[Congressional Record Volume 146, Number 114 (Friday, September 22, 2000)]
[Senate]
[Pages S9020-S9023]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
ENERGY PRICES
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, as we look ahead, aside from the wrench in
the crankcase here in Congress that prevents any kind of movement to
get things done, one of the significant challenges for us both now and
in the months ahead is this issue of energy. What is happening to
energy prices? What is happening to the supply of energy? I want to
talk for a minute about where we are.
Go back a year, or maybe a year and a half, and the price of oil was
$10 a barrel. In fact, in North Dakota it was $6 to $7 a barrel. The
price of gasoline at the gas pumps was about 90 cents a gallon. The
price of natural gas was about $2 per million cubic feet.
Now, fast forward: What has happened is the OPEC countries have cut
their production of oil. We have seen a circumstance in this country
where the price of oil has spiked up on the spot market to $36 and $37
a barrel. Gasoline is anywhere from $1.50 to $2 a gallon. Natural gas
prices have more than doubled from $2 per mcf, and in some cases $5 to
$5.50.
We have people frightened to death with the reports that home heating
fuel costs are spiking way up. Those in my State and others--
particularly in the Northeast as they enter what could be a cold
winter--are trying to figure out how they, on limited incomes, will pay
for home heating fuel that is going to double, and in some cases triple
in price. These are significant and serious issues. The question is,
What do we do about it? What is causing all of this? And what can we do
about it? We start out by understanding that it is complicated. It is
not simple.
One of the first and most important aspects of understanding this is
our country is far too dependent on foreign sources of energy. We are
far too dependent especially on the OPEC countries for our oil. When we
have to send people from our country to the OPEC countries to beg them
to open the faucets and produce more, it has a significant impact on
our economy and our future and our economic growth. We ought to
understand that this makes us far to vulnerable. We need in the long
term to move away from that vulnerability.
Second, with respect to consumers, they ask the question: Not only is
OPEC cutting back, but why? The answer to that is, yes; OPEC is cutting
back. Why? Because it is in their interest and they can do so. But they
are also asking: Is somebody profiteering at the gas pumps? They see
merger after merger in the energy industry. They see that British
Petroleum and Amoco get married. They see Exxon and Mobil decide they
are going to get hitched.
All of these big companies gather together, and then at a time when
we have an energy crisis, we have a circumstance where the largest 14
oil companies show profits of over $10 billion in one quarter--up 112
percent--and those who drive to the gas pumps, those who are buying
home heating fuel, and those who are paying for natural gas prices are
asking the question: Is somebody profiteering at my expense?
As I say, this is a complex issue. But all of these questions need to
be answered. The Federal Trade Commission has a current investigation
going on. I hope they can wrap that up soon and tell the American
people what is happening with respect to prices.
The issue of supply and demand in energy is something I want to talk
about just for a moment. There has been a lot of discussion in the last
few weeks on this issue of energy. We have some people saying in the
last 6 to 8 years we have seen a decrease in production. That is
causing our problem. We have been talking about energy supplies. Let's
talk about the production of oil. Let's take a look at this line of
production and what you see going back to about the late 1960s or
1970s. There has been a continual and diminished production.
That has happened under Republican administrations and Democratic
administrations. That has happened under a series of administrations
over many years. You see the line on the chart. There is no change in
it at all. There is a systematic reduction in the production of energy.
With respect to the consumption of energy, we also see what has
happened. In the 1970s, we had this energy scare for a number of
reasons. We had a very brief reduction. We had a significant
conservation movement in this country to conserve energy. We had some
brief reductions. But the fact is, we have begun to trend upward once
again in a significant way. You will see that imports are continuing
now to increase once again, which makes us much more dependent on
foreign source energy.
This is important to everybody. I am a Senator who represents the
State of North Dakota. It is important to us. When the price of gas at
the pump spikes way up, or the price of diesel fuel begins to spike way
up, this is what it means to a State such as North Dakota. We have
farmers who are heavy users of fuel in order to put the crop in and to
get the crop off the field. Higher prices for fuel means real trouble
especially at a time when we have collapsed grain prices. It means
people living in North Dakota, or other State such as ours, who drive a
lot just to get places, that we pay a much heavier burden than others
do. Do you know that North Dakotans drive almost twice as much per
person as New Yorkers just to get to a grocery store? Why? Because we
are a very large State with a sparse population and you have to drive
long distances to get to places.
I have a friend in New York. They have relatives in New Jersey 50
miles away. I am told they pack an emergency kit in the trunk, put
blankets in the car, and plan for 6 months to take a little trip to see
their relatives 50 miles away. I don't know if that is true. But on the
east coast, you don't travel as much. Populations are near. In North
Dakota and Montana and States like those, we have to travel a lot.
Therefore, we pay twice as much
[[Page S9021]]
for our energy and for our transportation needs.
There is a significant interest in what is happening. The consumption
is going up. Our production has for 25 years been trending down, and
imports are moving up.
Here is the consumption by sector on the chart: Transportation,
industrial, residential, and commercial. What we see is a significant
trend up in transportation.
It is interesting as we talk about all of these issues, one of the
things happening in the Congress is a consistent resistance in Congress
to ask anybody to work on vehicles that are more efficient. We have had
these issues called CAFE standards, and I know it is very
controversial. Does anybody think it is prudent for this country to
resist trying to get more efficient automobiles? It makes sense to
begin to continue to apply pressure to say we need more efficiency in
our vehicles. We can see what is happening in transportation
consumption of energy. Yet this Congress continues to demand we not try
to establish some new goals with respect to fuel efficiency.
I have not been the biggest cheerleader on these issues because we
drive a lot of pickup trucks. We have to make accommodations for that
in sparsely populated areas, but we ought to expect the auto industry
and others to join in trying to move in a relentless way toward more
efficient vehicles and toward trying to provide some balance in this
top line. More efficiency will result in less consumption on the
transportation side. That is one way to deal with this.
We need to respond to this issue, to respond on two sides of this
coin; one is production, and one is consumption. I will describe both
quickly, especially in the context of the discussion of the last couple
of days.
Vice President Gore says we ought to consider taking some oil out of
the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. They call that the SPR. We have over
500 million barrels of oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, and Vice
President Gore says we should take some out to provide stability in oil
prices. Frankly, I have not been the biggest fan of moving to SPR
anytime quickly. We have had this discussion before--8 or 9 months ago.
There is a circumstance today with the intransigence of the OPEC
countries in being unwilling to increase production sufficient to
provide some short-term balance in energy supply. We could, it seems to
me, take half a million barrels a day out of SPR for 6 months, 9
months, 120 days, without dramatically diminishing the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve, and at the same time contribute stability to
international supply in a way that brings prices down and provides
people the ability to see over this hump.
When we get over the heaviest use of supply in this fourth quarter
and get into the next year, we will see more production because $35 and
$36 a barrel has moved all kinds of rigs into areas where we have not
had production before. A year and a half ago, we had zero production
rigs drilling for oil in North Dakota; today, we have 20. I am told if
there were enough workers, we would probably have 30 rigs in North
Dakota. That is just a small amount compared to what is happening all
over the world relative to today's oil prices.
My point is, what will provide some stability in the next 2, 3, 4
months? We have an economy that is a blessing. This has been the
longest sustained economic growth in this country's history. It doesn't
take much to tip an economy. We saw that in the early 1990s with some
energy price spikes. Now it seems to me we ought to engineer a serious
public discussion about the value of using, in a very cautious and
conservative way, a portion of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve--only a
very small portion--to come in and provide a cushion for the daily
needs, as of yet unmet, that will provide some stability in energy
prices. This will then provide, in my judgment, the opportunity to not
have to worry quite so much about having these price spikes in energy,
tipping this economy out of balance and moving toward a slowdown and a
recession.
Vice President Gore talks about SPR. I say again, I have not been a
big cheerleader for saying let's run into tapping the Strategic
Petroleum Reserve. Normally, the use of the SPR is for national
security interest reasons. We have barrels of oil put away for
emergencies. Given the production that exists in OPEC, the amount we
are short on a daily basis, and the production we expect to come in
around the corner sometime beginning January of next year because of
the new rigs, it seems to me we can provide some filler with a small
amount of inventory from the SPR in a way that provides stability to
this market. In providing stability to the market, we will provide some
insurance for this economy. I think that would be very important.
We must, however, understand this is a wake-up call for our country.
We cannot allow this moment to pass without understanding we are far
too dependent on foreign sources of energy. We need more production at
home, we need more conservation at home, and less dependence on foreign
energy.
In production in this country, I have favored some ability to use
royalties as well as the Tax Code to provide some stabilization of
prices with respect to production. Ten dollars a barrel for oil was too
low; we all understood that. When oil went to $10 a barrel, nobody was
drilling anymore; $10 a barrel was too low. We need some price
stability for that industry; I understand that.
Even as we work on price stability and to encourage greater
production in this country, we also need to understand the issue of
conservation is a critically important issue, because in this
consumption line we have to understand part of our balance is a
production line that we need to get up, and the other part of our
balance is a consumption line that we need to trend down, if we can.
We face serious challenges. This is the moment for our country to
stop and think a bit about how we get over this short-term problem. I
think we ought to have a good discussion about the short-term use of
SPR in a very cautious and conservative way to stabilize these markets.
This ought to spark a good discussion about conservation and greater
fuel efficiencies in our vehicles. It ought to spark a significant
discussion about conservation.
Even as we do that in the short run, we need to understand in the
long run, we can't sustain an industrialized economy--the strongest,
biggest economy in the world--the economy with the longest sustained
economic growth in the world, we cannot sustain that with the vagaries
of production decisions made by oil sheiks in other countries. We are
too vulnerable to allow that to happen.
I make an additional point on a related issue. A part of the problem
of these increasing oil imports--but only a part and really not even
the largest part--is what it is doing to our trade deficits. When I
talk about challenges we face, aside from the fact that this process
around here is broken, and we are not passing appropriations bills when
we should, and we are in a state of confusion on how to get this 106th
Congress adjourned, there are two larger challenges about which we need
to be very concerned.
One I just mentioned, and that is the oil issue, the energy issue,
and what has happened to energy prices, what might happen to our
economy as a result of what is happening in energy prices. The second
is our trade deficit. It relates to the energy issue, as well. This is
the second challenge to our economic opportunities in the future. Our
trade deficit is spiking up, up, up, way up. Importing more oil,
obviously, is causing part of this, but it is just part. Our trade
deficit is a very serious, abiding, long-term problem.
We are now headed toward a yearly merchandise trade deficit that is
going to be around $430 billion in the year 2000. In July, the overall
trade deficit in goods and services was $31.9 billion. The merchandise
deficit was $38.7 billion. That is unsustainable. A $7.5 billion
monthly trade deficit with Japan, a $7.6 billion trade deficit with
China, a $6.3 billion trade deficit with the European Union, $4.7
billion with Canada, $2.2 billion with Mexico--we can't sustain that.
That cannot continue. The merchandise deficit with Japan for the first
half of 2000 was nearly $40 billion; with China, $36 billion; Europe,
$26 billion; Canada, $23 billion.
Not many people seem to care much about this. Nobody talks much about
it. But this is a deficit that must be repaid. It regrettably will be
repaid in the future with a lower standard of living in this country,
and the higher the
[[Page S9022]]
deficit, the more difficulty we will have to respond to this
obligation.
This results from a wide range of things. It results from China,
Japan, Europe, Canada, Mexico--which have the largest bilateral trade
deficits--deciding they should sell more to us than they are willing to
buy from us. This cannot continue.
Even Alan Greenspan, with whom I have had substantial disagreements
for a long period of time, says something has to give; this trade
deficit is unsustainable.
I was intending to speak at greater length about our trade deficit,
but I will save that for a later time. Suffice it to say that if this
trade deficit continues to spike up, we could very well see it
undermine confidence in the U.S. dollar and we could see the dollar
begin falling on international currency markets. That could cause all
kinds of problems for our country's economy.
There are two challenges we must meet--dealing with an energy policy
both short term and long term that makes sense, and the challenge of
dealing with a trade policy that begins to straighten out this trade
mess.
I know other colleagues have things they want to talk about. I will
come back later to talk about the specific trade issues we have with
China and Japan and Canada and Europe. But it is my hope to end where I
began today. It is my hope, in the next 2 weeks or so when the 106th
Congress is expected to adjourn, that we can decide to bring the issues
I have discussed to the floor for a vote. If someone believes we should
keep using food as a weapon, good for them. They are dead wrong, but
they have a right to think that. Everybody has a right to be wrong.
The point is, if 75 percent of the Senate and 75 percent of the House
believes we ought to stop using food as a weapon and stop holding our
farmers hostage by preventing them from shipping food to other
countries, and stop hurting poor and sick and hungry people in Cuba and
Iran and Libya and other places, if you believe that, then let us have
a conference and cast a vote to stop it, as the Senate has done with
over 70 percent of its Members. But those who bottle this up and try to
hijack it by saying, ``We are not going to allow you to vote on this,''
that is not the way the system is supposed to work. If they try to do
that in a dozen or so areas--where we have already passed legislation
but they are trying not to have a conference and are trying to hijack
the process--this place is going to slow way down in a big hurry.
Let me ask for cooperation on the part of the majority leader, the
majority party, and my colleagues on my side and let's get this done.
Let's do it right.
Another thing, we can't end this session without dealing with the
issue of the minimum wage for the people at the lowest rung of the
ladder in this country. We have an obligation to do that. That has been
kicking around like a Ping-Pong ball for months.
We can't end this session without passing a Patients' Bill of Rights.
Of course we ought to do that. That just makes sense. There are the
votes to do that, in my judgment. It passed the House. We have the
votes in the Senate. If we get it back up, we will win it by one vote.
There are a series of important things we should do, we ought to do--
things the American people should expect us to do--and we only have a
couple of weeks. I say to the people who run this place: Let's go back
to regular order. If you don't like a provision, fine, try to kill it.
But at least give us a vote on it. We will see, how the American public
feels about it, how our colleagues feel about it. The way they are
killing things these days is by putting them in a closet someplace and
hoping nobody will see. It is happening to the issue of reimportation
of prescription drugs, to the issue of food as a weapon in
international sanctions. Frankly, that is the wrong way to legislate.
If you have the votes, beat us. If you do not have the votes, give us
the chance to win on the floor of the Senate and House as well on these
important issues.
Mr. REID. Will the Senator yield?
Mr. DORGAN. I am happy to yield.
Mr. REID. I say to my friend from North Dakota, it is too bad there
are not more discussions about trade. I say my colleague has tried,
more than any other Member of the Senate. If we take a look at what is
happening with these tremendous trade deficits--we are all kind of fat
and sassy around here these days. Because the economy is so good, it
buries these trade deficits. But if the economy begins to lag a little
bit--and it will someday--we are going to feel these trade deficits
more than you can imagine--not more that you can imagine but more than
most people can imagine.
So I compliment you for trying so hard to keep the fact that we need
to be concerned about our trade deficit in the forefront of what we are
doing. We cannot have this imbalance of trade going on forever and
remain the strong, powerful country that we are. If the trade deficit
continues and it keeps getting larger and larger, as the Senator's
pictures have shown--I am trying to figure out a way to say ``a picture
is worth a thousand words,'' and it really is. What you have shown here
tugs at my heartstrings because it really is an issue we need to be
addressing, and we are not.
Basically, I want to say to the Senator from North Dakota how much I
appreciate his doing everything within his power, not only today but
over the past 5 years, to bring this to the forefront so we start
talking about these issues.
I have to say we failed. We have not followed your lead. We have not
discussed, in any depth at all, the trade deficit.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, the Senator from Nevada is very generous.
I must say the two things I came to talk about today are the energy
problems that we have that are abiding and serious and that have a huge
impact, not only on the State of North Dakota and the citizens I
represent, but an impact on all Americans. And also the trade deficit,
which has a similar impact on an agricultural State such as the State I
represent. These are big issues, big challenges. Unfortunately, they
are going unresolved.
There is the old story about a Cherokee Indian chief who is reputed
to have said at one point:
The success of a rain dance depends a lot on the timing.
That was tongue in cheek, I expect, but that is true also with
Congress and what it is willing to address and not willing to address,
what it is willing to bring out here and sink its teeth into and what
it wants to put in a closet and pretend doesn't exist.
These are big issues. We deal with a lot of small issues every day as
well, but these are big issues and we have to deal with these issues.
These issues will affect the economic lives of millions of small
businessmen and women. It will affect the economic future of kids
coming out of school, and they want a job and they need a good, growing
economy to get a job.
These issues are the kinds of things that can tip a growing economy
over into a recession, or something worse. That is why it is important.
When you see storm clouds gather on the horizon, you pay attention to
them. These are storm clouds on the horizon. Things are good now. This
is a blessing. We have a great economy. You wouldn't rather be anywhere
than here because we have a wonderful economy and things are very good
in a lot of areas of this country, but these are storm clouds and our
job is to anticipate and respond to things that we know are going to
have a significant impact on the future of this country--energy and
trade. We better get busy. We better respond to these issues.
I yield the floor.
Mr. REID. I say, before my friend does leave the floor--I ask I be
recognized.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Nevada.
Mr. REID. Mr. President, we in the United States, because of the
power of our economy, are not feeling the increase in fuel prices. We
are feeling it a little bit. But other places in the world are feeling
it very dramatically.
What I say to my friend, talking about the trade deficit and problems
with energy, is that we may not be feeling them now, but if we do not
address these problems we are going to feel these fuel problems
dramatically because it was not long ago a barrel of oil was costing
$10. We did nothing. At the time, of course, because of the low prices,
we could have done something to put this fuel into our reserves. We did
not do anything about that. We, of course, during the good times, have
[[Page S9023]]
done nothing to develop alternative fuel sources. We could do that. We
have not done that. Now that there is the spike in oil prices, we are
looking back and saying: Gee, I wish we would have done something. Tax
policy does not do anything to favor alternative fuels.
There are a lot of things that are facing this country that we need
to get ahold of while we have the opportunity. This economy is looked
upon as the greatest of all time. But as good as our economy is, it can
falter just as it has gone up. It does not take a lot of things to
start going wrong before we have a problem with our economy.
So, again, before my friend leaves the floor, he could not talk about
two issues that are any more important to this thriving economy than
the trade deficit--that is pronounced and we are not doing anything
about it--and, of course, energy, about which we are doing very little.
Mr. DORGAN. If I might respond, Mr. President, the folks in this
country who are now worried sick about what is happening to energy
prices are people such as senior citizens who know they are going to
pay a home heating fuel bill that is multiples of what they paid last
year. They are living on fixed incomes and do not have the money. They
are saying: How do I do this? These are people who are living on fixed
incomes, who drive up to the gas pump and now discover it costs a
significant amount of money to fill their gas tank. Or small truckers--
I just make this final point.
Mike and Jenny Mellick from Fargo, ND, called me. They operate seven
trucks. It is a small company, a man and wife trying to run an
operation with seven tractor-trailer rigs that haul loads across the
country. They said the increase in fuel costs is devastating to them
and they are worried about losing their business.
This is having repercussions all across this country. This could tip
the economy. We have to get ahead of this and say we need more
production and more conservation and we need to care about these folks
who are being dislocated by the significant energy crisis we face.
I yield the floor.
Mr. REID. Mr. President, the one thing I am appreciative of is the
Vice President has a plan; that is, he has recommended that if these
prices stay where they are, we should start drawing down our reserves.
This is one alternative. I am glad he is doing this rather than just
complaining.
We have to have an energy policy. This is not a problem of Democrats
or Republicans; it has been a problem of administrations for the last
30 years. They simply will not get involved and work with Congress to
come up with a long-term energy policy, and we need one.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, I mentioned earlier about the Vice
President's proposal. I have not been a big cheerleader to move to SPR.
By the same token, SPR is 570 million barrels of stored reserves. If we
take half a million barrels a day, we could for 90 or 120 days, which
is what we need at this point to get back into a supply equilibrium,
provide some significant stability in energy prices just by taking a
very small portion. So we take a very small fraction of the SPR and
with it provide stability to oil prices.
We need to work on the longer issues as well. There is merit in
having this debate and discussion. The Vice President has raised a very
important issue. Good for him. We have a short-term issue, intermediate
issues, and long-term issues. In the short term, we ought to take a
look at this issue. Maybe half a million barrels a day will be the
catalyst to provide the stability we want in oil prices at this moment
in order to get to the next intersection, which I think after the first
of the year is an intersection of much more production.
Mr. President, I yield the floor.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Warner). The Chair recognizes the Senator
from Nebraska.
____________________