[Congressional Record Volume 147, Number 89 (Monday, June 25, 2001)]
[Senate]
[Pages S6844-S6845]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
NATIONAL MISSILE DEFENSE
Mr. BYRD. Mr. President, the President has recently concluded his
trip to Europe, where he attempted to convince European leaders of the
need for the United States to deploy a national missile defense system.
It seems that our friends in Europe still have the same reservations
about this apparent rush to a missile shield, and I can understand why.
While I support the deployment of an effective missile defense system,
there are a number of reasons why I believe it is not as easy to build
such a system as it is to declare the intent to build it.
One cannot underestimate the scientific challenge of deploying an
effective national missile defense system. The last two anti-missile
tests, performed in January and July of 2000, were failures. In
response to these failures, the Department of Defense did the right
thing. The Department of Defense took a time-out to assess what went
wrong, and to explore how it can be fixed. The next test, scheduled for
July of this year of our Lord 2001, will be a crucial milestone for the
national missile defense program. All eyes will be watching to see if
the technological and engineering problems can be addressed, or if we
have to go back to the drawing board once more.
It must also be recognized that no matter how robust missile defense
technology might become, it will always--now and forever--be of limited
use. I fear that in the minds of some, a national missile defense
system is the sine qua non of a safe and secure United States. But the
most sophisticated radars or space-based sensors will never be able to
detect the sabotage of our drinking water supplies by the use of a few
vials--just a few vials--of a biological weapon, and no amount of anti-
missile missiles will prevent the use of a nuclear bomb neatly packaged
in a suitcase and carried to one of our major cities. We should not let
the flashy idea of missile defense distract us from other, and perhaps
more serious, threats to our national security.
If deployment of a missile defense system were to be expedited, there
is the question of how effective it could possibly be. Military
officers involved in the project have called a 2004 deployment date
``high risk.'' That means that if we were to station a handful of
interceptors in Alaska in 2004, there is no guarantee--none, no
guarantee that they would provide any useful defense at all. Secretary
of Defense Donald Rumsfeld has downplayed this problem, saying that an
early system does not have to be 100 percent effective. I believe that
if we are going to pursue a robust missile shield, that is what we
should pursue. I do not support the deployment of a multi-billion
dollar scarecrow that will not be an effective defense if a missile is
actually launched at the United States.
The New York Times has printed an article that drives this point
home. The newspaper reports on a study by the Pentagon's Office of
Operational Test and Evaluation that details some of the problems that
a National Missile Defense system must overcome before it can be
considered effective. According to the New York Times, the authors of
this internal Department of Defense report believe that the missile
defense program has ``suffered too many failures to justify deploying
the system in 2005, a year after the Bush administration is considering
deploying one.''
The article goes on to state that system now being tested has
benefitted from unrealistic tests, and that the computer system could
attempt to shoot down inbound missiles that don't even exist. If the
Department of Defense's own scientists and engineers don't trust the
system that could be deployed in the next few years, this system might
not even be a very good scarecrow. Let the scientists and engineers
find the most effective system possible, and then go forward with its
deployment.
Let us also consider our international obligations under the Anti-
Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty of 1972. The President has begun
discussions with Russia, China, our European allies, and others on
revising the ABM Treaty, but so far the responses have been mixed. I
suggest that it is because our message is mixed. On one hand, there is
the stated intent to consult with our allies before doing away with the
ABM Treaty. On the other, the Administration has made clear its
position that a missile defense system will be deployed as soon as
possible.
It is no wonder that Russia and our European allies are confused as
to whether we are consulting with them on the future of the ABM Treaty,
or we are simply informing them as to what the future of the ABM Treaty
will be. We must listen to our allies, and take their comments
seriously. The end result of the discussions with Russia, China, and
our European allies should be an understanding of how to preserve our
national security, not a scheme to gain acceptance from those countries
of our plan to rush forward with the deployment of an anti-missile
system at the earliest possible date.
What's more, Secretary of State Colin Powell said this past weekend
that the President may unilaterally abandon the ABM Treaty as soon as
it conflicts with our testing activities. According to the recently
released Pentagon report on missile defense, however, the currently
scheduled tests on anti-missile systems will not conflict with the ABM
Treaty in 2002, and there is no conflict anticipated in 2003. Why,
therefore, is there a rush to amend or do away with the ABM Treaty? Who
is to say that there will not be additional test failures in the next
two and a half years that will further push back the test schedule, as
well as potential conflicts with the ABM Treaty?
There is also the issue of the high cost of building a national
missile defense system. This year, the United States will spend $4.3
billion on all the various programs related to missile defense. From
1962 to today, the Brookings Institution estimated that we have spent
$99 billion, and I do not believe that for all that money, our national
security has been increased one bit.
The Congressional Budget Office in an April 2000 report concluded
that the most limited national missile defense system would cost $30
billion. This system could only hope to defend against a small number
of unsophisticated missiles, such as a single missile launched from a
rogue nation. If we hope to defend against the accidental launch of
numerous, highly sophisticated missiles of the type that are now in
Russia's arsenal, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that the
cost will almost double, to $60 billion.
We have seen how these estimates work. They have only one way to go.
That is always up.
However, that number may even be too low. This is what the
Congressional Budget Office had to say in March 2001: ``Those estimates
from April 2000 may now be too low, however. A combination of delays in
testing and efforts by the Clinton administration to reduce the
program's technical risk (including a more challenging testing program)
may have increased the funding requirements well beyond the levels
included in this option [for national missile defense systems].'' Is it
any wonder that some critics believe that a workable national missile
defense system will cost more than $120 billion?
Tell me. How does the Administration expect to finance this missile
defense system? The $1.35 trillion tax cut that the President signed
into law last month is projected to consume 72 percent of the non-
Social Security, non-Medicare surpluses over the next five years. In
fact, under the budget resolution that was passed earlier this year,
the Senate Budget Committee shows that the Federal Government is
already projected to dip into the Medicare trust fund in fiscal years
2003 and 2004. The missile defense system envisioned by the
Administration would likely have us dipping into the Social Security
trust funds as well--further jeopardizing the long-term solvency of
both Federal retirement programs. This is no way to provide for our
nation's defense.
I must admit that I am also leery about committing additional vast
sums to the Pentagon. I was the last man out of Vietnam--the last one.
I mean to tell you, I supported President Johnson. I supported
President Nixon to the hilt.
I have spoken before about the serious management problems in the
Department of Defense. I am a strong supporter of the Department of
Defense. When it came to Vietnam, I was a hawk--not just a Byrd but a
hawk. I
[[Page S6845]]
am not a Johnny-come-lately when it comes to our national defense.
As Chairman of the Appropriations Committee, I find it profoundly
disturbing that the Department of Defense cannot account for the money
that it spends, and does not know with any certainty what is in its
inventory. These problems have been exposed in detail by the
Department's own Inspector General, as well as the General Accounting
Office. Ten years after Congress passed the Chief Financial Officers
Act of 1990, the Department of Defense has still not been able to pass
an audit of its books. The Pentagon's books are in such disarray that
outside experts cannot even begin an audit, much less reach a
conclusion on one!
Although it does not directly relate to this issue of national
missile defense, I was shocked by a report issued by the General
Accounting Office last week on the Department of Defense's use of
emergency funds intended to buy spare parts in 1999. Out of $1.1
billion appropriated in the Emergency Supplemental Appropriations Act
for Fiscal Year 1999 to buy urgently needed spare parts, the GAO
reported that the Pentagon could not provide the financial information
to show that 92 percent of those funds were used as intended. This is
incredible. This Senate passed that legislation to provide that money
for spare parts. That is what they said they needed it for. That is
what we appropriated it for. Congress gave the Department of Defense
over a billion dollars to buy spare parts, which we were told were
urgently needed, and we cannot even see the receipt!
If the Department of Defense cannot track $1 billion that it spent on
an urgent need, I don't know how it could spend tens of billions of
dollars on a missile defense system with any confidence that it is
being spent wisely.
As a member of the Armed Services Committee and the Administrative
Co-Chairman of the National Security Working Group, along with my
colleague, Senator Cochran, who was the author of the National Missile
Defense Act of 1999, I understand that ballistic missiles are a threat
to the United States. I voted for the National Missile Defense Act of
1999, which stated that it is the policy of the United States to deploy
a national missile defense system as soon as it is technologically
possible. Now, I still support that act. But I also understand that an
effective national missile defense system cannot be established through
intent alone. Someone has said that the road to Sheol is paved with
good intentions. Good intentions are not enough. I think there might be
a way toward an effective missile defense system, and it is based on
common sense. Engage our friends, and listen to our critics. Learn from
the past, and invest wisely. Test carefully, and assess constantly. But
most of all, avoid haste. We cannot afford to embark on a folly that
could, if improperly managed, damage our national security, while
costing billions of dollars.
Mr. President, I yield the floor. I suggest the absence of a quorum.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Will the Senator from West Virginia withhold
his request for a quorum?
Mr. BYRD. I withhold my suggestion.
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