[Congressional Record Volume 141, Number 24 (Tuesday, February 7, 1995)]
[Senate]
[Pages S2218-S2230]
From the Congressional Record Online through the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
BALANCED BUDGET AMENDMENT TO THE CONSTITUTION
The PRESIDENT pro tempore. Under the previous order, the Senate will
now resume consideration of House Joint Resolution 1, which the clerk
will report.
The legislative clerk read as follows:
A joint resolution (H.J. Res. 1) proposing a balanced
budget amendment to the Constitution of the United States.
The Senate resumed consideration of the joint resolution.
Pending:
Daschle motion to commit the resolution, with instructions
to report back forthwith, with Daschle amendment No. 231, to
require a budget plan before the amendment takes effect.
Dole amendment No. 232 (to instructions to commit), to
establish that if Congress has not passed a balanced budget
amendment to the Constitution by May 1, 1995, with 60 days
thereafter, the President shall transmit to Congress a
detailed plan to balance the budget by the year 2002.
Dole amendment No. 233 (to amendment No. 232), in the
nature of a substitute.
Mr. HATCH. Mr. President, I would like to just continue where I was
yesterday. I appreciate the comments of my dear friend from Wisconsin
and the leadership he is providing on the balanced budget amendment as
well.
Yesterday I brought up a Balanced Budget Act debt tracker, and you
can see by this tracker that since we have been debating--we are now in
our ninth day--since we have been debating the balanced budget
amendment, each day the national debt has gone up $829,440,000. That
was day one. As you can see, each day that we are debating this
amendment, the deficit that the American taxpayers are owing is going
up by that amount. It is a steady climb. As of yesterday, we were up to
$6,635,520,000. As of today, the ninth day of our debate, we are now up
to $7,464,960,000.
The trend line is straight up and we have only debated this 9 days.
The President's budget does not do anything about that. As a matter of
fact, his budget is going to go on at about $200 billion a year in
deficits.
Today I added this other bar to this balanced budget amendment debt
tracker. The debt, as I said, is now increased by $7,464,960,000 in
just the 9 days we have been on this balanced budget amendment. A staff
member told me this morning, regarding the balanced budget, in an
attempt to balance his own budget at home he spends $50 a week for
groceries. This $7.4 billion that we have just spent in 9 days, putting
us into more bankruptcy--that $7.4 billion would buy that staff member
groceries for 2,871,138 years at $50 a week. So you can see how big
this really is. If you look in the Wall Street Journal yesterday there
is a very clever article related to the debt.
I ask unanimous consent it be printed in the Record at this point.
There being no objection, the article was ordered to be printed in
the Record, as follows:
[From the Wall Street Journal, Feb. 6, 1995]
If You Bought 2 Trillion Copies of This Paper * * *
(By Stephen Moore)
Today, President Clinton releases his fiscal 1996 budget.
Already the Associated Press is reporting that officials
claim the budget ``proposes to abolish or consolidate
hundreds of government programs, reducing federal spending by
$144 billion over the next five years.'' No doubt the
president will firmly insist that this is the most tight-
fisted, penny-pinching budget in 20 years.
Why is this so predictable? Because this is what every
president since Richard Nixon has said. But 20 years ago the
federal budget was $370 billion. Today, Mr. Clinton will
request almost $1.6 trillion. Even adjusting for inflation,
the federal budget is twice as large as it was during the
last years of the Nixon presidency. Besides, without the
sleight of hand of baseline budgeting, President Clinton's
new budget calls for a $50 billion increase in spending from
the current budget. And that was $70 billion more than was
spent the year before that. Yet the budget-busting news is
bound to be greeted with a national yawn of unconcern.
Why is there more public outrage when we learn that
Washington wastes $100 on Al Gore's famous ashtray than that
it wastes nearly $1.6 trillion on everything else? Much of
the problem seems to be that 1\1/2\ trillion is an
incomprehensibly large number. So here are some simple ways
to picture how enormous the U.S. government is today:
One trillion dollars--$1,000,000,000,000.00. That's 12
zeroes to the left of the decimal point. A trillion is a
million times a million. It would take more than 1\1/2\
million millionaires to have as much money as is spent each
year by Congress.
One of the highest-paid workers in America today is
basketball superstar Shaquille O'Neal, who reportedly earns
about $30 million a season in salary and endorsements. He is
rich beyond our wildest imaginations. But he'd have to play
33,000 seasons before he earned $1 trillion. It would take a
Superdome full of Shaquille O'Neals to have enough to pay all
of Congress's bills each year.
Here's an experiment. What if we were to try to pay off the
$4 trillion national debt by having Congress put one dollar
every second into a special debt-buy-down account? How many
years would it take to pay off the debt? One million seconds
is about 12 days. One billion seconds is roughly 32 years.
But one trillion seconds is almost 32,000 years. So to pay
off the debt, Congress would have to put dollar bills into
this account for about the next 130,000 years--roughly the
amount of time that has passed since the Ice Age.
Even if we were to require Congress to put $100 a second
into this debt-buy-down account, it would still take well
over 1,000 years to pay the debt down.
Try this one on for size. Imagine a train of 50-foot
boxcars crammed with $1 bills. How long would the train have
to be to carry the $1.6 trillion Congress spends each year?
About $65 million can be stuffed in a boxcar. Thus, the train
would have to be about 240 miles long to carry enough dollar
bills to balance the federal budget. In other words, you
would need a train that stretches the entire Northeast
corridor, from Washington, through Baltimore, Delaware,
Philadelphia, New Jersey, and into New York City.
Former Office of Management and Budget Director Jim Miller
calculates that if a military jet were flying overhead at the
speed of sound and spewing out a roll of dollar bills behind
it, the plane would have to fly for more than 15 years before
it reeled out 1.6 trillion dollar bills.
Here's a challenging one: If you laid $1 bills from end to
end, could you make a chain that stretches to the moon with
1.6 trillion? Answer: without a sweat, with billions and
billions of dollars left over. In fact, they would stretch
nearly from the Earth to the sun.
The newspaper tabloids report that O.J. Simpson is paying
some $55,000 a day in legal fees. The trial would have to
last 26 million days, or almost 100,000 years, before the
lawyers earned $1.6 trillion.
This year the White House want to spend three times as much
as America did to win World War I, which cost roughly $500
billion in today's dollars. Adjusted for inflation, the
combined cost of defeating the Nazis and the
[[Page S2219]] Japanese in World War II and winning World
War I was $4.5 trillion. This is what Washington will spend
in peacetime in just the next three years to continue losing
the war on poverty, drugs, illiteracy, homelessness and so
on.
So far, we've just been counting the amount Washington
spends each year. When state and local expenditures are
included, total annual government spending now surpasses $2.5
trillion. That's more than $23,000 of government for every
household in America. In constant dollars government spends
twice as much per household as it did in 1960--though most
Americans believe that government services have deteriorated
since then.
With the $2.5 trillion government spends each year, you
could purchase all of the farmland in the U.S. (market value:
$725 billion), plus all of the stock of the 100 most
profitable U.S. corporations today ($1.6 trillion). You would
then still have just enough money left to pay the advance on
Newt Gingrich's book deal.
All of this points to one conclusion: The budget that Bill
Clinton is presenting today is not lean; it is not efficient;
it is not frugal. It is a monstrosity. It should be greeted
with heaps of ridicule and scorn. No matter how you stack it,
$1.6 trillion is a whole lot of money--even in Washington.
Mr. HATCH. That article lists how much $1 trillion really is.
As I look at the President's recent budget, the way deficit cuts are
calculated by the administration is like a 200 pound man claiming he
lost weight when he weighs in at only 300 pounds because he thought he
would be 400 pounds. Only in Washington can an increase be called a
cut, and that is precisely what is happening.
The Daschle motion to recommit has rightly been called the right-to-
stall proposal. It purports to put off the requirement of a balanced
budget until Congress actually achieves a balanced budget, by adopting
such a budget plan.
Mr. President, this proposal purports to give Congress a
constitutional right to stall the requirement of a balanced budget by
mere failure to balance the budget. Mr. President, the very reason we
need a balanced budget amendment is because Congress has failed to
balance the budget for decades. The Daschle right-to-stall amendment
would make that abject failure of responsibility the explicit condition
of avoiding the acceptance of that responsibility. If there is a better
manner to lock in business as usual, a better way to constitutionalize
or borrow and spend status quo--our ever-steeper slide into the debt
abyss--I admit I cannot think of it.
Think of it, Mr. President, the proponents of the right-to-stall
amendment want to use Congress' historical inability to balance the
budget as a reason--a constitutional reason--to deny the American
people, to deny future generations, the requirement they want to force
Congress to act responsibly, get its fiscal house in order, and live
within its means. Talk about a recipe for inaction. The right-to-stall
proponents say ``if Congress cannot balance the budget, they should not
have to.'' They say, ``if Congress has been and is unable to
balance the budget in the absence of a balanced budget requirement, we
should not impose a balanced budget requirement on it.'' Is this what
the American people want? Do they want Congress' failure to fulfill its
responsibility to be a reason to drop the requirement? Does this even
make any sense?
Mr. President, I do not think so. If someone borrowed money from you,
would you forgive the debt simply because they had not repaid it or had
no plan to do so? I do not think so. If someone were dangerously
overweight, would you suggest they not resolve to go on a diet because
they did not yet have a full and particularized diet plan? I do not
think so. When the Framers established the Congress in article I of the
Constitution, did they first require that all subsequent legislation be
disclosed before ratification? I do not think so.
Mr. President, the ``right-to-stall'' amendment confuses the
difference between choosing rules and making choices within the rules.
This distinction was elaborated by Prof. James M. Buchanan, a Nobel
Prize-winning economist in a letter to the editor in yesterday's Wall
Street Journal. I would like to quote it because I believe it points up
a basic fallacy in the reasoning of the objection of the right-to-stall
proponents. Professor Buchanan says:
The essential argument [of the Daschle amendment
proponents] against the balanced budget amendment reflects a
basic misunderstanding of the difference between a choice of
rules and choices made with rules. The Clinton-Democratic
argument suggests that proponents of the amendment should
specify what combination of spending cuts and revenue
increases are to be implemented over the seven-year
transition period. This argument reflects a failure to
understand what a choice of constitutional constraint is all
about and conflates within-rule choices and choices of rules
themselves.
Consider an analogy with an ordinary game, say poker. We
choose the basic rules before we commence to play within
whatever rules are chosen. Clearly, if we could foresee all
of the contingencies beforehand (for example, how the cards
are to fall), those of us who know in advance that we shall
get bad hands would not agree to the rules in the first
place. Choices of rules must be made in a setting in which we
do not yet know the particulars of the within-rule choices.
Applied to the politics of taxing and spending, the
constitutional amendment imposes a new rule of the game,
under which the ordinary interplay of interest groups-
majoritarian politics will generate certain patterns of
taxing-spending results. By the very nature of what rules-
choices are, outcome patterns cannot be specified in advance.
The opponents of the proposed balanced budget amendment
should not be allowed to generate intellectual confusion
about the difference between choices among vs. within rules.
There are, of course, legitimate arguments that may be made
against the amendment, but these involve concerns about the
efficacy of alternative rules, including those that now
exist, rather than a specific prediction of choices to be
made under any rule or choices made during the transition
between rules.
That was James M. Buchanan's letter to the Wall Street Journal on
February 6 of this year.
Mr. President, Professor Buchanan is right. Proponents of the
balanced budget amendment recommended a rule change. Opponents argue
against the amendment on the basis of either possible choices under the
new rule which could hurt well-organized special interest groups or the
failure to specify which well-organized special interest groups will be
hurt under the new rule. Either objection is, as Professor Buchanan
points out, intellectually confused as an objection to the new rule.
The proponents do not advocate any particular outcomes, just a new way
of making those choices. That is what we proponents feel. The right-to-
stall motion offered by the Democrat leader does not move the debate
forward.
In fact, Mr. President, the Daschle right-to-stall amendment is
nothing more than a way to stop Congress from adopting the resolve to
force itself to act responsibly and balance the budget and live within
its means in the future.
Now, the opponents point to President Clinton's tax plan of 1993 as
the great epitome of budgetary courage we should follow. But, Mr.
President, that was no plan to balance the budget. I would ask my
colleagues, did the 1993 tax bill balance the budget? Does the
President propose a path to a balanced budget? Just look at the
President's budget released this week. It projects $200 billion yearly
budgets as far as the eye can see--and that is the best case scenario
with the most optimistic assumptions. There is no budget balancing
leadership here.
As a matter of fact, there are pundits now saying in the press that
the reason the President has done that is because he wants the
Republican Congress to have to make the cuts so that he can then
criticize them for making them. I certainly hope Congress will pass a
balanced budget constitutional amendment. We will have to.
Those who offer the right-to-stall proposal seek to distract us and
the Nation from the clear principle of a balanced budget requirement by
starting the budget battle before the rules are established. They
either seek to divide the strong coalition who supports the principle
by the implementing details which can and should change with the
national priorities over time; or they hope to be able to say, once
such a budget plan is adopted, that we no longer need the amendment.
Either way this is simply a distraction tactic to stall the amendment
and protect the status quo.
Mr. President, those who say we can balance the budget without the
balanced budget amendment are the ones who should show us how they
propose to do it. They are the ones who say, regardless of history, we
can balance the budget now, without a rules change.
The President has not done it, and he is against the balanced budget
amendment. And neither will those who are
[[Page S2220]] against it here on the floor. But I continue
to ask in vain, how do they propose to do it, Mr. President?
Why should we trust they will do better under the status quo
than they have for the last 26 years?
Mr. President, I ask again: What is their budget plan to reach a
balanced budget? If you read this one, the administration recent
budget, it just throws in the towel and says there will be $190
billion-plus deficits every year for the next 12 years. Is this the
plan that they want?
Mr. President, their plan is no plan at all. Their plan is more of
the same. it is preservation of the status quo. It is the old order. We
are saying it is time for a new view, a new order, where we start
living within our means. The only way we are going to get there is if
we change the rules of the game so that there are incentives to get
there.
The beauty of this balanced budget amendment is it does not force us
to get there, but it gives us the incentives to get there. That is
something we need to do.
Mr. President, the administration's type of budgeting will not do. Is
this their plan? Mr. President, their plan is no plan. Their plan is
more of the same.
We should adopt the binding resolve to accept our responsibility, and
then fulfill it. We should not avoid responsibility on the ground that
we have so far failed to act responsibly. We should not be able to deny
the American people and future generations the responsible rule of
fiscal discipline on the grounds of our historical lack of discipline.
And, Mr. President, the correct way to proceed is the way of the Dole
need-to-need proposal, which suggests that if President Clinton and his
allies succeed in defeating the balanced budget amendment once again,
they should have to show us how to balance the budget without the
amendment.
And if they are going to make this argument that we ought to show them
before we set the rule in place, then where are their ideas on how to
do it without the rule in place?
Let us take the first step first. Let us get our house in order by
adopting the balanced budget amendment.
Finally, let me go back to this chart one more time. This red line
happens to be our current national debt, $4.8 trillion. These green
blocks represent how much that debt has now gone up above the $4.8
trillion each day that this debate has been going on. We are now in our
9th day of this matter and we have gone from an $829,440,000 increase
in this $4.8 trillion deficit on the 1st day to the 9th day, where we
are at $7,464,960,000. So every day that this debate goes on, and every
day that we do not have a balanced budget amendment, we are going to
continue to increase the debt.
Last but not least, with the President's budget, over the next 5
years we will have the deficit go up $1.3 trillion more.
So you have the idea. It is time for this fiasco to end, for us to
pass a rule called the balanced budget amendment that will put some
mechanism in place to get us to move in the right direction so that we
can save this country. We cannot allow this country to go into a fiscal
bankruptcy through monetizing the debt and paying off our debts with
worthless dollars. We have to pass this balanced budget amendment now.
I hope our colleagues will do it.
I notice the distinguished Senator from Vermont has been waiting. I
yield the floor.
The PRESIDING OFFICER. The Senator from Vermont [Mr. Leahy] is
recognized.
Mr. LEAHY. Mr. President, the Senator from Utah, of course, was a
trial attorney, as was I and the distinguished occupant of the chair. I
listened to his debate. I recall some of the trials that I was in. I
recall some where we were ending up having long trials on contracts.
Usually, what brought us there was the fact that somebody had said at
one point, ``Sign this contract. You do not have to read all of the
print in it. Let us hurry up and get this going because time is
wasting.''
Then, later on, of course, we were in a long trial trying to figure
out just what somebody had signed away.
Basically, my good friend from Utah is saying that time is wasting.
Sign this. He, of course, says it is a rules change. It is a lot more
than that. We are amending the Constitution.
We are the most powerful nation on Earth. We are also the most
powerful democracy history has ever known.
No other country has achieved, in economic or military power, the
diversity the United States has. No other country has even come close
to such a clear and concise Constitution as we have. We have only
amended it 17 times since the Bill of Rights.
Yet, in the past few weeks, since the elections last fall, we have
had 75 proposals to change the Constitution. Can you imagine, Mr.
President? We were able to keep on somehow as a country for 200 years,
amending the Constitution only 17 times since the Bill of Rights; but
somehow America has so changed in the last 4 months since the elections
in November that we have to have 75 new constitutional amendments? I
really cannot accept that.
I say to my good friend from Utah that when he speaks of the amount
the debt has gone up, and that if we pass this, somehow the suggestion
is that it would stop--well, the balanced budget amendment, which is
far more than a rules change, which does not say how we are going to
get there, says that in the year 2002, whoever might still be standing
will somehow come up and miraculously balance the budget. It does
nothing to stop this increase in debt.
In fact, I point out that during the 1980's, incidentally, during the
6 years that the party of the chairman of the Judiciary Committee
controlled the U.S. Senate, they, along with the President, nearly
quadrupled the national debt, more than the debt that had been piled up
over in the previous 200 years, including two world wars. During that 6
years, they were in control and quadrupled the American debt.
In fact, when you look at how much the debt is piling up today,
virtually all of it is interest on the debt they piled up during those
6 years. We spend nearly $500 million every working day just on
interest on the debt that was piled up during those halcyon days of the
1980's.
President Clinton was the first President since I have been in the
Senate who actually had a budget which, 3 years in a row, has cut the
deficit. President Clinton is the first President to cut the deficit
for 3 years in a row since President Truman. He would actually have a
balanced budget if he was not having to find money to pay for the
interest on the debt run up by his two Republican predecessors. I do
not say that to be partisan but simply to set the record straight.
In fact, one of the local dailies in Vermont, the Burlington Free
Press, has a cartoon in today's paper. It shows a rather rotund person
flying through the congressional Chambers, little wings flapping away.
He is smoking a big cigar, and he has a thing on his shirt that says
``Balanced Budget Amendment.'' And here are all these eager, young
Members of Congress clapping and clapping, saying, ``If you believe in
fairies, keep clapping, keep clapping.''
That is what the balanced budget amendment is about.
Frankly, Mr. President, I would like to know more of what we are
going to do if this passes. We can look at how much debt is piling up.
This debt will keep piling up to the year 2002, I am afraid, even if we
pass this, unless we have the will to vote to actually cut the deficit.
The only Presidential budgets that have cut the deficit have been those
President Clinton has submitted in the last couple of years--with no
votes on the Republican side of the aisle to actually bring down the
deficit. The Republican side of the aisle voted to quadruple the debt
when they were in control of the Senate and when they had the
Presidency. Not one of them voted to bring it down.
We overwhelmingly passed a bill against unfunded mandates. But the
balanced budget amendment may be the biggest unfunded mandate of all
time. It ignores the two fundamental principles underlying the reasons
we are against unfunded mandates: The Federal Government should not
shift burdens onto the States without paying for them; and to protect
against such shifts, we have to examine the unintended consequences of
Federal actions on State and local governments.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office has estimated that
Congress has to achieve $1.2 trillion in deficit reductions if we are
going to balance the budget by 2002. If we are going to do that, all of
us know it is going to affect local and State governments.
Unless we carefully balance the budget, the balanced budget
constitutional amendment could be a disaster for the States. I do not
support the balanced budget amendment, but I assume it is going to
pass. I worry about what it will do in my own State. If we look at some
of the ways we could have cuts, we can do across-the-board spending
cuts, for example, and that avoids having to make the choices needed to
balance the budget. [[Page S2221]]
But the Treasury Department looked at this, in answer to a question
from Governor Dean of Vermont. They said that assuming Social Security
and defense cuts were off the table--and the Republican majority said
they are--then the Treasury analysis predicts cuts in Medicaid, highway
grants, welfare, and other Federal grants in Vermont that would total
$200 million. If we wanted to offset these losses, Vermont would have
to increase State taxes by 17 percent.
They also looked at other States. New York would lose over $8 billion
in Federal grants, resulting in a State tax increase of 17 percent to
make up the difference. California would lose $7.7 billion in Federal
grants, resulting in a State tax increase of 9 percent to make up the
difference. Texas would lose over $4 billion in Federal grants,
resulting in a State tax increase of 14 percent to make up the
difference. Louisiana would lose $2 billion, resulting in a State tax
increase of 27 percent to make up the difference.
In another study, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
estimates that by 2002, Vermont would have cumulative cuts in Federal
aid to the State and local government of $1 billion due to the balanced
budget amendment. We are a very small State; others would lose a great
deal more.
The Children's Defense Fund has estimated what the balanced budget
amendment would do to children. Children do not vote, children do not
have PAC funds, and children do not have political influence; but
children are going to really feel it. In Vermont, 4,850 babies,
preschoolers, and pregnant women would lose infant formula under the
WIC program; 13,900 children would lose subsidized school lunches;
13,750 children would lose Medicaid health coverage. The other 49
States would, of course, have similar losses.
So House Joint Resolution 1, the balanced budget amendment, may
become the super silent unfunded mandate. I know what is going to
happen in my State. We will do everything possible in our churches, our
synagogues, our private organizations, to pick up the difference, but
the State will ultimately have to pick up a great deal of it. It may
not pick up all of it. To do so would require 17 percent in higher
taxes. I do not believe that would happen. We would find a lot of the
children, pregnant women, and others left off the rolls. At the same
time, Vermont taxes would go up.
Basically, it is the ultimate budget gimmick. It is the easy, feel-
good budget gimmick. We do not have to make any hard choices. We can
just pass this and say we did our bit, and guess what? In the year
2002, a Senate and House full of angels will stand up here and somehow
do everything that we are unwilling to do and, of course, what they
will do is simply pass it on to the States and the local communities.
We have passed the buck to the States before. Federal aid to State
and local governments fell sharply in the 1980's, at the same time we
were quadrupling the national debt. In fact, during that time, in my
State of Vermont--I suspect as in most other States--State and local
taxes went up to make up the difference.
So let us talk to the States and tell them exactly what is in here. I
support Senator Daschle's amendment. We should let the States know what
the details are; and if they know what the details are, then those who
do support this balanced budget amendment can work in conjunction with
them to ratify this constitutional amendment.
What I am afraid of is we are going to pass this, and everybody is
going to go home and say, ``Look what we did,'' and instead of the
checks in the mail to the States, the bill will be in the mail.
I would note that almost every weekend when I go home, I have a lot
of people come up to me when I am pumping gas in my car, shoveling
snow, in the grocery store or just walking down the street to pick up a
paper, people come up to me and say they favor this amendment, but only
if they know what is going to be in it. They want to know the effect of
this constitutional amendment before it is passed.
And in Vermont, we are no different than the rest of the country. CNN
did a poll that said 74 percent of those surveyed support the right to
know. The Los Angeles Times found it was 80 percent. They surveyed the
whole Nation. Eighty percent of Americans want what Senator Daschle is
suggesting in his amendment. Let us know what is in the balanced budget
amendment.
I said before that when I practiced law and a client would come in
with a contract that had some big type and a whole lot of little type,
I would say: You go ahead and read the big type. You do not need a
lawyer for that. You need a lawyer to read the small type. That is the
``gotcha'' kind of type. The effect of this amendment are the small
type, the ``gotcha. The big type is the balanced budget amendment. We
could put that on a bumper sticker. ``We balanced the budget,'' whoop-
de-do. It means that someone in the next century, the next millennium,
will then stand up and make the hard choices.
But what we should do is say we are going to at least tell you what
is involved in this amendment, where the cuts are, what the states are
going to have to do. Then, if the Congress and the States want to amend
the Constitution for the 18th time in nearly 200 years after the Bill
of Rights, then go ahead and do it. If it is that important, then do
it.
But do not sell the American people on the idea that suddenly, if we
just tamper with this Constitution, the real contract with America, we
are going to solve all our budget problems. Do not tell the American
people that after 200 years of the most powerful, diverse democracy in
history, a democracy that has existed with only 17 amendments to the
Constitution since the Bill of Rights, that suddenly we need these 75
amendments, including this one, to make us a real democracy.
We are the envy of the rest of the world. Every emerging democracy
looks at our Constitution to see how to do it. And we should not allow
that to change.
So does the debt rise each day, even as we debate? Of course, it
does.
But I would point out there are a lot of people who stood on this
floor during the 1980's, when the other party controlled the Senate, as
they do now, and voted for one huge--one huge--deficit after another.
President Reagan proposed them and then President Bush did. They
quadrupled the national debt.
There are only seven of us left in this body who voted against that,
and I am one of them. Ironically, had we been listened to, we would
have a balanced budget today. Instead, our deficit today is about what
we are paying for the interest, legally obligated interest, on that
debt of the 1980's.
So next time we talk about doing this by slogans, let the reality at
least come up even with the rhetoric, and the reality is a lot
different than the rhetoric.
Mr. President, I yield the floor.
Mr. BRADLEY addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Kyl). The Senator from New Jersey is
recognized.
Mr. BRADLEY. Mr. President, I thank the Chair and I thank the
distinguished Senator from Vermont for his statement. I also thank the
manager of the bill for yielding the floor at this time.
Mr. President, I intend to take the next hour or so, maybe a bit
longer, to try to lay out the case for at least letting the people know
what might be entailed in a balanced budget amendment.
But let me try to put this balanced budget amendment in a broader
context. We will shortly get into a lot of numbers, because if you are
going to deal with the balanced budget amendment, you have to get into
numbers. However, before we get into those numbers, let me try to
establish what I think is the proper context for the balanced budget
debate.
During the 1992 campaign, the Clinton campaign had a theme song by
Fleetwood Mac, called ``Don't Stop Thinking About Tomorrow.'' This
song
[[Page S2222]] represented a kind of theme for the campaign--change,
hope, ``don't stop thinking about tomorrow''; tomorrow is coming, think
about it, it is important.
Yet, if you actually thought about that song and you thought about
what has been happening in the country, it is clear that we have not
been thinking about tomorrow and we have not been thinking about
tomorrow for a long time.
Every speaker needs a text, or theme, for his or her statements. I
would like to take as the text for my remarks today one of Aesop's
fables. It is an old fable. All of us knew it when we were children.
This is about the grasshopper and the ant. The fable goes like this:
It was wintertime. The ants' stored grain had gotten wet and they
were laying it out to dry. Along came a hungry grasshopper and asked
them to give him something to eat. One of the ants said, ``Why didn't
you gather food in the summer like us?'' The grasshopper replied, ``I
didn't have any time. I was busy making sweet music.'' The ants laughed
and said, ``Very well, then, since you piped in the summer, now dance
in the winter.''
The moral of the story: In everything, beware of negligence if you
want to escape distress and danger.
Now, that is the Aesop fable. It is a pretty clear message: If you do
not work in the summer and put the food away, you are not going to have
the food in the winter.
And I think that it basically is saying that not thinking about
tomorrow means being negligent, acting like the grasshopper instead of
the ant. Too many of us, I think, have been grasshoppers for too long,
not thinking about tomorrow.
Let me just give you a couple of examples. Let us just think about
urban America. Each year it gets poorer, more violent, more populated
with families in distress. If we stopped to think about this reality,
the reality that is there, we would be compelled to act because of the
morality. If you are your brother's keeper, you have to walk your talk.
Because of self-interest, I mean, we are never going to compete and our
living standards will be lower with a larger and larger unskilled
population on our collective backs.
And as for world leadership, how are we going to lead the world by
the power of our example after the events that occurred in Los Angeles
a couple years ago which popped across television screens from Tokyo to
London? Or where 40 percent of the people in America who wanted to vote
were denied this basic right because they were not registered.
Clearly, on this issue, Mr. President, we have not been thinking
about tomorrow. If we were thinking about tomorrow, we would see the
human and national tragedy that is building in our cities and we would
act to change those conditions. But we have not.
Like the grasshopper, we have been playing our sweet music in the
suburbs, while things have just gotten worse in the cities.
Then, Mr. President, there is the plight of our children. Not just
poor children, but all children. How can we say that we are thinking
about tomorrow but continue to neglect our children?
In 1975, one-third of married couples with children had both spouses
working. By 1993, that percentage had doubled, as nearly two-thirds of
all married couples with children had both spouses working. It is no
mystery as to why that is the case. Without the second paycheck, many
families just would not make it. Yet with it, their children are often
alone and without supervision from an early age.
Parents in this Chamber and in this institution know the pressures.
Certainly I know the pressures. Certainly the distinguished Member from
Vermont in the Chair knows the pressure. Certainly the staff knows the
pressure. Certainly those who are listening know the pressures. If
parents are lucky, they have a loving relative living in the
neighborhood who can help take care of the children. If you are upper
income, you can hire somebody to provide full-time care. If you do not
have a relative in the neighborhood or you do not have enough money,
then it becomes a little more difficult.
There are only a few possible answers to this. For a spouse of either
gender to have the option of staying at home, the salary of the spouse
that continues to work outside of the home has to be a lot higher than
it is now, or companies are going to have to give family leave that is
measured not just in weeks but in years, or everyone will have to pay
more taxes so Government can subsidize day care at the company, union,
neighborhood center, the church, the synagogue or the mosque.
Those seem to me to be the options. The only given, the only
imperative, is that someone has got to provide loving care for our
Nation's children. Too often, this does not happen. We have not given
child care a priority. Like the grasshopper, we have been dancing
toward winter. Not facing the reality that is staring everyone in the
face. We have not been thinking about tomorrow.
So, Mr. President, there is urban America, the plight of our
children, but by far, probably the best obvious example of our failure
to think about tomorrow is the enormous debt that we have amassed over
the last 12-14 years. It is not only public debt. Between 1980 and 1987
consumer credit increased 90 percent. People under economic stress did
not consume less, they borrowed and consumed more. And they borrowed
and in some cases to speculate. However, in 1989, 1990, 1991, the
bubble burst and it was over. People cut back, businesses started to
pay debt down and, gradually, the private sector began to come back.
Here in Washington the bubble has never burst. It just keeps getting
bigger and bigger. The national debt went from about $800 billion in
1980 to about $4.5 trillion by the end of 1994. Over the next 5 years,
unless we change our ways, the debt will exceed $5.5 trillion. Over 58
percent of all personal and corporate savings go to finance the
interest on this debt.
It is as though in 1980 you owed about $10,000 on the credit card and
now you owe $43,000 and the interest you have to pay is money that you
do not have to spend on your kids' college education, to buy a house,
to buy a car, to put an addition into your factory and hire more
workers. People do not have the money and they cannot borrow it because
it is being sucked up by the Government to pay interest on the debt.
In other words, Mr. President, we have placed the burden of our
irresponsibility on the backs of our children. Someone once said
democracies are pretty good dealing with today's problems, but
sometimes they are not very good thinking about tomorrow. By amassing
this debt and passing this burden onto our children, I believe we have
shown that we are not very good thinking about tomorrow.
So, Mr. President, this brings us to the question, ``What do we
actually do about this debt?'' I will not talk about remedies for urban
America or child care. This is a balanced budget amendment debate, a
debate about Federal spending. Therefore, today I would like to focus
the rest of my remarks on the Federal budget and what do we can do
about this debt. I would also like to point out how facing reality
means actually facing the numbers in this budget.
First, Mr. President, we will take the analogy that we often hear--
that is, the family household. Every family manages its income and the
Federal Government has things way out of whack. A giant deficit--that
does not happen in a family, at least not for very long. However,
before we begin with this analogy, we need to think about what a budget
is. A budget is not a snapshot of what happened yesterday. It is a
guess about what is going to happen in the future. It is not a picture
of what happened last year with respect to spending or taxes, it is a
guess about what will happen in the future on spending and taxes.
We will take it to the household level. You sit around the kitchen
table, trying to figure out what will your budget be for the coming
year. What is the first thing you do? You figure out what is your
income likely to be. Some basic questions come up. Are you going to
work? Am I going to work? Is he going to work? How many people in the
household are going to work? How many incomes are we going to count? Do
we count the husband and the wife? How about the teenage son? Is that
the family income? Do we count the husband, the wife, and the wife's
older sister who is living with the family? Is
[[Page S2223]] that counted as income? What is the income? That is
fairly central to devising a budget. What is the income that we can
count on?
Second, there is the issue of growth. Well, do you anticipate, will
there be bonuses in the year? Will you work overtime? Will you get a
raise? Will the company, because it is doing well, give you a 15
percent increase? All of these would provide more income. Each family
has to figure these out in an effort to decide what is likely to
happen. Each family also has to figure out where are prices going. What
can we afford? What should we spend our income on? Last year you might
have spent x on food; what will it be this year? What will the price of
food be? If there is inflation, if there is a crisis in the coffee
market and you have to buy coffee and it goes up three times from the
cost of last year, suddenly you have to deal with inflation. It
increases prices. It also has the effect of increasing taxes, often. It
pushes you into a higher bracket. Less so at the Federal level, but
more so at the State level.
Then there is interest. How do you calculate your interest
expenditure? You could say well, I have a variable rate mortgage. I got
that variable rate mortgage at 9 percent and during the last couple of
years interest rates had been going down. Interest rates were down
around 7 percent. However, in laying out a budget, each family has to
think about how much it will pay next year. Maybe interest rates will
go back up. If the Federal Reserve continues on its current path,
clearly the interest rates will go back up and that means more pressure
on the family budget. With a variable rate mortgage, the family will
have to pay more in interest charges to pay back the bank.
So every family, Mr. President, when it makes a set of budget
decisions, has to figure out what is the income coming in, and what it
is going to spend money on. The income depends on how many people are
working and depends on whether you think times are good or times are
bad. Will you get a raise? Are interest rates going up? What is the
inflation rate going to be? How much can I actually spend? How much can
I actually buy? These are factors in any kind of household decision.
Mr. President, these types of factors apply equally to the Federal
budget. Let us assume that you miscalculated on your variable rate
mortgage and you have to pay 1 percent more in interest because the
rates have gone back up. Well, if you are the Federal Government and
you miscalculate your interest on your projected budget, you add $20
billion to the deficit that year alone.
If a family is counting on the income of one of its members, that
family will have a big problem if that family member loses his or her
job. Similarly, in the country as a whole, if a number of people
unexpectedly lose their jobs, we will have a big problem: a much bigger
deficit. Just a 1-percent increase in unemployment, adds $60 billion to
the Federal deficit.
What about growth? Let us assume that our economy grows 1 percent
less than we predicted. This small change in the assumptions adds $32
billion to the deficit. These are aspects of budget policy that change
in the course of a year. If unemployment is higher, that costs the
Government more. If inflation is higher, that costs the Government
more. If interest rates are higher, that costs the Government more. If
growth is lower, fewer people have a chance to work, less money is
earned, and the Government receives less revenue and pays more in
benefits. All of this adds to the deficit.
So let us begin this by simply laying these points out that when you
do a budget, you are basically making a projection and the projection
is affected by things that are out of your control in your household.
For example, there are plenty of people in this Congress who know the
Federal Reserve's efforts to raise interest rates are out of our
control. These things, over time, will have an impact on your family's
budget, just as they have a dramatic effect on the Federal budget.
Let us discuss for a few moments what is the Federal budget. What I
want to do today is to lay out clearly what is the Federal budget. What
do we spend taxpayer's money on, and where do we get these funds. Every
year we debate a budget resolution, 50 hours equally divided. Our
colleagues get up, read their opening statements, and a couple hours
are already gone already. As a result, despite the debates, I am not
sure that the American public gets an opportunity to fully understand
what is in the Federal budget. If we are going to consider balancing
the budget, I think the American public should know what is in the
budget. They are entitled to know what things are likely to be cut or
what taxes will be increased. You cannot decide what things will be cut
or what taxes will be increased until you know what is in the budget
and how the Government raises the money to pay for its spending.
So let us go with the basic point, a very basic point. The
expenditures of the Federal Government in 1994 were roughly $1.5
trillion. The revenue, the total of all taxes that have been collected,
are $1.3 trillion. Because the $1.3 trillion in revenue was less than
what was spent, we ended up with a deficit, an annual deficit, of $200
billion.
It would be important to know what are the taxes? Where does the
Federal Government get its $1.3 trillion? Who pays the $1.3 trillion?
Taxes are broken down into the following categories:
The individual income tax is, in total, 43 percent of all revenues,
and it raised $545 billion in 1994. Now remember, we spent $1.5
trillion. The individual income tax raises $545 billion.
The next largest set of taxes is what are called social insurance
taxes. Those are the Social Security taxes, the FICA tax, and
unemployment insurance collections. Of the $460 billion that was raised
with social insurance taxes, $430 billion of that was the Social
Security FICA tax. Everybody has it deducted from their wage statement
each pay period. The total of that is $430 billion. Unemployment
insurance taxes made up the remaining $30 billion.
So you have individual taxes, social insurance taxes, and corporate
taxes. Corporate taxes raise $140 billion a year. All of the
corporations in America pay in total $140 billion a year.
And then you have a category called other, which totaled $60 billion.
That consists of essentially estate taxes. You die, you pass on your
estate, you pay a tax on that; customs duties, you import something
into the United States, you pay a tariff or a duty. Those taxes equal
$60 billion.
And then finally, the smallest amount of total taxes are the excise
taxes, like the gasoline tax and the cigarette tax, which raise
approximately $55 billion.
So in total, the U.S. Government raised $1.3 trillion in 1994 --$545
billion come from the individual income tax; $460 billion come from the
Social Security and unemployment insurance taxes; $140 billion from all
of the corporations in America; $60 billion come from estate and gift
taxes; and $55 billion come from the gasoline tax, cigarette tax, and
other excise taxes.
So that is it, that is where the money comes from. That is the money
that the Federal Government has to spend from taxpayers. Total: $1.3
billion.
Now the question is, What do we spend this money on? Well, first, I
would like to give you a quick overview, and then I will provide a more
detailed explanation.
Broadly speaking, there are three big categories of Federal
expenditures.
In total, the expenditures are $1.5 trillion. One of the three main
types of Government spending is on what are called mandatory
expenditures. Mandatory expenditures are really expenditures for which
Congress does not appropriate a specific amount of money every year.
Instead, we write into the law certain eligibility rules and benefit
levels. For example, if you are over 65 and have made certain minimum
payments into the system, you are entitled to Social Security benefits.
If you are poor, you may qualify for certain benefits to help you meet
a minimum income level. Or, if you are a veteran, you may be entitled
to other benefits. These are mandatory expenditures that automatically
flow to eligible recipients. The total amount of mandatory expenditures
is $790 billion. In other words, nearly half of the Federal budget is
for mandatory expenditures.
Next are the discretionary expenditures. These total about $545
billion. This amount includes spending on things such as national
defense, education, housing, transportation--$545 billion. These are
discretionary expenditures, meaning that Congress, if
[[Page S2224]] it wants to, every year can change that amount. It does
not have to appropriate that amount of money, unlike a mandatory
spending which occurs almost automatically. A discretionary expenditure
is the Federal Government deciding whether it wants to spend a
specified amount each year on national defense or education.
The third category after mandatory and discretionary spending is
interest--interest on the national debt. Last year, we paid roughly
$205 billion in interest on the national debt. As the debt has grown--
especially since 1980--the more we have paid in interest, because the
more you have to borrow, the more people you have to pay interest to
those who have loaned you, the Government, money.
Now, an interesting caveat about interest is that when the Government
collects all of those taxes, the first call on these funds, the first
place that money has to be spent is not defending the Nation or feeding
children or providing for education or building highways or sending
money to Social Security recipients. The first place that money has to
be spent is to pay those bondholders who have loaned us money. So right
off the top, $205 billion goes to people in this country--and others--
who buy Government debt, people who have enough money to buy Government
securities, Treasury bills, Treasury bonds, people who are not spending
all of their money every year just to get by, but rather people who
have enough money to buy Government bonds. The more we have to pay in
interest, the more that interest flows to those bondholders.
So in terms of total expenditures, you have $790 billion in mandatory
spending, $540 billion in discretionary spending, and $205 billion in
interest payments.
Mr. President, this is a rough overview of the Federal budget: where
the revenues come from and where they go. What I would like to do on
the spending side--because we are discussing a balanced budget
amendment, and the American public should know how this budget is going
to be balanced--is to take a closer look at Federal spending so that we
can determine what Federal spending must be cut in order to balance the
budget.
First, let us look again at the mandatory spending programs, again
about half of all Federal spending. These funds go to eligible
recipients at preset benefit levels--at a total of $790 billion worth
of benefits.
Well, what is this $790 billion spent on? First, we need to make one
distinction on the mandatory programs. Some mandatory spending programs
flow to everybody who is eligible. Others flow only to those who have
lower income; in other words, means tested and non-means tested. Take
the biggest mandatory program, Social Security. Social Security is not
means tested. Everybody in America who meets certain age and
contribution requirements, gets Social Security. If you are a
millionaire and you worked 30 years and paid into Social Security, you
receive these benefits, just as the guy that worked in the GM plant in
Detroit or in the neighborhood drugstore who paid Social Security for
30 years. In fact, these folks all probably get the same amount. It is
not a means tested program.
The next largest mandatory program, Medicare, is the same thing. If
you are over 65, you are eligible for Medicare. The Federal Government
will pay your health costs under the provisions and rules of the
system. If you are a multimillionaire and you check into a hospital and
you stay several days and you have a hospital bill of $10,000, send it
to Medicare. It is a non-means-tested program. This means that a
millionaire gets the same amount of money as somebody, a husband or
wife, who worked for 30 years, gets sick, goes to the hospital, and
needs that same $10,000 treatment.
Then there are other mandatory programs. You take $25 billion in
unemployment benefits. If you are unemployed in the United States, you
are eligible for unemployment compensation. We have had that in place
for 50 years or more. It is one of the things we learned from the Great
Depression. Because we have an automatic stabilizer, we are less likely
to have as deep of a recession. We are all better off if we have an
automatic stabilizer, this one being unemployment compensation, because
the economy then will not go down so far. People will at least have
enough money to buy some food or begin to keep themselves until they
get another job.
We also spend $70 billion automatically each year for the civilian
and military pension and disability systems. Every member of the
military, every member of the Federal Government who has a retirement
plan pays into that plan, and that plan then pays benefits. Last year,
those benefits were $70 billion.
Then there is Medicaid. Medicaid is a means-tested program. This
means that if you are dirt poor in America and you get sick and you go
to the hospital, somebody is going to take care of you. And because
somebody takes care of you, somebody has to pay, and the Federal
Government will chip in its share if the State agrees to pick up some
part of the cost as well. But it is a mandatory spending program based
on income, and it accounts for roughly $80 billion in annual spending.
Now, in this category of other mandatory spending are such things as
food stamps--again, means tested. If you are poor, you are eligible for
this type of assistance. This is $25 billion.
Supplemental security income, again, goes to the poorest,
overwhelmingly elderly, overwhelmingly female population, who just
cannot get by without some assistance. In addition, there is child
nutrition which totals about $7 billion.
So the mandatory portion of the Federal budget is the amount of money
that flows simply because of certain eligibility criteria--you are over
65 and eligible for Social Security, you are over 65 and eligible for
Medicare.
Thus, $460 billion of mandatory expenditures, nearly one-third of the
whole budget, goes to people over 65 who have paid into the Social
Security and Medicare systems throughout their lifetimes. You are
eligible, regardless of income, if you have paid into the system. The
other areas of mandatory spending are Medicaid, food stamps,
supplemental security income, retirement, and unemployment benefits.
So when we talk about cutting the Federal budget and we decide that
we are not going to touch any entitlements--meaning the mandatory
spending--we have to realize that this leaves a much smaller portion of
the budget and this remaining portion will have to cut a lot more to
balance the budget. But to cut those mandatory expenditures, we would
have to change the eligibility rules and we would have to change the
benefit levels. We could say that you have to be poorer to get food
stamps or Medicaid, or we could say that you have to pay more, if you
are above a certain income level, for Medicare. But we would be
changing the rules. That is the way that entitlements would be cut.
Mr. President, let us look for a moment at the next biggest chunk of
Federal expenditures. First, we have mandatory expenditures. Now we
have approximately $545 billion of discretionary expenditures. This is
the money that the appropriations committees appropriate every year.
The tax dollars come in. The appropriations committees meet, and they
decide that this program or that program merits funding. What do the
appropriations committees spend $545 billion on? Overwhelmingly, the
money in discretionary programs is spent on the national defense. It is
$280 billion a year out of the total of $545 billion which is spent on
discretionary programs.
What are the other big discretionary expenditures in addition to
national defense? You have $40 billion for education, training and
social services. This includes education for the handicapped--it used
to be that if you had a child that was autistic, the child had no
chance of getting into any school anywhere, and had no chance of going
to the public school. Now because of a Federal program for handicapped
education, we are able to challenge that child and develop that child's
potential.
In addition, there is transportation spending, primarily for mass
transit, highways, and airports. There is spending for income security
which is essentially housing assistance.
There is also spending to support Government activities which cost
$30 billion. This amount is basically what it costs to run the Federal
Government. Of this $30 billion, the Congress
[[Page S2225]] accounts for $2.5 billion. The other Government
activities include running the Department of the Interior, the Park
System, the FBI, keeping guards in our prisons, and making sure that
the IRS collects taxes. Some people do not like that. But spending for
these, and other, Government activities represents what it costs to run
the Federal Government, $30 billion out of $1.5 trillion.
In addition to all of this is foreign aid. Foreign aid--for both
humanitarian and security assistance--represents $20 billion out of
$1.5 trillion.
So discretionary spending is divided among defense, education,
training, social services, transportation, income security, Government
activities, foreign aid, and other domestic non-defense programs.
Mr. President, there is a point that should be made on discretionary
spending. I have implied that discretionary spending is whatever the
appropriations want to spend money on. That is true. Yet, since 1991
this spending has been capped. We have said by law that the Congress
and the Government cannot spend above a certain amount. It has been
capped. As we discussed earlier, inflation is not capped. Inflation
continues to eat away at the purchasing power of American families, and
it continues to eat away at the purchasing power of Government.
So when you cap spending programs, all $545 billion in discretionary
spending, that means it will buy less. Essentially the caps on
discretionary spending shrink in real terms what this will buy, by
about 9 percent between now and 1998.
There are no caps on mandatory spending; no caps at all. How could
there be? You do not know how many people are going to be unemployed.
You do not know how many people are going to be poor. You do not know
how many people are going to qualify for the mandatory spending
programs. However, for those things that the Congress and the
Government have direct control over, there has been a cap since 1991.
You can argue the caps should be lower. But there has been a cap.
With the next chart I would like to demonstrate how Federal spending
has changed over the years. Back in 1963, a long time ago,
discretionary spending represented 70 percent of what the Federal
Government spent.
Entitlements--the so-called mandatory expenditures, such as Social
Security--represented 22 percent. Net interest represented 6 percent.
In 1965 we added in Medicare and Medicaid, and in 1972, we indexed
Social Security. In 1973, discretionary gets a little smaller,
entitlements get a little bigger. In 1983, entitlements have grown to
45 percent of the budget and discretionary has dropped. But 1983 was,
of course, 2 years after the Reagan defense buildup and tax cut and the
start of gigantic deficits. So interest rates and the amount we spent
on interest are higher.
In 1993, suddenly entitlements are up to 47 percent. Discretionary
expenditures are down to 39 percent. It is projected that if current
law continues, by 2003 mandatory spending--those things we talked about
earlier, such as Social Security, Medicare, income security--will eat
up almost 60 percent of the budget, and interest will be almost 14
percent. And all of the rest of the money that the Government spends,
such as for transportation, education, and defense, will be 28 percent
of the budget.
So, Mr. President, what clearly we see is that over the years those
mandatory portions of spending have increased dramatically. So
dramatically that, by 2003, interest payments on the debt will equal
almost half of all discretionary spending.
Mr. President, I think that it is important here to talk about
another kind of spending, and that is essentially what I call off-
budget spending through the Tax Code. You have $1.5 billion of Federal
expenditures. We talked about that already. And we raise $1.3 billion
through all taxes. If you recall, we raise $545 billion from the
individual income tax. But, of course, the income tax does not apply to
everybody in the same way. You would think that under an income tax
system the same rules and rates would and apply to everybody. No, no,
no, not the case.
Over the last several years, much to my own distress, we have
returned to aggressive spending through the Tax Code, meaning we tell
people that if they simply do this activity, they will pay less in
taxes. Some of these activities that we tell people will lower their
taxes have been long established in the Tax Code. If you buy a house
and pay mortgage interest, that interest is deductible, so you pay less
taxes because you have mortgage interest. If your employer pays health
insurance premiums for you, those premiums are not included in your
taxable income. If you have a pension plan that builds up, or
investment income building up, you do not pay taxes on those. If you
pay State and local taxes, like property taxes and State income taxes,
you deduct those and you do not pay Federal taxes on them. The more
taxes you pay, or the bigger your pension plan is, or the more generous
your employer-paid health benefits are, or the bigger your mortgage
interest is, the less you pay in taxes.
Those are some of the well-known, biggest tax expenditures. And then
there are, of course, the little special ones that are not used by the
vast majority of Americans. These are not in the Tax Code because of a
particular public policy reason--whether flawed or not--but because a
lobbyist had a way to insert into a tax bill a special exclusion for a
particular category of people. For example, I do not know how many
people in America know that if you rent your home for 2 weeks a year,
you do not pay any income tax on that income. That is a special
exclusion. It costs $50 million a year in foregone income. How did that
happen? Well, the story goes that a guy who had a big house close to
the Masters Golf Tournament also had a friend on the Finance Committee.
During one of those late night sessions, the friend slipped in an
amendment to a bill which said if you rent your house for 2 weeks a
year, you do not pay any income tax on that income. This is not going
to help me and probably will not help a lot of other people, if they
are living in your house. But if you have a big house next to a big
international event, you might make a little money.
How about the $12 million a year that we use to essentially subsidize
the production of some of the most toxic chemicals and minerals in the
world? On the one hand, you have the Federal Government telling people
to take asbestos out of the schools and workplaces. We have ads on
television about lead contamination telling how it makes our children's
intelligence lower than it otherwise should be. Meanwhile, you have the
Tax Code telling people that if you mine asbestos or if you mine lead,
you pay less tax.
Mr. President, the point is that $545 billion is raised from personal
income taxes. But that Tax Code that sets rates is riddled by
exceptions to those rates. And because of all those exceptions, the
people who use those exceptions end up paying less tax and the rest of
us end up paying a higher rate of tax than we otherwise would have to
pay. And the question is raised, since this is a balanced budget
amendment debate, how much would revenues be if we did not have any of
those loopholes? We have had a little debate about a flat tax led by
Congressman Armey on the other side. If we did not have any of those
loopholes, how much more money would the Federal Government raise? The
answer is $455 billion a year. In 1986, we trimmed this amount back
dramatically. Since then, it has exploded. It is one of the fastest
growing Government programs and accounts for $455 billion a year in tax
expenditures.
So, Mr. President, you can see if you had a deficit of $176 billion--
as is projected for 1995--if you simply trimmed a third off of the tax
expenditures, you could eliminate the entire budget deficit. Earlier we
talked about mandatory spending, discretionary spending, and interest
on the debt. Now, we have seen that we also spend off budget through
the Tax Code.
Mr. President, if I could, I think that it helps to get a picture of
how these deficits have changed over time. I have interns who come into
my office thinking that the deficit is a little like oxygen. They would
not know how to exist if the deficit did not exist. It has been there
their whole lives.
People say that the Federal Government has always run a deficit. Are
politicians not always spending more money than they have? Are we not
always living beyond our means as a
[[Page S2226]] Government? Well, the answer to that question is
absolutely not. In the 1940's and 50's, Harry Truman had a few
surpluses. Dwight Eisenhower had surpluses in a couple of years. In
fact, Lyndon Johnson had a surplus in 1969. As hard as that is to
believe, they collected more than they spent. No depressions occurred
in the late 1940's and early 1950's. No depressions occurred in the
mid-1950's. In the early 1960's when we had a tremendous economic boom,
the deficit was minuscule, and the debt was minuscule, and policymakers
were thinking about tomorrow.
But the story changes in 1980. And we all know that story--defunded
Government, dramatic tax cuts. A lot of the hotels in this town were
built after 1980 because the Federal Government said in that tax bill,
``If you build this hotel for $20 million, you can write $1.5 million
off a year of income taxes.'' We gave depreciation in 15 years on
structures that were going to last 30 and 40 years. So a lot of
lobbyists decided they would become hotel investors and pay no tax.
We also were going to trade tax benefits from one corporation to
another corporation. We also gave dramatic individual income tax cuts,
30 percent across the board, and defunded Government.
At the same time, we began a massive defense buildup--not to say we
should not spend more on defense--but unlike Lyndon Johnson in the
1960's, Ronald Reagan in the 1980's did not finance his defense
buildup. And as a result of these facts--a dramatic decrease in tax
revenues, a dramatic increase in defense expenditures, and a continued
growth of mandatory spending--the deficit took a dramatic turn for the
worse.
In the 1940's, 1950's, and 1960's, not much of a deficit; there was
even a surplus in some years. But then what happened in the 1980's?
Well, you can see what happened. Here is the passage of the tax bill,
around August 1981. See what happens to the deficit? It starts going up
and up, and soon becomes over $200 billion. It only took a couple of
years for the national deficit to grow larger than the whole debt of
the country in the previous 15 to 20 years.
The deficit then dropped a little in 1984, came back up in 1985 and
1986, and then dropped significantly for 1987 and 1988 due to cosmetic
and process changes such as the Gramm-Rudman Act, which arguably kept
things under control for a short while. But the deficit then exploded
again after 1989, and kept rising until 1992. As a result, from 1980 to
1992, the national debt of this country grew from $800 billion to $4.3
trillion. Is that thinking about tomorrow? Hardly.
Since 1992, what has happened? Because of the 1993 deficit reduction
package, the national deficit has dropped dramatically.
My point here is simply that these deficits have not always been a
part of our history. They are a part of bad public policy, and they
have placed a gigantic burden on the backs of our children. And if we
do not face up to this burden all of our tomorrows will be darker than
they otherwise would have to be.
And it is also important to note that these deficit figures actually
mask the seriousness of the problem. This is because we have been using
the surpluses that are accumulating in our trust funds to hide the true
size of the deficit in the rest of the budget. Because of changes we
made to Social Security in the mid-1980's, this program now raises more
funds than it pays out. Prior to 1983, Social Security was a pay-as-
you-go program. Money would come in, stay a few months, and immediately
be paid out to eligible recipients. But in 1983, we changed the program
so that it would start accumulating surpluses, so we could supposedly
guarantee that there would be enough money there for my generation when
we retired. But right now we are actually spending these surpluses, by
borrowing them to pay for deficits in other parts of the Federal
budget. And, Mr. President, if action is not taken to stop this
practice, the Federal Government will borrow an additional $636 billion
from the Social Security trust fund between 1996 and 2002. So let us be
candid about that.
So, once again, Mr. President, here is the history of our national
debt. The situation was pretty good during the late 1940's and 1950's,
with surpluses under both Truman and Eisenhower. Under Kennedy and
Johnson we had solid fiscal policy. Under Nixon, Social Security was
indexed and high inflation began. This inflation accelerated throughout
the decade, and was accompanied by oil shock repercussions, but the
deficit still remained relatively under control, with the national debt
less than $1 trillion. But the 1980's heralded the sudden arrival of
tax cuts, increased defense expenditures, and out-of-control mandatory
spending, which have led to today's debt of nearly $5 trillion.
Mr. President, that is a cautionary tale. What would the ant say to
the grasshopper if at this point the grasshopper said, ``Let me come in
from the cold into the house that you prepared, because you were not
spending beyond your means''? The ant would say, ``Play your sweet
music in the summer, dance in the winter. You're on your own.''
Unfortunately, this is the position we all find ourselves in as a
result of this profligate activity.
Mr. President, how do we make this situation real to people? How do
we get them to understand? It is such a complicated issue. People do
not want to think it through. They want to sound bite it. They want to
have a quick answer. They want to believe if they vote for the balanced
budget amendment they do not have to make any of these tough choices
about cutting spending.
Mr. President, that is the furthest thing from the truth.
Think of it this way: If the average taxpayer's share of Federal
spending and revenues were arranged in the form of a credit card
statement, it would look something like this table entitled ``Uncle Sam
Says Charge It.''
Mr. President, the first line shows the balance due. Take the
national debt, divide it by all the taxpayers in the United States, and
the result is that every taxpayer in this country had a debt of $37,838
at the start of this year. Each one of us. That is just to get to where
we are right now. Each one of us has to pay that debt. And it is
getting larger all the time. So the first line shows the outstanding
balance. As you can see, at the start of 1994, it was $37,838.
But what about Government spending during 1994? Well, we ran a big
deficit again, about $200 billion, in that year. How did that break
down for each citizen of the United States? Well, each citizen is
spending about $4,000 per person on Social Security; about $2,400 for
national defense; about $1,900 for income security and welfare; about
$926 for health; about $389 for education, training, and employment
programs; $313 for agriculture and natural resources; $320 for
transportation; and $133 for the administration of justice.
Now, that comes to a total of about $2,273.
What about the money that we have taken in, per person? Well,
average, this totaled about $4,700 in income taxes, $3,700 in Social
Security taxes, and about $2,484 in other forms of payments to the
Government, such as customs, estate taxes, and excise taxes. This comes
to a total of $10,932 for each taxpayer. Compare this to total spending
per taxpayer of $12,700. The result is $1,765 added to the credit card
bill of every taxpayer--and remember that this is added on top of the
$37,838 that every taxpayer owes from previous years.
Now, Mr. President, what happens in this kind of situation? We cannot
continue down this path. Something has to give. About 3 years ago, the
distinguished chairman of the Budget Committee, the Senator from New
Mexico, and I asked the General Accounting Office to tell us what would
happen if we do nothing about this deficit situation. They came back
with a report that said if we do nothing, every one of our income will
be 40 percent less than it otherwise would be by the year 2020--40
percent less.
That is understandable, given all the money which must be sucked in
from the economy just to pay interest to bondholders, in order to keep
financing our $5 trillion in national debt. None of that money is
available to create jobs, pay raises, buy cars, or purchase homes.
Things have changed since that GAO report. If we recall the last
graph, the deficit came down in 1993. We took action in 1993, passing
the biggest deficit
[[Page S2227]] reduction package in history. But there is still an
awful lot to do.
So, Mr. President, having discussed what is in the federal budget, we
now come to the more difficult part. We clearly need to reduce the
deficit, but the question is, What are we going to do to cut spending?
Let us start by asking how much spending cuts will be needed in order
to balance the budget. If we do not implement the tax cuts that are
included in the Contract With America, we would need to cut on average
$922 for every resident of my State. If the contract tax cuts are
enacted, then this number rises to about $1,265.
What does this mean? These are vague numbers. All the budget debates
eventually turn into numbers, and people turn them off. What is the
real impact of cutting $922 or $1,265 per person in New Jersey, and of
making similar cuts in other States? What does this mean in terms of
the Federal spending that we have talked about?
Given our current fiscal policies, balancing the budget would require
a 13-percent cut in every spending program--13 percent. The question
is, Are we willing to tolerate cuts in every one of those programs? Are
we willing to take a 13-percent cut in Social Security? Are we willing
to take a 13-percent cut in the national defense? Of course, we cannot
take a 13-percent cut on interest. The bondholders get paid,
regardless.
However, if Social Security is off the table, and everybody in this
Chamber has given speeches that have resonated across America promising
that there will be no cuts at all in Social Security, then the size of
cuts needed in all other programs goes up to 18 percent. Take Social
Security off the table, and everything else is cut 18 percent.
Medicare, defense, grants to State and localities, and all other
spending--18 percent.
Let us carry this a little further. I know no one in here wants to
make the United States vulnerable, even in the post-cold-war world. So
in addition to taking Social Security off the table let us take defense
off also. And remember that interest is automatically off the table
because we have to pay the bondholders. If we say that there are to be
no cuts in any of these three areas, then the remaining programs are
subject to across-the-board cuts of 22 percent. And if the tax cuts
outlined in the Contract With America are implemented, then the level
of cuts needed to balance the budget rises to 30 percent. That would be
a 30 percent cut in all non-Social Security entitlements, including
Medicare, and in every other existing program except Social Security
and defense. That would mean a 30-percent cut in grants to state and
local governments. It would require that we cut areas such as
investment in infrastructure and unemployment compensation by 30
percent.
Now, Mr. President, it is not really likely we will cut 30 percent of
the FBI or 30 percent of the Immigration Service or 30 percent of the
Internal Revenue Service or 30 percent of Federal prisons or 30 percent
of military pensions or 30 percent of veterans programs. To be honest,
we will take certain things off the table in the same way that Social
Security and defense will be off the table. We will have to take these
other programs off the table as well.
As a result, the cuts in the other programs are going to be even
deeper. This means cuts of over 30 percent in Medicare, State and local
grants, environmental programs, automatic stabilizers like unemployment
compensation, and many other programs. What would cuts of at least 30
percent mean to these remaining programs? Well, in 1993, Medicare
payments to doctors were approximately 40 percent less than private-
sector payments. Imagine cutting them by at least another 30 percent.
And cutting back on many of the other programs would be penny-wise and
pound-foolish. We could cut back on programs for early childhood but
end up paying more later for prisons.
Mr. President, going to this next table, what if we decided to cut
grants to State and local governments? We give them $200 billion a
year. The Federal Government gives it right to the States, many of whom
are advocating the balanced budget amendment. Well, going after those
grants for States, what are they for? Highways, airports, and other
forms of transportation spending total 11 percent, or over $20 billion
in Federal spending. Then take education, training, employment and
social services, such as the handicapped education program, special
education, foster care. These total about $25 billion in Federal
spending, or 16 percent of grants to State and local governments. Cut
it. What about income security, welfare, section 8, school breakfast,
WIC, nutrition, and related programs--these total 24 percent. Cut it.
Medicaid is 40 percent. Cut it.
So say that we cut all these programs that go to States, and in doing
this we balance the budget. Then the State has to make the decision:
Does it increase taxes, or does it forget about the education programs,
the health programs, the housing programs?
So, Mr. President, what would significant cuts to States and
localities look like? As I said, grants to States and local governments
totaled $200 billion in 1994. In New Jersey, we received about $6
billion in Federal grants. This money funded a significant number of
programs. Roughly 40 percent of the Federal funds went to health, 16
percent to education, 24 percent to welfare, and 11 percent to fund
transportation.
On average--this is an important point--on average, Federal grants to
support programs administered by States comprise 25 percent of all
State revenues--25 percent. Remove those.
This is money that Governors have to spend--States get more money
from the Federal Government than they raise with the personal income
tax, more money than they raise with the general sales tax, more money
than they raise with any other kind of taxes. If the Federal Government
eliminated this 25-percent contribution, it would either lead to a
dramatic increase in State or local taxes or else essentially eliminate
many of these programs.
I think people have not really focused on what the impact of this
will be. I know that people in this body have not focused on impact,
but I guarantee you the State legislatures will. In my State of New
Jersey, only about 20 percent of our State budget comes from the
Federal Government. We have a diverse State, with a broadly based
economy and rapid growth. New Jersey is quick to rebound from
recessions, heavily export oriented, dramatically changed from
manufacturing to services, and it has a very flexible work force with
very talented people. The Federal Government gives us 20 percent of our
State revenues.
This percentage is a little different in other places: in Arizona, it
is 30 percent; in Michigan, 30 percent; in California, 34 percent; and
in Idaho, 32 percent. This raises a very interesting question. Your
people send tax dollars to Washington. They get dollars back from
Washington, in terms of Federal expenditures.
My State has the second-highest income in the country. We pay a lot
of taxes, because a lot of people with high income pay taxes. We do not
have a lot of big defense expenditures in the State. We do not get back
much relative to what we give the Federal Government, but a lot of
other States do pretty well. For every dollar that New Mexico sends to
Washington it gets back $1.96; Mississippi gets back $1.63; West
Virginia gets back $1.45; North Dakota, $1.41; Virginia, $1.38. What do
these figures mean? They mean that more Federal dollars are being spent
in these States than are being sent to Washington from those States.
So here we have the West, the site of some of the strongest
supporters of the balanced budget amendment. In the West, the Federal
Government still plays as big a role as the Governor plays; for
example, in Arizona, 30 percent of State revenues come from the Federal
budget; the percentage is 32 percent in Idaho; 34 percent in
California. Some of these States are owned by the Federal Government.
Ninety percent of the land in Nevada is owned by the Federal
Government; 1 percent of the land in New York is owned by the Federal
Government. I think 9 percent of the land in Michigan is owned by the
Federal Government; 90 percent of the land in Nevada is owned by the
Federal Government.
So the point, Mr. President, is that if we are going to cut spending
and we are going to do it across the board 30
[[Page S2228]] percent, then those States that are getting more money
back from the Federal Government than they are contributing are going
to be disproportionately cut. It is not only going to be poor people
who are going to be affected. So you might want to look at some of the
other ways to raise revenue.
For example, right now we have public lands all over the West. Let us
say I want to mine gold. Well, I pay about $500 to $1,000 max. I go in
and mine the gold, and I do not pay the Government anything, I do not
owe the Government anything. If we are asking individuals to pay more
in taxes or we are cutting money to help them send their kids to
college, do you think we might want to ask some of the mining companies
to pay more if they mine minerals on public lands?
So the advocates of the balanced budget amendment have to understand
the disproportionate impact that these cuts or additional revenue
increases will have on their respective States.
So, Mr. President, I think that the analysis makes two points very
clear, and they are that we have to balance the budget for the sake of
our children's long-term economic prospects and that doing so is
inevitably going to be very painful. What looks like a cheap move or an
easy move here--cutting back that State and local Government transfer--
will translate into, in some cases, higher taxes in many States.
Finally, as much as it is necessary to reduce the deficit--and it
will be a bitter pill for the country--I think that it is absolutely
essential that we do so. Trying to rush a balanced budget amendment
through the Congress without a thorough discussion of how the budget
will be balanced is, in my view, unfair and undemocratic.
So a lot of those Western States are probably going to have second
thoughts when they look at the numbers. Alabama, with about $2.38 on
every dollar, is going to look at it and have a second thought. The
amendment will have dramatic effects on the lives of American citizens
and every one of these citizens has a right to know what these effects
will be before their elected representatives are asked to vote on this
issue.
Mr. President, I have heard an awful lot of people saying,
particularly States: Oh, you ought to balance your Federal budget; we
want the balanced budget Federal amendment.
And yet, Mr. President, Governors do not have to balance their
budgets in the way we have to balance our budget here in Washington.
Governors have the right to, and in many cases do, have capital
budgets, which means that instead of raising taxes and spending money,
they simply borrow from these bondholders that we are borrowing from to
create a Federal deficit, except when they borrow, it does not count in
their State because they have a capital budget. I do not know about all
States, but if you look in total, public indebtedness has dramatically
increased at the State level.
So, increasingly, what the State governments are doing is the same
thing the Federal Government did in the 1980's except they do not need
a balanced budget amendment because they have simply defined the
problem away. What if we had the same capital budget at the Federal
level that exists in most States, mine included? Do you know what
portion of the Federal budget would be included as a capital budget?
And that includes all physical infrastructure, defense and non-defense,
and all education programs. Do you know what that would be? $225
billion. If we simply defined our Federal budget as most States do, in
one stroke of the pen we would have no Federal deficit this year. We
would have a $25 billion surplus.
So when Governors tell me that they want to have a balanced budget
amendment, I say to them: Give me the same capital budget. Give me the
same capital budget you have, and we will have a surplus.
So, Mr. President, I think before we get a vote on the balanced
budget amendment, we ought to have the specifics. I have spent almost 2
hours here today laying out what this budget is. The proponents of the
amendment have not stepped forward and told us what they are going to
cut. Which of the mandatory programs are they going to cut? Which of
the discretionary programs are they going to cut?
I have a suspicion that there might be another game going on here. I
do not mean to cast aspersions on anyone, and I do not. But my guess is
that the other side will not take my suggestion of defining the problem
away with a capital budget. A capital budget would make a lot of sense.
It would be like State governments. I mean it would be like most
businesses that have a capital budget. It would be like most families.
You have mortgage interest. You have a mortgage on your house. You are
in debt. But you can make your debt payments. You do not have to pay
the whole thing immediately. Everybody in America has debt. The
question is how you manage the debt and, most importantly, how you
structure the debt.
Let us make a reform: a capital budget. Then we have a surplus. Then
we have a surplus. That is a change that I could certainly support.
I am concerned there is going to be another approach, though. I
already see it rumbling out there. And that is going to be to redefine
CPI, saying that the deficit is not as big as you think it is because
we have exaggerated inflation. Inflation is really lower, and if you
calculate it in this different way, we will save $150 billion over 5
years just like that, so the deficit is much less.
Well, to those who are contemplating this, I would simply say beware,
because--I am almost inviting the people to do this--the result is you
pay about $21 billion in higher taxes every year if you do that. Why?
You pay $21 billion in higher taxes because we have indexed the rates.
But if you understate what inflation is, then people are going to be
pushed into higher rates and pay more taxes. And about $28 billion
less, in terms of less benefits, will go out because the CPI is
calculated at a lower level. That is my fear.
If you really wanted to come out of this with significant reform that
would be right to every legislator, it would be to implement a capital
budget, take Social Security out and focus on the operating
expenditures.
My hope is that, before this is over, at least we will have a chance
to think about that. If we are serious about cutting the budget, at the
minimum why not do it on a basis of some principle as opposed to
lobbyists mud wrestling? Why not say, look, here is the deficit. We
looked at this gigantic budget deficit we have. We have to do something
about it. We are tired of being grasshoppers. We want to start to be
the ant. We want to start to think of our future. We want to start
thinking of tomorrow.
What we are going to do, maybe what we will say is, ``What principle
could we use?'' Well, we have a principle for liberals and a principle
for conservatives. If we join the two principles, we might actually
have a way to proceed here. The principle for liberals would be, I
would say, well, why not make income a principle? You get a Federal
benefit up to a certain income level. Above that level you get less or
you get none. Why should the millionaire who goes to the hospital get
the same payment from Medicare as my struggling uncle who went to work
every day in the lead factory for 40 years? Why should that happen? Why
should a wealthy farmer who makes $3 million a year get the same farm
subsidy or the same water subsidy that a struggling family farmer with
600 or less acres such as in the great State of Iowa or even the cotton
farmers in Arizona gets? Why should it be the same for the millionaire
as for the average person? Well, that is one principle. Maybe make
income a criterion.
The other principle, for my conservative friends, would be to ask:
How about the market? Everybody talks about the market. Yes, we want
the market to allocate resources. Well, great, get the Government away
from the market. Let the market allocate the resources. Cut the budget
by eliminating all these subsidies that impede the function of the
market.
If we join those two, having a principle of income and a principle of
no subsidies, then you would have a way to proceed and explain to
people why we are cutting this and not that. Otherwise, it is going to
be that the agriculture people are stronger than the mass transit
people, who each have their lobbyists trying to figure what
[[Page S2229]] levels of subsidies are there going to be.
So, Mr. President, as I tried to demonstrate today in this talk, it
is not going to be easy to cut the Federal budget. It is not going to
be easy at all to balance this budget. It is going to require bigger
cuts in expenditures than anyone has heretofore contemplated. And as we
proceed, if we proceed, I hope we will have not only a suggestion from
the proponents of the amendment as to how they would balance the
budget, but I think also those who oppose it might raise specific
questions of how they would reduce the budget deficit. I believe that
reducing the budget deficit is an imperative, second only to getting
growth started in our economy. That is a big debate. What comes first,
growth or deficit, savings or investment? I think you have to first get
growth; second, reduce the deficit, and reducing the deficit has the
potential of improving the prospects for growth.
It requires some tough choices.
Mr. President, to go back to the cautionary tale, we are living in a
time when the grasshopper and the ant continue to look at each other
across the great divide. The grasshopper says to the ant, the ant that
has worked all through summer and put food away for the winter,
``Please, please, Mr. Ant, let me come into your warm home in the
winter.''
And the ant says to the grasshopper, ``What did you do all summer?''
``I made sweet music.''
``If you make sweet music in the summer, you die in the winter, and
you are on your own.''
More and more are we saying that. And more and more have we acted as
the grasshopper and not the ant. Less and less have we thought of
tomorrow. As I hope the last hour and a half has made abundantly clear,
less and less have we thought of tomorrow with regard to our urban
centers, with regard to our children. It is about time we start
thinking of tomorrow and tell the truth to the American people.
I yield the floor.
reply to senators leahy and bradley
Mr. HATCH. Mr. President, I would like to take this time to briefly
respond to certain contentions made by Senators Leahy and Bradley
regarding the balanced budget amendment. These contentions fall into
several categories: First, that the balanced budget amendment does
absolutely nothing to balance the budget; it is an unenforceable
gimmick; second, that the deficit is the result of the Reagan
administration; third, that President Clinton's deficit program
effectively deals with the deficit program; and fourth, that the
balanced budget amendment is the largest Federal unfunded mandate
program to date and will be ruinous to the States because it forces the
States to assume the cost of Federal social spending programs. Each of
these contentions are either false or widely exaggerated.
balanced budget amendment is enforceable
Senator Leahy's assertion that the amendment is an unenforceable
gimmick that does nothing to balance the budget, is both wrong and
misleading. Of course, the amendment does not balance the budget by
itself. But neither does the first amendment protect free speech nor
the free exercise of religion by itself. The balanced budget amendment,
similar to most of the Constitution, establishes a process, a mechanism
to effectuate governmental power and obligations. The amendment
establishes a limitation on Congress' taxing, spending, and borrowing
power that furthers the goal of a balanced budget.
Moreover, the notion advanced by opponents of the balanced budget
amendment that it is a paper tiger--that Congress will flout its
constitutional authority to balance the budget--is simply wrong. First,
the amendment has sharp teeth. It is self-enforcing. Because,
historically, it has been easier for Congress to raise the debt
ceiling, rather than reduce spending or raise taxes, the primary
enforcement mechanism of House Joint Resolution 1 is section 2, which
requires a three-fifths vote to increase the debt ceiling. This
provision is a steel curtain that will shield the American public from
an all ill-disciplined and profligate Congress.
Furthermore, Members of Congress overwhelmingly conform their actions
to constitutional precepts out of fidelity to the Constitution itself.
We are bound by article VI of the Constitution to ``support this
Constitution.'' I fully expect fidelity by Members of Congress to the
oath to uphold the Constitution. Honoring this pledge requires
respecting the provisions of the proposed amendment. Flagrant disregard
of the proposed amendment's clear and simple provisions would
constitute nothing less than a betrayal of the public trust. In their
campaigns for reelection, elected officials who flout their
responsibilities under this amendment will find that the political
process will provide the ultimate enforcement mechanism.
whose fault is the deficit
Both Senators Leahy and Bradley claim that the current deficit is the
work of the Republicans--particularly former President Ronald Reagan.
They claim it was the massive defense buildup of the 1980's along with
the Reagan tax cuts that led to the present day deficits. In President
Reagan's words, ``Well, there they go again.''
In reality, one thing and one thing only has led to our massive
deficits, Congress' voracious appetite to spend and spend. During the
1980's, the Reagan tax cuts stimulated the
economy and led to the largest peace time boom in American history.
About 20 million new jobs were created and revenue increased by about
$1 trillion. The problem was that Congress, whose constitutional
authority it is to oversee and legislate the budget, spent $1.4
trillion.
In fact, it really doesn't matter whose fault it is. This is a
bipartisan problem with fault enough for both sides of the aisle. Let's
stop pointing fingers and work together.
Senator Bradley, who presented a very detailed and erudite exegesis
of the budget process--I wish more of my colleagues were present on the
floor to see it--hit the nail on the head when he stated that the real
problems of the budget shortfalls is the mammoth growth in entitlement
spending and payments on interest on the debt. He even seemed at times
to make a case for passage and ratification of the amendment since he
must concede that Congress, without a balanced budget amendment, has
been wholly ineffective in resolving the budgetary crisis.
Furthermore, both Senators proudly point to President Clinton's
deficit reduction plan as some kind of solution to the deficit problem.
But they neglected to mention one simple thing--that after a small drop
in the deficit for the first few years of the plan--the deficit
continues to rise, surpassing $200 billion in 1996, reaching the record
level of $297 billion in 2001, and topping $421 billion in 2005. Even
the President's new budget plan fails to resolve the deficit problem as
it averages about $200 billion deficits for each year of the budget
plan.
balanced budget amendment as an unfunded mandate
Finally, both Senators Leahy and Bradley contend that passage and
ratification of the balanced budget amendment will act as an enormous
fiscally crushing Federal unfunded mandate, forcing the States to
assume responsibilities for social spending that the Federal Government
has shouldered for years. This statement is the mother of
exaggerations. First of all, it does not take into account that many of
these Federal programs come with inflexible bureaucratic strings
attached and ofttimes hamper localities resolve economic and social
problems. Indeed, many Governors, including Governors Wilson of
California, Allen of Virginia, Whitman of New Jersey, and my own
Governor, Governor Leavitt of Utah, have publicly stated that they will
gladly take the decrease in Federal proceeds due to a Federal balanced
budget for control over how moneys are spent in States and localities.
I truly believe that the States and localities will be far more
efficacious in how money is spent without Big Brother Federal
Government looking over their shoulder.
Of course, passage and ratification of the balanced budget amendment
will require sacrifices, sacrifices from all of us. But the returns on
a balanced budget are enormous--increased economic growth and more and
better jobs. Indeed, as Senator Simon often cites, GAO estimates that a
balanced budget in the late 1990's will result in a 33-percent increase
in the standard of living in about 10 years. I bet Senators Leahy
[[Page S2230]] and Bradley did not take this into account.
Mr. GRASSLEY addressed the Chair.
The PRESIDING OFFICER (Mr. Abraham). The Senator from Iowa.
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