[Congressional Record Volume 171, Number 196 (Thursday, November 20, 2025)]
[Senate]
[Pages S8266-S8269]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
CLIMATE CHANGE
Mr. WHITEHOUSE. Mr. President, I am here for my, oh, I guess
umpteenth ``Time to Wake Up'' speech.
This one comes upon my return from Brazil, where I was the entirety
of the United States of America governmental presence at the COP. That
was it. Just me. Nobody else went. And not only did nobody else go--
this is not important to anybody really outside the Senate--but for my
codel, my congressional delegation trip of one, the State Department,
under President Trump, refused to facilitate my trip.
I think this is the first time where the Senate, the legislative
body, has been told by the Executive branch: We are not going to
facilitate a codel because we don't like what you are doing. I don't
think that has ever happened before, and whatever your views are on
whatever issue, I would caution that this is a gate we need to close
shut because if the Executive branch of government can start telling
the Members of the Senate what codels they can and
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cannot go on with State Department support and facilitation, we have
got a real problem on our hands.
Here is my badge from the event, which the State Department refused
to facilitate. So I was there as an observer of the Global Legislators
Organization for a Balanced Environment, not the State Department. That
is how we had to get around them.
So that is kind of a first, not mattering much, except that it is yet
another executive-legislative tradition blown up by the arrogance of
the Trump administration, their insistence that everything has to be
their way.
But it is also a signal that this is how crazy they are on climate
issues, how completely off base they are.
So I went down to Brazil--because that is where the rest of the world
was gathering--to discuss the climate crisis. In the facility where we
were, the kind of main intersection where the two big aisleways crossed
was occupied by China, at one of the key corners, with a huge
delegation, a very big pavilion, lots of activity and crowding, and all
of the different countries that were there seeing the leadership of
China--our rival.
No pavilion for the United States, nothing to be seen, nobody. Across
the way, Saudis, not exactly the best friends of climate solutions.
So that was the environment that I went down to, and what I wanted to
do was convey four messages.
Message one was: Donald Trump on climate does not represent the
United States of America. He just doesn't. He represents the big donors
who gathered at Mar-a-Lago, whom he asked for a billion dollars, and
who gave him hundreds of millions of dollars in return for his promise
to do whatever they wanted. It is that corrupt promise that explains
Trump's behavior, not that he is representing the United States of
America.
I thought this cartoon made a pretty good image of what is going on
in the Trump White House.
And we know that he doesn't represent America because we can do
things like test public opinion and polls. And I have a recent one here
that asks about some of the sensible solutions to the climate change
problem, to all the pollution spewing. Here is one: Carbon pollution
limits on big companies.
Obviously, Trump would do everything he possibly could to prevent
carbon pollution limits because his big fossil fuel donors wouldn't
like that, and he is in tow to them. So zero chance that Trump would
support that. But how about the American people? Mr. President, 12
percent opposed, 72 percent support. There is a 60-point margin among
the American public on putting a pollution limit, a carbon pollution
limit on big companies--72 to 12. That is where the American people
are, not in the pockets of Big Oil.
Here is another one: Impose a fee on big polluters. It shouldn't be
pollute for free. If you are polluting something, whether it is your
neighbor's yard with your waste, your trash, throwing it over the fence
or whether it is the river that you are dumping effluent into and
ruining things for people downstream or whether it is our common
atmosphere, if you pollute, you should pay for the cost of fixing it.
Better still, you should pay enough that you don't pollute in the
first place and the neighbor's yard isn't a wreck of your trash and the
river isn't dirty downstream and the atmosphere is safe.
Impose a fee on big polluters. Seventy-four percent of Americans
liked that, 10 percent opposed. These are massive numbers in our line
of work, in which we are always testing public opinion. And this is
without much political pressure behind those ideas. This is just the
American public in its natural state saying: Yes, by a better-than-60-
point margin, we want to impose a fee on big polluters. We want carbon
pollution limits on big companies. That is where America is.
Trump is in the pockets of the big polluters. So that was message
one.
Message two was: We have got to put that price on carbon, the one
that the American people want, because that is the only way we have
remaining to climate safety. We have driven by all the other exits on
the highway. We are now left with that. And that was my second point.
We absolutely have to have what is called carbon pricing, a fee, a
penalty, whatever you call it, for pollution.
This is part of a review from work that the Potsdam Institute did.
They looked at 1,200 climate scenarios that over the years have been
presented to the IPCC, 1,200. Of those 1,200, there are 11 left--11 out
of 1,200--11 left that put us on a pathway to climate safety to get us
back below the 1.5 degrees centigrade safety margin--maybe safety
margin. But that is a conventional one, so I will stick with it, even
though it is not a guarantee.
Every single one of them puts a price on carbon. No price on carbon,
we fail. Other stuff that helps with climate, that may cause the
airplane to crash higher up the mountain, but the only thing that gets
the airplane safely across the mountain is putting a price on carbon.
Twenty years ago, we probably had other alternatives.
Now, we absolutely must put a price on carbon. And so I, when I met
with the Europeans and the Brits and the Australians, said to them: You
have our last lifeboat. Don't let Trump sink it for his fossil fuel
donors. What is the last lifeboat? It is called the carbon border
adjustment mechanism. It is a global price on carbon that comes from
tariffs. It is already law in the European Union, and it is about to go
into effect next year.
Behind the European Union is the United Kingdom. Under a conservative
government, the United Kingdom decided to join the CBAM. They are in
the process of aligning their internal carbon prices, and they are in
the process of figuring out how they are going to charge their own
tariffs.
So you have the EU economy, and then soon, I hope, the UK economy
joining, sending a global price signal that, if you are putting in
goods that are more carbon intensive than ours, we are going to charge
you for that. You cannot pollute and export for free any longer. This
is a version of the ``can't pollute for free'' rule.
Pollute for free, by the way, is wrong--not just morally but as a
matter of economics. You can go back to the most conservative
economist, Milton Friedman, and he will say: Yes, if your product
causes harm, if it pollutes, that is what economists call a negative
externality. And the cost of that negative externality needs to be in
the price of the product or else it is a subsidy, and it should be
treated as a subsidy.
The subsidy for fossil fuel, just in the United States, is $700
billion every year. That is how much harm it causes. That is the value
to the industry of ``pollute for free'' as their business model.
So the CBAM is beginning to put a price on pollution by causing a
border tariff. To impose that price is really, really important.
These are those 11 remaining scenarios. Every single one crosses over
1.5; every single one requires, probably, direct-air capture to get the
excess carbon dioxide and other pollutants out of the atmosphere and
then bring it back down to safety--assuming no tipping point in here
makes it irrecoverable.
So the way that I described it is that our last lifeboat to climate
safety is the CBAM. It gets stronger if the UK joins. It gets stronger
if the Australians join. They are looking at it as well. That makes it
a sturdier lifeboat for all of us.
But we have to do it. It is not a guarantee of climate safety. But
sinking that lifeboat is a guarantee of failure for us, for the next
generation of young people, for their children and their grandchildren.
We are done if we don't protect and, ideally, expand the CBAM.
So I urge all the countries participating in that: Stand by your
guns. There is going to be a corrupt fossil fuel-driven attack on this.
You can count on it. And be ready. Lock arms. Link up. Prepare yourself
for the onslaught, and do not let yourself be cowed. Do not let
yourself be stampeded.
So that was point two. Point three was: We have trouble coming. I
call it the great climate insurance collapse. It is widely warned of.
It is on its way. As I went around the COP, I handed out this little
folder wherever I could, which lists just some of the climate economic
catastrophe warnings that are out there:
[C]limate change could reduce the level of global GDP per
capita by 10-20%.
This is Fed Chair Powell. He is on my sheet right here: In 10 or 15
years, there
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are going to be regions of the country where you can't get a mortgage.
Why is that? Because in those regions of the country you won't be
able to get home insurance. And if you can't get home insurance on your
property, if it has become uninsurable, no mortgage.
So what he is really saying here is whole regions of the United
States are going to become so climate risky that they are uninsurable
and, therefore, unmortgageable, and that is why, in those regions of
the country, you will not be able to get a mortgage.
Think for a minute about what the economy looks like in an entire
region of the country in which nobody can get a mortgage any longer.
Where is this likely to hit first? I will tell you a region that is
headed for this fast is Florida. In Florida, the insurance market is
already trembling, propped up, perhaps even fake. And if it loses that
insurance market and Florida is a region in which nobody can get a
mortgage any longer, well, that may be fine for Palm Beach billionaires
who are swapping mansions with their extra money, but for a working
person who has to get a mortgage to afford a house or for a working
person who has a house on which he or she is paying a mortgage and now
they need to sell it and they can't find a buyer because the buyer
can't get a mortgage to buy the house because the house can't get
insurance--the property is uninsurable.
That is how that cascade works. It goes from climate risk to
uninsurability, to mortgage collapse, to property values collapse, to
recession. That is what the chief economist for Freddie Mac predicted.
This guy, Fed Chair Powell, is not green at all. He is lousy on
climate, but he is good on finance, and he sees this coming.
Freddie Mac is not a green organization. It is a mortgage company. So
when its chief economist says we are headed for a 2008-style economic
recession because there won't be mortgages because you can't get
insurance so property values will fall so there will be that recession,
you are hearing that from the finance community, not from
environmentalists.
We go on. The Economist magazine, in an article entitled ``The Next
Housing Disaster''--there is its cover; it was about a year ago--
predicted $25 trillion as the size of the hit to the global real estate
market from this climate risk to insurance meltdown, to no mortgages,
to property values collapse cascade--$25 trillion.
``Climate change, in short,'' it said, ``could prompt the next global
property collapse.''
The president of Aon, one of the biggest insurance companies in the
country, testified before the Senate Budget Committee:
Climate risk is a global, systemic risk.
What does ``systemic'' mean?
Climate change is a global, systemic risk.
What does ``systemic'' mean? Systemic is the scariest word in the
economic lexicon. Systemic means that when things go bad, it is not
contained to the place where the things went bad.
The 2008 recession was systemic, meaning that you didn't have to have
a bad mortgage or you didn't have to be one of the financiers who
crookedly packaged the bad mortgages to get clobbered. The damage was
so deep in that part of the financial system that it cascaded out
across the entire economy, and everybody got hurt. Car dealers,
Realtors, small businesses, people who lost their jobs got hurt in 2008
because it was systemic.
Now you have got the CEO of one of America's biggest insurance
entities warning us about this systemic risk.
Here is an even bigger insurance company, the biggest one in the
world, Allianz, put one of its board members out to warn that if we get
past the 1.5 degrees here and if you get up to 3 degrees, what happens
at 3 degrees? Which, by the way, is very much what we are headed for
right now. What happens at 3 degrees? Here is what he says:
[T]he financial sector as we know it ceases to function.
And with it, capitalism as we know it ceases to be viable.
Same scenario: climate risk, insurance collapse, mortgage failure,
property values crash.
The Mortgage Bankers Association:
[C]hronic physical risk associated with climate change may
. . . exceed the capacity of insurance and government
assistance to sustain some areas.
Whole regions.
By the way, the Allianz guy said the same thing about regions that
Jay Powell did, that whole regions are becoming uninsurable.
The Financial Stability Board is the board that looks at the world's
banking system. They have put out a warning saying, ``buckle up'' to
the world's banks because if the climate risk to insurance collapse, to
mortgage market failure, to property value crash transpires, the banks'
balance sheets collapses. Its collateral value is gone. Its loan-to-
value ratio makes it insolvent. And now you have a bank crash laid over
the underlying great climate insurance collapse.
That is not from me. That is not from the League of Conservation
Voters. That is not from the Sierra Club. That is from the
international Financial Stability Board.
So that was the second message: Look out. This is about to get deadly
serious, and people at the top of the finance profession are warning
about it.
I will close with Bob Litterman. He was the chief risk management
officer for Goldman Sachs, right? Goldman Sachs ain't green--except
green with money. And he was their chief risk management officer. Here
is what he told the Senate Budget Committee:
A sudden revision of market perceptions about climate
risk--
i.e., the market realizes that climate risk is out there and has not
been priced adequately into financial documents--
could lead to a disorderly repricing of assets, which could
in turn have cascading effects on portfolios and balance
sheets and therefore systemic--
Systemic--
implications for financial stability.
Like the Financial Stability Board said.
So I pointed out that this risk was looming, and we need to pay
attention to it. This isn't about polar bears any longer. This isn't
about green jobs any longer. This is a serious warning about a
potential collapse in not just the United States but the global
financial system. Remember The Economist magazine said that $25
trillion hit was coming to global real estate markets. That is what
this article said.
So how do we prevent that? Well, one thing, as I said already, is you
have to put a price on carbon. If it is free to pollute, you are going
to get more polluting. There is no excuse for an industry polluting for
free. There just isn't. It is morally wrong, economically wrong,
environmentally wrong. It is wrong by the rules which your mom taught
you--to clean up after your damn self.
But when it is $700 billion every year of harm that you are getting
away with for free, that gives you a big reason as an industry to try
to fake and lie and pressure your way through it. Now, you don't want
to be caught doing that by your own name. You don't want it to be
ExxonMobil that is doing all of this in its own name, so you have set
up a whole scheme. But for $700 billion a year, you can spend a lot of
money on setting up your whole scheme.
And sure enough, here is an image I have used on the Senate floor
before. This is a web of all, not all, a significant number of the big
front groups that the fossil fuel industry has propped up and funds to
propagate its climate denial fraud operation--pretend that this isn't
real, pretend that the scientists are just kidding or that they are
making it up--and its dark money political corruption operation, which
shovels billions of dollars into our politics to make sure that people
obediently deny climate change in return for the money that keeps them
in office.
So my final point in Brazil was, if we want to win this, we not only
have to get the policy right, we have to tell the story right.
This is a story with a villain in it, just like a children's story
that has a troll or a witch or an ogre or a dragon. You don't want to
tell that story without the troll or the witch or the ogre or the
dragon. First of all, it gets to be a really boring story, and second
of all, it ain't the right story.
What we have is a situation in which we are in this peril that I
described. We are in this peril because the fossil fuel industry has
propped up this whole array of phony front groups to spread climate
disinformation, stuff that just isn't true.
By the way, they don't care that it is not true. That is the point.
So they
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don't stand corrected when somebody says ``Oh, that is not true''; they
just dial up the volume and say it twice as much. It is not intended to
be true. This is not a quest for truth; this is a barrage of noise and
propaganda designed to cover the truth.
On the money side, we are into multiple billions of dollars that are
poured into this building from fossil fuel industry coffers through all
these phony-baloney front groups. I make fun of their names. I made up
one: Rhode Islanders for Peace and Puppies and Prosperity--with nothing
but a mail drop behind it. But behind the mail drop, creepy
billionaires are shoveling in the money so people will ignore this
problem for just another year, just another 2 years, just long enough
to make a few more billion dollars in profit.
So that was my message.
Trump ain't us on this. Trump is the mouthpiece of the fossil fuel
industry. The American public hasn't gone anywhere on this. He has just
gone off on a fossil fuel-funded excursion.
If we don't protect the CBAM and put a price on carbon, there is no
way out of this mess. We are totally toast, and we are going to see the
looming edge of being totally toast coming through our insurance
markets. It is already happening in Florida. Watch it. It is there.
I did a poll in Texas. Ninety-two percent of Texans are concerned
about their homeowners insurance. Everybody talks about affordability
here. They are concerned about their homeowners insurance
affordability. They are more concerned about that than healthcare. They
are more concerned about that than groceries. This is a top-of-mind
concern because of wildfires, flooding, hail exploding the Texas
homeowners insurance market.
Sixty-three percent say they are very concerned--very concerned.
Sixty-six percent in oil patch Texas, in red Texas, in a State where
zero effort has been made to connect the dots, understand that climate
change links to extreme weather that is driving their homeowners
insurance crisis--66 percent already get that. They are just being
ignored because the fossil fuel industry can out-fog horn them with its
propaganda and outspend them with its sluice gates open of dark money
corrupting our politics.
That takes us to the last point, which is, yes, there is a villain in
the story, and we need to put a spotlight on that villain and make them
own the harm they are so dishonestly creating.
I yield the floor.
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