[From the U.S. Government Printing Office, www.gpo.gov]






               Monitoring Bluff Erosion Along Pennsylvania's Portion of the
                                          Lake Erie Shoreline





                                                Prepared by
                                                Paul D. Knuth
                                         Richard Lindenberg, Ph.D.
                                    Edinboro University of Pennsylvania
                               Institute for Research and Community Service



                                                     and



                                      Erie County Conservation District






                                               October 30, 1995







                                                         Ioil






            This project was financed in part through a federal Coastal Zone Management Grant
            from the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Resources, with funds provided
            by NOAA. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily
            reflect the views of NOAA or any of its subagencies.


            Effective July 1, 1995, all references in this document to the Department of Environmental
            Resources shall instead be deemed to read the Department of Environmental Protection.






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                                 US Department of Commerce                                     140
                             NOAA Coaital Services Center Library
                                  2234 South Hobson Avc-- '--J
                                   Charleston, SC








                  Monitoring Bluff Erosion Along Pennsylvania's Portion of the
                                                   Lake Erie Shoreline



               Title Page
               Table of Contents


                1.0 Introduction
                       1.1. Study Purpose
                               1. 1. 1. Purpose of the Current Study
                               1.1.2. Purpose of the 1992-94 Studies
                               1.1.3. Recommendations Leading to the Current Study
                               1.1.4. Conclusions and Recommendations of the 1992-94 Study
                       1.2. Historical Overview
                       1.3. Regional Setting

               2.0 Significant Factors in Lake Erie Bluff Retreat for Erie
                                           County, Pennsylvania
                       2.1. General Discussion
                       2.2. Reach Delineation
                               2.2.1. First Order Reach Delineation
                               2.2.2. Second Order Reach Delineation


               3.0 Efforts of Pennsylvania to Establish Recession Rates
                       3.1.  Photogrammetric Analysis: 1974/75
                       3.2   Miscellaneous Studies: 1975/77
                       3.3.  DER Recession Rate Study: 1982/83
                       3.4.  DER Recession Rate Study- 1986/87
                       3.5.  DER Recession Rate Study: 1989
                       3.6.  DER Recession Rate Study: 1994
                       3.7.  Summary
             44.0 Techniques for Monitoring Bluff Retreat and Calculating
                                              Bluff Recession Rates
                       4.1. Inventory of Current Practice: Great Lakes States
                       4.2. Synopsis of Techniques Applied for Current Study
                               4.2.1. Global Positioning- Systems (GPS)
                               4.2.2. Geographic Information Systems (GIS)






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         5.0 Field Reconnaissance/ Description
               S. 1. Methodology
               5.2. Procedures for Locating Control Points
                   5.2.1. Determining General Location
                   5.2.2. Finding the Control Point
               5.3 GPS Methodology
                   5.3.1. Using GPS to Find Control Points
                   5.3.2. Procedures for Collecting Data on Control Point Sites
                   5.3.3. Scenario
               5.4 Future Use of GPS and GIS Technologies for Location and Data Collection


         6.0 Findings and Analysis
               6.1 Introduction
               6.2 Condition of DER Control Points
               6.3 Discussion of Recession of Established Control Points
                   6.3.1. Analysis of Recession Rates: DER Control Points 1982-94, 1986-94
                   6.3.2. DER Control Points Experiencing Increase in Recession Rates


         7.0 Recommendations for Additional Study
               7.1. Bathymetry
               7.2. Details of Bluff Stratigraphy
               7.3. Bluff Geometry
               7.4. Regional Hydrology
               7.5. Comprehensive Monitoring Program
               7.6. Additions to GIS Database


         References
               References Cited










                                          1.0 Introduction


         1.1. Study Purpose


                  1.1.1. Purpose of Current Study


                  The principal purpose of the current study was to document procedures for
         monitoring and calculating the rate of bluff recession on the Lake Erie shoreline in
         Pennsylvania. In addition, the current study involved remeasuring Department of
         Environmental Resources (DER) control points to provide data for computation of
         recession rates based on measurements made in 1982, 1985-86, and 1989. New
         technology with a potential for making future monitoring more efficient was examined
         and implemented where warranted. The degree and scale of new technologies
         developed to assist in locating, monitoring, and mapping control points and data
         associated with bluff erosion should be considered in context with past practice.


                  This document provides an update to the original work of the DER in 1974
         which resulted in a study titled Shoreline Erosion and Flooding: Die County (Knuth and
         Crowe, 1975). In that study, recession rates were established by measuring aerial
         photographs. The rates established by that study were used to delineate structural
         setback areas for the Lake Erie shoreline. The current study was done, in part, to
         reinforce or repudiate those rates based on direct measurement of shoreline control
         points over a twelve year time period.


                  This document provides a synopsis of work completed in the 1992-1994 phases
         of the current three year study. Included in the synopsis is a brief description of the
         purpose, results, and conclusions of work done during that time.


                  The document provides a summary of the significant factors of coastal bluff
         retreat for Erie County, Pennsylvania. This summary will be based on work detailed in
         Knuth and Crowe (1975) and Knuth (1983), (1985) and (1987). The summary will include a
         description of reach delineation described in Knuth, (1985).


                  The document provides a description of past efforts of DER to establish
         recession rates for Erie County.


                  The document provides the results of inquiries made of other Great Lakes
         investigators involved in monitoring bluffs and calculating recession rates. This
         description is supported by work authorized by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers









         reported in Stewart, (1994).

                   Current efforts by DER to incorporate GPS/GIS technology is examined.
         DER authorized an examination of these methodologies in 1992-1994 for the purpose of
         discovering more efficient, more accurate, or more cost effective ways of monitoring
         and calculating bluff recession. The degree to which these new technologies meet these
         expectations is discussed.

                   The document provides a description of how DER control points are located and
         measured in the field. The description includes an estimate of how evolving
         technologies will be used in future field investigations.

                   Recession rate data based on seven to twelve years of direct measurement of
         DER control points is examined. Findings and an analysis of that examination are
         presented in the hope of providing useful information about bluff retreat for shore
         managers and property owners.


                   The document recommends additional work for DER to consider in its attempts
         to build a GIS data base for the coastal bluffs of Lake Erie in Pennsylvania.



                   1.1.2. Purpose of 1992-93 Studies


                   It has been twenty years since the first recession rate and coastal hazards
         study was completed for the study area. Advances in the ability of computers and
         other technologies to make tasks more efficient, store and manipulate data, and
         display and transmit information require an examination of how these advances
         apply to the problem of coastal zone management.


                   Although this study will focus on the application of various methodologies
         to recession rate studies and related problems, it is clear that these technologies may
         be expanded toward improving the ability of the Commonwealth to meet its
         responsibilities in managing the coastal resource.


                   There is a very practical reason for monitoring recession rates either in
         shoreline retreat or in bluff recession. Recession rates are used to establish hazard
         zones and setback ordinances to protect the resource and to prevent the loss of
         infrastructure, developed housing, or other structures. In addition, there is a


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         compelling reason to understand, from a purely scientific point of view, the
         relationship among stratigraphy, geomorphology of the shore, and the natural
         forces of weathering and erosion on recession rates.


                  Efforts to determine recession rates in the Great Lakes are divided by
         institutional framework and geography. The amount of shoreline governed by the
         various Great Lakes States varies dramatically in length. However, they are easily
         categorized as States with very long shorelines and States with relatively short
         shorelines. The division is as follows:


                  ï¿½ States with hundreds of miles of shoreline (Michigan, New York, Ohio,
                    Wisconsin).
                  ï¿½ States with relatively short'shorelines measured in less than one
                     hundred miles (Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Indiana, and Illinois).

                  The shorelines vary in geomorphology and physiography between low
         lying shorelines which are easily flooded and high rocky shorelines that are erosion
         resistant. Each shoreline type produces differences in recession rates, amount of
         hazard, and methods of studying these phenomena.


                  Extremes can be summarized as:


                  ï¿½ Reaches of shoreline that are defmed by massive, resistant rock
                     shorelines with little or no measurable recession over time, and
                  ï¿½ Reaches of shoreline consisting of unconsolidated sands and clays
                     with recession rates that can exceed 1.5 meters per year.

                  In addition, shorelines can be categorized by the amount of development in
         the shoreline susceptible to erosion and flooding.


                  These categories vary between:


                  ï¿½ Reaches of shoreline that are moderately to highly developed
                  ï¿½ Reaches of shoreline that remain undeveloped due to ruggedness or
                    remoteness







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        Shorelines are studied and managed by a variety of agencies from local government
        through international agencies.


                  By institutional framework, the division is as follows:


                  ï¿½ Federal agencies with a legislative mandate that requires knowledge of
                     shoreline characteristics (DOA, Corps of Engineers, United States
                     Geological Survey, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
                     Environment Canada)
                  ï¿½  International agencies with a responsibility for consistency in
                     reporting and regulatory function (International joint Commission)
                  ï¿½  State agencies with a mandate to manage the coastal resources (various
                     State environmental agencies including DER
                  ï¿½  Local governments with an interest in or a mandate for information
                     gathering and/or management (Fairview Township, Erie County
                     Planning Department)
                  ï¿½  Other agencies at the State and Federal level with an interest in coastal
                     zone management
                     (Erie County Conservation District, Department of Agriculture Soil
                     Conservation Service).


                  The length of shoreline, the degree of development, the relative recession
        rates or other hazard zone parameters and levels of govern-mental interest will
        dictate methodologies used to determine recession rates and hazard lines. In
        addition, the resources in money, time, and expertise available to an agency Will
        dictate method and degree of investigation.

                  As a result of the above, methodologies developed and implemented have a
        wide range in variability. There is, however, a common thread throughout that is
        revealed in an investigation of them all.


        That commonality is summarized as:


                     Historical information in the form of maps, charts, and aerial
                     photographs is the primary source of information to date
                     Recession rates have been developed mainly by viewing aerial
                     photographs with a stereo plotter or similar device. Information is
                     transferred to a single map by hand or by zoom transfer scope, and
                     recession is measured by digitizing the intersects of bluff lines and lines


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                     drawn at right angles to the reach. The spacing of such measurement
                     might vary from 100 feet to 500 feet. Some reaches in some states have
                     been measured directly from surveyed control points. Pennsylvania
                     remains the only state with recession rates based on direct measurement
                     for the entire shoreline.
                   * The development of a geographic information system (GIS) is either in
                     progress, or planned for the purpose of displaying, storing, analyzing
                     and mapping recession rate information.
                   e While various methodologies exist for monitoring recession rates, each
                     method requires the measurements to be repeated from time to time
                     for verification.
                   e There is a universal problem with scale. The coastal zone, particularly
                     that part of the coastal zone experiencing hazard is narrow (widths
                     measured in tens or hundreds of feet) while the shoreline length is
                     measured in miles. Recession rates can be measured
                     in inches per year over a length of miles. This is a well recognized
                     problem with respect to shoreline mapping.

                   Shoreline monitoring can be expensive in terms of manpower and time. A
         principal objective of the study was to determine if there exists a methodology that
         would make monitoring more efficient.



                   1.1.3. Recommendations Leading to Current Study


                   The results of the 1992-94 scopes of work are reported in Knuth and
         Lindenberg, (1994) The report recommended amending or rewriting the document
         Shoreline Erosion and Flooding- Ede County to incorporate a method of utilizing a
         combination of GIS and GPS technology to enhance the DER monitoring program.


                   The preferred method (of revision) is assumed to be a combination of an
         improved existing measurement methodology that will permit continued monitoring
         of shoreline recession and one using using ARC/INFO and GPS technology.


                   The basis of the document Shoreline Erosion and Flooding-Erie County was
         to provide the Commonwealth with an inventory of the Pennsylvania portion of the
         Lake Erie shoreline. This inventory was to establish the degree to which this


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         shoreline was experiencing shoreline erosion and bluff retreat. Further, the
         inventory was to establish the hazard to existing structures.


                   This inventory is now twenty years old. During that time, shoreline
         erosion and bluff retreat have taken some toll on developed and undeveloped land.
         Much of the impact was predicted by the 1974 document; some was unforeseen.
         Shoreline development and consequent hard stabilization have also introduced
         negative impacts.


                    Recommendations for revision included:


                       Existing aerial photography (ECPD's 911 orthophotography) at scales of
                      1:2400 and 1:4800 should be examined against older photography to
                      permit a reach by reach analysis of changing patterns. Obvious areas of
                      recent or advanced recession should be marked for examination in the
                      field. (Verified information will be coded for input to the GIS)


                      The maps included in the document should be produced from the GIS and
                      should include at a minimum, information with respect to bluff height,
                      bluff slope, hazard, 50 foot recession line, and sufficient landmarks as to
                      make the maps useful to local municipalities and property owners. (For
                      most GIS this amounts to printing to a plotter or similar device. Full
                      scale maps as individual sheets could also be made available to
                      municipalities.)


                      ï¿½ Budget permitting, the document should continue to provide the basics
                         of coastal geomorphology and information about shoreline protection
                         and land use (and site) management.


                      ï¿½ Tables, figures, and photographs should be updated.


                      ï¿½ Geotechnical information including geomorphic information for
                         mapping consistency with UC, should be incorporated.

                      It would be possible to update the document using traditional methods.

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         Information gathered during this field season would be used to revise the document.
         All data would be displayed in tabular form and analyzed using simple statistical
         operations.


                     With the GIS, the document could be revised on a continuing basis as new
         information was added to the database. Tables, figures, maps, and charts would be
         available to property owners and coastal planners with very little time lapse
         between requests for information and delivery of a practical page or series of pages.
         The document would actually "live" in the GIS. Hard copies of the document would, of
         course, be available, but the document itself would be in a constant state of change.
         For example, new information about a particular reach may be developed as a result
         of a site visit. The new information is added to the GIS and changes would appear in
         various locations. Recession rates, hazard delineation, shore structure placement,
         change of ownership, major land use change are examples of information that would
         be updated in the GIS.


                       Revising the document in 1994-95 is extremely important for a number
         of reasons. The existing document does not incorporate recession rate information
         gathered in 1982 and 1989. Land use changes in the coastal zone have been dramatic
         in many areas. Coastal hazards have materialized as predicted in some places, but not
  is     in others, whereas some areas predicted to be somewhat stable have proven to be
         more unstable than predicted. Information about the bluffs, beach and offshore
         bathymetry was not available in 1974. This information gathered over the past two
         decades and included in the revised document would greatly improve the consistency
         of reporting called for by the International Joint Commission.


                      Conducting field investigations, including aerial reconnaissance,
         compiling field reports for the last twenty years as well as incorporating recession
         rate studies and other studies would permit revision of the existing document and
         would enable the State to present a factual and up-to-date profile of the coastal zone
         with respect to recession rates and erosion hazard. While the revision is certainly
         necessary, it, too, will become dated and will need a major revision in a few years.

         1.1.4. Conclusions and Recommendations of the 1992-94 Study


         Conclusions
                   An evaluation of the current and potential methodologies for monitoring

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        bluff recession for Pennsylvania's shoreline has resulted in the following
         conclusions:


                  e The current method used by Pennsylvania in measuring bluff recession
                     and monitoring shoreline erosion is accurate.
                  9  The assumption that available new technology would improve on the
                     accuracy of the current method was not substantiated by the
                     investigation.


                  9  It was established that new technology substantially improves
                     existing methodologies by making it easier to locate control points on
                     maps or aerial photographs. (GPS)


                  *  It was established that new technologies would make a profound
                     difference in the way in which the DER manages information. (GIS)


                  9  Pennsylvania has a record of historical recession rates for the entire
                     shoreline based on direct measurement. While a few states have such a
                     complete record, it is based on indirect measurement with percentages of
                     error inherently higher than with a direct method.


                  0 The data generated by monitoring recession rates has not been as
                     usable as it should be because of inconsistencies in reporting and the
                     potential for not recording active recession taking place between
                     control points.


                  * All agencies queried as a part of this study, state, federal, and
                     international, are in the process of incorporating some form of GIS into
                     their program for obtaining and managing shoreline data.


                  * The document, Shoreline Erosion and Flooding, EYIe County is out of
                     date. It contains no current recession rate or hazard area information,
                     and is not consistent with the needs of basin-wide management.



        Recommendations
                     Continue to monitor existing DER control points.


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                   9 Replace control points lost to development and supplement the 500 m
                     control grid with points representing high recession rate areas falling
                     between grid points.


                   9 Incorporate global positioning system (GPS) technology to position
                     control points either by plane coordinate system or by latitude and
                     longitude. The system wrill permit easier location of the points in the
                     field, finer location on map and/or geographic information system
                     (GIS), and will permit the development of a linear representation of
                     bluffline characteristics.


                   ï¿½ Inventory existing shoreline conditions toward improving recession rate
                     monitoring and hazard area identification.


                   ï¿½ Hindcast recession rates for a sampling of high rate recession areas.


                   ï¿½ Establish a geographic information system to manage and analyze
                     existing data. This will make the data already available accessible for
                     management decisions.


                   ï¿½ Build a database beginning with digital orthophotography to include all
                     information basic to coastal zone management decisions including land
                     use, wetlands delineation, property information, and geomorphic
                     relationships.


                   ï¿½ Update existing orthophoto database with a new flight sufficient to
                     produce digital orthophotography at a minimum scale of rf 1: 2400.


                   ï¿½ Revise the document Shoreline Erosion and Flooding, Ezie County to
                     incorporate data and information gathered to date. The document should
                     be a statement of the detailed work done by the DER since 1974 on
                     recession rate and hazard zone monitoring.


         1.2. Historical Overview


                   The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania has participated in the Federal
        Coastal Zone Management Program administered by the National Oceanographic and
        Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) since 1973. DER authorized a number of special

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         projects designed to obtain information about the geology, physiography and
         geomorphology of the coastal zone. This information has been useful in
         administering the coastal zone management program. DER has specific
         responsibilities with respect to structural setback requirements in the coastal zone.
         A requirement for this regulatory function is knowledge of historical recession
         rates on the bluffs facing the open water shoreline of Lake Erie. Hazard zones, those
         areas where recession rates are above the long term historical average, are also of

         concern.


                   DER has additional responsibilities for which a knowledge of the
         geomorphological processes is important. Site visits to shoreline properties by DCP
         staff, consultation with shoreline developers, and responsibilities for monitoring the
         coastal resource, are examples of the need for this information.


                  To obtain recession rate information, the State began with a
         photograrnmetric analysis of the historical recession rate for the Lake Erie
         shoreline. Selected control points were established on existing aerial photography
         and recession rates were developed by measuring distance differences over time.
         This work was done in 1974 and was reported in Knuth, (1975). The accuracy of the
         methodology was sufficient to provide justification for setback ordinances.
         Additional work was begun in 1981 to establish ground control points that could be
         measured over time to produce a more accurate recession rate for a representative
         point within a one kilometer grid alongshore. The methodology was expanded in
         1986 to incorporate control points within a one-half kilometer grid alongshore.


                  Over the last twenty years, a surprising amount of information has been
         developed about the coastal zone, its geomorphic processes and its physiographic
         features as well as land use information. There is an increasing need to manage this
         information efficiently in the service of the public interest.



         1.3 Regional Setting


                  The Erie County, Pennsylvania coastal zone is delineated by borders
         established in 1974 by DER and the Erie County Coastal Zone Steering Committees.
         The focus of this study is that reach of the coastal zone beginning with the Ohio-
         Pennsylvania border northeastward to the proximal end of Presque Isle peninsula


                                                 1-10










        and from the east channel entrance to Presque Isle Bay northeastward to the
        Pennsylvania-New York border. This delineation excludes Presque Isle peninsula,
        Presque Isle Bay, and the bluffs facing the waters of Presque Isle Bay. The lakeward
        extent is the outer limit of the nearshore zone to the landward area beyond the bluff
        crest. It contains the nearshore zone, the surf zone, the offshore beach profile, the
        onshore profile, the bluff toe, bluff face, bluff crest, and landward of the bluff crest
        to the limit of the long term recession line.









                  Section 2.0 Significant Factors in Lake Erie Bluff Retreat

                   There are several causal factors of bluff retreat. Many of the forms of mass
             wasting associated with steep slopes are present on the coastal bluffs of Erie County.
             DER has authorized reconnaissance studies of the Lake Erie shoreline bluffs. The
             results are reported in Knuth, (1983 and 1985). In Knuth, (1985), a discussion of bluff
             retreat was provided as technical support information useful for on-site evaluation
             of potential bluff erosion problems. The following is a synopsis of that information
             backed up with photographic examples. The photographs were taken in 1994 and all
             represent locations along the Erie County shoreline. (See plates, this section).


             2.1 General Discussion


                   Slope movement is an expression of force overcoming resistance. Coastal
             bluffs are examples of systems in which force and resistance are continually
             opposed. Any change in environmental conditions can initiate downslope
             movement. When the forces within a mass overcome the resistance to movement,
             material will move. These forces require energy, and all energy in geomorphic
             systems is derived from either gravity or climate.


                   The force provided by gravity is simply the weight of the materials in the
             bluff including water and the external loads such as buildings or materials dumped
             on the bluff face. Shear force is a function of gravity and can vary on a bluff in
             any dimension. The factors that control it along any potential failure surface
             include slope, height, and weight of the materials. The addition of water to these
             materials reduces the resistance to shear.


                   Climate, through its control of water, air, and temperature, provides the
             energy for the most important forces on bluffs. Climate related forces include wind
             and wave action, surface and groundwater flow, rain impact, moisture and
             temperature related ground expansion, and ice action. Resistance to any of these
             forces is provided by the shear strength of these materials. Vegetation and
             structural controls (shore structures and bluff stabilization systems) may provide
             additional resistance.


                   Shear strength is not constant for any given material. It can change over
             time as weathering or ground water pressures interact with the climate factors.


                   The commonly encountered geomorphic processes on the bluffs include wave










           and current erosion at the toe of the bluff, wind erosion, and the action of ice, rain
           impact and sheet or rill erosion, groundwater sapping, sliding or slumping,
           solifluction, debris flow, and creep.


                   These process can be separated into two groups: mass movement and particle
           movement. In mass movement material begins to move as a coherent unit. If the
           movement of the mass is along a well defined surface without internal shear, it is
           termed a slide (or slump). If the shear is distributed throughout the mass without a
           clearly defined failure surface it is termed a flow. Movements in which particles
           move independently are called particle movements. Distinction between these
           categories is often difficult.


                   The following diagram illustrates the relationship of terms used in discussing
           mass wasting as a concept.



                                                         MASS MOV E M E NT

                       GRAVITY               SLIDING

                                                    ROTATIONAL    SLUMPING
                   U                             TRANSLATIONAL   BLOCK SLIDES

                       CLIMATE
                                             FLOWS

                                                                                     C-)
                                                                                     rn
                                                                                     LO
                                              CREEP                                  (n
                                                                                     rn
                                                                                     LO
                   Cf)
                   UJ   SHEAR STRENGTH
                   U                                    PARTICLE MOVEMENT
                        VEGETATION
                                            WAVE EROSION           WIND EROSION
                   co STRUCTURAL SYSTEMS       ICE EROSION      RILL/SHEET EROSION
                   (n

                                                           SAPPING





           Shear Strength and Shear Stress


                   Shear tress is the internal resistance that tends to prevent adjacent parts of a
           solid from "shearing" or sliding past one another parallel to the plane of the contact.
           It is measured by the maximum shear stress that can be sustained without failure.
 0                                                2-2












            Shear stress is a stress causing adjacent parts of a solid to slide past one another
            parallel to the plane of contact.


                   A discussion of the engineering criteria expressed as complicated formulae is
            outside the scope of this manual. No work has been done to determine the shear
            strength of bluff materials. It is known that shear stress overcomes shear strength
            in these materials. Much of the bluff failure along the Erie County shoreline is a
            result of this phenomenon. Ultimately, the DER will have to do engineering studies
            of these sediments to determine overall stability in the bluffs. This will allow some
            prediction about where slides are likely to occur and to what extent.


                   The actual stress at any point in these materials can be produced when 1)
            the soil becomes saturated and 2) loads are placed on the materials. When water
            enters sands and gravels, the loss of strength occurs immediately due to the high
            permeability in these materials. In clays and silts there is a lag because of low
            permeability. Increased stress is caused by placing a load on the soil surface, making
            an excavation in the soil or removal of part of the slope materials by erosion.


            Mass Wasting


                   The effect of mass wasting on the bluffs is not well understood. An attempt is
            made here to briefly generalize this complex and very important process.


                   Sliding or slumping, flows and creep are listed as phenomena observed in the
            Erie County coastal zone. All are forms of mass wasting, a geologist's or
            geomorphologists term. An engineer refers to the same phenomena as landslides
            or slope movements. Types of movement are divided into five main groups: falls,
            topples, slides, spreads, flows, and creep. A sixth group, complex movements, includes
            combinations of the other five groups. These groups are related to the type or rate
            of movement. Materials are divided into rock and soil, with soil divided into coarse
            and fine grained. Soil, to an engineer, is anything that is not rock.

                   Slides, both rotational and translational, and flows are most commonly
            encountered on the coastal zone. Some falls are observed in the far western reaches
            but are otherwise uncommon.


                                                       2-3










            Types of Slides


                  Slides are subdivided into rotational slides and translational slides. A rotational
            slide falls along a concavely curved rupture. The resulting slump surface is spoon-
            shaped and is rotational about an axis that is parallel to the slope. The classic slump
            is common in homogeneous materials. Rotational slides tend to occur in clayey soils
            and not in sands.


                  In translational slides (slumps) the mass progresses down and out along a more
            or less planar surface and shows no rotational or backward tilting characteristic of a
            rotational movement. A translational slump in which the moving mass consists of a
            single unit that is not greatly deformed is called a block slide (slump block).
            Translational slides can occur in a homogeneous mass. Granular materials such as
            sand and gravel fail in shallow slides with the failure surface parallel to the slope
            surface.


            2.2 Reach Delineation


            The Erie County shoreline can be divided into ten reaches based on physiography
            (Knuth, 1985). A topographic map of Erie County (scale 1:SO 000) was scrutinized for
            physiographic similarities in a combination of bluff profile and upland features.
            Such features as might influence bluff physiography include drainage systems and
            glacial features such as beach ridges of former higher lake level stages.


                  Initially color slides of the entire shoreline were viewed to determine
            variations in bluff characteristics that influence bluff erosion. In 1994, a photo
            reconnaissance was made of the entire shoreline to provide visual clues concerning
            a range of bluff characteristics. These photographs were useful in substantiating
            the reach determinations made in previous studies.


                  Each reach exhibited an overall homogeneity. Though there were numerous
            variables with respect to bluff characteristics it was possible to establish ten major
            reaches. Within certain reaches it was possible to identify subreaches having a
            minimal linear alongshore extent. These subreaches are reported in Knuth, (1985).


                  2.2.1. First Order Delineation




                                                     2-4









            The Erie County shoreline between the Ohio border to the southeast and the New York
            border to the northeast is 42.5 miles measured to exclude the Presque Isle spit. The
            spit would add approximately nine miles to the length of the shoreline. That part of
            the reach west of the proximal end of the spit to the Ohio border is twenty-five miles
            long. The distance from the entrance to Presque Isle Bay to the New York border is
            eighteen miles. The central reach is a combination of the lakeward and bay facing
            portions of the spit and the shoreline facing Presque Isle Bay. This reach is not part
            of the DER recession rate studies. No bluffs (except those cut by waves on the sandy
            beaches) exist on Presque Isle. The bluffs facing Presque Isle Bay are generally
            stable, protected from the erosional factors supplied by the open lake conditions east
            and west of the spit.

                    Bluffs may be characterized according to the following factors:


            height
            slope
            slope geometry
            stratigraphy
            beach
            human impact
  0         degree and character of erosion on bluff face
            recession at bluff crest


                    The reaches east and west of Presque Isle may be easily differentiated on the
            basis of a generalized description based on the above variables. A higher
            proportion of the bluffs east of the spit have a bedrock basement extending to as
            much as 20 feet above water level. This means that there are few beaches fronting
            these bluffs. Any sand accumulation occurs in small cuspate reentrants in the bluff.
            The bedrock bluffs are steeper and permit little vegetation to take root on the
            bedrock portion of the bluff. Bluffs west of the spit are generally higher with few
            having a bedrock basement. Consequently, these bluffs erode more easily at the base,
            depositing more sand into the longshore drift and creating protective beaches with a
            shallow profile. These differences in stratigraphy cause significant variations in
            the remaining elements. These two reaches are divided into ten major reaches



                   2.2.2. Second Order Delineation




                                                      2-5










                          A general description of the ten major reaches follows:


            Reach 1. The New York-Pennsylvania border to one mile east of Sixteen Mile Creek.


                  The reach is defined by low bluffs approximately forty feet in height. Total
            local relief of the longshore profile is from 610 feet to lake level (573 feet, IGLD) at
            the mouth of Twenty Mile Creek. The bluffs vary in slope from very steep (forty-five
            degrees) to gently sloping (eighteen degrees). The slopes are linear in form with
            little evidence of differential erosion or slumping. The stratigraphy is extremely
            complex. While much of the face is masked by vegetation, exposed areas show some
            unusual sequences. Bedrock is lacking in the section but is apparent at the beach
            face, and shelves offshore over most of the reach. Siltstone lenses outcrop at these
            locations producing large flags and shingles. The basal unit is a clay till overlain by
            a sandier light brown layer (lacustrine?).


                  The bluff is incised by intermittent streams draining the upland. Bluff retreat
            is reduced in proximity to the stream mouths. Gully erosion in the bluff face is
            generally absent. With minor exceptions the beaches lining the reach are fairly
            extensive being at least twenty-five feet wide and continuous over the reach.


            Reach 2- East of Sixteen Mile Creek to four hundred yards west of Sixteen Mile Creek


                  One of the most spectacular stratigraphic breaks of the entire shoreline occurs
            at the beginning of this reach. To the east, bedrock is just at water level or not in
            evidence at all. Beginning at this reach, bedrock comprises eight of the fifty feet of
            height. The exact contact is obscured in a small stream valley. Bluff height varies
            along the alongshore profile from fifty feet on the east to eighty feet on the west.
            The overall slope is steep from crest but is compound in nature; concave from crest
            to the bedrock contact with a steep seventy degree slope from that contact to the
            base of the bluff. The concavity in the slope is produced by differential erosion in
            the materials above bedrock. The basal till is prone to flow while the sandier layer
            on top is more prone to oversteepening and failing as minor slumps. The bedrock,
            resistant to erosion, displays a steep face to approaching waves.

                  joints in the bedrock have been widened by the force of the waves to produce
            incisions of some size (up to fifty feet wide by twenty feet deep) in the shale. In
            these small coves sand accumulates and forms pocket beaches. Otherwise, there are


                                                     2-6










            no beaches forming except at Sixteen Mile Creek.


            Reach 3- West of Sixteen Mile Creek to three quarters mile east of Twelve Mile Creek


                  The bluffs along this reach are the highest in Erie County to a height of 160
            feet. In this section the beaches of glacial Lake Warren strike offshore. This
            massive thickness of beach sands and gravels is underlain by finer sands of
            lacustrine origin. These sands are in turn underlain by two distinct clay till layers.
            At the base bedrock is exposed, varying in thickness from four feet to ten feet.


                  The bluffs have eroded a complex face due to differential erosion in these
            materials. Large arcuate failures in the top sand layer are prominent. Beaches have
            formed but are not continuous. Where bedrock is exposed the beaches tend to
            disappear entirely.


            Reach 4- East of Twelve Mile Creek to three quarter Mile east of Seven Mile Creek


                  This reach has a long shoreline length but is very homogenous throughout
            marked only by difference produced by the dissection of streams. The undulating
            surface of the bedrock exposures produces minor difference in the response of the
            bluff to wave attack. The bluffs vary in height from eighty to one hundred feet and
            are fairly steep with some slopes of forty-five degrees observed.


                  The stratigraphy varies greatly in the thickness of individual units, but four
            distinct units are present. The bedrock base undulates with a minimum exposure at
            the base to thicknesses of ten feet or more. The bedrock is overlain by two distinct
            till units, possibly three. Where bedrock exposure is minimal, the basal unit is
            exposed and with resultant oversteepening. Above these clay units is a sandy unit
            prone to slumping. The beaches are discontinuous over the reach and disappear
            entirely where bedrock is exposed at the base of the bluffs.


            Reach 5- Three quarter mile east of Seven Mile Creek to International Paper
                  Company


            This is the largest homogeneous reach east of Presque Isle. The longshore profile
            varies very little in height above lake level, usually close to 640 feet above IGLD.
            The bluff angle varies dependent on the amount of bedrock exposed. The bedrock
            exposures tend to be steeper than fifty degrees, while the clay layers above take on a

                                                    6-7










            more gently sloping profile. Bedrock is exposed over much of the reach. The surface
            undulates, but very gently. Joint sets in the shale govern the orientation and the
            sizeof the incisions made by the hydraulic expansion of wave pressure striking the
            bedrock outcrop.


                  The bedrock is overlain by a thin mantle of till. In some places there is
            evidence for a second unit. The reach is marked by the prominence of the bedrock
            exposure. The bedrock -clay interface is swept by overtopping waves producing a
            narrow shelf at the top of the shale layer. Above this contact, wave energy erodes
            the base of the till unit and produces recession at the crest.


            Reach 6- Proximal end of Presque Isle spit to east of Walnut Creek


                  The bluffs to the east of Montpelier Avenue are more or less protected by the
            broad beaches at their base. This is particularly true from the Baer Farm area east to
            the beginning of the spit. The bluffs here are well vegetated, although the face of
            the bluff exhibits characteristics of slumping that must have occurred at least fifty
            years ago. There are a few spots where recession can be traced, and these sites are
            generally associated with poor land use management.


                  The bluffs are of constant height over the entire reach. The basal unit is shale
            the surface of which undulates to a maximum exposure of eight feet to a minimum
            exposure just at mean water level. There is very good correlation between beach
            formation and the absence of bedrock exposure. There are two, sometimes three
            distinct units overlying the shale. The bottom two are almost certainly tills while the
            top layer is lacustrine in origin. The sandy top unit varies in thickness and has
            eroded into a series of serrate forms. There is some evidence that these gullies
            "migrate". New ones form adjacent as the old ones heal. Healing is attributed to the
            more stable angle produce between the head of the gully and its base.


            Reach 7- East of Walnut Creek to one mi. west of Godfrey Run


                  This is a continuation of the general characteristics of Reach 6 previously
            described. Walnut Creek provides a major interruption of the shoreline bluffs at this
            location between the stream mouth itself and and the wide shoreline beaches of the
            Manchester Beach area. Where beaches narrow once more west of Walnut Creek to
            near Godfrey Run, the bluffs are essentially the same as to the east of Walnut Creek.


                                                     6-8









            Reach 8- Erie Shores Development to one-half mile west of Elk Creek.


            The sandy beach deposits of glacial Lake Warren are much in evidence along this
            reach and produce much of the more spectacular bluff erosion events. The bluffs
            along this entire reach are very prone to slumping and multiple slumping events are
            noted at some of these sites.


                   The sandy layers are underlain by the same till sequence observed in Reaches
            6 and 7. Bedrock is not exposed along this reach, but the presence of shingles on the
            beaches indicate it is exposed just below mean water level. The basal units are clay
            layers which are very prone to flow during the thaw and runoff cycles in the
            spring. This wasting of material at the base sets these slopes up for the
            oversteepening necessary for the shear strength in the sands above to fail. This
            produces massive slump blocks.

                   The downcutting of Elk Creek and the changes in the channel have produced a
            terrace to the east of the stream mouth. The exposure here is a single clay unit that
            causes the bluff to retreat at a fixed slope angle over time.


            Reach 9- West of Elk Creek to East of Crooked Creek.


                   The bluffs along this reach vary little in height above lake level, about 650
            feet. The face is deeply incised *by gullies on the relatively steep bluff slope.
            Bedrock is present just below the surface in most places. The basal clay unit is
            exposed to wave attack, producing wave notches at the toe of the bluff.
            Oversteepening and the effects of sapping are producing some significant erosion in
            these bluff s.


            Reach 10- Crooked Creek to the Pennsylvania Border with Ohio


                   This reach is most marked by the amount of variation exhibited over the
            reach. At Crooked Creek, the bluffs are low lying and prone to wave attack and
            subsequent oversteepening. Rising further west, the bluffs pick up an additional
            clay layer. The character of the basal tills changes at Raccoon Creek. The clays are
            more cohesive and failure in them tends to produce columnar failure producing
            blocks of some size. Recession here is very rapid, producing bluffs of high angle.




                                                       2-9




























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                                                                           Plates


                      Photo # I

                      A view east from control point 48.0. Interbedded shales and siltstones. Bluff is thirty feet high and highly
                      resistant to erosion. Recession is these bluffs is slow. Usually, no beach forms at the base of the bluff
                      because of the lack of beach forming materials, the slow rate of erosion, and the steepness of the slope.
                      Sometimes the till layer on top is eroded back leaving the flat bedrock surface exposed. In this case, the
                      tiff layer is undergoing only moderate erosion although vegetation along the crest is being undermined.
















                      Photo # 2


                      This is a view from just offshore of control point number 47.0. The slight indentation in the bluff face to the
                      fight in the photograph is sufficient to permit the formation of a pocket beach. Recession rates are sufficient
                      to prohibit vegetation from taking hold in the tfll layer above the bedrock, These bluffs are usually steeper
                      than non-cohesive bluffs because of the resistance of the bedrock layers to erosion.
















                      Photo # 3


                      This is a steeply sloping bluff viewed from just offshore of control point number 7.0. The bluff face is linear
                      because the till layers are retreating along a parallel plane. If the lower layer were less resistant to erosion
                      the bluff would be far steeper. If the upper layer were more erodible, the slope angle would be steeper in
                      the upper slope, less steep in the lower slope producing a compound slop angle. The large rocks are
                      eroding out of the lower till layers.





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                      Photo 4 4


                      A view east from control point number 13.0. This is a complex, high bluff prone to rapid recession.
                      Most of the recession in this reach extending from Elk Creek to Crooked Creek is in the form of large slump
                      blocks. The sandy layer on top of the till loses shear strength as the tiffs are eroded by sheet and flow
                      wasting. Thirty feet of recession has been measured in these bluffs over a recent four year time span.
                      These sands are reminders of post glacial lake levels.
















                      Photo # 5


                      A view easterly from control point number 16.5. The sandy layers here reach thicknesses of twenty feet or
                      more. Loss of shear strength due to drying and oversteepening take an annual toll exceeding the .8 ft/yr
                      long term average recession rates. Undercutting of the sod layer is always an indication of rapid annual ly
                      high recession rates.
















                      Photo # 6


                      This is a view from just offshore of control point number 4.0. Rapid recession in these till/lacustrine bluffs is
                      evident by the steepness of the slope angle, the linear face of the bluff, and the absence of vegetation.












































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                    Photo    7


                    These arcuate forms are produced in otherwise linear bluffs usually in the presence of a highly localized
                    causal factor. These forms are found where drain pipes from home construction are laid to the bluff edge.
                    They can also be produced by groundwater piping at the base of the layer. Large amounts of material are
                    associated with these events which can be sudden and dramatic. After the initial event these forms tend to
                    stabilize for long periods of time.















                    Photo # 8


                    An excellent example of the above. This is a view of the control point at site 59.0. A gas well and
                    associated pipelines has caused the loss of a considerable amount of bluff in a highly localized event.



















                    Photo # 9


                    An aerial view of the bluffs between Sixteen Nfile Creek and Twenty We Creek. There is a perceived
                    relationship between bluff height and erosion with recession being directly proportional to bluff height.
                    The use of GIS for data mined from ongoing studies can verify this hypothesis. Recession in these bluffs is
                    exacerbated by the thick later of post-glacial beach sands exposed at the top.





















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                     Photo # 10


                     This is a view west at control point number 20.5. This is a classic slump block produced in lacustrine sands.
                     Weight of vegetation on top and undercutting below combine to produce loss of shear strength along planes
                     of shear stress in these materials. Some blocks can be forty or feet wide with a longshore length of one
                     hundred or more feet. Sometimes vegetation on the block will survive upright until the block reaches the
                     base of the bluff and is destroyed by wave action. The bluffs at Lake Erie Community Park are very prone
                     to this phenomena.














                     Photo # I I


                     This is an aerial view of control point number 9.0. This reach is also very prone to slumping. Some of the
                     control points along this reach have lost as much as twenty feet over the last fifteen years, sometimes as the
                     result of a single slumping event.

















                     Photo # 12

                     A view east from control point number 33.5. This is a high till bluff experiencing very rapid recession due to
                     a combination of loss of protective beaches, urban runoff, and poor land management choices at beach
                     level and at the bluff crest









              Section 3.0 Pennsylvania Efforts in Bluff Recession Monitoring

            Inlroduction:


                   Formal bluff recession monitoring of Pennsylvania's coastal bluffs along
            Lake Erie began in 1974 very soon after a coastal zone management program was
            established in Pennsylvania. The Commonwealth contracted the Great Lakes
            Research Institute in Erie, Pennsylvania to conduct an inventory of shore hazards
            including coastal flooding and bluff recession. One goal was to obtain information on
            the relative rates of recession along the open water shoreline. With a known rate of
            recession, a management program could address planning and regulatory needs for
            existing and future development.


                   Until that time, all information about bluff recession rates was based on
            anecdotal information collected from property owners. This type of information,
            while useful in understanding recession in general terms, is inadequate for
            determining recession rates. A comprehensive way of examining recession over
            long periods of time for the entire shoreline reach was needed.


                   In 1974 there were two basic ways of establishing recession rates- by remote
            sensing (photogrammetry), and by direct measurement. Since recession rates are
            based on temporal changes, there was no way to establish rates by direct
            measurement. Unless there exists a baseline monitoring system based on ground
            reference points, the method can not be used. None existed in 1994 limiting the
            Commonwealth efforts to remotely sensed data. By -1982, it was determined that
            control points should be established along the shoreline for the purpose of
            establishing a direct measurement base line. Several alternatives for establishing
            these points were discussed. A system of control points spaced one kilometer apart
            along the shoreline was chosen over randomly selected sites. The control points
            were established in 1982 and measurements were taken. The plan was to revisit these
            sites in five years, remeasure them, and establish a recession rate for the five year
            period.


                   The sites were revisited in 1986 and 1987. In addition to remeasuring the
            established control points a decision was made to add control points by establishing
            control points equidistant between the existing control points providing sampling
            based on .5 kilometer spacing. This closer spacing and the addition of more sampling
            stations would provide a clearer picture of recession rates over time.










                   The control points were revisited in 1989 by DER surveyors. While some data
             and field notes are available, to our knowledge there exists no report on these
             activities. The data collected by this effort is examined in the overall recession rate
             analysis (Section 6.0)


                   The control points were revisited in 1994 with the intent of remeasuring all
             those remaining and, additionally, to fix the position of each one with existing Global
             Positioning System (GPS) technology. Also, it was to be determined if this
             technology could be useful in monitoring recession rates and to provide a more
             efficient way to collect recession related data.


                   In addition to these efforts, research and field projects conducted by the
             Department of Geosciences, Edinboro University of Pennsylvania from time to time
             provides additional information on randomly selected sites along the shoreline. This
             information, while accurate in a site specific sense, is in no way as comprehensive
             as formal Commonwealth efforts to monitor its existing control points over time.



             3.1 Photogrammetric Analysis: 1974/75


                   This work was done coincident with an investigation of the Lake Brie
             shoreline by DER and its consultant the Great Lakes Research Institute. The data
             produced was reported in Knuth and Crowe, 1975.


             Aerial photography of the Lake Erie shoreline for 1938, 1950, 1959, 1969, 1974 , and
             1975 provided a means of determining a historical recession rate. The nominal scale
             of imagery for all years except 1974 and 1975 was 1:20 000. The nominal scale of the
             1974 imagery was 1:14 000 and the nominal scale for the 1975 imagery was 1:24 000.


             Scale comparisons were made using 7 1/2 minute United States Geological Survey
             quadrangle maps as the principal control. Distances on the aerial photographs
             were measured using a Microline Super Gage which measures in calibrations of
             1/1000ths inches. The technique is detailed in the referenced report.


                   Measurements were made at eighty-nine locations along the shoreline east
             and west of Presque Isle peninsula. Points were established using the 1939, 1959,



                                                      3-2









            and 1974/75 aerial photographs. The problems encountered using this methodology

            are:


                    ï¿½ The imagery was produced by the Department of Agriculture and was
                      intended for use in agricultural planning. These photographs carry a
                      nominal scale of 1:20 000, a small scale for attempting precision
                      measurement.
                    ï¿½ The photos are not orthophotos; errors in measurements made away from
                      the center of the image can occur if care is not taken in scale correction.
                    ï¿½ The flights were generally made in late spring or summer. Tree canopies
                      make it difficult to see the actual bluff line.
                    ï¿½ Magnification of the image cannot exceed 1OX without losing the image in
                      the emulsion base.
                    ï¿½ Landmarks used for establishing a base line for measurement had to be
                      common for all years 1938 through 1974. Much of the shoreline was
                      undeveloped in 1938 and common landmarks.were few.


                    There were other problems but the above had to be overcome if the
            methodology was to provide accurate recession rates. The basic methodology
            consisted of the following:


                    A scale conversion program was used to scale correct the aerial photograph
            along each transect by using common points on topographic maps (scale 1:24 000) as
            a constant. The distance from common base lines to the bluff edge was measured
            using a precision magnifier with an imbedded scale calibrated in 1000ths of an inch.
            Eighty-nine transects were used over the combined reaches east and west of Presque
            Isle for a density of one point per .67km.


                    Recession rates for the 37 year historical record varied from .125 ft. per yr. to
            4.391 ft. per yr. The average rate of recession of all transects measured was 1.075 ft.
            per yr. With anomalies removed the average rate of recession over eighty points was
            .874 ft. per yr. (See Section 6.0)


            3.2.    Miscellaneous Studies: 1975-1977


            During the summer of 1975 students from Edinboro University of Pennsylvania
            working under Paul Knuth established twenty-three control points along the Lake
            Erie shoreline in Pennsylvania. The points were established using landmarks that

                                                      3-3









            could be easily found for future measurement. Sometimes a utility pole was used,
            sometimes the comer of a house. Basically it was a "metes and bounds" type exercise
            designed to introduce students to planning and executing a field problem. The sites
            were revisited from time to time to take pictures and to record the amount of
            recessional loss.


                  The points were randomly selected based on ease of access, type of bluff and
            evidence of recent rapid recession. These points were revisited in 1982 and 1983 as
            part of a geotechnical study conducted by DER. Five of the initial sites were lost or
            not measured. These points were used to help verify the photogrammetric analysis
            and represented the first "on-the-ground" efforts. Recession rates varied from 0.0
            ft. per yr. of loss over the eight year period to 2.380 ft. per yr. for an average rate of
            recession of .827 ft. per year. (Compare to the average recession rate for the 1975
            photo reconnaissance of .874 ft per yr. and the average recession rate reported in
            1995 from measurement of the recessional control points established in 1982 and
            1986 of .8965 ft. per yr.)


            3.3 DER Recession Rate Study: 1982


                  A study was conducted for DER in 1982 and 1983 by the Lake Erie Institute for
            Marine Science and their consultant, Coastal Research Associates, Inc. The results of
            the study were reported in Knuth, 1983.


                  The purpose of the report was to gather information about selected sites along
            the shoreline that would be useful in interpreting- bluff recession phenomena and
            bluff physiography for shore property owners of Erie County. Data was collected
            relative to stratigraphy, bluff face geometry, bluff crest line geometry, and
            physiography. In addition, control points were established on a grid of one
            kilometer spacing beginning at the Ohio-Pennsylvania border to the proximal end of
            Presque Isle peninsula and from International Paper Company east of Erie to the
            Pennsylvania-New York border. The control points were numbered 1-33 and 44
            through 73 respectively.

                  The fixed grid survey was chosen over the random survey and the problem-
            oriented survey because the intent was to derive information pertaining to bluff
            characteristics irrespective of stability. Recession rate analysis was secondary to the
            primary goal of understanding the geotechnical attributes of coastal bluffs.


                                                     3-4










            A one kilometer grid was selected as an interval that could best provide extrapolation
            of information between points. A basic disadvantage of the fixed grid is that an
            exact spacing may cause the point to be fixed on a section of shoreline that lacks a
            bluff (stream mouths, for example), property owner resistance to on-site field
            examinations, or access problems. Some latitude was granted in the spacing of the
            control points to overcome these and other problems. Therefore, the spacing, when
            mapped, produces a grid that approximates a respect for the one kilometer spacing
            but is not exact.


                   The geotechnical study was designed to gather information about aspects
            relating to bluff geometry and morphology. The following were measured or
            described: bluff height, bluff angle, bluff shape, shape of the crest, stratigraphy,
            beach profiles, and offshore bathymetry. The distance to the bluff along a line
            normal from a fixed point at least fifty feet landward to the bluff edge was recorded.
            The fixed point became a control point with a location described in such a way so as
            to located for subsequent survey. (See Section 4.0)


                   These control points were to become central to a program of measuring future
            bluff recession.



            3.4 DEP Recession Rate Study: 1986/87


                       In 1986 DER made a decision to follow up on the 1982 geotechnical study.
            The intent was to provide an early verification of recession rates established by the
            photogrammetric method used in 1975. The information was to be used to reinforce
            regulations relative to structural set-back requirements established by the Bluff
            Recession and Set Back Act. Specifically required was 1) a recession rate determined
            by valid on-site measurement and 2) the establishment of additional control points to
            provide information for bluffs falling between the original one kilometer grid
            established in 1982. Extrapolation between points that were only .5 kilometers apart
            would provide a better regulatory basis than a one kilometer grid.

                   As a result of the 1986/87 study recession rates for the original
            points could be determined although the rates would be based on only a four year
            time period. In addition, the measurements taken on the supplemental points
            would provide an additional baseline for future studies. The supplemental points
            were established using the guidelines developed in the original geotechnical study

                                                      3-5










             done in 1982. These points were numbered to fall between the original numbers i.e.
             .5, 1.5, 2.5, so forth.


                   The study was not designed to provide the geotechnical detail of the original
             however. As a result, no information pertaining to geometry, morphology, or
             physiography was recorded. Recession rates established by the study are reported in
             Section 6.0.


             3.5. DER Recession Rate Study: 1988/89


                    The author knows little of this study with respect to purpose or intent. No
             report of the study exists. Data is available and field book notations on the 1986 study
             field books are available. This is the only study of the four described using DER
             control points that was done independent of the other three with respect to
             personnel. The 1994 study described below found basic errors in the 1989 study in
             location and measurements taken from a number of control points. Recession rate
             analyses using this data may produce some anomalous rates, negative recession rates
             for example. Since new measurements are available for all control points in the 1994
             study the impact on overall recession rates 1982-1994 and 1986 to 1994 is minimal.
             The measurements provide some chance for developing a trend analysis in recession

             rates.


             3.6. DER Recession Rate Study: 1994


                   The purpose of this study was twofold. First, the study was to comply with a
             stipulation that recession rates would be verified every five years. The stipulation
             falls under the Bluff Recession and Setback Act. Secondly, the study was done to
             determine if recession rates could be determined using remote sensing and recent
             technological advances in Global Positioning Systems (GPS) and a Geographic
             Information Systems (GIS) approach to the problem. Locating and remeasuring DER
             control points using current practice while simultaneously experimenting with GPS
             technology would provide a means of evaluating the new technology. GPS and GIS
             technology as applied to work by DER 1992-1994 is described in Section 3.0.


                   During the 1994 summer field season a crew relocated as many of the original
             and supplemental control points as was possible given erosion and development at
             some sites. ( See Section 7.0) The recession rates determined by these measurements

                                                      3-6









           are consistent with average recession rates determined by previous studies.


                  New York and Ohio currently use a combination of photogrammetric,
           planimetric, and digital processing techniques to determine recession rates. (See
           Section 4.0). Historical recession ratesin those states are based on charts drawn on
           surveys by the Army Engineer Corps in the mid 1870s and compared to recent aerial
           photography. To gain some historical insight on Pennsylvania's recession rates
           since 1875 and to provide some data similar to that produced by border states, a
           complete set of these charts was obtained for the Erie County shoreline. A grid of .5
           kilometers was superimposed on these charts and measurements to the shoreline
           were made on transects established from points common to the 1875 chart and
           orthophotography available for Erie County derived from a mission flown in 1991.
           While not having the accuracy of the direct measurement niethod, the information
           provides historical perspective. The results of the survey were incorporated into the
           DER GIS data base established for the Erie County coastal zone.


           3.7 Summary


                  DERhas been involved in studies of the Lake Erie Bluffs since 1974. Foresight
           on the part of managers then and now has provided a twenty year perspective on
           bluff recession. Pennsylvania has the most comprehensive and accurate data base
           in the Great Lakes based on field measurements over a twelve year period for its
           entire Lake Erie reach. Recent recession rate studies have given validity to past
           efforts and are consistent with those found by independent research.


                 Available and evolving technology in GPS and GIS will enable the
           Commonwealth to continue to provide shore owners and managers with an accurate
           accounting of recession phenomena based on past, present and future efforts.













                                                   3-7









                  Section 4.0 Techniques for Monitoring Bluff Retreat and
                                Calculating Bluff Recession Rates



                4.1. Inventory of Current Practice: Great Lakes


                  The following is a summary of techniques employed in the Great Lakes by
                State and Federal agencies to determine rates of bluff recession. The information
                presented in this section is derived primarily from two sources. The first is a
                report prepared for DER in 1994 which examines new techniques for measuring,
                calculating, and monitoring bluff recession on the Lake Erie shoreline in Erie
                County, Pennsylvania (Knuth and Lindenberg, 1994). The second is a report
                prepared for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Waterways Experiment Station
                which examines United States Great Lakes Shoreline Recession Rate Data (Stewart,
                1994).


                The following methodologies are currently being used by land use planners and
                researchers in the Great Lakes Basin to acquire, catalog, analyze, and display
                recession rate data. These methodologies display the variability influenced by
                length of reach, availability of resources, degree of developmental pressure, and
                regional mandate. Various methodologies may:


                * Acquire recession rate data for random points from a survey of property
                owners. The anecdotal responses, e.g. "we lost twenty-five feet of beach since
                we bought the property ten years ago" are reviewed and the long term
                average recession rate for that reach is derived.


                 Acquire recession data by comparing maps and aerial photographs with
                sufficient historical spread to provide long term averages. Data may be
                derived by tracing and projecting subsequent years on a historical or current
                base map, digitizing points and connecting the points to produce a constant
                line, comparing lines by measuring distance differences between points on
                the lines with correction based on points common to each historical map or
                photograph and the bluff edge using computer digitized information or by
                precision measurement.


                * Use direct measurements from surveyed monuments positioned and located
                for subsequent measurement to derive long term recession rate information.









                  New technologies will not significantly change the latter two
               methodologies but will make monitoring more efficient, more accurate, or
               both. (Improving efficiency may be at a cost of reduced accuracy.)


                  For each Great Lakes State a summary is provided of scope of study and
               technique(s) employed to derive recession rates.



               Minnesota- (Lake Su2erior)

                  Until 1994, Minnesota relied only on feedback from property owners to
               compute long term recession rates. In 1994 a study was conducted using aerial
               photographs. Available were photographs from the 1930s, 1975 and 1988/89.
               Direct measurement of the photographs over the period of record produced
               annual recession rates in the order of .05 m/yr to .33 m/yr (2 in/yr to 13 in/yr).


               Wisconsin- Lake Su2eriorl


                  A study was conducted in 1973 for the western arm of Lake Superior. Bluff
               heights were measured in the field and combined with measurements from maps
               and aerial photographs to produce a volume of eroded material. Maps dated 1852
               were compared with aerial photography available from the United States
               Department of Agriculture dated 1966. (Note: The methodology used for this study
               provided the model for the photogrammetric study contracted by DER in 1974/75.)


                  In the mid to late 70's the Wisconsin Coastal Zone Management Program
               initiated an inventory along the Lake Michigan and Lake Superior shoreline
               that included collecting data on shore erosion. The methodology used for
               determining recession rates amounted to measuring from U.S. Public Land Survey
               maps and aerial photographs taken over a ten-fifteen year period.
               Measurements were made by plotting shoreline positions from the older
               photograph onto the most recent photograph and measuring the amount of
               recession to the nearest .001 centimeter. Recession rates of <0.3 m/yr to >0.61
               m/yr (12 in/yr to 24 in/yr) were reported.


               Wisconsin (Lake Michi-gan-)


                  See above, also:


                                                     4-2










               Two studies were conducted by W.R Buckler from 1975-1988. The first study was
               conducted for a reach of Lake Michigan shoreline from Kenosha County to Door
               County. The methodology consisted of using U.S. Government General Land Office
               (GLO) surveys and by direct measurement. Distances were determined by
               measuring along survey lines (true bearings along section lines) on the maps
               dated 1833 to 1836. In 1976 and 1977 resurveys, were conducted by making
               measurements along the bearing of the section lines using measuring tape and
               standard surveying procedures.


                  The second study, conducted in 198 1, compared bluff crest positions on 1941,
               1969, and 1975 photography. Measurements were made using standard methods.
               This study was done for Kenosha County only.


                  To obtain information for a bluff setback ordinance, a study was conducted for
               Manitowoc County. A forty year recession rate was calculated using aerial
               photographs dated 1938 and 1975. A one hundred year recession rate was
               calculated using
               GLO maps and topographic maps dated 1953 and 1978.


                  A recession rate for Milwaukee County was produced by remeasuring from
               section intersects to the bluff crest. Measurements were made from 1836, 1874,
               and 1944 maps.


                  A study conducted by the Wisconsin Sea Grant Program for Racine County
               used topographic maps prepared from aerial surveys dated 1968-1971 and maps
               compiled from aerial photography dated 1976. Measurements along transects
               sixty-150 meters apart produced recession rates for the period.


               Stewart (1994) lists a number of other site specific studies for the Lake Michigan
               shoreline. All were done using techniques described above and offer no new
               insights in measuring or calculating bluff recession.


                  Wisconsin Sea Grant has developed an extensive bibliography of work
               incorporating GIS into coastal zone management efforts.


               Michigan



                                                   4-3










                   Michigan has- the longest Great Lakes shoreline of any Great Lakes state.
               Traditionally, Michigan has developed recession rate data for only those areas
               for which there is a demonstrated need. For example, state parks, developed
               areas, developing areas, and special interest areas are mapped. The Michigan
               Department of Natural Resources is constantly updating the information base
               as need and resources allow.


                   The methodology is well established and has not changed appreciably over
               the past several years. Historical data is derived from aerial photography.
               Lines are traced using stereo plotters. Shore normal lines are drawn every
               five hundred feet and the bluffline transect line intercept digitized. It is
               assumed that recession rates are derived from simple PC programs and
               graphics software develop the plots. When needed, lines are established
               between the five hundred foot intervals.


                   Michigan will be developing a GIS for this data. The choice of the
               Michigan DNR for all agency use is INTERGRAPH which requires a work
               station and mainframe capabilities. They already have a workstation in the
               office and the INTERGRAPH GIS is coming. They are already using something
               called a Resource Information System.


                   The Michigan Department of Natural Resources has developed recession rate
               data for most of the Lake Michigan shoreline. This information was created using
               historic aerial photographs with recent aerial photography. Direct measurement
               of the photos developed a distance difference for various years and a recession
               rate resulting from simple computation.


                   Some county specific studies have been conducted, e.g. Berrien County , that
               used a combination of property owner questionnaire, eye witness accounts and
               air photo analysis. Some of the owners had measured recession for their
               property and would be able to provide some validity to these studies.


                   Some academic studies were conducted between 1975 and 1988 that used GLO
               surveys. Distances on 1838 and 1855 GLO maps were compared with ground
               measurements on site along section lines, provided data on fifty-six points
               between Berrien County and Leelanau County.



                                                       4-4









                Studies dating back to the early 1970's provide addition information for
                Michigan's data base but these studies provide no additional insights into new
                methodologies. '


                Michigan (Lgke Huron)

                   Recession studies of the Huron shore are more limited than those done by
                Michigan for Lake Michigan shores (see above). However, many counties have
                been surveyed using historic aerial photographs and comparing measurements
                made on more recent aerial photography. More recent surveys have
                incorporated the use of larger scale photography with some field reconnaissance
                to produce more reliable data. The information is used here, as well as on Lake
                Michigan, for administering structural setback ordinances.



                Lake Erie and Lake Ontario


                Illinois


                   Only one major study is found, that being reported in 1992 on bluff retreat
                measured between 1872 and 1987 from Wilmette to Waukegan, Illinois. The
                methodology combines the use of historic maps and aerial photographs. Although
                there is the usual measurement error (up the five meters) in the use of the
                historic maps, the long term (one hundred years) provides usable data.


                   The Illinois Geological Survey has been monitoring forty-eight profiles in two
                locations. Measurements taken on these profiles annually between 1988 and 1991
                have provided some recession rate information. Future monitoring of these sites
                by direct measurement or by other means should provide reliable recession rates.


                   The USGS has completed a monument based study at an Illinois state park.
                This is a very site specific study of shoreline retreat. The monitoring system
                works onshore and offshore (constructs a profile). It can literally "watch" a
                storm. A GIS can produce maps before, during, and after an event. They have
                measured a single event loss of eleven feet. The study is discussed in two
                publications (Steaud and Jipson, 1992). This information could be useful to
                DER's efforts in developing a GIS for monitoring Presque Isle beach erosion.



                                                      4-5









               The State of Illinois is not currently participating in the Coastal Zone
               Management Program. However, in the 70's they produced recession rate
               information that was based on a one hundred year recession line. Some of the
               work producing the recession rate was monument based.


                  Some work has been completed using aerial imagery at scales of rf 1:2 400,
               rf 1:3 600, and rf 1:4 800 derived from enlarging 9" x 9" contact prints.
               Stereoscopes were used to transfer the data and the information was digitized
               and input to a GIS.


               Indiana


                  Three studies have been conducted by the Great Lakes Coastal Research
               Laboratory between 1981 and 1988. Maps were produced from aerial photographs
               with verification at specific locations provided by beach survey data. The
               combination of the two gives validity to measurements taken on successive maps.
               Eighty-seven locations were selected to coordinate with established beach survey
               lines or easily recognized landmarks. The methodology is reliable but the rates of
               recession will be skewed by the non-randomness of point selection.


               New York


                  The State of New York has developed recession rate information for Lakes
               Ontario and Erie. In addition, their marine district (Long Island, etc.)
               is developing shoreline change information in conjunction with sea level rise
               studies. Recession rate information is developed for shorelines where the
               expected recession rate is expected to exceed one foot per year.

                  The Lake Erie reach does not exceed this rate except in Chautauqua County.
               Most of Lake Ontario exceeds this rate (up to five feet per year) and is mapped.

                  Lake Survey charts produced by the Corps of Engineers in 1875 and 1876
               are used as the primary historical reference. Aerial photographs (1989) were
               used to provide the long term recession rate. The bluff lines were transferred
               using stereo plotters and a zoom transfer scope. Measurements were made
               between the lines shore normal every one hundred meters. A long term
               recession line (twenty-five feet) was drawn using a five point moving

                                                     4-6









               average of data obtained for each one hundred meter interval.


                   This recession line is mapped at a scale of I" = 200' (rf 1:2 400) and used by
               managers and property owners at the local level.

                   New York bluff setback legislation provides for a zone between the bluff
               edge and landward twenty-five feet to be considered as part of the bluff as
               well as an additional forty foot structural setback beyond the twenty-five foot
               line.


                   New York includes the bluff face within the protected bluff zone.
               Pennsylvania should amend the Bluff Recession and Setback Act to consider
               the beach and the bluff face.


                   New York would like to use a GIS for recession analysis, storage, and
               display. The system that Department of Environmental Conservation (DEC) has
               developed is not able to accurately display the linear offsets of recession with
               respect to shoreline length (the scale problem). DEC has hired a consultant in
               the marine district to develop a GIS for marine applications. It is not known if
               that technology is transferrable to the Lakes..

               Ohio


               Ohio has based its long term recession rate averages on historical information
               including the 1875 Lake Survey charts, 1973 aerial photography, and 1990
               aerial photography enlarged to conform with the Lake Survey Charts. A
               stereo plotter was used to trace lines onto a single format. Shore normal lines
               were developed on the photo base and photogrammetric controls were
               established. Lines were digitized one hundred feet apart.


                   For each line the bluffs edge in 1875, the bluffs edge in 1973, the bluffs
               edge in 1990, and the bluff toe in 1990 were digitized. The digitized
               information is plotted on a drum plotter. A simple program was written to
               determine the average recession based on the digitized points and an erosion
               hazard (setback) line was plotted. The resulting plots can be xeroxed and
               distributed to municipalities and private property owners.


                   The one-hundred foot interval was dictated by property owner complaints


                                                     4-7










                 that recession information was being developed that didn't take into account
                 their special case, thus the one hundred foot interval. The Ohio Department of
                 Environmental Conservation (DEC) believes that the one hundred foot interval
                 is excessive and has a statistical study to support this.


                     At this time Ohio does not have a GIS system. Data is compiled and input to a
                 PC spread sheet for data manipulation. Graphing software enables the data to
                 be plotted. There is no supporting geographic base information on the maps.
                 DEC has purchased ARC/INFO and are well into making a conversion to this
                 GIS.


                 4.2 Synopsis of Techniques Applied for Current Study


                     4.2.1. Global Positioning Systems


                     The Global Positioning System for Geographic Information Systems
                 provides a means of establishing location (latitude and longitude or state plane
                 coordinates) and altitude for a point or for a series of points producing line
                 data. Area applications are also indicated e.g. wetland delineation, soil
                 analysis, so forth. GPS receivers are made for GIS applications and their
                 effectiveness in the field produces solutions to problems long faced in locating
                 control points accurately.


                     GPS systems are accurate to one hundred meters uncorrected. GPS signals
                 are corrupted deliberately by the United States Air Force. This policy, known
                 as Selective Availability (SA) is imposed for security reasons. Accuracy can
                 be enhanced by using a second receiver called a base receiver. The base
                 receiver is capable of correcting the signal errors (differential GPS). All
                 GPS/GIS receivers have differential GPS capability. The easiest way to do this
                 is to set up a receiver to collect and store data at a known position. (The base
                 receiver must always be running at the same time data is being collected in
                 the field.) This data is used by software packages to post process field data.
                 The accuracies expected range from a few decimeters to 1 m.


                     Another way to overcome the SA error would be to carry a radio receiver
                 into the field that monitors corrections transmitted by a differential GPS
                 service. This can produce real time correction that can be used in the field to


                                                          4-8










               locate control points.


                   There are currently twenty-four GPS satellites in operation. Only four are
               needed to derive location and altitude. The more channels a receiver has, the
               better, but there are usually only six satellites available. A GPS receiver with
               six to eight channels is sufficient to take accurate measurements. One
               limitation on accuracy is the need to collect data on a fixed point for several
               minutes to allow for differential accuracy to the sub meter level.


                   GPS/GIS receivers store data that can be transferred to the GIS. A data
               dictionary can be developed to collect a wide range of data on the site
               providing an efficient and accurate way of obtaining equivalent data for all
               sites. When this stored data is downloaded via IBM compatible hardware
               devices and software that comes with the GPS the data is incorporated into the
               GIS, in our case ARC/INFO. The transfer is done through the serial port. This
               is as easy as connecting the receiver to the computer serial port. The
               recommended GPS receiver is the data logger type typical for backpack
               models like the Trimble Pathfinder.


                   It is important to construct a well thought out data dictionary for use in the
               field. The dictionary used for the 1994 field season is incorporated into the
               DER GIS data base and can be viewed via ARCANFO or ARCVIEW.


                   A typical data dictionary is constructed similar to the one below to provide
               at least three levels of information for a particular point, line, or area.


                                  Data Dictionary Structures
                                    One-Level Data Dictionary

                     Feature: aspen tree, elm tree, dirt road, paved road
                                   Three-Level Data Dictionary

                     Feature:            tree                            road


                     Attribute:                   height (m)       surface
                                 7                              - /\
                     Type:    aspen elm          [0 ... 100]      dirt      paved










                4.2.2. Geographic Information Systems (GIS)


                    The tasks outlined above (data processing and product generation) are
                largely addressed by the same system. The quality and continuity of the coastal
                data obtained should be matched to a commensurate data processing system.
                For anything except the simplest tabulation and analysis of data, a geographic
                information system (GIS) is required. A GIS is a combination of computer
                hardware, software, digital data and procedures that is used to manage
                information  having a common geographic reference. In today's market the
                GIS is also the engine for product generation. The exact possibilities are
                constrained by the computer system.


                    The capabilities for data input, data management, manipulation, analysis
                and product generation of the coastal environment will be determined by the
                GIS which is used. @.Ithough the wide variety of hardware and software
                available could result in a wide-ranging discussion, it may be quickly focused
                by the fact that there are a limited number of systems which enjoy wide
                utilization in the field and that there is a particular infrastructure already in
                development at DER.


                    The most established products in use today for GIS are systems produced by
                Intergraph and ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute, Inc).
                ARC/INFO is the name of software for GIS produced by ESRL Software
                developed by these firms will operate on IBM (and compatible) personal
                computers and on computer workstations (e.g. those manufactured by Sun
                Micro Systems or Digital Equipment Corporation (DEQ).


                    The capabilities of modem GIS are too vast to detail here, but an idea of the
                utility may be provided by some examples of how a GIS, like ARC/INFO, might
                be used. If data at points for the position of a coastal bluff is obtained, the
                system is able to construct a line through the points and display it. If such data
                over time is available the lines can be compared for the amount of area which
                has been lost due to erosion. If a digital orthophoto is available as a visual
                backdrop for the screen one can see the bluff position in relation to other
                features. A database can be established which could be accessed by pointing to
                ï¿½ location on the computer screen and clicking the mouse button. For example
                ï¿½ house could be tagged with data about ownership which is accessible in this


                                                       4-10










               way. As a final example buffers can be determined by the system and displayed
               at any chosen distance from the bluffline.


                   Product generation, the third task, is the output of the GIS. It generally
               consists of reports, tables and maps. In the examples above one can visualize
               the type of output that might be useful. The information can be seen
               immediately on the computer screen. A printer can supply tabulations. For
               example, bluff recession at the measured points could be printed as a table.
               Maps can be printed or plotted, as well as seen, on the screen. The devices
               chosen for this purpose affect the flexibility in this area. Typical concerns are
               the largest map which can be drawn and the availability of color. In addition,
               slides and photos may be scanned and included in the database. These can then
               be accessed by pointing to a position on a map on the screen.


                   A GIS is composed of computer hardware and software. The software
               consists of data and programs (like ARC/INFO). The hardware is the computer
               and peripheral equipment. A PC, or personal computer, is sometimes termed a
               microcomputer and is found on many office desks. Computers with more
               powerful processing ability are called workstations. Although more powerful
               than PC's, many workstations are no larger than a common PC.


                   Other hardware associated with the computer include the monitor, memory
               and storage devices. The monitor is the screen for the display. Although
               monitors are a common item, large monitors are necessary for GIS use to show
               maps. Memory (often described as RAM or random access memory) is used by
               the computer to store information in a quickly accessible location. This storage
               is erased when the power to the computer is shut off. Permanent storage for
               the computer involves tapes and disks of various types.


                   The most common storage device is often referred to as a hard disk. The
               capacity of this disk determines how much data the computer can access
               relatively quickly, although not as quickly as RAM. This storage remains even
               after power to the computer is shut off. Data can also be stored on tape
               (generally a cassette) or on a CD-ROM (compact disk). Some times each of these
               storage devices may be called a drive (e.g. hard drive, tape drive or CD-ROM
               drive). Tapes and CD-ROMs are relatively inexpensive for a large amount of
               capacity when compared with a hard disk. They transfer data to or from the


                                                    4-11









               computer too slowly for many uses, however. For this reason, frequently used
               data needs to be on a hard disk.


                   A GIS typically requires the storage of large amounts of data. The need is
               generally satisfied with some combination of a hard disk, tape and CD-ROM. The
               combination should balance cost with storage capacity and access speed.


                   Data from maps needs to be converted into a form usable by the computer. A
               digitizer resembles a drawing board but can electronically detect the position
               of a line following device that looks like the common computer "mouse." The
               position is then stored in the computer.


                   GIS data may be obtained from remote sensing which includes data
               acquired by satellites and from aerial photography. Aerial photos that have
               been processed to correct for their distortions are called orthophotos. They
               can be changed to a form readable by a computer through the use of a
               scanner. This produces a product called a digital orthophoto. Scanners are
               ordinarily owned by businesses which provide this service.


                   The results of a GIS can be in the form of reports, tables and maps. Many
               options exist for this purpose. Text can be output on computer printers of the
               type found in any office. Maps require more specialized devices. Color and
               black-and-white printers and plotters can be used.


                   Plotters and printers vary widely in price depending on their capabilities
               and size. Maps are often desired in large sizes. All of these devices increase in
               cost with increases in printing or plotting size. Color is an attribute which
               also increases the cost of the device. Maps may be printed with pen plotters
               which move a pen across the paper surface. An alternative technology which
               finds use in color mapping is called an electrostatic plotter.













                                                     4-12










                                   Section 5.0 Field Reconnaissance


             5.1. Methodology


                   This section is designed to assist in the planning and execution of a successful
             reconnaissance of all control points. The section provides a list of materials needed
             in the field as well as procedures for locating and collecting meaningful data. It is
             presumed that.GPS technology will advance greatly in the next few years. The
             description of the GPS technology used in 1994 serves to provide an explanation of
             how the data was collected. Emerging technology will only make data collection
             easier and, positioning more accurate. It should be remembered however that the
             GPS technology is most useful in locational work. Its use in direct measurement of
             distances point to point will not substitute for the accuracy of direct measurement
             from a fixed point for some time.


             Organization:


                    The following materials should be organized prior to field work and carried
             along as needed for specific sites. The list is divided into those things that are useful
             but not necessary and those things necessary most of the time.


             1. Useful Items.


             9 Road map of Erie County with minor civil divisions and all roads named.
             For surveyors unfamiliar with the County, road maps provided by township offices
             might be more useful since the scale is generally larger.


             * Telephone directory (hardly ever used but handy on occasion to verify an address
             or to call a property owner).


             9 Topographic maps with the control points located. Mostly redundant but useful for
             more remote sites when walking point to point. The quadrangles (all 71/2 minute
             sheets) required are East Springfield, Fairview, Fairview SW, Swanville, Erie North,
             Harborcreek, and Northeast.


             2. Necessary Items:


             * Printout of control point data listing property owner, address, and recessional
             information to present









              Printout of control point data list location by state plane coordinate system
            (necessary for GPS methodology)
            * Printout of control point data related to attributes collected by data dictionary
            during 1994.
            9 Printouts of GIS overlays of control points by reach (Scale to be determined by
            surveyor)


            Note: The above may be obtained directly from GIS overlays or from GIS data base
            that provides this information in tabular form.


            * Field notebooks used in 1986, 1989, and 1994 field work
            (These notebooks contain copies of site photographs, directions, trilateration
            information, information about the control point including character of marker,
            date of first measurement, and a record of previous field measurements. The
            notebooks contain corrections made by subsequent visits and are invaluable for
            locating control points.


            * Field Book. The field book should be prepared before hand to provide a means of
            efficiently recording required information used to back up the GPS record file.
            The best way to do this is make up sheets, have them punched and ring bound for use
            in the field. The sheets should have spaces to record the following:


            Control Point Number
            Date
            Time
            GPS File Created
            Distance
            35mm Photo Roll Number and Frame Number
            Panoramic Photo Roll Number and Frame Number
            Field Crew
            GPS Information: PDOP on Control Point Location, Number of Points
                  Collected; PDOP on Bluff Point Location, Number of Points Collected
            Notes/Remarks


            e Photographs of the site from previous visits. Kept in a card file, these photos, some
            dating back to 1982, provide useful visual clues for establishing provenance on site
            location. They are usually necessary when the control point is established where
            there are no significant fixed landmarks such as a house or garage or, where the site

                                                    5-2









            has undergone some change. By looking for a specific tree branching pattern or the
            lay of the ground sufficient provenance can be established and landmarks located.

            ï¿½ Two cloth engineer tapes (graduated 10ths of feet) on an easy wind reel, 150 foot
                  length
            ï¿½  Brunton Compass (pocket transit)
            ï¿½  Tripod for Brunton Compass
            ï¿½  Plumb Bob
            ï¿½  Three Surveyor Pins
            ï¿½  Metal Detector -
            ï¿½  Small Trenching Shovel
            ï¿½  Machete in Scabbard (for remote, brambly sites)
            ï¿½  Abney Level or similar
            ï¿½  35 nun camera
            ï¿½  Color Print Film (ASA400)
            ï¿½  Panoramic Camera (Kodak disposable)
            ï¿½  Rucksack
            ï¿½  GPS (Trimble Pathfinder or Similar)
            ï¿½  GPS Almanac (For selected field days)
            9  A copy of this report


            5.2. Procedures for Locating Control Points


                  5.2.1. Determining the General Location


                   Finding the general location is generally easy to moderately difficult. Those
            points which are established on a developed property are not difficult to locate.
            Using the county map or township road map to locate the appropriate road or street
            drive to the given address. For points on properties which are undeveloped location
            is more difficult. Using the description provided for each point locate the
            appropriate road or cross roads. Distances from a landmark along the road to the
            vicinity of the control point are provided in many cases. In some situations there
            are multiple consecutive control points located far from direct individual access.
            Control Points 8.5 to 13.5 are examples. In such cases walking from point to point
            provides the easiest way to generally locate the point.


                   5.2.2. Finding the Marker


                                                      5-3








            Markers consist of the following:


            1. A short length of three quarter inch rebar cut to a length of twelve inches driven
            below the surface of the ground one to two inches. These pins were used in 1982 to
            establish the original control points whole numbers 1-73.


            2. A landscape nail driven below the ground surface 1 to 2 inches. These pins were
            used in 1986 to establish supplemental control points numbered .5 , 1.5, 2.5, etc.


            3. A readily available and identifiable permanent marker such as a utility pole
            (which is always numbered with some identification plate), a hydrant or something
            like that. When these are used, it is indicated in the site information.


                   If the marker is located on a developed property it is found by trilateration
            using easily located landmarks. For example, Control Point Number 25 is found by:



                                                X         b



                                      a                       B





                                    A





            A= the westernmost corner of the structure
            B= the easternmost comer of the structure
            a= distance A to the control point
            b= distance B to the control point



                   For trilateration methodology to work, only two measurements are needed.
            Trilateration works best when the angle produced between the two coordinate
            bearings is close to ninety degrees. Three people are required. Hold the "0" end of
            the tape against each respective landmark, and pull the tapes each to the appropriate

                                                     5-4










            distance. The point lies where the measurements of each tape intersect. Set a
            marker at this intersect. For accuracy, hold the tapes parallel to the ground and drop
            a plumb bob from the point where the two tapes intersect.

                   Remember, the bearing is not important for trilateration but may be useful in
            locating the correct landmark. Use a metal detector to verify the location. The pins
            contain enough metal to produce a distinct response. Metallic scraps in the ground
            produce false results. The pin must actually be found by probing with a pin or with
            the shovel. A flat shovel worked into the sod at an angle will usually produce good
            results, and the sod can be restored without damage to someone's lawn.

                   If the marker is above ground, e.g. a utility pole, locate the landmark with the
            description provided. Verify the marker by checking the ID # on the pole or by
            using visual clues from the site photographs.

                   If the marker is a buried pin on undeveloped property, the difficulty in
            locating the pin is proportional to the amount of vegetative cover and the
            remoteness of the site. Traditionally, locating such points was successful based on
            familiarity with the site, visual clues (photographic evidence, ribbons tied on
            branches), and sometimes, luck. A description of how this is done follows.


                   During the 1994 field season, each control point was location was established
            by GPS. Current methodology using basic equipment pern-Lits navigation to a known
            point to within one hundred meters; not enough for a good determination. Evolving
            technology sufficient to overcome scrambling by the military will permit navigation
            to within a few meters of a known location. A modest addition to the hardware used
            to locate these points will permit co-processing in the field.


                   By the year, 2000 navigation to a known point will be easily achieved with a
            modest investment in technology. A discussion of how GPS technology is used to
            navigate to a known point follows the discussion of traditional methodology.


                   The task of finding markers in undeveloped areas is appreciated by
            remembering that the surveyor is attempting to find a buried pin 3/4 inches (Or
            smaller) in diameter. The pins can be located in forested areas and sometimes with
            understories full of interesting and varied underbrush. Under these conditions trees
            and tree patterns all look similar and the possibility of finding the marker seems


                                                       5-5










             remote. With a little experience, however the pins can be found by following
             directions and using visual clues.


                   It could be like this:


                   Drive to the nearest access point to the bluff and or the marker. Follow
             general directions. For example "walk westerly along the bluff where it rises west of
             Elk Creek to the second ravine intersecting the bluff. The pin is located 50 feet west
             of the western bank of the ravine." Using photographs and other clues like ribbons
             tied on branches, locate the marker trees. The trees may be blazed or have a nail
             driven in about waist height. Once the trees are found use trilateration to find the
             pin. Verify by using the metal detector and then dig to locate the actual pin.
             (Before leaving the site, remark the trees with orange ribbon. In many cases control
             points have been found by first finding a ribbon placed years previously.)


             5.3. GPS Methodology


                   Using the GPS in the field is straight forward but requires planning. The
             following narrative presumes knowledge of GPS systems including training on the
             use of advanced systems like the Trimble Pathfinder.


                   Before going out in the field the survey party must decide on which base
             station will be used to provide the co-processing data necessary for use with the GPS
             software to correct readings obtained in the field. (In five years time the need to co-
             process data may be relieved by the government's deciding to refrain from
             scrambling the satellite information.) In 1994 we used both the National Fuel Gas
             data from a receiver at 10th and State Streets in Erie, Pennsylvania and the National
             Forest Service receiver in Warren, Pennsylvania. The survey party must be sure
             that one or the other stations is recording satellite iniormation for the time in the
             field. That information must be transmitted by tape or modem to the host PC.

                   Using the GPS receiver, the survey party should use the function key on the
             GPS receiver for obtaining almanac data on satellite positioning for the days in the
             field. The information may be displayed on a computer screen and printed to a
             peripheral.
             The almanac will provide information on time of day when satellite positions Will
             be ordinated in such a way as to provide poor positioning data (i.e. a high PDOP).

                                                       5-6









            A data dictionary should be constructed for use with the GPS. It may be the same as
            used in 1994 or modified to gather additional information. The existing data base can
            be easily updated in the field and corrections made to existing information found to
            be inaccurate or incomplete.


                  In 1994, the following attributes were recorded by means of GPS:


            Control Point Number
            Status   Found /Not Found
            Bearing
            Distance
            Date
            Time
            Control Point Coordinate (State Plane Coordinate N.A. Datum '83)
            Slope Angle
            Slope Type Complex/ Linear/ Concave/ Convex
            Vegetation Type (on slope) None/ Mixed/ Scrub/Shrub/ Trees
            Vegetation Condition
            Percent Vegetated
            Vegetation in Upland Mixed/ Landscaped
            Stability
            Stratigraphy
            Hard Stabilization
            Beach Dimension
            Beach Sediment Type sand/ sand/shingle/ other
            Crest Form (horizontal)
            Crest Form (vertical)
            Land Use recreational/ undeveloped/ other/ residential




                  5.3.1. Using the GPS to Find the Control Point


                   Using the GPS to relocate remote control points, those that are located
            along undeveloped and heavily wooded bluffs, for example, is a basic matter of
            understanding rather simple directions that come with any GPS unit. The GPS
            locations for the current study were derived using a very expensive unit that could
            record data, store it, and later transfer it to a basic PC driven software package. The


                                                    5-7










             accuracy of the unit was tested and found to be correct to the nearest meter after post
             processing, under optimum conditions. Using the GPS to relocate the precise point to
             that accuracy is not necessary. Current GPS methodology does not permit
             navigation to a fixed point with anything greater than an accuracy of fifty meter.
             unless the surveyor is carrying a receiver capable of real time correction of signals.


                   A basic GPS unit, now selling for $200-$300 would be adequate to find the
             general location of the control point even in remote sites. Using the directions on the
             unit, the coordinates are input and the unit will provide bearing and distance to the
             control point. It really is that easy. The Trimble Pathfinder used in the original
             survey is, of course, capable of using the same system of waypoints to relocate a
             known position.


                    5.3.2. Procedures for Collecting Data on Control Point Sites


                   The process of recording the information can begin once the control point is
             found. At a minimum, distance from the control point to the bluff crest should be
             measured using traditional means with the engineer's tape. For accuracy, a tripod
             and pocket transit (Brunton) are mounted over the pin. Use a plumb bob for precise
             positioning of the center of the transit over the pin. Using the data base for the site,
             find the appropriate bearing, pin to the bluff edge. These bearings are recorded as
             magnetic bearings (seven degrees West declination). Using a surveyor's pin to
             anchor the "0" end of the tape, stretch the tape to the intersect of the bearing line
             on the bluff crest and record the distance. In the case where recession is active, the
             bluff crest line is easy to determine and the measurement may be made in tenths of
             feet gradations. Where recession is slow the precise bluff crest may be harder to
             determine. The edge may be vegetated and rounded. In this case make an estimate
             and compare the distance recorded with that recorded previously. If the bluff is that
             inactive, the distance should be the same, sometimes a bit less, and never greater
             than previously measured. (There are cases where the distance from the pin to the
             bluff crest is greater than first measured. In every case this is explained by some
             action by the property owner to extend the bluff crest by the construction of a
             bulkhead or by filling at the crest) .


                    5.3.3. Scenario.


               Determine which control point is to be visited.


                                                       5-8









            * Locate the property using street address, or directions.
 is         * If property is occupied, gain permission to conduct the work. If no one is home the
            survey crew can leave a card and call back, alert a neighbor about the activity and
            proceed, or leave a person at the car to interact with the owner should he or she
            return while work is being done. (It would be helpful to send a letter to all property
            owners prior to the field season.) In addition, the field crew should always be
            prepared to identify themselves.
            * Identify landmarks using sketches, photographs, or other visual and verbal clues,
            and GPS technology if warranted.
            * Perform the trilateration. This is easiest if there are three people doing the work;
            one each on a tape stationed at a landmark and one handling the unrolling tapes to
            the appropriate measurement on each one.
            e Locate the intersect with a survey pin and verify that the pin is there using a
            metal detector and probe.
            * Set up GPS and begin recording position if desired. (Current technology indicates
            that recording should be of sufficient duration to allow for maximum precision in
            computer determination of position during co-processing, usually no less than thirty
            "hits".
            * Set up the transit over pin and measure distance.
            e Record all information on GPS required by the attribute dictionary for the control
            point.
            9 Record control point number, date, time, GPS file number, distance, and remarks
            on standard field notebook as backup and as a ready job guide.
            * Photograph site. Try to include tripod marking control point location as well as
            landmarks and condition of the site including the bluff crest. A panoramic camera is
            sometimes indicated to obtain a wide angle photograph of the site. Record the roll
            number and the frame number in the data dictionary or the field notebook or both.
            * If precision positioning is possible without after-the-fact co-processing, use the
            GPS to record the intersect of the distance bearing line and the bluff crest. If
            desirable and possible, "walk" the bluff edge to record the geometry of the bluff
            crest. Note: This will only be possible if technology permits. Precise locationing
            will require "real time" coprocessing.
            e Using the GPS, record the intersect of the distance bearing line, again recording
            for sufficient time to allow accurate positioning by co-processing.
            Record all information on GPS required by the attribute dictionary for the bluff
            point.


            Note: By the next time the field measurements are taken, GPS technology may be

                                                     5-9










            advanced to the degree that some of the above may become redundant, making the
            job of the survey crew that much easier.


            5.4 Future Use of GIS and GPS Technology


                  Any attempt to predict the future of GIS and GPS technology should be based
            on trends and forecasts that seem plausible given the exponential growth of these
            technologies. Planners must face a future of on-going training to stay somewhat
            level. Those unwilling or unable to stay current will be left behind. Creative
            planners are driving the direction of these technologies forcing companies to stay
            competitive by accommodating the needs of the users.


                  Early on GIS applications emphasized mapping and data base management.
            Now, most applications have moved to modeling the interrelationships existing
            among mapped variables including cartographic modeling, spatial modeling and data
            mining. The latter would have some application in the coastal zone. Suppose rapid
            recession rates were compared to such driving variables as slope, elevation, and
            stratigraphy. The systems used to analyze these variables become dependent on the
            ability of the planner to provide sound information.


                  No planning office will survive without providing for direct and significant
            resources in human input and systems acquisition. DER currently has sufficient
            hardware and software to be current for five years providing resources are allocated
            for using it. Upgrades of ARCANFO and ARCVIEW will become available to meet the
            increasing demands for data mining and spatial modeling. DER should become
            proficient with existing resources, stay as current as possible through outside
            training and workshops, and purchase appropriate system and equipment upgrades.


                  Advances in GPS technology will follow the government's decision to refrain
            from the existing policy of selective availability. Receivers currently on the market
            have sufficient power and precision to locate known points to within a few
            decimeters with co-processing. The cost of advanced equipment capable of real time
            co-processing will drop with increasing competition and demand. Planners can
            expect to have equipment within a few years that will enable survey certifiable
            results in the field for a fraction of the cost of units doing the same thing today.

                  DER has equipment capable of locating control points to the closest meter.


                                                    5-10










            How much more accuracy is needed for this aspect of control point monitoring?
            Using GIS grade GPS receivers in the future will allow for surveyors to perform some
            tasks that are now considerably difficult. For example, I would suspect that altitude
            will become a very important attribute to collect in the field. With accurate altitude
            reading, the surveyor may determine accurate bluff heights, slope, and geometry.


                   Without the need to co-process or with real time co-processing available, the
            surveyor can walk the bluff lines and accurately display the result on the GIS data
            base. Repeated over time, this information will provide recession information for a
            shoreline reach spatial in the horizontal frame.







































                                                     5-11









                                Section 6.0 Findings and Analysis


            6.1 Introduction


                   The purpose and philosophy for establishing fixed control points are discussed
            in Section 3.0. The intent was to monitor established control points over time to
            determine recession rates and trends. It was inevitable that some of these points
            would be lost over time or otherwise be rendered nonfunctional for the purpose.
            It would be appropriate to discuss here the current condition of the system. It would
            be the prerogative of DER to replace or re-establish certain of these points according
            to need and circumstance. This section will also describe, for each viable point, the
            present situation with respect to bluff erosion.

                   DER should consider preparing a revised field book which would provide
            revised information for relocation of points by latitude and longitude or state plane
            coordinates fixed by GPS . Also, the drawings providing distance and bearing
            information should be redrawn, taking into account corrections made during the
            1994 field season. It would be most appropriate to enter this information into the DER
            control point GIS data base.


            6.2 Condition of DER Control Points


                 The following is a discussion of control points that have been lost, relocated, or
            otherwise need attention.


            0.0    This point was established in 1986. This land was occupied until the late 70's by
            cottages built on land leased from U.S. Steel. Their intent to build a mill on the site
            forced the abandonment and destruction of these cottages. The point was located on a
            drive to one of these abandoned sites. Between 1989 and 1994, the land was given
            over to the Pennsylvania Game Commission. The point location was destroyed by the
            construction of a small parking lot used to access a memorial park. The approximate
            position of the pin was determined and a measurement made, although the actual pin
            was never found. The point can be abandoned or re-established with information
            provided in DER field books. A new control point 0.1, is established using the
            memorial rock in the park.


            0.1    See above. The point should be incorporated into DER field books.


            1.0    This site was established in 1982. The site was abandoned by 1986 due to the










              loss of landmarks to erosion. A new site, 1.1, was established in 1986 to replace it.


              1.1    Rapid recession on the site forced a relocation of the control point. (See DER
              field book.) The point remains viable.


              2.0    This point could not be found during the 1994 field season. It is likely that it
              was lost due to bluff erosion. Attempts should be made to either relocate the point, or
              establish a new one based on a recoverable landmark.


              3.5    This site is being cleared. If a permanent structure is built, this point could be
              lost.


              7.5    This is a very low lying area, more a beach than a bluff. Construction of a sea
              wall at this site lakeward of the original line is probably suitable cause for
              abandoning the control point. Since the new line is lakeward the site shows a
              negative recession rate. This data should not be used for computing overall recession

              rates.


              11.0 This is a very active site. Quite possibly the control point will be lost by the
              next visit. It is easily re-established however, using landmarks.


              26.0 This point was never established. It falls in the broad, low lying mouth of
              Walnut Creek.


              31.5   It is likely that this wooded site will have been developed by the next visit.


              44.0 This site was not monitored after 1986. A seawall maintained by International
              Paper Company precludes recession here. A control point (44.2) was established
              in 1986 to replace it.


              49.5   This control point was lost due to the construction of a house over the location.


              51.0 This control point was never established due to property owner resistance.


              52.5 The control point was re-established in 1989. The original point was lost due to
              construction on the site.



                                                           6-2











              57.0 Permission to monitor this site was refused in 1994.


              62.0 This control point was never established.


              70.0   The control point was lost due to the construction of Safe Harbor Marina.


              70.5   This control point was never established.


              71.5   This control point was never established (Twenty Mile Creek).


              72.0   This control point was never established (Twenty Mile Creek).


              Summary:


              Total Number of Points Possible on 1982 Grid         63
              Total Number of Points Possible on 1986 Grid          64
              Total                                                127


              Total Number of Points Never Established               6
              Total Number of Points Abandoned                      10
                     Erosion         3
                     Construction 4
                     Other           3


              Total Number of Points Recovered                       4


              Total Number of Viable Points                       115


              Total Number of Points to be Recovered                 5
                     (c.p. #s 2.0, 5 7.0, 49.5, 5 1.0, 70.0)


                     In addition to the points lost, there are a number of points that could be lost,
              some to erosion and some to construction. The DER should make property owners
              aware of theirresponsibility for maintaining the markers much as underground
              utilities are protected. The DER discussed this in 1982 and 1986 but never followed
              through on establishing a policy.


              6.3 Discussion of Recession on Established Control Points


                                                            6-3










            6.3.1 Analysis of Recession Rates: DER Control Points 1982-1994 and 1986-1994


            Depending on time of year actual measurements were taken, the number of years
            separating the measurements may vary from 7.3 years to 12.3 years. The analysis of
            recession rates divides the total distance difference measured by the actual number
            of months separating the measurements (converted to years).


                   The average recession rate for all control points over the respective periods of
            record is .8957 feet per year. The number of points exceeding the average recession
            rate is eight. All control points fall within one standard deviation above and below
            the mean. The rate is compared with the recession rate previously used by DER based
            on measurements of aerial photographs and reported in Knuth and Crowe, 1975. That
            rate for eighty-nine points measured was 1.075 feet per year. With anomalies
            removed the recession reported for the period 193 8 to 1975 was .8 74 feet per year
            based on eighty-two sites. The 1982, 1986, and 1994 studies used survey
            measurements based on fixed monuments. This procedure is considered accurate.
            The-percentage of error in the 1975 study is determined to be less than 2%.


                          Data exists for forty-five control points measured since 1982. A trend in
            recession rates for these points is based on measurements taken in 1982, 1986, and
            1994. A trend analysis 1982 to 1994 reveals that for five of the forty-five points
            measured the recession rate is increasing. For twenty-seven of the forty-five
            control points measured, the recession rate is decreasing. Thirteen of the control
            point show no increase or decrease. The thirteen control points in this category are
            sites for which no recession is recorded over the twelve year period. Based on an
            analysis of the original forty-five DER control points, recession rates along the Lake
            Erie shore are decreasing. Recession continues but the rate of loss is reduced.


                          When all DER control points are considered (including the above) the
            trend is as follows: increasing rate of recession-27 (23.7%) , decreasing rate of
            recession-59 (51.8%), and 28 (24.6%) remain the same (no change or no recession).
            Figure 6.1 is a bar graph of recession rates distributed from left (western county) to
            right (eastern county). Recession rates are, on average, higher west of Presque Isle
            than they are east. Some exceptions for the eastern trend are found in the high
            bluffs between Sixteen Mile Creek and Twenty Mile Creek. The height of the bluffs
            and the high erodibility of the beach ridges exposed in the bluff face contribute to
            this increased recession.


                                                       6-4










            In general, the lower recession rates in the eastern reach are attributed to the
            bedrock exposed over much of the reach. The western reach, lacking the bedrock
            exposure has an increased amount of recession. Overall, the bluffs in the eastern
            reach are lower in height, which also reduces the rate of recession.


                   After the generalities of bluff height and the presence or absence of bedrock
            at the base of the bluff are made, variations in the rates of recession are made by the
            following sets of premises. In general, a bluff that has been eroding in response to
            high lake levels that have since receded is closer, over time to reaching a stable
            angle. Recession rates will drop as stability increases. This may explain the fact that
            over fifty percent of the bluffs are experiencing less recession 1986-1994 than they
            were 1982-1986. After a decade of high lake levels, the lake levels began to drop
            after 1976. It took a decade for the bluff crest to respond to the oversteepening
            produced by the erosion of the bluff base. The control points experiencing increased
            recession are harder to explain.


                   Appendix B contains recession rate data expressed as graphs for each control
            point showing trends in recession rate over time. Figure 6.2 shows the long term
            recession rates over all points. Figure 6.2 also shows the actual amount of recession
            expressed in feet. Figure 6.3 is a bar graph of the number of feet lost by each control
            point.


                   6.3.2. DER Control Points Experiencing an Increase in Recession Rates.


                   Of the control points showing an increase in recession rates, fifteen are in an
            order of magnitude too small to be significant. The remaining points are significant
            either because of a dramatic increase in recession or because the baseline recession
            is large. The following control points are discussed individually in an attempt to
            understand why the rates are increasing.


            4.5    (See DER Aerial Oblique 0194 frame 35) As can be seen on the photo, the bluff
            is linear with two large incisions, one in front of the house and the other to the east
            on the left of the picture. The control point can be seen on the photo; a utility pole
            one hundred feet plus north of the road. On a line normal to the bluff it intersects
            the incision on the western flank. The abnormal recession here, fourteen feet in six
            years, is due to the opening of this incision on a bluff that was already receding.

            12.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0394 frame 14) The control point is just about in the


                                                       6-s




















                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ......... ....... . ..... .               ..........  .......... . .......    .................                          . ......     . ........ .. .................
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      .. .... ......              .... .....







                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ...... .                                           ..














                                                                                                                                                   . . . . . . ...






                                                                                                                                          . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .























                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               AM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        At                              2             ro             8 a r. tz                                                ro








                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   wastfoent







                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Recession                                                                                Rates                                                in Ft/Yr










            center of the picture just west of the large ravine. These are high bluffs capped with
            a lacustrine layer very prone to slumping. Recession along this entire reach, from
            Crooked Creek on the west to Elk Creek on the east continues at a high rate. The rate
            on this site increased from 3.65 ft/yr to 4.27 ft/yr 1989 to 1994.


            13.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0394 Frame 18) See Above. The recession rate here
            went from .54 ft/yr to 2.95 ft/yr.


            17.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0494 Frame 12) This is a high, actively receding bluff
            with a sandy layer ontop. Recession is uniform along the reach but at this site it
            jumped from .06 ft/yr to 2.42 ft/yr. Given the otherwise uniformity of recession and
            the lack of any causal influence, the increase may result from inaccuracies in the
            1989 survey.


            18.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0494 Frame 18) The control point lies on a line parallel
            with the line of pines on the west side of the developed property, just adjacent to the
            hardwood tree. Wasting along the line of the bluff crest is producing a very incised
            character to the crestline. The increase in recession rate is due to the opening of one
            of these incisions and probably is a time-specific event.


            21.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0594 Frame 7) This is a high bluff, actively receding.
            The increase in recession on this site is due to oversteepening in the sandy top layer
            produced by wasting in the till layers below. Notice the steep angle in the top layer
            compared to the rest of the slope below. The control point falls between the line of
            cottages in the center of the picture.


            22     (See DER Aerial Oblique 0594 Frame 13) See above. The control point is in the
            woods in the center of the frame. Note the large incisions in the bluff. The top
            layers in this reach are responding dramatically to rapid erosion of the lower layers.
            The recession rate jumped rom. 0.00 ft/yr to 3.29 ft/yr. 1989 to 1994.


            24.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 0594 Frame 34) See above. This is a rapidly receding
            bluff that has increased its rate of recession from 3.25 ft/yr to 3.95 ft/yr in the time
            period 1989 to 1994. Notice the downed trees. Also notice the lineations in the top
            layer. This site has lost over 19 feet since 1989.


            33     (See DER Aerial Oblique Frame 7) The picture speaks for itself. This is a very


                                                      6-7











            active site. Groins built on beaches to the west have eliminated much of the beach
            building materials that ordinarily would have nourished this beach. The presence
            of cottages at the base of the bluff is an indication that beaches here were
            historically very wide. The wide beaches protected the bluffs behind. These bluffs
            have become increasingly unstable as a consequence of development in the
            landward area. When the stabilizing influence of the beach was removed, the bluffs
            responded appropriately. The site has lost nine feet most of it since 1989.


            55.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 1494 Frame 28) The control point is in the yard of the
            house on the right in the right center of the frame. As can be seen the yard is "in
            the air" flanked on on side by a wooded ravine and on the other by a wooded upper
            slope. The bluff here will continue to adjust to at least the angle of the bluff faces
            east and west. The site lost fifteen feet betweenl989 and 1994.


            59     (See DER Aerial Oblique 1694 Frame 6) These are very high bluffs with very
            unstable sandy layers at the crest. The increase in recession here is due to drilling
            (gas) activity. The control point is associated with the deep reentrant to the left of
            center in the frame. These cirque-like features open up on the bluffs on this reach
            in response to loss of shear strength in the sands. In this case the contributory
            factor is associated with the well and trenches dug for pipe. The site lost twenty -
            four feet between 1989 and 1994.


            61.5 (See DER Aerial Oblique 1794 Frame 1) Glacial beach sands are prominently
            exposed in the top forty feet of bluff. These are some of the most unstable bluffs on
            the shoreline. Once the base is corrupted by high water levels, or some other
            destabilizing influence, these bluffs begin to fail. This site has lost twenty-six feet
            since 1989. A house used to sit in front of the garage.
















                                                       6-8










                                                  CPNUM IRECESS                YEARS FT/YR M/YR                                CI    CD      CS
                                                                0              3.5       7.74          0.45           0.14           x
                                                                0.1            0           0                0             0
                                                                0.5            12        7.74          1.55           0.47           x
                                                                1.1            45        7.72          5.83           1.78           x
                                                                1.5            19.34     7.73,         2.5            0.76           x
                                                                2.5            22.58     11.79         1.92           0.58,          x
                                                                3              8.25      12.36         0.67           0.2            x
                                                                3.5            0         7.75               0             01                 x
                                                                4              12.17     12.37         0.98           0.31           x
                                                                4.5            18.42     7.75          2.38           0.72     X
                                                                5              2         12.36,        0.16           0.05     x
                                                                5.5            12.75     7.731         1.65           0.5            x
                                                                6              7.83      12.361        0.63           0.19           x
                                                                6.5            10.5      7.73          1.36           0.41           x
                                                                7              11.7      12.36         0.95           0.29           x
                                                                7.5                      7,73               0             0
                                                                8              0         12.35              0             0,                 x
                                                                8.5            22        7.72          2.85           0.871          x                                               Figure 6.2
                                                                9              50.75     12.341        4.11           1.25           x
                                                                9.5            1.83      7.271         0.25           0.08           x
                                                                10             4         7.721         0.52           0.16           x                Recession Rates and Trends by
                                                                10.5           8.33      7.3           1.14           0.35           x
                                                                11             14        12.31         1.14           0.351          x                                           Control Point
                                                                11.5           29        7.42          3.91           1.19i          x
                                                                12             43.5      7.42          5.86           1.791          X
                                                                12.51          29.5      7.27          4.06           1.24;    X                                                   Recession in Feet
                                                                131            21,       12.28         1.71           0.521          x
                                                                                                            I                                                               Years= Period of Record
                                                                13.51          16        7.69          2.081,         0.63,    X
                                                                14!            9         12.34         0.73!          0.22           X                                CI= Recession Rate Increasing
                                                                14.51          0:        7.72               0:            0                  x
                                                                                                                                                                     CD-- Recession Rate Decreasing
                                                                151            27.17     7.68'         3.54:          1.08           x
                                                                ISS            8.25      11.71'        0.7.           0.21           x                                     CS=Recession Rate Static
                                                                16!            21.25     12.251        1.73           0.53           x
                                                                16.5:          15.251    7.98!         1.93           0.59           x
                                                                17;            0.5':     12.311        0.04           0.01                   x
                                                                17.5:          1109      7.68          1.57           048      X
                                                                18i            8
                                                                                         12.23!        -0.65          0,2            x
                                                                18.51          61        7.69:         0.78           0.24     X
                                                                19!            22331     123 11        L81            035            x
                                                                19.5-          01        7.251              0,            0                  x
                                                                201            32,33,    12.31         2.631          0.8            x
                                                                20.5           17.171    7.66          2.24:          0.68           X
                                                                211            18.33     12.29         1.491          0.45           x
                                                                21.51          11.25     7.66          -I..47i---.0.45-'       x
                                                                22             23.7      12.21         1.941          0.59i    X     I
                                                                22.5,          0,92.     7.3           0.13i          0.04           X
                                                                23             21        12.29         0-16 '1        0.05           x
                                                                23.5           0         7.64               01            01                 x
                                                                24             5         11.96         0.42 j         0.131                  x
                                                                24.5           28.33     7.68          3.691          1.12@    X
                                                                25             15        12.25,        1.22           0.371          X    I
                                                                25.51          6         7.681         0.78           0.24           1x   I
                                                                26.51          -0.08     7.66          -0.01              0          x
                                                                27             7.33      12.31         0.6            0.181    X
                                                                27.5                     7.68               0             0
                                                                28             0         12.25              0             0
                                                                                                                                        @"x







                                                                29.5           31        7.8           0.39           0.12           x
                                                                29             -15       12.241        0.12           0.04           1
                                                                29.5           41; 2     7.81          0.57           0.17
                                                                301            10        12.451        0.8,           0.24,



                                                                                                                      Page I










                                            CPNUM RECESS               YEARS jFr/YR MfYR                          Ci CD I CS
                                                    30.5               0      7.291              0             0            1 x
                                                      31               2      12.321       0.16           0.05         x
                                                    31.5               0      7.67               0             0       x
                                                      32               0      12.28              0             0              x
                                                    32.51              0      7.67               0             0              x
                                                      33               9      12.31        0.73           0.22    X
                                                    33.5               0      7.65               0             0,             x
                                                    44.2               5.67   7.69,        0.74           0.221        x
                                                    44.5               0      7.791              0             0              x
                                                      45               0      12.421             0             0              x
                                                    45.5               3.75   7.69         0.49           0.15         x
                                                      46               0.17   12.32        0.01                0              x
                                                    46.5               1.25   2.73         0.46           0.14         x
                                                      47               16     12.32         1.3           0.41         x
                                                    47.5               3.33   7.69         0.43           0.13    x
                                                      48               5      12.32,       0.41           0.12    X
                                                    48.5               8      7.691        1.04           0.32         x
                                                      49               7.5    11.741       0.64,          0.19         x
                                                      50               17     12.32        1.38           0.42         x
                                                    50.5               3.67   4.96         0.74           0.23    X
                                                    51,5                       7.7               01            oi
                                                      52               3.5    7.71         0.45i          0.14i        x
                                                    52.5               0       7.7               0             0
                                                      53               10     12.281       0.81 i         0.5-5t-      x                                Figure 6-2 (cont.)
                                                    53.5               1      7.711        0.131          0.04         x
                                                      54               2.5    12.35         0.2;          0.06         X
                                                    54.5               0.5     7.7         0.06           0.02         x
                                                      55               18.5   12.25              0             0              x
                                                    55.5               15.17  7.31         2M             063     X
                                                      56'              0.67   12.33        0.05           002                 x
                                                    56.5               0      4.69               0             0              x
                                                    57.5               3      4.94'        0.61           019     x
                                                      58@              3.5 1  12.33:       0.28           0            x
                                                                       0'     7.391              0                            x
                                                      59@              24     7.481        T2 -1-         -6-99-  x
                                                    59.5:              6.31   TT87-0.84-                  0 216'  X
                                                                       ol     7.48               0                X
                                                    60.5               2      7.48;        0.27           Mol          x
                                                      61               0.51   4.951         0.1           (01     X
                                            i       61.5               28.251 7.481        3.78           1 15--
                                                      62               -0.5    7.41        -0.07          -002    X
                                                      63!              01     11.88;             0             0              x
                                            1       63.51              2.67    7.41        0.36           Oll          X
                                                      64               7.33    7.41        0.99           0.3     x
                                                    64.5               0       7.41              0             0              x
                                                      65               -0.03  7.481              0             0              x
                                                    65.5               1      7.391        0.14,1         0.04         x
                                                      66               0.25   12.331       0.021          0.011               x
                                                    66.51              -0.09  7.391        -0,01               0              X
                                                      67F              _0     12.331             0             0              x
                                                    67.5               0.42    7.7         0.05           0.02         X
                                                      68               0      12.33              0             0              x
                                                    68.5               5.5     7.7         0.71           0.22         x
                                                      69               11.83  12.33        -0.96          0.29-        x
                                                    69.5               3.08    7.7          0.4           0.12,   X
                                                      71               1.25   12.33,        0.1           0.031        x   I      I
                                                    72.5               0       7.7               0             0  x
                                                      73               0      7.39               0             0  x
                                                    73.5,              5.67-  7.39         0.77           0.23    x




                                                                                                          Page 2











                                                                                                                                                               Fig. 6.3 Recession










                                                                                                                                                                                                         . . .. ....



                                                                                                                                                                                                          . . . . . . . . . . . . .

                                                                                                                                                                                                          ...... . . . . . .








                                        30






                                       20


                                                                   p




                                        10






                                         0









                                                                                                                                                                  w"t tD O"t
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Him
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            ONE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  M














                                                                                                     Recession in Actual Amount of Loss in Feet










                        Section 7.0        Recommendations/Conclusions



            7.1 Bathymetry

                  A general offshore bathymetry of the southern shore of Lake Erie is
            available from navigational charts of Lake Erie available from NOAA. These charts
            are updated periodically and are used primarily for navigation. Nearshore
            bathymetry is generally only inferred since detailed soundings are not taken in the
            inshore areas.


                  Topographic maps of the southern shore of Lake Erie are available. They only
            infer offshore bathymetry and should not be considered accurate since no soundings
            are taken. Topographic maps are produced by the United States Geological Survey
            while navigational charts are produced by the National Oceanographic Atmospheric
            Administration. The land based topography is determined from Coast and Geodetic
            Survey datum while the bathymetry uses IGLD, 1955. The two datums are several feet
            apart. The problem of using either for nearshore bathymetry becomes apparent.


                  As a result accurate precise nearshore bathymetry must be accomplished
            using bottom recording devices such as side scan sonar, fathometer or similar device
            on-board or towed behind small craft able to navigate in the shallows along shore.
            Accurate positioning is key to obtaining usable data.


                  In 1981 the then Pennsylvania Coastal Zone Management Program funded a
            geotechnical study of the Pennsylvania portion of the open water shoreline of Lake
            Erie. The study included an examination of offshore bathymetry offshore 'of control
            points established on the bluffs spaced one kilometer apart from the Ohio border to
            the new York border exclusive of Presque Isle and the shoreline of Presque Isle Bay.
            From that report:


                  A series of bottom profiles were obtained using a recording sonar device at
            each designated control point. The traverse was made shore normal over an
            approximate distance of four hundred yards to an average depth of twenty feet for
            the reach west of Presque Isle and thirty feet for the reach east of Presque Isle.


                  Shore markers placed at all control points were used to provide the location
            for the beginning of each profile line. In the absence of accurate positioning
            anywhere along the transect the boat was operated at 1500 rpm to maintain a










            constant speed and each transect was run under calm conditions. At the estimated
            end of each run a range finder was used to fix the position of the boat with respect to
            the distance offshore. A crew onshore in radio contact with the boat enabled the
            captain to keep a constant bearing on the transect. The distance obtained was
            transferred to the chart.


                   In the lab the chart was transferred to a grid and the distances stretched to fit
            the chosen scale. At intervals the depth from the chart was transferred to the chart
            producing a profile line for the bottom. The profiles were included in the report
            entitled A Geotechnical Investigation of the Coastal Bluffs of Ede County,
            Pennsylvania (Knuth, 1983).


                   The profiles obtained were as accurate as the methodology permitted. Close
            control on positioning was not at a technical or economic level in 1981 to permit
            exact positioning. Using modern, and now inexpensive but highly accurate
            positioning (GPS) in combination with a simple recording fathometer, the offshore
            bathymetry can and should be repeated. The most important reason for
            understanding the exact configuration of the bottom is the hypothesis that the
            bottom is controlling wave energy, concentrating it in places while producing a
            -shadow effect' in others; in effect producing different rates of shoreline retreat.


                   Recommendation: Conduct a full bathymetric examination of the open water
            reaches of the Pennsylvania shoreline using GPS and bottom recording technology.
            At a minimum the profiles should be established offshore of each established DER
            recession control point. If affordable side scan sonar should be employed to provide
            a comprehensive "picture" of the bottom over a wide transect line.




            7.2 Details of Bluff Stratigraphy


                   In the geotechnical report referenced above an attempt was made to
            understand the stratigraphy exposed along the bluffs east and west of Presque Isle.
            Nothing impacts on recession rates as much as the nature (erodibility) of the bluff
            itself. In addition, these eroding bluffs provide most of the sediment for alongshore
            deposition.


            From that report:


                                                     7-2










            The bedrock exposures at the base of some bluffs east and west of Presque Isle are of
            the Canadaway Formation, Middle Upper Devonian in age and are variously described
            as: alternating shales and sandstones including the Portage Formation of
            Northwestern Pennsylvania; undifferentiated shales underlying quaternary
            deposits consisting of poorly differentiated sequences of interbedded shales,
            claystones, siltstones and sandstones; Upper Devonian shales with interbedded
            siltstones.


                   The bedrock exposures are important for three reasons. First, these
            exposures present a resistant surface to wave energy, deflecting energy downward
            and scouring sediment from their base. Beaches build along these reaches only
            where the supply of sediment can overcome the offshore loss. Secondly, these
            exposures provide some of the coarser material (shingles) important in beach
            formation. Thirdly, linear joints in the shales exposed to storm waves are expanded
            producing incised or cuspate forms seen along some reaches east of Presque Isle.


                   The quaternary units above bedrock vary. Some or all may be present in any
            section. Glacial Till- clays and silts with associated coarser fragments, resulting
            from sediment deposition (Wisconsin age) Some of the tills contain localized pockets
            of glacio-lacustrine deposits formed by deposits in small lakes or ponds.
            Lacustrine Deposits- thinly interbedded clayey silts and silty clays of proglacial
            lakes Stand Deposits- two general units (sand and gravels and sands and silty
            sands) associated with previous shorelines of proglacial lakes Alluvial Deposits-
            sandy silts and clays with variable amounts of sand and gravel and minor pockets of
            organic soil.


                   Preliminary attempts were made to map these units during the geotechnical
            investigations conducted 1981-1983. Sections were described for each of the
            recessional control points established at the time (Note: These points were
            established on a one kilometer grid from the Ohio Border northeastward along the
            shore to the New York Border. They were numbered 1-33 and 44-73. Points 34-43
            are on the bluffs of Presque Isle Bay and were never established on the ground.
            Accurate mapping of these sections requires more man hours than was available at
            the time and the descriptions were cursory as a result.)

                   Recommendation: There is direct cause and effect relationship between the
            nature of bluff materials and the degree of erodibility. In addition, the geometry of

                                                    7-3










            the face and the relative success of stabilization are related to both bluff height and
            recession. Finally, more forms of mass wasting e.g. slumping are more prevalent in
            some materials than others.


                  A comprehensive examination of bluff stratigraphy should be undertaken. At
            a minimum, sections should be mapped corresponding to each of the established DER
            recession control points. This mapping may be made in conjunction with mapping
            the geometry of the bluff face recommended below.



            7.3 Bluff Geometry (Crest and Face)


                  In 1981 the geometry of the bluff face at each established DER control point
            was mapped using the following technique. A one-half inch nylon rope 250 feet in
            length was calibrated in one meter units. The rope was anchored at the bluff crest
            and drawn taut on the beach below. The natural sag was not determined but was
            considered to be minor. The line was permitted to touch irregularities on the face but
            was not permitted to be deformed by the irregularity. A telescoping stadia rod
            was held plumb to each meter tick on the rope and each measurement recorded. In
            the lab the measurements were transferred to a graph, producing a profile of the
            bluff face. The bluff angle was determined in the field with the Abney level. This
            sounds simple but is deceptive. High bluffs with irregular faces and ample
            vegetation produced some interesting challenges. The results are, however,
            considered very accurate.


            Recommendation:


                  This procedure should be repeated to determine the changes in the geometry
            since 1981. In addition, the procedure should be done for all recessional control
            points not included in the original study to provide a base line for future study.
            Bluff recession is episodic. Understanding the geometry may help in predicting
            where recessional events are most likely to occur. During the same study the
            geometry of the bluff crest was established. This plan view of the crest is helpful in
            understanding the nature of recession at the crest. Recession can produce crestlines
            that are linear, incised, or irregular. The geometry of the crest was determined by
            the following technique.



                                                    7-4









                  A plane table was set over each established control point and plumbed to the
           pin beneath. A telescopic alidade was mounted on the table over a mylar surface.
           Beginning with shot to magnetic north for each site rays were shot east and west of
           this common line depending on conditions and orientation of the bluff line at the
           site. The original mylars are preserved at Edinboro University of Pennsylvania.
           In the lab the information was transferred to graphs and made part of the overall
           record of the site.


           Recommendation:


                  As with the bluff face geometry, the process should be repeated for
           recessional 1981 control points and done for the first time on all recessional points
           added since 1981. Using the base line provided in the earlier study important
           information on the nature of bluff retreat can be easily had. It may answer
           questions such as: Is the recession parallel or irregular?


           7.4 Regional Hydrology


                  Ground water contributes to bluff instability and is perhaps one of the most
           important variables. Although there have been regional ground water studies
           completed, these studies provide information about water resources that in most cases
           lie well below the zone having impact on the bluff face. The author knows of no
           regional shallow ground water investigation having been completed for any reach
           of Pennsylvania shoreline. The DER provided funding in 1981 to conduct a
           dewatering project on a bluff in Fairview Township. The construction phase of the
           project was to be followed up by a long term analysis of the effectiveness of the
           dewaterting design. Failure on the part of DER to monitor the project wasted an
           opportunity to add a substantial amount of knowledge about regional shallow
           ground water hydrology.


           Recommendation:


                  A comprehensive ground water study for the entire shoreline would be
           prohibitively expensive. At a minimum, two ground water studies should be
           conducted. One should be conducted on an area undergoing substantial change as a
           result of development. The Baldwin site in Millcreek Township would be ideal.
           Another study should be directed to a site undergoing recessional losses that appear



                                                    7-5










            to be driven mainly by ground water discharge on the upper bluff face.



            7.5 Comprehensive Monitoring Program


                  Initial monitoring sites were established in 1982. These sites have since been
            revisited in 1886, 1989, and 1994. Supplemental sites were established in 1986. These
            sites were revisited in 1989 and 1994. Legislation provides for sites to monitored
            every five years. Monitoring all sites every five years can be expensive. In
            addition, there would be no field investigations in the interim. Monitoring every site
            every year (a recommendation of the International joint Commission) may not make
            sense either since because some increments of loss are too small to be measured over
            such a short period of time.


            Recommendation:


                . A field reconnaissance program should be instituted that would put
            investigators in the field every year. During each field season, 20% of the
            recessional control points would be visited. The first year would involve
            measurements of those sites demonstrating the highest amount of activity during the
            1994 field season. The second season would revisit another 20% and so on for five
            years. The procedure would be in compliance with the law Bluff Recessiona and
            Setback Act. The most active sites could also be monitored yearly and DER staff
            would gain some familiarity with a sampling of recessional sites on an annual basis.
            The annual investigation could also involve conducting some bluff geometry studies
            or some stratigraphic mapping.



            7.6 Additions to GIS Database


            Supplemental Control Points


                  The original grid established for recession rate monitoring was regular in the
            sense that control points were established every one-half kilome'ter. Some
            stretching east and west of the grid point was accepted to overcome access or
            topographic problems. In many cases control points are located adjacent to sites
            where the recession rate is dramatically different, either higher or lower. It could


                                                     7-6









            be statistically misleading to be measuring a site that registers little annual recession
            when 50 meters away that bluff is receding rapidly.


            Recommendation:


                   There should be a higher concentration of recession monitoring points where:


            ï¿½ recession rates are high over a substantial reach (two or more kilometers)


            ï¿½ extensive development is underway or planned


            ï¿½ where rapid recession and development coincide


                   Data from these supplemental sites would be included in the data base to
            determine long term recession for that reach only. Care would have to be taken to
            not bias the overall recession rates for the entire reach. The reason the grid system
            was established was to prevent such bias. Using the GIS data base might make it
            possible to interact the data in any number of ways however. For example


            e What is the average recession rate for those bluffs that are rapidly receding?


            e What is the average recession rate for those bluffs that are rapidly receding and
            are also highly developed?










            References Cited



            Knuth, Paul D. and Crowe, R., 1975. Shoreline Erosion and Flooding: Erie County.
                  Report by the Great Lakes Research Institute to the Commonwealth of
                  Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection.


            Knuth, Paul D., 1983. A Geotechnical Investigation of the Coastal Bluffs of Erie
                  County, Pennsylvania. A Report by the Lake Erie Institute for Marine Science
                  to the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department of Environmental
                  Protection.


            Knuth, Paul D., 1985. Shore Erosion and Recession Manual. A Report by Edinboro
                  University of Pennsylvania to the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department
                  of Environmental Protection.


            Knuth, Paul D., 1987. lake Erie Bluff Recession Rate Data Update. A Report by Coastal
                  Research Associates for the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department of
                  Environmental Protection.


            Knuth, Paul D. and Lindenberg, Richard E., 1994. New Techniques for Measuring ,
                  Calculating and Monitoring the Rate of Bluff Recession: Lake Erie Coastline,
                  Erie County, Pennsylvania. A Report by Edinboro University of Pennsylvania
                  and Erie County Conservation District to the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
                  Department of Environmental Protection.


            Stewart, Christian J., 1994. United States Great Lakes Shoreline Recession Rate Data.
                  Final Report by Christian J. Stewart Consulting to the U.S. Army Corps of
                  Engineers.


















                                                              NOV -    m       UU

                                                          LAND & WATER CONSERVATI
                                                                   DER















                             US Depm-tmen' O'sCC'Ocrn"tmer'O7Ci'8brarY
                        1,4(DAA Coastal Service
                                                     Ave:
                               2234 South HobsO"'         '-U'3
                               Charleston, SC 22-)4,o,5-2413







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