[Congressional Record Volume 157, Number 24 (Tuesday, February 15, 2011)]
[Senate]
[Pages S739-S740]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
REMEMBERING RONALD REAGAN
Mr. KYL. Mr. President, last week we were all celebrating what would
have been the 100th anniversary of Ronald Reagan. There was a piece in
the Wall Street Journal by one of the economists who advised Ronald
Reagan, Arthur Laffer, which I think recounts and discusses probably as
good as any other summary I have ever seen the contribution Reagan and
his administration made to the economy of the United States.
Therefore, I ask unanimous consent to have printed in the Record the
article from the Wall Street Journal dated February 10, 2011.
There being no objection, the material was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[From the Wall Street Journal, Feb. 10, 2011]
Reaganomics: What We Learned
(By Arthur B. Laffer)
For 16 years prior to Ronald Reagan's presidency, the U.S.
economy was in a tailspin--a result of bipartisan ignorance
that resulted in tax increases, dollar devaluations, wage and
price controls, minimum-wage hikes, misguided spending,
pandering to unions, protectionist measures and other policy
mistakes.
In the late 1970s and early '80s, 10-year bond yields and
inflation both were in the low double digits. The ``misery
index''--the sum of consumer price inflation plus the
unemployment rate--peaked at well over 20%. The real value of
the S&P 500 stock price index had declined at an average
annual rate of 6% from early 1966 to August 1982.
For anyone old enough today, memories of the Arab oil
embargo and price shocks--followed by price controls and
rationing and long lines at gas stations--are traumatic. The
U.S. share of world output was on a steady course downward.
Then Reagan entered center stage. His first tax bill was
enacted in August 1981. It included a sweeping cut in
marginal income tax rates, reducing the top rate to 50% from
70% and the lowest rate to 11% from 14%. The House vote was
238 to 195, with 48 Democrats on the winning side and only
one Republican with the losers. The Senate vote was 89 to 11,
with 37 Democrats voting aye and only one Republican voting
nay. Reaganomics had officially begun.
President Reagan was not alone in changing America's
domestic economic agenda. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul
Volcker, first appointed by Jimmy Carter, deserves enormous
credit for bringing inflation down to 3.2% in 1983 from 13.5%
in 1981 with a tight-money policy. There were other heroes of
the tax-cutting movement, such as Wisconsin Republican Rep.
Bill Steiger and Wyoming Republican Sen. Clifford Hansen, the
two main sponsors of an important capital gains tax cut in
1978.
What the Reagan Revolution did was to move America toward
lower, flatter tax rates, sound money, freer trade and less
regulation. The key to Reaganomics was to change people's
behavior with respect to working, investing and producing. To
do this, personal income tax rates not only decreased
significantly, but they were also indexed for inflation in
1985. The highest tax rate on ``unearned'' (i.e., non-wage)
income dropped to 28% from 70%. The corporate tax rate also
fell to 34% from 46%. And tax brackets were pushed out, so
that taxpayers wouldn't cross the threshold until their
incomes were far higher.
Changing tax rates changed behavior, and changed behavior
affected tax revenues. Reagan understood that lowering tax
rates led to static revenue losses. But he also understood
that lowering tax rates also increased taxable income,
whether by increasing output or by causing less use of tax
shelters and less tax cheating.
Moreover, Reagan knew from personal experience in making
movies that once he was in the highest tax bracket, he'd stop
making movies for the rest of the year. In other words, a
lower tax rate could increase revenues. And so it was with
his tax cuts. The highest 1% of income earners paid more in
taxes as a share of GDP in 1988 at lower tax rates than they
had in 1980 at higher tax rates. To Reagan, what's been
called the ``Laffer Curve'' (a concept that originated
centuries ago and which I had been using without the name in
my classes at the University of Chicago) was pure common
sense.
There was also, in Reagan's first year, his response to an
illegal strike by federal air traffic controllers. The
president fired and replaced them with military personnel
until permanent replacements could be found. Given union
power in the economy, this was a dramatic act--especially
considering the well-known fact that the air traffic
controllers union, Patco, had' backed Reagan in the 1980
presidential election.
On the regulatory front, the number of pages in the Federal
Register dropped to less than 48,000 in 1986 from over 80,000
in 1980. With no increase in the minimum wage over his full
eight years in office, the negative impact of this price
floor on employment was lessened.
And, of course, there was the decontrol of oil markets.
Price controls at gas stations were lifted in January 1981,
as were well-head price controls for domestic oil producers.
Domestic output increased and prices fell. President Carter's
excess profits tax on oil companies was repealed in 1988.
The results of the Reagan era? From December 1982 to June
1990, Reaganomics created over 21 million jobs--more jobs
than have been added since. Union membership and man-hours
lost due to strikes tumbled. The stock market went through
the roof. From July 1982 through August 2000, the S&P 500
stock price index grew at an average annual real rate of over
12%. The unfunded liabilities of the Social Security system
declined as a share of GDP, and the ``misery index'' fell to
under 10%.
Even Reagan's first Democratic successor, Bill Clinton,
followed in his footsteps. The negotiations for what would
become the North American Free Trade Agreement began in
Reagan's second term, but it was President Clinton who pushed
the agreement through Congress in 1993 over the objections of
the unions and many in his own party.
President Clinton also signed into law the biggest capital
gains tax cut in our nation's history in 1997. It effectively
eliminated any capital gains tax on owner-occupied homes. Mr.
Clinton reduced government spending as a share of GDP by 3.5
percentage points, more than the next four best presidents
combined. Where Presidents George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton
slipped up was on personal income tax rates--allowing the
highest personal income tax rate to eventually rise to 39.6%
from 28%.
[[Page S740]]
The true lesson to be learned from the Reagan presidency is
that good economics isn't Republican or Democrat, right-wing
or left-wing, liberal or conservative. It's simply good
economics. President Barack Obama should take heed and not
limit his vision while seeking a workable solution to
America's tragically high unemployment rate.
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