[Congressional Record Volume 164, Number 6 (Wednesday, January 10, 2018)]
[Senate]
[Pages S126-S127]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
IRAN
Mr. REED. Mr. President, I rise today to discuss my thoughts on
recent protests in Iran and the important upcoming decisions by the
President with respect to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or
the JCPOA.
While I am mindful that we have limited visibility into Iran and
continue to learn more about the circumstances and motivations of the
recent protests, one thing is clear: A significant portion of the
Iranian people are not satisfied with their government and are
increasingly willing to make their dissatisfaction heard. It is
important that we support their right to peacefully express their views
and demand that the Iranian Government respond with constructive
dialogue, rather than force.
It was notable that Iranian President Ruhani implicitly recognized
the validity of the protests earlier this week when he reportedly said:
It would be a misrepresentation and also an insult to
Iranian people to say they only had economic demands. . . .
People had economic, political and social demands
That is according to President Ruhani.
Acknowledging the need for reform, Ruhani continued:
We cannot pick a lifestyle and tell two generations after
us to live like that. It is impossible. The views of the
young generation about life and the world is different than
ours.
Now is the time to support the Iranian people in their quest for a
government that is more representative and supportive of their
interests. Unfortunately, some have suggested that our response should
be to withdraw from the JCPOA, an action that I believe would only
serve to embolden the hardliners in Iran and leave the United States
more isolated from our allies. Withdrawing from the JCPOA and
reimposing nuclear-related sanctions on Iran would immediately change
the narrative inside of Iran, uniting reformists and hardliners alike
in their opposition to what they view as a hostile United States.
While some would argue that the recent protests in Iran are
symptomatic of what they view as a flawed JCPOA, I would suggest
otherwise. In reality, the nuclear deal exposed one of the Iranian
regime's central vulnerabilities--namely, that the regime can no longer
simply blame sanctions imposed by the United States and the
international community for its economic woes at home. It is becoming
clearer to the Iranian people that it is actually the regime's
corruption, financial mismanagement, funding of malign activities, and
hegemonic ambitions that are at the root of their government's
inability to enable job creation and to ensure that necessities like
food and gasoline remain affordable.
In the coming days, the President has several important decisions to
make with respect to the JCPOA. In October, President Trump
acknowledged that Iran is meeting its commitments under the JCPOA, but
he chose not to certify that continued sanctions relief is
``appropriate and proportionate'' to the actions taken by Iran with
respect to terminating its illicit nuclear program. By the end of this
week, President Trump is again required to decide whether to issue such
a certification. I expect he will again choose not to do so.
The more consequential decision for the President this week will be
whether to continue waivers of nuclear-related sanctions, as he is
required to do under the JCPOA. Choosing not to continue such waivers
would immediately snap back U.S. nuclear-related sanctions, thereby
putting the United States in violation of the JCPOA. Let me be clear.
This would be a unilateral action on behalf of the United States that
would put us in violation of an international agreement, not just with
Iran but with the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, and China,
as well.
By all accounts, the JCPOA is working as intended, and Iran is
verifiably meeting its commitments under the deal. It is important to
remember what the JCPOA was designed to do and what it is now
achieving. The JCPOA commits Iran to never seeking to develop or
acquire a nuclear weapon; effectively cuts off all pathways for Iran to
achieve a nuclear weapon during the period covered by the agreement;
and increases the time it would take for Iran to acquire enough
material for one nuclear bomb from 2 to 3 months to at least 1 year.
When this agreement was signed, they were within months of having that
capability. It dramatically reduces Iran's stockpile of enriched
uranium and the number of installed centrifuges. It has prevented Iran
from producing weapons-grade plutonium and has subjected Iran to robust
monitoring by the IAEA to verify its compliance.
Withdrawing from the JCPOA at this point would provide no benefit and
would actually leave us more isolated and less able to deal with the
various challenges posed by Iran. The crippling sanctions regime that
brought Iran to the negotiating table in the first place only worked
because the international community was united in its determination to
keep Iran from achieving a nuclear weapon. If we withdraw from the
JCPOA unilaterally--and in the absence of a clear violation of the deal
by Iran--there is no reason to believe that our partners in the P5+1
would join us. In fact, French President Macron has said that there is
``no alternative'' to the JCPOA and told the U.N. General Assembly that
``renouncing it would be a grave error.''
General Dunford, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told the
Armed Services Committee last year:
I believe that the U.S. would incur damage vis-a-vis our
allies if we unilaterally withdraw from the JCPOA. Our allies
will be less likely to cooperate with us on future military
action to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon and
less likely to cooperate with us on countering other
destabilizing aspects of Iranian behavior that threaten our
collective interests.
Our sanctions may snap back but not those imposed by the rest of the
world, many of whom have begun building economic ties to Iran since the
JCPOA was signed. Our international partners would then blame us, not
Iran, for the failure of the deal.
Some, including President Trump, have argued that we can and should
dissolve the JCPOA and renegotiate a better deal. This is a highly
unrealistic proposal. We were only able to achieve the JCPOA after
years of sustained multilateral diplomatic efforts and the imposition
of aggressive international sanctions in concert with our partners. It
will likely be impossible to replicate those conditions if the United
States unilaterally withdraws from the JCPOA.
Contrary to President Trump's belief, threatening to walk away from
the
[[Page S127]]
deal actually weakens our ability to address the JCPOA's perceived
flaws by alienating our partners. Instead, we should remain committed
to the JCPOA and lead the international community in imposing
additional sanctions, where necessary, to change other Iranian
behaviors--namely, their respect for human rights, ballistic missile
development efforts, and other malign activities.
We must also seek to help enable the Iranian people to make their
choices heard, including by encouraging the adoption of social media
and other means of communication. We could start by building upon
general licenses issued by the Obama administration designed to
encourage the export of communications technology to Iran.
Secretary Mattis told the Armed Services Committee at his
confirmation hearing: ``When America gives her word, we have to live up
to it and work with our allies.''
If the President decides this week not to continue nuclear-related
sanctions relief for Iran, he will be effectively choosing to restart
the Iranian nuclear program, thereby making military conflict with Iran
more likely.
Withdrawing from the deal would also be a devastating blow to our
efforts toward diplomacy with North Korea--and for that matter, any
future diplomatic efforts to constrain aggressive behavior by our
adversaries. Why would any nation engage with us in serious dialogue to
resolve differences if they fear we will later withdraw unilaterally,
even when the other parties are complying with the agreement?
Regardless of whether you supported the JCPOA before it was signed,
the truth is that it has removed the greatest threat we faced from Iran
while also preserving all other means to address Iran's malign
activities. Let there be no doubt--Iran continues to be a state sponsor
of terrorism and an abuser of human rights. Iran continues to
destabilize the region through its development of ballistic missiles
and support of proxies in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen, and elsewhere.
If Iran behaves this way without a nuclear weapon, imagine how much
worse a nuclear-armed Iran would be.
Fortunately, our nonnuclear sanctions on Iran remain in place and are
unaffected by the JCPOA. In fact, Congress authorized additional
sanctions in July to help deal with these issues. The administration
should work with our international partners and use all tools at its
disposal, including by ramping up nonnuclear sanctions, where
necessary, to counter Iran's unacceptable behavior in these other
areas.
Abrogating the JCPOA only invites another nuclear crisis like the one
we are currently facing with North Korea--a concern echoed by General
Dunford when he appeared before the Armed Services Committee and said:
``It makes sense to me that our holding up agreements that we have
signed, unless there's a material breach, would have impact on others'
willingness to sign agreements.''
Many have criticized the JCPOA as a ``flawed deal.'' For example,
concerns have been raised that certain provisions sunset after a period
of years, thereby delaying rather than permanently preventing Iran from
achieving a nuclear weapon. If the concern is that Iran may seek to
resume nuclear weapons development activities after these sunsets--a
concern that I share--the appropriate course of action is not to throw
out the deal but to work with our international partners to ensure that
necessary restrictions on the JCPOA are appropriately extended or
supplemented.
As I noted before, Iran has committed in perpetuity not to develop or
seek to acquire nuclear weapons. We should not take them at their word;
we should verify their adherence to this commitment, just as we are
doing under the JCPOA. If at any point in the future we have evidence
to suggest Iran is taking steps that would indicate a violation of that
commitment, we should use that information to rally the P5+1 and other
international partners to take a unified stand against such efforts.
Unilaterally withdrawing from the JCPOA would seriously damage our
ability to exert such leadership in the future.
Again, according to General Dunford, in the absence of the JCPOA,
Iran would likely resume its nuclear weapons program and ``a nuclear-
armed Iran would likely be more aggressive in its actions and more
dangerous in its consequences.'' General Dunford also told the
committee that ``the intel community assessment is, in fact, that Iran
is in compliance right now [with the JCPOA], and therefore, I think we
should focus on addressing the other challenges: the missile threat
they pose, the maritime threat they pose, the support of proxies,
terrorists, and the cyber threat they pose.'' I wholeheartedly agree
with General Dunford's assessment.
Our troops in Iraq and Syria are operating in close proximity to
Iranian-aligned militias, including those who previously targeted
American troops. Unilaterally withdrawing from the JCPOA could embolden
these hardline militias and possibly result in Iran giving them a green
light to begin targeting U.S. forces once more.
Furthermore, while I have full confidence in our military's ability
to fight and win wars when necessary, we cannot escape the reality that
military contingencies to respond to both a nuclear-armed North Korea
and Iran would result in massive loss of life and national treasure and
greatly stress our military's capacity and capabilities.
In conclusion, I will return to where I began. Now is not the time to
impose a self-inflicted wound upon our foreign policy and standing in
the world. Unilaterally withdrawing from the JCPOA would empower
Iranian hardliners and dramatically undermine the reform-minded
protests we should be seeking to empower. Worse still, it would leave
us more isolated in the international community and, by extension, less
able to address the range of national security challenges posed by
Iran, North Korea, and our other potential adversaries.
We must not abdicate the JCPOA or American leadership on these
issues. Therefore, I urge the President to stay the course with respect
to the JCPOA, while also rallying the international community to take
effective actions intended to change other unacceptable behaviors by
the Iranian regime to suppress dissent at home and sow instability
abroad. We must not squander this opportunity by making the story about
the United States rather than the courageous Iranians who at great risk
to themselves have taken to the streets to demand a better future.
I yield the floor.
I suggest the absence of a quorum.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Gardner). The clerk will call the roll.
The senior assistant legislative clerk proceeded to call the roll.
Mr. McCONNELL. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that the order
for the quorum call be rescinded.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Lee). Without objection, it is so ordered.