[Congressional Record Volume 161, Number 173 (Tuesday, December 1, 2015)]
[Senate]
[Page S8230]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
PARIS CLIMATE CHANGE CONFERENCE
Mr. WICKER. Mr. President, policymakers from all over the world will
be meeting in Paris this week and next to address the issue of climate
change. With much fanfare, they will purport to reach an agreement that
will prevent the Earth's ``average global air temperature'' from rising
more than 2 degrees Celsius. This 2-degree limit will supposedly mean
success for the conference in Paris and success in the battle against
global warming, thus preventing catastrophic events from occurring.
So I come to the floor to call attention to several news articles
pointing out problems with this approach, with this 2-degree Celsius
approach. The first is a front-page story from yesterday's Wall Street
Journal. I hold it in my hand. It is titled ``Climate Experts Question
Temperature Benchmark.'' This is not an opinion piece, it is a news
article. The article points out that the 2-degree target is both
arbitrary and based on questionable research.
The article quotes Mark Maslin, professor of climatology at the
University College London, saying:
It emerged from a political agenda, not a scientific
analysis. It's not a sensible, rational target.
The article goes on to say that despite assumptions by policymakers,
the 2-degree target does not express ``a solid scientific view.''
Indeed, no report by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
even mentions the 2-degree limit.
Economics Professor William Nordhaus appears to have been the first
to use the 2-degree figure. The article notes that his work ``argued
that a rise of two or more degrees would put the earth's climate
outside the observable range of temperature over the last several
hundred thousand years.'' I ask my colleagues how did they measure air
temperature 100,000 years ago, 200,000 years ago, as Professor Nordhaus
appears to have been concerned about. I would also point out to my
colleagues that being outside the observable range is far different
than being catastrophic. It is not the same thing, but from that has
evolved the 2-degree model.
This is not the first time the model has been criticized. In October
of last year, David Victor and Charles Kennel wrote about it in the
journal Nature. Victor is a professor of international relations at the
University of California San Diego and Kennel is a professor at the
Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, CA.
Yesterday I got this article from the journal Nature and read it
myself. In their piece, Professors Victor and Kennel wrote:
Politically and scientifically, the 2 degree Celsius goal
is wrong-headed. . . . It has allowed some governments to
pretend that they are taking serious action to mitigate
global warming, when in reality they have achieved almost
nothing.
This is one of the things I worry about. This is one of the things I
fear from the Paris conference. The United States will agree to do a
lot, costing job growth here, and other countries will do almost
nothing, as the professors say.
Victor and Kennel say that the 2009 and 2010 U.S. conferences in
Copenhagen and Cancun officially adopted this approach. They then
conclude: ``There was little scientific basis for the 2 degrees Celsius
figure that was adopted.''
Additionally, in an op-ed last month for the Wall Street Journal,
environmentalist Bjorn Lomborg cites his own peer-reviewed study to
show how the most high-flown promises in Paris will fail to make any
substantial impact on climate change.
Even if every country fulfills every promise made in Paris over the
next decade and a half, according to Dr. Lomborg, the growth of global
temperatures would be reduced by less than .05 degrees Celsius, or
five-hundredths of a degree Celsius--by the end of the century, the
year 2100. So is it 2 degrees or is it less than five-hundredths of a
degree? And is 2 degrees sensible and rational? Not according to
Professors Maslin, Victor, Kennel, and certainly not according to Dr.
Lomborg.
One more quote from Professors Victor and Kennel. They point out one
of the major problems in the 2-degree Celsius approach: ``Failure to
set scientifically meaningful goals makes it hard for scientists and
politicians to explain how big investments in climate production will
deliver tangible results.''
Yes, what are the tangible results? What can we expect in tangible
results from the agreements that will certainly come out of Paris? We
will be $3 billion poorer, that is for certain, because the President
has pledged $3 billion from taxpayers for the Green Climate Fund. I
would point out that $3 billion could be used for Alzheimer's research
or malaria or malnutrition or any number of the other problems the
people of the world see as more important than climate change.
Tangible results coming out of Paris: Electricity bills will be
higher. Lower income Americans will be colder in their own homes, our
economy will have suffered, and job growth will have been slowed,
perhaps by as much as $154 billion a year. That figure comes from
Stanford University analysts who say that if we adopt the Obama
administration's proposal of cutting domestic carbon dioxide emissions
by as much as 28 percent, GDP will be reduced by $154 billion per year.
If we spend all of this money, trim our GDP by $154 billion a year,
and actually achieve this impractical 2 degrees Celsius, where will
humankind be then? How much will the sea level not rise? No one can
say. How much thicker will the icecap be in the Arctic or Antarctic? No
one knows. How many coral reefs will be preserved? No one will even
venture a guess. All of this to be done, all of this money to be spent,
and experts cannot say how much it will help, if at all.
Dr. Lomborg writes that the Paris agreements are ``likely to see
countries that have flourished with capitalism willingly compromising
their future prosperity in the name of climate change.'' Negotiators in
Paris should weigh the real-world costs against the negligible
environmental impact when discussing emissions reductions.
Finally, the Obama administration's international promises should
come back to the Senate for advice and consent of Congress. Under the
Constitution, the approval by two-thirds in the Senate is needed to
enter into a legally binding treaty. I join many of my colleagues in
urging the President to submit to Congress any agreement in Paris with
regard to U.S. emissions targets and timetables or pledges that
appropriate taxpayer dollars.
Americans should have a say in the approval process. A recent FOX
News poll showed that only 3 percent of Americans believe that climate
change is the most important issue facing our country.
In conclusion, the President's promises in Paris are not based on
scientific analysis, according to these professors, but would certainly
slow the economy, cost jobs, cost billions of dollars, divert money
from real and pressing needs, and be of limited value. With so much at
stake, these policies should come back to Congress for debate,
consultation, and approval or disapproval.
Thank you, Mr. President.
Mr. GRASSLEY addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Iowa.
Mr. WYDEN addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Oregon.
Mr. WYDEN. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that I follow
Senator Grassley after he has completed his remarks.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Is there objection?
Without objection, it is so ordered.
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