[Congressional Record Volume 146, Number 62 (Thursday, May 18, 2000)]
[House]
[Pages H3404-H3406]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
THE SOLVENCY OF SOCIAL SECURITY AND THE ISSUE OF HEALTH CARE AND
PRESCRIPTION DRUGS
The SPEAKER pro tempore (Mr. Walden of Oregon). Under the Speaker's
announced policy of January 6, 1999, the gentleman from Iowa (Mr.
Ganske) is recognized for 60 minutes as the designee of the majority
leader.
Mr. GANSKE. Mr. Speaker, I wonder if the gentlewoman from Connecticut
(Ms. DeLauro) would like to enter into a discussion, if she has some
time for a little bit.
I yield to the gentlewoman from Connecticut.
Ms. DeLAURO. I would be happy to, Mr. Speaker.
Mr. GANSKE. I think we could have a very unusual discussion tonight.
I had originally thought about talking about a case of HMO abuse that
was highlighted today in the Los Angeles Times about a 74-year-old
woman who died of a ruptured aortic aneurysm, and maybe if I have some
time after a while I will do that.
I was very moved by your presentation on social security. I think it
is a very, very important issue. There is no doubt about it, that
elderly women depend on social security in order to stay out of
poverty. The statistics of the gentlewoman from Connecticut are very
similar to Iowa, and maybe even more so in Iowa, because Iowa has the
largest number of people over the age of 85 percentage-wise of any
State in the country, and the majority of those people are women and
widows.
Some of them have to choose. They live on that social security check,
and they are now in the situation where they have to choose between
their rent and some of their medications, so prescription drugs are
involved in this. I think we could agree on some facts, and so I would
like to get the gentlewoman's feedback on some of this.
The Social Security Advisory Committee's report says that as the baby
boomers move into retirement in about 25 years, or the baby boomers
start to retire about the year 2011, at which time my group and the
gentlewoman's group will be retiring at one every 8 seconds, by about
the year 2025, the trust funds are empty, and we will be faced with a
couple of choices based on current projected income from the social
security tax, which is 12.4 percent combined for individual and from
their employer.
That is, we would either need to reduce benefits by about 25 percent
at that time, because of such a large number of baby boomers in
retirement, or, because, as the gentlewoman pointed out I think very
correctly, we will have significantly reduced numbers of workers, maybe
even at the point of two workers for every retiree, then another option
would be to raise the withholding, their work tax, their payroll tax.
We might have to do that by as much as 50 percent.
The third option that the Social Security Advisory Committee talked
about, and about a year ago offered three different scenarios, was
whether in fact we could increase the rate of return on the funds that
are going in.
Senator Kerry and Senator Moynihan have proposed, and I have gone
[[Page H3405]]
around my district for the last couple of years talking about Senator
Kerry's proposal and actually utilizing some of his computer programs,
they have proposed essentially a payroll tax cut of 2 percent of that
12.4 percent, so that would be about a 16 to 18 percent payroll tax
cut.
Part of the reason that they have done that is because, for the
average working person, not the person who has invested in the tech
stocks, the most taxes they pay are their payroll tax. The people that
the gentlewoman and I represent that are the average workers out there,
they pay more in payroll tax than they do in income tax or any other
taxes.
So there is an appeal, I think a bipartisan appeal if we are looking
at a tax cut, in order to direct that toward those who need it the
most, and those who need it the most are the ones where the biggest
part of their taxes are coming from their payroll tax.
I am just interested if the gentlewoman from Connecticut is in
agreement with me so far.
Ms. DeLAURO. Mr. Speaker, the gentleman's assertions at the outset
about where we are going and what is important about when the baby
boomers retire is accurate. I agree with that.
What I think we have to deal with is how in fact we use the issue of,
again, the surplus to assist this process. And we cannot count on this,
but the fact of the matter is if we continue the rate of growth that we
have been at in the last several years, which has been pretty
sustained, and I understand that we cannot totally rely on that, one
could project that in fact that rate of growth over the next number of
years could allow us to really correct the social security problem that
we have with the baby boomers moving into retirement.
So there are a number of scenarios, without talking about cutting
people's benefits or raising the eligible age. I think there is merit
to thinking and talking about the payroll tax and cutting that back. It
is up for discussion. Maybe we are in the same mode. This notion of
this 2 percent that we put in these retirement accounts, my view
ultimately, this winds up increasing a deficit situation that we have.
It also means that at some point we have to draw on general revenues
and so forth.
{time} 2115
So the current proposal that is being made I find to be troubling in
this sense that I have expressed on that, and I think that there is
room to have a discussion on what we want to do and where we want to go
on this issue.
Mr. GANSKE. I agree with the gentlewoman, let us say that you did set
up personal accounts, and how you do that is open to debate, but let us
say that you did that, you reduced the average payroll tax for a
worker; let us, say, number one that we are not going to change the
benefits for anyone over the age of 50 or 55, but let us say you set up
personal accounts with 2 percent, with that 2 percent of the 12.4
percent, my point would be that that is in their name, and as Senator
Kerrey says, my goal is to help everyone in this country become richer.
That is an automatic increase in wealth for them, but the gentlewoman
is absolutely correct. If you take 2 percent out of that 12.4 percent,
that is about $1 in $6 of current revenues going into Social Security
that is not in that trust fund.
Ms. DeLAURO. That is right.
Mr. GANSKE. And we are in agreement on that. I think that there is a
way to do a compromise on this issue, because I think Members of the
Democratic side, your side and my side, would both like to see all
Americans be wealthier. We probably both would like to see especially
the people who are paying the most portion of their taxes in the
payroll tax have some tax abatement.
The question then becomes, and this is where you are talking about
the transition costs on this, and this is the $1 out of $6, that if you
did this 2 percent, where would you make that up? I would suggest that
the compromise on this between the parties, and we are certainly not
going to work out this issue tonight, but it is something I think for
people to think about, is if the economy continues to do so well and we
have the surplus, then I would use part of that surplus to cover that
transition costs of the payroll tax cut, so that for every dollar that
you are providing for a payroll out of the $6, to go into a personal
account, you replace in that trust fund with part of the surplus.
I am just curious as to what the gentlewoman would think about that.
Ms. DeLAURO. Again, you can, over a certain period of time, deal with
funding the credit with the budget surplus, and the gentleman could get
it. There are reports out there about that, the gentleman could
probably get yourself between now and 2015 where the gentleman might be
able to do that, and again, the Center for Budget Priorities talks
about 2015 to 2030 where the credit would be financed through spending
cuts or larger deficits.
And, again, this is a proposal, a similar kind of a proposal that
Martin Feldstein has made in terms of partially privatizing Social
Security; by his own, estimate, the credit would be financed with
higher tax revenues, which would have to be generated by higher tax
rates of national savings and investment translated in terms of
corporate profits, so that you are then dealing with a situation, if
you will, in what we call the outyears here of either dealing with
higher tax revenues or, again, some rate of national savings which
there is not a guarantee of.
Mr. GANSKE. As the gentlewoman I think rightly pointed out, those
outyears, the farther we get out, a lot of that will depend on exactly
whether our economy continues to be as strong, what kind of economic
growth, what, in essence, I am suggesting is that if we are, I think
the gentlewoman, as she said, is in favor of some tax cuts, if we are
looking at devoting some funds for tax cuts, why do we not devote those
tax cut funds or a large portion of it to relief on the payroll tax,
which is the tax which hits the average American the hardest?
I am not speaking for anyone else on the Republican side.
Ms. DeLAURO. I understand that.
Mr. GANSKE. This is just purely an idea I have been tossing around in
my mind and how do you do this.
Ms. DeLAURO. Well, if you are going to deal with cutting back, where
does the gentleman continue to be able to finance the effort, which is
what is ultimately, in my mind, and when we start to talk about other
proposals on Social Security, is that if the gentleman then looks at
the utilization of the surplus, or the gentleman wants to do it in one
way by bringing down the payroll tax.
Mr. GANSKE. I would use part of the surplus for a payroll tax.
Ms. DeLAURO. That is right. But if the gentleman utilizes this in
terms of where is the greater gain, I do not know, because I do not
know the intricacies and where it comes out with what the gentleman is
suggesting. But if you are paying down the debt and thereby reducing
interest rates and costs and then utilizing, I mean, it just seems to
me that in terms of overall fiscal policy, I am not an economist, that
the gentleman is then dealing with a much greater financial stability
by being able to pay down that debt over a period of time which has a
whole variety of different ripple effects in the economy when that
interest rate comes down and what people can do and what business can
do, et cetera, and the whole litany of the multiplier effect on all of
that. So that seems to me to be a better direction for us to head than
to look at personal accounts, which, again, I think leaves people at
the mercy of a stock market and whether or not they are proficient in
being able to invest.
I cannot imagine, I do not know what the percentage is, but I do not
know that there is a very large percentage of people who are so
familiar with the stock market that they can do that, and there are
those that do and those that cannot, and those that cannot will wind up
dragging down those that can in terms of what they will have to make up
in terms of lost dollars.
The gentleman is suggesting another alternative here, which I think
reasonable people can take a look at and sort out and begin to ask some
questions about.
Mr. GANSKE. My constituents back in Iowa tell me that as we look at
the surplus, the number 1 thing that they want us to do with it right
now is to pay down the debt, number one; number 2, to secure Medicare
and Social Security; and number 3, in the context of the surplus, to do
some tax relief.
[[Page H3406]]
And I am just suggesting tonight that there might be a solution between
the Republicans and the Democrats that could come about on Social
Security, too, where we focus on trying to increase the net worth of
every American by letting them keep a little bit of that payroll tax,
making up the difference from the surplus, as part of a tax cut, or
focused on a payroll tax cut.
This, I think, gets around a lot of the debate that we have seen on
where do you put that tax cut, and how the numbers exactly would work
out neither the gentlewoman nor I have that data right now, because
there are lots of variables that the Congressional Budget Office and
others would have to look at in terms of projections for economic
growth, and exactly what the dollars would be coming into the Social
Security trust fund or not be there if you had that 2 percent
reduction.
I am just saying that I think that Republicans and Democrats on both
sides of the aisle that have some shared goals, and the number one
shared goal I think is Social Security solvency; number 2, maintaining
the safety net for those elderly women; number 3, helping every
American become richer. I would like to see every American become a lot
more wealthy; and number 4, making sure that the younger people who are
coming up, the two out of which we will be supporting every one retiree
in about 25 years, that we somehow or another figure this out so that
we do not leave them with an overwhelming payroll tax to be supporting
the gentlewoman from Connecticut and me when we are in our retirement.
I very much appreciate the gentlewoman from Connecticut for just
entering into a brief colloquy with me on this. And I would be happy to
yield again to the gentlewoman if she has any further remarks.
Ms. DeLAURO. Well, I am pleased as well that the gentleman asked to
be able to do this, because I think that there is room for discussion
of the issues. Again, it is worrisome that we are, again, in two
proposals that have been made in the last several days, which have
captured the national attention that I think it is well worth pointing
out, and again, in my view, I think one is terribly risky in this
sense, as I started out my commentary, is that to somehow turn on its
head the notion of this guaranteed annual income, which has been so
important to people in their lives. It was not meant to be just that,
the only income, but for some people, about a third of the
beneficiaries of Social Security, that is the only income that they
have, and to somehow tamper with that seems to be moving away from that
guarantee that people have believed in.
Then the notion of the savings accounts deals with increasing
individual risk, which I think, again, threatens the system. Now, are
there alternate proposals that we might consider to get where we want
to go in order to make sure that there is that guarantee that does not
put people at risk, in which case then you can try to look at how, in
fact, we can as the gentleman pointed out increase people's financial
wherewithal; certainly, we ought to take a look at that.
I will tell the gentleman that in all of this, in terms of its effect
on women and older women in our society, and if we do not go down this
road in a very careful way about the unique situation that women find
themselves in, then we are going to compound their vulnerability and
increase their rate of poverty, and that is not where we want to go and
what I see at the moment, in terms of a public policy direction, which
has been espoused by Governor Bush, is that that, in fact, is where it
leads. And I am not suggesting that is where you are and that there is
not room for conversation and debate and discussion on this issue in a
way that the gentleman has proposed, and there may be other ways, but
it scares me.
Mr. GANSKE. I agree with the gentlewoman that we need to be very
careful. And I think it will be, I hope that our parties' respective
presidential candidates have a chance to be as civil to each other
during a presidential debate on this important issue as we have been.
I also want to thank the gentlewoman for working so vigorously on the
children's clothing issue as it relates to whether clothing can catch
on fire. She has worked very diligently on trying to make sure that we
have safe standards for children's clothing, and I look forward to
joining the gentlewoman on this.
I would just close with this, and that is, that I think it is going
to be important to talk in a reasoned fashion about where does Social
Security go, with the baby boomers coming down the line, I think it is
also true, though, that we will need to seek solutions and not just be
reactionary and say that no change is the only way to go.
Ms. DeLAURO. There has to be change.
Mr. GANSKE. I know the gentlewoman is not proposing that.
Ms. DeLAURO. I thank the gentleman from Iowa, and I thank the
gentleman, if I just might for one second, and I do not want to take
any more of the gentleman's time, is for the gentleman's diligence,
your commitment to the health of people in our country and in our
society, both in your own profession as a doctor in which the gentleman
has really made his own personal commitment, but the role that the
gentleman has played in trying to bring us to some understanding and
conclusion about patients and the decisions, medical decisions that
affect their lives and your hard work on the patients' bill of rights.
And I thank the gentleman.
{time} 2130
Mr. GANSKE. I thank the gentlewoman from Connecticut.
Mr. Speaker, I am going to save my comments on HMOs for another
night, because I am going to yield the balance of my time to my
colleague from Colorado, who has important things to say, as he usually
does, and so I will yield to the gentleman from Colorado.
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