[Congressional Record Volume 143, Number 19 (Thursday, February 13, 1997)]
[House]
[Pages H566-H567]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
SOCIAL SECURITY
The SPEAKER pro tempore. Under a previous order of the House, the
gentleman from Michigan [Mr. Smith] is recognized for 5 minutes.
Mr. SMITH of Michigan. Mr. Speaker, it was interesting in the
Committee on the Budget this morning that Dr. June O'Neill, the
Director of the Congressional Budget Office, came with their analysis
of the President's budget. One of the conclusions of the CBO was that
the President's budget is not going to be in the surplus by the year
2002, but under their projections will run a $50 billion deficit in the
year 2002. So I would ask that we make a humble, respectful request to
the President to resubmit a budget that balances by the Congressional
Budget Office scoring.
Another thing that Dr. O'Neill said was that if we continue spending
the way we are today, we need an immediate 50-percent increase in
income tax rates to keep the budget in balance. If we put off any
decision until the year 2017, we would have to have an 87-percent
increase in the income tax. That means that families' take-home pay
would be cut in half, and what they can spend on health care and on
clothes and on food and on transportation would end up being cut in
half.
I want to quickly give a presentation of what is happening in what
has become the largest spending item, and that is Social Security. As
you see by this chart, Social Security now takes up 22 percent of the
Federal budget. And what has happened is Congress, I would suggest,
made a mistake by requiring everybody to contribute to Social Security,
and not putting any of that money in savings and investment. Instead,
since it started in 1935, Social Security has been a pay-as-you-go
program where existing workers pay in their taxes to support the
benefits of existing retirees.
If I get my charts correct, this shows what is going to happen to
Social Security if we make no changes, and that is that there is going
to be less money coming in in this pay-as-you-go program. In 2011,
Dorcas Hardy, a former commissioner, says there is going to be less tax
money coming into Social Security than is required for the payouts as
early as 2005. That's not very far in the future. So if we are going to
preserve Social Security not only for future retirees but for existing
retirees, we simply got to start taking our heads out of the sand and
be willing to face this very tough question on what we're going to do
to preserve Social Security, to preserve Medicare, to preserve some of
the important programs that Government has developed to help people,
and not put the burden on future generations and ask them to pay an 87-
percent increase in their taxes.
Here is the problem on Social Security. It was developed as a pay-as-
you-go system where existing workers pay for existing retirees. But
what has happened is there are fewer workers paying for the support of
that retiree.
In 1950, we had 17 workers earning money, paying their taxes to
support each retiree. Today, there are three workers. In another 35
years there are going to be only two workers working
[[Page H567]]
and paying the taxes to support each retiree.
Now here is what the average retired couple has already gotten back:
Over four times what they and their employer put into the Social
Security taxes, plus compound interest. This chart shows that if you
happened to retire in 1940, it took just 2 months to get everything
back that you and your employer put into Social Security taxes. If you
retired in 1960, it took 2 years.
Look what is going to happen to the workers that are starting to
retire today, to the workers that are 35 and 45 and 50 years old. They
are going to have to work 26 years after retirement. They are going to
have to live 26 years after retirement in order to collect the benefits
that they and their employer put into Social Security. We have got to
have a change.
I have developed a proposal that I think we should run up the
flagpole in order to start coming up with solutions to save Social
Security. My proposal allows some private investment, but at the same
time does not take away benefits from anybody over 58 years old.
{time} 1530
So I think we have to tell people ahead of time what is happening.
Part of the solution is a private investment. Part of the solution is
slowing down benefits for the higher income recipients.
Mr. Speaker, I ask that we deal with these serious problems as soon
as possible and not put it off for another decade.
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