[Congressional Record Volume 147, Number 110 (Wednesday, August 1, 2001)]
[Senate]
[Pages S8563-S8565]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE
Mr. COCHRAN. Madam President, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
hosted a briefing for interested Senators by Dr. Condoleezza Rice on
Monday afternoon in the Capitol during which she discussed with almost
20 Senators who were present the recent meetings she had with Russian
leaders in Moscow.
I was impressed with the steadfast resolve of the President during
his meetings with President Putin in Genoa in moving beyond the
confrontational relationship with Russia and replacing the doctrine of
mutual assured destruction with a new framework that would be
consistent with our national defense interests as they now exist rather
than as they existed in 1972.
Two years ago, Congress debated and passed the National Missile
Defense Act of 1999, which enunciated the policy of the United States
to deploy as soon as technologically possible a system to defend the
territory of the United States against limited ballistic missile
attack, whether accidental, unauthorized, or intentional. That bill was
passed with overwhelming majorities in both Houses of Congress and
signed into law on July 23, 1999.
The National Missile Defense Act became necessary because of two
unfortunate facts: The emergence of a new threat to our Nation and our
lack of capability to defend against that threat. The threat stems from
the proliferation of the technology to build long-range ballistic
missiles.
Our inability to defend against that threat is tied to the ABM Treaty
of 1972. The changes that have occurred in the world since the cold war
had not been reflected in our national policy until the enactment of
the National Missile Defense Act.
President Bush is moving ahead to fulfill both the letter and spirit
of the National Missile Defense Act. He has restructured the Missile
Defense Program from one that was carefully tailored not to conflict
with the 1972 ABM Treaty into one which will provide the best defense
possible for our Nation in the shortest period of time. He has properly
focused the Missile Defense Program on the threat we face rather than
the ABM Treaty, and he has clearly stated he intends to move beyond the
cold war ABM Treaty and into a new era in which the United States does
not base its security on pledges of mutual annihilation with a country
with which we are not at war.
The President has personally carried this message to our allies,
friends, and former adversaries, and his efforts have met with
impressive success. Not all critics have been persuaded and some never
will be, but many who were skeptical now support our efforts, and some,
such as the Premier of Italy just last week in Genoa, have
enthusiastically endorsed them.
Perhaps the most striking change has occurred in Russia. When the
previous administration proposed modifications to the ABM Treaty, the
Russian Government refused even to entertain the notion, but in the
face of the resolve demonstrated by President Bush, the Russian
Government has agreed to his suggestion to enter into talks to
establish an entirely new strategic framework to guide the relationship
between our countries. The developments of the past few months are
truly changing the international political world we have known for so
long.
At the same time, our Missile Defense Program, which for years had
been underfunded, is continuing to recover and is making substantial
technical progress. That program has faced formidable obstacles--
besides the technical challenge of reliably intercepting ballistic
missiles. It has faced the constraints of an old treaty that was
intended specifically to impede and prohibit the development and
deployment of such missile defenses.
Congress has taken the lead over the past few years in helping to get
the Missile Defense Program back on its feet by increasing the funding
available for the work on defenses against both shorter range and
longer range ballistic missiles, and those programs have demonstrated
great progress. The Patriot PAC-3 system has succeeded in 7 out of 8
intercept attempts against shorter range ballistic missiles, such as
the Scuds that caused such destruction
[[Page S8564]]
and took 28 American lives during the gulf war. After some early
testing failures attributed to quality control problems, the longer
range THAAD system finished its initial testing with consecutive
successes, and our defense against long-range ballistic missiles was
successful the very first time it was tested in October of 1999, and
that success was repeated in another intercept test just a few weeks
ago.
The Director of the Ballistic Missile Defense Program testified
recently that the ground-based missile defense system now in testing no
longer requires that anything be invented, only that it be correctly
engineered. Clearly, the advanced technology required for reliable
intercept of ballistic missiles is rapidly deteriorating.
But there is far more that we can and should be doing. Unfortunately,
despite the success that has been demonstrated, missile defense work
has been confined to the technology superficially permitted by the 1972
ABM Treaty. That agreement prohibits some of the most promising
technologies and basing modes available, including air-, space-, sea-,
and mobile land-based systems, as well as those based on new
capabilities like lasers. The ABM Treaty impedes the development and
deployment of these missile defenses. This was its central purpose when
it was crafted three decades ago as a reflection of the political
relationship between the Soviet Union and the United States known as
the cold war.
President Bush has declared his determination to leave the cold war
behind. He has backed up his declaration with concrete actions and his
leadership has generated real progress, despite the sniping of some
critics.
I believe the rapid progress of the last few months is a result of
leadership of President Bush and his determination to do what is
necessary in this modern world to defend our Nation. It is important to
consult with our allies, as he has done, and it will be helpful if we
can work out an agreement with the Russians to leave the cold war and
its trappings behind. Our moving forward to defend ourselves against
these new threats cannot depend on the assent of others. President Bush
has made it clear that he believes this, and I think his resolve is
exactly the reason we have seen attitudes change. But our determination
to defend our Nation cannot be contingent on someone else's permission.
I suppose it was predictable that the more momentum is generated, the
more wild the claims of the critics would get, and we have seen that,
too, in recent days. Those who would prefer America be vulnerable to
missile attack have taken a variety of approaches in their efforts to
ensure that remains the case. One is to say we should go slow, don't
rush the technology, don't do anything diplomatically risky. But
timidity is a good part of the reason we face such an urgent situation
now, with a real and serious threat but nothing yet in the field to
defend against it. The ones who have always said ``go slow'' are the
same critics who will say that the slowness of the program's progress
is evidence that missile defense is not yet mature. Our failure for
years to do enough to counter this problem is why we must work with
urgency today.
The critics also assert that our long-range missile defense
capability will be easily defeated by simple countermeasures. These
assertions are based on wild claims from people who would have us
believe that building a missile defense is too difficult a task for the
United States--which possesses the most sophisticated missile and
countermeasure capability in the world--but defeating a missile defense
is a simple task for those who are just now acquiring the capability
for long-range missiles. Such arguments are unpersuasive.
The critics also tell us that deployment of missile defenses will
create an arms race, even though the Russians have neither the
resources nor a reason to engage in a buildup in strategic offensive
arms. Even if they did, with whom would they race? President Bush has
announced his intention to dramatically reduce the offensive nuclear
forces of the United States, regardless of what the Russians do, and
has taken the first step toward doing so by announcing the deactivation
of our multiple warhead Peacekeeper missiles. A situation in which one
side builds up its missiles while the other reduces is certainly not an
arms race. I think the Russians understand this, too, and will
recognize the futility of spending scarce resources to counter a
missile defense system that does not threaten them.
As for China, while the previous administration was devoting itself
to--in its words--``strengthening the ABM Treaty,'' China was
modernizing and expanding its nuclear forces. So China has already
demonstrated that assessments of its own national security interests
are unlikely to be affected by what the United States does or doesn't
do with respect to missile defenses. Moreover, those who suggest we
forgo defenses so as not to ``threaten'' China are implying that China
has some sort of right to threaten us with its missiles. I reject such
a suggestion. Defenses are not provocative, no nation has a right to
threaten the United States, and the United States has no obligation to
guarantee any country's right to do so.
There are other criticisms of our missile defense efforts, most even
less convincing than those I have just mentioned, and other arguments
in its favor which I have not discussed. I'm sure other Senators will
address many of them in the course of the next few days. But the
discussion has moved far beyond where it was 2 years ago when we stood
here and debated the National Missile Defense Act. Thanks to the
actions of Congress, there is no longer any question about whether the
United States will defend its citizens against missile attack, only
about the methods we use and how fast we will field them. And thanks to
the efforts of President Bush there is no longer any question about
whether we will continue to be held hostage by an obsolete agreement
from another era. I welcome the progress that has been made on all
fronts, and I look forward to supporting the achievement of genuine
security of the United States and its citizens.
Mr. ALLARD. Madam President, I thank the Chair and my colleagues for
giving me an opportunity to speak for a few minutes this afternoon on a
point I want to make regarding missile defense and the budget and the
ABM Treaty compliance. I think this is going to be a very important
debate. It has already started in the Armed Services Committee on which
I serve.
I thought my colleague from Mississippi, Mr. Thad Cochran, this
morning made some very cogent comments. I did want to follow up with
some further comments on that particular issue.
I have heard some reluctance by a few of my colleagues to approve the
Ballistic Missile Defense Organization budget without knowing for
certain now whether the testing activities planned comply with the ABM
Treaty. They say the Senate cannot approve a budget if it is not
compliant.
As a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, it is my
understanding that compliance determinations are almost never--I
emphasize never--made well in advance of a test or other activity. It
is virtually impossible to do so because the plans often change right
up to the time of the test. I would like to highlight a few examples of
this occurring.
In integrated flight test 1, what we commonly refer to as IFT-1,
which was the first test of the exoatmospheric kill vehicle, which
occurred on January 16, 1977, compliance itself was not certified until
December 20 of 1996.
Here is another example, the Technical Critical Measurements Program,
the TCMP, flight 2A was not certified until February 14, 1997, just 8
days before that actual test occurred.
The risk reduction flight test 1, for what was then the National
Missile Defense Program, was certified just 3 days before it occurred
in 1997, and the second risk reduction flight was certified just 2 days
before it was conducted a month later.
A test for the NMD prototype radar was not certified until August 31,
1998. That was less than 3 weeks before it occurred.
The first test of the Navy theater-wide missile was certified
November 2, 1998, for a November 20 flight.
IFT-3 for the National Missile Defense system, which was the first--
and successful--intercept attempt, was certified on September 28, 1999,
just 4 days before the test.
[[Page S8565]]
IFT-4 was certified 12 days before the test took place on January 18,
2000.
The certification for IFT-5 was issued 8 days before that test last
summer, but the certification actually had to be modified on July 7,
the day before the test because of changes in the test plan.
I have a chart on my right. On this column, we talk about test
events. We talk about the day the test was performed. Then we talk
about the day that it was certified for compliance with the ABM Treaty.
As you can tell from the many times I mentioned earlier in several
examples, it was just a day before the actual test flight for compliant
certification.
My point is to expect us to have compliance during the budget
deliberations before the Senate hearing simply doesn't make any sense.
However, I will note that there are at least two exceptions to this
practice. Last year, Congress approved a budget that included military
construction funding for a radar in Alaska that Congress knew was non-
compliant with the ABM Treaty. And in January 1994, a compliance review
of the proposed THAAD program determined that it was not in compliance
with the terms of the ABM Treaty. Yet in the fall of 1994, Congress
voted to approve the BMDO budget--one that included a program that was
certified to be non-compliant.
It is also interesting to note that THAAD program testing was
approved in January of 1995 on the condition that its ability to accept
data from external sensors be substantially limited. Only in 1996 was
THAAD testing with external cuing data approved because the
determination was finally made that THAAD did not have ABM
capabilities. I believe this stands as a good illustration of two
salient facts: first, that ABM Treaty compliance is in part a matter of
both legal and political judgment; second, that the United States has
always reserved for itself the authority to judge the compliance of its
own programs.
Bearing these facts in mind, I would argue that this administration
has been very straightforward with Congress. The President, the
Secretary of Defense, and the Deputy Secretary have all told us that
the United States and Russia need to move beyond the ABM Treaty. They
have told us that the President's commitment to deploy missile defenses
and the missile defense program he has proposed are on a collision
course with the ABM Treaty. They have told us that the BMDO test
program was not designed either to violate or comply with the Treaty,
but that it was designed to proceed as efficiently as possible toward
the goal of developing effective missile defenses. They have told us
that, as a result, there will be serious issues concerning treaty
compliance that will arise in a matter of months.
My colleague from Mississippi, Senator Cochran, tried to make that
point--that we need to focus on what our needs are and shoot towards
those defensive needs.
Secretary Wolfowitz has even identified the key issues that he
expects will emerge. The Secretary, Deputy Secretary, and Lt. Gen.
Kadish have also told us that BMDO program activities have not been
fully vetted through the certification process--as is typically the
case. Consequently, the legal and political judgements to resolve those
issues have not been made yet.
I would further argue that statements by Secretary Wolfowitz, Lt.
Gen. Kadish, and others in the administration have been remarkably open
and consistent in this area. Lt. Gen. Kadish indicated in a briefing
several weeks ago his understanding that the BMDO program proposals for
fiscal year 2002 would be compliant with the ABM Treaty, with the
important caveat, that some issues needed to be clarified by the
compliance review process. Secretary Wolfowitz went into considerable
detail concerning areas in which the proposed program would ``bump
into'' treaty constraints. An administration document says that the
proposed program would be ``in conflict'' with the treaty ``in the
matter of months, not years.''
Whether someone says the program is ``awaiting clarification'' or
``that it may bump up against'' or ``come into conflict with'' the ABM
treaty, the point is that this is a serious issue that needs to be
resolved. And that was precisely the Deputy Secretary's point--that
several months ahead of time, the department would know what key
program issues would need to be resolved through the established
compliance review processes, and that they would be resolved through
these processes in regular order.
In considering how we ought to handle these issues, we need to bear
in mind that there is a wide range of opinion concerning the value of
the ABM Treaty. Some believe that the ABM Treaty is the foundation
stone on which U.S. security is built. Others argue that the ABM Treaty
is gone and has simply outlived its usefulness and some agree with the
administration that the Nation needs to move on to a new strategic
framework to guide our relations with Russia.
Given this range of opinion, and the administration's view that the
treaty's value has been overtaken by events, the use of well-
established processes and procedures to judge the treaty compliance of
BMDO program activities hardly seems radical or unusual. Indeed, it
seems a modest and conservative approach.
Secretary Wolfowitz outlined for us several possible outcomes of
these deliberations within the compliance review process. The nation
may have moved beyond the ABM Treaty to a new strategic framework with
Russia and the program will not be constrained by the treaty. The
program activities in question might be deemed to be compliant with the
treaty. Or on the other hand, the program activities might be deemed to
be inconsistent with the treaty.
In the absence of an alternative framework, according to the
Secretary, the Nation will be faced with an unpalatable choice--either
we must alter the test program so that it is compliant with the treaty
but is less efficient and more costly, or we must face the prospect of
exercising our rights under article XV that allows the nation to
withdraw from the treaty. Please note--and this cannot be stressed too
much--in all of these cases, the United States will remain in
compliance with our obligations under domestic and international law.
Thus, the suggestion that Senators should not agree to the BMDO
budget because we don't have perfect visibility into the ABM Treaty
compliance of Ballistic Missile Defense program activities strikes me
as, at best, odd. It is inconsistent with past practice. It is
inconsistent with established processes and procedures used throughout
the Clinton administration and which the Bush administration intends to
continue. And it is inconsistent with the simple fact that the United
State will remain in compliance with our obligations under domestic and
international law regardless of the conclusions of the established
legal and political authorities regarding specific BMD test activities.
It does strike me as a path that indicates a desire for confrontation
with the administration, not cooperation, and one that expresses
philosophical opposition to missile defense rather than practical
programmatic concerns. For the Congress to take the position that
absolute adherence to the ABM Treaty is a prerequisite for approval of
a BMDO budget would, in one stroke, undermine both tracks of the
President's policy: to proceed with expedited development of missile
defenses and to engage Russia in a constructive dialogue.
I urge all my colleagues to proceed in this matter in a calm,
reasoned, and non-partisan manner that does not undermine the President
or the flexibility to proceed in his discussions with Russia as he sees
fit.
I thank the Chair. I yield the floor.
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