[Congressional Record Volume 143, Number 14 (Thursday, February 6, 1997)]
[Senate]
[Pages S1057-S1071]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
BALANCED BUDGET AMENDMENT TO THE CONSTITUTION
The PRESIDING OFFICER. Under the previous order, the Senate will now
resume consideration of Senate Joint Resolution 1, which the clerk will
report.
The legislative clerk read as follows:
A joint resolution (S.J. Res. 1) proposing an amendment to
the Constitution of the United States to require a balanced
budget.
The Senate resumed consideration of the joint resolution.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Utah.
Mr. HATCH. I thank the Chair.
We are returning to the balanced budget constitutional amendment
debate. This is a singularly important debate in our Nation's history.
And while I am talking, I am going to constantly refer to just 28 of
the unbalanced budgets since 1969--28 of them. We had to find a table
strong enough to hold them, and we could not put them on top of each
other. As you can see, they are almost as high as I am, stacked in twos
and threes. If we put them on top of each other, they would reach
almost to the ceiling. These are our unbalanced budgets over the last
28 years, every last one. And yet every time we get into this debate,
our friends on the other side of this issue come in and say, ``Oh,
let's just have the will to do this. We can do it if we want to, if we
just have the will.'' And we heard the President the other evening
talking about all you have to do is pass it and I will sign it.
Give me a break. That is what was said in every one of these
instances. And a number of them were listed as balanced budgets during
this time. It turned out to be horrendous budgetary deficits rather
than balanced budgets. You can just look at this stack--and this is
just 28 years. This does not count the other unbalanced budgets for
most of the last 60 years. This is just 28 years, these stacks right
here.
A lot of good intentions, a lot of people working hard to try to do
what is right but never accomplishing it because they did not have the
fiscal discipline necessary to get it accomplished. You cannot look at
this and listen to these arguments of ``Why don't we just do what we
should do.''
After 28 years--and we are just using the last 28 years like I am
saying--after 28 years we have to wake up and say we do need a fiscal
mechanism to help Congress to do its job because it has not done its
job in the last 37 years and most of the last 60 years.
If we put them all up here, we would not have room. Frankly, we are
worried with this stack that we might be violating OSHA rules. If these
happen to fall over, somebody's leg could get broken.
We are returning to this debate, and it is an important debate. It is
about whether we have reached the turning point in our Nation's history
in our fiscal affairs which will change the way we have been doing
business. We are hoping that if we pass this amendment, we will
profoundly effect a legacy we leave to all future Americans.
We have, as I have said, had piled on this table the failed budgetary
history of the last 28 years. These are the unbroken string of
unbalanced budgets that we have had since 1969.
As Senator Abraham observed last night, this is about as close to
balancing the budget as we have come, balancing these budget documents
on this table so they will not fall over. That is about as close as we
get to balancing budgets. We are not sure we have it balanced well even
that way, so you can imagine how difficult it must be to try to balance
them the real way.
We received today yet another budget submission. In this one,
President Clinton has promised to point us to balancing our budget by
the year 2002. In the coming days and weeks, the Congress will be
reviewing this budget submission to determine whether it will be just
another failed attempt that we toss on top of this huge pile. Of
course, since this budget for fiscal year 1998 will not itself balance,
it can be placed on this stack of unbalanced budgets. But we have yet
to see if Congress will be able to work with this budget submission to
get us on the path to balance by 2002.
We should all understand that the backdrop to all this is that the
Congressional Budget Office has recently painted a less rosy picture of
the deficit in the next few years under current policies. Let me just
take this chart.
As this chart shows, CBO predicts that the deficit will begin to rise
this year and continue rising throughout the foreseeable future. The
CBO predicts that the deficit will rise to $124 billion in fiscal year
1997 and continue to rise to $188 billion by fiscal year 2002, the year
we hope we will have balanced the budget. The deficits just keep rising
until 2007, as you can see. Our annual deficit is projected to be, at
that time, $278 billion a year.
Added up, these deficits will add a total of more than 2 trillion
additional dollars to the debt from now until the year 2007. That is if
we do what the President is going to offer today.
The point is that we cannot yet congratulate ourselves for a job well
done. There is work ahead for all of us to do, and there is no
assurance of success. Based on the sad history illustrated by these 28
years of budgetary submissions, success has to be considered, by any
reasonable person, to be in serious doubt. That is why we need a
balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. It has been called an
insurance policy that we will get the budget actually balanced in the
year 2002 and, more important, that we keep it balanced afterward,
instead of doing what it appears will be done up through the year 2007,
a continual rising deficit each year, well over hundreds of billions of
dollars.
I think the combination of these illustrations of the past and the
projections for the future based on our current policy suggest that the
past is prologue and should show us that we need a balanced budget
amendment.
We have been through debates on this measure before. I would like to
outline briefly for those watching these debates what they are likely
to hear from the opponents of this amendment based on past debates and
the positions outlined to this point in this debate.
First, let me point out this is not a partisan disagreement or
debate, and it should not be. That is only fitting and proper for a
constitutional debate. You have to have people on both sides supporting
a constitutional amendment or there is no way it even has a chance of
passing. This is a bipartisan amendment.
Some opponents of a balanced budget amendment will attempt to paint
this debate as a battle of parties, of a choice between a Republican
amendment or a Democrat amendment or Democrat opposition to the
amendment. While I hasten to point out that all 55 Republican Senators,
every one of us, are supportive of this balanced
[[Page S1058]]
budget amendment, there are numerous Democrats who support it as well
and I commend them. Among the original cosponsors are seven Democrats.
An additional four Democrat Senators voted for this version of the
balanced budget amendment the last time it was considered in Congress,
two of whom voted for it in the House and have now joined us in the
Senate, and two other new Democrat Senators expressed support for the
balanced budget amendment in their Senate campaigns. That number alone
will give us sufficient support to send this amendment to the States.
Other Democrat Members have supported this text in the past, and I hope
they will return. I would certainly be happy to welcome them back.
Senate Joint Resolution 1 is a bipartisan undertaking and a bipartisan,
bicameral consensus amendment.
The first division of opponents of the balanced budget amendment is
between those who say that they are for a balanced budget amendment,
just not this one, and those who are against all balanced budget
amendments. In effect, the position is the same. Senate Joint
Resolution 1 is the product of years of refinement and debate. It is
the only balanced budget amendment which has any chance of being
adopted by the Congress as a whole.
In past debates, substitute amendments have been offered, not one of
which has garnered the support of even a mere majority of the Members
of this body, let alone approached the 67 Senate votes required for
Senate approval. Any of us might change a word or two if we were
writing our own Constitution. We might want the courts to do this or
the President to do that, or we might want tax limitation or any number
of other changes. But Senate Joint Resolution 1 is the only version
that has a chance of passing. So, when someone in this debate says they
have a better idea, you will know, in effect, that they are working
against passing a balanced budget constitutional amendment.
Second, there will be those who propose changes to the amendment to
exempt certain items from the budget-balancing rule. While they will
profess that, of course, they are for balancing the budget--we are all
for balancing the budget now; I don't know of anybody on this floor who
does not say that. They believe that certain items are just too
important to be left to congressional prioritizing. Because they are so
important, they propose pretending that, for purposes of the
Constitution, these items do not exist in the budget of the Federal
Government. Of course, these items are items that the Federal
Government pays for, but never mind, they are not part of the budget
for purposes of balancing the budget.
When it comes to this, I have to say the No. 1 scheme on the part of
these people is to exempt Social Security from the balanced budget
amendment. We are here to save Social Security. That is what the
balanced budget amendment is all about. The best way to do that is to
pass this constitutional amendment. If you take Social Security out
from the purview of the balanced budget amendment, the highest item in
the Federal budget, that is a risky gimmick that would endanger Social
Security's future. So we are very concerned about what is happening
here.
Third, we will also hear those who believe that willpower, or another
statute, will be the discipline we need. Let me say, again, it has been
28 years, since 1969, since we have balanced the budget. That was the
only time we did it since 1960--37 years ago. So, in 37 years we have
only balanced the budget once and we have only 28 of those years up
here. We could not afford to take the risk of violating OSHA rules by
piling this any higher. So, willpower has not worked. We have had no
fewer than five major statutory attempts to rein in our borrowing
habits since 1978 alone. No statute has worked.
Finally, there are those who would say that a constitutional
amendment is unnecessary because Congress and the President both want
to balance the budget by 2002, we are moving toward that goal. While it
is true that everyone has adopted the goal of balancing the budget by
2002, we have not finished that job yet. June O'Neill, the Director of
the Congressional Budget Office, testified last week before the Budget
Committee that the good news is pretty much over and the hard work is
ahead. As I pointed out, CBO projects that the annual deficit will
begin rising again this year from $107 billion this year, which they
act like is nothing, to $124 billion next year, to $188 billion in the
year 2002, the year we all agree we will have a balanced budget, or we
will have to balance the budget.
The lesson, then, is we cannot declare victory and go home because
things have recently improved to some extent. The hard work is ahead,
and the political pressures that have given us our decades-long debt
habit will continue to push us off balance, toward mortgaging the
future. Only the permanent counterweight of the Constitution can get us
to balance in the short term and keep us in balance for the long term.
Let me conclude simply by saying that I am pushing for this change in
our basic charter because I care about the quality of life for all
Americans, for those now living, and for those future generations that
cannot make their wishes known at this time. I believe that if our
colleagues will think about how Washington has worked over the last few
decades--just look at it, three decades almost--and the price real
Americans pay now, and especially will pay in the future, that they
will agree that a vote for the balanced budget amendment is a vote for
a better future for all Americans.
We have debated this amendment in Congress for many years. I believe
it is time to let the American people debate it in their State
legislatures, but that cannot happen unless we pass it through both
Houses of Congress. I believe it is time they will adopt a balanced
budget amendment to the Constitution if we give the people a chance.
Let the people speak, and let them speak without further delay.
Let me just say one last thing about Social Security, because I think
it is one of the phoniest issues I have seen in years. Without a
credible sustained balanced budget, we will never have the money to pay
our future benefits. It is just that simple. A balanced budget means
economic prosperity, producing the revenues necessary to fund the
program. With a balanced budget, the big spenders in Washington won't
be able to target Social Security to pay for other programs, just as
the administration did in 1993.
By the way, in the President's own words, he said this: ``Neither the
Republicans nor I could produce a balanced budget tomorrow that could
pass if Social Security funds cannot be counted.''
That was said on January 28, 1997, just a week ago. Neither of us can
do it without that.
I think it is important to make it clear that opponents of the
balanced budget will throw out any diversion to confuse the issue. They
will even use scare tactics. The truth is, excluding Social Security
does nothing to secure benefits into the future, and the President's
own budget that is submitted today counts those surpluses to set it in
balance.
We have set aside most of our time this afternoon for our newest
Members of the Senate, our freshman class, to come down and express
their views on this.
Mr. LEAHY. Will the Senator yield for a question?
Mr. HATCH. Yes.
Mr. LEAHY. The distinguished chairman is not suggesting, and I
realize by parliamentary form he could arrange that to happen, he is
not suggesting, is he, that debate would be limited only to those who
are in favor of the constitutional amendment?
Mr. HATCH. Of course not. We will go back and forth as we did
yesterday; either way, as far as I am concerned.
Mr. LEAHY. I don't object.
Mr. HATCH. For some of these freshmen Senators, it will be their
first speech as U.S. Senators. I can't believe that there is anything
more fitting than the balanced budget amendment in their very first
speech. This is a historic issue, and I think these freshmen Senators
will help us understand how truly historic it is.
Mr. LEAHY. Mr. President, will the Senator yield again?
Mr. HATCH. I yield.
Mr. LEAHY. On that point, as the distinguished chairman knows, the
new Senator from Nebraska was on the floor yesterday. While he took a
different position than mine on this, I
[[Page S1059]]
commend him for his efforts and his work on this. While the chairman
and I disagree on the need for this amendment, I think we both agree
that if somebody is to give their first speech in the Senate, there are
few issues that will be of such significance as this.
Anytime one amends the Constitution, something that has been amended
only 17 times since the Bill of Rights, that is a significant effort.
As I said yesterday, for 200-some-odd years, we have resisted the
temptation to amend our Constitution, which is one of the reasons why
we are such a powerful democracy and one of the reasons why our
Constitution has stood the test of time.
I also note, I think on both sides of the aisle there is strong
support to balance the budget, but what I want to remind everybody, as
the President said in his State of the Union Address, is all it takes
is our vote and his signature to balance the budget without a
constitutional amendment. In the last 4 years, the deficit has come
down. For the first time since I have been able to vote, the President
4 years in a row brought the deficit down and is now on the fifth time.
He deserves a great deal of credit for that.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Utah.
Mr. HATCH. Mr. President, I honor my colleague. He is a very fine
Senator and does a very good job, but give me a break: All it takes is
for us to do the job and the President's signature. We have had 28
years of that philosophy. Here it is. Twenty-eight years on balanced
budgets and really, in the last 60 years, there have been really very
few balanced budgets. This would be three times this size if we put it
up for the last 60 years. This ought to give anybody enough pause to
say, ``Hey, it's time to get this over with. It's time to let people
move on from here.''
Our efforts to pass the balanced budget amendment predate even my own
election to the Senate some 20 years ago. But these new freshmen
Senators are absolutely critical and an indispensable factor, it seems
to me, in this debate. They came to the Senate last month with new
insights and unbounded enthusiasm and energy and determined that some
integrity and sanity be restored to the Federal budget process. Their
commitment to this process, to our children and our grandchildren is an
inspiration to those of us who have dedicated most of our political
life to this message. I hope their message is heard around the country.
All freshmen Senators are original cosponsors and they can work in a
bipartisan manner with their Democratic counterparts to ensure passage
of the amendment this month.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Colorado is recognized.
Mr. ALLARD. Thank you, Mr. President.
First of all, Mr. President, I would like to recognize the leadership
of my colleague, the Senator from Utah, on the balanced budget
amendment to the Constitution.
One of my primary campaign promises when I was running for election
to the U.S. Senate was to push for a balanced budget, and I believe
that the best way to force us to finally take the courageous steps
necessary to balance the budget is to establish a constitutional
balanced budget requirement. Statutory balanced budget requirements
have proven to be insufficient as Congress has proven its willingness
to amend any such requirements.
I must emphasize that the modern congressional movement to establish
balanced budget requirements is not a partisan issue. In 1935, the
first bill to establish a statutory balanced budget requirement was
introduced by Senator Millard Tydings, a Democrat from Maryland. In the
following year, Congressman Harold Knutson, a Republican from
Minnesota, introduced the first proposal to place a balanced budget
requirement in the United States Constitution. In light of the
bipartisan history of the balanced budget movement, I urge all of my
colleagues to join together in making the balanced budget amendment the
first and most important accomplishment of this 105th Congress.
During the 104th Congress, the Federal Government surpassed a
milestone that our forefathers would have never thought possible--the
debt incurred by the Federal Government surpassed $5 trillion dollars.
This is an astronomical sum of money, and it is something of which we,
as policymakers, should be ashamed. We owe it to our children and
grandchildren to do better. We owe it to them to pass a constitutional
requirement to mandate that the Federal Government balance its budget
by 2002.
Most people believe that the issue of balanced budget constitutional
amendment is a relatively recent issue. But this issue actually
surfaced before the Constitution was ratified by the States.
New York and Rhode Island both included requests that the Federal
government be restricted in its ability to borrow money. Gilbert
Livingston of New York proposed ``that no money be borrowed on the
credit of the United States without the assent of two thirds of the
senators and representatives present in each house.'' Admittedly, Mr.
Livingston was an anti-Federalist who did not believe in the Union. But
he and other anti-Federalists realized that forcing the Federal
Government to live within its means would provide an important check on
its power. Requiring the Government to go to the people for all of the
revenues necessary to run its programs would force it to be accountable
to the people.
Indeed, in 1779 when the United States was still governed by the
Articles of Confederation, Benjamin Franklin angrily complained of the
extravagances of the Federal Government that were afforded by its
ability to print money to pay its bills. While the Government was
having difficulties raising the funding to carry out the Revolutionary
War, it still managed to spend large sums of money to pay for tea and
other wasteful items.
The dire financial straits of the Federal Government in the aftermath
of the Revolutionary War seem to have minimized the concern that the
founders had to constrain the ability of the Federal Government to
incur debt. In addition, Framers of the Constitution such as Alexander
Hamilton believed that the Federal Government would voluntarily
restrain itself, and that the public would provide an adequate check if
the Government showed a tendency to get out of line. But it was not
long before some in the Federalist Party began to voice their support
for a constitutional balanced budget requirement. Thomas Jefferson was
concerned with what he considered to be the extravagant spending
practices of the administration of John Adams and he felt that the best
way to correct this problem was to take away the ability of the Federal
Government to incur debt. He wrote to John Taylor on November 26, 1798,
``I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our
Constitution. I would be willing to depend on that alone for the
reduction of the administration of our government to the genuine
principles of its Constitution; I mean an additional article, taking
from the Federal Government the power of borrowing.'' Thus, Jefferson
saw a balanced budget requirement as the proper tool to constrain the
Federal Government within its proper boundaries and to cure the
Government of any wasteful tendencies.
In spite of the concerns of those like Jefferson who felt that the
Federal Government needed to be constrained by a constitutional
balanced budget requirement, the Federal Government seemed to be able
to balance its budget except in times of war and economic downturns
until the 1930's. Budget deficits were considered to be abnormalities
and Federal officials felt that they had a moral responsibility to
their children and grandchildren to balance the budget and even pay
down the Federal debt. In his first inaugural address, Andrew Jackson
stated, ``Some of the Topics which shall engage my earliest attention
as intimately connected with the prosperity of our beloved country,
are, the liquidation of the national debt, and the introduction and
observance of the strictest economy in the disbursements of the
government.''
Jackson detested debt because of an experience that he had had as a
young man in which he was nearly ruined financially as a result of a
debt on a parcel of land that he had acquired as a young man. Jackson
considered it to be a matter of public honor and morality to retire the
national debt. In a speech in 1831, he commented that when the debt was
retired, ``we shall then exhibit the rare example of a great nation,
[[Page S1060]]
abounding in all the means of happiness and security, altogether free
from debt.'' Although the debt had been paid down on a nearly
continuous basis after the United States was brought under the
Constitution in 1789, Jackson finished paying off the debts incurred by
the Nation in the Revolutionary War and the War of 1812 in 1834--and
became the first and only administration to ever retire the debt of the
Federal Government of the United States.
In 1837, the worst economic downturn in the history of the United
States aside from the Great Depression caused the Government to resume
running occasional deficits. But Jackson's successors shared his belief
in a balanced budget and ran balanced or surplus budgets except in
times of war or economic downturn. In 1842, President John Tyler wrote
that Americans were a ``people rendered illustrious among nations by
having paid off its whole debt.''
The Republican Party held the White House almost continuously from
the outbreak of the Civil War until the beginning of the Great
Depression. And although these Presidents managed to continue the trend
of balancing the budget or running surpluses except in times of war or
economic downturn, these Presidents were not the model of efficient
government that we should aim to follow. Prior to the Civil War, the
Federal Government spent a record $74 million. After the Civil War,
Federal Government expenditures never dipped below $244 million and
often times was in excess of $300 million, an increase of more than 400
percent. As the Federal Government increased its spending, it expanded
into new areas of influence. Prior to the Civil War, the Federal
Government had mainly confined itself to matters relating to the
national defense. After the war, however, the Federal Government
increasingly took over waterway and transportation improvement projects
from the State and local governments. Although the Federal Government
only spent a total of $3.7 million on river improvement and harbor
construction between 1850 and 1860, it spent $53.8 million from 1869 to
1879--an increase of over 1,300 percent.
Not only did the nature of Federal Government expenditures change,
the attitude about fiscal responsibility had changed as well. As a
favor to their business constituencies, the Republicans were intent
upon maintaining exorbitantly high tariffs ranging from the 20 percent
Morrill tariff which was enacted to finance the Civil War in 1861 to
the Dingley tariff of 1898 and the Smoot-Hawley tariff of 1930, both of
which were in excess of 45 percent. As these tariffs represented an
enormous tax upon farmers and other consumers, they were very
unpopular. The tariffs generated enormous budget surpluses and, as a
result, they were hard to justify to the public. Rather than finding
ways of returning the money to the people, Congress and the Republican
administrations engaged in unprecedented spending binges on patronage
and questionable pork-barrel and logrolling projects to reduce the
budgetary surpluses to politically acceptable levels. At the same time,
they proclaimed their support for balanced budgets to the public. Thus,
President Benjamin Harrison described unnecessary debt as criminal even
though spending increased during his term from $299 million in 1889 to
$383 million in 1893.
The rules of the Federal budgetary game changed with the New Deal
policies developed by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt in the wake
of the Great Depression, the worst economic downturn in the history of
our Nation. FDR was a well-intentioned man whose primary goal was to
end the suffering that he witnessed with any means at his disposal FDR
detested the tendency of economists and others around him to try to
think about the long-term implications of his policies, but instead
preferred to devise immediate solutions to the problems that the people
faced. He established numerous agencies and public works projects to
try to pull the Nation out of the depression while continuing to
profess a sincere desire to balance the budget. One of FDR's fiscal
innovations that has had the most profound impact on our economy was
the widespread use of entitlement programs which are defined as
programs that make payments to all individuals or companies who are
eligible by current law and who apply for the benefits. The most
popular entitlement program created during FDR's administration was
Social Security. Also created under FDR were the Federal farm
assistance programs which I am proud to say we successfully reformed
and made more market-oriented during last year's debate on the farm
bill.
Most economists agree that the Great Depression ended only with the
outbreak of World War II, but the legacy of the Depression era programs
has lived on. Several new entitlement programs have since been
established, most notably the Medicare and Medicaid health programs
which were started as a part of LBJ's Great Society fiscal agenda.
Although FDR was not completely convinced by Keynesian economic
theories, in the aftermath of FDR's administration, Keynesian economics
became an accepted theory in determining fiscal policy. This theory,
best expressed by the Employment Act of 1946, stated that the
Government would run balanced or surplus budgets in times of economic
prosperity, but it would seek to run deficits and stimulate the economy
during recessions through increases in discretionary spending projects.
This theory encouraged a reluctant President Eisenhower to run a
deficit throughout much of his administration stating:
Balancing the budget will always remain a goal of any
administration . . . That does not mean to say that you can
pick any specific date and say, ``Here, all things must give
way before a balanced budget.'' It is a question of where the
importance of a balanced budget comes in; but it must be the
aim of any sound money program . . . When it becomes clear
that the Government has to step in, as far as I am concerned,
the full power of Government, of Government credit, and of
everything the Government has will move in to see that there
is no widespread unemployment and we never again have a
repetition of conditions that so many of you here remember
when we had unemployment.
Based on Keynesian economic theories, Eisenhower approved
discretionary spending increases in fiscal year 1958 and fiscal year
1959 which resulted in deficits of $3 and $13 billion respectively.
This regard for Keynesian economic theories caused administrations to
change their views of deficit spending and encouraged the Federal
Government to try to micromanage the economy and incur massive deficits
in the process. No longer did policymakers consider it such a moral
obligation to balance the Federal budget. In the entire postwar period,
we have run budgetary surpluses only eight times. It is curious to note
that the surpluses in times of economic prosperity in the Keynesian
economic theories have almost entirely failed to materialize. The last
budgetary surplus occurred in 1969 and the deficits run by the Federal
Government have grown increasingly larger reaching a high of nearly
$330 million in fiscal year 1992. Luckily, Keynesian economics has
increasingly been ignored in recent years as a usable guide for fiscal
policy. It has been realized that the Federal Government does not have
enough information at its disposal to accurately predict the onset of a
recession. In addition, by the time a stimulus package can get through
Congress, economic recovery is often already underway. In cases such as
these, precious taxpayer dollars are wasted while the economy may be
overstimulated resulting in inflation.
In spite of the recent turn away from Keynesian economic theories, in
general the Federal Government's deficits have been growing larger over
time, and this trend is only expected to continue. This is due to the
rapid growth of entitlement and other mandatory spending. About 55
percent of our spending went to entitlements in fiscal year 1996, and,
as projected by the CBO in its January 1997 report on the Economic and
Budget Outlook for fiscal years 1998 to 2007, entitlement spending is
expected to top $1 trillion in fiscal year 1999. This increased
entitlement spending is expected to be accompanied by enormous
deficits. In its January 1997 report, the CBO forecasts the deficit to
reach roughly $280 billion in fiscal year 2007 if discretionary
spending is allowed to increase with inflation. This increase in
entitlement spending also corresponds to a continued large role for the
Federal Government in the economy, equal to 21 percent of GDP during
the next decade, of which 14 percent of GDP would be represented by
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spending on entitlements by 2002. We simply cannot allow this to
happen.
We must establish efficiency and accountability in the Federal
Government. Entitlements, which automatically grow without any action
on the part of Congress, are causing these tremendous deficits.
Although we can reduce the deficit by freezing discretionary spending,
entitlement reform that puts these programs on sound economic footing
is absolutely necessary in order for us to balance the budget. As the
105th Congress begins, one of the first things that we need to do is to
get our fiscal house in order and send to the States a balanced budget
requirement. It is a disgrace that in fiscal year 1996, we burdened the
hard-working taxpayer with $241 billion in net interest charges on the
national debt. It is even more disgraceful that if we fail to balance
the budget, the resulting higher interest rates and lower foreign
exchange rate will doom our children to a lower standard of living than
they otherwise would have. For our children and our grandchildren, we,
the Members of the 105th Congress must be courageous and pass a
balanced budget amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
Mr. HATCH. Mr. President, I thank the distinguished Senator from
Colorado for making such an impassioned statement on how important this
balanced budget amendment is. We are so glad to have you in the Senate.
You are making a difference and we appreciate and thank you so much for
your good comments. You are speaking for the vast majority of people in
this country, 68 percent of whom, according to the latest polls, want
this amendment passed. I personally thank you and congratulate you for
your speech.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Oregon is recognized.
Mr. GORDON SMITH. Mr. President, it is an honor to rise in this
Chamber to make my first remarks as a U.S. Senator. I'd like to begin
by paying tribute to Senator Orrin Hatch of Utah for the leadership he
has shown on this issue for many sessions of Congress, to help focus
us, the American people, upon this important and overriding issue of
balancing our Federal budget.
I come to this Chamber, to this service at the Federal level, from
the State legislature in Oregon--where I served as a State senator and
as the Senate president. It was our highest priority in the State
legislature to balance our budget. Indeed, it was our constitutional
responsibility to balance the budget. Every session, we would convene
in Salem; coming together as Republicans and Democrats, liberals and
conservatives, to have an honest debate about how we spent public
money, and what taxes, if any, should be raised or reduced, and how
best to be good public stewards. I say it was an honest debate because
we did not have the recourse of deficit spending--of going to the
credit card of our children. I took pride in the kinds of debates we
had. Sometimes they were tough, but always they ended with our budget
balanced and Oregon's fiscal house being in order.
Today we come to a decision about whether or not our Government needs
to have the same kind of commitment, that constitutional commitment
that we have in most States. My colleague, Senator Allard, read
repeatedly from the words of Thomas Jefferson. I like Jefferson's words
in which he counseled us that it should be unthinkable for us to spend
the money of the next generation for our consumption in this
generation. Indeed, we have done this to a degree, now, that we begin
to hamstring our economy and threaten the future in ways that ought to
make us ashamed.
During the course of a yearlong campaign, I would go home as often as
I could. But always when I did, I was very tired from long hours of
campaigning. On one occasion, I sat in my living room and began to fall
asleep. My son, who was 6 years old at the time, toddled over to me and
tapped me on the wrist. As I was waking up, he asked me the question,
``Daddy, can I have your watch when you're dead?''
At that time, and since then, I have laughed at that comment many
times because it was a question from an innocent child. I have thought
humorously about it since and yet, also, soberly. I would like my sons
and daughters, and your sons and daughters, to be able to inherit more
than just a watch, to be able to inherit the kind of future and the
kind of America that we have had, and the kind which we have an
obligation to pass on.
What drives our need for a balanced budget amendment? Pure and
simple, it is the growth in spending that is out of control. It is
immoral. It ought to be illegal. I would like to use the growth of four
programs to demonstrate how, frankly, when coupled with interest on the
national debt, we are spending ourselves into oblivion. The four
programs are entitlements. They are important programs, and they have
done great things for the American people--for the needy and the
elderly--to take them out of poverty. Entitlements don't require a vote
of Congress each year. And interest on the debt is something we have to
pay, again; it is not voted upon.
Thirty years ago, in 1967, the Federal Government's spending on these
four programs--Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, Federal and
military pensions, and then interest on the national debt--represented
just 25 percent of our budget. Ten years later, in 1977, just these
four programs, plus interest, had grown to 41 percent of the budget. In
1987, just these four programs, plus interest, had grown to 50 percent
of the budget. In 1997, these four programs, plus interest, have grown
to 61 percent of our budget. In 2007, just 10 years from now, they will
make up more than two-thirds of our Federal expenditures, if we don't
change our spending habits now. What will be left, then, for schools,
roads and bridges, for police and for our national defense? If we don't
do something right now, then each year the deficit will grow higher and
higher. We must have a mechanism that will ensure that deficit spending
will stop. We must have an amendment that will ensure a balanced
budget.
I understand, as a former legislator at the State level, how
difficult it is to say ``no,'' because whether you are a Republican or
a Democrat, you go through the fire and pain of a campaign because you
care about people, you want to leave your community better off.
Everyone who comes to your door has a legitimate and often heartrending
story to tell. And if you could, you would say ``yes'' every time. But
the problem in this Federal city is that we never say ``no'' when we
ought to say ``no'' for the betterment of our whole society.
I spoke about these programs, these entitlements that help our
Nation's elderly. I believe that to preserve and protect and strengthen
Medicare and Social Security, we have to have a debate about the whole
problem. Many have talked about how Social Security needs to be
protected. I share that concern, and I will always talk about that, and
I will vote to protect Social Security. But it is not right to say that
this program--in order to protect it--should be taken off budget as
part of the balanced budget amendment. Not even our current President
believes that and, therefore, when speaking about his administration's
deficits, always including the Social Security trust funds.
There are those in the Senate that say that we should exempt Social
Security from the balanced budget amendment. I disagree with that. I
say that passing the balanced budget amendment, which both Republicans
and Democrats have proposed, is the most important thing we can do to
protect Social Security and our seniors. If Social Security balances
are exempted, additional cuts will have to be made during years of
surpluses. For example, in the year 2002, Congress will already have to
save, in order to balance the budget, $188 billion. If those trust
funds are exempted, then Congress will have to cut an additional $104
billion from the budget. Thus, Congress will have to radically cut
programs by $292 billion. Just making the cuts to reach the $188
billion mark will be difficult. An extra $104 billion will be
incredibly difficult and will, undoubtedly, cut discretionary and
mandatory programs, many of which will help America's aged, those 65
and over.
What does a balanced budget mean to Oregon, my State, and to your
State, and to America? It guarantees that we will be fiscally
responsible. It means that we will restrain the rate of growth of
deficit spending by the Federal Government, and that we will increase
the rate of growth in the private sector. It means that interest rates
will be lower for all Americans. That means lower mortgage payments.
[[Page S1062]]
For example, if you have a $100,000 mortgage payment, on a 30-year
basis, a 2 percent drop in the interest rate would result in a $140
per-month reduction in your mortgage payments. At the same time, it
means lower car payments. For a $15,000, 5-year auto loan at 9 percent,
this would represent savings of $1,200 over the life of the loan. Well,
lower interest rates also means lower interest on your credit cards. On
a credit card balance of $1,000, with a rate of 14 percent, it would
save you $20.
That is real money to real people who have real problems in their
lives. It means more money in your pocket, as an American citizen, to
be saved, if you choose, for things that are important to your family,
like buying a home, providing for a child's education, for food, for
clothing, all the things that real people need more than Government
needs them.
This is a choice about a brighter future for America. I am very
pleased that I was able to support a balanced budget amendment to the
U.S. Constitution in my first remarks on the floor of the U.S. Senate.
It will send a credible message to all of the world and its economic
markets. It will mean long-term economic growth. It will give greater
control of our foreign-held debt. It will restore integrity to our
budget process. Finally, this debate will show American families that
they have a choice for a brighter future.
Thank you, Mr. President.
Mr. HATCH. Mr. President, I compliment our distinguished colleague
from Oregon. He became the president of the Oregon Senate shortly after
he was elected to the Oregon Senate. I think we are very privileged to
have him in our body today. He has made his maiden speech, and I can't
imagine any subject that would be more meaningful than this one. I am
pleased he took the time to make that speech on the balanced budget
amendment. It also shows there is a new wave coming through this body.
People are now getting serious, after 28 years of unbalanced budgets.
This stack represents the 28 unbalanced budgets over the last 28 years.
These folks are coming in here saying it is time to change it. You can
hardly see me behind this stack. But this has to be changed, and the
only way we are going to change it is with a balanced budget amendment.
When people come on the floor and just say, ``Let's have the will to do
it,'' the only will they need to show is to pass the balanced budget
amendment so we will do it. For 28 years--really, for most of the last
60 years, we haven't had the will to do it. I compliment my colleague
and thank him for his cogent, good remarks here today.
I yield the floor.
Mr. GRAMM addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Enzi). The Senator from Texas.
Mr. GRAMM. Mr. President, I rise today to talk about the issue which
is before us, the balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. But I
don't think today we can talk about this babble about putting the
Federal Government on a budget like everybody else, except in the
context of the latest edition to this big stack of budgets over here
which have failed America and failed the working people of our country
and piled hundreds of billions of dollars of debt on generations yet
unborn, without looking at the newest installment of this debate; that
is, the budget that the President has sent to us this morning.
I want to make it clear, Mr. President, that I am rising to talk
about this budget and to criticize it, in some ways in harsh terms. I
want to begin by pointing out that I rise to criticize this budget more
in disappointment than in anger. I believe with the rhetoric that both
parties have been using that it is essential that we work together with
the administration. I do not believe we are going to balance the budget
based on the efforts of one party, though I think both parties need to
do a better job of doing their part.
I am the new chairman of the Medicare Subcommittee. I would like to
do something worthy of being remembered by taking major, bold steps
towards saving Medicare, and I know we can't do that if we do not work
with the President.
So I would like to focus my comments on the President's budget today,
and really focus not so much on the deficiencies of this budget and on
those aspects of this budget which represent really a political shield
that the President has erected to protect himself from having to make
hard decisions; I would like to couch my comments about this budget in
terms of what is left to be done, and what we have to do if we begin
with the President's budget and we decide we are going to go from here
to a balanced Federal budget. I would like to talk about that first.
Then I would like to talk about where we differ with the President.
What is the real issue that we are going to have to decide in writing
the budget of the United States of America for this year? Then I would
like to sum up.
First of all, let me say that, like most of my colleagues, I was
disappointed when our President the night before last told us that we
do not need a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution of the
United States.
My guess is that at the founding of the Republic, when the Bill of
Rights was set out as the immediate follow-on to the Constitution,
there were those who said, ``Well, we do not need to guarantee freedom
of speech. We do not need to guarantee freedom of religion. We do not
need to guarantee freedom of assembly. Let us do it ourselves. Let us
let the Congress do it. We do not need to guarantee the protection of
the rights of the States in those areas where the Federal Government
doesn't have specific enumeration in the Constitution. Congress is
capable of making those decisions.''
Our Founders decided that trust Congress to guarantee freedom of
speech, that they couldn't. That logic didn't make any sense. Our
Founders decided that they couldn't trust Congress to guarantee freedom
of religion. So they put it in the fundamental contract which bypasses
Congress, which bypasses the President, and that is the contract
between the Government and its people. That is what the Constitution
is.
The difference between our position and the President's position is
the President is saying after 28 years of failure in a row, after
piling now trillions of dollars of debt on generations yet unborn, that
we ought to trust Congress; that we ought to trust the President to
balance the budget without being required to do it. Obviously, if you
look at that big stack of budgets over there on Senator Hatch's desk,
for 28 years in a row under Democrat and Republican Presidents, under
Democrat and Republican Congresses, we have not done the job. I point
out that many of those budgets claim to be in balance. But as I will
make clear in my comments about the newest installment, the 29th budget
to go on top of 28 budgets that failed to get the job done, if we took
this budget on its face and assumed that it was adopted whole by this
Congress, it is probably the poorest blueprint among the 28 to get the
job done.
In fact, for a President who says we do not need to require a
balanced budget, that we can do it, it is very instructive to look at
the fine print in the President's budget. In fact, it is not even in
the budget document itself. You have to get over into the analytical
perspectives to find any word as to how the administration actually is
going to ensure that the budget is balanced. In fact, it is the very
last paragraph in the section of the President's budget that is
entitled ``Preview Report.'' In other words, it is about as hidden as
you can make something hidden.
Let me read basically what it says. It says in very small italic
print, ``Mechanism to ensure balance in the year 2002. The budget
includes a mechanism to ensure that the President's plan reaches
balance in 2002 under OMB or CBO assumptions.''
What is that mechanism? Here is the mechanism. The mechanism is that
if things don't work out, the tax cuts that the President has in his
budget this year would in the future be taken back. But the tax
increases the President has in his budget this year would be forever.
The President proposes spending more money now and increasing the
deficit now over the last year where we have an actual figure on the
deficit, and that is fiscal year 1996. The deficit would rise from $107
billion in 1996 to $121 billion in 1998. But what the President says
is, let me raise taxes this year. Let me increase spending this year.
And then, if we do not balance the budget in 4 years, I want to
[[Page S1063]]
take back the tax cuts that we would have given you 4 years from now.
And let me spend the money on all of these new programs--which we heard
about the other night--but if, in fact, the budget is not balanced,
then we are going to have a mechanism to take that money back. Where is
the mechanism? We do not know. Nowhere does the President tell us where
this mechanism is.
Mr. President, this is no guideline for balancing the budget. This is
no program for achieving what the President says he is committed to.
What we need more than anything else is to, No. 1, sign a contract with
the American people through the Constitution that President Clinton
can't change and the Republican Congress can't change committing that
we are going to do it. And then, second, we need to buy an insurance
policy by setting out a program that makes changes now--not 4 years
from now--if we fail to get this job done.
So I think it is very instructive in this debate about a balanced
budget amendment to the Constitution that when our President adds the
29th failed budget in a row, nowhere in the budget itself does he talk
about how we are going to achieve a balanced budget and an enforcement
mechanism. But in one paragraph in Analytical Perspective, he tells us
that ``most of the President's tax cuts would sunset, and discretionary
budget authority and identified entitlement programs would face an
across-the-board limit.'' No one knows what that mechanism really is.
But it is very clear what the President intends here, and that is tax
now, spend now, and then 4 years from now let somebody else worry about
it.
President Clinton is not alone in these failures. We have budgets
over there in that stack from Republican Presidents who have done the
same. Isn't it time that we stop this process with a balanced budget? I
say yes. God willing, we will.
Let me turn to a discussion of the President's budget. It is hard to
come up with analogies because accounting, especially when you are
dealing with billions of dollars, bores people to death. Quite frankly,
most of us do not know what $1 million is. I have one constituent, Ross
Perot, who knows what $1 billion is. Nobody knows what $1 trillion is.
But let me try to set it in perspective. Let me just run through and
talk about a few of the things that the President is proposing in his
budget.
No. 1, think of the Government as being overweight and think of what
we are trying to do here as going on a 4-year diet. We have been
overweight, and we have been claiming to be on a diet for 28 years, but
we have a new diet that the President is going to put us on here. Let
me start and go through the diet and I am sure at least--well, let me
be careful-- some of my colleagues have been on diets as I have been.
Others probably are so blessed that they have not, but judge this diet
if you needed to lose weight for your happiness or health.
First of all, the President takes the amount of weight we need to
lose and, by assuming different things, he says let us assume half of
the weight loss is going to occur naturally.
The first thing the President does in his budget is he changes the
economic assumptions of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office
which gave him their outline that we are required by law to follow in
our budget. Before he ever wrote his budget, they told him the rules
Congress will be bound by in writing our budget.
What the President says in essence is that to achieve a balanced
budget we have to have a certain amount of savings. I am going to
change assumptions, the President in essence says in his budget, so we
assume that half the weight loss is just going to occur naturally. So
the President is talking about, if you look at a budget, in this case
for a bloated Government which has not been on a real diet in 28 years
and shows it, losing half the weight that Congress is bound in writing
in our budget to lose--to be able to claim that in fact we have a diet
which will achieve our goal, the President assumes half the problem
away right off the top.
Second, we heard the other night about the President's tax cut and
what it was going to provide, but now that we have the numbers--and I
do not think it is unusual. I am not trying to be partisan with regard
to the President. But let me just give you the rest of the story. The
President the other night talked about a $98 billion tax cut and all
the good things we were going to get.
Now that we get the President's budget, we discover some very
startling things. First of all, in the first year, 1997, taxes go up,
not down. No. 2, the President has in his only enforcement mechanism a
provision that says, 4 years from now, if we do not lose half this
weight by assumption and good wishes, he is going to take back the tax
cut. So the first year he raises taxes out and out, no doubt about it.
Then he is going to give us a tax cut in the future, but he has
provisions in the bill that say, if we do not lose half the weight we
need on this diet automatically, he is going to take the tax cuts back.
The President's tax increases are forever, but the tax cuts are
temporary.
Also, the President has all kinds of offsetting receipts and hidden
taxes and user fees that let the President claim we are controlling
spending when we are not.
For example, the President assumes we are going to sell spectrum,
sell the right to use the radio waves of the country, and that we are
going to get $36 billion from that, and that he is going to spend every
penny of that $36 billion. The President has nearly $47 billion in new
fees that he would have us impose. The President increases nondefense
spending. In an era where, the President told us last year, big
Government was over, the President proposes in his budget increasing
nondefense discretionary spending by $73 billion.
And with this increase in spending, guess what. Discretionary
spending goes up next year, the deficit from the last real number we
have in 1996 goes up next year, taxes go up next year. Next year, taxes
will be at the highest level in the history of the United States of
America. Defense will be at the lowest level as a percentage of the
budget since the mid 1930's. And yet the deficit will be rising
relative to what we have achieved in fiscal year 1996. Why? Because of
new spending. There are 101 other little tricks in the budget, and each
of these tricks is aimed basically at having it both ways.
Let me get down to the fundamental choice we are going to have to
make. First of all, if we are going to lose this weight, if we are
going to balance the budget, we cannot start by assuming that half the
problem is going to solve itself. We have to assume that we are going
to have to do every bit of it. We are going to have to make the tough
choices. And if we really want to do it, we need to be conservative in
making choices so that if things do not quite work out, we still get
the job done.
We cannot get where we are going by beginning in the wrong direction.
If our goal is to spend less, why spend more in the first year, the
only year of the budget that is binding? If our objective it is to
lower taxes, why raise taxes the first year with a program that will
cut taxes in the future--but only if you achieve the deficit reduction
targets.
However, there is a more fundamental issue here, and this is one
where there is a legitimate difference, and that is we have two
competing visions. The President's vision, despite all the rhetoric of
a year ago, is a vision of Government providing more benefits and more
services to more people. The President gives us a budget where
discretionary spending grows by $73 billion. The President believes,
obviously, as reflected in this budget, that Government can spend the
money of working families better than they can spend it themselves. The
fundamental difference between the President's budget and the vision
that most Republicans share is, at its very root, a philosophical issue
and a legitimate issue and it is what we ought to be deciding in the
budget, and that is what kind of America do we want?
The President wants an America with taxes at the highest level in
history, spending at the highest level in history for nondefense
programs, spending on defense at the lowest level as a share of the
budget in a half century. That is his vision, as reflected in this
budget. Our vision is different. Our vision is the vision that we want
families to spend more money, whereas the President wants Government to
spend
[[Page S1064]]
$73 billion more on nondefense discretionary programs alone. And, look,
he wants Government to spend it on good things. He wants Government to
spend it on education. He wants Government to spend it on health. He
wants Government to spend it on building schools. He wants Government
to spend it on all kinds of programs to help people. There is no evil
or sinister scheme in what the President wants here. He wants
Government to help you with $73 billion in new spending. The fact that
it will mean that social spending will be at the highest level in
American history and taxes will be at the highest level in American
history, that does not change the fact that the President's intentions
are both good, from his point of view, and they are honorable.
But here is the difference. We are not debating how much money is
going to be spent on education. We are not debating how much money is
going to be spent on nutrition or health. We are debating who is going
to do the spending. President Clinton wants the Government to do the
spending and we want the family to do the spending. We want to take
this $73 billion of spending increases on all the good things the
President wants to spend it on and we want to give that money back to
the families who earned it to begin with and we want to let them spend
it on education and housing and nutrition. It is fundamentally an issue
of whether Government can make better decisions for working families or
whether working families can make better decisions.
Let me give an example, the most heartrending part of the President's
program, health care for children. Who wants to debate health care for
children and be against it? Nobody. The President spoke with great
eloquence and passion about it. He said 80 percent of the families that
do not have private health insurance pay taxes; 20 percent that do not
have it, by and large qualify for Medicaid but have never bothered to
fill out the papers, in many cases because when a child gets sick and
they go into the hospital, at that point they join Medicaid.
Now, here is the fundamental issue. The President says working
moderate-income families are having trouble making ends meet and, as a
result, many of them do not have private health insurance for their
children. We agree, Mr. President. We are in total agreement.
But the issue is this. Is the solution to create another Government
program to help these people? Or is the solution to let these working
families keep more of what they earn so they can buy private health
insurance for their children? Is the solution more Government? Or is
the solution to let families have more freedom about spending their
money? Is the solution to spend 73 billion more dollars, as the
President has proposed, sitting around the Cabinet table at the White
House, sitting around the committee tables here in Congress? Or is the
solution to let working families keep more of what they earn and let
them spend the money sitting around their kitchen tables? That is the
fundamental issue. It is two different visions for two different
Americas.
If you want to go to the analogy about bridges to the 21st century,
it is the debate about, not how we are going to get to the century--we
are certainly going to get there. I can guarantee you today that,
barring a calamity, we will have a 21st century. The debate is not
about building a bridge to it, we are going to get there. The debate is
what is the century going to be like when we get there. Is it going to
be a century dominated by Government? Is it going to be a century where
Government is taking care of us? We started out with a Government
taking care of the poorest of the poor. Now the Government is taking
care of more and more and more Americans. We are going to take care of
moderate-income people because they cannot take care of themselves with
the confiscatory tax burden that has them paying 15 cents out of every
dollar in payroll taxes and often 28 cents of the last dollar they
earn, or certainly 15 cents of the last dollar they earn to the Federal
Government, and then State and local taxes on top of it. Is the
solution, when families are taxed so they cannot meet their fundamental
needs, to tax them more and to give them benefits? I don't think so.
I think the solution is to let them keep more of what they earn and
let them decide. That is the fundamental issue. That is what we ought
to be debating. My appeal to the administration is: Look, let's clear
all these other issues off the table. Let's not start out assuming that
half of the work to be done is just going to happen miraculously. Let's
not tell people we are giving them tax cuts and then take them away 4
years from now, or tell them we are giving them tax cuts when, in fact,
in the first year we are raising their taxes even if you believe
everything in the President's budget. Let's not say we are going to
make tough decisions in the sweet by-and-by, but in the first year have
the deficit rising from 1996 and have taxes rising and have spending
rising. If we are going to start on this diet, let's not wait until
next week and go on a feeding binge this week. Let us start today.
So, let's debate real, permanent tax cuts. Let's debate real
decisionmaking. And then let's have the debate that America deserves,
and the debate is a simple debate but it is fundamental to the future
of our country. Do we have too much Government or too little? Can
Government take care of you better than you can take care of yourself?
Does Government love your children more than you do? Has Government
proven that it can educate your children better than you could, if you
got to keep more of what you earn and could invest it in their
education? Would you rather have a new health care program or would you
rather have us cut your taxes so you could buy health insurance that
you choose for your children? That is a fundamental issue and that is
what we ought to be deciding. But we cannot debate those issues when we
are not debating apples to apples.
So, my urging today to the President is: Let's go back and rewrite
these budgets. Let's assume the same things about where the goalpost is
and what we have to do to get to it. And then let's explain to America
how we are going to do it, not with a sleight-of-hand, where we are
going to come in 4 years from now with an unspecified policy and raise
taxes and cut spending but we are not going to tell people how we are
going to do it now. Let's put it all out on the table, let the American
people look at it, and then let's make a fundamental decision.
Finally, and I have spoken too long, but let me end on a note about
cooperation. There is one area where we are going to have to have
bipartisanship. If all else fails, it is an area where it is absolutely
essential that we not let partisanship stop us from acting, and that
area is Medicare. I know we talk about gloom and doom and the world
coming to an end, and it does not come to an end. And it is not going
to end until somebody more powerful by far than we are makes that
decision. But Medicare is going broke. It is in the red this year. It
will be bankrupt in 4 years. It will have a cumulative deficit of a
half a trillion dollars in 10 years. We have a crisis in Medicare that
is far beyond the comprehension of most people, as to how big this
problem is. If we set out today to fix Medicare permanently, it would
cost more money to fix Medicare and guarantee it for our parents and
our children than it cost in real dollars to fight and win World War
II.
Those are the facts. So the one thing we must do, if we are going to
do anything this year worthy of being remembered, is we have to begin
to address the problems in Medicare. The President has made a bunch of
proposals, and in some form or another, I can support virtually
everything the President has proposed. I think, obviously, there are
areas, with some debate, where the administration would make some
changes, but here is the point. We are going to have to do some
fundamental reforms in the system, and we are going to have to do them
this year.
In a sense, I will tell you the sky is falling in Medicare by saying
if we don't start this year fixing Medicare, within a decade, we are
going to be denying benefits to people, within a decade we are going to
have a tax rate on the payroll tax that is going to be substantially
higher than it is today, and the crisis is going to be greater even
then than it is now. So this is one area where every person who
represents the good interest of the country should work together. I am
certainly interested in working with the President.
[[Page S1065]]
We need a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution. I plan to
speak at some length on this subject later. But I thought it was
important to note, when we have stacked up 28 budget failures,
Democratic and Republican budget failures that have not gotten the job
done, that have failed the American people, that have mortgaged the
future of our children, in the current form, the President's budget
issued today will fail. It cannot and will not balance the budget, and
our goal has to be to work with the President, if we can, to make this
budget a real budget that will do the job. I, for one, am willing to
work for that goal.
I yield the floor.
Ms. SNOWE addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Chair recognizes the Senator from Maine.
Ms. SNOWE. Mr. President, I think we all accept the fact that this
body faces so many great decisions on such a regular basis that it is
sometimes difficult to focus on one vote or one debate that stands
apart as a truly monumental decision, a truly monumental vote.
But, let me be clear. I think the Senate is now entering such a
debate, and later this month, this body will face such a vote. The
stakes could not be higher. With a balanced budget constitutional
amendment, this Senate will face perhaps its defining moment as we lay
the foundation for our fiscal agenda of our Nation's coming century--as
we decide how this Nation will conduct its affairs. Who can doubt that
future generations will look upon this debate and this vote with great
historical interest as a crossroads in our country's national affairs.
Who can doubt, with this vote, these future generations will praise us
for bringing America's economic house in order, or they will blame us
for simply passing the buck when we could have stopped a mounting
national crisis.
Mr. President, as an idea, the concept of a balanced budget is hardly
new. Many in this body have rightly championed it for many, many years.
Leading economists across our Nation have spoken and written of its
value, and many of the Nation's brightest business minds from Wall
Street to Main Street have urged its passage. There is no politics in
any of these voices. They simply speak the truth: A balanced budget is
the first step on the road to long-term prosperity for America.
But perhaps most convincingly, Mr. President, the balanced budget
constitutional amendment is not just supported by these impressive
voices. It is also championed by a nation of citizens who, for months
and years, have been urging this body to take action, to pass the
balanced budget constitutional amendment for the sake of our Nation and
our children. According to a CBS-New York Times poll conducted January
30 and February 1, an astounding 76 percent of our citizens favor this
amendment. From parents who care about the economic future of their
children to teenagers who are worried about their future, the call for
a balanced budget has been loud. Some would say it has been deafening.
Yet, the regrettable reality still exists. Unable to pass the
balanced budget amendment, our Nation has run staggering deficits year
after year that stifle our Nation's economic growth and prosperity,
suffocate our future generations, and ultimately eradicate public
confidence in our Nation's fiscal management to the point where only 12
percent of the American people, according to a CBS-New York Times poll,
think we will balance the budget by the year 2002. Unfortunately, Mr.
President, the American people are losing confidence in our willingness
and ability to act. They have lost confidence in our ability as a
nation to face the challenges as we approach the 21st century.
So let us in this debate consider some of the facts, because facts,
as has often been said, are stubborn things. And the facts, when
properly considered, point us unequivocally toward the merit of a
balanced budget amendment.
First, I want this body to listen carefully to an assessment issued
just last May by the Congressional Budget Office. The CBO, as my
colleagues well know, is not a partisan voice; it has no real stake in
this debate, except to ensure the facts are properly considered. But
its assessment of deficit spending could not be more troubling.
According to the CBO report: ``The budget deficits projected for
future years are so large that they could put an end to the upward
trend in living standards that the Nation has long enjoyed. Thus,
current U.S. budget policies cannot be sustained without risking
substantial economic damage.''
Substantial economic damage, that's right, Mr. President, is what we
run the risk of bringing to this Nation if we do not act now. The CBO
report goes further. Should we fail to bring our deficits to a halt,
our economy will enter what CBO calls a period of ``accelerating
decline.''
``Accelerating decline,'' ``substantial economic damage''--in my 18
years in Congress, I have read a lot of CBO reports, a lot of analyses
of our Nation's economy, and I can tell you, the warnings and the
wordings do not get more dire than these.
I know there are some who may say, ``Yes, I, too, support balanced
budgets, and I, too, oppose deficits, but a balanced budget amendment,
well, that goes too far, that binds us unnecessarily.''
Mr. President, let us be clear about two further facts. First, these
past three decades have shown that our political culture, the ways of
our democratic governance, great as they are, do not always lend
themselves well to fiscal prudence. My colleagues will recall that we
tried before to reduce our deficits through statutory means. You can
see right here that these number of budgets for the last 28 years have
shown that we have failed. Let's look at the history of our efforts.
Next to me, I have two charts. The first documents 33 years of good
intentions--5 more years than these unbalanced budgets--statutory
efforts that required or promised to balance the budget of our Nation.
All the greatest hits from the past are here from the Revenue Act of
1964 through Gramm-Rudman-Hollings of 1987, and more recently was the
infamous Budget Act.
But as we can see on this chart, the statutes don't work. Gramm-
Rudman-Hollings II; Gramm-Rudman-Hollings I; Recodification of title
31, 1982; Bretton Woods agreement, 1980; debt limit increase, 1979;
Byrd amendment; Humphrey-Hawkins Act; Revenue Act of 1978; and Revenue
Act of 1964. These are just some of the examples of our statutory
efforts in the past.
I might also add, over the years, we have had a number of balanced
budget amendments in both the House and the Senate, and I point back to
October 1, 1982. The House failed to pass a resolution getting two-
thirds, and the Senate adopted a balanced budget constitutional
amendment, August 4, 1982. Unfortunately, we didn't pass it in
Congress, but as far back as 1982, we debated a balanced budget
amendment. Each and every time, when we have had those debates on the
amendments, everybody said, ``We can do it on our own if we only have
the will. We really don't need a constitutional amendment.''
Yet, Mr. President, this graph speaks for itself. Statute after
statute has been passed by this body, but this deficit has kept right
on marching. The lesson, I think, is clear--fail to pass this amendment
and we reject perhaps the greatest fiscal lesson of modern times.
This deficit is not going to be halted through statutes. I think this
is a good indication with these 28 years of unbalanced budgets. The
last time we had a balanced budget is when Neil Armstrong landed on the
Moon. The only way we are going to stop deficit spending and reach a
balanced budget is through an amendment.
The second chart I have behind me reveals some other important
aspects to this entire debate. First, a close examination of our budget
history dating back, I might add, to 1905, reveals that deficits have
been the norm, not the exception, as we can see. The deficits are in
the red bars below the line. And the green--you can barely see it--is
above the line, which would represent the years in which we have had
surpluses between 1905 and 2005. Some of those are estimates for the
projections by CBO for future years. That is last year's estimate. They
may be a little bit better than that with this year's estimate. But,
nevertheless, it gives a broad indication of the fact that we are going
to continue to have major deficits in the future. It also has shown
that we have had generally a century of deficits with very few
exceptions.
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These deficits go back decades. Very rarely we found efforts in which
we have been able to have a surplus. So I think that this chart reveals
that we have had a century of failure of statutory efforts to balance
the budget.
Now, some have said, well, a balanced budget amendment is just a
gimmick. As I have said before on the floor, and I will say it again,
if this amendment was really a gimmick, we would have passed it long
ago because Congress loves gimmicks.
Mr. President, this is no gimmick. This is the first necessary step--
a brave, bold and thoughtful step--on the road to fiscal sanity.
The second point, in response to these critics, is that the balanced
budget amendment does allow us in the event of some national crisis,
disaster or massive economic downturn to run a deficit. With a three-
fifths majority we can take the steps necessary to address any existing
crisis that threatens our Nation and requires a commitment of our
national financial resources above and beyond a balanced budget.
When Members of this body vote yes for a balanced budget amendment,
they are not prohibiting our country from ever running a deficit. We
are simply making it the rare exception. So, Mr. President, I view this
as a most responsible approach to the problem.
I know some may be thinking that certainly we can escape this debate
one more time, we can duck the big question one more time, we can
conveniently leave this decision to others one more time. Well, again,
Mr. President, facts are stubborn things, and they suggest a very
different reality.
The deficit of this Nation was $107 billion last year. Left
unchecked, according to CBO, it will double by the year 2004. And by
the year 2007, if we fail to act, it is expected to reach a staggering
$278 billion. Put another way, the deficit comprised 2 percent of the
GDP in 1995. Should we stand aside and do nothing? According again to
statistics from CBO, this deficit will rise to 5 percent of the GDP by
the year 2010 and 37 percent by the year 2030. The message of those
statistics could not be more blunt: Time is ticking.
In fact, in the year 2025 alone--in that year alone--the deficit will
be $2 trillion. So the deficit, obviously, in future years is going to
double and triple.
Lest there be any doubt about the ramifications of all this, consider
this. If we can prevent these staggering deficits and bring the budget
into balance permanently through this constitutional amendment, our
Nation will be the big winner. We will experience a 25 percent growth
in the GNP per capita by the year 2030, according to CBO--a 25 percent
growth per person, Mr. President. That means growth for our Nation's
economy. It means jobs. It means higher standards of living. It means a
positive difference in people's lives and their futures and their
children's futures. These are the things that this Senate must take
very, very seriously.
So to those who say, well, the balanced budget amendment is just a
product of deficit hawks, I say, take a close look at these CBO
numbers. This is an economic growth initiative. This is about the
future. This is about our children and our grandchildren. This is about
economic security. It is about providing for a stronger standard of
living, not a lower standard of living, because we are incurring debts
and deficits to bequeath to the next generation.
What about interest rates? I know this body knows well that growth is
intimately linked to the rates of borrowing. That is no secret. Pay
higher interest rates for a car, higher interest rates for a house, and
you soon find less and less people able or willing to make that
purchase. Production goes down, jobs get fewer. That, too, is no
secret.
But consider for a moment, Mr. President, the actual impact the
amendment can have on our citizens. Look at the projections for lower
interest rates if we pass a constitutional amendment to ensure the
continuity of balanced budgets into the future, year after year after
year, not just the year 2002.
We have had estimates by the Joint Economic Committee that says that
we could have a 2 percentage point decline in interest rates by the
year 2002 if we have a balanced budget. The DRI-McGraw-Hill projection
says that interest rates could drop even further, could drop more than
2.5 percent if we pass this amendment.
That means lower cost to people in terms of their mortgages and car
loans and student loans, whatever the case may be in terms of
borrowing. And that is real money to the average American family.
It means that Americans who now pay $570 a month on an $80,000
mortgage, when that mortgage is paid at an interest rate of 7.7
percent, if we pass the constitutional amendment, this rate would fall
to an estimated 5.7 percent, bringing that mortgage payment down to
$464 a month according to the Joint Economic Committee. The result is a
$1,272 mortgage savings per year for this family, all because we have
taken the right steps through an amendment.
That again is real money to the average American family who works
hard and sees more of their hard-earned dollars being taken in terms of
taxes. We have seen the tax burden escalate in this country. It is the
highest historically because taxes consume more now than food, shelter
and clothing combined.
But also look at what a balanced budget amendment would mean in
savings--in excess of $1,500 to the typical middle-income family,
counting their interest savings on all of these loans, on mortgage
loans and car loans and student loans, according to the Joint Economic
Committee.
Now, Mr. President, President Clinton is talking about building a
bridge to the 21st century. That is fine. But, with this vote, we will
go far in defining what kind of bridge this will be. This bridge to the
21st century can be solid, constructed on strong beams, capable of
moving the American people safely and securely, or it can be a
hazardous and rickety bamboo bridge suspended by worn ropes over the
chasm of our national deficit.
Pass the balanced budget amendment and we lay the ground for a solid
foundation for this bridge into the next century. Pass the buck on the
balanced budget amendment and we cross this bamboo bridge literally on
borrowed time.
So the decision will be ours. I think we know the right thing to do.
We know the danger, indeed, the very threat, to our Nation of ongoing
deficits and deficits. We know that we need stronger steps of fiscal
self-discipline. I doubt that any Member of this great body, knowing
what they know about the dangers of deficits and our historical
inability to end them without this amendment and the many benefits of
this amendment, can rise in good conscience to defend the status quo.
Now only one question remains, and it is this: Will we have the
strength and the courage and the wisdom to implement it? Mr. President,
let this Senate answer this vital question without hesitation. For the
sake of our Nation and its future, let this answer be yes. Mr.
President, I yield the floor.
Mr. DORGAN addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Chair recognizes the Senator from North
Dakota.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, I have been very interested in the
discussion today about a constitutional amendment to balance the
budget. It is a serious subject and one which the Senate should take
seriously. We should have a robust, aggressive, provocative and
interesting debate on a question of this magnitude.
I have told the Senate before, and I would like to again at the risk
of being redundant, that I was privileged to be one of 55 people to go
back into the room in Constitution Hall in Philadelphia on the 200th
anniversary of the writing of the Constitution. 200 years previous, 55
white men went into the room in Philadelphia Hall, some very great men,
and they wrote a Constitution for this country. George Washington's
chair is still in that room. You can see where he sat in the front of
the room and presided over the Constitutional Convention.
Mr. President, 200 years later 55 people--men and women, people from
all ethnic and racial backgrounds--went in and had a celebration in
that room.
Coming from a very small town in southwestern North Dakota, I kind of
got goose bumps that day because I was sitting in the very room where
they wrote the Constitution of the
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United States. It was a unique and special privilege for me to be
present and to be one of those participants.
Senator Byrd, the distinguished Senator from West Virginia, and I
were just visiting moments ago about the U.S. Constitution and he gave
me a copy of the Constitution that he carries in his pocket. It is a
very small document, one of the most remarkable documents ever written
by people who live on this Earth. It is the framework for the most
successful democracy in the history of the world.
It is this document, the Constitution of the United States, that we
are talking about amending. We are debating whether or not to alter
this document. And we are in the midst of a blizzard of rhetoric about
a stack of 6 or 8 feet of budget documents spanning some 29 or 30
years.
Well, those budget documents do not read like this:
``We The People of the United States, in Order to form a
more perfect Union, establish Justice, insure domestic
Tranquility, provide for the common defence, promote the
general Welfare, and secure the Blessings of Liberty to
ourselves and our Posterity, do ordain and establish this
Constitution for the United States of America.''
You will not find this language in that stack of documents.
This Constitution has a provision in it by which it can be amended.
We have some people in politics today who believe that this is an
imperfect document. Some, in fact, in the last session of Congress,
some proposed three separate amendments in the period of 3 months. Over
the years we have had thousands of proposals to change this document. I
do not see many people who look like Madison, Mason, Franklin, or
Washington walking around making these proposals. I see a lot of other
folks making these proposals.
My point is this: When we debate how and whether we should alter the
Constitution of the United States, we ought to be mindful of the need
to get it right. Be careful. Do not dishonor this great document by
making alterations that will in the long run weaken our country.
That brings me to the debate about the current constitutional
amendment to balance the budget.
Mr. BYRD. Mr. President, would the distinguished Senator yield at
this point without losing his right to the floor?
Mr. DORGAN. I am happy to yield.
Mr. BYRD. The distinguished Senator talked about the language of the
Constitution. In reading this amendment, this proposed amendment to the
Constitution, I have been struck as I read it by the contrast in this
language in the proposed amendment in contrast to the language of the
Constitution.
Would the Senator be surprised if I were to say to him that the
Constitution of the United States provides for a Congress of two
bodies, the Senate and the House of Representatives, provides for the
creation of the House of Representatives, provides for the
establishment of the Senate of the United States, provides for the
establishment of the Presidency, provides for the establishment of the
Supreme Court of the United States, and provides for the mode by which
that Constitution would come into being? Would the Senator be surprised
if I were to say to him that the language in the Constitution that does
all of these things that I just enumerated constitutes fewer words than
are used in this proposed amendment to the Constitution? Would the
Senator be surprised at my saying that?
Mr. DORGAN. Well, I am not surprised because I have read those
provisions. But I fully understand the point the Senator from West
Virginia has made.
Mr. BYRD. This is not Constitution-like language, to start with.
Has the Senator heard any proponent of this amendment come to the
Senate floor and explain to the Senate and to the people watching and
listening to the debate through the electronic eye, has the Senator
heard any proponent come to the floor and, section by section by
section, explain this amendment, how each section would work, why each
section is there, what each section means?
I have heard quite a number of Senators come to the floor and talk
about the need for balancing the budget. I think we are all in
agreement on that and I think there is a consensus here as to a need
for balancing the budget at some point, bringing down the deficits, but
I have not heard a single Senator--and I have not been able to listen
to all of the debate; I tried to listen to as much as possible, but the
Senator has heard most of the debate--has the Senator heard any
proponent of this amendment come fully explain this amendment, talk
about the amendment? Not about the need for balancing the budget, not
about the need for getting the deficits down, about which we all agree.
I would be greatly enlightened if a Senator would take the time not to
talk about something we all agree on, but to talk about how this
amendment will balance the budget, how it will eliminate the deficits.
Has the Senator heard any proponent do that thus far?
Mr. DORGAN. I say to the Senator I have not. Again, the Senator makes
a good point. There is a difference between balancing the budget and
amending the Constitution to require that it be done.
Mr. BYRD. I thank the distinguished Senator.
Mr. DORGAN. I appreciate the comments by the Senator from West
Virginia.
I will talk just for a moment about this issue of debt. Clearly, the
amount of Federal debt that we have is excessive. The deficits that we
have experienced in recent years, in the last couple of decades,
especially, saddle our children with interest payments that we do not
want to have to have them meet. Clearly, we need to make progress in
balancing the budget and finally achieve fiscal stability and have a
budget that is balanced. That is clear.
We have a debt problem. That is clear as a bell.
I say to people who come to the floor and talk about this issue,
however, it is not just the Federal debt. We have corporate debt that
is rising just exactly like the Federal debt is. We have credit card
debt that is rising faster. We have consumer debt that is rising just
as fast. We have $21 trillion in debt out there in this country.
In fact, you walk down the street, you walk past a picture window of
a business someplace, and you almost hear the invisible tapping on the
windowpane behind the bright red letter sign that says to you ``Say,
consumer, come over here a second. It does not matter you cannot afford
this. It does not matter that you do not have money for it. Come and
buy this product. Come over here and buy this product. We will give you
the product. You take the product home. We will give you a rebate. You
do not make a payment for 6 months. Come over here. Credit bad, it does
not matter. We will give you credit. Are you in college and have no
job? We will give you a credit card. In fact, we will give you four of
them, from four different companies. You do not have to have a job and
you can be in college and you get a pen pal or a dozen of them, saying
`Take our credit card, buy our product. It does not matter that you
cannot afford it.'''
We have a debt problem in this country. It is an addiction and it is
a problem in a range of areas in our economy. One area we can do
something about is the Federal Government's spending and the Federal
Government's fiscal policy. I want to talk about that. In 1993,
President Clinton won his election to the Presidency. He came to this
Congress and he said the Federal deficit is a problem and he proposed
that we do something about it. He proposed a deficit reduction act. It
included some tough medicine, some things people did not like, some
controversial items, spending cuts, yes, real spending cuts. Some tax
increases, yes, very unpopular. We passed it here in the Senate by one
vote. I voted for it. Was it the popular thing to do? Of course not.
The popular thing to do would have been to have voted against it and go
home and crow about having voted in opposition to this proposal. Now,
that would have been the political thing to do--go home and crow about
your opposition to this proposal. We didn't get one vote from the other
side of the aisle, not one, not even by accident. You would think maybe
someone on that side would have made a mistake and voted for it. No. We
passed it by one vote.
I will read for my colleagues some of the comments during that
debate. If you pass this legislation to tackle the deficit in this way,
some of my colleagues said, what is going to happen?
[[Page S1068]]
``This bill is going to cost America jobs.'' ``It will kill jobs.''
``It's going to be devastating.'' ``We are buying a one-way ticket to a
recession.'' Another Senator said, ``It will turn a fragile recovery
into a solid recession.'' Another said, ``It will lead to a
recession.'' All of that was said here on the floor of the Senate. ``Do
this and you kill this economy.''
But we did it, and here is what happened to the Federal budget
deficit since then: 4 straight years of reduced deficits; the unified
deficit cut in real terms by 60 percent--60 percent.
Now, this isn't the deficit the Republicans use or the President uses
because neither one use the right numbers. This is a deficit without
the Social Security funds in it, because you ought not be able to
misuse those funds. A 60-percent reduction in real terms in the unified
deficit.
What happened to the economy? We have seen record numbers of new
jobs. The economy continues to grow.
What did we do? We cut the deficit by 60 percent. I am glad I did
that. Was there a price to pay for that? Yes. The popular thing would
have been to do something different. But we did this.
Now, how do you cut the deficit from here to zero? Well, you can get
a costume and suit up and strut around and bellow or bray or crow, or
whatever it is one wants to do. Or you can decide that the way to
reduce the budget deficit is by individual spending and taxing choices
that we must make in a budget document.
You can alter the Constitution of the United States, I guess. You can
take this little Constitution and alter it in a hundred places and when
it's done, in 5 seconds, not one penny will have been altered from this
budget deficit. You can change the Constitution at 2:10 today and you
won't have done one thing to change the budget deficit. Why? Because
changing the Constitution doesn't change the deficit. Only men and
women making individual decisions on spending and taxing can change the
budget deficit. We did that in 1993. We didn't have many friends when
we did it, but we did it. It's tough medicine, but it's the medicine we
have to take.
Now, some come to us today and say that if we simply change the
Constitution, we will solve this problem. I have taken the position
that I am willing to alter the Constitution of this country. I have not
been willing to do it often. I voted against most of the proposals--
term limits and dozens of proposals around here--to alter the
Constitution. I have not been very willing to change the Constitution.
But I have said I think there is some merit in fiscal discipline. I
would vote to alter the Constitution.
But I will not, under any condition, vote to alter this Constitution
in a manner that, as the majority proposal does, takes the Social
Security trust funds, adds them in, and then claims to have balanced
the budget when they haven't. That happens today in normal fiscal
policy practice, and it is wrong today. It was wrong last year and,
especially, it will be wrong and devastating to this country if you
enshrine that practice into the Constitution of the United States.
I want to ask one question, and I want to come here this coming week
and ask it repeatedly because I want to find someone who will stand up
and answer the question.
To frame the question, I want to give a little history. In 1983, the
Congress said, ``We have problems financing the Social Security
system.'' We formed a commission, headed by Mr. Greenspan, who now
chairs the Federal Reserve Board. Mr. Greenspan and the commission
reported to Congress and said that the way we are going to solve the
Social Security problem in the long-term is we are going to increase
payroll taxes, we are going to increase the age of retirement in the
outyears, far out in the outyears, and make a number of other changes.
When we do that, we are going to deliberately develop a Social Security
surplus--this year, incidentally, it's $78 billion--and that surplus
will be available when the baby boomers need it and retire, well after
the turn of the century.
Why was that necessary? Because after the Second World War there was
this massive outpouring of love and affection when our young men came
home. Guess what? There was something called the World War II baby
boomers, the largest baby crop in the history of our country. That
large baby crop has worked its way through our society. When it reaches
retirement age, we have a demographic problem in Social Security. That
is what the Greenspan commission said. The Congress recognized that and
they said, ``Let us save for that period of time, collect more money
now in the Social Security system so that we have it available later
when we need it.''
Now, the reason I say that they did that, here is the commission
testimony before the Ways and Means Committee on which I sat. It is
what they claimed, what they said and recommended to us. Create the
surplus now so that it's available later when we need it. It was the
sober and right thing to do. That is exactly what was done.
In fact, on the chart here are the Social Security surpluses that are
going to accrue. This simply goes to 2010-- actually, the trust fund is
in surplus out to about 2018, and in 2019 begins to run a deficit. You
will see the surpluses. These are not insignificant amounts of money.
We are talking a trillion dollars in the next 10 years alone.
Now, unfortunately, what has happened as a result of all of this is,
instead of this money being saved, it has been used as an offset
against other spending. Some say, well, that is all technical garble.
It is not technical garble.
I want to ask this question as a result of all of this: In the year
2002, when we are told by this constitutional mandate and by a budget
that calls for a balanced budget--and this would be true of the
administration's budget and also true of the majority party's budget--
in 2002, if the budget is in balance, why in that year will the
Congress be required to increase by $130 billion the limit on total
Federal debt?
I want to ask this question again. I want to ask this a fair amount
and get an answer to it. If the budget is balanced by constitutional
mandate, if the budget is balanced by a budget plan submitted by
anybody in the year 2002, why in the year in which the budget is
balanced does CBO tell us that the debt limit will have to be increased
by $130 billion?
I will give you my answer. My answer is that the reason the debt
limit has to be increased the very year they say the budget is in
balance is because the budget isn't in balance, and everybody here
knows it. It's a charade.
I want to ask that question and ask someone to come and answer it. I
certainly intend to ask the sponsors to answer it. If the budget is in
balance, why are you then required to increase the Federal debt?
Does anybody sitting around their dinner table talking about how they
balance their checkbooks believe that is what would happen? We are in
perfect balance, our spending is meeting the amount of money we have to
spend and, therefore, our debt is increasing. Does anybody believe that
would meet the test of credibility in business? I don't think so. It
doesn't meet the test of credibility here.
I will support a constitutional amendment to balance the budget. I
have introduced one with six of my colleagues, which does not misuse
the Social Security trust funds to the tune of a trillion dollars. I
challenge those who say they want to alter the Constitution of the
United States to join us. We can pass it in 10 minutes, pass it with 75
votes. But that's not what is at stake here. What is at stake are
people who want to talk about balancing the budget.
We did more than talk in 1993. We cut the unified budget deficit by
60 percent in real terms, at some political peril, and we paid a price
for it. Some people want to talk about balancing the budget and about
altering the Constitution. What I want to talk about is doing what we
promised the American people we would do--saving over a trillion
dollars in the next 10 years of Social Security dedicated trust funds
that are taken from workers' paychecks. We promised those workers their
money would be saved in a trust fund, saved for when we need it after
the turn of the century. Yet here we see a Constitutional proposal to
misuse those trust funds and claim that we have balanced the budget.
A columnist in the Washington Post, who I shall not name--Charles
Krauthammer--wrote a column last week about this matter. This was his
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third column on this issue. He is all cranky about it. He basically
said, ``Dorgan and those folks don't know what they are talking
about.''
There is no Social Security trust fund? Social Security is pay as you
go? Nonsense. What a bunch of nonsense.
You have a right to be wrong in this country. God bless political
pundits who are wrong. You have a right to be wrong. But if you want to
see the Social Security trust fund securities, go to Parkersburg, WV.
The bonds are under armed guard. The trust funds exist under law. Bonds
are in the trust fund.
Pay as you go? Nonsense. The Commission in 1983 said it was not going
to be a pay-as-you-go system anymore, that we will raise more money--
$78 billion this year alone--and save that money for the future. So Mr.
Krauthammer is just flat wrong.
A group that is right is the well-respected Center on Budget and
Policy Priorities. They published something on this issue this week. I
want to read part of it into the Record because I heard some discussion
here today saying if we do not pass our constitutional amendment to
balance the budget, the one that misuses all of these Social Security
revenues, it is going to hurt our kids.
You want to hurt kids? I will tell you how, and do it quickly. It is
confirmed by this study. What you do is take the savings that are
designed to be spent in the Social Security system when our kids are
going to be out there working and you use the surplus now in order to
claim that you are balancing the budget and continue running the
deficit. That is why you are still increasing the Federal debt even as
you claim you have a balanced budget.
That will really hurt kids, because 10, 15 or 20 years from now you
will have to have massive tax increases on our kids to pay for the baby
boomers' retirement. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities lays
the whole scenario out in this document.
Pass the constitutional amendment that I have talked about, and you
do the honest thing. You save the money we said we would save and you
are balancing the budget.
But let me go through this quickly. The report by the Center on
Budget and Policy Priorities reads as follows:
The version that includes the Social Security revenues in
the unified budget poses serious dangers for the Social
Security system. It also is inequitable to younger
generations, as it would likely cause those who are children
today to have to bear substantial payroll tax increases when
they reach their peak earning years.
The reason? Because the money we said was going to save the day is
not going to be saved by those who want to enshrine the misuse of it in
the U.S. Constitution.
I will read another piece of this.
Unfortunately, the balanced budget amendment pushed by the
Leadership would undermine this approach to protecting Social
Security and promoting generational equity. Under this
version of the balanced budget amendment, total government
expenditures in any year--including expenditures for Social
Security benefits--could not exceed total revenues collected
in the same year, including revenues from Social Security
payroll taxes.
What are the implications of that? It is pretty clear. We envisioned
when we passed the Social Security Reform Act that we were going to
have a circumstance where we save now and spend out later. The balanced
budget amendment reported by the Judiciary Committee would not only
allow the misuse of the savings now but also would prevent the
expenditure later when it was necessary to meet future needs.
The leadership version, according to the Center on Budget and Policy
Priorities, ``would eviscerate the essential achievements of the
Greenspan commission.''
I ask unanimous consent to have this printed in the Record. This is
an excellent piece that has been written by the Center on Budget and
Policy Priorities on exactly this point.
There being no objection, the material was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
The Balanced Budget Amendment and Social Security
In recent years, Congress has considered two versions of
the balanced budget amendment. The version supported by the
Republican Congressional leadership (herein termed the
``Leadership version'') requires the ``unified budget'' to be
balanced each year, including Social Security. The other
version, which Senators Feinstein, Wyden, Dorgan and others
introduced in the last Congress, requires the budget
exclusive of Social Security to be in balance.
The version that includes Social Security in the unified
budget poses serious dangers for the Social Security system.
It also is inequitable to younger generations, as it would
likely cause those who are children today to have to bear
substantial payroll tax increases when they reach their peak
earnings years. The Feinstein/Wyden/Dorgan version introduced
in 1996 does not pose these problems.
Background
In coming decades, Social Security faces a demographic
bulge. The baby boomers are so numerous that when they
retire, the ratio of workers to retirees will fall to a low
level.
This poses a problem because Social Security has
traditionally operated on a ``pay-as-you-go'' basis. The
payroll taxes contributed by today's workers finance the
benefits of today's retirees. Because there will be so many
retirees when the baby boomers grow old, however, it will be
difficult for the workers of that period to carry the load
without large increases in payroll taxes.
The acclaimed 1983 bipartisan Social Security commission
headed by Alan Greenspan recognized this problem. It moved
Social Security from a pure ``pay-as-you-go'' system to one
under which the baby boomers would contribute more toward
their own retirement. As a result, the Social Security system
is now building up surpluses. By 2019, these surpluses will
equal $3 trillion. After that, as the bulk of the baby boom
generation moves into retirement, the system will draw down
the surpluses (although it is likely that Congress will act
to bolster Social Security's finances by reducing benefits or
increasing revenues before then, thereby causing the
surpluses to grow larger and last longer than current
projections indicate). This practice of building up the
surpluses while most baby boomers are still working and
drawing them down after they retire is akin to what families
do by saving for retirement during their working years and
drawing down their savings after they reach retirement.
This approach has important merits. It promotes
generational equity by keeping the burden on younger
generations from becoming too high. In addition, if the
Social Security surpluses were to be used in the next two
decades to increase national saving rather than to offset the
deficit in the rest of the budget, that would likely result
in stronger economic growth, which in turn would better
enable the country to afford to support the baby boomers when
they reach their twilight years.
To pursue this approach, the deficit in the non-Social
Security budget will need to be reduced significantly or
eliminated in coming years--so the surpluses in the Social
Security trust funds contribute in whole or large part to
national saving--and further reforms in Social Security will
need to be instituted to restore it to long-term actuarial
balance.
The Leadership BBA and Social Security
Unfortunately, the balanced budget amendment pushed by the
Leadership would undermine this approach to protecting Social
Security and promoting generational equity. Under this
version of the balanced budget amendment, total government
expenditures in any year--including expenditures for Social
Security benefits--could not exceed total revenues collected
in the same year, including revenues from Social Security
payroll taxes. The implications of this requirement for
Social Security are profound.
First, the budget would be considered balanced when the
deficit outside Social Security exactly offset the surplus
inside Social Security. But when that occurred, the sound
objective of the Greenspan commission--to accumulate a Social
Security surplus partly to help build the nation's capital
stock and productive capacity so we can better afford to pay
for the baby boomers' retirement--would be stymied.
Second, the benefits of the baby boomers would have to be
financed in full by the taxes of those working in the years
the baby boomers are retired.
The Leadership version thus would eviscerate the central
achievements of the Greenspan commission.
One reason the Leadership version would have this effect is
that even though the Social Security trust funds would have
been accumulating large balances, drawing down those balances
when the baby boomers retired would mean the trust funds were
spending more in benefits in those years than they were
receiving in taxes. Under the Leadership version, that would
result in impermissible deficit spending (unless it were
offset by a corresponding surplus in the rest of the budget,
a daunting and possibly unachievable task, especially since
Medicare and Medicaid costs also will rise when the baby
boomers retire.)
By precluding use of the Social Security surpluses in the
manner the 1983 legislation intended, the Leadership version
would be virtually certain to precipitate a massive crisis in
Social Security about 20 years from now, even if legislation
had been passed in the meantime putting Social Security in
long-term actuarial balance. To help pay the benefits of the
baby boom generation, the nation would face an excruciating
choice at
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that time between much deeper cuts in Social Security
benefits than were needed to make Social Security solvent and
much larger increases in payroll taxes than would otherwise
be required. There would be only one other alternative--to
finance Social Security deficits in those years not by
drawing down the Social Security surplus but by raising other
taxes substantially or slashing the rest of government
severely. As a result, the government might fail to provide
adequately for other basic services, potentially including
health care and national defense.
Given the numbers of baby boomers who will be retired or on
the verge of retirement in those years, deep cuts in Social
Security benefits are not likely at that time. Thus, under
the leadership version, it is almost inevitable that younger
generations will face a combination of sharp payroll tax
increases and deep reductions in basic government services.
For these reasons, the Leadership version is inequitable to
younger generations. Aggravating this problem, the Leadership
version would undermine efforts to pass Social Security
reforms in the near future. Why should Congress and the
President bother to make hard choices now in Social Security
that would build the surpluses to more ample levels if these
surpluses can't be used when the boomers retire? Under the
leadership version, there is no longer any reason to act now
rather than to let Social Security's financing problems
fester.
leadership version also poses other problems for social security
Under the Leadership version, reductions in Social Security
could be used to help Congress and the President balance the
budget when they faced a budget crunch. This could lead to
too little being done to reduce or eliminate deficits in the
non-Social Security part of the budget and unnecessary
benefit cutbacks in Social Security.
At first blush, that may sound implausible politically. But
the balanced budget amendment is likely to lead to periodic
mid-year crises, when budgets thought to be balanced at the
start of a fiscal year out of balance during the year, as a
result of factors such as slower-than-expected economic
growth. When sizable deficits emerge with only part of the
year remaining, they will often be very difficult to address.
Congress and the President may be unable to agree on a
package of budget cuts of the magnitude needed to restore
balance in the remaining months of the year. Congress also
may be unable to amass three-fifths majorities in both
chambers to raise the debt limit and allow a deficit.
In such circumstances, the President or possibly the courts
may feel compelled to act to uphold the Constitutional
requirement for budget balance. In documents circulated in
November 1996 explaining how the amendment would work, the
House co-authors of the amendment--Reps. Dan Schaefer and
Charles Stenholm--write that in such circumstances, ``The
President would be bound, at the point at which the
`Government runs out of money' to stop issuing checks.'' This
would place Social Security benefits at risk.
the feinstein/wyden/dorgan approach
The Feinstein/Wyden/Dorgan approach resolves the problems
the Leadership version creates in the Social Security area.
It reinforces the 1983 Social Security legislation rather
than undermining that legislation. It does so by requiring
that the surpluses in the Social Security system contribute
to national saving rather than be used to finance deficits in
the rest of the budget and by enabling the surpluses to be
drawn down when the baby boomers retire.
The Feinstein/Wyden/Dorgan version thus improves
intergenerational equity rather than undermining it. It
ensures the surpluses will be intact when they are needed. It
also allows these surpluses to be drawn down when the baby
boomers are retired, rather than forcing large payroll tax
increases and benefit cuts at that time that go well beyond
what is needed to make the trust fund solvent.
This version of the amendment also ensures that Social
Security benefits will not be cut--and Social Security checks
not placed in jeopardy--if the balanced budget amendment
leads to future budget crises and showdowns. However such
crises are resolved, Social Security would not be involved,
because cuts in Social Security would not count toward
achieving budget balance.
Mr. DORGAN. Mr. President, I will come back to the floor and ask this
question again: If the budget is balanced, why is the Federal debt
increasing? Why do you want to put a process in and enshrine a practice
in the Constitution that reaches this result, a budget that you claim
is in balance when the Federal debt is continuing to rise?
I will continue to ask that question and ask if there isn't a better
way to decide to alter the Constitution of the United States.
I want to just respond for one moment to some of what we heard on the
floor about how we got to where we are now. I will be very brief on
this final point.
We are constantly told--in fact, one of my colleagues last year, and
I will never forget this, talked about how we ought to somehow regret
the last 50 years in our country. ``Gee, what an awful place. What
terrible decisions were made in America in the last 50 years.''
In November I was in several countries in Asia, and one of the
interesting things that I discovered is that when you talk to most of
the citizens of those countries, they want to come to the United
States. Why? They think this is a wonderful place because of the things
that we have created--our education policies, our achievements in a
whole range of areas such as health care, education, and the
environment.
Most people see America as a beacon of hope and opportunity. Most
people around the world see this as a wonderful place in which to live.
And much of what makes us a great country is Medicare, Social Security,
Head Start programs, and so many other things, almost all of which had
to be done by people standing up on the floor of the Senate saying let
us do these things, let us improve this country, this is a step
forward.
And others are standing up saying, ``Oh, Lord no, we can't do this.''
I know people who are just opposed to everything for the first time. We
all know people like that. No matter what it is, they oppose it for the
first time, and 10 years later, of course, they think it is just fine
because they then understood that it worked.
We have done some good things in this country. And we have made some
mistakes.
David Stockman, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget
under President Reagan, has written about one of our mistakes. And he
was one of the architects of what was done. One of the mistakes made in
the early 1980's, as he tells it, was this. ``The root problem''--he is
talking about the deficits now and where we are financially as a
nation--``The root problem goes back to July 1981, the frenzy of
excessive and imprudent tax cutting that shattered the Nation's fiscal
stability * * *'' He says, ``A noisy faction of Republicans willfully
denied this giant mistake of fiscal governance and their own
culpability in it ever since. Instead they have excessively poisoned
the political debate pretending that economic growth and spending cuts
alone will cure the deficit.''
That is David Stockman. That is a Republican.
The only point I am raising is not to point back and forth but just
to say here is where we are. Here is how we got here. Let all of us
decide, yes, let us balance the budget. Let us put this country on a
fiscal policy plane that makes some sense. Let us do this for the
benefit of our kids.
But let us not enshrine in the Constitution a practice that is not
honest budgeting. Let us not do something that ends with this result of
people crowing about how we are balancing the budget, even for their
children's benefit, who come to vote for increasing the Federal debt
and the same year claim the budget is balanced. How do they explain
that to their kids?
If we are going to do something on this floor, especially with this
document, let us do it the right way and not the wrong way.
Mr. LEAHY. Mr. President, will the Senator yield for a question?
Mr. DORGAN. Yes.
Mr. LEAHY. I ask the Senator: The Senator is aware, I am sure, that
during the first 7 or 8 years of the 1980's the national debt was
doubled and tripled; that the administration, then President Reagan's
administration and the budget they proposed and received, took all the
national debt that this country had built up over 200 years, first
doubled it, and then they tripled it.
The Senator, I believe, pointed that out. Is that correct?
Mr. DORGAN. That is the point I was making. It is the point David
Stockman made.
It was the fiscal policy recommended and designed by them. However,
we also have a responsibility. Democrats and Republicans all have a
responsibility for this problem and to solve it together but not create
circumstances where we can claim a balanced budget as the Federal debt
continues to increase. That is my point.
Mr. LEAHY. I agree with the Senator's point. Would the Senator not
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also agree with what President Clinton said in the State of the Union
Message that we want a balanced budget? The answer is right there in
the Chamber where he spoke. We can vote for it, and he can sign it, and
we can do that without amending the Constitution.
The Constitution has been amended only 17 times since the Bill of
Rights.
Is that correct?
Mr. DORGAN. That is correct. As I pointed out, if the Constitution is
amended at 2:25 today, at 2:26 the deficit will not have decreased by
one penny. Why? Because altering the Constitution will not decrease the
deficit. Only individual choices by men and women of goodwill in this
Chamber who are willing to take some risks and take a little heat for
it will cut the deficit and finally balance the budget.
I am willing to do that. I demonstrated that in 1993, as did the
Senator from Vermont. We had the fiscal discipline.
If we can get some others to join us, we can balance this Federal
budget. I just do not want us to play games, saying we balanced the
budget, only then trying to explain to our children why the Federal
debt continues to increase at the same time. That is not balancing the
budget.
Mr. President, I yield the floor.
Mr. LEAHY. Mr. President, I thank the Senator. I believe the other
side wishes to have time, and I yield the floor.
Ms. SNOWE addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Sessions). The Senator from Maine.
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