[Congressional Record Volume 147, Number 26 (Thursday, March 1, 2001)]
[Senate]
[Pages S1735-S1736]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
THE PRESIDENT'S BUDGET AND TAX REDUCTION PROPOSAL
Mr. BOND. Mr. President, one of the very lucky things we have around
here is the opportunity to listen to some very intelligent people
giving us their ideas on a lot of important subjects. Recently, I have
had the pleasure of listening to Chairman Alan Greenspan, who spoke
before the Budget Committee a couple weeks ago. Yesterday, we had our
budget director, David Walker, speaking to the Centrist Coalition and
also had an opportunity to listen to Larry Lindsey, the President's
economic adviser, who used to serve on the Federal Reserve. I have
learned a good number of things from them that I think are very
important for the discussions we have about the budget and how we deal
with the tax surplus that is confronting our country. As previous
speakers have said, we are no longer in a cold-war world; we are no
longer trying to get out of the budget deficit problem.
I think a couple things need to be clarified about some remarks I
heard earlier. No. 1, it was not the tax increase of 1993 that got us
out of the budget deficit situation. I served on the Budget Committee
during those, what I would say were very frustrating years--1993, 1994,
1995. We went back and checked. Do you know something very interesting?
In spite of the fact that President Clinton and the then-majority
Democrats passed the largest tax increase in history, it did not do
anything to lessen the deficits.
We went back and checked because the President's budget proposal, I
think for four straight budgets, proposed deficits of $200 billion a
year, roughly, as far as the eye could see.
There was no decrease in the deficit because they proposed to spend
the money. We raised taxes to deal with the deficit, but then they
raised spending to cover up the tax increases.
So it was not until we got into those battles in 1995--and those were
difficult battles; I don't want to relive those days--but those were
important battles because we finally made the point--with a Republican
Congress and a Democratic President--that we had to start getting
spending under control to get out of this deficit spiral that was
driving us further and further into debt. And we did it.
And we did something else, again, without the support of the
President initially, and with some, but not a lot of, support from the
other side of the aisle. We cut the capital gains tax rate. At the
time, CBO and others were saying: Oh, the capital gains cut is going to
cost revenue to the Federal Government.
Some of us believe that when you cut taxes, particularly on an
optional activity, such as selling property--which triggers capital
gains--you can actually get more sales of property; that we could
unlock some of the locked-in gains. We did, and capital gains revenues
went up significantly.
But lo and behold, something else very important happened. As we took
away the disincentive to roll over old investments and put them into
new investments, we started investing them in something new called
information technology, which enabled us to develop much more
productive ways of doing things. Lo and behold, the productivity of
this economy grew. When the productivity grows, that means we can get
more goods and more services--a better quality--without paying more,
and we can pay better wages.
We also had welfare reform, which took significant portions of the
people off welfare and put them to work. Again, I am proud that the
Republican Congress was able to pass a bill three times--two vetoes--
and then it was finally signed, and we got more people working.
So we were really generating things with our economy. We had good
jobs, and productivity was up. Our lucky streak ran out, probably back
in September, as the indicators turned down. We are seeing signs that
are not encouraging, that the business cycle may be going into a
downturn. But we believe that for the long term, this country is going
to continue to grow. The budget projections of the CBO, and the blue
chip indicators, suggest that even if we do have these budget
downturns, we still are probably going to have about a $5.6 trillion
tax surplus over the next 10 years. It might be lower; it might be
higher.
Most likely, if we can continue to invest in productivity--the rate
of productivity growth we have had in recent years--it will be higher.
So the question becomes, What do we do with that $5.7 trillion tax
surplus? David Walker says we ought to pay down all the debt as quickly
as we can.
Chairman Greenspan used to say that, but now he has said: Wait a
[[Page S1736]]
minute, you can only pay down so much of the debt because a lot of it
is in bonds and other long-term instruments that people are not going
to want to sell because a lot of us have given savings bonds, and other
things, to our kids or people who have made long-term commitments to
saving. So we cannot get them all back.
So Alan Greenspan, when he testified before the Budget Committee,
said it is time that we start reducing taxes. We need to continue to
pay down the debt in a steady, consistent, prompt manner, but do not
try to get rid of all of it, and start now with some tax relief.
So the President has come up with a proposal for that $5.6 trillion:
To use $2.9 trillion of it for Social Security and Medicare; to use
$1.6 trillion to reduce the tax burden of those who are paying taxes;
and set aside another $1 trillion for needed investments--actually,
expenditures that may come along, and that is after we have the
ordinary inflationary growth. So that is even after Government grows
by, say, 4 percent in discretionary spending.
The one thing that everybody agrees we should not do with that
surplus is lock it in totally to more mandatory spending, entitlements,
because that is what, according to David Walker, is going to break this
country 20, 30, 40 years down the road, if we do not do something about
it. We cannot continue to lock in automatic spending because you never
can get out of it; it is too difficult.
So the President said he wants to give a $1.6 trillion tax reduction.
Our Democratic friends say: We want only $900 billion in tax reduction.
The President said: We are going to increase spending some. But
apparently--my guess is--my colleagues on the other side of the aisle
would want to spend the $700 billion difference between what they want
as a tax reduction and what we want as a tax reduction.
Frankly, I think that is a bad way to go because our economy is
suffering right now under the highest income tax rates we have ever had
in peacetime. Mr. President, 21.6 percent is what we pay in taxes now.
The only time it was higher was in 1944, at the height of World War II.
That tax rate is too high. It threatens to choke off the money flowing
into productivity, to businesses, to families, to make their own
decisions, to make their own investments. So I believe $1.6 trillion is
a reasonable figure. A portion of that must go to reduce marginal
income tax rates.
Just a few years ago, the top marginal rate was 28 percent. A lot of
people, if you poll them, will say: Yes, the Federal Government could
take 28 to 30 percent of a rich person's income, take it in taxes.
The President is only lowering the top rate to 33 percent, but he is
giving across-the-board tax relief to all Americans paying income tax.
Six million people, the lowest income people paying income tax, could
be dropped off the rolls. For a family of four making $35,000 a year
now paying income tax, they would pay none. For a family of four making
$50,000 a year, their income tax burden would be cut in half.
A question has been raised in this Chamber about progressivity. Are
you continuing to tax the wealthy more? The answer to that is yes. You
drop 6 million people off at the bottom; then you have the wealthy.
Anybody who makes over $100,000 a year--we could say that is relatively
high income--right now those people making over $100,000 a year pay
61.9 percent of the total income taxes collected. After the Bush plan
is fully implemented, they would pay 64.1 percent. They would be paying
a larger share, more than 2 percent more of the taxes. If we want
progressivity, President Bush's plan is important.
Why is it important? Because only with that tax reduction can we make
available the continuing investment in productivity that keeps the
economy growing. Individuals, small businesses are making investments
in other companies and in their own companies. There are some 20.7
million small businesses in America taxed at personal rates. They are
proprietorships, personal operations--a farm, a small store, a computer
consultant--or they are partnerships or sub S corporations. That means
the individual tax rate affects the business.
A few years ago, after the 1985-86 tax cut, they only had to pay 28
percent as a top rate on their income. They used that money to invest
in new equipment, in new employees, to expand their business. Now some
of them at some rates pay as much as 44 percent as a top rate in their
business. That is a significant cut in the amount of money that is
available to invest in business and expand productivity.
I asked Alan Greenspan: Why is it that marginal tax rate cuts are the
best thing we can do for the economy?
He said: For the long-term, the best thing you can do for the economy
is to reduce marginal rates because reducing marginal rates puts more
money into the investments we need--into technology, equipment that
improves productivity, provides better wages and better economic
opportunity and more jobs.
That is basically the reason why the Bush tax plan makes a great deal
of sense.
There are a lot of other ideas around here. I am sure we will have an
opportunity to work on them. For the long term, if we want to keep our
economy growing--and I think we certainly do--we need a balanced
approach that does as the President said: No. 1, reduces the debt as
far as it can; provides tax reductions that will be put into productive
investment; and puts money into high priority items, items such as
education, items where we can see a real need.
We also need to reform Medicare, including prescription drug options
for seniors in assisting low-income seniors. We ought to get about
working to reform Social Security as well. As we do those things,
leaving money in the private sector is the best way to make sure our
country can progress.
There are those on the other side who say we are giving tax money
back to the wealthy to purchase a Lexus. Frankly, we make a lot of cars
in Missouri; we don't make the Lexus. If they have earned the money,
the question is, How much of that do you tax away? If they buy a Ford
or a Chevy or a Dodge minivan, they are putting a Missourian to work.
That is not all bad. We could have that if we adopt a sound economic
plan, a sound budget, and a responsible tax reform proposal. I believe
the President's proposal is sound.
We have heard statements made, a lot of statements, that the top 1
percent of the income earners only pay 20 percent or 21 percent of the
income tax. That is not true. They pay 34 percent of the income tax.
They would wind up paying more under the Bush plan. It does keep
progressivity as well as providing relief up and down the line.
I hope the American people will take the time to find out the truth
about the economics of the budget and this tax relief plan. I believe
if they do, they will find that this is a plan that makes sense. It is
balanced. It meets the priority needs of the American people, and it is
the best recipe we have to see continued economic growth, good jobs,
increasing productivity, and a better way of life for all Americans.
I yield the floor and suggest the absence of a quorum.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Smith of Oregon). The clerk will call the
roll.
The legislative clerk proceeded to call the roll.
Mr. REID. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent the order for the
quorum call be dispensed with.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Without objection, it is so ordered.
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