants,& Equipment in Rhode Island: 1947 to 1973 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Community Tax Rates in Rhode Island: 1967 to 1976 . . . . . . . . 39 Local Government Revenue and Expenditures: 1975 .. . . . . . . . 40 L I S T 0 F F I G,U R E S Unemployment as a Percentage of Civilian Labor Force: 1947 to 1975 Annual Averages . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Distribution of Total Wage & Salary Employment in Rhode Island, 1976 . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Rhode Island Total Mon-Farm Wage and Salary Employment: 1939 to 1975 . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . 26 New Industrial Construction in Rhode Island: 1958 to 1976 . . . . 32 xii INTRODUCTION INTRODUCTION An accurate data base is a prerequisite to.any successful planning process. The size and density of the population and the extent and type of economic activ- ity in an area determine the level of demand for future facilities and serve as indicators of future problems. With regard to water quality issues, these data are needed to evaluate development pressures and trends, projected wastewater generation, and the ability of the various levels of government to finance needed facilities and pro- grams for water quality improvement and maintenance. PopulationProjections As a part of its regular activities, the Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program prepares population projections for the entire state and for its politi- cal subdivisions. This process.was last completed in April, 1975, with the pub- lication.of Technical Paper 25, Rhode island Population Projections by County, City and-Town. This paper contains projections at five-year intervals to the year 2040, and it includes annual levels to 1979. In Rhode Island, standard cohort-component procedures are used to project state totals, while.city and town totals are based on trends obtained using cohort-ratio methods. Initial adjustments are.made for annual.city and town estimates based on federal income tax returns, distributions of new residential buildings,'and with consideration given to local expectations of anticipated pop- ulation levels. Estimates of the effects of the closing of two Ttajor military bases, particularly the impact of out-migration of military dependents, also are reflected in the projections. In 1976, some of the city and town totals were reviewed and. updated in con- junction with the citizen review of the.Interstate 895 proposal. These changes are incorporated -in this report. The Towns of Blackstone and Millville, Massachusetts, which are included in the Rhode Island "208" planning area, are part of the Central Massachusetts Regional Planning District. Staff members for the regional planning commission regularly compile statistical data for all communitites in the district, and these data includepopulaton projections. The most recent projections for Blackstone and Millville were completed in 1975. These figures, in five-year intervals to the year 2000, were calculated using standard cohort-survival techni.ques,.adjusted to give high and low esti- mates. Public Input In order to insure adequate local participation in the preparation of these projections, the "208" staff members sent copies*of the city and town projections from Technical Paper 25 to the city or town planner or planning board chair- person of each Rhode Island community for comment. The Central Massachusetts 2 Regional Planning Commission figures were forwarded to the Areawide Policy Committee representatives from Blackstone and Millville. Responses were received from 21 of the 41 communities involved, and most respondents indicated that the projections were acceptable as presented. A summary of the responses is shown on the table on the next page. The more detailed analysis of the communities in the Interstate 895 corri dor study resulted in modifications in the projections for'several municipali-. ties: Newport, Richmond and South Kingstown were adjusted in the direction indicated appropriate on the "208" population reply sheet. North Kingstown, however, was adjusted in the opposite direction; that is, the projected totals were decreased, while the town planner believed.the figures to be already too low. Since the "208" Program deals with wastewater treatment .problems, projected' population growth in Urban areas, where sewers already are available, is less crucial than growth in less developed areas, where there is a heavier depen- dence on individual on-site waste disposal systems. Several of the communities whic.h'registered objections to the population figures are highly urbanized areas: Central Falls, Pawtucket and Newport. These differences are not con- sidered to be significant for "208" planning purposes. Of the suburban and rural communities which objected, South Kingstown and Richmond have been changed. New Shoreham and Glocester have very small total populations, and the projected differences are not considered significant for purposes of this study. The Town of North Kingstown has prepared projections which are close to those of Statewide Planning for 1990; the only differences are in when the expected growth.will occur. Again, the differences are not expected to significantly affect the "208" planning process. The replies from the individual communities are included in the Appendix to this report. After the population replies were received,.a letter was sent to all members of the Citizens'Policy Committee and to all members of the Areawide Policy Com- mittee reminding them that population projections are one of the required interim outputs of the "208" program, And that these data would be forwarded to EPA in the near future. No further comments were received from members of these two committees. The adjusted totals are correct within the limitations of available statis- tical techniques. Some are 'as, such as Providence County, have not been subjected to the detailed analysis; however, the figures are judged by.the Statewide Plan- ning Program staff to be substantially correct. Since calculation of population projections is an ongoing.activity of both the Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program and the Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission, the projections are subject to change. For the present, however, the projections included in this report will be utilized for "208" planning purposes. 3 POPULATION REPLIES Projections Projections Projections. Community Are Too High Are Too Low Are Acceptabl@ BARRINGTON x BLACKSTONE x BRISTOL X CENTRAL FALLS x CRANSTON x EAST GREENWICH x EAST PROVIDENCE x GLOCESTER x LITTLE COMPTON x MILLVILLE@ x NARRAGANSETT x NEWPORT x NEW SHOREHAM x NORTH KINGSTOWN x NORTH PROVIDENCE @x PAWTUCKET x PROVIDENCE x RICHMOND x SOUTH KINGSTOWN x WARWICK x WOONSOCKET x 4 Employment and Labor Force Projections The Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program utilizes a computer program for projecting a number of socio-economic variables by state, municipality, census tract, and traffic zone in five-year intervals. Employment and labor force projections are among those data the model is capable of producing, but these have not yet been programmed at other than the state level. Base period data were drawn from a number of sources, including the 1970 Census of Population and-information from several state agencies, including the Departments of Education, Transportation, Health, Labor, and Employment Security. The methodology for making these projections involves employing forecasted pop- ulation levels as independent variables tied to coefficients developed from a series of linear equations measuring average relationships of the various depen- dent variables, which in turn are used in many instances to measure subsequent ratios. Adjustments,to the employment and labor force projections currently are being prepared. When these are completed, a summary by city and town will be available. These adjustments result in figures showing resident employment and labor force. To date, only the 1980 and 2000 data have been adjusted, and these are presented in this report, by city and town. The unadjusted state totals are shown in five-year intervals to the year 2000. In Massachusetts, employment and labor force projections have not been pre- pared for Blackstone and Millville. In addition, the Massachusetts Department of Employment Security, which provides data on current.employment and.labor force, collects no data for Millville, because the town's population is less than 2000 persons. The Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission was unable to provide recent data for these two communities. Both Blackstone and Millville are associated with the Greater Woonsocket Chamber of Commerce. This organization supplied monographs for the two communi- ties, and these publications point out that Blackstone and Millville are closely tied to the City of Woonsocket, Rhode Island, and are dependent upon the indus- trialized Woonsocket area for employment. It is reasonable to assume, then that projected employment for these towns will be similar to that for Woonsocket. The projections included in this report have been prepared on that basis. Economic Trends Economic trends included in this report refer to the entire "208" planning area; that is' all statements which apply to Rhode Island also are considered to apply to Blackstone and Millville, Massachusetts. Although there are dis- similarities between the Rhode Island and Massachusetts economies, Blackstone and Millville are economically dependent upon and linked to the City of Woon- socket, Rhode Island. Therefore, these two Massachusetts communities are,not considered separately from Rhode Island. Economic analyses for Rhode Island are carried out primarily by the Depart- ment of Economic Development, which was created as an outgrowth of a massive economic renewal program approved by the General Assembly in May, 1974. The department has an ongoing program of economic research, planning and forecasting which is directed toward encouraging the location and development of,new indus- trial, commercial, and recreational facilities in Rhode Island. ((10:117)) 5 The closing of two major military installations in Rhode Island stimulated intensive activity by the state government to deal with both the short- and long-term effects of ending naval operations and of the national recession. This activity is of crucial importance in Rhode Island, as the state's labo 'r force is growing at a faster pace than the population. This anomaly is largely a result of the changing age composition of the population and of the changing migration patterns. There has been a continuing gap between the number of jobs and the number of unemployed persons seeking work. 2,)) Another feature of the Rhode Island economic picture is a change in the types of employment available. Manufacturing employment has been declining slowly, while jobs in the service industries have increased dramatically. At the same time, the location of sources of employment has been shifting: the share of the state's employment which was located in the older central cities (Central Falls, Newport, Pawtucket, Providence, and Woon@ocket) declined from 70% to 55% between 1958 and 1970. ((8:11)) The state has adopted an objective of "expanding and stabilizing the economic base so that good jobs and adequate incomes can be provided for all of Rhode . Island's citizens." In order to meet this objective, the state has undertaken a number of action programs, including offering financing incentives for new firms and for expansion of existing firms, encouraging exploration for oil and natural gas on the outer continental shelf, constructing industrial parks, and providing technical assistance to new and existing firms. 2 'At the same time, Rhode island is making an effort to improve the job oppor- tunities available by providing job training and job placement service and improv- ing access to employment through improved public transportation. The state has both on-the-job and classroom training. Rhode Island's nationally recognized job program trains workers for employment only in firms which pay wages substantially higher than minimum wage. 2 Rhode Island, like the rest of the nation, suffered a serious recession during 1975. It appears, however, that Rhode Island is disproportionately sensi- tive to setbacks in the national economy. The economic problems of the-state were further compounded by the-closing of the Quonset Point Naval Air Station and Charlestown Auxili.ary Air Station and the drastic reduction of activities at the Newport Navy Base and the Davisville Construction Battalion. ((9:2)) 'The base closings and reductions were completed early in 1975, but the impacts were felt earlier: during the year ending July 1, 1974, Rhode Island's population decreased by 30,000, and the state's unemployment rate was 7%,.compared with 5.2% nationally. 2 Energy shortages also affect Rhode Island more profoundly than most other states. Then northeastern region is approximately twice as dependent as the rest of the United States on oil as an energy source. In addition. a higher propor- tion of the oil used in the northeast is obtained from abroad, at prices in excess of those for domestic oil. ((9:3)) During 1976, the Rhode Island economy showed signs of recovery from the recession: total wage and salary employment increased by 17,100, or 4.9% from 1975; manufacturing employment gained by 9,700, or 8.6%, and non-manufacturing. 6 jobs,increased.by 7,400, or 3.1%. Production worker wages increased by 9.90/10, and the unemployment rate averaged 8.1%, down from 10.9% the previous year, but still above the national rate of 7.7%. ((5:13)) It is expected that Rhode Island will continue its slow economic improve- ment. Tables and figures showing key economic i6dicators areincluded in this report. 7 POPULATION PROJECTIONS RHODE ISLAND POPULATION ESTIMATES: 1970 TO 1974 by County, City and Town (in thousands) 1970 197'1 1972 1973 1974 Bristol County 45.9 45.9 46.2 46.0 45.8 Barrington 17.6 17.4 17.4 17.2 17.3 Bristol 17.9 18.0 18.3 18.4 18.3 Warren 10'.5 10.5 10.5 10.4 10.2 Kent County 142.4 144.2 146.5 147.7 150.7 Coventry 22.9 23.6 24.0 24.5 25.2 East Greenwich 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.1 10.4 Warwick 83.7 84.4 85.9 86.2 87.4 West Greenwich 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 West Warwick 24.3 24.5 24.6 24.7 25.4 Newport County 94.2 96.7 97.4 98.3 76.3 Jamestown 2.9 @_.l 3.3' 3.4 3.5 Little Compton 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 Middletown 29.3. 30.1 30.5 31.1 .14.3 Newport 34.6 34.5 34.2 34.0 30.0 Portsmouth 12.5 13.4 13.6 13.9 12.5 Tiverton 12.6 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.4 Providence County 581.5 585.3 589.2 584.3 Burrillville 10.1 10.6 11.0 11.1 11.4 Central Falls 1&.7 18.6 18.6 18.2 18.0 Cranston 74.3 75.0 73.5 75.8 76.5 Cumberland 26.6 26.9 27.2 27.4 27.6 East Providence 48.2 48.8 49.4 49.6 50.2 Foster 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 Glocester 5.2 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.2 Johnston 22.0 22.3 22.7 23.0 23.4 Lincoln 16.2 16.8 16.8 17.1 17.4 North Providence 24.3 24.9 25.3 25.8 26.3 North Smithfield 9.3 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 Pawtucket 77.0 77.0 76.0 75.8 74.5 Providence 179.1 178.0 179.0 170.6 169.0 Scituate 7.5 7.7 7.9 8.1 8.3 Smithfield 13.5 13.9 13.9 14.1@ 14.3 Woonsocket 46.8 47.1 47.5 47.8 48.0 Wa.shington County 85.7 .87.0 90.1 92.9 83.2 Charlestown 2.9 .2.9 3.2 3.4 3.61. Exeter 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.8 Hopkinton 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.9 Narragansett 7.1 7.4 8.6 8.7 9.0 New Shoreham 0,5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 North Kingstown 29.8 30.0 30.5 30.5 19.5 Richmond 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 South Kingstown .16.9 17.3 17.7 19.7 20.0 Westerly 17.2 17.4 17.6 17.7 17.9 STATE 949.7 959.1 964.4 967.4 940.3 County totals for 1971 thru 1973 in accordance with final federal-state cooperative program estimates. 9 RHODE ISLAND POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1975 TO 1979 by County, City and Town (in thousands) 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Bristol County 46.7 47.0 47.4 47.7 .48.1 Barrington 17.4 17.4 17.5 17.5 17.6 Bristol 18.7 18.9 19.1 19.3 19.5 Warren 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 11.0 Kent County 153.8 156.4 158.8 161.2 .163.7 Coventry 26.0 26.9 27._6 28.6 29.6 East Greenwich 10.6 10.8 10.9 11.0 11.1 Warwick 88.7 89.7 90.7 91.7 92.7 West Greenwich 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 West Warwick 26.0 26.4 26.8 27.2 27.6 Newport County 78.4 79.4 80.3 81.2 .82.0 Jamestown 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 Little Compton 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 Middletown 15.6 15.8 16.0 16.2 16.4 Newport 30.0 jO.2 30.4 30.6 30.8 Portsmouth 13.0 13.2 13.3 13.5 13.6 Tiverton 13.5 13.7 13.9 14.0 14.1 Providence County 587.1 591.5, 595.6 599.7 603.9 Burrillville 11.6 11.7 11.7 11.7 11.8 Central Falls 17.9 17.8 17.7 17.6 17.6 Cranston 77.0 77.9 78.8 79.6 80.4 Cumberland 27.9 28.1 28.3 28.5 28.7 East Providence 50.8 51.6 52.4 53.2 54.0 Foster 3.1. 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 Glocester 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.6 Johnston 23.8 24.6 25.2 25.9 26.6 Lincoln 17.7 17.8 17.9 18.0 18.1 North Providence 26.8 27.2 27.6 28.0 28.4 North Smithfield 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 Pawtucket 74.0 74.2 74.4 74.6 74.8 Providence 168.1 168.5 168.9 169.3 169.7 Scituate 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.7, 8.7 Smithfield 14.5 14.7 14.9 15.1 15.3 Woonsocket 48.5 48.6 48.7 48.8 48.9 Washington Count 86.2 88.0 89.7 91.4 93.1 Charlestown 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 Exeter 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4, Hopkinton 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.4 Narragansett 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.8 9.9 New Shoreham 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 North Kingstown 20.0 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 Richmond 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.;4 3.5 South Kingstown 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4 21.5 Westerly 18.2 18.4 @18.6 18.8 18.9 STATE 952.2 962.3 971.8 981.2 990.8 10 RHODE ISLAND POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1970 TO 1990 by County, City and Town (in thousands) 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 Bristol County 45.9 46.7 -48.8 50.6 52.0 Barrington 17.6 17.4 17.6 17.8 18.1 Bristol 17.9 18.7 20.1 20.9 21.6 Warren 10.5 10.6 11.1 11.9 12.3 Kent Count 142.4 153.8 166.0 177.7 188.4 Coventry 22.9 26.-d -30.4 34.1 38.0 East Greenwich 9.6 10.6 11.2 12.1 12.6 Warwick 83.7 88.7 93.6 99.0 103.6 West Greenwich 1.8 2.5 @.8 3.0 3.2 West.Warwick 24.3 26.0 28.0 29.5 31.0 Newport Count 94.2 73.4 86.7 86.5 89.5 Jamestown 2.9 3.6 3.4 3.8 3.8 Little Compton 2.4 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.0 Middletown 29.3. 15.6 19.0 17.6 18.3 Newport 34.6 30.0 33.1 32.0 33.0 Portsmouth 12.5 13.0 13.7 14.5 15.0 Tiverton 12.6 13.5 14.2 14.9 15.4 Providence County 581.5 587. J 608.4 630.3 649.8 Burrillville ..10.1 11.6 11.9 12.9 Central Falls 18.7 17.9 17.6 17.5 17.4 Cranston 74.3 77.0 .81.2 85.0 89.0 Cumberland 26.6 27.9 28.9 30.2 32.0 East Providence 48.2 50.8 54.8 57.0 62.3 Foster 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.8 Glocester @.2 6.4 6.7 .7.0 7.2 Johnston 22.0 23.8 27.5 30.5 31.5 Lincoln 16.2 17.7 18.1 18.7 19.2 North Providence 24.3 26.8 28.8 30.6 31.7 North Smithfield 90 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 Pawtucket 77.0 74.0 75.0 76.3 76.5 Providence 179.1 168.1, 170.1 174.7 177.5 Scituate 7.5 8.5 @9.0 0.2 Smithfield 13.5 14.5 15.5 16.7 17.5 Woonsocket 46.8 48.5 49.0 49.5 50,.1 'Washington County 85.7. 86.2 90.5 105.0 115.7 Charlestown 2.@ 3.7 3.6 4.3 4.5 Exeter 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.6 4.8 Hopkinton 5.4 6.1 6.1 6.8 7.0 Narragansett 7.1 9.5 10.0 10.5 10.8 New Shoreham 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 North Kingstown 29.8 20.0 20.5 32.5 40.0 Richmond 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.0 South Kingstown 16.9 21.1 22.0 23.0 Westerly 17.2 18.2 18.2 20.0 21.1 STATE 949.7 952.2 1,000.4 1,050.1 1,095.4 RHODE ISLAND POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1995 TO 2015 by County, City and Town (in thousands) 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Bristol County 52.8 53.5 54.3 .55.5 56.2 Barrington 18.3 18.5 18.7 19.0 19.2 Bristol 21.9 22.7 22.2 22.5 22.7 Warren 12.6 12.3 13.4 14.0 14A Kent County 196.7 203.8 211.7 220.3 228.7 Coventry 41.0 43.0 45.0 47.5 50.0 East Greenwich 13.1 13.6 14.4 15.2 16.0 Warwick 107.7 117.7 116.1 120.6 125.1 West Greenwich 3.4 316 3.8 4.0 4.2 West Warwick 31.5 31.9 32.4 33.0 33.4 Newport-County 92.3 102.1 100.0 .105.2 110.6 Jamestown 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.6 4.7 Little Compton 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.8 Middletown 19.0 23.6 21.5 23.0 24.7 Newport 33.5 37.1 34.7 36.0 37.5 Portsmouth 15.6 16.3 17.0 17.7 18.7 Tiverton 16.1 16.8 18.0 19.2 20.2 Providence County 669.4 691.3 711.3 730.1 747.2 Burrillville 13.1 13.6 14.4 15.2 16.1 Central Falls 17.3 17.2 17.0 17.0 17.1 Cranston 91.2 83.4 96.0 99.0 102.0 Cumberland 33.7 35.5 37.8 40.1 42.4 East Providence 64.0 65.8 68.0 70.2 72.4 Foster 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.9 Glocester 7.4 7.6 7.8 8.0 8.2 Johnston 32.3 33.2 34.2 35.2 36.2 Lincoln 19.7 20.3 21.0 22.0 23.0 North Providence 32.9 34.2 35.5 36.9 38.1 North Smithfield 12.7 13.4 15.0 16.6 18.1 Pawtucket 76.7 76.8 76.9 77.1 77.2 Providence 186.0 196.0 201.0 204.9 206.9 Scituate 9.3 9.4 9'.5 9.6 9.7 Smithfield 18.5 19.5 21.0 21.5 22.5 Woonsocket 50.6 51.2 51.8 5.2.2 52.4 Washington County 124.1 123.0 136.0 -142.5 148.9 Charlestown 4.7 4.3 5.2 5.5 5.8 Exeter 4.9 4.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 Hopkinton 7.3 .7.0 8.1 8.6 9.1 Narragansett 11.2 11.6 12.0 12.4 12.8 New Shoreham 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 North Kingstown 45.5 50.3 52.7 55.1 'Richmond 4.2 3.9 4.6 4.8 5.0 South Kingstown 23.8 28.7 25.7 26.7 27.7 Westerly 22.0 21.8 24.5 26.0 27.5 STATE 1,135.3 1,173-6 1,213.3 1,253.6 1,291.6 12 RHODE ISLAND POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 2020 TO 2040 by County, City and Town (in thousands) 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Bristol County 56.9 57.2 57.4 57.6 57.8 Barrington 19.4 19.5 19.6 19.6 19.6 Bristol 22.9 23.0 23.1 23.2 23.3 Warren 14.6 14.7 14.7 14.8 14.9 Kent County 237.0 243.6 249.6 255.1 259.7 Coventry 52.4 54.0 [email protected] 56.3 57.0 East Greenwich 16.8 17.5 18.0 18.5 18.6 Warwick 120.6 133.6 137.6 141.6 145.3 West Greenwich 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 West Warwick 33.8 33.9 34.0 34.0 34.0 Newport County 115.0 118.6 121.8 .124.8 127.1 Jamestown 4.8. 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 Little Compton 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 Middletown 26.2 27.7 .28.7 29.7 30.4 Newport 38.5 39.0 39.5 40.0 40.3 Portsmouth 19.4 20.1 20.7 21.1 21.5 Tiverton 21.2 22.0 23.0 24.0 @24.8 Providence County 760.8 774.0 785.3 795.3 805.8 Burrillville 16,.6 17.1 1T.-5 17.7 17.8 Central Falls 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 Cranston 104.2 106.0 108.0 110.0 112.0 Cumberland 44.2 46.2 48.2 50.0 52.2 East Providence 74.2 76.2 78.2 80.0 82.2 Foster 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 Glocester 8.6 8.6 8.6 8.6 Johnston 37.2 38.2 39.2 40.0 41.0 Lincoln 23.6 24.5 25.3 25.8 26.3 North Providence 39.4 40.7 41.7 42.5 43.1 North Smithfield 18.8 20.0 21.0 22.1 23.1 Pawtucket 77.2 77.2 77.2 77.2 77.2 Providence 209.0 210.0 210.0 210.0 210.0 Scituate 9.8 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 Smithfield 23.5 24.5 25.5 26.5 27.4 Woonsocket .52.5 52.6 52.& 52.6 52.6 Washington County 155.0 159.6 163.7 -167.7 171.3 Charlestown 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 Exeter 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 Hopkinton 9.4 9.7 10.0 10.3 10.6 Narragansett 13.2 13.5 13.8 14.0 14.2 New Shoreham 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 North Kingstown 57.5 59.0 60.5 62.0 63.3 Richmond 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.0 South Kingstown 28.7 29.7 30.3 30.9 31.4 Westerly 29.0 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.0 STATE 1,324.7 1,353.0 1,377.8 1,400.5 1,421.7 13 MASSACHUSETTS POPULATION PROJECTIONS: 1975 To 2000 (in thousands) 1975 1980 1980 1985, 1985 1990 1990 High Low High Low High Low Blackstone' 6.5 6.6 6.3 6.9 6.4 6.5 Millville 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.8 1995 1995 2000 2000 Blackstone 7,3 6.6 7.14 6.7 Millville 2.0, 1.8 2.0 1.8 14 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR FORCE FORECASTS RESIDENT CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN RHODE ISLAND: 1976 By County, City and Town.- Estimates. Total Male Female Bristol County 20,600 12,500 8,100 Barrington 7,500 4,800 2,700 Bristol 8,400 4.900 3,500 Warren 4,700 2,800.@ 1,900 Kent County 69,900 43,100 26,800 Coventry 11,800 7,400 4,400 East Greenwich 4,900 3,100 1,80.0 Warwick 40,300 24,900 15,400 West Greenwich 900 600 300 West Warwick 12,000 7,100 4,900 Newport County 30,100 17,500 12,600 Jamestown 1,300 800 500 Little Compton 11000 700 300 .Middletown 5,700 3,400 21@00 Newport 11,100 5,900 5,200 Portsmouth 5,100 3,100 2,000 Tiverton 5,900 3,600 2,300 Providence County 276,000 160,900 115,100 Nu-rrillville 4,800 2,800 2,000 Central Falls 8' 600 4,900 3,700 Cranston 36,200 21,800 14,400 Cumberland 13,200 7,800 5,400 East Providence 24,000 14,400 9,600 Foster 1,400 900 500 Glocester 2,800 1,800 11000 Johnston 11 200 6,900 4,300. Lincoln 8:000 4,800 3,200 North Providence 12,700 7,600 5,100 North Smithfield 4,700 2,900 11800 Pawtucket 359300 19,900 15,400 Providence 80,500 45,100 35,400 Scituate 3,900 2,500 1,400 Smithfield 6,600. 4,000 29600 Woonsocket 22,100. 12,800 9,300 Washington County 33,400 19,800 13,600 Charlestown .11500 900 600 Exeter 1,500 900 600 Hopkinton 2,300 1,500 800 Narragansett 3,500 2,200 1,300 New Shoreham 200 200 --- North Kingstown 7,800 4,400 3,400 Richmond 1,200 700 500 South Kingstown 7,800 4,400 3,400 Westerly 7,600 4,600 3,000 STATE TOTAL 430,000 253,800 176,200 SOURCE: R.I. Department of Economic Development, based on preliminary population projections and U.S. Census of 1970, labor force 16 years old and over. 16 RHODE ISLAND EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR FORCE FORECASTS: 1975-2000 Year Employment Labor Force 1975 394,438 415,665 .1980 417,173 .439,581 1985 433,067 455,995 1990 4485556, 472,236 1995 4,72,641 497,587 2000 503,355 529,754 17 ADJUSTED SOCIO-ECONOMIC DATA: .1980 1980 1980 City or Town Labor Force Employment BARRINGTON 7,553 2,901 BRISTOL 9,544 69561 BURRILLVILLE 5,249 3,667 CENTRAL FALLS 8,035 8,302 CHARLESTOWN 1,563 318 COVENTRY 14,004 5,417 CRANSTON 36,784 29,204 CUMBERLAND 14,112 8,205 EAST GREENWICH 5,034 3,425 EAST PROVIDENCE 269054 22,210 R44 EXETER 1,043 1,484 Ago,-- FOSTER 303 &tZZ& GLOCESTER 2,990 602 HOPKINTON 2,585 1,163 1,610 45 JAMESTOWN 4 JOHNSTON 13,224 4,956 LINCOLN 8,652 6, 109 q= LITTLE COMPTON 1,276 343 MIDDLETOWN. 7,524 6,147 NARRAGANSETT 2,048 1,056 NEWPORT 14,780 14,146 NEW SHOREHAM 226 187 NORTH KINGSTOWN 89602 13,664 149625 NORTH PROVIDENCE 6,245 NORTH SMITHFIELD 5,007 5,480 PAWTUCKET 36,589 44,115 PORTSMOUTH 5,767 4,651 PROVIDENCE 80,435 158,795 RICHMOND 1,709 971 SCITUATE 3,910 931 SMITHFIELD 7,222 49355 SOUTH KINGSTOWN 9,709 8,683 TIVERTON 6,852 1,955 WARREN 4,785 5,330 WARWICK 43,762 29,801 WESTERLY 89024 @5,840 WEST GREENWICH 1,205. .212 WEST WARWICK 14,604 7,652 WOONSOCKET 22,537 16,216 463,401 441,902 TOTAL 18 ADJUSTED SOCIO-ECONOMIC DATA: 2000 2000 2000 City_or Town Labor Force Employment BARRINGTON 8,024 3,423 BRISTOL 10,893 BURRILLVILLE 6,065 4,329 CENTRAL FALLS 7,935 9,817 CHARLESTOWN 1,889 375 COVENTRY 11,153 6,400 CRANSTON 42,761 34,494 CUMBERLAND 17,519 9,696 EAST GREENWICH- 6,180 4,047 EAST PROVIDENCE 31,621 26,247 EXETER 1,160 1,599 FOSTER 1,802 358 GLOCESTER 3,425 712 HOPKINTON 3,001 1,376 JAMESTOWN 1,670 529 JOHNSTON 16,139 5,855 LINCOLN 9,808 7,220 LITTLE COMPTON 725 405 9,376 8,236 MIDDLETOWN NARRAGANSETT 5,547 1,252 NEWPORT 16,840 16,900 NEW SHOREHAM 229 220 NORTH KINGSTOWN. 17,126 17,002 NORTH PROVIDENCE 17,554 7,376 NORTH SMITHFIELD 6,164 6,471 PAWTUCKET 37,872 52,116 PORTSMOUTH 6,936 5,497 PROVIDENCE 93,682 187,562 RICHMOND 2,060 1,148 SCITUATE 4,224 1,103 SMIfHF.IELD 9,183 5,143 SOUTH KINGSTOWN 11,620 10,198 TIVERTON 8,193 2,312 WARREN 5,562 6,298 WARWICK 52,785 @35,223 WESTERLY 9,710 6,801 WEST.GREENWICH 1,564 252 WEST WARWICK 16,820 9,037 WOONSOCKET 23,801 19,163 TOTAL 548,436 523,81.7 19 CHARACTERISTICS OF THE LABOR FORCE: 1960 Total % of Population Military Labor Force in Labor Force Employed Labor Force Blackstone 2,231 43.5% 2,069 9 Millville 660 42.1 634 0 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR FORCE PROJECTIONS: 1980 and 2000 1980 1980 2000 2000 Labor Force Employment Labor Force Employment Blackstone 3,036 2,178 3,082 2,479 Millville 782 561 828 666 RESIDENT EMPLOYMENT: 1974* No. of Firms Total No. of Jobs Blackstone 71 399 Millville 16 ill. SOURCE: Massachusetts Profile: Blackstone; Millville, Department of Commerce and Development, Boston, MA. 20 L Z ra LO &I LA co (0 ro rn co I!D kpi, N Cyr iA vr-- CA th 0 Cl) CD < rn Zj .kCA cn CD co w JN tw al 9D 00 ECONOMIC STATISTICS RHODE ISLAND MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME, 1969 AND ESTIMATES, 1976 Cites and Towns 1969 1976 (est.) Barrington 14,0 58 $ 21,200 ft Bristol 9,732 15,100 Burrillville 8,949 12,800 Central Falls 7,778 11-1100 C Charlestown 9,803. 14,400 Coventry Pft 10,630 @15,900 Cranston 10,778 16,000 161@- Cumberland 11,311 16,400 77 East Greenwich 12,649 19,000 East Providence 10,179 14,900 Exeter 9,327 14,300 Foster 9,838 15,100 Z4 Glocester 10,175 14,200 Hopkinton 9,434 14,400 Jamestown 9,472 15,800 Johnston 10,259 15,000 10,501 Lincoln 15,600 Little Compton 9,422 14,500 C."D Middletown 9,648 15,100 Narragansett 91919 15,500 Newport 8,592 13,600 New Shoreham 8,289 12,900 North Kingstown 9,002 14,600 North Providence 10,360 15,400 North Smithfield 10,676 15,600 Pawtucket .9,265 13,800 Portsmouth 9,435 15,400 Providence 8,430 12,100 Richmond 9,461 15,3W Scituate 10,652 16,600 Smithfield .11,250 16,500 South Kingstown .10,052 Tiverton 149@300 Warren 9,218 13,900 War-wick 11,006 16,500 Westerly 10,074 15,400 West Greenwich 9,796 15,900 West Warwick 14,200 Woonsocket 8,667 12,600 State of Rhode Island 9,736 14,500 SOURCE: R.I. Department of Economic Development 23 RHODE ISLAND PERSONAL INCOME 1929-1975 TOTAL AND PER CAPITA Total R. I. Per Capita R.I. as Personal Income R.I. U.S, % of U.S. 1929 $ 596,000,000 $ 871 $ 705 123.5% 1930 5401,000,000 787 624 126.1 1931 485,000,000 712 529 134.6 1932 390,000,000 576 401 143.6 1933 379,000,000 561 375 149.6 1934 402,000,000 596 423 140.9 1935 433,000,000 639 472 135.4 1936 484,000,000 706 536. 132.2 502,000,000, 723 573 3-26.2 1938 465,000,000 670 527 127.1 1939 500,000,000 713 556 J-28.2 1940 531,000,000 739 592 124.8 1941. 6859000,000 921 719 .1-28.,l 1942 882,000,000 1,134 909 124.8 1943 1,028,000,000 1,184 .1,102 107.4 1944 1,067,000,000 1,261 1,194 105.6 1945 1,067,000,000 1,267 1,234 102.7 1946 .1,066,000,000 1,349 1,249 108.0 .1947 1,126,000,000 1,436 1,316 109.1 1948 1,175,000,000 1,493 1,430 104.4 1949 1,151,000,000 1,437 1,384. 103.8 1950 1,262,000,000 1,605 1,496 107.3 1951 1,384,000,000 1,765 106.8 1952 1,446,000,000 1,804 1,733 104.1. 1953 1,531,000,000 1,878 1,804 104.1, 1954 1,523,000,000 1,866 1,785 104.5 1955 1,61.4,000,000 1,962 1,876 104.6 1956 1,674,000,000 1,993 1,975 100.9 1957 1,701,000,000 1,998 2,045 97.7 1958 1,753,000,000 2,043 2,067 98.8 1959 .1,849,000,000 2,157 2,167 qq.@ 1960 1,895,000,000 2,217 2*222 99.8 1961 1,968,000,000 2,293 2,274 100.8 1962 2,105,000,000 2,417 2,381 101.5 1963 2,203,000,000 2,515 2,469 101.9 1964 2,350,000,000 2,656 2,603 3-02.0 1965 2,516,000,000 2,818 2,785 101.2 1966 2,746,000,000 3,054 3,001 101.8 1967 2,998,000,000 3,298 3,188 103.5 1968 3,291,000,000 3,570 3,457 103.3 1969 3,485,000,000 3,740 3,733 1,00.2 1.970 3,765,000,000 3,959 3,966 99.8 1971 4,020,000,000 4,196 4,195 100.0 1972 4,370,000,000 4,509 4,537 99.4 1973 4,712,000,000 4,873 5,049 96.5 1974 5,024,000,000 5,355 5,486 97.6 1975 5,413,000,000 5,841 5,902 99.0 Source: U.S. Departmentof Commerce, "Personal Incope by States Since 1929", for years 1.929-1947; "Survey of Current Business" August,1974 for 1948-1957; August 1976 for 1958-1975. .Rhode Island ranked 20th among the 50 states in per capita income.in.1975, -,24 VVVU908d 9NNNV-ld 30IM3iVIS WnSl 30OH8 "I Aq Pa-d-d ..LL6L A8vnus3-i MMOAV W6 L - OOC.99C -40 IN3WAO"IdW3 WUtf :1-NON'lVJLO.L NO a3SVS-- -all 0 4,0 jvo t1w; . . . . ... . . a ss . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .... Awl A-21- dd, .......... Ew.! .-mT ... ... .. .. spapo4tj ui. lu;awAoldwjl- 9L61 - Puel Ajejes 18 q6eAA lelOUL 10 U01I.nq!jlsi(3 RHODE ISLAND TOTAL NON-. FARM. WAGE AND SALARY EMPLOYMENT 1939@1976 400,000--- 380,000 360,00' 340,00 OF 320,000 300,000 280,000- 260,000 1939 '41 '43 '45 '47 '49 '51 53 '55 '57 '59 '61 '63 '65 67 '69 '7t 73 '75 2177 Prapmw by m4ooE L%ANOSTATEWIDE PLANW4G PROGRAM 26 RHODE ISLAND PERSONAL INCOME BY SOURCE 1973-1975 (U.S. Dept. of.Commerce, "Survey of Current Business") Millions of Dollars % Change 1973 1974 1975 1973-75 Total Personal Income by Place of Residence 4,712 5,024 5,413 +14.9 Labor & Proprietors Income by Place-of Work 3,477 3,618 3,703 + 6.5 Farm 5 7 9 +80.0 Mining 2 2 -- Contract Construction 194 192 1,72 -11.3 Manufacturing 1,094 1,196 1,163 + 6.3 Wholesale & Retail Trade 552 591 608 +10.1 Finance, Insurance & F.E. (Total) 174 187 205 +17.8 Bankirig 49 56 60 +22.4 Other Fiuanae, Ins. & R@E. 125 1-31 145 +i6.0 Transportation (Total) 89 89 87 - 2.2 Railroads 9 9 10 +11.1 Highway Freight & Warehousing 58 57 54 - 6.9 other Transportation 22 23 23 + 4.5 Communications & Public Utilities 93 96 95 + 2.2 Services (Total) 594 650 +21.0 Hotels & Lodging D D D -- Personal Services & On Private Households Lt-11 51 52 55 + 7.8 Business & Repair Services [@fv 49.@, 83 89 93 +12.0 Amusement & Recreations -M- 20 21 21, + 5.0 Professional, Social Services D D D -- 'Government (Total) 721 647 695 3.6 Federal Civilian, 175 151 159 - 9.1 Federal Military 166 86 67 -59.6 State & Local 380 410 470 +23.7 Other Industries 16 17 18 +12.5 Property Income 672 727 788 +17.3 Transfer Panents 642 767 1,007 +56.9 Residence Adjustment. 118 129 143 +21.2 Less: Personal. Contributions for Social Insurance 197 216 229 +16.2 Consists of wage and salary disbursements, other labor income, and proprietors' income. D - Date not shown to avoid disclosure of confidential information. Data are included in totals. Totals may not add due to rounding. RHODE ISLAND DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Research Division October 1976 27 cn t-4 @-i I'd @t0 (D ?I " " rt cn P)0z ftl 0 ::r 0 0 cn 01-3 121 3Q 0 PO Cfj :3 110003 TI (D rt 0 m 0"1 1-6 ca0f-4 03 (D CL C) rl rl t-l ::r En Im 0"4 1@4 to It = "m H 0 =PO P) P-q w 00:3 :3 :3 co (D m (D rtM(D (D r- (D041--M rt H- 00 :30090 F@ r- ct0 t.4 -k coW 0)H (D rt (D P) 0. OA Pi0w :3m"pi H@4M rl D3 ctmm" mmnnm m0rD003 aq m 0 (D rt 0C-71 F-4 mtl Pt CD :3 -@-JM" 10 1-6 " wH0FA-m000CL @-s C-- pi ti *ld FA ig pi00 P)W(D ElM En cp ?I @r 0D)0"00P-1 rt ct a% A) (n 0)0 0) ti tal 2% @-A 1-40M(D En0 MFA I-! A) rt aqmr_ En .3 cn 00 -r_ --rt COprn M12,00 ""w@Lm11n CO CI. 0 :10 Hrj) t40rt Ili-(D 1-4 23 rb rtmD) :j 12" 1-40@--j 0 05 . 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X@- ko ON 0% .1 U., DISTRIBUTION OF FAMILY INCOME FOR RHODE ISLAND, ITS COUNTIES, ..CITIES AND TOWNS FOR 1969, AND NUMBER OF FAMILIES IN 1970 County, No. of Number of Families by Income Group City or Town Families Under $2,000- $4,000- $7,000- $10,000- $15,000- (1970) $2,000 $3,999 $6,999 -$9,999 $14_2999 & Over Bristol Co. 418 649 1,585 2,491 3,396 32077 Barrington 4,320 T4 i_02 417 607 1,128 1,972 Bristol 4,557 184 312 744 1,129 1,495 693 Warren 2,739 235 424 .755 773 412 Kent Co. 37,033. 1,052 1,939 4,875 8,458 12,418 8,251 Coventry 5,787 129 262 692 1,443 2,339 922 East Greerimich 2,401 87 122 282 397 586 929 WARWICK 21,734 576 981 23,628 4,890 7,277 5,382 West Greenwich 455 18 59 75 81 152 70 West Warwick 6,656 242 515 J@,198 1,687 2,064. 950 Co 9 9- 1 61 1,472 3,643 4 428 5 062. 3 773 Jamestown @732 26 83 122 154 205 142 Little Compton 582 22 24 120 .162 130 124 Middletown 4,061 427 270 676 741 1,001 946 NEWPORT 7,939 660 756 1,600 1,702 1,965 1,256 Portsmouth 3,274 293, 182 576 708 843 672 Tiverton 3,351 133 157 549 961 918 633 Providence Co. 149,227 7,306 12,874 25,404 35,016 42,720 25,907 Burrillville 2,396 94 170 438 708 695 291 CENTRAL FALLS 4,830 352 609 1,131 1,174 1,225 ..339 CRANSTON 18,580 508 973 2,653 4,117 5,718 4,611 Cumberland 6,714 277 715 1,496 2,404 1,689 *ENST PROVIDENCE 12,587 390 780 2,001 2,936 4,139 2,341- Foster 680 29 21 125 176 204 125 .Glocester 1,334 62 89 189 .312 467 215 Johnston 5,803 224 414 756 1,369 2,004 1,036 Lincoln 4,367 113 312 650 947 1,383 962 North Providence 6,530 200 .319 888 1,661 2,089 1,373 North Smithfield 2,432 74 177 260 564 854 503 PAWTUCKET 20,401 1,048 1,819 3,558 5,101 5,968 2,90.7 PROVIDENCE 45,127 3,247 5,334 9,038 10,099 .10,564 6,845 Scituate 1,909 28 104 274 .450 607 446 Smithfield 3,287 63 133 370 730 1,148, 843 WOONSOCKET J2,250 .741 1,343 2,258 3,176 3,251 1,381 Washington CO. 18,852 1,085 12284 3,445 4,252 .5,176 3,610 Charlestown .789 39 83 150 132 266 119 Exeter 579 19 45 109 167 169 Hopkinton 1,364 64 88 213 378 209 Narragansett 1,804 71. 146 302 397* 499 389 New Shoreham, 117 13 34 32 32 6 North Kingstown 5,932 651 399 1,143 1,226 1,397 1,11116 Richmond .629 13 41 151 144 207 73 South Kingstown 3,176 70 220 584 704 824 774 Westerly 4,462 249 759 1,038 1,404 @854 STATE OF RHODE 2)36,667- _I 1, ,@2 2 18,218 382@52 54,685 .68,772 44,618 ISLAND Source', U.S. Census of 1970., Based on a 20 percent sample. 30 MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME FOR RHODE ISLAND, BY COUNTY, CITY AND TOWN FOR 1969,1959, AND 1949, AND NUMBER OF FAMILIES IN 1970 MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME. % Increase Number of 1969 1959 1949 1959-1969 Families 1970 Bristol County $10,818. $6,169 $3,258 75.4 11,616 Barrington 14,058 7,717 82.2 4,320 Bristol 9,732 5,711 2,981 70.4 4,557 Warren 9,218 5,344 72.5 2,739 Kent County $6,031 .$3,299 77.5 37,033 Coventry 10,630 5,559 91.2 5,787 East Greenwich 12,649 5,568 127* 2 2,401 WARWICK 11,006 6,390 3,463 72.2 21,734 West Greenwich 9,796 4,794 104.3 455 West Warwick 9,485 5,549 70.9 6,656 NeLaRort County $9,170 $-4,997 $2,804 83.5 19,939 Jamestown. 9,472 5,616 68. 7' 732 Little Compton 9,422 5,146 .83.1 582 Middletown 9,648 4,800 1,01.0 4,061 N 'WPORT 2,859 .80.7 7,939 E 8,592 4,754 Portsmouth 9,435 .4,911 92.1 3,274 Tiverton 9,57@ 5,694 68.2 3,351 Providence County $9,496 $5,518.- $3,124 72.1 149,227 Burrillville 8,949 5,189 72.5 CENTRAL FALLS 7,778 4,874 2,860 59.6 4,830 CRANSTON 10,778 6,338 3,610 70.1 18,580 Cumberland 11,311 6,151 83.9 6,714 EAST PROVIDENCE 10,179 6,082. 67.4 .12,587 Foster 9,838 5,110 92.5 680 Glocester, 10,-175 5,350 90.2 1,334 'Johnston 10,259 5,726 79.2 5,803 Lincoln 10,501 5,939 76.8 4,367 North Providence j0,360 6,136 68.8 6,530 North Smithfield 10,676 6,366 67.7 2,432 PAWTUCKET 9,265 .5,525 3,296 67* 7 20,401 PROVIDENCE 8,430 5,069 2,950 66.3 45,127 Scituate 10,652 5,711 86.5 1,909 Smithfield 11,250 5,949 89.1. 3,287 WOONSOCKET 8,667 5,186 3,051 67.1 12,250 Washington County $92607 $5,635 $2,961 70.5 18,852 Charlestown 9,802 5,932 65.2 789 Exeter 9,327 5,412 72.3 579 Hopkinton 9,438 5,862 61.0 1,364 Narragansett 9,919 5,442 82.3 13,804 New Shoreham 8,289 3,935 110.6 117. North Kingstown 9,002 5,031 78.9 5,932 Richmond 9,461 5,745 64.7 629 South Kingstown 10,052 5,440 84.8 3,176 Westerly 10,074 6,349 58.7 4,462 STATE OF RHODE ISLAND $9,736 $5,589 $3,117 74.2% 236,667 Not Available Source: Social and Economic Characteristics, U.S. Census of 1970 (including statewide Census Tract data), and U.S. Census of 1-960 and 1.950. Data for 1959 & '69 based on 25 percent and .20 percent sample respectively,and consequently data for small communities, particularly New Shoreham, West Green- wich, Exeter and Little Compton, are subject to an appreciable sampling error. New Shoreham was transferred from Newport County to Washington in 1963; the 1959 median income figures for these two counties do not reflect that transfer. 31 New Industrial Construction in Rhode, Island. 1958 76 Whorl, $27- 24- NEW MANUFACTURING PLANTS AND ADDITIONS 21- .................. .......... .......... - - -------- 15- . ..... ..... ..... .......... .......... ........... ......... ..... . ............. ........ ............... .12 ................. . .. ......... ............ .............. ............... . ............ ............ ...... ............. ....... ....... .......... ......... . ....... .... ............ ... ......... ..... ....... ..... .......... . . .......... ...... . ........... .... .. ..... ... ......... ............. ... ........... ........ ... ......... ... ............ !!::: -iii ........... .... ......... ............. ........... ..... ...... .......... ............ ..... ....... ... .......... ------ ............ ............. .......... ....... .... ::::: ... ............. ...... ... ......... ............ ............. ..... ........ ....... ............. ....... ............. .... ........... ....... ... ............. - I ; @::@::: :::::!:;;4;:; ::w;:::tt:.t: ::::;:, ...... ........ 1. :::_::-::: ...... .. ........ .... ...... ........... ..... at ...... ........- ............. ....... ::::i: t at ... ......... ........ ...... ............ .......... ........... ......... ... ...... ..... ..... ............ ........ ... ........... ... ............. ::!t::: ............ ... .... ....... ............. ;::t:;:; arw:I ztot w t :i t i: i q i:Mi N w . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . r at: :t :t:::: ::;:t:t tt t a ;t ::Z: a :;t::;::: :t :i:: i aF. i a . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . i@iiiiiHiH@ ii" :;::i::: i to:t Z:wt: a:n . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ::t ;:::::r:: :=: ;:::::: . I. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . .:: .:- :: :-:- rn:: tita a ::t .::::t:;::t :t i w . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .@:twti :::::: :::Z' : a t: a z ::t:t:aa :tt :t%:. wt Z: @f: t: tov . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ............ .... ..... .. . ........ . . ......... ............ ........ ... i I i i i itill] :; ..... .... .......... M..... ............. ....... ........... ........ -- .:.: .@=; :::-::: to ........... ....... ......... ....... ........... ............. .......... ........ .......... .......... ..... zU, ....... . .......... .......... ......... .... ..... ....... .... ........ ............ ... .... ........ ....... ... .... t= ... ........... :as: to q:r ..:VT ........... ............. .......... . ...... ......... .. ....... . . ............ ws-p :::q:;:;::: iw%;:ts.: @:w:::::!:: ::t -:::: ............ . . ........ :it ............ 0- .......... ... ....... 1958 59 60, 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69, 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 *New plants and additions. Cost estimates are by RIDED and are for plant, construction only, exclusive of investment in new machinery and equipment. P epm ho ft Rt-*OE 1SLAND STATEWOE PLANNM PROGRAM FEB. 19,77 32 NEW INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION IN RHODE ISLAND 1955-1976 (by year started or definitely committed) Year Firms Space (sq. ft. Est. cost 1976 71 1,066,436 $25,685,000 1975 59 485,297 113498i000 1974 75 973,320 19,562,000 1973 85 1,765,205 26,955,600 83 1,585,049 23,264,000 1971 81 19120,497 15,388,000 1970 -59 11,244,500 1969 56 1,332,556 3-4,056,000 1968 72 1,179,938 11,940,000 1967 72 1,337,757 13,056,100 1966 1.09 2,149,741 20,243.,.500 1965 .71 1,348,378 12,614,400 1964 74 868,374 7,360,500 1963 40 1,719,027 15,942,300 1962 52 721,319 6,434,500 1961 45 1,193,365 9,705,500 1960 51 1,446,083 11,877,300 1959 58 837,785 8,309,000 1958 25 529,100 4,091,000 1957 45 511,000 3,865,000 3,956 45 809,1-00 .7,505,000 1955 41 5742300 4,307,000 Totals (27 years)1,392 Projects 24,512,204 sq,ft. $284,902,200 1959-1976 Totals (18 years) 22,088,704 sq. ft. $265,134,200 Annual Average (18 years) .1,227,150-sq.ft. $ 14,729,670 Av. Per Year'1955-'58 @605,875 sq@ ft. 4,942,000 1959-1976 over 1-955-1958 (annual average) +102.5 +198.1 New plants and additions. Does not incl'ude renovations of existing space. This tabulationis based on Economic Development conpilations, and. while .there are,probably some omissions, the figures should be reasonably complete and comparable for the years shown. Cost estimates are for plant only, exclusive of investment in new machinery and equipment. 1959 was the.first year of actual operation. of the Rhode Island Industrial Building Authority, and the state's 100 percent financing plan for industrial construction. Some firms built new plants and additions in more than one year,.so that the 22-year total is not 1,392 different firms, but 1,392 different projects. 33 NEW CONSTRUCTION FOR MANUFACTURERS IN.RHODE ISLAND, BY COUNTY, CITY, AND.TOWN 1955-76 (by year started or definitely committed) 1,000's of Square Feet of Floor Space 1955-'68 Totals (14 years) 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1955-'76 Bristol Co. 351 26 7 29 7 20 61 34 32 567 Barrington 8 3 Bristol 166 17 7 9 - 52 16 24 291 Warren 177 9 - 20 4 20 9 18 8 265 Kent Co. 3,669 324 454 329 761 394 253 34 71 6,289 Coventry 598 84 23 86 25 92 65 9 - 982 E. Greenwich 618 - 53 79 10 13 - 3 776 WARWICK 2,347 230 119 142 124 289 175 20 68 3,514 W. Greenwich 2 10 - - - 13 - - 25 W. Warwick -104 - 259 22 602 5 - 992 Newport Co. 986 48 18 5 30 1 66 47 1,201 Jamestown - - - - 7 - - Little Comptor). - - - Middletown 27 - - 55 19 101 NEWPORT 11. 24 - 24 - 28 87 Portsmouth 948 24 - 5 6 1 11 - 995 Tiverton - - - 18 - - - - 18 ..Providence Co. 9,022 841 486 716- 811 1,183 635 339 891 14,924 Burrillville 2 - - - 24 - - 48 - 74 CENTRAL FALLS 417 - - 2 6 5 1 22 453 CRANSTON 940 237 119 67 47 264 63 34 1,811 Cumberland 793 67 - 189 32 305 - - 18 1,404 E. PROVIDENCE 1,205 196 1.126 5 95 45 137 15 46 1,870 Foster 15 - - - - 15 Glocester - - - - 10 - 10 Johnston, 38 21 11 56 35 88 9 48 67 373 Lincoln 924 - - 75 322 125 154 37 308 1,945@ N. Providence 13' 13 11 30 - 6 - 12 2 87 N. Smithfield 403 - 32 - 63 6 - 1 20 525 PAWTUCKET 1,265 .127 6 131 28 142 67 - 46 1,812 PROVIDENCE 2,559 121 100 113 112 41 160 63 34 3,303 Scituate - - - - - - - 7 7 Smithfield 255 49 8 20 30 6 38 5 245 6.56 WOONSOCKET 208 10 73 13 17 150 6 37 65 579 Washington Co. 1,201 92 12 30 2 140 24 12 25 1,538 Charlestown 142 1 - 5 1 - 178 Exeter - - 5 8 2.4 Hopkinton 147 17 1 - - 165 Narragansett 5 - - 33 3@8 New Shoreham. - - - N. Kingstown 7-15 20 8 10 764 Richmond 50 - 61 S. Kingstown 112 8 12 - - 60 15 207 Westerly 30 24 - 5 - 42 - 101 STATE TOTALS 15i229 1,331 959 1,122 1,586 1,767 973 485 1,066 24,519 Sq. Ft. Based on Rhode Island Department of Economic Development compilations. In some cases the new plant or addition was completed a year or more after the '....indicated year in which it was started or committed. Expenditures for new plant space would therefore show somewhat different timing. 34 M --J -,d w t- @d ;4 @d0 0 "1 14 IC o co :J 11 ro H & m F, r- m :r H a, c .41 MH F@ V: 0 0) 9) pim n 0- 1-, 0 r. go cr rtm @-, -0 0 x 0 0 13. '1 0 " 0 0 ::r El 0 rt rn ol " El :3 ft) fb - t-t fn rt 1-1 0 m ::r rt m 0 1- rt rA to .6 " r) r? M 0) foD (D 1@ Mm to f'D CD :3 r- PI @ L. 1.6 m 0 (n 't, I- OQ , 0 w :j t., fl 0 w CD o. rt r, F.- (D ru 0 (D (a CL F@ In el F, 00 co Co 03 0 Ln Lo Ij CO -P- r, 0 0 M @@ @; . 0 Ln 10 W 10 1 W 4.1 4.1W 0 Z- L- t.A 4.1 LA rt F@ 1-, -4 z %4 (D I.-- Fl LO -J Fl 11 P3 41 La LA 0 0 1- K) 00 to 1-4 (D Ito ?D 00 1 41 00 1 Co La Co 4-- Ln I Cl I C, I @DI -L, (31 vi F@ F@ Fl 1-1 f@ L@ OD Ln -4 CD L, w Ln t,, t-ft @j L, Ln 10 ON OD ;o W -J %0 Ln M 0% kA 0 41 -r- %0 m n 0 C6 0 z f- C3 Ch w 0 0 H Fj- m La -j w @j -4 OD 1,1 C) w 0 93. 00 w P@ w 4@ LA Zo 'I @j @n %0 10 t) a, co --j L@ m 0, c, w P. 4-- 0 11@o 0 V.-D OD "n n "o rt 0 0 M M %0 tl@ m L, `4 ',n OD t) 41 0% w 10 F, Ln W -.j 41 C7, 'o 'D Ln r., z @o .1 M z ED . f . . . . I . . I II r) m 0, 0 r., ft . Z@ 6 J-- w w a, co 0 1 ku rt 0 m 0 (D W JW IA W Ln III M W 41 CO = w 4- z tD .10 @o :4 ol C) 0 0 m 10 m 0 w 0 n rt "h 0 0 w %0 %D L,) w t- -1 41 w @4 LA co td 0 I-e L." lw w 0 Lq li %D Ln 0 0 1 1 li 0% 01%00 a 0 Ln 'M (D M fti Ln w ID C:, OQ co w Ln fl@ 0 Ln w -P. w "I M CA f-I 4.1 un w omw -j w 0 1 1 "1 1 1 0 001@o rn W Ln m 0 4-1 a, t, m C> @n -j co !z 10 "C>W"CDWLnW I I to 1 9 0 CY\ Lo IC) L4 %0 I,- " " - " -,-, - - " - - 'o " 4s , C3, 4 -4 Li W 0 W L.) w @j to 4.1 L. C@ 0 1 Ln W M 0 CD 1 10 1 1 0 M t_n (:M 0 1 IIJ 41 fD Ir, t- =MEN @n 0 co 110 Ln M I" (D 1 1 %o 0 r-- M X-- m 21C 41 Fl @n W 41 ID W W 0 " W %0 Ln 01 LM M cc (D V4 m C) w " 0 61 41- 10 00 'o W W W CD W W LA 0% W @L@ @f C@ m I r, 50 @j M Ln 0 @, !0 @a F !0 . . . p r @n @j @o co (W7 I "M '411 W" W" W" "0 F -MJ 4.1 U"@ "D !0 M- -4 ON NEW COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION IN RHODE ISLAND 1966-1976 (by year started or definitely committed - Projects of $50,000 & over) Year Projects Space (sq. ft.). Est. Cost 1976 158 1,864,692 $52,405,000 1975 121 916,015 24,970,000 1974 153, 2,264,506 70,613,000 1973 173 2,405,942 $ 56,705,000 1972 179 1,936,376 51,609,000 1971 167 2,059,069 64,388,000 1970 101 1,952,789 65,357,500 1969 117 3,018,588 55,171,388 1968 87 1,625,368 27,587,269 1967 63 1,087,917 1966 80 2,293,969 25,535,300 TOTALS (11 Years) 1,399 21,425,231 $486,923,557 Annual Average 127 1,947,748 $ 44,265,778 New buildings and additions of $50,000 and over. Does not include renovations of existing space. This tabulation is based on R. I. Development Council compilations and while there are probably some omissions, the figures should be reasonably complete and comparable for the years shown. 36 NEW COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTI ON IN RHODE ISLAND, By COUNTY, CITY AND TOWN 1966-1976 (by year started or definitely committed - Projects of $50,000 and over) 1000's of Square Feet of Floor Space TOTALS 1966 1967 '1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1966-'76 Bristol County 24 -- 53 59' 16 152 35 43 2 57 14 455 Barrington 7 9 -- -- 8 46 .Bristol 12 13 48 5 39 35 -- -- 57 -- 209 Warren.. 5 40 113 -- 34 2 -- 6 200 Kent_.@ @nt 614 237 248 1080 262 422 652 553 598 178 390 '5234 Coventry -- -- 13 2 2 26 123 212 4 3 10 395 E. Greenwich -- -- 11 3 3 26 53 19 34 2 3 154 WARWICK 591 237 211 1064 257 363 456 297 517 169 325 4487 W. Greenwich 23 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 23 W. Warwick -- -- 13 11 -- - 7 20 25 43 4 52 175 N@@Uort County 71 85 91 678 107 299 274 221 85 66 73 '2050 Jamestown -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 -- -- I Little Compton -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- - Middletown 40 22 53 232 14 239 170 107 31 38 18 964 NEWPORT 27 63 38 321 89 46 89 96 43 10 47 874 Portsmouth 4 -- -- 125 -- 9 2 16 5 8 8 177 Tiverton -- -- -- -- 4 5 13 2 -- 10 -- 34- Providence Co. 1552 710 1070 1104 1508 1021 891 1459 1429 589 1274 12607 Burrillville -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 -- -- 5 CENTRAL FALLS -- 26 -- 9 -- 3 4 23 79 21 146 CRANSTON 55 35 189 146 23 52 62 216 103 42 227 1150 Cumberland 9 30 -- 25 4 21 65 -- .3 3 -- 160 E. PROVIDENCE 414 67 123 190 81 92 146 188 43 132 218 1694 Foster -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 -- 5 10 Glocester 8 -- -- 2 -- -- -- -- 4 95 109 Johnston -- -- 4 49 264 204 97 65 19 57 191. 950 Lincoln- 222 10 84 -- 12 48 9 449 100 61 995 N. Providence 1 15 12 25 32 32 65 69 7 19 337 N. Smithfield -- -- 58 -- 51 42 -- 79 4 6 240 PAWTUCKET 27 82 189 368 51 154 41 142 39 98 99 1290 PROVIDENCE 698 407 460 90 1022* 120, 280 500 296 33 189 4095 Scituate -- -- -- -- -- - -- -- 12 -- 4 16 Smithfield 14 40 20 34 -- 37 27 60 43 27 16 318 WOONSOCKET 112 15 -- 39 36 243 51 205 246 3 142 1092 Washington Co. 33 57 165 98 59 165 84 129 151 26 116 1083 Charlestown 4 5 1 3 13 Exeter -- -- -- -- Hopkinton -- -- -- 34 34 Narragansett 40 -- 5 6 20 2 69 3 2 147 New Shoreham -- 5 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5 N. Kingstown 5 5. 85 18 16 13 38 11 28 14 44 277 Richmond -- -- -- -- 2 12 4 -- -- -- 12 30 S. Kingstown 3 17 40 22 32 75 9 24 43 6 12 283 Westerly 25 35 -- 53 -- 54 12 92 11 3 9 294 STATE TOTALS 2294 1088 1625 3019 1953 2059 1936 2405 2265 916 1865 21425 Sq, Ft. Based on D.E.D. compilations Includes new Providence Civic Center 37 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANTS & EQUIPMENT IN R.I. 1947-1973 (Source: Basic data from U.S. Census of Manufactures) (in thousands) Year Total New Expenditures Plants Equipment 1973 $88,700 N.A, N.A. 1972 100,500 N.A. N.A. 1971 80,000 N.A. N.A. 1970 72,700 N.A. N.A. 1,969 80,900 N.A. N.A. 1968 91,500 N.A. N.A. 1,967 74.,800 $16,400 $58,400 1966 75,042 N.A@, N.A. 1965 54,204 N.A. N.A. 1964 47,191 N.A@ N.A. 1963 43,107 8,423 34,684. 1962 49,429 7,414** 1961. 44,452 7,911** 36,541* 1960 36,298 8,042** 28,356* 1959 33,118 7,378** 25,740* 1958 29,895 6,576 23,319 1957 35,238 9,742 25,496 1956 38,225 8,517** 29,,708* 1955 30,658 6,831** 23,827* 1954 27,671 3,601 24,070 1953 33,643 8,495 25,148 1952 29,476 5,841 23,635 1951 42,205 5,492** 36, 713* 1947 34,609 8,117 26,492 Census of Manufactures data on capital expenditures does not generally include plants built for lease to manufacturers by realty and development corporations and twenty-five such plants and plant additions, financed through the Rhode Island Industrial Building Authority, represent an additional investment of over $20,000,000 in the years 1959-1972. Breakdown of total between plants and equipment are Department of Economic Development estimates, based primarily on proportion of capital expenditures represented by new plants in other years, adjusted for available local data on new plant construction. N.A. Data not available 38 'COMMUNITY TAX RATES IN RHODE ISLAND (1967-1976) (Cities In Full Capitals) Rates per $1,000 assessed valuations 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971, 1.972 1973 1974 1975 1976 Barrington $33.00*@-37-00 $-,@1-.20 @-4-4.60 @-4-5.60 $74-9.40 @5-1-00 @54-00 @56-00 @6-1 . 8 0 Bristol 45.00 43.10 51.45 56.92 57.60 55.80 55.80 55.52 55.52 55.52 Burrillville 43.80 47-00 52.00 57@00 32.80* 38.00 35.60 37.40 38.40 45.60 CENTRAL FALLS 41.00. 46.00 46.00 50.00* 50.00 47.00* 47.00 48.35 48.35 48.35 Charlestown 31.00 32.50 36.8.0 24.50* 28.70 30.00 31.70 37.60 37.50 3.6.50* Coventry 32@00 42.50 42.50 42.50 45.50 50.00 50.00 48.75 52.50 52.10 CRANSTON 4M0 4MO 49.40 49,.40 56@00 55.00 55.00 55.00 58.70 63.50 Cumberland 27.50 27@50 31-50 33.50 39.00 43.00 43.00 45.00 49.50 49.50 Last Greenwich 31.00 31.00 34.50 38.40 39.60 41.20 44.80 47.90 49.80 23.70* EAST PROVIDENCE 36@70 39.70 39@70 49.60 44.60* 44.40 44.40 44.40 44.40 46.00 Exeter 45.00 41.00 3M0 42.60 45.20 48,40 54.30 57.80 50.40 52.60 Foster 51.00 46.50 53,50* 56.00 56.00 54.50 44.00* 47.00 47.00 54.00 .Glocester 44.80 43.30 51.15 55.00 58.80 53.20 52@20 58.80 57.40 58.85 .Hopkinton 35.80 38.50 45.50 44.00 31.50* 31.00 33.50 40.50 40.50 46.50 Jamestown 23.25 23.75 27.50 33.80 37.25 37.00 25.90 27.60 28.70 29.50 Johnston 42.00 44.00 59.00 49.50* 49.50 49.50 54.90 59.00 62.75 62.75 Lincoln 38.50 38.50 39.90 42.50 47.40 51.00 55.75 55.75 55.75 55,.75 Little Compton 26.00 30.50 35.00 26.00* 29.50 40.00 36.50 40.50 40.50 49.00 Middletown 43.00 40.00* 45.20 45.20 44.60 45.40 45.40 45.40 50.00 51.80 Narragansett 321,45 36.75. 41.00 41.00 23.70* 26 @ 15 26.95 27.50 33.00 34.30 NEWPORT 74@00 75.00 '77. 00@ 89.00 91.00 40.00* 40.00 40.00 43.00 50.50 New Shoreham 19.00* 23.00 24.00 26.50 28.00 28.00 28.00 30.50 37.00 37.00 N. Kingstown 30.80 31.00 33.50 37.40 37.40 27.40* 32.20 32.40 32.00 33.00 N. Providence 44.00 44.00 50.00 51.80 56.00 56.00 58.40 62.00 28.80* 27.16 N. Smithfield 46.50 57.00 64.50 64.50 64.50 64.50 28.00* 29.00 29.75 36.20 PAWTUCKET 42.25 47.15 46.00 50.90 54.25 57.20 56,50 59.35 61.85 67.60 Portsmouth 35.25 34.00 41.00 41.50 36.90 40.80 44.10 46.45 50.40 54.35 PROVIDENCE 43.00 43.00 43.00 43.00 50.00 53.00 53.00 053.00 58.00 47.50* Richmond 30.90 37.80 33.30 33.50 35.00 39.10 38.60 41.65 33.10 35.41 Scituate 47@00 49.00 51.00 57.50 51.50 59.50 64.30 64.30 64-30 64.30 Smithfield 38.50 39.00 48.40 48.40 35.40* 37.00 38.40 40.00 42.60 46.70 S. Kingstowu 47.65 27.50* 31.50 36.45 36,00 .36.10 36-00 3.8.50 38-50 46.30 Tiverton 27.00 30.00 33.50 39.00 39.00 39.00 39.00 39.00 44.00 47.00 Warren 45.40 48.40 55.00 33.50* 36.10 39.60 39.40 43.40 43.15 46.67 WARWICK 38.30 39@60 43.00 44.90 47.8o 47.90 47.80 50.30 53.80 58.40 Westerly 48.40 49.00 53.00 53.00 56.00 56.00 57.80 60.60 58.00 63.00 West Greenwich 31.50 33.00 32.00 33.00 37@00 37.1-0 41.50 43.80 43.80 46.50 West Warwick 43.00 48.70 40.00* 39.00 41.00 43.00 43.00 43.00 48.''00 52.00 WOONSOCKET 45.40 51.00 5.5.00 60.00 64.00 52.50* 52.00 53.00 54-00 57.50 Revaltiation effective in year indicated. Local Government Revenue and Expenditure 1975 --------- - ------ $11-000's --------- ------------ Revenue Expenditures Grants & Property Shared Public** Public Debt Public CITY & TOWN Total Tax Taxes.* Total. Schools Safety Service Works Barrington 8,557 6,177 2,190 8,676 5,682 876 501 594 Bristol 6,874 3,837 2,398 7,179. 4,572 616 373 669 Burrillville 4,093 1,797 2,087 4,041 2,859 211 347 228 CENTRAL FALLS 6,027 2,697 2,757 5,843 2,672 1,106 145 214 Charlestown 1,020 772 190 1,116 . 811 72 32 65 Coventry 9,467 4,264 4,327 9,608 6,848 540 809 485 CRANSTON 30,942 19,123 7,044 33,127 17,359 3,963, 4,004 1,523 Cumberland @11,215 6,319 3,869 11,252 7,570 513 1,402 549 E. Greenwich 5,565 3,567 1,488 5,719 3,831 358 542 256 E. PROVIDENCE 20,123 14,185 4,160 20,615 9,727 3*364 IS545 1,243 Exeter 633 565 48 .608 382 12 41 76 Foster 1,254 759 369 1,198 805 81 57 105 Glocester 1,833 1,179 @603 1,956 1,391 19 218 148 Hopkinton 1,982, 1,205 715 2,043 1,578 52 108 115 Jamestown 1,539 1,117 330 1,648 200 106 .152 Johnston 8,021 5,102 2,395 9,645 5,754 .1,264 973 479 .Lincoln 6,939 4,596 1,876 6,599 4,113 453 778 385 Little Compton 1,113 822 232 1,082 716 113 65, 45 Middletown 7,100 3,139 3,398 7,350 4,827 747. 521 288 Narragansett 6,093 3,367 1,121 5,984 2,165 648 1,006 342 NEWPORT 14,634 7,68.7 4,698. 14,662 6,970 29-543 801 687 New Shoreham 425 270 66 408 173 58. 16 55 N. Kingstown 12,717 5,587 @5,033 12,291 7,223 1,196 1,412 476 N. Providence 10,184 7,133 1 961 10,071 6,016 753 1,025 499 N. Smithfield 3,817 2,404 1:128 3,817 2,586 271 242 PAWTUCKET 33,129 18,941 8,820 32,849 13,875 4,309 2,428, 1,296 Portsmouth 6,729 3,368 2,616 6,661 4,082 . 573 1,024 286 PROVIDENCE 87,082 44,805 201,420 86,523 31,621 14,442 8,608 4,112 Richmond 922 589 .317 993 776 31 52 62 Scituate 3,930 2,574 782 3',962 2,508 268 344 239 Smithfield 6,054 3,632 1,884 6,270 3,898 914 .406 347 S.-Kingstown. 6,992 4,462 1,544 6,927. 4,394 653 127 386 Tiverton 4,911 2,823 1,851, 5,258 3,587 510 358 209 Warren 4,098 2,529 1,261 4,140 2,600 309 386 291 WARWICK 41,375 24,966 9,037 42-344 24,030 5356 4,366 1,548 Westerly 6,535 4,267 .1$790 6:286 4,301 512 291 .359 W. Greenwich 529 396 102 530 278 56 46 56 .W. Warwick 7S694 4,458 2,496 8,515 4,324 19,220 1,198 316 WOONSOCKET, 20,786 10,392 8,315 20,351 10,010 2,989 11$924 725 TOTALS 412,935 235,872 115,726 418,150 217,718 52,223 38,655 20,154 Grants and shared taxes represent funds chiefly from state government except for federal school aid to communities affected by defense installations (e.g. Newport). In'Rhode Island private and parochial schools account forabout 15% of total enrollments, though there is considerable variation from this proportion for particular communities. SOURCE:, Rhode Island Department of Community Affairs Tax Equilization Section 40 INFLUENCE OF POPULATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ON WATER QUALITY INFLUENCE OF POPULATION AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ON WATER QUALITY Industrial Development As indicated on the tables in the previous section, Rhode Island has had limited new industrial development in recent years, and this trend is expected to continue. This development is not expected to pose additional water quality problems for the state or interfere with meeting the goals of the "208" program. As noted in the report titled, '.'Inventory and Analysis of State, Local and Regional Growth.Policies," Rhode Island and Massachusetts both have adopted policies to discourage urban sprawl. New development is encouraged to locate in already built-up areas, and new industries are requied'to have ade- quate watewater treatment facilities. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is expected to promulgate and enforce regulations which require pretreatment of industrial wastes. These regulations will reduce the pollutant discharges from new development. In addi-@ tion, the adopted policies in Rhode Island and Massachusetts require that vir- tually all new industry will be located on sites served by sewer systems. In the future, some municipal treatment facilities may have to be upgraded and/or expanded to meet increased industrial demands. Population Despite the policies of Rhode Island and Massachusetts to discourage sprawl, the growth trend in the."208" planning area continues to be increased suburban- ization. This pattern is occurring nationwide and reflects the preference of American homebuyers for low-density, suburban neighborhoods. In the Rhode Island "208" area, this trend means increasing dependence on individual on-site dis- posal systems, which have potential for polluting ground water supplies, ponds and streams. These problems are discussed in some detail in the "208" inventory. report titled, "Inventory of Subsurface Disposal Systems." Among the possible solutions to pollution problems-caused by such development is strengthened regu-. lation of the siting, design, construction and. maintenance of septic systems. These and other regulatory mechanisms will b .e considered carefully in the legal, institutional, and financial arrangements task. Another potential pollution problem associated with sprawl is urban runoff. Low-density subdivisions require more roads and encourage increased automobile travel. These factors increase the runoff of automobile-related pollutants into the waterways during storms. Alternative mechanisms for dealing with these prob- lems will result from the urban runoff study being carried out as part of this "208" project. Problems created by sprawl were considered during the development of the Rhode Island Land Use Policies and Plan, and they will be given further analysis in determing the goals and priorities and alternative land use plans in this study. 42 APPENDIX STATE OF RHODE ISLAND AND PROVIDENCE PLANTATIONS hop Department of Administration STATEWIDE PLANNING PROGRAM 265 Melrose Street Providence, Rhode Island 02907 December 1, 1976 -ewide Planning As you may know, the Rhode Island Stat Program is preparing a water-related land use plan as part of the Areawide Waste Treatment Management Plan- ning Program (208). As a part of the inventory phase of this program, we are developing population fore- casts by city and town. In April, 1975, this agency published Technical Paper 25, Rhod-- Island Population Projections By County_, City and Town. We intend to utilize these projections for our planning program. It would be he"plful if you could look over the enclosed pages from this report and inform us of any disagreement with these projections. A brief explana- tion of any differences would be valuable. Please indicate your response on the reply sh.eet and return it to.me at your earliest convenience. Thankyou for your assistance. Very truly yours, Teree @Lee Areawide Waste Treatment LLH:ad Management Pla,.-Ining Program E@nclosures 44 REPLY SHEET POPULATION PROJECTIONS .AREAWTDE WASTE TREATMENT MANAGEMENT PLANNING PROGRAM The projections are acceptable as presented The projections are too high EXPLAIN: The projections are too low EXPLAIN: 5 LU LL '0Z Return to: Teree Lee Hartt Areawide Waste Treatment Management Planning Program Statewide Planning Program 265 Melrose Street Providence, Rhode Island 02907 45 ')TATL Of- RHODE ISLAND AND PROVIDENCE PLANTATIONS INTER-OFFICE MEMO TO Members of the Land Use Subcommittee DATE: December 1, 1970 DFPT Citizens 'Policy Committee FROM Teree Hartt DEPT Areawide Waste Treatment Management Planning Program SUBJECT: POPULATION DATA Enclosed for your information is a copy of a letter sent to the planning director or planning board chairperson in each city and town. The population projections are important in-determining land use trends throughout the state., so we hope to develop information which is as accurate as possible. If you'have any questions or comments on this, please call me. TLH:ad Enclosure Distribution': Virginia Duff McConnell Elizabeth White William Comery Kim Allsup Dave Davies 46 STATE OF RHODE ISLAND AND PROVIDENCE PLANTATIONS INTER-OFFICE MEMO CPC and APC Members DATE: May 27, 1977 DEPT FROM T. Hartt____@ki)@AAO'@ DEPT SUBJECT: POPULATION PROJECTIONS As many of you know, one of the interim outputs the EPA requires of 208 planning agencies is a set of population projections for the 208 area for the year 2000. The Statewide Planning Program prepares such projec- tions as part of its regular work program. The most recent projections are included in Technical Paper #25, published in April, 1975. In December, 1976, 1 sent copies of the city and town projections to the planner or planning board chairperson in each community for review and comment. I received replies from 19 communities. The attached chart summarizes these responses. Projections for Blackst one and Millville have been obtained from the Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission and sent out for comment. The principal research technician at Statewide Planning, Chester Symanski, has indicated that he has-no immediate plans to alter the projections presented in Technical Paper 25. 1 would appreciate it if CPC and APC members will review these projections and make some decision as to what figures should be submitted as our interim output. TLH:ad Attachments (2) Response Summary Technical Paper 25 cc: K. Allsup, Ecology Action for RI D. Davies, RILCT 47 COMMUNITY RESPONSES TO POPULATION FORECASTS @City or Town Evaluation Comments Barrington Acceptable Our local projections were done for 1) continued single-family dwelling development; and 2) limited multi-family development after 1977. These are as follows: S-F Devt. S-F & M-F Devt. 1980 est. 17,940-18,200- 18,180-18,56b 1985 est. 17,820-18,350 18,420-19,310 1990 est.. 17,610-18,420 18,570-19,860 Blackstone Acceptable Based on present growth projections appear to be okay Bristol Acceptable co Central Falls 'Too Low Projection does not take into account a rather large immigra- tion of Spanish-speaking people, mainly Columbian, that has taken place since 1971. The 1975 population is probably more like 18,500 in 1975. After that, I agree with the gradual decrease of 100-200 perfive-year period. Cranston Acceptable East Greenwich Acceptable East Providence Acceptable A little high for 1970; a little low for 1975, right on for 1980 Glocester. Too Low Using the amount of Building Permits issued over the past 2 years, we feel that a 750 per 5-year growth rate is more realistic. City or Town Evaluation Comments Little Compton Acceptable Popul ation projections for Little Compton: 1974 est. Low - 2,750 High - 2,800 1980 est. Low - 3,300 High - 3,450 1985 est. Low - 3,650 High - 4,000 1990 est. Low 3,950 High 4,550 Yours- are in this range through 1990. Millville Acceptable Narragansett Acceptable Newport Too Low I have no feeling about the projections; however, based on our own estimate of the 1976 population, they may be low. 1976 population'of 33,000 was estimated as follows: 1970 figure for occupied dwelling units was adjusted based on building department data; yielding 11,022 units. 1970 persons/household of 3.1 was adjusted downward to 3.0 to reflect decreased family size as a result of naval personnel transfer in 1973/74. (3.0 X 11,022 = 33,066) New Shoreham Too Low We believe projection of 0 growth to be in error. During the period 1970-1976, the school enrollment has increased 11%; the voting population 35%. A great number of Block Island residents, particularly those in retirement status, spend the period from December to February in Warmer climes, thus are not on the Island when the census is'taken. City or Town Evaluation Comments North Kingstown Too Low We have no long-term projections available locaTly to deter- mine coincidence with your figures. We do have our own projections up until 1990. Our 1990 projection is for 40,450 which is very close to yours. Our 1980 projection is for 29,569 which is higher than your figure. Our 1975-76 estimate is for between 25,000 and 27,000,while your figures are significantly smaller. We feel that due to the large number of developments occurring, the job activity occurring on Quonset, a vacancy rate of below 3%, and an increase in the total number of dwelling units to 7823.(1975 Housing Element) as compared to a.1970 Census figure of 6973, that our population is increasing faster than your figures suggest. North Providence Acceptable CD Pawtucket Too Low Pawtucket has expressed its displeasure to Chet Symanski and to the Federal Office of Revenue Sharing on several occasions regarding this popu-lation drop of 3,000 persons projected for the City between 1970 and 1975. We do not feel that there is any basis for this estimation. This would be the second largest population decline in the City over the past 40 years FEB 11979 and would come at a time when no large scale demolition or urban renewal projects are underway. While Pawtucket did lose 3,500 persons between 1960 and 1965, this is essentially the result of displacements for Interstate 95. We see no such justification for a loss of an almost equal number of persons in Pawtucket between 1970 and 1975. Our estimate is that Pawtucket's 1975 population was between 75.5 and 76 thousand people, with the figures as projected by Statewide Planning for the ensuing years agreeing with our assessment. ISE COM City or Town Evaluation Comments Providence Acceptable Martha Bailey, George Turlo and John Kellam by consensus have the idea that a reasonable "holding capacity" for Providence would be around 220,000 which is 33,000 under the high point we reached in 1940 when public transit still justified such a high density. Also, that a reasonable minimum to occupy the city and support the use of its utility infrastructure would be around 190,000. Optionally, we would aim at 200,000. The SPP's "leveling off" projection for Providence after 2020 at the 210,000 mark is therefore well within this range, aside from being a fairly logical proportion of the R.I. development. We feel, however, that the statewide projection of 1,421,700 by 2040 may be a bit too strong in its assumption of continued suburban-type growth. Richmond Too High Growth notthat rapid at present proposed changes in tax rebates for agricultural and land may well decrease these estimates by 25-50%. South Kingstown Too Low I hope the projections are correct. With our existing popula- tion increases and a continuing migration to our area, I feel our population will increase to a much higher degree than your projection indicates.. I have no idea what the projections should be. Too many unknown factors are involved. Warwick Acceptable For 1975 to 1990 Too High For 1995 to 2040 Controlled growth pattern policiesand land for housing should, by 1990-95, result in a population peak of 103,000 to 105,000 based on current projections and indices. Thereafter a stabi- lization of population. should occur. Woonsocket Acceptable REFERENCES 1. Central Massachusetts Regional Planning Commission, CMRPC Statistical Dat-a Book, Worcester, 1971. 2. Governor's Office, Policy 76, Providence, 1976. 3. Massachusetts Department of Commerce and Development, Massachusetts Pro- file: Blackstone, Boston, 1974. 4. Massachusetts Department of Commerce and Development,.Massachusetts Pro- file: Millvillej Boston, 1974. 5. Rhode Island Department of Economic Development, Rhode Island Basic Economic Statistics ... The Economy, Summary and Trends, Providence, 1.977. 6. Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program, Overall Economic Development Program, Providence, 1976. 7. Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program, Rhode Island Population Projec- tions by County, City and Town, Technical Paper 25, Providence, 1975. 8. Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program, State Land Use Policies and Plan, Providence, 1975. 9. Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program, Work Program, Providence, 1976. 10. State of Rhode Island and Providence Plantations, Annual Reports, 1974-75, 52 AV, 1w; A DATE DUE GAYLORD No. 2333 PRINTED IN U.S.A. 3 6668 14105 8687