[Congressional Record Volume 146, Number 52 (Tuesday, May 2, 2000)]
[House]
[Pages H2347-H2348]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
SOCIAL SECURITY
The SPEAKER pro tempore (Mrs. Biggert). Under the Speaker's announced
policy of January 19, 1999, the gentleman from Michigan (Mr. Smith) is
recognized during morning hour debates for 5 minutes.
Mr. SMITH of Michigan. Madam Speaker, this chart is on Social
Security. I have been very interested and concerned about Social
Security for the last 5 years. I have introduced three Social Security
bills that have been scored by the actuaries of the Social Security
Administration that would keep Social Security solvent, would keep it
going to the next 75 years. So three bills over the last 5 years.
I also chaired the bipartisan task force on Social Security where we
were very successful. We have bipartisan agreement on 18 findings that
moves us ahead.
Last night, I was listening to television, and I heard Al Gore talk
about his proposal to fix Social Security and criticize Governor George
W. Bush's suggestion that we allow some of that money to be kept and
invested by individuals. I was so concerned that I took an earlier
flight so I could speak this noon on Social Security.
I criticize Mr. Gore for suggesting that we do not have to do
anything to fix Social Security. Chris Lehane, Mr. Gore's spokesman,
says that one of the reasons Social Security has been so successful is
that it depends on one generation to take care of another generation.
When in fact there is no need to do anything right now, Mr. Gore
suggests that we use the extra money coming in from Social Security.
Look at this chart a minute. We have got a short-term, where there is
more money coming in from Social Security taxes than is needed to pay
out benefits. Mr. Gore suggests that we take some of this money, we
borrow from this fund, and we use that money to pay down the debt, the
so-called Wall Street debt.
It is also so disconcerting that ABC, NBC, CBS pick up those press
releases out of the White House that says we are going to pay down $180
billion of debt this year, and that is good, we are
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moving in the right direction, but what is happening is we are
borrowing the money from Social Security to pay down the Wall Street
debt so the $5.7 trillion that we now have as a national debt continues
to go up.
Maybe an analogy is saying that Mr. Gore suggests that we take out
one credit card and we use that credit card to pay off another credit
card when there is no real money out there.
I think this is the time in this presidential election year to
discuss and debate how we are going to fix Social Security, how we are
going to keep it there, not only for the existing retirees and the near
retirees, but for future generations. It is the most important program
that probably we have in government. It is the largest program in this
country. It is the largest program in the world.
What is happening is some people suggest, look, the United States is
as good as its word. If it borrows the money, it is going to pay it
back. Even if it paid it all back, it is only going to keep Social
Security solvent until 2034. But will the Federal Government pay that
money back? Where is it going to come from? We are going to have to
increase borrowing, cut other government programs, or increase taxes.
That is where it is going to come from.
As a demonstration of Federal Government's commitment, this Congress
and the President, in 1977, when there was a problem of fewer dollars
coming in than was needed to pay out benefits, what did they do? In
1977, they increased taxes and reduced benefits. In 1983, again, we ran
out of enough money to pay benefits, so, again, they reduced benefits
and increased taxes.
If we do nothing, I say to Mr. Gore, then taxes are going to increase
up to 55 percent, increase in Social Security taxes for our kids. That
is what the trustees of the Social Security Administration said. If we
do not want to increase taxes, then we cut benefits by 33 percent.
This is an appropriate time to discuss where we are going to go on
Social Security to keep it solvent. If my colleagues look at the red
area, how much we are going into the red over the years, the Social
Security actuaries project that we are short $120 trillion. Remember,
our annual budget here is $1.7 trillion. Over the next 75 years, we are
short $120 trillion of there being less money coming in from the Social
Security tax than we need to pay out the benefits that are promised.
If we look at the possibility of getting real investment, then all we
have got to do is beat a zero percent return. Some of the think tanks
around town have projected that one is not even going to get back the
money that one paid in. Some of the projections go as high as a 1.7
percent return on the Social Security money that one pays into Social
Security.
Can the stock market do any better than that? The average for any 12-
year period since 1926 has been 3.7. The average for a retiree's
lifetime has been up to a 7.88 percent return. We can do better than
Social Security. Let us move ahead. Let us debate it. Let us discuss
it. Let us not hide the problem under the rug.
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