[Congressional Record Volume 146, Number 102 (Wednesday, September 6, 2000)]
[Senate]
[Pages S8044-S8045]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
TO AUTHORIZE EXTENSION OF NONDISCRIMINATORY TREATMENT TO THE PEOPLE'S
REPUBLIC OF CHINA--MOTION TO PROCEED--Continued
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, am I recognized for 30 minutes by previous
consent in postcloture debate?
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator has up to 1 hour.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, some long while ago I was at a meeting in
North Dakota, and I was talking about senior citizen issues and health
care, and a range of things, and I used a statistic. I told the senior
citizens who were at the meeting that there are two men for every woman
over the age of 80 in the United States. And an older fellow rose from
his chair and leaned forward on his cane and said to me: Young man,
that is one of the most useless statistics I have ever heard.
I thought about that for a while. There are a lot of useless
statistics used in all kinds of different venues. In this discussion
about trade, there will certainly be plenty of statistics used. Perhaps
plenty of them will be useless. But I do want to talk about some trade
statistics today because we are now debating the motion to proceed to
the bill that would make normal trade relations with China permanent.
I think there are a lot of wonderful things going on in this country.
All of us should count our blessings that we live in a country that is
doing so well. The economy is growing, growing rapidly; we have
unprecedented economic growth and opportunity. It is a great time.
Unemployment is down, way down. Inflation is down, way down. Crime is
down. Home ownership is up.
You could look at all of the data. Productivity is up, up, way up.
All of the data shows that this country is doing very well. All of us
need to be thankful for that.
But there are some storm clouds on the horizon in one area, and that
is in the area of international trade. And we should not ignore them.
This is not about Republicans and Democrats. It is about a public
policy area this country must address. If we don't address it in a
thoughtful way, we will not continue this kind of economic opportunity
and growth.
Here is a chart that describes what is happening in trade. This is
the merchandise trade deficit for this country; that is, the trade in
goods. I have not included the trade in services, only the trade in
merchandise goods. This is essentially manufacturing. We eliminated the
red ink in the budget. The budget deficits are gone. But the trade
deficits are going up, way up. This year especially. In June, the
monthly merchandise trade deficit increased to $36.8 billion. The
deficit for the first half of this year was $216 billion. That means
that at the end of this year we will probably have a $430 billion
merchandise trade deficit. We are buying from abroad $1.2 billion a day
in goods more than we are selling abroad, and that can't continue
forever.
With whom are these deficits? Well, for the first half of the year
2000, the merchandise deficit that we have with Mexico is nearly $12
billion; with Canada, $22.6 billion and increasing dramatically. With
the European Union, it is a dramatic increase from $16 billion for the
first half of last year to $26 billion this year. With China, it has
increased from $29 billion to $36 billion.
These are not yearly figures. These are 6-month figures, January
through June. So this is equal to a $72 billion annual trade deficit
with the country of China. With Japan, this is almost unforgivable,
year after year, forever, we have had these huge budget deficits with
Japan. Now they are totaling nearly $80 billion a year.
What is happening is wrong. I am not a classic ``protectionist,'' as
the press would describe some of those involved in this debate. I
believe we need to expand international trade. I believe we ought to be
open for competition and be required to compete. But I also believe the
trade ought to be fair; the rules of trade ought to be fair.
Globalization attends to it some requirement that we have global rules,
not only global markets.
What is happening here, with Japan and China and, yes, others, is
they are selling into our marketplace at a record pace in a whole range
of areas, yet we are not able to access opportunities in their
marketplace. I wonder how many Americans know what the tariff would be
on a pound of U.S. beef that is shipped to Japan today? Do you want to
ship a T-bone steak that comes from a ranch in North Dakota to Tokyo?
What do you think the tariff would be on a T-bone steak going to Tokyo?
I will tell you what it is. It is over 40 percent, a tariff of over 40
percent on American beef going into Japan. That is after we have
negotiated an agreement with Japan. That shows the failure of our
negotiations. A country that has an $80 billion trade surplus with us
is allowed to have a greater than 40-percent tariff on American beef
going to them. Obviously, there is something fundamentally wrong with
the way we negotiate trade agreements.
We recently negotiated a trade agreement with China, a big, old
country with 1.2 billion people. One can't help but stand on the Great
Wall of China and look at those mountains, at the country, and express
wonder at who they are and where they have been, their rich history,
and what they will be tomorrow. What an interesting country. But we
have a $72 billion merchandise trade deficit with China. We just
negotiated an agreement that is a bad agreement. Let's take automobiles
as one example: China has 1.2 billion potential drivers, as soon as
they all reach driving age, and we want to sell American cars to some
of them. So here is what we said when we negotiated the agreement: This
is what we will do. You have a $72 billion trade surplus with us, or we
have a big deficit with you. So we will negotiate a bilateral agreement
with you where we will have a 2.5-percent tariff on any
Chinese automobiles you want to send to us, and we will have a 25-
percent tariff on any automobiles we send into China. In other words,
after the negotiation is done, we will agree that we
[[Page S8045]]
will accept a tariff imposed by China that is 10 times higher on U.S.
automobiles than will be imposed by the United States on vehicles from
China.
Ask somebody, how on Earth can that happen? Was somebody drinking
heavily while they negotiated? How can one possibly agree to something
that is that unfair? I could go on and on. It will serve no purpose,
except to say that these numbers ought to demonstrate that while things
are doing well in this country and while we are blessed with a
wonderful economy, these storm clouds with respect to the trade
imbalance need to be attended to. We need better trade agreements, and
we need more attention to trade agreements that require elements of
fair trade between our country and Japan, between us and the Chinese,
between us and Europe, and between us and Canada.
Last month, The Wall Street Journal had a piece ``Will the Trade Gap
Lower the Boom?'' It notes that our trade gap is now about 4.2 percent
of our overall economy, and it goes on to say that:
A percentage that high would scare the green eyeshades
right off the analysts in many industrialized nations.
We don't hear a whisper about it--not here, not around the country,
very seldom in the press. This is a very unusual story. It also says:
But there is a disaster scenario that . . . gets more
likely with each breath that fills the trade deficit balloon.
. . . On average, the current account gap hits its limit at
4.2 percent of GDP, exactly where the U.S. finds itself
today. . . . Confidence in our economy could collapse before
the rest of the world is firmly back on its feet.
The point is there is something wrong here, and Congress cannot
ignore it. That is why Senator Stevens, Senator Byrd, and I created in
legislation a trade deficit review commission. It has finished its
meetings and is now developing recommendations to policymakers both in
the administration and Congress, on how to deal with this issue.
I have supported normal trade relations with China in the past. But,
the issue for me isn't shall we make it permanent or not. Shall we have
NTR with China? Of course, we should. The issue is: Are we going to do
something about these deficits? Does anybody think having a $72 billion
deficit with China is normal? Is that a normal trade relationship? Of
course, it is not. It is abnormal. It is a perversion. How about Japan?
Is this a normal trade relationship, having an $80 billion deficit with
the country of Japan? That is not normal. It is abnormal. We, as a
country, need to understand and say to China and Japan and others, the
European Union, that we are all for expanded trade. We have been the
leader in expanding trade. But we are also going to be the leader in
standing up for our economic interests and demanding that the rules of
trade be fair rules.
The first 25 years after the Second World War we could compete with
anybody around the world with one hand tied behind our back. It was no
problem at all. That was when our trade policy was just flat out
foreign policy. The second 25 years, we have seen tougher economic
competitors. Countries have developed with strong economies. They have
become shrewd economic competitors. Every one of these countries have a
managed trade economy in which they say: We will not allow what the
United States allows. We will not ever allow the kind of run up of a
trade deficit that the United States will allow.
We do it because we don't pay attention to it. We have this
philosophy that somehow it will all right itself at some point in the
future. It will not right itself without action by the Congress and the
administration to say we are the leaders in free, expanded and fair
trade, and we insist the rules of trade be fair.
I come to the floor during this discussion about China PNTR to say
that there are other elements, in many ways bigger issues, to this
trade debate that we must be attentive to and we must do so soon.
While there is a lot of good news--and we will hear a great deal of
it during the campaigns by Republicans and Democrats, claiming credit
for this, that, and the other thing--but I hope we will all claim
credit for the responsibility to begin solving these problems. During
good times, it seems to me, is the opportunity to look down the road
and see where the storm clouds develop and figure out how to respond to
them. We must, it seems to me, decide that it is a significant issue
and it is in the interest of all citizens in this country that Congress
begin to tackle this issue in a way that reduces these trade deficits,
continues to expand our trade opportunities, but puts us on a better
footing with our trading partners.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that I may speak
as in morning business.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Without objection, it is so ordered.
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