[Congressional Record Volume 144, Number 129 (Thursday, September 24, 1998)]
[House]
[Pages H8612-H8617]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
SOCIAL SECURITY AND THE REPUBLICAN TAX PROPOSALS
The SPEAKER pro tempore. Under the Speaker's announced policy of
January 7, 1997, the gentleman from New Jersey (Mr. Pallone) is
recognized for 60 minutes as the designee of the minority leader.
Mr. PALLONE. Mr. Speaker, tonight I have a number of my colleagues,
Democratic colleagues, who would join me this evening to talk about the
issue of Social Security in the context of the tax proposals that the
Republicans plan to bring to the House floor tomorrow as well as
Saturday of this week.
Mr. Speaker, the Republicans, in my opinion, are moving full steam
ahead with this plan to raid the budget surplus to pay for tax cuts
instead of putting that money where it rightly belongs, and that is
into Social Security. Make no mistake about it, Mr. Speaker, the
Republican tax bill is a direct assault on Social Security. The budget
surplus that the Republicans want to use to pay for their tax cuts that
they are going to be putting before this House tomorrow or Saturday do
not
[[Page H8613]]
exist. There is no budget surplus. The only portion of the Federal
budget that is in surplus is the Social Security Trust Fund. In fact,
without Social Security, the Federal budget would still be in a deficit
this year.
According to the Congressional Budget Office, Social Security will
take in a $101 billion surplus this year. But CBO also projects the
total surplus for the Federal budget this year to be $8 billion. If we
do the math, Mr. Speaker, we find that without the surplus in the
Social Security Trust Fund, the total Federal budget would have a $93
billion deficit in 1998.
{time} 1945
The story is the same if we project the numbers out even further. The
CBO projects that without the Social Security surplus, the Federal
Government would run a $137 billion deficit over the next five years.
Over the next 10 years, CBO projects a $1.6 trillion deficit for both
the Social Security trust fund and the total Federal budget. In other
words, every single penny of surplus the Federal Government is expected
to take in over the next 10 years will come from the Social Security
trust fund. Because the Federal Government borrows from the Social
Security trust fund to pay for other government programs, by the year
2008 the general fund of the Treasury will owe Social Security $2.52
trillion. I do not want to just keep going into these numbers, I would
like to yield some time to some of my colleagues this evening, but I
want to say that when I talk to my constituents back in the district,
regardless of these numbers, they understand the reality. They
understand, particularly the senior citizens amongst my constituents,
that we have been borrowing from the Social Security trust fund now for
a number of years and that that money has to be paid back at some time
in the future. So it is very deceptive, I would say, on the part of the
Republican leadership to propose a tax cut bill knowing full well that
this has to come from the Social Security trust.
I would like to yield some time to some of my colleagues this evening
to talk about this. Democrats as a party have joined with President
Clinton in pointing out from day one this year, the President actually
mentioned it in his State of the Union address back last January, that
it is imperative that we do what we can this year, if not now in future
Congresses, to correct the problems that we will face with Social
Security 10, 20, 30 years from now, because there will not be enough
money in the trust fund to pay for that generation of baby boomers that
will become 65, that will be senior citizens at the time. And so all we
are really saying as Democrats is the time is now to think about what
we are doing here. We just got into a situation where we have some
extra money being generated from general revenues because the economy
is good and we passed this Balanced Budget Act last year, let us not
now before we have time to think about it just go hog wild, in effect,
and start spending money on a tax cut which essentially is just coming
from the Social Security trust fund.
I yield to my colleague the gentleman from Maryland who has been
making this point many times to me over the last few weeks.
Mr. WYNN. I thank the gentleman from New Jersey for yielding and I
thank him for his leadership on this issue. I am pleased to join with
him tonight in talking about the issue of tax cuts, phony tax cuts, and
the more important issue of saving Social Security. There is a
difference in this evening's debate. The Republicans are here with an
election-year gimmick, election-year candy which basically says to the
American people, ``I know what you want and I'm going to give you a tax
cut.'' We take a longer term view on the Democratic side. We believe
that the most responsible thing we can do is not give an election-year
gimmick but, rather, to protect and save Social Security first, to look
forward 20 years when we really need to address the problem of an
insolvent Social Security system and say, ``Let's plan now for that
day.'' The way we plan now for that day is quite simply by saving all
the money in this projected surplus and putting it toward Social
Security and not toward some kind of election-year tax break gimmick.
Let us talk about taxes for a minute because I think there is a
certain mythology that has been perpetrated by the Republicans with
respect to why we need these tax cuts. One of the first things we will
hear will be a phrase that reads something like this: Taxes are a
crushing drain on the American economy. The fact of the matter is, Mr.
Speaker, that that is not true. The economy is doing very well. There
is no crushing drain. There is no overwhelming burden on our economy.
Our economy is today the best it has been in 30 years. We have low
unemployment. More people are working. We have low and stable interest
rates. We have increased business starts. We have fewer bankruptcies.
So where is this crushing burden that my colleagues on the other side
of the aisle want to talk about? It does not exist. It is a myth. It is
a part of their election-year rationale to suggest that they have got
the solution for the American public. There is no crushing drain or
overwhelming burden on the American taxpayer. They say, ``Oh, yes,
there is.''
Item number 2, they will tell you that the tax rates are too high on
the average American. That, too, is a myth. It is not true. The tax
rates for the average American family with two children are the lowest
they have been since 1978. Tax rates for even the folks in the highest
brackets are lower than they have been since the 1960s and the 1970s.
So when Republicans run down to the well and start talking about the
tax rate on the American citizen is too great and somehow government's
hand is in their pocket, they are not telling you the truth. What we
have given you with the balanced budget and a healthy economy is tax
rates that are in fact lower than they have been in many, many years.
Third, they will say, well, what about as a percentage of gross
domestic product? The Republicans will try to suggest to you that tax
revenues as a percentage of gross domestic product is the highest that
it has ever been. Well, yes, tax revenues are high. Why? Because more
people are working and more people are paying taxes. So that is not a
problem. That is a by-product of a healthy economy. People are working.
They pay more taxes. It is not a drain. It is a positive by-product.
There is a second by-product that is the result of this healthy economy
that impacts on the tax revenue and, that is, millionaires. Yes,
millionaires. Our economy has generated numerous millionaires as a
result of the stock market. When they take their profits out, they pay
capital gains tax. Those capital gains tax from the millionaires go
toward the general fund and increase our tax revenues. So we have a
healthy revenue picture but it is not because there is an overwhelming
or disproportionate burden. It is because people are paying more taxes
because they are earning more money, or in the case of the
millionaires, they are making more profits. So we see that this
mythology that has been developed around the notion of we need massive
tax cuts to save this country simply is not true.
Now let us look at the Democrats' proposal. We say that the most
significant issue in American politics today is saving Social Security.
We know there is a day coming when the baby boom generation will become
eligible for Social Security and when that day comes if we do not make
some adjustments, we will be facing an insolvent Social Security system
in the year 2020. By the year 2030, we will not be able to make our
payments on time. That is the problem that we as public officials ought
to be dealing with, not some tax gimmick because it is election year
but a serious consideration of how we can address the Social Security
problem.
Now, this administration, led by President Clinton, has said very
simply this. What we ought to do is take any surplus that we get and
put it aside to save Social Security, so that it will help us address
this insolvency problem when it arrives. We will have to do other
things: We will have to have a commission, we will have to come up with
hard recommendations but certainly we need to start putting some of
this money aside. But the thing we have to keep in mind is we do not
even have the money yet. We do not have the surplus yet. It is a
projected surplus. Some people say, ``Let's wait at least until the
black ink dries before we start spending it.'' We should not start
spending. We should not start
[[Page H8614]]
giving it away. We should start saving it. That is what the Democrats
are proposing. It is long-range thinking. It is thinking that will
protect our community, our young people in years to come. I think that
this is the way we ought to go. I think this is the sound public
policy. That is why when we take up this debate over the weekend we are
going to say, no, save Social Security first, then talk about tax cuts
after we have a serious proposal to save Social Security.
The gentleman from New Jersey has done a wonderful job leading this
issue. I thank him for allowing me to have a few moments this evening.
Mr. PALLONE. I want to thank the gentleman for his input into this.
One of the things that the gentleman pointed out which I think is so
important is the projections that we are working with now are basically
assuming a good economy, or an economy that grows at the rate that we
have now, and in fact if the economy slowed down, the problems that he
pointed out and the Democrats have been pointing out in terms of the
amount of money that is available in Social Security are aggravated
considerably.
I will just briefly mention again some of these statistics from the
Congressional Budget Office. According to the Congressional Budget
Office if the economy were to fall into a recession like the one in
1990 and 1991, the budget would be in deficit within one year. My
colleagues on the Committee on Ways and Means, and we are going to have
the gentleman from Washington (Mr. McDermott) next talk to us, but on
the Committee on Ways and Means they pointed out that if the recession
began in 1999, the $79 billion budget surplus projected for the year
2000 would turn into a $38 billion deficit and the $86 billion surplus
in 2001 would become a deficit of $53 billion. So the assault on Social
Security that the Republicans are proposing this year would widen these
deficits by as much as $18 billion a year. Of course we hope the
economy is going to continue to be good and we are going to do whatever
we can to make sure that it is, but the problems that the gentleman
from Maryland pointed out become aggravated if we do not continue to
have an economy that is this good, and frankly the economy has not been
this good for most of the last 10 or 20 years. So it is another reason
why we have got to be very careful about what we do.
I yield to the gentleman who is on the Committee on Ways and Means
and has been very knowledgeable and thoughtful about this whole
proposal.
Mr. McDERMOTT. I thank the gentleman for bringing this issue to the
floor tonight. I think the reason I was willing to come down here and
talk about this is that tomorrow and the next day the American public
is going to be treated to a con game that you might see at a county
fair, the pea and the three walnut shells, they move it around, you are
not quite sure where it is. I would like to talk about what actually is
happening.
There will be two bills that will be brought to the floor. One of
them will be the so-called protection of Social Security bill, and the
other one will be a tax bill. Now, it is my belief, and I think the
figures show, that we do not have the money to give a tax break unless
we use money that comes from Social Security.
Now, I put this chart up here. This is the column for the next five
years. You can see that the projected, and, remember, this is projected
on the basis of the way our economy is going. Now, if you think the
economy for the next five years is going to continue to go up and no
problems, this is what it looks like, because that is the projection
that comes out of the Congressional Budget Office that there will be a
surplus over the next five years all told of $657 billion. A lot of
money. Now, that is all the extra money that is raised from Social
Security. Understand that Social Security, when you pay your FICA
taxes, we pay in each year more money than we actually pay out in
benefits to old people. So we are building a surplus for the time when
we get to the baby boomers in 2010. Next year we will collect $657
billion more Social Security money than we need to pay our debts. That
is the check to your mother, your father, my mom is 89, my father is
93, they get their check. We are going to have $657 billion over the
next five years more than we actually need to pay those checks. What
are we going to do with it? That is what the debate is about.
Now, part of it, $137 billion, has to go to reduce the deficit. We
are still borrowing all over the world, and the only way to get rid of
that is to pay that off, to pay off that $137 billion in deficit. That
leaves $520 billion of Social Security money not spent. Now, tomorrow
we will hear people come out here and say, ``Well, we'll save 90
percent of it and we'll use just 10 percent of it for a little tiny tax
break.''
Let me show you what happens over the next five years. Over the next
five years, we collect more than $1 trillion, $1.27 trillion more in
the Social Security fund than we need to pay. So you say, ``Gee, that's
a lot of money. We ought to be able to give some of that back.''
Remember, it is for the Social Security of people who are going to get
to 65 in 2010, the baby boomers.
Now, at that point, in that second five-year period, we would put
$859 billion of it, that is how much that actually goes into Social
Security and we would have a surplus of $168 billion. If you add those
two, the next 10 years together, we are going to raise $1.5 trillion
more than we need for Social Security. But we owe $1.516, that is $1.5
trillion--I have to get my trillions right--we have to put that much in
Social Security, and the actual surplus is $31 billion at the end of 10
years. Now, I defy anybody to believe that you can project where we are
going to be in the year 2008 and know that we are going to have $31
billion.
What we are going to hear tomorrow is people saying, ``Well, look,
we've got all this surplus, let's spend some of it now and we know it
will come in, we don't have to worry.'' This is exactly the kind of
thinking that the Republicans beat up on the Democrats ever since I
came to Congress. They said, ``You're balancing the budget by borrowing
from Social Security and putting it into the budget. You are not being
honest. You are borrowing from Social Security and you are balancing
the budget, you're not raising taxes, you're just hiding from people
the fact that you're spending more than you're taking in and you're
stealing out of Social Security to pay for it.''
{time} 2000
They yelled at us for 10 years. Now suddenly we have some extra
money, and it is like they forgot what they have been saying around
here for 10 years that I have been here, and they say:
Well, we have some extra money; let us give it back.
The problem with that is that it is based on assumptions that the
economy is going to keep going.
Now you all have seen what happened in the stock market. Nobody can
look at the stock market over the last month or so and say to yourself
I can project what it is going to be like 10 years from now.
I come from Seattle, and one-third of our economy is based on
international trade in this country. Seattle is very heavily dependent
on that, so I know what is going on in the port of Seattle, which is
the second largest port on the west coast. That port has an increase of
34 percent imports, and the exports have dropped by 32 percent.
So what is happening from all over Asia is that boats come in loaded
with stuff and go back empty because the Asians are not buying from us.
All those little businesses in Seattle that were exporting chemicals,
and they were doing all kinds of business, they are dying on the vine
all over the place right now, and the same number of ships are coming
in and out, but it is only one-way trade.
People wonder why the farmers got problems in this country. I live in
a place in Seattle where I can see the elevators right down on the
waterfront. We have got the deepest water port on the whole west coast.
They come in there, and they used to put out 40 boats a month. This
last 2 months they put out 2 boats. That means we are not exporting
grain from Minnesota and North Dakota and South Dakota and Nebraska and
Kansas. All these farmers are out there wondering why is the price of
wheat the lowest it has been in God knows how many years. It is because
there is no market.
And the Congressional Budget Office is making these predictions
without taking into account what is actually
[[Page H8615]]
happening in Asia. We will not get another revenue estimate until July
1, next year.
Now my view, to believe that we are going to have this kind of money,
takes a lot of belief. You have got to believe in the Tooth Fairy, and
Santa Claus and the Easter Bunny to actually believe that this is a
realistic view for the next 10 years.
But the Republicans want to give money back and say we are not going
to take care of what we owe Social Security.
We have borrowed from the Social Security $520 billion. In the next 5
years we are going to keep borrowing, and if we do not put it in there,
we are simply not going to have a Social Security system for our kids.
My son, who is 30 years old, said to me, Dad, I really do not think
there is going to be Social Security when I get to be 65. If we do
tomorrow what is planned by the Republicans, there will not be.
Mr. Speaker, the President was absolutely right when he said it right
here in this room, right at that podium. He said we are going to save
Social Security first. Then, after that is done, after the security of
our children is taken care of, then we can talk about tax breaks.
Now you will also hear some interesting things. I want to show just
what this really looks like, another way for you to look at it. Again
here is the amount of money that we are going to have. We are going to
have about $650 billion, and 137 billion of it is going to go to pay
for taxes. That is the current law and the democratic plan. We will pay
off the budget deficit first in the next 5 years. Then we have $520
billion to go into the trust fund in anticipation of 2010 when the baby
boomers hit the system.
The Republican plan tomorrow says, well, I mean we do not have to
save all of this. Why do we not just give away $90 billion in a tax
break? This is their 90-10 business. They will say we are saving 90
percent of it and we are only spending 10 percent of it, so what is the
harm?
Well, if I were sitting out there 30, 35, 40 years old and wondering
about whether I could count on Social Security when I was 65, I would
say: No, put it in the reserve and do not spend it.
Now the Democrats will offer a bill tomorrow that says we want to
take this surplus and put it in the Federal Reserve so that the
Congress cannot spend it, the New York bank and the Federal Reserve
system, and it can only be spent if we are going to default on some of
our debts on our securities. Otherwise it stays there to deal with the
future of Social Security.
Now one of the things you will hear out here tomorrow that will also
be confusing is people will say, well, Democrats are not for tax
breaks, Democrats just want a lot of money, and they want to spend it
all the time. That is not true. Many Democrats voted for tax cuts last
year. Why? Because they were paid for. They were not using the Social
Security surplus.
The first thing that will happen tomorrow, and for people watching
this it is going to be difficult to really understand; when we pass the
rule, we will pass a rule on the floor here on how this whole process
is going to be argued out here, but buried in that rule are provisions
that overlook all the rules of balancing the budget that was so
important last year. This year they come out on the floor, and right
here they are going to waive those rules; say, oh, those are from last
year, they are not for this year, because they will create a deficit by
giving a tax break, and they are simply waiving all the balanced budget
stuff that they are going to go around in this campaign and say we
balanced the budget. If they do this, they will have done it by ripping
up the rule book and saying that was for last year, now we can just
spend whatever we want and we do not have to account for it.
They will also say Democrats have offered some of these. I offered on
the Committee on Ways and Means the tax plan. I offered the family, the
part of the tax plan that gives the marriage tax penalty, wipes some of
it out. I offered it twice in 1997. The entire Republican Caucus on the
Committee on Ways and Means voted no. They did not want to do it last
year. They were giving money to people at the top of the income scale.
They did not want to do anything about people at the bottom. So I
offered this marriage tax penalty last year. On two occasions it was
turned down.
I also offered that you could deduct the money that you spent to buy
your own health insurance if you were a self-employed person. Small
businessman or woman buys their own health insurance; they cannot
deduct it. The Boeing Corporation in my city or Microsoft or
Weyerhauser or any of the big companies, they deduct it all. But if you
are a small business person, you cannot deduct it all, and I said that
is not fair; why do we not let the small businessman do that? So I
offered that last year, but it was paid for. This proposal that you
will see tomorrow is not paid for unless you are willing to use money
raised through the Social Security tax.
Now the reason we set that tax up, you go back to 1935. Franklin
Delano Roosevelt wanted us all to begin preparing for our old age, and
he set up these accounts. You know, your number is a 9 digit number,
and you have been putting money into that account in expectation that
some day you will get to be 65 and draw it out. And we have been
operating on that basis now for about 60 years, and many people say
that we are going to have a big problem in 2010 because of the baby
boomers, a whole bunch of people born immediately after the Second
World War come onto Social Security, and we have to save now so that we
are ready to pay their benefits in 2010. You can wait. You can say,
well, let us not worry about that, that is tomorrow; you know, who
knows what will happen? We know how many people there are and how many
people that are going to have to have benefits in 2010.
Now some people say the Social Security system is broken, that it is
hopeless, it is all done. It is not. That is a myth that some Members
would like to say because they want to change this from a government-
guaranteed system to give everybody their own individual account.
Sounds like a good idea until you look at the stock market over the
last month. When you look at that, you say to yourself what if I had
put my money in the stock market to retire on and I made the wrong
choice?
Tonight I was watching television, and they have a stock fund in the
market that last night they had a whole bunch of the big bankers got
together and came up with something like $400 million to save one of
those mutual funds that everybody is running to put their money in.
Now, if we take away the government guarantee, we leave a lot of people
in real trouble. In this country today there are 5 million widows
living on $8,000 a year. They are counting on this; $8,000 a year is
not high living. That is just making it. And if we do not take care of
this, we are going to have to reduce the benefits in 2010. If we take
care of it, we can continue the benefits going out as they have for the
last 60 years. But that is why it is important that we start saving
now.
People call me a liberal, but I am very conservative about looking
down the road and seeing an enormous problem and knowing that we have
to start saving for it now. If we do not, it will be our children who
will get the short end of the deal, and for people of my generation and
the people who are on this floor to not think about your kids is
criminal in my view because what you are saying to them is you work all
your life paying for my Social Security, and then when you get there,
there is nothing there. That is not the way we ought to do it, and we
ought to save the money.
The President, as I said before, was absolutely right, and I think
the gentleman's bringing this to the floor is giving us a opportunity
to discuss this and lets people understand what is he going to happen
tomorrow. They are going to hear a lot of flimflam. Tomorrow they will
pass a bill saying we are saving 90 percent of Social Security, and the
next day they will say: and we are giving you a tax break. And they are
never going to tell you that that tax break came out of the Social
Security. They are going to try every way possible to say that there is
no problem. But you cannot have a $90 billion tax break tomorrow
without taking it from Social Security, and my view is we ought to
think to the future.
So, we will raise these same issues again tomorrow, but I think that
it is
[[Page H8616]]
crucial that people begin to think long term. Sometimes in the Congress
we think like one election to the next election, and that is what is
going on tomorrow. They are thinking about November 3; can I give
people a tax break so on November 3 they will think I am a great person
and vote for me? Some of us are going to vote no, not because we do not
want to give tax breaks, but because it is not fair and it is not right
and we have to think long term.
So thanks for giving me the opportunity to talk about it.
{time} 2015
Mr. PALLONE. I want to thank my colleague from Washington. The
gentleman really articulates well what we face tomorrow. If I could
just develop a couple points you make, because I think they are so
important.
First of all, there is no question that this debate over the next two
days is totally political and being done by the Republican leadership
because they are looking for votes in the November election, because we
already know that it is very unlikely that the Senate would even take
up this legislation, and the President, of course, has vowed to veto
the legislation. So we are not even talking about anything that could
possibly happen or be signed into law in time before the Congress
adjourns. So the whole debate on the Republican side is totally
partisan, totally oriented towards the November election in an effort
to garner votes.
The other thing that my colleague from Washington pointed out that I
think is so important is that the money that has been generated by the
Social Security surplus has been generated because we know that the
baby-boom generation a few years from now is going to be very large and
there are going to be a lot more seniors that need Social Security
benefits.
I believe it was maybe 20 years ago in the seventies that the
Congress and the President signed legislation that actually increased
the tax, the FICA tax on Social Security, with the anticipation that
the baby-boomers would pay this higher level, generate a surplus, and
that that money would pay for their benefits because there would be so
many more of them in 2010 or 2020.
What happens if that money is not there because it has been borrowed
and spent on tax cuts or other things? Well, what happens is that
either there will have to be another tax increase, which future
generations will have to pay, which is very unfair to them, or,
alternatively, they would have to cut back on the benefits.
We have already heard talk about cutting back on the COLA for Social
Security, raising the age, and those are the consequences or likely
consequences of this irresponsible Republican policy, that ultimately
in the future we might have to raise taxes that people pay or their
earnings amount in order to pay for Social Security, or cut back on the
benefits. So it is a very irresponsible, totally political proposal
that we are going to be seeing the next two days.
I would now like to yield to my colleague from Arkansas, who has
worked with me on our Health Care Task Force. We put together the
proposal, the Patients' Bill of Rights to reform HMOs, and the Kids
Health Care Initiative that has been very successful last year, and he
has been speaking out on the Social Security issue quite a bit for the
last few weeks. I yield to the gentleman.
Mr. BERRY. I appreciate my colleague from New Jersey yielding me. I,
too, have enjoyed working with him on a number of issues, particularly
health care, and also on this particular issue of Social Security.
Mr. Speaker, I rise today to talk about a program that everyone in
America has a vested interest in, and, of course, that is the Social
Security system.
But I want to make it perfectly clear: I favor cutting taxes, but I
do not favor robbing my children and my grandchildren's future to do
it. Right now millions of working Americans are paying into the Social
Security system and are counting on it for when they retire.
No one should have to worry that one day Social Security will not be
there for them. That is an obligation that our government undertook a
long time ago, and we should honor this obligation. I think that is one
thing that troubles me a great deal, is the apparent willingness of the
majority party here now to disregard the obligations that we have
committed ourselves and our government to in the past. I think it is
also noteworthy here that when Social Security was enacted, not one
Republican voted for it.
In many ways, the Social Security trust fund operates much like a
personal bank account. If an individual deposits more than he or she
spends, the surplus is reflected as a positive balance in that account.
Just as a positive balance sheet for a personal account represents an
obligation by the bank to the individual holding the account, a
positive balance in the Social Security trust fund represents an
obligation of the United States Treasury to that fund. In other words,
you put that money in the trust fund as you are working, and, when you
need it, when you retire, it is owed to you.
While current retirees have nothing to worry about because Social
Security will be there for them, when they need it, the Social Security
system will face undeniable problems in the future. The problems need
to be addressed now--that is, unless some of the people in this
Congress would fulfill a lifelong dream, and that would be to do away
with Social Security, and heaven forbid that that would be allowed to
happen.
I am a farmer. I have been interested or associated with agriculture
all of my life. Farming is a very volatile business; you have good
years and bad years. When you have good years, you pay off your debt,
you invest in the necessary infrastructure to be successful, and then
you put some back for the future.
I think that is what we need to do with the government's so-called
surplus, and certainly what we need to do with the Social Security
trust fund. This year, the Social Security trust fund will collect $100
billion more in payroll taxes and interest than it pays out to the
beneficiaries. However, by 2010, when 76 million baby-boomers begin to
retire, the Social Security system's cash flow surplus will begin to
decline. By the year 2032, the payroll taxes will only generate
approximately 75 percent of the revenues needed to pay for the benefits
of those current retirees. In other words, the trust fund will not have
the money to pay out to all those who have retired.
The problems with the Social Security program are due to
demographics, which include the baby-boom generation, declining birth
rates and increasing life expectancies. As a whole, we are creating an
older society. The number of people 65 and older is predicted to rise
by 75 percent by the year 2025, whereas the number of workers whose
payroll taxes finance the Social Security benefits of retirees is
projected to grow only by 15 percent.
Social Security is financed by payroll and self-employment taxes on a
pay-as-you-go basis, meaning that today's workers are paying for the
benefits of today's retirees. The revenue from Social Security payroll
taxes is deposited in the U.S. Treasury. The programs, benefits and
administrative expenses are paid out of the Treasury. If Social
Security's income exceeds the amount it pays out, as it does currently,
then the surplus is credited to the trust fund in the form of U.S.
securities.
Mr. Speaker, I have come to the floor many times over the last few
weeks to talk about Social Security because I am concerned for my
children and my grandchildren. Some in Congress have suggested recently
that we raid the Social Security trust fund to pay for tax cuts. Some
have said that we can pay for these tax cuts because this year we have
a budget surplus.
I, like everyone, am for tax cuts, as I have already said, but not on
the backs of our children and grandchildren. This surplus simply does
not exist. This surplus is the Social Security trust fund.
The Concord Coalition agrees with me. They say over the next 5 years
the Congressional Budget Office projects a cumulative budget deficit of
$137 billion without dipping into the Social Security trust fund.
Obviously, $137 billion in deficit cannot be used to offset $80 billion
in tax cuts or anything else.
From this year, through the end of 2008, the Congressional Budget
Office predicts a cumulative surplus of $1.6 trillion. Over the same
period, the surplus in the Social Security system is
[[Page H8617]]
also projected to be $1.6 trillion. In other words, all of the
projected budget surplus over the next 11 years is attributable to the
Social Security trust fund, which should be off-budget.
By dipping into this so-called surplus, we are dipping into our
children's and grandchildren's future. We are taking the money that
would have been paid to them by the trust fund and we are saying we
will fix it later, we will pay it back, we will do the right thing,
maybe. We don't care about the future. We care about how it looks today
and how it is going to look on November 3rd.
Is this how we should treat the people of this country? I do not
think so. I cannot return to Arkansas and look the thousands of retired
Arkansans in the first Congressional District in the eye and say, ``I
am sorry, I just wasn't thinking about what would happen down the line.
I was thinking of today.''
As I have said, we should cut taxes, but we should not rob the Social
Security trust fund to do it. There are millions of people who depend
on their monthly Social Security check as a necessary source to
supplement their retirement income. Thousands of retired seniors in my
district and across the country rely on Social Security as their only
source of income. The Social Security System is the most successful
government program ever created. All of the Members of this body should
stop to think about how important the program is to each one of us, to
our children and our grandchildren. We need to save the so-called
surplus to be sure that the Social Security System is solvent.
Members of Congress have a responsibility to not only worry about
today, but to worry about tomorrow. We must ensure that Social Security
will continue to provide the benefits promised to those who have paid
into the system. We must save Social Security. Our children and
grandchildren deserve to know that Social Security will be there for
them when they need it, and we must not rob the Social Security trust
fund.
Mr. PALLONE. Mr. Speaker, again I want to thank my colleague from
Arkansas. I think that what the point the gentleman makes very
effectively is that our position, the Democratic position, is
essentially the fiscally conservative position. Our colleague from
Washington State (Mr. McDermott) was making the point that for so many
years the Republicans and the leadership on the other side of the aisle
kept making the point about how we should not be going further into
debt, and now here we are essentially arguing what is the fiscally
sound thing to do to save for the future to make sure the money is
there, and we are getting opposition from them. So it is amazing to see
how, I guess, the ideologies change somewhat.
But I know the gentleman has always stood on the side of fiscal
conservatism, and this is obviously a manifestation of that. I am proud
to be with the gentleman saying the same thing, because I think it is
so important if we are going to have this money available for Social
Security in the future.
Mr. Speaker, I just wanted to point out again what the Democrats are
proposing. The Democrats have a proposal to save Social Security first,
and our proposal would require by law that the entire amount of the
Social Security surplus in each fiscal year be transferred to the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York to be held in trust for Social
Security. If we pass this bill today or tomorrow or Saturday, the
President would sign it immediately. It is that simple. But,
unfortunately, the Republicans have decided to make this a political
issue, and there is no question in my mind about what they are doing.
First of all, the President has stated unambiguously that if the
Republicans send him a bill that pays for tax cuts with the Social
Security surplus, that he will veto it. So we are not against a tax
cut. The Democratic proposal would essentially have the same tax cuts.
What the President has been saying, and he just reaffirmed it last
week, is that we have been waiting so long, 29 years, for a balanced
budget, and it is a mistake for us to basically when we see the ink,
so-to-speak, turn from red to black and watch it dry for a minute or
two before we get carried away. He is just saying let us not squander
the surplus on tax cuts before we save Social Security.
Today the Democrats had a rally in front of the Capitol. Vice
President Gore was there with a number of Democratic House Members and
Senators. Vice President Gore reiterated this point today when he said
that we are not going to basically rip up the Balanced Budget Act. We
care about the Balanced Budget Act and we want to make sure that we
save Social Security and do not just rip up this Balanced Budget Act by
passing this tax cut.
I think that it is important to know that many of the tax cuts
included in the Republican bill were proposed and sponsored by
Democrats. This is what my colleague from Washington was saying. The
marriage penalty relief, the $500 child credit and the Hope
Scholarship, expanding the deduction of health insurance for the self-
employed, these proposals were actually rejected by the Republicans
when they were offered by Democrats at the committee level.
So it is not that the Republicans really are pushing these proposals,
because they have had ample opportunity to do it before. The point is
that now, just a few weeks before the election, they are suggesting
that this be done, but their intention really is not to have it passed
here and go to the Senate and be signed by the President. They know
that none of that is going to happen in the next few weeks.
The main thing that Democrats are saying tonight and will be saying
over the next few days is that we have to have some fiscal discipline.
We can show seniors and future generations that Congress will be
responsible with the money the American people have entrusted us to
manage for their retirement years. What we are saying is that the
Republicans should abandon this ill-conceived proposal to undermine
Social Security and spare itself the futile exercise of passing a bill
that is speeding basically down a road to nowhere.
I can assure my colleagues on the other side of the aisle that if
they drop this proposal and really move on to a legislative agenda that
has some meaning, addressing HMO reform, addressing environmental and
education concerns, the things that the American people want to see
addressed, we could actually accomplish something here, rather than
wasting our time with this tax proposal, which basically has no chance
of passing and only jeopardizes Social Security.
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