[Congressional Record Volume 144, Number 31 (Thursday, March 19, 1998)]
[Senate]
[Pages S2268-S2281]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
PROTOCOLS TO THE NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY OF 1949 ON ACCESSION OF POLAND,
HUNGARY, AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
The Senate continued with consideration of the treaty.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Michigan.
Mr. ABRAHAM. Might I inquire of the Senator from Alaska if he needed
to introduce amendments?
Mr. STEVENS. The Senator is very generous. I am awaiting two
amendments I have drafted that I wish to put
[[Page S2269]]
in. If I can get the time, I will do it today; if not, tomorrow. I was
not sure we would be in tomorrow. I understand now we probably will be.
Mr. ABRAHAM. I appreciate the Senator from Virginia yielding to speak
to me about the issue of enlarging NATO.
Mr. President, I rise to express my support for legislation expanding
NATO by admitting, at this time, the newly free nations of Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic. It is my hope that we will act soon on
the invitation extended to these countries at the Madrid Summit in
1997, and that this will be only the latest step in an ongoing process
bringing nations and peoples, until recently suffering under communist
tyranny, into the community of free nations and into the sphere of
mutual security provided by NATO.
We should not forget, in my view, Mr. President, that until less than
10 years ago most of Asia and half of Europe, as well as vast stretches
of the rest of the world, were held in the grip of totalitarian
communism.
When the Berlin Wall finally came down it marked a new era in our
history; it marked the greatest explosion in human freedom ever
witnessed on this earth.
Ronald Reagan's victory in the cold war rescued millions of Eastern
Europeans, and Russians, from decades of enslavery. We owe it to him,
to ourselves and to our children to solidify those gains by bringing
the emerging democracies of eastern Europe fully into the community of
free nations. And membership in NATO is a crucial part of that process.
Since its inception immediately following World War II, NATO has
brought free nations together for mutual defense and thereby fostered
mutual understanding and trade.
Because the world remains a dangerous place even after the successful
conclusion of the cold war, there remains a place for NATO. Because the
free world has expanded in the aftermath of the cold war, NATO also
must expand.
Recent events in the Balkans, the Middle East, East Asia, and Africa
show that the world remains a dangerous place, and that the United
States must continue to prepare itself for conflict in any part of the
globe.
Conflicts in the Balkans are particularly disturbing because of their
proximity to our west European allies and because of its potential to
spread conflict to other parts of Europe.
To my mind, Mr. President, it also points up the need for greater
cooperation and integration in Europe. The structures set up by the
NATO alliance in my view provide unique opportunities to foster peace
and cooperation throughout Europe. History shows that the kinds of
cooperation that made NATO so successful at defending the free world
from Soviet communism also can breed peaceful cooperation among member
states.
I believe it is significant that, while NATO has expanded its
membership no less than three times since 1949, at no time has there
been any military conflict among member states, despite sharp and long
histories of political differences between some.
Shared commitment to well-ordered liberty--to democratic politics,
free markets and human rights--united the countries of NATO, in good
times and bad, until, eventually, they faced down the forces of
communism.
What is more, NATO remains the only multilateral security
organization capable of conducting effective military operations that
will protect western security interests.
Of course, Mr. President, we must be careful about which countries we
allow into NATO, as well as when and under what circumstances. But I
believe it is in the interest of the United States, as well as our
European allies, to actively assist European countries emerging from
communist domination in their transition to free governments and free
markets so that these countries may eventually qualify for NATO
membership.
We must extend our hand to peoples now emerging from the long night
of communist dictatorship. We cannot afford to let them despair and
turn, or be dragged, back into the dark.
This makes it particularly appropriate that we begin the process of
NATO expansion by inviting into its membership the newly free nations
of Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. Each of these countries has
suffered greviously from war and from Marxist dictatorship. Each has
worked long and hard to establish its independence, the freedom of its
people and its markets.
We should not forget that it was Lech Walesa's Solidarity movement
that paved the way for the breakdown of the Soviet Empire by refusing
to be cowed by the Communist authorities.
The people of Poland, strong in their faith, exhibited a courage few
of us would wish to be called upon to match.
As a people they demanded freedom of worship. As a people, they
demanded real workers rights in the form of free, non-party unions.
As a people they faced down their communist oppressors and now are
building a free, open and democratic society.
The people of Poland have held free and open elections, established
free markets and worked hard to establish a strong, loyal, civilian-
controlled military. Like few nations on earth, they have embraced
their new-found freedom and deserve our support.
The Czech Republic, while still part of the hybrid nation of
Czechoslovakia, was the last free country to be dragged behind the Iron
Curtain. And its people tried on several occasions, most notably in the
spring of 1968, to regain their freedom. They finally succeeded through
a silent and bloodless revolution.
Under the playwright and statesman Vaclav Havel, the Czech people
have made tremendous progress in institutionalizing free government,
free markets and a responsible military.
As for Hungary, Mr. President, the Hungarian people's attachment to
freedom made them a constant thorn in the side of their Soviet
oppressors. At first their desire for freedom was beaten down with
tanks, later it was allowed limited free play within the Soviet empire.
And the Hungarians made the most of their limited freedom, working
even before the end of the cold war to lay the groundwork for free
markets. Since the tearing down of the Berlin Wall the Hungarian people
also have made great strides in building a freer, more open and
democratic nation.
By extending NATO membership to these nations we will be showing our
approval of the hard work they have done to institutionalize free
government.
Of course, Mr. President, our first duty is to the American people.
We must defend their security and protect their pocketbooks.
But I think we should keep in mind that increasing openness in
central and eastern Europe will benefit us both in terms of security
and in terms of economics. Free peoples with free markets make for good
neighbors and good partners in profitable trade.
It is my hope that we will build on the freedoms and the
relationships already established with and within eastern Europe for
the good of everyone involved.
I know that a number of my colleagues are concerned that the process
of expanding NATO not come at too high a price for the American
taxpayer. As a Senator who has consistently worked for tax cuts, I
share this concern. But I must observe that the legislation under
consideration includes provisions limiting expenditures through the
Partnership for Peace and that it guarantees no country entry into
NATO.
Each country will have to show that it has established democratic
politics, free markets, civilian leadership of police and military
forces and transparent military budgets to gain entrance.
Each country will have to show its ability and willingness to abide
by NATO's rules, to implement infrastructure development and other
activities to make it a positive asset to NATO in its defensive
mission, and to contribute to its own security and that of its NATO
neighbors.
All told, Mr. President, I believe that the provisions of this
arrangement can help us build on the success of the NATO alliance.
I am convinced that we as a nation have a duty to promote democracy
and free markets, wherever they can take root, just as I am convinced
that it is in our interest as a nation to do so. When such forces
coalesce, we should seize the opportunity, as I urge my colleagues to
do with this legislation.
[[Page S2270]]
Mr. President, I realize that there are some among us who have grown
concerned about the prospect of enlarging NATO. But to me, Mr.
President, it seems that this decision is a pretty clear one. It has
always been the mission of the United States to support free people, to
support the efforts of people seeking freedom throughout the globe. In
Central and Eastern Europe, that was a primary mission of America for
nearly one-half century. It seems to me that, upon the successful
completion of the cold war, it would only be natural that the nations
that came into the world of free countries should have the opportunity
to extend their participation in the free world to be part of the NATO
alliance. It was indeed the NATO alliance, more than anything, that
allowed them to find their freedom. It seems only natural that they
would wish to be part of that alliance. And it would seem only natural
that we should allow them to be part of that alliance as soon as they
are able to meet the various entry requirements that we have
established. To me, that is the natural outgrowth of the successful
completion of the cold war.
So, for those reasons, Mr. President, I intend to support the
enlargement of NATO. I believe that Poland, Hungary, and the Czech
Republic are deserving allies and deserving members. I look forward to
seeing the successful completion of this legislation during the next
week.
Mr. WARNER. Again, I express my appreciation to the Senator from
Delaware, the distinguished ranking member of the Foreign Relations
Committee, for his very conscientious attention, along with Chairman
Helms, to this debate.
I pick up again in expressing the grounds for my opposition to the
admission of these three nations, certainly at this time. I also am
going to place in the Record a series of documents today because I
think it is important that those following this debate from a distance
have access to the Record of the proceedings of the U.S. Senate, and
that the views of a number of persons that I and others think are
worthy of attention be placed therein. I ask unanimous consent that a
statement that appeared in the Washington Times on March 18 by Robert
Dole, the former majority leader of the U.S. Senate, entitled ``NATO
Test of U.S. Leadership'' be printed in the Record.
There being no objection, the article was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[From the Washington Times, Mar. 18, 1998]
NATO Test of U.S. Leadership
(By Bob Dole)
For decades, the United States urged communist leaders to
``tear down the Wall.'' Within the past 10 years, people of
Eastern Europe have embraced liberty and undertaken major
reforms in their economies and governments. Now the United
States Senate should take the next step toward ensuring
freedom and democracy for the people of Poland, the Czeck
Republic and Hungary by ratifying the NATO enlargement treaty
and inviting them to join us in NATO.
American leadership on NATO enlargement is important to our
security as well as to the security of Eastern Europe.
At the Madrid Summit last July, President Clinton and the
other NATO leaders unanimously decided to invite Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic to become members of the
alliance, culminating years of efforts by these countries to
meet NATO's strict entry criteria. Last week, under the
bipartisan leadership of Sen. Jesse Helms, North Carolina
Republican, and Sen. Joe Biden, Delaware Democrat, the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee overwhelmingly endorsed NATO
accession legislation by a vote of 16-2. I hope the full
Senate will follow suit without delay.
Two world wars began in Europe, and strife in Bosnia
continues today. Expanding NATO to include Poland, Hungary
and the Czech Republic will help ensure that new threats,
such as ethnic struggles and state-sponsored terrorism, will
be kept in check.
During the half-century that NATO has helped guarantee
peace in Europe, it has added new members three times,
including Germany, Greece, Turkey and Spain. Each addition
made the Alliance stronger and increased its military
capability. Affirming its military importance of NATO
enlargement, 60 top retired U.S. officers--including Colin
Powell and four other former chairmen of the Joint Chiefs of
Staff, nine former service branch chiefs, and top combat
leaders such as Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf--recently signaled
their support of NATO enlargement. Their statement emphasized
that the admission of Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic
will enhance NATO's ability to deter or defend against
security challenges of the future.
What these military leaders and many other Americans
understand is that no free nation has ever initiated a war
against another democracy. Integrating the military, economic
and political structures of Europe's newest stable
democracies into the NATO alliance will help ensure that this
remains true in the 21st century.
Let me take the opportunity to address four major concerns
that critics have raised in this debate. First, some senators
have engaged in a last-minute effort to postpone
consideration of the NATO accession legislation. But members
of both parties and both houses of Congress have already
thoroughly examined questions surrounding NATO enlargement.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee alone has held eight
hearings with more than 37 witnesses, resulting in 550 pages
of testimony. The case has been made: NATO enlargement is in
the interest of the United States. It is time to make it a
reality.
Second, other critics in the Senate have suggested placing
conditions on NATO expansion, thereby ``freezing''
enlargement for an arbitrary number of years. Like the
administration, I oppose any effort in the Senate to mandate
an artificial pause in the process. Such a move would send
the wrong message to countries in both the East and the West,
closing the door on current and potential new allies--and
perhaps tying the hands of a future president.
Furthermore, freezing NATO's membership would create a
destabilizing new dividing line in Europe. Currently, non-
member European nations cooperate extensively with NATO
through the Partnership for Peace Program. But if nations
believe the ultimate goal of NATO membership is unattainable,
any incentive to continue democratic reform will be
substantially diminished.
The alliance's open door commitment, which has been
supported by the United States, has been an unqualified
success. The prospect of NATO membership has given Central
European countries a strong incentive to cooperate with the
alliance, strengthen civilian control of the military, and
resolve longstanding border disputes. All of these advance
U.S. interests. It would be a mistake to abandon a policy
that is clearly achieving its objectives.
Third, some argue that NATO enlargement has hurt or will
hurt cooperation with Russia, or may even strengthen the hand
of hard-line Russian nationalists. This has not been borne
out by the facts. Since the NATO enlargement process began,
President Boris Yeltsin has been re-elected and many
reformers have been elevated within the Russian government.
Mr. Yeltsin pledged at the 1997 Helsinki summit to press for
ratification of START II and to pursue a START III accord.
The Duma also ratified the Chemical Weapons Convention and
President Yeltsin signed the NATO-Russia Founding Act,
creating a new, constructive relationshp with the West.
The world has changed. The debate over NATO expansion
cannot be recast as an extension of the Cold War. I believe
imposing a mandated pause in NATO's engagement would appear
to give Russia a veto over NATO's internal decisions,
contrary of NATO's stated policy, and would strengthen Russia
extremists by enabling them to claim that their scare-tactic
objections swayed the world's most powerful military
alliance.
And last, some skeptics would rather allow the European
Union (EU) to take the lead in building Central and Eastern
Europe's economic and security structure. But with due
respect, NATO, not the EU, is the cornerstone of European
security, which is vital to our own.
As the Senate considers this legislation to allow Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic to complete their journey from
communist dictatorship to NATO membership, we should consider
the words of Czech President Vaclav Havel:
``The Alliance should urgently remind itself that it is
first and fore-most an instrument of democracy intended to
defend mutually held and created political and spiritual
values. It must see itself not as a pact of nations against a
more or less obvious enemy, but as a guarantor of
EuroAmerican civilization and thus as a pillar of global
security.''
NATO protected Western Europe as it rebuilt its war-torn
political and economic systems. With Senate approval of NATO
enlargement, it can, and should, provide similar security to
our allies in Central and Eastern Europe as they re-enter the
community of free nations.
This is no time to postpone or delay action. It is time to
act so that other NATO member countries can move ahead with
ratification knowing the United States is leading the way.
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, it is clearly an endorsement of the
present legislation by one of our most revered and respected former
Senators, whose wartime record and whose record in many other endeavors
places absolutely no question about his knowledge and background to
make such an important contribution as embraced in that article.
Likewise, Mr. President, appearing in today's Washington Post under
the byline of Jim Hoagland, an article entitled ``Foreign Policy by
Impulse.'' I ask unanimous consent that it be printed in the Record.
There being no objection, the article was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[[Page S2271]]
[From the Washington Post]
Foreign Policy By Impulse
(By Jim Hoagland)
The U.S. Senate is moving in haste toward a climactic vote
on NATO expansion, a foreign policy initiative that defines
the Clinton administration's approach to the world as one of
strategic promiscuity and impulse. The Senate should not join
in that approach.
Foreign policy is the grand abstraction of American
presidents. They strive to bargain big, or not at all, on the
world stage. They feel more free there than they do at home
to dream, to emote, to rise or fall on principled positions,
or to stab others in the back at a time of their choosing.
More able to ignore the niggling daily bargains that blur
and bend their domestic policies, presidents treat foreign
policy as the realm in which they express their essence and
personality most directly.
Think in a word, or two, of our recent presidents and U.S.
foreign policy in their day: Johnson's word would be
overreaching. Nixon, paranoid. Carter, delusionally trusting.
Reagan, sunnily simplistic. Bush, prudent technician.
NATO expansion is the Clintonites' most vaunted
contribution to diplomacy, and they characteristically assert
they can have it all, when they want, without paying any
price. Do it, the president told the Senate leadership Monday
in a letter asking for an immediate vote. Others will later
clean up messy strategic details such as the mission an
expanded NATO will have and who else may join.
Sound familiar? Yes, in part because all administrations
advance this argument: Trust us. This will turn out all
right. Russians will learn that NATO expansion is good for
them. The French will not be able to use expansion to dilute
U.S. influence over Europe, try as they may. This will cost
American taxpayers only a penny or two a day. And so on, on a
number of debatable points that I think will work out quite
differently than the administration claims.
But there is also a familiarity of style here distinctive
to this president and those closest to him. And why not? The
all-embracing, frantic, gargantuan life-style that has
allowed those other affairs of state--the Lewinsky, Willey,
Jones allegations--to become the talk of the world
(justifiably or otherwise) also surfaces in major policy
matters. The Senate vote on NATO is not occurring in a
vacuum.
Life is not neatly compartmentalized. The paranoia and
conspiracy that enveloped the Nixon White House manifested
itself in the bombing of Hanoi and the overthrow of Chilean
President Salvador Allende as well as in Watergate. The Great
Society and Vietnam were not conflicting impulses for Lyndon
Johnson, as is often assumed, but different sides of the same
overreaching coin. The lack of perspective and deliberation
apparent in the handling of NATO expansion is apparent
elsewhere in the Clinton White House.
On the issue at hand, the White House is urging the Senate
to amend the NATO charter to admit the Czech Republic,
Hungary and Poland. Majority Leader Trent Lott responded to
Clinton's letter by saying he would schedule a vote in a few
days, despite appeals from 16 senators for more, and more
focused, discussion.
Clinton opposes any more debate, even though he has not
addressed the American public on this historic step and even
though there is no consensus in the United States or within
the 16-member alliance on the strategic mission of an
expanded NATO or on its future membership.
A new ``strategic concept'' for NATO will not be publicly
reached until April 1999, when it is to be unveiled at a 50th
anniversary summit in Washington. When Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright recently said in Brussels that NATO would
evolve into ``a force for peace for the Middle East to
Central Africa,'' European foreign ministers quickly signaled
opposition to such a radical expansion of the alliances's
geographical area of responsibility.
And Albright's deputy, Strobe Talbott, surprised some
European ambassadors to Washington last week when he gave a
ringing endorsement to the possibility of eventual Russian
membership in NATO, an idea that divides NATO governments and
which the administration has not highlighted for the Senate.
``I regard Russia as a peaceful democratic state that is
undergoing one of the most arduous transitions in history,''
Talbott said in response to a question asked at a symposium
at the British Embassy. He said Clinton strongly supported
the view that ``no emerging democracy should be excluded
because of size, geopolitical situation or historical
experience. That goes for very small states, such as the
Baltics, and it goes for the very largest, that is for
Russia.'' This is a message that Clinton has given Boris
Yeltsin in their private meetings, Talbott emphasized.
``This is a classic case of never saying never,'' Talbott
continued. ``If the day comes when this happens, it will be a
very different Russia, a very different Europe and a very
different NATO.''
How different, and in what ways, is worth discussing before
the fact. The Clinton administration has not taken seriously
its responsibility to think through the consequences of its
NATO initiative and to explain those consequences to the
American people. The Senate needs an extended debate, not an
immediate vote.
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, I will refer in my remarks to a
Congressional Budget Office report released March 17, addressed to the
chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, regarding the
Congressional Budget Office cost estimate, a new cost estimate, on NATO
expansion as proposed by the underlying treaty.
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent that this report be printed in
the Record at the conclusion of my remarks.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Without objection, it is so ordered.
(See Exhibit 1.)
Mr. WARNER. Now, Mr. President, as we all know, the President has
announced his goal of welcoming these first three nations into NATO to
mark the alliance's 50th anniversary, scheduled for April 4 of next
year. Several weeks ago, the President submitted to the Senate the
Protocol to the North Atlantic Treaty on the Accession of Poland,
Hungary, and the Czech Republic. For the United States, under the
``advise and consent clause'' of our Constitution, two-thirds of this
body must give their concurrence to the President's request. Likewise,
the new admissions must be agreed to by the other 15 nations in NATO.
Presently, Canada, Denmark and Norway have, in their respective
Parliaments, ratified these Protocols.
If the Senate agrees, this would be the first of perhaps many
expansion rounds to include the nations of Central Europe and some of
the nations of the former Soviet Union. Twelve nations have publicly
expressed a desire to join the current 16 that comprise NATO.
As I said yesterday--and I don't desire to be dramatic--I do believe
this replaces, symbolically, the Iron Curtain that was established in
the late forties, which faced west, with now an iron ring of nations
that face east to Russia. That causes this Senator a great deal of
concern. I have previously expressed my concerns here. I did so again
today in the Senate Armed Services Committee, and I was joined in my
observations on the floor yesterday by my colleague, the senior Senator
from New York, who pointed out that such an iron ring, extending from
the Baltics down to the Black Sea, would, in effect, take a present
part of Russia and place it behind that iron ring. I refer my
colleagues to the remarks of the senior Senator from New York of
yesterday.
In evaluating this issue of NATO expansion, I start from the basic
premise that NATO is, first and foremost, a military alliance. It is
not a political club, it is not an economic club; it is a military
alliance to which members have in the past--I repeat, in the past--been
invited because they were able to make a positive contribution to the
overall security of Europe and to the goals of NATO as laid down by the
founding fathers some nearly 50 years ago.
Nations should be invited into NATO only if there is a compelling
military need for additional members, and only if those additional
members will make a positive military contribution to the alliance.
That case, in my opinion, has yet to be made persuasively with regard
to Poland, Hungary, or the Czech Republic. NATO has been, is, and will
remain, with its present membership, the most valuable security
alliance in the history of the United States, if not the history of the
world. It has fulfilled, it is continuing to fulfill, and will fulfill
the vital role of spearheading U.S. leadership on the European
continent.
Twice in this century American troops, in World War I and World War
II, have been called to leave our shores and go to Europe to bring
about the cessation of hostilities and to instill stability. That is
NATO's principal reason for being, for which we now have that military
presence in Europe today. It justifies an American voice on the
continent, which history dictates is essential to maintain stability.
My concern is, that U.S. military presence could be jeopardized by the
accession of these three nations at this time. My reason for expressing
this concern goes back in the history of this Chamber, when the
distinguished majority leader at one time, Senator Mansfield, beginning
I think in about 1966, came to the floor repeatedly over a period of 7
over 8 years urging colleagues to bring down the number of U.S. troops
in Europe. And, indeed, in
[[Page S2272]]
that period we saw the beginning of a force reduction, where today
there is the phasedown from 300,000 to 100,000.
Harry Truman, distinguished President of the United States--and, in
my judgment, one of the greatest in the history of this country--cited
NATO and the Marshall Plan as the two greatest achievements of his
Presidency. NATO has unquestionably surpassed all of the expectations
that President Truman had, and those associated with him, in founding
this historic alliance.
There is an old axiom: ``If something has worked well, is working
well, what is the compelling reason to try and fix it?'' The burden of
proof, in my judgment, is on those who now want to change this great
alliance.
American leadership has been, is, and always will be essential to
Europe. History has proven that principle beyond any reasonable doubt.
Now a heavy burden falls on those who support expansion--indeed, the
Commander in Chief of our Nation, the President--to carry that burden
through and to place before the American people a convincing argument
that this alliance must be substantially changed by the admission of
three new nations. And I predict, without any hesitation, the beginning
of accessions periodically of other nations, perhaps to the point where
12 would join with the current 16.
It is for that reason that I have filed with the Senate an amendment
to require a moratorium of 3 years on future accessions, should it be
the judgment of this body by a vote of two-thirds of the Senators to
accede these three nations under this treaty. If this first round is
approved, then I want in the resolution of ratification accompanying
this protocol a limitation on this Nation not to involve itself in the
accession of further nations for a period of 3 years. I do that because
we don't know what the costs are of this first round. I will allude
specifically to that momentarily. We don't know how quickly these three
new nations can bring themselves up in terms of military
interoperability with NATO forces today, in terms of other military
standards, and how long it will take them to be a positive, full
partner with NATO and not be what I would regard as a user of NATO
security in that period of time until they can bring themselves up
militarily to NATO standards.
And, most importantly, given the significance of this treaty, why
should we not let an important decision, should that be the result of
two-thirds of our Members, for accession of these three nations--why
should we not patiently wait 3 years so that the next President of the
United States, whoever that may be, can have a voice to express his or
her view that the vital security interests of this country dictate
further accessions, or that the pause should continue for a period of
time? I think we owe no less to our next President, who will be faced
with a substantially different set of conditions, particularly, in my
judgment, as it relates to Russia.
I have great doubts that this burden of proof can be met in such a
way as to prove that NATO expansion now is ``vital'' to America's
national security interests, present or future. For nearly 50 years,
the NATO alliance unquestionably has been vital to our security
interests. To me, ``vital'' means that we will put--I want to speak
very slowly and clearly--that we will put at risk life and limb of the
young men and women who proudly wear the uniforms of the United States
Armed Forces, our troops, as they are called upon to protect any member
nation of NATO. We make that commitment today to the other 15. Now, if
adopted, this treaty pushes the boundary of NATO another 400 miles
towards Russia, taking on hundreds and hundreds of square miles of new
territory. That is what we must focus on--our young men and women who
wear the uniforms and who will be deployed for our contribution to the
NATO force.
Up front, this administration must explain to Americans that any
country joining NATO will be extended protection of article V of the
NATO treaty. That article V states: ``An armed attack against one or
more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack
against them all''--which means we put at risk our people who are sent
as a part of the overall NATO force, along with their comrades,
soldiers and sailors and airmen of the other nations.
This is the most solemn commitment our Nation can make, particularly
as NATO is in a transition phase now, performing a vital mission in
Bosnia, a mission that was never envisioned under the original charter
with clarity. I think the charter conceivably can be interpreted, as it
has been, to embrace this type of mission. What about the next mission,
and the next mission, and the next mission? What about border disputes
between the two nations, three nations, and their neighboring
countries? What about ethnic strife? What about religious strife?
All of these problems are now manifesting themselves throughout this
area as these nations struggle to accede to democracy in the former
Warsaw Pact and other places in the world, and it is a NATO force that
is looked to, to come to the rescue. Bosnia is a case in point.
It is incumbent on the administration next year and the year after to
face up to the request of some nine other nations at the moment who
express a desire to join. If Congress is to concur now, it will have to
justify to the American people, first, the extension of article V to
these three nations, followed by perhaps as many as nine nations in the
years to come.
Let's step back. In the 19 years that I have been privileged to serve
in this Institution, I have participated in all of the debates
regarding the deployment of our troops. But I will bring one to mind,
and that is Somalia.
I was strongly in favor of President Bush deploying our forces in the
cause, not so much because of the vital security interests of the
United States, but for our troops to allow the measure of protection
needed to distribute food and medicine and other benefits to a starving
people, people who are deprived of food as a consequence of a series of
droughts and civil strife in that country.
Senator Levin and I wrote a very detailed report on behalf of the
Armed Services Committee, which traces the entire history of that
operation from the first day that the troops landed under President
Bush as Commander in Chief to the troops withdrawing under President
Clinton. And that mission went through a series of transformations,
transformations that were not carefully observed by the Senate or,
indeed, the Congress.
There came a time when our mission involved what we would call
``nation building,'' and our troops were deployed in a combat role
to try and achieve the goal of nation building. And we all know the
tragedy that ensued when one of those missions resulted in the death of
17 or 18 and the wounding seriously of 70-plus other brave soldiers. We
recall very well the absolute tragic abuse of the body of one of those
brave Americans. This country rebelled. This Chamber rose up in
contempt of what we saw before us, and the call was to bring them
home--bring them home right now. And I felt that the decision having
been made by one President followed up by a second President to deploy
those troops, the decision as to when to bring them home should be made
pursuant to the Constitution of the United States by the Commander in
Chief, the President. I was among those Senators who said let the
President make the decision rather than the Congress as to when to
bring them home. But the Congress reflected the sentiment across
America.
I point this out to illustrate what I call the limited staying power
of this country today. It is far different from what we saw in World
War II, far different from Korea. But we saw the manifestations
beginning in Vietnam--the limitation on the staying power to continue
to accept casualties and losses by this country unless it is manifestly
clear that those losses, be it their death or injury, are clearly
identified with the vital security interests of the United States of
America. I forewarn that with this expansion, our troops committed to
NATO someday could be involved in missions which, in my judgment, would
be very, very hard to justify as being in the vital security interests
of this country, and at that point in time our Nation might focus on
the continued contributions, be it financial or manpower, to NATO. And
underlying that is the question of the possibility of once again
America's presence in Europe, through its NATO
[[Page S2273]]
association, being challenged by the American public.
I see the Senator from Delaware. I will be happy to take a question
at any time.
Mr. MOYNIHAN addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from New York.
Mr. MOYNIHAN. Mr. President, earlier my friend and colleague, the
Senator from West Virginia, described the ring we were putting into
Europe. I observe that within that ring there would be a portion of the
Russian nation. Here is the map.
Mr. WARNER. From the Baltics down to the Black Sea, which face east.
Mr. MOYNIHAN. This is Kaliningrad right here, cut off from Russia by
Lithuania, Belarus, and Latvia.
I would like to make a point that the Russians have already asked for
passage through Latvia and have not received it.
One point about the proposal of the Senator from Virginia to have a
pause before further expansion. Last December, the Woodrow Wilson
National Center for Scholars had a conference on NATO enlargement, and
there was just this one passage that struck me by a Finnish scholar
Tiiu Pohl. She said, ``In 1994, the Friedrich Ebert Stiftung of Germany
organized a study of the Russian military elite to find out whom they
considered to be enemies of the state. The results of the research
showed that Latvia was named most frequently, by 49 percent of the
respondents. Latvia was followed by Afghanistan, Lithuania, and
Estonia. After Estonia came the United States.''
Sir, we are walking into historical ethnic and religious enmities.
Catholics here, Orthodox here, and Lutheran here. We have no idea what
we are getting into.
I thank the Senator.
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, I thank my scholarly friend, the senior
Senator from New York for his valuable contribution. I think the
Senator's point, if I might rephrase it, is those potential disputes
grounded in ancient civilizations and ancient religions can and do
burst open today and result in conflict into which the Armed Forces can
be dragged. What better example than Bosnia.
Mr. MOYNIHAN. Under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty, we would
march our troops right up the Volga.
Mr. WARNER. I thank my friend.
Mr. BIDEN. Mr. President, I find this absolutely astounding. Are my
friends suggesting that the Russians were justified in marching into
Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania and annexing them in the name of
preventing a ring from surrounding them? What in Lord's name are we
talking about? No. 1.
No. 2. I have the map, and I am looking at the map. I am trying to
figure where the ring is. But let's assume it is a ring. It seems to
me, if it is a ring, it is a ring of freedom, a ring of freedom that
tolls out and says anybody who wants to have it put on their finger can
join and work it out, including Russia.
And Kaliningrad is a port, but if you look at the Kola Peninsula at
the top of that map, which is considerably more armed, including with
nukes, than Kaliningrad is, it happens to have shared for the last 40
years a border with a NATO country called Norway, about the same length
of mileage.
Now, look, this is a bit of a red herring, as we used to say when you
practiced law or in law school. What is this ring? We are not talking
about Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia or Belarus or Ukraine or Romania
now. That is not part of the debate today.
Now, if my friends are saying anyone who votes for expanding NATO to
include Poland, the Czech Republic, and Hungary are tying this noose
around the Russian neck, this iron ring, well, then, I don't quite get
it. But if they are saying that if you vote for these three you must be
saying you are going to vote for all 12 or 15 or whatever, well, then,
that is not how it works. That is a fight for another day.
But I find this notion that Kaliningrad, which was awarded, if you
will, to Russia after World War II, that subsequent to that the
Russians were justified--they didn't say this; I am saying this--that
the Russians were justified to assure that they could have access to
this piece which was separated from their otherwise--we call them the
contiguous 48--separated from their historic border, that they were
justified in taking the freedom of the Lithuanians so they could have
access, the Lithuanians are somehow out of line because they will,
based on some notion of, apparently, religion or some just
international pique of some kind, not allow Russian troops to march
through their country and that makes them bad guys--the same troops
that subjugated them for the last four decades. I don't find that a
religious concern. I do not understand how that somehow makes the
Lithuanians a little bit shaky. These are the people who for 40 years
subjugated them, took away their national identity. And now just 7 or 8
short years after the wall is down they are somehow the bad guys
because they will not allow Russian divisions to march from Kaliningrad
to Moscow. Oh, my goodness.
And the other argument I am finding fascinating, the solemn
commitment--it is a solemn commitment--we make if, in fact, we find
ourselves saying that another member can join, we make a solemn
commitment to them just as we did Germany, and the comparison is made
between Poland and Somalia. We had no staying power in Vietnam and
Somalia. I would respectfully submit that Vietnam and Somalia are not
Central Europe; they are not Poland; they are not Hungary.
Implicit in the statement is if, in fact, tomorrow or the next day or
the next year or the next decade someone invaded Poland again, we
would, like the French, stand there with our thumbs in our ears and not
respond, then I say we really have lost the meaning of what it means to
be an American. That is what Europe did. They refused to make a solemn
commitment to Poland. Then when they did make it, they broke it.
What I find an incredible leap here is, what commitment are we making
in NATO that I hope every Senator on this floor would not make absent
Poland being part of NATO? Is someone suggesting to me tomorrow--and
this is not a possibility realistically, but if Russia decided to put
40 divisions back in Poland and the Senator from Oregon, presiding,
stood up and said, ``We should respond,'' what do you think would
happen on this floor? Well, I hope to God what would happen on this
floor would not be what happened in the British Parliament, what
happened in the French legislature, what happened in the other capitals
of Europe. I hope we would not say, ``Oh, my goodness, no; maybe they
have a historic right. Oh, my goodness, let's think about it. We will
be making a commitment that is awful. Oh, my goodness, this is a
dilemma.''
What is the dilemma? What is the dilemma? Or Hungary. By the way, I
happened to notice on the map, I don't know that anybody is talking
about Ukraine, including Ukraine. I don't know that anybody is talking
about Belarus, including Belarus. I don't know that anybody is talking
about Slovakia, including Slovakia as being members of NATO now or in
the near term. It seems to me they somehow sit between that iron ring
and that noble emerging democracy of Russia.
Look, I guess the thing that sort of got my goat a little bit here is
that Americans do not have staying power. What they are really talking
about is the Senator's generation and mine, Mr. President, that we do
not have staying power. I will tell you about the staying power. The
staying power of my friend's generation was real, but it was enviable
because they didn't have to doubt whether or not what they were doing
was saving the world. They didn't have to doubt whether or not what
they were doing was, in fact, literally preserving the freedom of their
wives and children back home in the old U.S.A. They didn't have to
doubt that they were out there fighting one of the most miserable SOBs
in the history of mankind.
But my generation went full of doubt and still went--and still went--
never once having the solace of knowing the malarkey we were being fed
about Vietnam approached the truth of what their generation was fed
about Nazi Germany and fascism in Europe. But they went. I don't doubt
the staying power of the American people. I doubt the wisdom of our
leadership in the places we have asked them to stay. But if this
implies that if there were--and there is no realistic prospect of
this--but if there were an invasion of Poland or Hungary or the Czech
Republic, not a border dispute, an invasion, that we would not respond,
that we would have
[[Page S2274]]
to think about it, that there is any substantive difference today----
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, if I might----
Mr. BIDEN. Between the invasion of Warsaw and the invasion of a
former East German city, Dresden, what is the substantive difference?
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, I would like to reply to the Senator.
Mr. BIDEN. I will yield in just 2 seconds.
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, it happens to be my floor.
Mr. BIDEN. I yield then. I am sorry. I thought the Senator yielded.
Mr. WARNER. Go ahead.
Mr. BIDEN. It just confuses me.
Mr. WARNER. Go ahead and finish up.
Mr. BIDEN. I am finished. It seems to me this iron ring is no ring at
all, the notion that Kaliningrad is somehow going to be isolated
relating to expansion. It is already isolated because of the place
called Lithuania. The only answer to the lack of isolation is Lithuania
limiting their sovereignty. That is the only answer. There is none
other. Nobody can get from Kaliningrad to Russia through Poland. They
are not trying to get there that way. This is about Lithuania when you
talk about Kaliningrad. And the commitment being made to Poland and the
Czech Republic and to Hungary, I hope we would make whether or not
there was a NATO to which they would join.
Mr. WARNER addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Virginia.
Mr. WARNER. I say in a very calm way, I listened carefully to my
colleague. I take to heart what he has said. And I think it is very
important. I don't question his generation in Vietnam. It was my
privilege to be in the Pentagon at that point in time with the
Department of the Navy. I went out across the country, spoke at the
campuses, watched the extreme objection by his generation and, in
hindsight, there was a lot of merit to that objection.
I remember very well Secretary of Defense Melvin Laird, under whom I
served as Secretary of the Navy, saying, we have to figure out how to
withdraw the United States from Vietnam. That is history. But in World
War II, during which I served a modest period at the very end, and my
colleague from New York, a somewhat longer period, our generation
marched off under the old refrain, ``Ours is not to reason why, ours is
but to do or die.'' We simply went, never questioned it. And as the
Senator from Delaware said, there was greater clarity as to the enemy,
the cause, and we had absolutely magnificent support on the home front.
When I returned from Korea, then serving in the Marines for a short
period of time, there was a marked difference between the attitude in
America for the returning veterans of Korea and the veterans of World
War II. And then during the Vietnam war we all know full well the
turmoil on the home front and the difficulty with which the brave young
men and women who fought in that battle wearing the uniform of the
United States had to cope with not only in battle in Nam but
regrettably a battle of a different form at home.
But I say to my friend, staying power in this Senator's mind is an
important point, and that is why I brought it up because we no longer
have the attitude: ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do or die.
Every person in uniform reasons today. I don't suggest they question
the orders, but they reason. The people at home reason. They want to
know with clarity as to what the mission is, and whether or not it is
in our vital security interests.
I remind my good friend of the debate that took place on this floor
before the Persian Gulf war. It was my privilege to have written the
resolution authorizing the use of force in 1991, after President Bush
had put in place, in the gulf, 500,000 American troops, had formed a
coalition of 30-plus nations, and we were ready to do battle with
Saddam Hussein, who had invaded Kuwait and perpetrated acts of criminal
warfare that we had not seen for some period of time.
Kuwait was aflame, the streets littered with the debris of war. In
this Chamber we had an excellent debate as to whether or not we would
allow the President of the United States to use force by the men and
women already in place to repel that invasion. It went on for 2\1/2\
days. And by a mere five votes, only a five-vote margin, did this
Chamber agree with that resolution. How well I remember that event.
Mr. BIDEN. Will the Senator yield for a short question?
Mr. WARNER. Yes.
Mr. BIDEN. As calmly as I can say it, I guess the point I am trying
to make is, it seems to me we should compare apples and apples and
oranges and oranges. Does the Senator believe there is any more or less
support on the part of the American people to defend Dresden than there
is Warsaw? To defend Budapest than there is Florence? To defend any one
of the countries that we are talking about, their cities, than any
other European city? It seems to me that is the question. If we would
not go, if we cannot get American staying power to defend Poland, then
I respectfully suggest we cannot get American staying power to defend
Germany.
I would think, in America, if you ask for a show of hands, so to
speak, on a question of whether we should defend anybody--but the
reasonable comparison was these NATO nations that are seeking admission
versus NATO nations that are already in. To compare this to Iraq, with
all due respect, is comparing very different things.
By the way, five votes were a close call. But in my father's
generation it was one vote that allowed the draft. The British had
already been pushed into the English Channel, all of Europe had already
been conquered, Jews were already being slaughtered, and there were not
a lot of people walking off this floor, or any other floor in this
generation or any other generation, raising their hands to join. It was
only after Pearl Harbor. I don't say that critically; I say that as an
observation, a statement of history, historical fact.
So, this notion that the staying power in Somalia or even in the gulf
should be equated to the staying power that would or would not exist in
Poland, the Czech Republic or Hungary, I think is comparing two
different things. I think the most appropriate comparison would be--and
you may be right, Senator, that there is no staying power--but the
staying power we would have to defend Germany, the staying power that
we would have to defend Turkey, I will lay you out 8 to 5, you take the
bet, if you took a poll in the United States of America and said you
must send your son or daughter to defend one of the two following
countries, Poland or Turkey, I will bet my colleague a year's salary
they will say ``Poland.''
I will bet you a year's salary, and that is all I have. I have no
stocks, bonds, debentures, outside income. I will bet you my whole
year's salary. You know I am right. As Barry Goldwater would say, ``you
know in your heart I'm right.''
So, if there is no staying power for Poland there sure in heck is
none for Turkey.
Mr. WARNER. Mr. President, I brought this up because this Senator
feels differently. I think the American people in their heart of hearts
want to go to the defense of human beings wherever they are in trouble
in the world, irrespective of race, color or creed. But they must apply
a standard because it is their sons and daughters who go, and that
standard should always be: Is that deployment and risk of life in the
vital security interests of our Nation and/or our allies? The NATO
treaty, as it has been drafted and utilized these nearly 50 years, has
had clarity on that point. We have now gotten involved in an internal
conflict in Bosnia, and we thank the dear Lord that we have not
experienced in that ravaged nation the casualties that could have come
about. And the staying power of the American people, had we experienced
over the past year a considerable number of casualties--I am not
certain what that staying power would have been. I really am not
certain. But I want to make it very clear it is the vital security
interests that should always underlie any deployment.
I brought in Somalia because I was greatly disturbed by the debate.
Some of my most respected colleagues said, ``Bring them home
tomorrow,'' irrespective of the President's, the Commander in Chief's
prerogatives to decide when to deploy and when to bring troops back,
absent the Congress of the United States speaking through its
[[Page S2275]]
power of the purse. I think we should always defend that executive
prerogative.
So my concern is just to raise the article 5 commitment clearly, that
``an attack on one is an attack on all,'' and away we go. And now, as
we are broadening the basis for NATO military actions, as we have in
Bosnia, to involvement in a clear, historical conflict rooted in the
diversity of religions and ethnic differences, we have to be ever so
careful, as we add nations into the NATO alliance.
At the conclusion of this colloquy I would like to have printed in
the Record, jointly with my distinguished colleague from New York, one
of the most erudite pieces I have ever seen written on the debate we
are now having, ``Expanding NATO Would Be the Most Fateful Error of
American Policy in the Entire Post-Cold-War Era,'' by George F. Kennan.
I know my distinguished colleague has a great deal of respect for the
author of this article.
I have a number of serious concerns with the policy of NATO expansion
that I would like to address today. Among these concerns are the impact
of expansion on NATO's military capabilities; the cost of expansion to
the United States; the role expansion will play in the economic
competition currently underway in Central Europe; and the impact of
expansion on U.S.-Russian relations.
Keeping in mind that NATO is fundamentally a military alliance, we
must ask this question--Will Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic be
able to contribute to the security of the Alliance, or will they be net
consumers of security for the foreseeable future? In other words,
what's in it for NATO? Even by its own estimates, NATO is working with
a ten-year time line for the cost of NATO expansion which indicates
NATO is planning on at least a decade of modernization efforts before
these three nations can ``pull their weight.'' That's a long time to
extend a security commitment with little or no ``payback.''
We must also keep in mind that once these three are admitted to
NATO--if indeed that does happen--there would be 19 nations, not just
the current 16, that must agree before NATO could act on any issue. As
we all know, NATO acts only by consensus. The more nations that are
added, the harder that consensus will be to achieve. If NATO expands
much further, we are in danger of turning this fine Alliance into a
``mini-U.N.,'' where all action is reduced to the lowest common
denominator.
What are the monetary costs involved in expansion? Well, at this
point, it's anyone's guess. The cost estimates on NATO expansion have
ranged from a low of $1.5 billion over 10 years (NATO estimate), to a
high of $125 billion over the same time frame CBO original estimate. I
expect that the truth lies somewhere in between these two extremes--
only time will tell. What will be the U.S. share of this expansion
bill? Will our current allies pay their fair share? As we evaluate
these questions, we must keep in mind a couple of facts: our European
allies have traditionally spent less on defense as a percentage of GDP
than we have, and they are all currently in a period of reducing their
defense forces.
Is this a time when it is realistic for us to assume that our allies
will increase their defense spending for the purpose of expanding the
Alliance? The French have certainly made their position clear on this
issue. They simply will not increase their contributions to NATO for
the purpose of expansion. According to French President Jacques Chirac,
``France does not intend to raise its contribution to NATO because of
the cost of enlargement. We have done our own analysis and we concluded
that enlargement could be done at no additional cost, by re-directing
funds and making other savings.'' This is not the type of attitude we
need from our allies at a time when we are contemplating a major new
commitment, which will involve substantial costs.
I am also greatly concerned about the economic aspects of NATO
expansion. In my view, the greatest threat to the nations of Central
Europe today is the struggle for economic survival. These nations are
all competing for previous foreign investment as they struggle to
rebuild economies devastated by decades of Communist rule. If we grant
NATO membership to three of these nations, those three will gain a
tremendous advantage in this fierce economic competition. They will be
able to advertise that foreign investment will be safe in their
nation--it will be protected by the NATO security umbrella. What type
of resentment will this breed between the NATO ``haves'' and ``have-
nots?'' Will this encourage conflicts into which NATO will be obligated
to intervene on behalf of Poland, Hungary or the Czech Republic? Again,
only time will tell.
And what of the impact of NATO expansion on U.S.-Russian relations?
We all know that Russia is not happy with the expansion policy. They
have grudgingly accepted the first round, but will clearly be
strenuously opposed to future rounds which move NATO's border even
farther eastward. While I do not believe that we should allow Russia to
dictate U.S. policy on issues which we regard as vital to our national
security, I also do not believe that we should unnecessarily antagonize
the only nation with the nuclear capability to destroy our nation. The
Administration readily admits that there is no foreseeable military
threat to Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. If that is the case,
what is the rush to expand the Alliance? Wouldn't it be more important
to the national security interests of the United States to first deal
with the Russians on issues such as the further reduction of nuclear
weapons and the control of the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction before we worried about changing an Alliance which is
currently functioning without problems?
To continue as the leading nation in NATO, we must have the American
people solidly behind our President, our committed troops. It was not
so long ago--back in the 1960s and 1970s--that Majority Leader Mike
Mansfield annually sponsored legislation calling for a reduction in the
U.S. military presence in Europe. Those debates continued into the
1980s during a peak of the cold war. I fear we could see a return of
these annual calls to reduce our commitment to NATO if the American
people become disillusioned with an expanded NATO.
This nation will continue to engage in a comprehensive debate on this
issue over the years to come, but next week the Senate will be asked to
vote on NATO membership for Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic. The
American people must be convinced that the protection of these new NATO
member nations is worth the sacrifices of life and economy--in our
``vital'' security interest.
If that case is not made, the staying power of the American people is
sure to wane were a dispute to arise involving the new NATO nations.
And the support of the American people for NATO itself, which has been
the pillar of U.S. national security policy in Europe since the end of
World War II, could be threatened. That would be the greatest tragedy
of all.
I am not willing to take that risk. I will vote against ratification
when the Senate is asked to cast its vote on the resolution of
ratification.
I am going to momentarily conclude my remarks. But I want to cover
the important hearing of the Armed Services Committee today. We had
former Secretary of Defense Perry; Ms. Susan Eisenhower, the daughter
of Colonel John Eisenhower, and the granddaughter of our distinguished
former President; William Hyland, a man who has had many, many years of
professional association in foreign policy; and William Kristol, who is
a noted commentator on very many issues, particularly security issues.
I want to read part of the testimony given by Ms. Eisenhower. She
recites an important part of contemporary history on this issue.
In 1991, a distinguished bi-partisan panel of 26 current
and former government officials offered recommendations for
the post-Cold War security environment in a booklet published
by the Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute/SAIS. Titled,
``The United States & NATO in an Undivided Europe,'' the
report outlined the remarkable series of changes that had
recently taken place and focused on NATO's future role in
assuring that ``Europe is truly 'whole and free.' '' The NATO
alliance would require reform and downsizing to ``a small,
but militarily meaningful number,'' they said, along with the
capability for a future ``redeployment of U.S. combat troops
in the event of crisis.'' But they asserted, ``The Alliance
should reject proposals to expand its membership by including
east European nations.''
[[Page S2276]]
That is rather interesting. There is another paragraph.
Obviously such an extension of the Alliance's area of
responsibility would be perceived by the Soviets as
threatening and as a repudiation of Mikhail Gorbachev's aim
to build a ``common European home,'' the justification for
his voluntary relinquishment of the USSR's previous hold on
Eastern Europe.
Then I skip to a final paragraph:
``Among the twenty-six signatories were Senators Sam Nunn and Bill
Bradley, as well as Generals Andrew Goodpastor and William Y. Smith.
But the document was also signed by our current Secretary of Defense,
William Cohen, along with Zbigniew Brzezinski, Peter Rodman,''--who
spoke before a group here in the Senate yesterday and with whom I
debated before the Council on Foreign Relations in New York City on
Monday--``Helmut Sonnenfeldt and Norm Augustine, all of whom have since
done an about-face and are outspoken advocates in favor of expanding
the alliance.''
It is very interesting. In the course of this debate, I and others
will point out where not more than 8 or 9 years ago there was serious
opposition in many circles of Government to the very thing that we are
espousing in this treaty.
I conclude by referring to an article in the New York Times, which I
will ask unanimous consent to have printed in the Record of today's
colloquy. October 21, 1997, the article was jointly written by Warren
Christopher, former Secretary of State, and William J. Perry, former
Secretary of Defense, who testified before us today. I will read a
paragraph attributed to both.
And what should the alliance do about other countries
seeking admission? It should remain open to membership to all
states of the Partnership for Peace, subject to their ability
to meet the stringent requirements for admission. But no
additional members should be designated for admission until
the three countries now in the NATO queue are fully prepared
to bear the responsibilities of membership and have been
fully integrated into the alliance military and political
structures.
Mr. President, Dr. Perry today implied that would take years. The
NATO cost report itself indicated that would take years. That is the
very reason that my distinguished colleague from New York and I have
put in our amendment, as an insurance, should this body go forward with
this treaty and the three accessions, that there be a period of 3 years
within which the United States of America can examine the cost, examine
the ability of new nations to measure up to NATO standards and make a
positive contribution to the objectives of NATO. And I add, of course,
I think the next President is entitled to the strongest of voices on
the issue of further accessions.
Mr. President, I now ask unanimous consent the material to which I
referred be printed in the Record, and I yield the floor.
There being no objection, the material was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[From Newsday]
Expanding NATO Would Be the Most Fateful Error of American Policy in
the Entire Post-Cold-War Era
(By George F. Kennan)
The U.S. Senate seems poised to make that error.
In the next few weeks it is expected to approve an
amendment to the NATO treaty that would add Poland, Hungary,
and the Czech Republic to the defense alliance. It is
potentially a mistake of historic proportions.
Despite the warning of Ambassador George Kennan, one of the
most respected foreign-policy thinkers of the century;
despite the reality that there has been little substantive
debate; despite the admission by many senators that the more
they learn about the consequences of enlarging NATO, the more
doubtful they become about its merits; despite the widespread
distrust of the administration's estimate of what enlargement
would actually cost American taxpayers; despite the lack of
compelling national interest, the Senate seems ready to plow
ahead.
Why? Part of the answer is that in this post-Cold War
period, foreign policy has become a second-level, even a
third-level interest, in Washington. Nobody has been paying
that much attention. It is inconceivable that such a war-and-
peace issue would have received so little attention during
the Cold War. But now many senators admit they are just
beginning to focus on this question. New York's Alfonse
D'Amato said last week that the more he has learned about the
issue the more troubled he is about it. He no longer sees it
as an open-and-shut case.
But there are many other reasons for the Senate's dogged
march toward approval. One is politics. There are organized
ethnic interest groups lobbying for NATO enlargement, while
those who oppose it cannot exert a counterbalancing political
force. Another is that the Clinton administration, led by
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, has committed the
nation's prestige to enlarging NATO and many senator fear--
falsely in our opinion--that it is too late to turn back now.
Documents have been signed, promises have been made. But the
U.S. Constitution requires that the Senate approve treaties
by a two-thirds vote. More damaging than turning back now
would be to move ahead arrogantly and blindly.
Still another factor is a belief by some that the only way
to maintain the U.S. military presence in Europe and bring
stability to Eastern Europe's new democracies is to expand
NATO's security blanket there. They believe the vacuum
created by the fall of the Soviet Union must be filled by the
West. And finally, another reason is the visceral anti-
Russian feeling that still exists in this country, post-Cold
War, * * * Soviet Union. The attitude is that the Russians
can't be trusted and this will make it clear that the Iron
Curtain will never again be drawn across Eastern Europe.
these questions must be faced
But while some of that thinking is explicable, it doesn't
stand up to the tough questions that must be asked about NATO
expansion:
For instance, if the purpose of post-Cold-War foreign
policy is to bring the former Soviet bloc nations into a
united Europe, why do it through a military alliance instead
of a political-economic alliance designed for the future of
Europe, namely the European Union? NATO, by its very nature
if threatening to Russia.
For instance, if NATO expands to include these three
countries, what is the next step? Romania and Slovenia?
Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia? Ukraine? Where to draw the
line? And what effect will moving NATO's boundaries next to
Russia have on Russia's foreign policy and its attitude
toward the West?
For instance, is it really a wise policy to humiliate
Russia, especially when doing so provides no clear gain for
U.S. policy. The United States and its allies promised that
NATO's borders would not be moved eastward when Moscow agreed
to the peaceful unification of Germany. How can this action,
then, be justified? Is it right to say the promise need not
hold because the USSR no longer exists and the West won the
Cold War? Russia simply isn't in a position to stop the West
from strutting.
For instance, to what extent has the threat of NATO
expansion already contributed to a deterioration of relations
with Russia? In dealings with Iraq? In the Balkans? On the
critical issue of eliminating Russia's weapons of mass
destruction--nuclear, chemical and biological? One of
Russia's top security experts, Alexei Arbatov, who has
championed cooperation with the West, recently wrote that, in
Russia, NATO expansion is seen as a defeat for the policy of
broad cooperation with the West. He said: ``NATO expansion
will plant a permanent seed of mistrust between the United
States and Russia. It will worsen existing differences on
everything from nuclear arms control to policies in Iraq
and Iran. It will push Moscow into alliances with China,
India and rogue regimes. And it will move America toward
unilateral actions, disregarding the interests and
positions of other states.''
For instance, what happens if NATO takes in just the three
nations and then stops expanding, as some senators have
suggested. Won't that result in a new division of Europe?
Wouldn't it be a tacit signal that those not part of NATO are
within a Russian sphere of influence? To counter that, will
NATO be compelled to continue expanding east, right up to
Russia's borders? Would that move set Washington on a
collision course with the European members of NATO who
strongly oppose further expansion? If it is important to
bring Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic into NATO now,
why can't the same argument be made of Lithuania, Latvia and
Estonia? They, after all, border Russia.
For instance, do the American people really understand that
this is a treaty commitment to defend these nations of
Eastern Europe as if an attack on any one of them is an
attack on the mainland of the United States? And if the
country is not absolutely serious about such an obligation,
as some fear, what does that do to the credibility of NATO
and the United States?
For instance, what will expansion cost? the administration
recently estimated the total cost would be $1.5 billion. But
only last year the estimate was $27 billion to $35 billion.
Has the Senate asked how the administration came to shrink
its estimate 96 percent, especially in light of the
Congressional Budget Office's estimate of $125 billion? the
Europeans have already indicated they will not share in the
cost of expanding NATO. And does it make any sense for the
emerging economies of the Eastern European states to increase
defense spending? Isn't that the last thing their economies
need?
And, most important of all, if everybody agrees the goal is
the long-term independence, freedom and stability of the
former Soviet bloc nations, isn't the most important
historical variable the success or failure of democracy in
Russia? Indeed, isn't that the single most important foreign-
policy question for the United States and its allies in the
coming years? And, if that is so, why take any steps now that
would undercut the
[[Page S2277]]
position of the pro-democracy forces in Russia and play into
the hands of the ultranationalists and xenophobes? Russia, by
almost all estimates, is in such bad military shape now that
it could not threaten its neighbors for seven to 10 years. If
things go badly, there will be time to take steps to protect
Eastern Europe. But what is the rush? Albright reassures us
that the Russians don't really mind. Does anybody really
believe that is the case?
one answer: wait until they join the eu
If voting against NATO enlargement is too heavy a political
lift, New York's senior senator, Daniel Patrick Moynihan, has
offered an amendment that would delay NATO expansion until
these nations first are voted in as members of the European
Union. That is a commonsense proposal, first suggested by a
bipartisan group of foreign-policy experts including former
Sens. Sam Nunn and Howard Baker and retired Gen. Brent
Scowcroft, the national security advisor to both Presidents
Gerald Ford and George Bush. Moynihan correctly asks what is
the need to rush into such an important and consequential
decision.
The answer to Moynihan's question is simple: There is no
reason to rush into expanding NATO. The U.S. Senate shouldn't
be acting until it has a much better grasp of how all those
questions can be answered.
____
[From the New York Times, Oct. 21, 1997]
NATO's True Mission
(By Warren Christopher and William J. Perry)
Fifty years ago Secretary of State George Marshall called
upon the people of the United States to contribute to the
building of a new Europe ``united in freedom, peace, and
prosperity.'' Succeeding generations of Americans rallied in
support of Marshall's vision, electing leaders who were
committed to fostering and maintaining the strongest possible
ties between America and Europe's democracies, both old and
new.
The most important expression of this commitment has been
the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. And, we believe, NATO
still has that central responsibility even though the
political and military circumstances that prevail in Europe
have changed.
It is true that the alliance has achieved its original
military mission, having deterred attack from the Warsaw
Pact. But that was never its only role. It was given that
task in the context of General Marshall's much larger
vision--of a democratic Europe committed to working together
instead of against itself, with the unflagging involvement of
the United States as the ultimate guarantor of that spirit of
cooperation.
The United States must continue to play this role as
democratic Europe itself enlarges, and this is why a Senate
vote against enlargement of NATO would be a major mistake.
But it is also time to move beyond the enlargement debate.
Adding new members is not the only, or even the most
important, debate over the alliance's future. A much larger
issue looms: What is the alliance's purpose?
The alliance needs to adapt its military strategy to
today's reality: the danger to the security of its members is
not primarily potential aggression to their collective
territory, but threats to their collective interests beyond
their territory. Shifting the alliance's emphasis from
defense of members' territory to defense of common interests
is the strategic imperative.
These threats include the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction, disruption of the flow of oil, terrorism,
genocidal violence and wars of aggression in other regions
that threaten to create great disruption.
To deal with such threats, alliance members need to have a
way to rapidly form military coalitions that can accomplish
goals beyond NATO territory. This concept is not new. Such a
``coalition of the willing'' made up the Implementation Force
in Bosnia under alliance command and control, and another
made up the war-fighting force in Desert Storm, which drew
heavily on alliance training and procedures.
Such coalitions will include some--but not necessarily
all--NATO members, and will generally include non-members
from the Partnership for Peace program, the alliance's
program of training the militaries of the former warsaw Pact.
In both the Persian Gulf war and in Bosnia, the coalitions
did not include NATO members alone. So the distinction
between full membership and partnership promises to be less
important in the alliance of the future.
The decision to use the alliance's forces beyond NATO
territory would require a unanimous decision of its members,
including the United States. That is the answer to those who
fear that such troops might be deployed imprudently on far-
flung missions to other continents.
Defense of members' territory would remain a solemn
commitment of the Allies, of course. But such territory is
not now threatened, nor is it likely to be in the foreseeable
future.
What should NATO do with, and about, the Russians? An
evolution in the alliance's focus and forces from defense of
territory to defense of common interests would signal to
Russian skeptics that NATO had moved beyond its original
purpose of containing Moscow. Moreover, Russian military
leaders can well understand the alliance's shift from the
large static deployments of the cold war to smaller, more
mobile forces. They are trying to do the same in their own
program of military reform. They have a strong incentive to
carry out such reforms in cooperation with other partners.
The NATO-Russia Founding Act, which provides the framework
for the new alliance and the new Russia to work together, is
an important step toward forging a productive relationship
between the two. Putting the act's political provisions into
practice will require responsible actions on both sides. But
the Founding Act's military provisions are less problematic
and more important. They offer tangible benefits to both
sides in the short and long term.
The objective of these provisions should be permanent,
institutionalized military relationships modeled on those
forged in Bosnia, where NATO and Russian soldiers have served
shoulder to shoulder. As has happened before in the alliance,
such cooperation changes attitudes by creating shared
positive experiences to supplant the memory of dedicated
antagonism. It also engages a critical constituency in the
formation of the new Eurasian security order: the Russian
military. Practical cooperation dealing with real-world
problems of mutual concern is more important than meetings
and councils.
And what should the alliance do about other countries
seeking admission? It should remain open to membership to all
states of the Partnership for Peace, subject to their ability
to meet the stringent requirements for admission. But no
additional members should be designated for admission until
the three countries now in the NATO queue are fully prepared
to bear the responsibilities of membership and have been
fully integrated into the alliance military and political
structures.
What about the alliance's relations with other non-member
states? The security concerns of most countries of Eastern
Europe and the former Soviet Union will be addressed outside
the context of NATO membership. But the alliance and the
United States must play a crucial role. Partnership for Peace
should receive attention comparable to that accorded to
enlargement. In particular, the partnership should receive
substantially more financing from alliance members.
Partnership for Peace countries should be as capable of
working with NATO as NATO members are.
The alliance must also devote time, attention and resources
to its relations with Ukraine, now formalized through the
NATO-Ukraine Charter, and continue its strong support of
regional military cooperation among partnership members.
We well understand that some of the ideas we are advancing
go beyond tradition. But to resist change because change
entails risk is not only short-sighted but also dangerous.
One thing is clear. Neither the American public nor the
citizenry of its allies will continue to support an
alliance--enlarged or unenlarged--that appears to focus on
nonexistent threats of aggression in Europe. For NATO to
succeed, it must develop the ability to respond to today's
security needs.
Leadership requires vision. It also entails determination,
persistence, and having the courage of one's convictions.
George Marshall understood what it meant to lead. So must we.
Exhibit 1
U.S. Congress,
Congressional Budget Office,
Washington, DC, March 17, 1998.
Hon. Jesse Helms,
Chairman, Committee on Foreign Relations,
U.S. Senate,
Washington, DC.
Dear Mr. Chairman: The Congressional Budget Office has
prepared the enclosed cost estimate for the Resolution of
Ratification of Treaty Document 104-36.
If you wish further details on this estimate, we will be
pleased to provide them. The CBO staff contact is Jeannette
Deshong.
Sincerely,
June E. O'Neill,
Director.
Enclosure.
congressional budget office cost estimate
Resolution of Ratification of Treaty Document 105-36
(Protocols to the North Atlantic Treaty of 1949 on
Accession of Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic)
Summary: The resolution would ratify protocols to the North
Atlantic Treaty of 1949 that would admit Poland, Hungary, and
the Czech Republic as members of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization (NATO). Expanding the alliance would require the
United States to contribute additional funding for equipment
or capabilities shared by members of NATO. CBO estimates that
those costs would initially be in the tens of millions of
dollars and would reach about $100 million a year after four
or five years. Ultimately, the United States and its NATO
allies have considerable discretion in how to implement the
protocols and, therefore, in the costs that would be
incurred.
Estimated cost to the Federal Government: On December 16,
1997, the United States and the other parties to the North
Atlantic Treaty signed protocols to expand NATO to include
three new members. Article V of the treaty commits each
nation to provide assistance--including the use of armed
force--to restore and maintain the security of any threatened
member. The protocols, if ratified, would extend full NATO
membership to Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic
including a security guarantee under Article V.
[[Page S2278]]
In addition to spending for special national needs, NATO
members contribute funds for equipment and facilities needed
to accomplish common goals. NATO members share the costs of
the alliance's spending for civilian and military
headquarters, the Airborne Early Warning Force, various
science and public information programs, and the NATO
Security Investment Program (SIP) that covers common
infrastructure projects, communications and air defense
systems. Overall totals for the commonly funded budgets
are determined collectively, and individual contributions
are based on formulas for burden sharing.
Expanding the alliance would entail greater costs for
improving command, control, communications, logistics and
infrastructure--primarily the activities covered under SIP.
The United States and its NATO allies, however, would have
considerable discretion in how to implement the protocols
and, therefore, in the costs that would be incurred. For
example, standards for facilities, equipment, and training
cover a wide range. Depending on what standards NATO sets,
the budgetary consequences could vary substantially.
Nevertheless, NATO has provided some initial studies that lay
out basic military requirements.
At the December 1997 ministerial meetings, NATO's Senior
Resource Board (SRB) presented cost estimates for expansion-
related projects that would be eligible for common funding.
In that report, the SRB identified cost of $1.5 billion for
the next ten years. Assuming that current rules for burden
sharing would continue under the protocols, the United States
would cover 25 percent of those costs, or approximately $40
million per year. Similarly, the Department of Defense (DoD)
assumes that NATO funding will increase gradually over the
next four to five years with U.S. assessments for additional
military costs reaching $36 million in 2002.
CBO's estimate includes an allowance of $25 million a year
for the likelihood that U.S. costs would rise as NATO
finalizes implementation plans, engineering surveys, and
eligibility criteria for common funding. U.S. costs might
also be higher if new member countries face difficulties
paying for infrastructure or if military plans become more
ambitious. In addition, the United States is likely to incur
bilateral costs for expanded exercises, training, and
programs to incorporate NATO compatible equipment into the
Central European militaries. CBO estimates these costs would
be low in the near-term but could amount to $30 million to
$45 million a year after 2001 based on additional exercise
costs for one brigade and two air squadrons every year plus
the cost of subsidies for weapons purchases by the new
members.
Thus, CBO estimates that the costs to the United States of
expanding NATO would total about $100 million a year after a
transition period of four or five years. Roughly 90 percent
of these costs would be charged to Defense Department
accounts for operation and maintenance, and military
construction. The remaining 10 percent would accrue to budget
function 150, International Affairs.
Previous CBO estimate: The CBO paper The Costs of Expanding
the NATO Alliance (March 1996) explored five different
scenarios for extending the NATO security guarantee to four
central European countries. The scenarios ranged from a low-
threat security environment that called for minimal NATO
reinforcement of Central Europe to a scenario assuming a
resurgent Russian threat that required the forward
positioning of NATO troops in Central Europe.
The cost estimates in that report focused on the total
costs to all NATO members, including the new members who
would bear the largest shares of the total. Average annual
costs to the United States over a 15-year period ranged from
about $300 million to $1.3 billion. However, some CBO
prepared that study, the SRB has provided clearer indications
of how NATO would use its discretion to implement the
protocols.
Pay-as-you-go considerations: None.
Intergovernmental and private-sector impact: Section 4 of
the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 excludes from the
application of that act any legislative provisions that are
necessary for the ratification or implementation of
international treaty obligations. CBO has determined that
these protocols fit within that exclusion, because they make
the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary parties to the North
Atlantic Treaty of 1949.
Estimate prepared by: Federal Costs: Jeannette Deshong.
Impact on State, Local, and Tribal Governments: Pepper
Santalucia. Impact on the Private Sector: Eric Labs.
Estimate approved by: Paul N. Van de Water, Assistant
Director for Budget Analysis.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Washington.
Mr. GORTON. Mr. President, half a century ago this year there were
giants in the land. President Truman, followed by President Eisenhower,
Senator Vandenberg in this body, others who first envisaged and passed
the Marshall plan to secure economic freedom and prosperity in Western
Europe and then to create the North Atlantic Treaty Organization to
provide physical security behind which the nations of Western Europe
could build free and prosperous societies. Those giants were followed
by dozens, perhaps hundreds, of Members of this body who kept the
faith--my predecessor, Scoop Jackson, from the State of Washington;
Presidents down through and including Ronald Reagan and George Bush.
And I come to the floor today astounded at opposition to this extension
and to any other extension to free nations, so astounded that by
comparison with those giants, I am reminded of Casius' description of
Julius Caesar in Shakespeare's great play, when we are asked to live up
to his description of:
. . . we petty men
Walk under his huge legs and peep about
To find ourselves dishonorable graves.
Because of the vision of those men and those women and, for that
matter, of the United States of America and our allies in Western
Europe, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization became the most
successful single defense organization, security organization, in the
history of the world. Its ultimate dreams came true both earlier and
more completely than any of its founders could possibly have imagined
when they put it together and brought the American people into it.
It was a treaty that joined together not just allies in World War II,
but joined those allies together with their principal enemies in World
War II, Germany and Italy, in the feeling that if they were together,
the kind of breakdown that took place in the years leading up to 1914
and, again, up to 1939 would be much less likely to take place.
During that entire period of time, there was a line, a north-south
line, through Central Europe: oppression and dictatorship and economic
stagnation to the east; freedom, security and prosperity to the west.
Not once in its most powerful days did the Soviet Union ever cross that
line and not at all, incidentally--not once--during all those years did
the Western powers with their military force cross that line to the
east. It was a shield, a carapace behind which freedom could develop.
But the dream of that freedom was not limited to those within the
organization to the west of that line. It activated, it inspired men
and women east of the line to be like the people of the West, to join
the people of the West, tremendously costly to many of them.
When the people of Hungary attempted to liberate themselves from that
Soviet tyranny, they were brutally repressed by Soviet tanks. When the
people of the Czech Republic, in the beginning of those years,
attempted even a modest measure of freedom, they were repressed by
Soviet tanks, and those tanks spent the better part of half a century
in Poland absolutely to ensure that the liberty-loving people of Poland
were not able to exercise that liberty or to have a government that was
truly their own.
Then wonder of wonders, in a very few short years, symbolized a
little less than a decade ago by the destruction of the Berlin Wall,
those nations and others became free nations. They began to realize
their aspirations, and in the case of those three, each one, in a short
period of time of less than a decade, has become a functioning
democracy, has made a major beginning in reforming its armed services,
has moved decisively in the direction of free markets and has begun the
long, long journey to catch up with the West economically, but catch up
with the West in spirit it has.
What do those nations desire? They desire the security that history
has never given them, that their own independent power has never given
them. They desire to be a part of the West, lock, stock and barrel, and
they see the essential element of being western to be members of the
North Atlantic Treaty Organization. They know, they have learned from
history, that that membership, and that membership alone, will ensure
that they can continue the freedom which is still so young in them and
continue the move toward prosperity and toward Western institutions,
and that we, who not only spent trillions of dollars in preserving the
free world through our armed services, but hundreds of millions,
billions of dollars in broadcasting to these countries the message of
freedom and the, at least implicit and I think often explicit, promise
that the day would come when they could be lock, stock and barrel a
part of the West, are now asked by, hopefully, not much more than a
handful of the Members in this
[[Page S2279]]
body, to reject them, to say that somehow or another, there will be
more security in a vacuum in Eastern and Central Europe than there will
be with the very kind of precise line that the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization drew so decisively and so successfully half a century ago.
But nothing, Mr. President, nothing in the history of nations in this
world indicates that a vacuum filled by small and weak powers can
possibly be stable, can possibly be the object of anything other than
irredentist aspirations on the part of one of the two nations that
throughout its history has been the most aggressive in destroying the
freedom of those countries.
Germany, now totally integrated into the West, no longer a threat,
but no longer a threat to France because they are joined together, and
is soon to be no longer a threat to Poland or to Hungary or to the
Czech Republic, because they will be joined together.
The case for NATO expansion is simply overwhelming. It is stunning to
me that we are so much as debating its desirability in this body and
stunning to me that essentially the only reason for opposition to it is
that the most truculent element left in Russia, its Duma, dominated by
former Communists, those portions of its leadership that are most
unwilling to give up what they have had previously, most desirous to
restore the status quo ante-1989, will be offended if these countries
are brought into alliance with the United States, the United Kingdom,
France, Germany and the other members of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization.
Mr. President, that is the best reason to join those countries with
us. Far better to do it when there is no immediate threat from the East
than when there is, when, I can assure you, the kind of opposition you
have heard here today would be much louder than it is today.
I think it is appropriate to go beyond the naming of these three
nations. One of the most principled actions in American diplomatic
history, in my view, was the absolute refusal for more than half a
century on the part of the United States to recognize the Soviet
conquest of the three Baltic republics. We, and almost we alone,
continued to recognize their right to independence, and one can
certainly make the proposition that it was the desire and the movement
for independence in those three countries that was the immediate and
proximate cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union itself.
I believe, Mr. President--I believe firmly--that any nation that
adopts secure and democratic institutions, a free-market approach to
its economy and a Western-oriented means of defense, has the right
seriously to be considered in this part of Europe for membership in the
North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Personally, I believe that both
Slovenia and Estonia have already met those qualifications. Other
nations have not yet, though most of them strive in that direction.
Again, to crush their aspirations, legitimate aspirations,
aspirations that we have supported for more than half a century, by an
arbitrary statement that they will not be considered for membership for
a fixed period of time, no matter how successful they are, no matter
how democratic they are, no matter how much they may be threatened by
some future Russia in that period of time, is perverse and wrong and,
even more significant, dangerous to the peace of Europe and to the
peace of the world.
A bright line is a much greater contributor to peace than a vague set
of feelings or concerns or worries about the least regressive elements
in Russian society. Just as a democratic and a free-market Germany
appropriately became a pillar of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization, so at some future date could a secure and stable and
democratic and free-market Russia.
I think that day is a long way off, much farther than I would like.
But until that day, to say that others who have met those
qualifications, who have had to live through occupation and repression
from that country, should be left on their own flies in the face of all
of the lessons of history that we have learned since the end of World
War II.
So, Mr. President, I believe that we should reject soundly the
Warner-Moynihan pause proposal and enthusiastically and overwhelmingly
adopt the resolution of ratification that we have before us.
The cold war resulted in a victory for the ideals of the United
States and its Western allies. And it should be consolidated by joining
with it those who share those ideals, those who fought for those
ideals, often to their very great detriment over the course of the last
century.
The position taken by my distinguished friend from Delaware is
totally and entirely correct. I congratulate him for it. I am convinced
that we should go forward boldly into the future with the greatest
degree of confidence in the correctness of our cause and only in that
fashion will we be worthy of our predecessors in this body who created
the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
Mr. SMITH of New Hampshire. Mr. President, I rise to request that my
colleagues in the Senate conduct deliberative and thorough debate on
NATO expansion before the expected vote next week.
Many questions remain regarding cost, strategic objective and
military requirements of the proposed expansion. If NATO enlargement
makes sense, it will make more sense the more it is discussed. We
should not casually rush through debate in the Senate.
This should not be a sentimental decision about our historic
relationship with Europe, but a hard-nosed decision about extending a
military guarantee to a precise piece of territory under current
strategic circumstances. Our moral obligation to these countries was
abundantly met by generations of Americans, who spent trillions of
dollars to win the cold war. This decision should be about the next 50
years, not the last 50.
For this reason, I ask unanimous consent that several editorials and
articles about the impact of NATO expansion be printed in the Record
for the benefit of all Senators.
There being no objection, the articles were ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[From the Washington Post, Mar. 19, 1998]
Foreign Policy by Impulse
(By Jim Hoagland)
The U.S. Senate is moving in haste toward a climactic vote
on NATO expansion, a foreign policy initiative that defines
the Clinton administration's approach to the world as one of
strategic promiscuity and impulse. The Senate should not join
in that approach.
Foreign policy is the grand abstraction of American
presidents. They strive to bargain big, or not at all, on the
world stage. They feel more free there than they do at home
to dream, to emote, to rise or fall on principled positions,
or to stab others in the back at a time of their choosing.
More able to ignore the niggling daily bargains that blur
and bend their domestic policies, presidents treat foreign
policy as the realm in which they express their essence and
personality most directly.
Think in a word, or two, of our recent presidents and U.S.
foreign policy in their day: Johnson's word would be
overreaching. Nixon, paranoid. Carter, delusionally trusting.
Reagan, sunnily simplistic. Bush, prudent technician.
NATO expansion is the Clintonites' most vaunted
contribution to diplomacy, and they characteristically assert
they can have it all, when they want, without paying any
price. Do it, the president told the Senate leadership Monday
in a letter asking for an immediate vote. Others will later
clean up messy strategic details such as the mission an
expanded NATO will have and who else may join.
Sound familiar? Yes, in part because all administrations
advance this argument: Trust us. This will turn out all
right. Russians will learn that NATO expansion is good for
them. The French will not be able to use expansion to dilute
U.S. influence over Europe, try as they may. This will cost
American taxpayers only a penny or two a day. And so on, on a
number of debatable points that I think will work out quite
differently than the administration claims.
But there is also a familiarity of style here distinctive
to this president and those closest to him. And why not? The
all-embracing, frantic, gargantuan lifestyle that has allowed
those other affairs of state--the Lewinsky, Willey, Jones
allegations--to become the talk of the world (justifiably or
otherwise) also surfaces in major policy matters. The Senate
vote on NATO is not occurring in a vacuum.
Life is not neatly compartmentalized. The paranoia and
conspiracy that enveloped the Nixon White House manifested
itself in the bombing of Hanoi and the overthrow of Chilean
President Salvador Allende as well as in Watergate. The Great
Society and Vietnam were not conflicting impulses for Lyndon
Johnson, as is often assumed, but different sides of the same
overreaching coin. The lack of perspective and deliberation
apparent in the handling of NATO expansion is apparent
elsewhere in the Clinton White House.
[[Page S2280]]
On the issue at hand, the White House is urging the Senate
to amend the NATO charter to admit the Czech Republic,
Hungary and Poland. Majority Leader Trent Lott responded to
Clinton's letter by saying he would schedule a vote in a few
days, despite appeals from 16 senators for more, and more
focused, discussion.
Clinton opposes any more debate, even though he has not
addressed the American public on this historic step and even
though there is no consensus in the United States or within
the 16-member alliance on the strategic mission of an
expanded NATO or on its future membership.
A new ``strategic concept'' for NATO will not be publicly
reached until April 1999, when it is to be unveiled at a 50th
anniversary summit in Washington. When Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright recently said in Brussels that NATO would
evolve into ``a force for peace from the Middle East to
Central Africa,'' European foreign ministers quickly signaled
opposition to such a radical expansion of the alliance's
geographical area of responsibility.
And Albright's deputy, Strobe Talbott, surprised some
European ambassadors to Washington last week when he gave a
ringing endorsement to the possibility of eventual Russian
membership in NATO, an idea that divides NATO governments and
which the administration has not highlighted for the Senate.
``I regard Russia as a peaceful democratic state that is
undergoing one of the most arduous transitions in history,''
Talbott said in response to a question asked at a symposium
at the British Embassy. He said Clinton strongly supported
the view that ``no emerging democracy should be excluded
because of size, geopolitical situation or historical
experience. That goes for very small states, such as the
Baltics, and it goes for the very largest, that is for
Russia.'' This is a message that Clinton has given Boris
Yeltsin in their private meetings, Talbott emphasized.
``This is a classic case of never saying never,'' Talbott
continued. ``If the day comes when this happens, it will be a
very different Russia, a very different Europe and a very
different NATO.''
How different, and in what ways, is worth discussing before
the fact. The Clinton administration has not taken seriously
its responsibility to think through the consequences of its
NATO initiative and to explain those consequences to the
American people. The Senate needs an extended debate, not an
immediate vote.
____
[From the Hill, Mar. 18, 1998] NATO: What's the Rush?
There's an unseemly haste in the way the Clinton
administration and the foreign policy establishment are
pushing the Senate for an immediate vote on expanding the
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) to include Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic.
As a bipartisan group of 17 senators argued in a letter
urging Majority Leader Trent Lott (R) of Mississippi to
postpone the vote until at least June 1, there are still to
many unanswered questions about what figures to be one of the
most important foreign policy issues in recent years.
``We are uncomfortable voting when so many of the purposes
and assumptions of NATO enlargement remain either ambiguous
or contradictory,'' the senators wrote Lott last week. The
group of eight Republicans and nine Democrats, let by Bob
Smith (R-N.H.) and Tom Harkin (D-Iowa), pointed out that
expanding the NATO military alliance to include the three
former Communist countries could have enormous unforseen
financial, political and military consequences.
``This is basic, hard-nosed American foreign policy here,''
Smith told The New York Times as he explained why he and his
colleagues are seeking to delay a vote, which was expected in
the next few days, and force an extended public debate on the
issue. ``It deserves that attention,'' he added.
Some of the unforeseen consequences of a rush to judgment
on NATO expansion are spelled out on page 40 by Ted Galen
Carpenter, vice president for defense and foreign policy
studies at the libertarian Cato Institute. According to
Galen, ``three lethal booby traps await the United States if
NATO expansion goes forward. ``They include potential
conflicts between Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic and
their neighbors; damaging our relationship with Russia and
driving it into the arms of Iran, Iraq and China; and
committing the United States to pouring money down ``a
financial black hole.''
The latter point is one of the most critical, according to
those who either oppose expansion or want to see it more
fully debated. The Clinton administration has estimated that
the cost of expanding the alliance will be $1.5 billion over
the next decade, but earlier estimates range from $27 billion
to $35 billion over 13 years (the Pentagon) and from $61
billion to $125 billion over 15 years (the Congressional
Budget Office). The fact is that more accurate and realistic
cost projects simply cannot be calculated at this time.
The administration's $1.5 billion projection ``is a
politically driven document that reflects the inability of
the proposed new members and the unwillingness of the West
European countries to pick up the real financial tab,''
Carpenter asserts.
We agree with Carpenter and the Senate's go-slow faction,
including Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D-N.Y.), who thinks
that there is no quick fix for healing the wounds inflicted
on Central and Eastern Europe by a half century of harsh
authoritarian Soviet rule.
Rather than adding three former Communist countries to an
organization that was conceived as a military barrier to the
spread of communism in Europe--a dubious proposition now that
such a threat no longer exists--Moynihan would like to see
them first become members of the economically oriented
European Union before being admitted to NATO.
Lott should delay the vote on NATO expansion and give the
Senate time to conduct a full and extended debate on this
important issue.
____
[From the Hill, Mar. 18, 1998]
The Three Booby Traps of NATO Expansion
(By Ted Galen Carpenter)
Both the Clinton administration and the Senate Republican
leadership are using a full-court press to get an immediate
Senate vote on NATO expansion. Senators should resist such
pressure for a rush to judgment before addressing the
numerous problems associated with NATO expansion.
Proponents frequently act as through NATO is a democratic
honor society that the nations of Central and Eastern Europe
should be able to join. But NATO is a military alliance, and
the decision to extend U.S. security guarantees to new
members is serious business.
Three lethal booby traps await the United States if NATO
expansion goes forward.
Any enemy of my ally becomes my enemy: Before senators
welcome Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary into NATO's
ranks, they should assess potential conflicts that might
embroil those countries. It would be a sobering exercise.
Relations between Poland and neighboring Belarus, already
tense, are rapidly deteriorating. Belarus recently recalled
its ambassador from Warsaw and has banned Polish priests from
entering the country. President Alexander Lukashenko
ominously accuses the Polish minority in Belarus's western
provinces of disloyalty.
Hungary has troubled relations with three of its
neighbors--Romania, Slovakia and Serbia. Slovakia's prime
minister continuously slanders the large Hungarian minority
in his country and late last year proposed a population
transfer that would send tens of thousands of ethnic
Hungarians back to Hungary.
Relations between Hungary and Serbia are even worse.
Indeed, the treatment of the Hungarian minority in Serbia's
province of Vojvodina mirrors Belgrade's repression of the
Albanians in Kosovo. Vojvodina has the potential to explode
just as Kosovo has now done.
Thus, NATO expansion could entangle America in numerous
murky, parochial disputes among Central and East European
countries. Do Americans really want U.S. troops in the middle
of a conflict between Hungary and Slovakia, or Hungary and
Serbia, or Poland and Belarus? Yet NATO expansion entails
precisely that sort of danger.
Poisoning the relationship with Russia: The conventional
wisdom is that, since the signing of the Founding Act between
Russia and NATO, Moscow no longer opposes NATO expansion.
Nothing could be further from the truth. A recent op-ed by
Russia's ambassador to the United States makes it clear that
Russian leaders regard even the first round of expansion as
an unfriendly act. Any subsequent round, especially one that
tried to incorporate the Baltic republics, would risk a
military collision with a nuclear-armed great power.
Indeed, the Founding Act itself could become a source of
recrimination. U.S. officials insist that the agreement gives
Russia ``a voice, not a veto'' over NATO policy, but that is
not the way Russian officials have interpreted the Founding
Act. President Boris Yeltsin assured the Duma that the act
gave Russia a veto over invitations to new members beyond the
first round as well as over future ``out of area'' NATO
missions, for example in the Balkans. U.S. and Russian
officials cannot both be right.
Russia is reacting badly even to the initial round of
expansion. Moscow has responded to NATO's encroachment by
forging closer ties with both Iran and Iraq and undermining
U.S. policy throughout the Middle East. Still more worrisome
are the growing political and military links between Russia
and China. Moscow and Beijing speak openly of a ``strategic
partnership,'' and China has become Russia's largest arms
customer--something that would have been unthinkable a few
years ago.
If the United States drifts into a new Cold War with Russia
because Washington insists on giving security guarantees to a
collection of small Central and East European states, that
will go down in history as a colossal policy blunder.
A financial black hole: NATO and the Clinton administration
now insist that the alliance can be expanded for a paltry
$1.5 billion over 10 years. That conclusion differs sharply
from an earlier Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimate of
$61 billion to $125 billion over 15 years and the Pentagon's
own original estimate of $27 billion to $35 billion over 13
years. The latest NATO and administration projection doesn't
even pass the straightface test. It is a politically driven
document that reflects the inability of the proposed new
members and the unwillingness of the West European countries
to pick up the real financial tab.
[[Page S2281]]
Johns Hopkins University Professor Michael Mandelbaum aptly
describes NATO expansion as ``the mother of all unfunded
mandates.'' If expansion is not merely an exercise in empty
political symbolism, even the CBO estimate could prove to be
conservative. Moreover, none of the estimates takes into
account the probable costs of subsequent rounds of expansion,
yet administration leaders insist that they will occur.
In light of those troubling facts, the Senate should at
least conduct a lengthy, comprehensive debate on NATO
expansion, not rush through the proceedings as if the issue
was akin to designating National Wildflower Week. After all,
the decision may determine whether American troops someday
have to fight and die in Eastern Europe.
____
[From the Boston Globe, Mar. 18, 1998]
Senate Recklessness on NATO?
The Senate is poised to make a serious mistake by ratifying
a first stage of NATO expansion. The anticipated inclusion of
Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic is a momentous
decision, enlarging the treaty organization and the
geopolitical area covered by the allies' mutual security
guarantee. If ever a Senate vote deserved prudent
deliberation, this is it.
Unfortunately, sensible requests from some senators to
pause for careful consideration of this first round of
enlargement have been rejected, and there are not enough
votes to pass an amendment by Senators John Warner of
Virginia and Patrick Moynihan of New York, who proposed a
pause of three years before NATO admits a second flight of
new members.
In a letter to the Senate minority leader, Tom Daschle, on
Saturday, President Clinton argued that for the sake of
enhanced security, ``we must leave the door open to the
addition of other qualified new members in the future. The
`open door' commitment made by all the allies has played a
vital role in ensuring that the process of enlargement
benefits the security of the entire region, not just these
first three members.''
But the administration has yet to make a convincing case
that NATO enlargement at the present time is truly necessary
to European or American security. With the disappearance of
the Soviet Union, the states of Central and Eastern Europe
face no imminent threat from an expansionist superpower. And
if political upheavals in Russia raised the specter of such a
threat in the future, there would be time to prepare for it
and enlarge the alliance. NATO's expansion, rather than
enhancing Europe's stability, could endanger it.
President Vaclav Havel of the Czech Republic has made a
strong case for anchoring the former members of the Warsaw
Pact in the West. But the commonality of values invoked by
Havel need not mean immediate inclusion in a military
alliance formed to keep Soviet forces from invading Western
Europe.
There are other, wiser ways to pursue what Clinton calls
``our strategic goal of building an undivided, democratic,
and peaceful Europe.''
____
[From the Newark (NJ) Star-Ledger]
Undue Haste on NATO Expansion
(By David Border)
This week the Senate, which counts among its major
accomplishments this year renaming Washington National
Airport for President Ronald Reagan and officially labeling
Saddam Hussein a war criminal, takes up the matter of
enlarging the 20th century's most successful military
alliance, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
The Senate just spent two weeks arguing over how to slice
up the pork in the $214 billion highway and mass transit
bill. It will, if plans hold, spend only a few days on moving
the NATO shield hundreds of miles eastward to include Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic.
The reason is simple. As Sen. Connie Mack of Florida, the
chairman of the Senate Republican Conference, told me while
trying to herd reluctant senators into a closed-door
discussion of the NATO issue one afternoon last week, ``No
one is interested in this at home,'' so few of his colleagues
think it worth much of their time.
It is a cliche to observe that since the Cold War ended,
foreign policy has dropped to the bottom of voters' concerns.
But as two of the senators who question the wisdom of NATO's
expansion, Democrat Daniel Moynihan of New York and
Republican John Warner of Virginia, remarked in separate
interviews, serious consideration of treaties and military
alliances once was considered what the Senate was for. No
longer.
Wrapping the three former Soviet satellites in the warm
embrace of NATO is an appealing notion to many senators,
notwithstanding the acknowledgement by advocates that the
Czech Republic and Hungary have a long way to go to bring
their military forces up to NATO standards. As the date for
ratification has approached, estimates of the costs to NATO
have been shrinking magically, but the latest NATO estimate
of $1.5 billion over the next decade is barely credible.
The administration, in the person of Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright, has refused to say what happens next if
NATO starts moving eastward toward the border of Russia.
``The door is open'' to other countries with democratic
governments and free markets, Albright says. The
administration is fighting an effort by Warner and others to
place a moratorium on admission of additional countries until
it is known how well the first recruits are assimilated.
Moynihan points out that if the Baltic countries of Latvia,
Estonia and Lithuania, which are panting for membership, are
brought in, the United States and other signatories will have
a solemn obligation to defend territory farther east than the
western-most border of Russia. He points to a Russian
government strategy paper published last December saving the
expansion of NATO inevitably means Russia will have to rely
increasingly on nuclear weapons.
Moynihan and Warner are far from alone in raising alarms
about the effect of NATO enlargement on U.S.-Russian
relations. The Duma, Russia's parliament, on Jan. 23 passed a
resolution calling NATO expansion the biggest threat to
Russia since the end of World War II. The Duma has blocked
ratification of the START II nuclear arms agreement signed in
1993 and approved by the Senate two years ago.
George Kennan, the elder statesman who half a century ago
devised the fundamental strategy for ``containment'' of the
Soviet Union, has called the enlargement of NATO a classic
policy blunder. Former Sen. Sam Nunn of Georgia, until his
retirement last year the Democrats' and the Senate's leading
military authority, told me, ``Russian cooperation in
avoiding proliferation of weapons of mass destruction is our
most important national security objective, and this (NATO
expansion) makes them more suspicious and less cooperative.''
To the extent this momentous step has been debated at all,
it has taken place outside the hearing of the American
people. Too bad our busy Senate can't find time before it
votes to let the public in on the argument.
Several Senators addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Delaware.
Mr. BIDEN. I know the Senator from Connecticut wishes to speak. I
will just take 2 minutes here.
One, I want to make it clear, when I was making a case to my friends
from Virginia and New York about the comparison of Turkey and Poland,
it did not relate to whether there was merit in defending Turkey. There
is. Not only merit, there is an obligation. I was making the larger
point which goes to the serious issue the Senator from Virginia has
raised honestly--and the only one who has done it forthrightly so far--
and that is, is there a consensus in America to defend any European
country?
Whatever commitment we make, we must keep. And he is right in raising
the issue: Are the American people--do you all understand, all America,
that if we expand, we are committing our sacred honor to defend Poland
as we have Germany, to defend the Czech Republic as we have England, to
defend the country of Hungary as we have Denmark? Are we prepared to do
that? That should be discussed, and it should be discussed
forthrightly. And I thank him for raising that issue.
There is much more to say, but I will have plenty of chance to say
it, so I yield to my friend from Connecticut.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Connecticut.
Mr. DODD. I see my colleague from Missouri is here. I tell him this
will be very brief, my remarks. I don't want him to depart. I know he
has been standing here for some time.
It is on an unrelated matter that is the subject of this debate, Mr.
President. And let me just say, having the privilege of standing here
and listening to the Presiding Officer share his remarks, I commend him
for those remarks. And I thank my colleague from Delaware for yielding
here.
Mr. President, I ask unanimous consent to speak as in morning
business.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Without objection, it is so ordered.
____________________