[Congressional Record Volume 153, Number 149 (Wednesday, October 3, 2007)]
[House]
[Pages H11228-H11229]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
ON OUR WATCH
The SPEAKER pro tempore. Under a previous order of the House, the
gentleman from Virginia (Mr. Wolf) is recognized for 5 minutes.
Mr. WOLF. Mr. Speaker, last evening I came to the House floor to talk
about one of the most critical issues facing our Nation today.
Our country's financial outlook is desperate. How do we stop the red
ink and the bleeding? How do we come together as Republicans and
Democrats and make certain that the American people don't suffer for
our out-of-control spending?
I'm talking about entitlements and other mandatory spending. How do
we change course? Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security combined with
interest on the national debt will consume all of the government's
revenue by the year 2026.
According to the GAO, balancing the budget in 2040 would require
cutting total Federal spending by 60 percent or raising taxes by 2\1/2\
times today's level. Both would devastate the economy.
The longer we wait to get serious about this reality, the harder and
more abrupt the adjustments will be for the American people.
I ask every colleague in the House, how will you feel when there
isn't enough money for medical research, for cancer research, for
Alzheimer's, for Parkinson's, or for autism? How will you feel when you
know it was today's Congress, this Congress that we all have the honor
to serve in, that passed the buck to the next generation, that avoided
the issue, and said it was just too hard?
I'm challenging every Member of this House to come together, to know
that while we served in Congress, we did everything in our power to
provide the kind of security and way of life for our children and our
grandchildren that our parents and our grandparents worked so hard to
provide us.
Congressman Jim Cooper, a Democrat from Tennessee, and I have come
together because we know what is at stake. We have a bill that we
believe is the way forward to help stop the bleeding. And, quite
frankly, I would say to my friends on both sides of the aisle the
American people desperately want to see us working together,
Republicans and Democrats, to deal with these important issues.
The bipartisan SAFE Commission will send its recommendations to
Congress. We will have an up-or-down vote
[[Page H11229]]
similar to the base closing process, which we now have in effect in the
Congress, on getting our financial house in order.
There are other ideas, too. I am inserting Robert Samuelson's op-ed
in today's Washington Post. He hits the nail on the head when he talks
about the need for bipartisan work, a bipartisan panel, to help us do
our job. ``Everything else has failed,'' he says.
I urge you to think about this issue and the real problem we face
now. Not an issue for next week or next month or the next Congress but
an issue for this Congress. An issue for now.
In the song by Simon and Garfunkel, ``The Boxer,'' it says, ``Man
hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.'' I urge us to
tell the American people not what they want to hear but what they need
to hear. And I urge us to come together and work in a bipartisan way
for our young people, for our children, for our grandchildren, and for
all Americans.
[From the Washington Post, Oct. 3, 2007]
Escaping the Budget Impasse
(By Robert J. Samuelson)
Almost everyone knows that the next president will have to
wrestle with the immense costs of retiring baby boomers.
Comes now a small band of Democrats and Republicans who want
to do the new president a giant favor. They want to force the
new administration to face the problem in early 2009. Why is
this a favor? Because dealing with this issue is so
politically unsavory that resolving it quickly would be a
godsend. Otherwise, it could haunt the White House for four
years.
Let's review the problem (again). From 2000 to 2030, the
65-and-over population will roughly double, from 35 million
to 72 million, or from about 12 percent of the population to
nearly 20 percent. Spending on Social Security, Medicare and
Medicaid--three big programs that serve the elderly--already
represents more than 40 percent of the federal budget. In
2006, these three programs cost $1.1 trillion, more than
twice defense spending. Left on automatic pilot, these
programs are plausibly projected to grow to about 75 percent
of the present budget by 2030.
Stalemate results because all the ways of dealing with
these pressures are controversial. There are only four: (a)
massive tax increases--on the order of 30 to 50 percent by
2030; (b) draconian cuts in other government programs (note
that the projected increases in Social Security and Medicare,
as a share of national income, are more than all of today's
domestic discretionary programs); (c) cuts in Social
Security, Medicare and Medicaid--higher eligibility ages or
lower benefits for wealthier retirees; or (d) undesirably
large budget deficits.
The proposed escape seems at first so drearily familiar and
demonstrably ineffective that it's hardly worth discussing: a
bipartisan commission. But what would distinguish this
commission from its many predecessors is that Congress would
have to vote on its recommendations. The political theory is
that, presented with a bipartisan package that cannot be
amended, most politicians would do what they believe
(privately) ought to be done rather than allow pressure
groups, including retirees, to paralyze the process.
There is precedent for this approach. Since 1988, Congress
has allowed more than 600 military bases and facilities to be
closed or streamlined using a similar arrangement. An
independent Base Realignment and Closure Commission evaluates
the Pentagon's proposed closings and listens to objections.
With the president's approval, it then submits its own list,
which goes into effect unless vetoed by both houses of
Congress. This process provides members of Congress
bipartisan ``cover'' and prevents amendments from weakening
the package.
Two prominent proposals would adapt this approach to the
budget. The first, offered by Sens. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and
Judd Gregg (R-N.H.), the chairman and ranking minority member
of the Budget Committee, would create a 16-member commission,
evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans. All eight
Democrats would be from Congress, as would six Republicans.
The administration would have two members, including the
secretary of the Treasury.
Conrad's notion is that the impasse is political and that
only practicing politicians--people with ``skin in the
game''--can craft a compromise that can be sold to their
peers. The commission would report in December 2008. Twelve
of its 16 members would have to support the plan, with
congressional passage needing 60 percent approval (60
senators, 261 representatives). These requirements, Conrad
and Gregg argue, would ensure bipartisan support.
The other proposal comes from Reps. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn.)
and Frank Wolf (R-Va.). It would also create a 16-member
commission, with two major differences. First, only four of
its members would be from Congress. Second, though Congress
would have to vote on the commission's proposal, there would
be some leeway for others--including the president--to
present alternatives as long as they had the same long-term
budget impact Any proposal, however, would have to be voted
on as a package without amendments.
A combination of these plans might work best. A 20-member
group would be manageable and should include four outsiders
to provide different perspectives and, possibly, to build
public support. Perhaps the head of AARP should be included.
And it would be a mistake to present the next president with
a take-it-or-leave-it package. The Cooper-Wolf plan would
allow a new administration to make changes--and get credit--
without being able to start from scratch.
This commission approach has potential pitfalls: It might
create a face-saving package that does little. But everything
else has failed. The main political beneficiary would be the
next president. It would be revealing if some of the
hopefuls--Democrats and Republicans--would show that they
grasp this by providing their endorsements. Otherwise, the
odds that Congress will even create the commission are slim.
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