[House Hearing, 110 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] CREDIT-BASED INSURANCE SCORES: ARE THEY FAIR? ======================================================================= HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON OVERSIGHT AND INVESTIGATIONS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION __________ OCTOBER 2, 2007 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Financial Services Serial No. 110-64 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 39-902 WASHINGTON : 2008 _____________________________________________________________________________ For Sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; (202) 512�091800 Fax: (202) 512�092104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402�090001 HOUSE COMMITTEE ON FINANCIAL SERVICES BARNEY FRANK, Massachusetts, Chairman PAUL E. KANJORSKI, Pennsylvania SPENCER BACHUS, Alabama MAXINE WATERS, California RICHARD H. BAKER, Louisiana CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York DEBORAH PRYCE, Ohio LUIS V. GUTIERREZ, Illinois MICHAEL N. CASTLE, Delaware NYDIA M. VELAZQUEZ, New York PETER T. KING, New York MELVIN L. WATT, North Carolina EDWARD R. ROYCE, California GARY L. ACKERMAN, New York FRANK D. LUCAS, Oklahoma JULIA CARSON, Indiana RON PAUL, Texas BRAD SHERMAN, California PAUL E. GILLMOR, Ohio GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio DENNIS MOORE, Kansas DONALD A. MANZULLO, Illinois MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts WALTER B. JONES, Jr., North RUBEN HINOJOSA, Texas Carolina WM. LACY CLAY, Missouri JUDY BIGGERT, Illinois CAROLYN McCARTHY, New York CHRISTOPHER SHAYS, Connecticut JOE BACA, California GARY G. MILLER, California STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO, West BRAD MILLER, North Carolina Virginia DAVID SCOTT, Georgia TOM FEENEY, Florida AL GREEN, Texas JEB HENSARLING, Texas EMANUEL CLEAVER, Missouri SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey MELISSA L. BEAN, Illinois GINNY BROWN-WAITE, Florida GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin, J. GRESHAM BARRETT, South Carolina LINCOLN DAVIS, Tennessee JIM GERLACH, Pennsylvania ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey STEVAN PEARCE, New Mexico PAUL W. HODES, New Hampshire RANDY NEUGEBAUER, Texas KEITH ELLISON, Minnesota TOM PRICE, Georgia RON KLEIN, Florida GEOFF DAVIS, Kentucky TIM MAHONEY, Florida PATRICK T. McHENRY, North Carolina CHARLES A. WILSON, Ohio JOHN CAMPBELL, California ED PERLMUTTER, Colorado ADAM PUTNAM, Florida CHRISTOPHER S. MURPHY, Connecticut MICHELE BACHMANN, Minnesota JOE DONNELLY, Indiana PETER J. ROSKAM, Illinois ROBERT WEXLER, Florida KENNY MARCHANT, Texas JIM MARSHALL, Georgia THADDEUS G. McCOTTER, Michigan DAN BOREN, Oklahoma Jeanne M. Roslanowick, Staff Director and Chief Counsel Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations MELVIN L. WATT, North Carolina, Chairman LUIS V. GUTIERREZ, Illinois GARY G. MILLER, California MAXINE WATERS, California PATRICK T. McHENRY, North Carolina STEPHEN F. LYNCH, Massachusetts EDWARD R. ROYCE, California NYDIA M. VELAZQUEZ, New York RON PAUL, Texas MICHAEL E. CAPUANO, Massachusetts STEVEN C. LaTOURETTE, Ohio CAROLYN McCARTHY, New York J. GRESHAM BARRETT, South Carolina RON KLEIN, Florida TOM PRICE, Georgia TIM MAHONEY, Florida MICHELE BACHMANN, Minnesota ROBERT WEXLER, Florida PETER J. ROSKAM, Illinois C O N T E N T S ---------- Page Hearing held on: October 2, 2007.............................................. 1 Appendix: October 2, 2007.............................................. 37 WITNESSES Tuesday, October 2, 2007 Birnbaum, Birny, Executive Director, Center for Economic Justice. 13 Kreidler, Hon. Mike, Commissioner of Insurance, State of Washington..................................................... 11 Rodriguez, Eric, Deputy Vice President, National Council of LaRaza......................................................... 15 Rosch, Hon. J. Thomas, Commissioner, Federal Trade Commission.... 7 Schmidt, Hon. J.P., Commissioner of Insurance, State of Hawaii... 9 Shapo, Nathaniel, Partner, Katten Muchin Rosenman, LLP........... 17 APPENDIX Prepared statements: Watt, Hon. Melvin L.......................................... 38 Waters, Hon. Maxine.......................................... 44 Birnbaum, Birny.............................................. 47 Kreidler, Hon. Mike.......................................... 79 Rodriguez, Eric.............................................. 101 Rosch, Hon. J. Thomas........................................ 109 Schmidt, Hon. J.P............................................ 152 Shapo, Nathaniel............................................. 155 Additional Material Submitted for the Record Watt, Hon. Melvin L.: Report on Washington State bill ESHB 2544.................... 166 State of Washington, Office of Insurance Commissioner, ``A Report to the Legislature: Insurance Credit Scoring''...... 171 Letter from Hon. Barney Frank, Hon. Melvin L. Watt, and Hon. Luis V. Gutierrez to the Federal Trade Commission, dated August 28, 2007............................................ 202 Response letter from the Federal Trade Commission to Hon. Barney Frank, dated September 17, 2007..................... 205 Statement of various consumer groups......................... 214 Letter from the National Conference of Insurance Legislators (NCOIL).................................................... 217 Letter from the Hispanic Alliance for Progress Institute..... 219 Statement of the American Insurance Association, the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies, and the Property Casualty Insurers Association of America................... 221 Response of Eric Rodriguez to questions submitted for the record..................................................... 225 Response of J. Thomas Rosch to questions submitted for the record..................................................... 228 Response of J.P. Schmidt to questions submitted for the record..................................................... 232 Response of Nathaniel Shapo to questions submitted for the record..................................................... 235 Response of Mike Kreidler to questions submitted for the record..................................................... 239 CREDIT-BASED INSURANCE SCORES: ARE THEY FAIR? ---------- Tuesday, October 2, 2007 U.S. House of Representatives, Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, Committee on Financial Services, Washington, D.C. The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:02 p.m., in room 2128, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Melvin L. Watt [chairman of the subcommittee] presiding. Members present: Representatives Watt, Waters, Klein; Miller, Price, and Roskam. Chairman Watt. This hearing of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations will come to order. Without objection, all members' opening statements will be made a part of the record, and I will now recognize myself for an opening statement. Credit-based insurance scores are numerical summaries of the credit histories of consumers. The scores are calculated using information contained in a consumer report, information such as past delinquencies, consumer debt ratios, and the length of credit. The use of credit-based insurance scores has increased rapidly during the 1990's and today credit-based insurance scores are widely used. While common sense tells you that speeding tickets, driving under the influence of drugs and alcohol, or automobile accidents should increase automobile insurance premiums, most Americans would probably be surprised to learn that late payments on credit cards can dramatically increase the premiums they pay for automobile insurance. In other words, one's credit history, not one's driving history, is likely to be determinative of the cost of one's automobile insurance. That might be the equivalent to having your driving history determine whether you get a bank loan or determine the interest rate you will pay on your bank loan. The question we need to address is whether this is fair. Today's hearing is entitled, ``Credit-based Insurance Scores: Are They Fair?'' Our objective is to shed light on the growing but often hidden use of credit information in the pricing and underwriting of insurance and to start analyzing, discussing, and determining whether that is fair or whether it even makes sense. A number of consumer and civil rights groups and some States say that it's not fair. They argue that these scores are used to raise premiums, deny coverage for new customers, and deny renewals of existing insurance policies, even in the absence of common-sense risk factors, such as moving violations or accidents. They say that the use of credit-based insurance scores disproportionately hurts young people and minorities. Some States have already enacted laws or adopted regulations that either ban or restrict the use of credit-based insurance scores. For example two of our witnesses today represent States, Hawaii and Washington, that limit or ban the consideration of credit-based insurance scores in underwriting automobile insurance. We look forward to their testimony, and I think you will find it interesting. I've reviewed, for example, the legislative history for the Washington State law and find this interesting quote in their legislative history: ``There have been hundreds of complaints filed in the OIC regarding insurance companies' use of credit scoring for use of underwriting and rate-setting purposes. For example, one woman who paid her premiums and never had an accident was told that her premiums went up because her credit rating was bad due to a period of unemployment. A woman who had her insurance premium rates increase by 46 percent, even though she paid all her premiums on time, discovered that her credit score was low due to a bankruptcy filed by her ex-husband. A couple was denied access to reasonable rates because they paid all their bills in cash, and therefore had no credit history. There are many reasons for a low credit score that do not take into account individual circumstances or creditworthiness.'' That is from the legislative history of the Washington statute. The first Federal study on credit-based insurance scores was recently released by the Federal Trade Commission. The FTC was directed under Section 215 of the Fact Act to study whether the use of credit-based insurance scores ``could result in negative or differential treatment of protected classes under the Equal Credit Opportunity Act and whether such underwriting systems could achieve comparable results through the use of factors with less negative impact.'' The FTC study grew out of a compromise between the prospect of an outright Federal ban on the use of credit-based insurance scoring, on the one hand, and doing nothing, on the other hand, and I would note that neither one of the two--both of the members who were responsible for the study are on this committee: the chairman, who orchestrated the study, and is opposed an outright ban; and Representative Gutierrez, whom I hope will show up here at some point during the course of this hearing because he is on the subcommittee. The first FTC report focused exclusively on automobile insurance, and while it concluded that credit-based insurance scores are ``effective predictors of risks,'' it also found that in three out of four lines of automobile insurance there is ``some'' proxy effect based upon race. While the FTC didn't get to this latter finding until page 69 of the report, I believe that any finding of a proxy effect, however small, should be cause for concern in this day and age. Several concerns have been raised about the reliability and validity of the FTC's report. One FTC Commissioner dissented from the report, noting disagreement with the methodology used to generate the underlying data used in the report because it relied solely on data the insurance industry voluntarily submitted and on publicly available data. The dissent suggested that the FTC could have served insurance companies with Section 6(b) orders to obtain a ``more accurate and complete dataset, which would have provided a strong foundation for staff's complex economic analysis.'' Even with perceived shortcomings of the data, the FTC report still concluded that there was some proxy effect from the use of credit-based insurance scores in three out of four lines of automobile insurance. As the dissenting Commissioner noted, the study ``still found that credit-based insurance scores have a small effect as a proxy for membership in racial and ethnic groups. Given the incompleteness of the data, it is unclear whether the actual proxy effect might be greater.'' Another Commissioner's concurring statement to the report conceived that ``the results in today's report are no cause for celebration,'' referring to the difference in credit-based insurance scores across racial and ethnic groups. In short the FTC's report, the one on automobile insurance that we are considering today, may raise more questions than it answers, especially about whether the use of credit-based insurance scoring disproportionately impacts minorities. The FTC is preparing a second report on the impact on using credit-based insurance scoring on homeowner's insurance. Given the serious concerns raised about the validity of the data for the automobile insurance report and the critical importance of the second report on homeowner's insurance, Chairman Frank, Representative Gutierrez, and I have requested the FTC to consider using its more extensive authority for the homeowner's study to obtain a large and statistically valid dataset from insurers. The FTC has advised us that this could take 2 to 3 years longer, and one of the things I'll be asking about today is whether this is likely to get a more reliable conclusion or whether it would just take 2 to 3 years more to get another study that probably would be perceived as just as unreliable. Due to the uncertain reliability of using credit-based insurance scores in setting insurance rates, we certainly must proceed with care. This hearing is the first step, certainly not the last, in the process of raising the important questions that need to be asked, and in educating ourselves, other Members of Congress, and the public about the critical importance of this issues. In the final analysis, I think it should be clear that neither the FTC report nor today's hearing should deter the States from their traditional role in regulating insurance. The fact that Hawaii and Illinois or Hawaii and Washington or Hawaii and North Carolina differ in their legislation and in their regulation of credit-based insurance scores is not necessarily a bad thing. States have historically regulated and controlled insurance, and have historically been the so-called ``legislative and regulatory laboratories for innovation.'' State insurance regulators are the best-equipped to regulate insurance credit scoring and should continue to do so, certainly until we have a better understanding of the facts and the arguments for and against whether credit-based insurance scoring is fair. I will now recognize Ranking Member Miller for an opening statement. Mr. Miller of California. Thank you very much. I think it's important to recognize right off the bat that credit-based insurance scores are just one of the tools that insurance companies use to determine rates for the people they are insuring. It is not the only tool, and we need to highlight the fact that the States make the determination whether or not they are used and applied at the State level. The Federal Government does not do that. But over the years insurers have been using credit scores as an objective underwriting factor to evaluate insurance applications, especially for automobile and homeowner insurance, as a predictor of possible future insurance claims their customers might incur. After some questioned the legitimacy of this practice and expressed concerns that the screening method was discriminating against minorities, Congress directed the Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Trade Commission, the FTC, to study the effects of credit scoring on credit and insurance markets and report their findings back to Congress. The Fed's report evaluated credit markets and the FTC examined the use of credit scoring in establishing insurance prices. The FTC has recently published a portion of their study which closely examined the effects of credit-based insurance scores on the availability and affordability of automobile insurance. Expert economists at the FTC concluded that these scores are effective predictors of claims that consumers file, and that there is no evidence of credit score discrimination against any minority group. This conclusion was reached after the Commission reviewed almost 200 public comments, researched and evaluated data collected from a wide variety of sources, consulted with community, civil rights, consumers', and housing groups, government agencies, and private companies. In fact, their conclusion was similar to results formed after the Texas Department of Insurance studied the use of credit scores to assess automobile risks. Further the FTC concluded that credit scoring is not only valid, it is actually good for consumers. This study along with many other studies indicates that credit scoring is beneficial to consumers because it is one of the most accurate ways to gauge risk and price fairly. Consumers have power over their credit scores, and credit scores are one tool insurers have to better match an individual's risk with a suitable premium, which for consumers with good credit means lower premiums. Actually the FTC concluded that scores give insurers the opportunity to offer insurance to higher-risk consumers for whom they otherwise would not be able to determine an appropriate premium. The Feds also issued a report this summer on credit, which described credit scoring as likely increasing the consistency and objectivity of credit evaluation, and thus may help diminish the possibility that credit decisions will be influenced by personal characteristics or other factors prohibited by law, including race and ethnicity. The link between credit history and loss potential has also been frequently examined by academia. These studies show that consumers under stress are more likely to have auto accidents and financial problems. Studies have found that people with poor insurance scores are more likely to engage in risky behavior, and therefore are more likely to incur financial losses. Insurance appraisers evaluate their customers and price policies to ensure that consumers less likely to incur losses are not subsidizing those who are riskier and tend to have more auto accidents. Researchers indicated that if people take care of their finances, they are likely to exercise the same amount of responsibility in other aspects of their life. While it is unclear exactly why there is a correlation between credit scores and insurance losses, the relationship is proven to exist. It has been determined that drivers with bad credit histories are more likely to have repeated accidents than those with good credit history. With years of studies and research showing that there is a clear and consistent relationship, it seems it would be irresponsible for the insurance industry to ignore the predictive power of insurance credit scoring, and consumers less likely to incur losses would ultimately pay the price. It seems to me that instead the Financial Services Committee should instead be examining ways to improve consumer credit reports through consumer finance education and the use of non-traditional credit providers, like utilities and phone companies, to report information to their customers. Once again, I think this is an appropriate hearing we're having today. We requested that these studies be prepared, and the studies were prepared. I know not everybody is going to like the results of the study, but the studies were very conclusive that using credit-based insurance scores were not discriminatory and that they were beneficial to individuals. And it was a predictor of basically the loss an insurance company might suffer, and therefore they could apply it in appropriate ways. I thank you and I yield back. Chairman Watt. I thank the gentleman. As I had previously indicated, opening statements of all members will be made a part of the record. Unless somebody's crying out to be heard, we will proceed. We have received a number of requests for submissions to the record, so let me get that dispensed with. I ask unanimous consent to submit the following written documents for the record: a copy of the House Bill Report on ESHB2544, that's Washington State's bill; the report to the legislature called ``Insurance Credit Scoring'' from the State of Washington Office of the Insurance Commissioner; a letter from Chairman Barney Frank, Representative Gutierrez, and myself to the FTC about the process that was used and the process that will be used or may be used in their follow-up study--that letter is dated August 28, 2007; a response from the Federal Trade Commission dated September 17, 2007, giving us their response to our letter; a submission from a number of consumer groups, Consumer Federation of America, Fair Housing Alliance, Consumer Union, and others, dated October 2, 2007; a submission dated October 2, 2007, from the National Conference of Insurance Legislators; a submission dated October 1, 2007, from the Hispanic Alliance for Progress Institute; and a submission dated October 2, 2007, from the American Insurance Association, the National Association of Mutual Insurance Companies, and the Property Casualty Insurance Association of America. Without objection, those documents will be submitted for the record. We will now introduce this outstanding, distinguished panel of witnesses and try to get to them to do their testimony. The first witness we will hear from is Commissioner J. Thomas Rosch, who was sworn in as a Commissioner of the FTC on January 5, 2006, to a term that expires in September of 2012. He joined the FTC from the San Francisco law firm of Latham and Watkins, where he was formerly the managing partner. Mr. Rosch has served as chair of the ABA's Antitrust Section in 1990 and chair of the California Bar Association's antitrust section, and also served as the FTC's Director of the Bureau of Consumer Protection from 1973 to 1975. And he is nationally regarded for his antitrust and trade regulation law experience, has been lead counsel in over 100 Federal and State court antitrust cases, and in 2003, was honored as antitrust lawyer of the year by the California State Bar antitrust section. He obtained his law degree from Harvard in 1965. Our second witness will be Hawaii Insurance Commissioner J. P. Schmidt. Mr. Schmidt was appointed insurance commissioner of Hawaii in 2003. Previously, he was a partner in the law firm of Crockett, Nakamura, and Schmidt in Maui. In the 1990's, he was corporation counsel for the County of Maui. Before moving to Maui in 1989, he was an officer with a Los Angeles bank in commercial lending, and he received his J.D. degree from the University of California, Davis, and a B.A. degree in philosophy from U.C.L.A. The third witness is, I realized earlier today when I was reading the bios, my classmate and former colleague in Congress. We were both elected to Congress in 1992, and he is a living example that there is life after Congress. I keep trying to figure out whether that's true or not, but I think I'm convinced of that. He is Washington Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler. Mike was elected insurance commissioner of Washington in 2000. He is also a former Member of Congress where he served on the House Energy and Commerce Committee. He served in the Washington Legislature for 16 years, focusing on issues related to healthcare and the environment. As insurance commissioner, he was instrumental in studying the effect of credit-based insurance scores on consumers, and helped win passage in 2003 of Washington's law limiting the use of credit-based insurance scores in personal lines of insurance. He earned a master's degree in public health from U.C.L.A. and a doctor of optometry from Pacific University in Oregon. He is a retired lieutenant colonel with 25 years of active and reserve service in the Army. Our fourth witness--I just want to give a special welcome to my former classmate here in Congress. Our fourth witness is Birny Birnbaum from the Center for Economic Justice. Mr. Birnbaum is a consulting economist and executive director of the Center for Economic Justice, an Austin, Texas-based non- profit that advocates on behalf of consumers on insurance, credit, and utility matters. He has been working on insurance credit scoring since 1991 as both an insurance regulator, chief economist, and associate commissioner for policy and research at the Texas Department of Insurance, and as a consumer advocate. He has testified about insurance credit scoring many times before legislatures and administrative agencies including insurance departments and public utility commissions. He has provided expert testimony in litigation related to insurance credit scoring, and he has worked extensively in auto and homeowner's insurance availability in red-lining issues and is recognized as an expert in both economic and actuarial matters related to rates and risk classification. He received his training in economics from M.I.T., where he earned a master's degree in management and urban planning. Our fifth witness is Mr. Eric Rodriguez of the National Council of La Raza. Mr. Rodriguez is deputy vice president at the National Council of La Raza, the largest national Latino civil rights organization in the United States. He helps in that capacity to supervise and coordinate core operations of the Office of Research Advocacy and Legislation, and he's responsible for providing strategic guidance for public policy, legislative, and advocacy activities related to economic mobility and economic security policy issues. This work involves coverage of a wide range of issues including Federal budget tax, banking, homeownership, and social security. He holds a B.A. degree from Sienna College in New York and a master's degree in public administration from American University in Washington, D.C. And our final witness will be Mr. Nathaniel Shapo, who is a partner in the law firm of Katten, Muchin and Rosenman's litigation and dispute practice in Chicago, Illinois. He served for 4 years as director of the Illinois Department of Insurance where he consulted with Congress and Federal bank regulators on the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Financial Services Modernization Act, and helped draft the National Association of Insurance Commissioners' statement of intent for the future of insurance regulation. He has been named as a ``renaissance regulator'' by Best Review, was chosen for Crain's Chicago Business 40 Under 40 list of newsmakers and groundbreakers, and he has been a lecturer in law and has served as a member of the visiting committee of the University of Chicago Law School. He earned his B.A. and J.D. degree with honors from the University of Chicago. We welcome each one of our witnesses. Without objection, each witness' written statement will, in its entirety, be made part of the record, and each witness will be recognized for a 5-minute summary of their testimony. Let's start, if we may, with Commissioner J. Thomas Rosch. You are recognized for 5 minutes or thereabouts. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE J. THOMAS ROSCH, COMMISSIONER, FEDERAL TRADE COMMISSION Mr. Rosch. Thank you very much, Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and distinguished members of the subcommittee. I very much appreciate this chance to speak about the Commission's report on the impact of credit-based insurance scores on consumers of car insurance. I'm afraid there's a danger here that the forest will get lost in the trees, the trees in this case being criticisms about the methodology used in compiling the Commission's report. Please don't misunderstand me. I have the greatest respect for those voicing the criticisms including those at the table, especially, however, for Commissioner Harbour, who's not only a colleague but a very close friend of mine. But I'm concerned lest the critiques obscure the report's two critical conclusions. The first conclusion is that credit-based scores do effectively predict risk under car insurance policies. That conclusion isn't affected by debates over whether the Commission should have gotten additional data bearing on that issue, whether it should have gotten that data from more insurance companies, or whether it should have used compulsory process to get the data that it got. There are two fundamental reasons why those debates don't impact that conclusion. First, the data that came from insurance companies came from companies representing more than 25 percent of the market, and those companies submitted written assurances of the information's reliability, assurances which if false would support criminal prosecution. Second, the report's conclusion in this respect wasn't just based on data that came either directly or indirectly from those insurance companies. The reliability of the data from those sources was cross-checked by performing the same analyses based on claims data obtained from ChoicePoint's CLUE database, and I'm referring now to its comprehensive loss underwriting exchange database. And beyond that, the conclusion was supported by the Texas study, whose methodology critics say should have been used by the Commission. The second critical conclusion of the report is that credit-based scores are distributed differently among racial and ethnic groups, with African-Americans and Hispanics, on average, being more likely than others to have lower scores. Accordingly, insofar as credit-based scores are used, they're likely to result in higher car insurance premiums being charged to African Americans and to Hispanics than to others. Again, that conclusion isn't affected by the current debates over methodology. The data supporting that conclusion didn't come from the insurance policies at all because they don't track the race or ethnicity of their policyholders. It was instead based on inferences about the race and ethnicity of car owners drawn from data whose sources were the Social Security Administration, the Bureau of the Census, and information from an Hispanic surname matching firm. Again, the report's conclusion was consistent with the Texas study. Nothing in the report tries to blur that second conclusion. As my colleague Commissioner Leibowitz pointed out in his concurring decision when the report was issued, this conclusion serves as a reminder of the fact that some things, even today in our society, may adversely affect racial and ethnic minorities. And as Commissioner Harbour pointed out, it underscores the importance of educating minorities about the use of credit scores in pricing insurance and the importance of avoiding borrowing practices that can adversely affect their credit scores. We at the Commission have devoted substantial resources and will continue to do so. All that said, Mr. Chairman, the Commission has carefully considered the concerns about methodology that have been raised about our automobile insurance study. A majority of the Commission, four of us, continue to believe that the methods used were sound and that the findings made and conclusions reached were supported. But I speak for all five of us in emphasizing that we believe it's important for the public to have confidence in Commission reports. To that end, in our study of the impact of credit-based scores on consumers of homeowner's insurance, the Commission intends to use our authority under Section 6(b) of the FTC act to get policy information from insurance companies. A description of our plan for the homeowner's insurance study, including the use of 6(b) orders, is set forth in our recent letter from Chairman Majoras to Chairman Frank, to you, Chairman Watt, and to Chairman Gutierrez. Thank you for your time and interest today, and I look forward to answering any questions you might have. [The prepared statement of Commissioner Rosch can be found on page 109 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you for your testimony. Commissioner Schmidt, you are recognized for 5 minutes or thereabouts. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE J.P. SCHMIDT, COMMISSIONER OF INSURANCE, STATE OF HAWAII Mr. Schmidt. Thank you, Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and committee members. Thank you for this opportunity to testify on credit-based insurance scoring, and to provide some background on why policymakers ban this practice in the 50th State. In 1987, the Hawaii Legislature amended the Hawaii Revised Statues to prohibit discriminatory practices in the pricing of automobile insurance premiums. The law applies to rating plans, ratemaking standards and underwriting standards, and bars use of race, creed, ethnic extraction, age, sex, length of driving experience, credit bureau rating, marital status, or physical handicap in the direct or indirect pricing of Hawaii's automobile insurance premiums. Then as now arguments were made that credit scoring is an accurate predictor of the number of and total cost of claims. Arguments were also proffered both for and against the promise that credit scoring results in unfair and discriminatory pricing for low-income and minority groups. In its deliberations on this issue 20 years ago, the Hawaii Legislature determined that the use of credit bureau rating reports could result in discriminatory rating practices and acted to specifically include credit bureau rating in the list of prohibited criteria. Two decades later a report to Congress by the Federal Trade Commission reports that credit-based insurance scores are distributed differently among racial and ethnic groups, and that this difference may result in higher insurance premiums, on average, that these groups pay. While it's been actuarially demonstrated that there is a correlation between an individual's credit score and the propensity for that individual to be involved in future claim activity, that relationship only provides a portion of the information needed to develop and to regulate an insurance rate regulatory system. It's essential that policymakers have the flexibility to consider any corollary effects that may result from the criteria used in the insurance classification system. A good legal regulatory system balances the various and varied factors providing appropriate consumer protection with as little government intrusion as possible. The result should be a healthy, competitive market providing fair treatment and rates to consumers. It was determined by the Hawaii Legislature that any benefits accruable to some consumers by allowing credit bureau scoring as a rating factor in automobile insurance pricing were outweighed by the potential for harm to a greater number of the State's citizens and to its economic wellbeing. In this regard the legislature's policy decision accomplished a major goal of a risk classification system to produce rates that are not unfairly discriminatory. It is essential to recognize and acknowledge that credit scoring, if allowed and given jurisdiction, will per force result in all insurers giving consideration to use of credit-based insurance scores, regardless of whether they would have opted to use the criteria on their own in order to avoid adverse selection. Another important factor to consider is that credit scoring likely may present obstacles to employers, particularly small businesses, during less than favorable economic times, which would be counter to the economic goals of the State and Nation. Small business owners may have to borrow funds during economic downturns in order to keep the business going and to keep employees on the payroll. A rating system based upon credit scores may add additional surcharges and burdens when those burdens are most potentially harmful, adding to the economic problem due to intolerable marginal cost increases associated with the purchase of insurance. Why is this State like any other? The one thing we do hold in common with our 49 sister States is our firm belief in home rule. Legislative and regulatory processes must be tailored to best fulfill the needs of a particular region, taking into consideration its demographics, business climate, and social structure. As in other areas of law, one size does not fit all in establishing a legal structure for auto insurance. This concept is embodied in the guidelines of the Actuarial Standards Board of the American Academy of Actuaries, which avoid placing undue restraints on actuarial lawmakers by not requiring a specific system of specific rating criteria while allowing the balance of numerous pertinent factors under tested actuarial guidelines. In summary, 20 years of experience has provided no evidence that Hawaii statutory exclusion related to the use of credit bureau ratings in the pricing or underwriting of insurance has diminished the efficacy of the Hawaii insurance market. The current automobile insurance environment in Hawaii is competitive and healthy. And while the argument continues over whether credit scoring discriminates unfairly against low- income and minority groups, I can assure you with 100 percent confidence that such discrimination does not exist today in the Aloha State. Thank you again for the opportunity to address this honorable body and to share with you Hawaii's approach and experience with this important insurance law policy. [The prepared statement of Mr. Schmidt can be found on page 152 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you, Commissioner, for your testimony. Commissioner Kreidler, you are recognized for approximately 5 minutes. STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE MIKE KREIDLER, COMMISSIONER OF INSURANCE, STATE OF WASHINGTON Mr. Kreidler. Thank you, Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and distinguished members of the committee. I'm here to testify on ``Credit-based Insurance Scores: Are They Fair?'' My name is Mike Kreidler. I'm the elected insurance commissioner of the State of Washington, and I serve on a number of committees nationally with my fellow regulators that deal with this particular issue. When I was first elected as insurance commissioner in the year 2001, the issue was really starting to hit full steam from the standpoint of consumers. I literally received thousands of complaints from consumers. They didn't understand what their credit history had to do with how much they paid for personal lines of insurance, like automobile insurance and homeowner's insurance. The insurance companies were using credit information very differently from one company to another, and consumers quite frankly were disgusted that they were seeing rate increases based on factors that they didn't understand or could not be explained to them. In 2002, I proposed legislation to our State legislature. I would have proposed an outright ban, but I couldn't go that far successfully so I went as far as I could to put the strongest laws into effect. And when it passed it was the strongest law that had passed up to that point as a direct result of credit scoring. Today, something like 48 States have stepped in to vary degrees of trying to put limits into effect. What we wound up doing is that we wound up saying that you couldn't cancel or non-renew a policy based on credit information. We also said that you couldn't because of the absence of credit history, the number of credit inquiries, because of medical bills, because of the impact of the initial purchase of a vehicle or a house, or the type of card--credit, debit, or charge--that you might have, or the available line-- that couldn't be used to either deny you or to be used as part of the rating for your insurance. In addition to that, we wound up saying that if the insurer wound up using bad information, they retroactively had to adjust the premiums that you had been paying under the bad information. In addition to that, we required enhanced adverse action statements, in effect saying that consumers deserved the right to know why they didn't get the best rate. All of that helped, but in my mind it still doesn't go far enough and I'm still deeply concerned about the--that it thoroughly discriminates against protected classes and the economically disadvantaged. Insurance by its very nature discriminates. If you have a teenager on your policy, you quickly realize that this discrimination takes place. Our job is to make sure that credit scoring does not unfairly discriminate and harm protected classes of people. Unfortunately--in our State we attempted to do a study, but because of the demographics and small ethnic minority populations in our State, it was inconclusive. We relied on the FTC; we hoped that the FTC would provide answers to the questions about unfair discrimination. After 3 years, we got the report that confirmed my suspicion that, in fact, there is a disparate impact on protected classes. The study indicated that African Americans and Hispanics are strongly overrepresented in the lower step, lower scores, and underrepresented in the higher scores. To me that looks like it's a pretty straightforward case, yet the FTC report reached the conclusion that credit scoring is not a proxy for race. That seems somewhat counterintuitive to me. Now, what I saw--was most disappointed in, was that there appeared to be a real disconnect in being able to explain why there was this disproportionate representation in lower credit scores and yet it was not a proxy for race. I also saw that there was incomplete data for the purposes of the study, and only a few insurers did participate and did not identify the data so that it could be appropriately verified. Should we allow credit scoring even if it may have--be a valid indicator of risk, or does it have a disparate impact on protected classes and should be banned? Insurance commissioners dealt with this issue on race-based premiums in life insurance. When it was obvious that life insurance companies used different actuarial tables for African Americans, we went in, did a multi-state examination, reached settlements with life insurance companies, and they wound up paying back the premiums that they had been charging people over the years. It was recognized as public policy and equal protection as something that we needed to do. What we're looking at right now is that if we were to ban credit scoring, what would be the net effect? Well, it just simply will wind up redistributing how much we pay. It's certainly not going to have an overall positive effect for everybody or a negative impact. It just redistributes how much you pay. We heard that in the description from what the experience has been in Hawaii, but don't be confused here. We're also starting to see multiple other factors that are starting to creep in like education and occupation along with credit scoring. It makes me, quite frankly, very nervous. In closing, let me just say I realize that probably banning credit scoring is going to be a tough proposition but there are some things you can do. Let me recommend three of them: One of them would be to restore the adverse action notices to be consistent with legislative intent in the face of the recent U.S. Supreme Court case, Safeco v. Burr. The second is to use adverse action and statements to consumers that are meaningful, much like what Washington has done in explaining why they're not getting the best rates. And third, if insurers want to use these multiple factors, insurers should have to prove that their models are not unfairly discriminatory; make them prove it if they want to use it. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. It is my pleasure to be here today. [The prepared statement of Mr. Kreidler can be found on page 79 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you so much. Maybe I'll find a life after Congress one of these days, following in your footsteps. Mr. Birnbaum, you are recognized. STATEMENT OF BIRNY BIRNBAUM, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, CENTER FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE Mr. Birnbaum. Thank you very much, Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and members of the committee. I really appreciate the opportunity to visit with you today. As you know, insurance scoring is basically the practice of insurance companies using consumers' credit histories to determine whether they're eligible for insurance, what types of coverage they're going to be offered, and what premiums they're going to pay. And basically the credit information has become one of the most important if not the most important factor that companies consider in determining what to charge you. For auto insurance, it has become more important than your driving record, in many cases. And the fact that the companies use more than one factor or they use factors in addition to credit doesn't diminish the importance of credit. Credit alone can make the difference of 100, 200, 300, or even 400 percent in a consumer's rate, so the fact that companies use multiple factors is really irrelevant. It's the impact of credit. Many organizations have called for a ban on credit scoring. They include the consumer and civil rights organizations that you mentioned earlier, but there are also agent organizations. The Allstate agents organization, State Farm agents, Farmers agents, they've all come out for a ban. The folks who would benefit from any tool that allows them to write more business are the ones who are coming out saying we want this practice banned because it's unfair. There are insurance companies who oppose it. In Massachusetts where they're talking about allowing credit scoring, there are insurance companies that want to prohibit it, including Arbella Insurance. The case for such a prohibition is actually quite strong. First of all, credit scoring undermines the core functions of insurance. It really provides disincentives for loss prevention. Instead of providing consumers with incentives to drive safely, spend $200 on a driver's safety course, it encourages people to spend $200 for a credit repair or credit checkup, things that have absolutely nothing to do with actual losses. It discriminates against low-income and minority consumers. This is pretty clear. This leads to higher rates for those consumers who are least able to afford the insurance in the first place, so it increases uninsured motorist rates, which is what the FTC study found, and of course it makes poor people into criminals because they can't comply with financial responsibility laws. It's arbitrary and unrelated to how well a consumer manages her finances. Your score can vary from good to bad depending on which bureau, which of the three credit bureaus provides the information, because the information is different. Your score can also vary from good to bad, depending on what time of the month it's taken. If it is at the end of the month, right before you pay your bill, you will have a high balance-to-limit. If it is taken a week later, you get a better score because your limits are now--your balance-to-limits is now lower. It is arbitrary because of the financial institutions that you use. If you live in a neighborhood where the financial institutions are payday loans, check-cashing operations, and rent-to-own, they don't report to credit bureaus, so you don't have information and you get charged higher rates even if you pay your utility bills and all your other bills on time. You can manipulate a credit score. There has been ample information about how you can go in and change a few things, and quickly manipulate your score. How can that be an objective measure when you can manipulate the score? It's not like your driving record; you can't manipulate whether or not you have had an accident. It's inherently unfair because it victimizes people who have experienced economic or medical catastrophes. Look at the people who were the victims of Hurricane Katrina--who but an insurance company actuary would say that it's fair to charge people who have been displaced from their homes higher auto and homeowner insurance rates because they're under financial stress? I don't know of anyone. Think about how this practice penalizes people for the business decisions of lenders. Let's put aside the fact that companies issue 6 billion credit card solicitations a year, throwing credit at people. Look at the abuses in the student credit card market, look at the abuses in the subprime market. Why should those consumers be penalized with higher auto and homeowner's insurance rates because of the faulty business decisions of lenders? The insurance industry offers a variety of claims about how credit scoring benefits consumers. These are all illusory. There is no substance to any of these claims. It all comes down to if we can predict risks better then we can do a better job. There is however strong evidence that credit scoring is in fact not correlated to risk, that it's a proxy for some other factor that's really at play. For example, over the last 10 years we have seen an explosion in the number of bankruptcies, delinquencies and debt load. These are all things that are supposed to have great weight in a credit score and yet, while these things are going up, auto claim frequency is going down. So how can that be? If all of a sudden the number of young people in the population doubled, youthful drivers doubled, you can be sure there'd be an increase in claims. How is it that this increase in the number of bad credit risks doesn't yield an increase in claims? The FTC didn't even address stuff like that. So there's plenty of other evidence, but I'm going to just finish up quickly by saying the FTC study is really flawed. And not only that, it's unresponsive to what you asked for. The failure to obtain a comprehensive data set rendered the study really meaningless. There's no application data in it. It's only data on policies that were issued, which means that all of the people who were denied coverage because of credit, all the people who were priced out of the market because of credit dropped out. And we know that portion of the population is disproportionately poor and minority. So the impact that they did find, the impact on poor minority consumers, was dramatically understated from the reality of the marketplace. The study was flawed because it turned on a theory that more accurate pricing would result in more availability into a conclusion, despite the fact that their own findings disputed that. They found that the number of uninsured motorists increased. They found that the number of people denied coverage and ending up in the assigned risk market increased. How do you basically say that supports the conclusion that credit scoring promotes availability? The most disturbing part of it was the failure to address this ``blaming the victim'' mentality, that somehow people who have bad credit scores are really just--they just don't manage their credit well, and if they don't manage their credit, they can't manage their auto risk. The fact of the matter is, and Fair Isaac, the credit modeler has stated that 20 percent of the population is unscorable using traditional credit information. There's not enough information in the credit report. That 20 percent is disproportionately poor and minority. How can you say that those people whose information is insufficient in the files, how can you say that those people are at fault? Let me finish up by saying that there is really no need to further study this issue. There is ample information to justify a prohibition, but if you do want to study this, our view is that the FTC has really demonstrated that it is incapable of doing this without bias and if you want a study you should ask the GAO to do it and get the active participation of State insurance regulators who have the clear authority to demand and collect the information from insurance companies. We think that these are the folks who really are in the business of regulating credit scoring and they should be the ones who have a much more active role than they do. I'm happy to answer questions and thank you again for the opportunity to visit on this issue. [The prepared statement of Mr. Birnbaum can be found on page 47 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you for your testimony. Mr. Rodriguez, you are recognized for your statement. STATEMENT OF ERIC RODRIGUEZ, DEPUTY VICE PRESIDENT, NATIONAL COUNCIL OF LaRAZA Mr. Rodriguez. Thank you, Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and distinguished members of the committee. For over a decade I have supported, led, and directed the National Council of LaRaza's legislative and advocacy activities on economic and financial security issues. In that time we have studied closely the staggering rates and ethnic wealth gap among American households and we have come to understand how policies and practices within financial markets perpetuate exploitation and unfairly distribute wealth opportunity among families. Disparity in overall wealth between Hispanic and non-Hispanic white households is greater than ten to one. More Latinos today own cars than own homes; about 80 percent of Latino households report owning at least one car, but only half of Latino households own their own homes. Unfair practices in the auto industry stand to have a widespread impact on the Latino community. Research also shows that Latinos tend to pay more than necessary to finance their car. One study found that regardless of creditworthiness, Latino borrowers paid on average $266 more in finance costs per loan than non-Hispanic borrowers. In addition, there is a well-documented history of redlining and race-ethnic discrimination in the insurance industry. Altogether, whether negotiating the price of a car or arranging financing or securing insurance, Latinos are paying more than their white peers, and the experience of Latinos in the car market mirrors their experience in U.S. credit markets more broadly. In some cases uneven and unfair treatment is a reflection of outright discrimination, but in many cases it is the application of policies and practices in financial markets that produce unfair results. Approximately 35 million to 54 million Americans remain outside the credit system. In other research, about 18 million credit eligible Americans had credit files too thin to score and another 17 million had no files. The problem of thin and no-credit files is particularly acute among immigrants and youth. As a result, one study found that 22 percent of Hispanic borrowers had no credit score, compared to 4 percent of whites and 3 percent of African Americans. Latinos have thin credit files for a number of important reasons. A substantial share are unbanked. More than a third of Hispanics lack a basic checking and savings account. Credit scoring models weigh heavily length of credit history. Meanwhile about 45 percent of Latino adults in the U.S. are foreign born. Also more than half of Hispanics, either native or foreign born, are under the age of 27. Latinos are also less likely than their peers to use credit cards. Only 56 percent of Latino households report having a credit card, compared to 80 percent of all households. Despite this, the FTC report on credit-based insurance scores reported a small share of the overall population with no credit scores. More incredibly, the FTC study found that it was more difficult to find credit reports for African Americans than Latinos. According to the study, credit reports could not be located for 9.2 percent of the Hispanic population compared to 9.7 percent of African Americans and 7.8 percent of non- Hispanic whites. These data are counterintuitive and should have given the FTC some pause. Instead, the report concluded that not having a credit score was unlikely to be an important source of difference in auto insurance premiums among race and ethnic groups. That said, the study did find that consumers for whom scores were not available appeared riskier when scores were used than when scores were not. In this case, no credit report automatically resulted in a high-risk designation within insurance scoring models. This finding, coupled with the results of the Federal Reserve study on credit scoring, documents the problem for Latinos. The Federal Reserve confirmed that foreign-born consumers consistently performed better than predicted by their credit scores. As the studies revealed, credit scoring adversely, unfairly, and disproportionately impacts those who are young and foreign born, a substantial share of the overall Latino population. So what can we do about this? Hispanics have experienced a long history of exploitation and discrimination at the hands of insurance agents and companies. This is how insurance redlining emerged as the major civil rights issue. Insurance scoring does have the benefit of removing a measure of discretion that in the past resulted in outright discrimination against Latinos, however credit-based insurance scoring models undeniably result in Latinos and African Americans paying more for insurance than their white peers. That alone ought to raise caution flags for industry, regulators, and policymakers. The use of credit information in insurance scoring models is now ubiquitous. Many States have taken steps to address public concerns about this development, but State policy is inconsistent. Unquestionably there should be a prohibition against using credit information for those consumers who have no credit score or thin credit files. Other recommendations worth considering include the following: improve consumer information; improve transparency; improve oversight; and encourage voluntary improvements in credit scoring models. Of course, we have lots of ideas on how to do that well and we hope to share those with others moving forward. We thank you again and look forward to your questions. [The prepared statement of Mr. Rodriguez can be found on page 101 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you so much for your testimony. Mr. Shapo, our final witness, is recognized for his statement. STATEMENT OF NATHANIEL SHAPO, PARTNER, KATTEN MUCHIN ROSENMAN, LLP Mr. Shapo. Chairman Watt, Ranking Member Miller, and members of the subcommittee, it is good to see you again. Thank you for the opportunity to appear before you regarding the use of credit-based insurance scoring. The FTC study verifies that by using credit-based insurance scoring automobile insurers are more precisely evaluating and classifying risks. As a result, consumers are grouped and paying premiums according to their likelihood of incurring a claim against the common fund. The study also quells fears that credit-based insurance scoring is a proxy for racial or ethnic discrimination. The results of the FTC study thus demonstrate that credit-based insurance scoring achieves a basic norm of fairness found in the state of unfair discrimination laws. It is a wholly legal and appropriate method of risk classification. Before further discussing the study, it is worth discussing the prevailing legal and policy framework in the States pertaining to risk classification, in order to apply the standards and mandates under which automobile insurers have been instructed to go about their business by the insurance codes. As explained by Maryland's highest court, ``unfair discrimination, as the term is employed by the insurance code, means discrimination among insurers of the same class based upon something other than actuarial risk.'' Unfair discrimination as explained by a New York court recently ``is a word of art,'' used in the field of insurance, which in a broad sense means the offering for sale to customers in a given market segment identical or similar products that differ in probable cost. Insurance risk classification schemes by necessity group people by their shared characteristics, be it age, gender, driving record, scholastic achievement, or credit-based insurance scores. Some grouping methods have been found by insurers and regulators to serve as actuarially significant factors in predicting a person's risk of future loss. Thus, the unfair discrimination laws focus on whether a risk classification standard factor is actuarially sound. In addition to the basic unfair discrimination standard, the State insurance codes prohibit using a protected class such as race, national origin, or religion as a classification factor regardless of its actuarial use. The courts have explained very plainly that the law's focus on grouping consumers by actuarial risk establishes a basic norm of fairness. The Massachusetts Supreme Court crisply explained the consumer benefits, ``the intended result of the process is that persons of substantially the same risk will be grouped together, paying the same premium, and will not be subsidizing insurers who present a significantly greater actuarial hazard.'' The Florida Appellate Court put it another way, approvingly citing an administrative law judge's holding that ``the most equitable classification factors are those that are the most actuarially sound.'' They did settle on a case supporting the use of the classification factors of gender, marital status, and scholastic achievement. In Louisiana Appellate Court, a decision supporting the use of age and gender boiled down the legal issues in a very practical way that is worth quoting at length: ``The evidence taken by the commissioner indicates that there exists a sound statistical basis for using classifications based on age and sex in fixing insurance rates. It further appears that any classification system which results in different classes paying different rates for the same protection is, to some extent, discriminatory. ``If, for instance, age and sex are not used as factors in establishing classifications in automobile insurance rates, women and all those over 24 years of age, or about 70 percent of drivers, would pay a higher premium, all those under 25 years of age, about one-forth of drivers, would pay substantially less than what they are now paying. The older and more experienced drivers would therefore be discriminated against by having to subsidize the higher risk class of younger drivers.'' The court continued explaining that the unfair discrimination statute requires that the classifications used in establishing rates be reasonable and not unfairly discriminatory. We agree with the trial judge that classifications based on age and sex are not unreasonable. In other words, although there is discrimination against the good young driver it is not unfair or unreasonable. This well-reasoned opinion puts in very practical terms the reason that the law requires insurers to group consumers based on actuarial risk and why the law encourages insurers to seek out better predictors of risk of future loss. That's because it leads to a fair result. Consumers put into the common fund in the form of premiums, in an amount proportional to what they are expected to take out in the form of claims. As explained by the courts, any and all risk classification methods result in some members of an actuarially riskier class paying more than they really will be responsible. For instance, there are many teenage drivers who are, in fact, very safe, but they and/or their parents must pay more than older drivers and more than would be called for if we could chiefly evaluate every person's individual driving skills. But insurers cannot perform a comprehensive and accurate individualized test of each driver without incurring prohibitive costs, so they classify risks according to groups so long as they are not protected classes such as race, national origin or religion. The social benefits of actuarially sound risk classification, as explained by the courts are, according to the FTC study, furthered by the use of credit-based insurance scoring. In fact, the conclusions of the study precisely tracked the explanations at the Louisiana court and others regarding the basic fairness of actuarially sound risk classification. The study states that credit-based insurance scores are effective predictors of risk under automobile policy, predictive of the number of claims consumers file and the total cost of those claims. The use of scores is therefore likely to make the price of insurance better match the risk of loss posed by the consumer. Applying the well-established law and prevailing public policy discussed above, the findings of the FTC study precisely established that the use of credit-based insurance scoring is a legal, appropriate, and fundamentally fair risk-classification method by automobile insurers. The study further found that credit-based insurance scoring has a benign affect on minorities when compared with other established risk-classification methods: ``Several other variables in the FTC database have a proportional proxy effect that is similar in magnitude to the small proxy effect associated with credit-based insurance scores.'' This mirrors the result of the legislatively mandated study performed in Texas by former commissioner Jose Montemayor. Commissioner Montemayor told the commissioner and the legislature, ``Prior to the study, my initial suspicions were that while there may be a correlation to risk, credit scoring's value in pricing and underwriting risk was superficial, supported by the strength of other risk variables; the study however did not support those initial suspicions; credit scoring, if continued, is not unfairly discriminatory as defined in current law because credit scoring is not based on race, nor is it a precise indicator of one's race.'' And the recent Federal Reserve study in a non-insurance context gives further comfort regarding concerns about credit scores and demographic effects. In summary, credit-based insurance scores are an excellent predictor of future risk, consistent with and indeed a manifestation of the legal and policy framework under which insurers function as a regulated entity, a fair, legal, and appropriate method risk classification and as a result beneficial to consumers. Mr. Chairman, I see that my time is up, and I would again like to extend my sincere thanks for the opportunity and privilege to appear before you. [The prepared statement of Mr. Shapo can be found on page 155 of the appendix.] Chairman Watt. Thank you so much. Let me just thank all of the witnesses for laying out this issue and kind of setting the framework. Regardless of how you approach it, we need to have this discussion, and it is an extremely important discussion, and I don't think we could have had a better panel of witnesses to kind of put out the issues and start our evaluation and discussion. I'm going to recognize each of the members of the subcommittee for questions in 5-minute blocks, and I will recognize myself for 5 minutes initially. And I want to get right to the bottom of this. I was struck by Commissioner Rosch's testimony that we need to educate minorities more about how to have better credit or how to get their credit scores up. And I guess my question is, if I got my credit score up, would that make me a better driver? Mr. Rosch. I think the answer to that is that the Commission's report takes absolutely no position whatever with respect to that, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Watt. So if there's not a correlation between my driving, which is what automobile insurance is about, I guess, isn't it? Is that what automobile insurance is about? Mr. Rosch. Well, it's about that, but it's also about things such as the frequency of claims. I mean I guess it can be said that there's certainly a logic-- Mr. Watt. But is the frequency of claims related to driving history? Mr. Rosch. Very definitely it's related to it, but there's not, as we would put it, a proxy effect involved there. Let me make it clear that what we're talking about here in our report are averages. We're not talking about your particular rates. We're not talking about mine. Mr. Watt. I understand that, but it strikes me as being--I mean I don't think you'll find a stronger supporter of the need for credit education and improving credit histories and credit scores. I think the problem I'm having is what in the world does that have to do with the insurance rates that I pay? And maybe I ought to ask the question this way. Is there some statistical--has there been a determination that African American drivers are worse drivers than white drivers? Mr. Rosch. No, there has not. There has not, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Watt. All right. I'm just trying to get this on the record so that we make sure that is the base that I'm operating from. And if that is not the case, I don't know how--what the justification is for basing--if you know that disproportionately African-Americans and Hispanics have lower credit scores, and you know that there's no correlation between race and safe driving, is there something else I need to know? Mr. Rosch. Well, let me make it clear what the Commission's report said and what it did not say, if I may, Mr. Chairman, because this really cuts right to the heart of your question. Chairman Watt. I'm trying to get to the heart of it. Mr. Rosch. The Commission's report took definitive positions only with respect to those matters which we felt were completely established beyond peradventure by the statistical analyses that were done. We interpreted your mandate that way, and those statistical analyses show that there was unquestionably a relationship, a correlation between credit scores on the one hand and the frequency of claims on the other hand. Chairman Watt. Okay. Mr. Rosch. No, just to finish up on this if I may, Mr. Chairman, we took no position on why that existed because we did not have a statistical basis for taking a position. Chairman Watt. Okay. That's fair. Let me ask two other questions quickly because my red light is going to come on, and I try to apply the same rules to myself even more vigorously than I apply them to the other members. I take it, Commissioner, that what you are saying is even if you take 2 more years or 3 more years to study this issue, the public may deem what you say as more--as having gone through a more methodical process. I guess the question I'm asking is would the end justify the means? Would we have anything better at the end of that 2 or 3 years than we have now based on the way you did this study? Mr. Rosch. The answer, I think, in all fairness, Mr. Chairman, is I don't know. We set forth in our letter to you and to Chairman Gutierrez and to Chairman Frank what we intended to do in terms of compulsory process the next time around. We also intend to get from consumer groups like that represented by Mr. Birnbaum, from LaRaza, from the insurance commissioners, their input-- Chairman Watt. I understand all that, but I guess one of the concerns I have is that we may be pressing you into a process that you don't think is going to yield a better result, and it might look better to the public that you went through that process, but if the result is no better and no more reliable in your estimation, I guess I'm beginning to have second thoughts about whether we ought to be pushing you to do a study using a process that you can't verify to me is going to have a better--more reliable, not better, because we're just trying to get to the bottom of this; a more reliable conclusion to it. Mr. Rosch. Well, I think that's a perfectly legitimate question, Mr. Chairman. That is a decision for this committee and this Congress to make. I cannot sit here and tell you right now that the conclusions, the basic conclusion particularly that I described in my opening statement, with respect to homeowner's insurance, is going to be one bit different as a result of the use of compulsory process or the input that we receive in the future from these groups. Chairman Watt. I'm not worried about whether it's different or not. I'm worried about whether it would be more reliable. We're not looking to program the result, but we ought to be able to say at the end of the day that the study is reliable. And the question I asked you didn't have to do with whether you were going to change the result or not. The result might be exactly the same, but I don't want to do 2 or 3 years waiting for a study that's not going to be perceived as being any more reliable than the study you've already done in a much, much, much shorter and less extensive period of time. Mr. Rosch. I think that's a perfectly legitimate issue. All I'm trying to say, Mr. Chairman, is that as matters now stand a majority of our Commission feels that the data that we got, the data that we used for the current study was reliable. However, we are going to use compulsory process this next time to get the same kinds of data. The problem is that I can't sit here and tell you right now that the quality of that data is going to be any more reliable than that which we got the last time. I'm sorry. I misunderstood your prior question. Chairman Watt. All right. Let me ask, just because we are in this line of questioning and I want to be clear, would you, in the absence of the letter that Chairman Frank, Representative Gutierrez and I wrote to you, would you have used 6(b) process or would you have used the same process? Mr. Rosch. Frankly, I think that I would have voted to use 6(b) process, and I can tell you why I would have voted to use 6(b) process is that even apart from this committee's letter to the chairman questions have been raised about our lack of compulsory process this time around. As I said in my opening statement, we at the Commission feel that having the public have confidence in the way that we prepare our report is exceedingly important to us. Whether or not that's worth the time, the extra time it will take, is a matter for your-- Chairman Watt. My time has expired. I'll come back to this on the second round. The ranking member is recognized, and I'll be as generous with his time as I was-- Mr. Miller of California. Thank you. Years ago my attorney advised me not to ask a question that I wasn't sure I was going to get the right answer for because you might not hear what you expected to hear, and I think that kind of happened here with the FTC study. I mean when I read in the study, the data shows that drivers--I wasn't referring to you, I was referring to years ago. Chairman Watt. I did want to clarify that the two people who orchestrated this aren't even here today. You and I are just kind of innocent bystanders. Mr. Miller of California. But a question was asked and you based your answer on all of the available data that existed. Instead of what you believed, or what you heard, or what you suspected, you went to the insurance industry and then you verified that the information you got was genuine and real. And when the data comes back and says drivers with bad credit histories are more likely to have repeated accidents than those with good credit history, I don't know why gravity is there either, but it is. And the data that's in the marketplace today shows this to be accurate. I don't know why it's accurate, but it's accurate. And they went on to say that credit scores are the most objective method of determining insurance premiums and may help diminish the possibility that credit decisions will be influenced by personal characteristics or other factors prohibited by law such as race and ethnicity, which--I agree, you should not look at the individual, how they appear to you, and charge the rates based on that, nor the color of their skin or because I'm from Arkansas. I mean I shouldn't be discriminated against because I'm from Arkansas. So those are given. But the conclusion came back very consistent in all the reports, Texas, the Fed, and the FTC. And Mr. Shapo, I guess I'd like to ask you this question because you didn't prepare the reports, but when you look at the FTC release on their position that came forward in July and you look at what the Fed's recent studies said and you combine that with one that wasn't taken into consideration in the Texas study, what does the fact that these entirely different studies reached very similar conclusions tell you about the criticism level against the studies? Mr. Shapo. I think the studies are consistent, two of them specific to insurance and one of them, the Fed study, with respect to credit and its potential proxy effects. I think they clearly demonstrate that the use of credit-based insurance scoring correlates precisely with prevailing notions under both the law and public policy of what insurers are supposed to be doing. They're supposed to be using risk classification methods and they're mandated to use risk classification methods that correlate the amount of money, that correlate premiums, the amount of money put into the common fund, with claims, the amount of money taken out of the common fund. And this is a manifestation of the instructions insurers have been given under the insurance code for years. Mr. Miller of California. Mr. Rosch, you--preparing your conclusion in the study, you took this data and you verified that it was correct as you objectively could, is that not correct? Mr. Rosch. Well, what we did do is that we tried to determine, first of all, whether there was a correlation between credit scoring on the one hand and the frequency of claims on the other hand. And we did find that relationship. There was no question about that. However, the whys of that-- Mr. Miller of California. That's my problem because I don't know why either. Mr. Rosch. I don't know why, and we took no position on that, Congressman, because we couldn't. We gave you the explanations that have been proffered by various people. Mr. Miller of California. And I appreciate that. I understand the difficulty you have. When--I've read your information in the reports. I don't know why either. But if something does what it does, it does it. And they're using a method to determine that would be most fair. I guess the problem that I had on Mr. Kreidler--not the problem but the one point that I picked up on that I thought was important, you said that banning the use of this would redistribute how we pay insurance premiums, and that's scary to me, because if credit scores have proven to be accurate--we don't know why; if you have bad credit or good credit, your driving record is based on that, accordingly if you have bad, you have a bad record, if you have a good score you tend to have a good record, I would hate to have that banned and everybody to start subsidizing people who have bad driving records because we don't want to accept it. But I guess the one question I had for Mr. Kreidler, and this is probably a stupid question, but do you think credit scores discriminate? Mr. Kreidler. I think insurance credit scores-- Mr. Miller of California. No, I'm saying credit scores because all the insurance companies are doing is using a credit score. You either pay your bills or you don't pay your bills. If there is some flaw in the credit score, you can have that corrected. I mean if somebody--I had a situation where somebody with my name in a different city didn't pay his bills. He happened to be a contractor 2 years ago, and I got my credit score back and I had this off rating, and I started looking at all the payments that were not made were not paid by this other jerk named Gary Miller. Mr. Kreidler. I think it's an underwriting tool. I think that credit scoring, credit scores are obviously going to discriminate. I think the real question, though, is does it do it fairly. Mr. Miller of California. But the question is do credit scores discriminate in and of themselves. Mr. Kreidler. In and of themselves? No, I think they're-- Mr. Miller of California. Okay. Now back to Mr. Shapo. Could you explain how the insurance industry cooperated with the FTC in order to ensure that the data submitted for the study was accurate and reliable? Mr. Shapo. As Commissioner Rosch said, several carriers representing at least a quarter of the market provided data and submitted it with affirmations that would have subjected them to criminal penalties if the data was false or misleading. Mr. Miller of California. Mr. Rosch, you also said in your comments that the credit-based insurance scores are useful for predicting which individuals are more likely to file an automotive insurance claim versus those who don't. But does the inconclusive result indicate that the study is flawed in any way? Mr. Rosch. I don't believe that's the case. Mr. Miller of California. So you think even though you don't know why it occurs, it occurs? Mr. Rosch. Correct. Mr. Miller of California. And, former Congressman, I can tell why you decided to go to work in Washington State. I was in the San Juans Islands about a month ago; I'd go there too. So you made a good choice. Mr. Schmidt, from the State of Hawaii, I don't understand why you're here at all. I'd rather hang in Hawaii any day than here. But you note that a one-size-fits-all structure for setting automobile premiums likely wouldn't work, and that Hawaii is an especially unique State. Wouldn't the Federal banning be highly restrictive on credit scores and wouldn't that override the home rule concept you believe in? Mr. Schmidt. Yes, and I think it should be left up to the individual States to deal with that particular issue. Mr. Miller of California. Well, I'm going to yield back. I know you'd be kind, but I have two more gentlemen to ask questions, so I want to yield back. Chairman Watt. I appreciate it. We'll do a second round, but it is fair to them, to the other members, to allow them to go ahead in case they have other commitments. Mr. Roskam is now recognized for his questioning. Mr. Roskam. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. First of all, to all six of you witnesses, I appreciate your taking the time to give us the benefit of your wisdom today, and I found it to be helpful and instructive. I guess, Commissioner, you're here in a sense because I think you're experiencing the same experience I had as a schoolboy, not to compare your work with my essays as a kid, but what I would do occasionally, and I would sense that others in this room have done the same thing, is you write an essay, and it's before that it's actually time to submit the essay and you go to the teacher and you say, hey, could you look at this? And the teacher will come back and say, hmm. Well, I think you need another paragraph here, and your conclusion isn't very good, and, you know, your margins aren't very well, and then you go back to your desk and you rewrite the essay and you submit it again and you get an A, lo and behold, because you're giving the right answers. And my sense is that there's a little bit of a subtext of the answers that you came up with on the first draft aren't necessarily the answers that everybody was looking for. So, hang in there with whatever version or incarnation of a study you come up with in the future. But I appreciate your evaluating the data, you know, under the mandate that you had, and you're calling balls and strikes the way you see them, and I know it tends to be sort of charged up area. But I appreciate your integrity in looking at those things. Commissioner Schmidt, when I was listening to your testimony it seems like your experience is actually very limited in that Hawaii--unless you have other professional experience that I'm not aware of--but since Hawaii banned credit scoring in the late 1980's, you don't have the same level of experience as a regulator that other States do that have dealt with it. So your testimony was conclusionary, but it was anecdotal based on your observations and not on your actual experience. Former Member Kreidler, my pen came out at the same moment that Mr. Miller's pen came out with your observation that to ban credit scoring will redistribute what you pay. And that is--that's part of really what's driving this coverage, isn't it? It is who pays what and how do we move forward? You know, you shared with us your experience in Washington, and your particular vantage point as an elected commissioner, which has different types of pressures than Mr. Shapo experienced in Illinois as an appointed commissioner. But I think that there's going to be sort of more said, and you'll find yourself quoted in absentia from time to time based on that observation. And I appreciate that, because it was--I think it was a forthright thing to say that once you change these models, once you take tools away and put different things in, people are going to pay differently, and I think that is something that this committee needs to be aware of. Mr. Birnbaum, when you said that credit scoring is a proxy, it sounded a little conspiratorial for me, and I'd love to have a conversation with you, maybe offline, to learn more about where you think the helicopters are coming over the hilltop. But I do seriously want to learn what you think the proxy battle is actually all about. But what I heard you and Mr. Rodriguez saying, and I think that this is maybe an area to work on, is this notion of people having thin files--I think that was the term of art that you used--but not enough information from a credit point of view, and those people would be left behind. And that's an area, I think a common ground, that if there is going to be credit scoring, there has to be an ability to, you know, include those things that some groups are using, phone bills, utility bills, and those types of things. And I think that's an area that we may all be able to come together in and focus in on. Mr. Shapo is the former director, clear thinking, good clear thinking from the land of Lincoln, and it was good to see you. Thank you. And with that, I yield back the balance of my time. Chairman Watt. I thank the gentleman. Mr. Price. Mr. Price. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. And I want to thank you and the ranking member for holding this hearing and I thank all the witnesses for their testimony. I am curious about the comments being made that we find a report, but we want a better result. My statistics professor in college would chuckle at the thought that you could look at numbers and statistics and come up with a conclusion that was based upon those numbers and those statistics and then want a better result. It's a little perplexing to me. I think one can indeed ask for a more reliable result. But what I heard, Commissioner, you say, is that you felt that given the parameters of the charge put to you, that you feel that the conclusions that the Commission drew are in fact reliable and that there was a majority of the Commissioners who felt that. Isn't that correct? Mr. Rosch. That's correct. Mr. Price. And I think it's also important for us to appreciate that there may be no correlation whatsoever between credit scores and driving acumen, but I understand you to say and I understand your conclusion to be that there is a correlation between credit score and making a claim. That's a distinction that you draw. Is that accurate? Mr. Rosch. That's correct. Actually, the frequency of claims, Congressman. Mr. Price. So--I'm reminded of my father, who loathes insurance, but when he took it out, vowed never to file a claim because he didn't want his insurance to go up. So his insurance never went up and he probably paid more out of pocket than he would have otherwise, but be that as it may. Commissioner, I also was interested in your comment that you, at that point when you recognized or when you'd reached the conclusion, given the charge that was given to you, that you said, ``We didn't go any further because we didn't have a statistical basis to do so.'' Would you elaborate on that and why some may be troubled that the answer to their desired question wasn't given? Mr. Rosch. Yes. What we tried to do, and this is based on our understanding of our mandate, was that we gave you firm conclusions where we thought we could do so based upon the data that we had and the statistical analyses that we had. Otherwise, all we did was to report to you what others had said about the various matters that are covered in the report. For example, whether or not there are benefits to society as a whole in having this relationship between credit scoring, on the one hand, and claims frequency on the other. We took no position on that because we had no hard data to support any position on that. Secondly, we took no position on whether or not there was a relationship between credit scores on the one hand and whether or not African Americans or Hispanics were poor drivers on the other hand. We reported to you the various speculations with respect to why this correlation existed so that you could make up your own minds based upon that data. But we had no--and the report is quite specific about this--we had no hard data to support a conclusion on that. And consequently, we did not take a position with respect to it. So there are very definite limitations on our report to you, but that's as a result of how we understood our mandate. Mr. Price. I appreciate that, and I found the report to be factual and objective in the findings. And so I appreciate that. I want to, in the brief time I have left, address the issue of the dissent in the Commission's report. The dissenting opinion was that there was never provided in the Commission with written verification of the accuracy, authenticity, or representativeness of the data that was furnished. You alluded to this in that you said you would--you I think preferred to use 6(b) data if you were given the opportunity, or if you had that to do over again. Do you believe this comment, though, in the dissenting opinion to be a valid criticism? Mr. Rosch. I would always prefer--I will tell you as a Commissioner, I always prefer--maybe this is my training as a lawyer, but I would always prefer compulsory process to any kind of voluntary production. In this particular case, however, we, number one, we did receive written assurances from the insurance companies from whom the data came that the--as to how the data was gathered, and that it was accurate. And that is subject to criminal penalties. Number two, the data that we received was actual policy data. It would be hard to fiddle with that data if one were an insurance company or one were trying to interpret it. Number three, the most critical elements of this study were not based exclusively on the data that we got from the insurance companies. The data that we got with respect to the frequency of claims came instead mainly from Choicepoint's comprehensive loss underwriting database, which is an independent credit-scoring agency. It is not an insurance company. And number two, the data that we got with respect to ethnicity and race came not from the insurance companies, because they don't have that data, but rather from the Social Security Administration and the Census Bureau, as well as from the Hispanic surname matching service that I alluded to. So there were cross-checks. Mr. Price. Thank you. I appreciate it. I think that demonstrates the authenticity and the accuracy of the information. I want to thank the chairman again. I'm going to have to run, but I appreciate that. I am heartened by your comments that you continue to believe that insurance regulation ought to be left at the State level, and I'm pleased to hear that. Chairman Watt. I don't think you've ever heard me express a different opinion, Mr. Price. Much to the dismay of all of the folks who are looking for an optional Federal charter. Mr. Miller of California. Except me. I think the optional Federal charter is a good option. [Laughter] Chairman Watt. See. This is not States' rights. This is a States' rights Democrat versus a raving liberal over here who wants to federalize everything. [Laughter] Chairman Watt. Let me--I appreciate you coming, and you're welcome to stay. We're going to go another round, just because I have some more questions. And probably even at the end of that round, I won't have exhausted all my questions. One of the great things I've found about being a Member of Congress that I didn't find about the practice of law was that when I was practicing law, I'd never ask a question I didn't know the answer to already, because you had to live with the consequences. I'm not interested in programming the outcome of the responses that I get, so this is just about making public policy now and getting honest assessments. I noticed, Mr. Rosch, that you've been very careful to talk about the frequency of claims. And maybe that's a term of art that translates into some other things. I'm interested in knowing whether the frequency of claims has a correlation between dollar amounts, payment of claims, the amounts paid. Is that all included in frequency of claims, or is it just the-- what is included in frequency of claims? Mr. Rosch. Frequency of claims does translate into higher premium--I'm sorry--total claims paid out. Chairman Watt. Okay. So it is inclusive of more than just the rate at which claims are filed? Mr. Rosch. That's correct. But I wanted-- Chairman Watt. That's fine. That's not a trick question. Mr. Rosch. No, no. I understand. Chairman Watt. I am just trying to understand. You said that your analysis was limited to policy data. What do you say in response to Mr. Birnbaum's concern that one of the shortcomings of the analysis was that it didn't deal with denials, which probably, possibly would be disproportionately even greater racially disparate? Mr. Rosch. That I think is speculation at this point, Mr. Chairman. Let me make-- Chairman Watt. But does--maybe I asked the question the wrong way. Does the data you used have the denials in it? Mr. Rosch. It does not have application data. And let me tell you why, if I may. Chairman Watt. Well, I-- Mr. Rosch. Let me tell you why. Chairman Watt. Okay. Mr. Rosch. Because it really bears directly on whether or not the whole study was reliable. The first reason why is because insurance companies by and large do not keep application data. And what that meant back in 2001-- Chairman Watt. I actually would be more interested in finding out whether you think that would be a relevant--I'm satisfied that your information doesn't include denials. And I'm satisfied that there are probably reasons why that is the case, very good reasons. Would denial information be an important factor to take into account? Mr. Rosch. If we could get it, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Watt. Yes. Okay. That's-- Mr. Rosch. But the McCarran-Ferguson Act is--currently is as much a constraint on the Commission as it is on the Congress. Chairman Watt. Okay. I understand, Mr. Rosch. I'm not being hard on the FTC. Mr. Rosch. No, I understand. Chairman Watt. These questions are not aimed at discrediting what the FTC has done. I'm just trying to get the bottom of this really. I don't understand how you can take something that appears to me to be unrelated. It's just common sense to me. And even if there were a correlation, I'm not sure I would be convinced that it would be appropriate to use something that correlated with race that had a disproportionate racial content. We outlawed it in the life insurance context. There's certainly a whole wealth of information, body of information that black people live shorter lives than white people, and we said, you just can't--I mean, you can't do that in setting insurance rates, because you have to do it on a gross basis. So, even if there is a correlation, I'm not sure I'd buy the notion that we ought be doing this. Mr. Rosch. Please, please don't take this report as suggesting-- Chairman Watt. Okay. Mr. Rosch. --that we disagree with that one iota. Chairman Watt. All right. And I've heard you say that over and over again. I guess I have that bias coming in whether your study is reliable or not, and at some level I guess that's why I'm questioning whether we even need another study because it seems to me that if there is a proxy effect, even though statistically what you say is there's a reliable predictor of risk, I'm not sure if it's a fair predictor of how insurance rates ought to be set, I guess is the concern I have. What do you have to say about that, Mr. Kreidler? You all obviously decided regardless of what the circumstances were, that this didn't--well, let me ask a different question. What are the insurance companies in Hawaii and Washington State using if they are not using credit-based scoring? Mr. Kreidler. Mr. Chairman-- Chairman Watt. And what impact does that have on your rate setting, which might be a better way to get to the bottom of this? Mr. Kreidler. Well, as you pointed out, you know, Hawaii wound up with effectively banning it for auto whereas we're in a position that we've limited what you can use. The net effect is, is that I think we've done a better job of limiting the adverse impacts of credit scoring. Nobody has said it's not a predictor. What we're saying is, is it fair? I mean, I think your example of life insurance, we dealt with it, but there's also the issue related to lenders and redlining. Nobody said that if you redlined out the inner city that somehow that you weren't making loans probably more prudently. The question was, was it a surrogate for race? And I think that's the question right here. Is the use of credit scoring a surrogate for race? And if it is, then it should be banned. And we've answered it for life insurance. We've answered it for redlining on lending. I think the FTC came back and showed that, yes, there is a disparate impact, and you know, there's some real limitations on the study that they did. Not their fault, but because of the data. And I look at it and I say, you know, if this question is as clear as it appears right now, you should take the same approach relative to what you did for life insurance and what you did for redlining on lending. Chairman Watt. Commissioner Schmidt, what are you all using other than credit-based scoring in Hawaii? Mr. Schmidt. Yes. We're using driving history and the accident experience that individuals have. As I noted in my testimony, we not only ban credit bureau rating, but a variety of other factors which have an actuarial basis that show that there are difference in premiums that could be had based on gender, based on length of driving experience, age and other factors. But we do focus on what the actual driving experience and claims history was. During the course of this ban, Representative Roskam was right that we don't have necessarily the experience of having no credit reports being used and then having credit reports being used to compare it. But in my testimony, we have banned it for a number of years, and during that course of those years, we have had a bad and difficult auto insurance market based on some of the other laws that we had enacted where we had few companies writing, where we had high premiums. And then we made some reforms that enabled us to drop the premiums from third-highest in the Nation to 21st, one of the biggest drops of any State. And we have a very healthy auto insurance market now with lower premiums. And through both, we had the ban on credit scoring. So there still are valid criteria for evaluating the insurance rates that companies can use. Chairman Watt. My time has long since expired, and I recognize Mr. Miller. Mr. Miller of California. I was enjoying the red light. That's okay. To my knowledge, I don't think there's a State or an insurance company that doesn't use driving history. I mean, if--I don't want anybody to listen to this hearing today and assume that some insurance companies or some States are just using credit-based insurance scores. And I don't think anything in Mr. Rosch's report states that. I mean, they use multiple-- it could be 20 or 30 different things they take into--as a factor when they're determining somebody's fee they're going to charge. But it seems like all the reliable sources that have done the data research have come up with the conclusion for some reason, credit-based insurance scores are very predictable as it applies to loss. And I think that's all Mr. Rosch's report says, is that based on the information, if you have a bad credit score, you have a tendency to have many more claims than somebody who has a high credit score, has fewer claims or a better record. But, Mr. Shapo, can you describe how residual market rates have declined since credit-based insurance scores started to be used as an underwriting tool? And can you explain why this is the case? Mr. Shapo. The residual markets serve people who cannot obtain insurance through primary carriers, and they have been healthy and have gotten healthier since--in recent years. It seems to be a reasonable inference that, you know, that the use of credit scoring has not harmed people in that market sector. Mr. Miller of California. So rates have dropped by using them? Mr. Shapo. It seems to be a reasonable inference. Mr. Miller of California. And the FTC said that credit- based insurance scoring may reduce costs of granting and pricing insurance, and those costs generally are passed on through a competitive market to the person you're insuring. Is that a reasonable statement? Mr. Shapo. Yes. I think that was a clear--the way I read this study, that was a clear conclusion of the study, that it correlates risk to premium rates. It makes the amount people pay a more accurate representation of what they're expected to take out from the insurance company through the submission of claims. And on the whole, this--the report concluded that that will lead to both more accurate and better rates for a majority of drivers. Mr. Miller of California. Some States have taken the extreme and severely restricted the use of credit scores in the processing of insurance claims, writing insurance policies. So what effect does this regulation have on the availability and the affordability of insurance, in your opinion? Mr. Shapo. It's my general presumption that any restrictions that prevent a more precise allocation of premiums with respect to--in their correlation with risk, will ultimately not help and likely harm the availability and affordability of insurance in a State, because that, under, you know, fairly basic economic theory, will, you know, will impinge the working of a free market and harm the pairing of supply and demand. Mr. Miller of California. Back to you, Mr. Rosch. I'm not going to get to you, Mr. Schmidt, because you are crazy to be here. You should be in Hawaii. I'm telling you, anybody who would come to Washington rather than Hawaii--I mean that in a good way, my friend. I'd rather be right now on vacation. Mr. Rosch-- Mr. Rosch. I'm from California. Mr. Miller of California. Yes. I move we adjourn and reconvene this in Honolulu or something. Is that feasible? Mr. Rosch-- Mr. Schmidt. That's a good idea. Mr. Miller of California. I knew you'd like that. The report states that the theory that credit scores are solely a proxy for race or ethnicity cannot be upheld because credit scores are predictive within racial and ethnic groups as well as within general population. Can you elaborate on that? Mr. Rosch. Actually, Congressman, the report says that it is not solely a proxy. It does not rule out a proxy effect by any matter of means. It says that because it is predictive within each of those racial groups, it cannot be considered solely a proxy, and I think that is simply a matter of logic. However, we didn't stop there. There was a second test that was done, first of all to determine the extent to which there were increases in the risk for each of these groups, and it turned out that for African Americans, the average predicted risk went up by 10 percent, and for Hispanics by 4.2 percent. And then we tried to figure out how much of that 10 percent and how much of that 4.2 percent was attributable to--could be said to be attributable to race and thus be said to be a proxy effect. And we found that in the case of African Americans, it was about 1 percent of that 10 percent. And in the case of Hispanics, it was about .7 of that 4.2 percent. So I think--I would like the record to be clear that we did not rule out a proxy effect. Mr. Miller of California. Okay. Mr. Kreidler. You're grinning. You never thought I'd get to you, did you? This is my last question. In your written testimony, you stated that the use of credit scores, if it's banned, some people's--and we talked about this--rates would go up, and other people's would go down. But the FTC report's estimate that if credit-based insurance scores are used, more consumers would be predicted to have a decrease in their premiums than an increase. Would you like to address that? Mr. Kreidler. In no small part, the insurance industry has certainly strongly implied that credit scores are good for everybody. They are not. Some people go up. Some people go down. There is a distribution. What the proportion is of who benefits and who doesn't is not really the issue from my standpoint. It is the one that not everybody is going to be a beneficiary. Only so much is made from selling insurance, and that net profit or the premiums that are charged in order to remain solvent are going to be ones that will be distributed over the entire load. Mr. Miller of California. Well, thank you. I yield back. And now Ms. Waters has showed up. Chairman Watt. The gentlelady from California is recognized. Ms. Waters. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I'm sorry I could not be here earlier. This has been a very busy day with so many overlapping hearings going on. But this is a most important hearing, and I thank you for holding this hearing and for all of the witnesses who are here today. I thank you for being here. I am from California, and I was in the California State assembly for 14 years before coming to Washington, D.C., and for that entire period of time, I worked on redlining in automobile insurance. And it has been a tough and long battle in the State of California to get rid of redlining in automobile insurance. And it seems to me as we have begun to win this battle against redlining in automobile insurance, it's simply being charged more money based on where you live, somebody just has come up with another way by which to exclude and/or charge more money. And I don't care what is said, the information that I have here just basically shows that African Americans and Latinos, a large percentage of them--it's here someplace--are likely to be impacted by this policy of using FACTA scores or credit history as a way of determining the cost of your insurance. Someone probably asked this. You probably discussed it already. Will someone tell me what the documented relationship is between your credit history and how you drive? Where is the empirical data that connects the two? Mr. Birnbaum. Well, I'll jump in and say that there is no data that connects the two. What the insurance industry does is they go into your credit history and they do a data mining exercise. It's a huge database, and they data mine it to see which characteristics are associated with claims, with people who are likely to renew their policy, with people who are likely to buy additional policies, people who are likely to be more profitable. Then they build a model that puts a numerical value on that. There's no theory there. There's no theory about how credit history relates to driving. It's a data mining exercise. And what you get now is a bunch of after-the-fact rationalizations that blame the victim. You basically say that, oh, people, you know, it's related to claims because people don't manage their finances well and they don't manage their risks well. Well, that's just simply not true. We know that poor people have to manage their finances better, because they don't have as much to work with. We know that the people who are penalized from credit scoring are the victims of economic and medical catastrophes. We know that the victims of credit scoring are people who don't have information in their files because they deal with payday lenders, check-cashing operations, and they can't get mainstream credit. The fact is, that there is information out there that calls into question the so-called correlation. And this is something I definitely wanted to address. When I was a regulator in Texas, one of the companies came in and said we want to give a discount to people who have been with us longer, because our loss ratios decline with homeowners as people who have been with us longer. And we said, why is that? Why do you think that is? Oh, we don't know, but there's a correlation. Well, if we had just said, okay, fine, there's a correlation, then we would have basically been going along with unfair treatment. Because when we dug a little deeper, we found that what they had given us was a combination of homeowners and renters. The renters' loss ratio was higher than the homeowners' loss ratio. And the percentage of the people who had renters insurance in the early years was greater, so the loss ratio was greater. So it appeared as if the longer you'd been with the company, the less likely you would be to have an accident, when in fact it was simply a function of what data you were looking at. I think that's the same thing that's happening here, is that there's not really any relationship between your credit history and the likelihood of claim. There's something being hidden in the data, because there are things that happen that are inconsistent with the theory. I mentioned that earlier about how delinquencies and foreclosures and debt load has increased over a period of time when auto claims have decreased. How do you jibe that with the claim that credit history is related to claims? No. Ms. Waters. Well, I think I would certainly agree with the analysis that you just gave. But I'd like to ask the Commissioner, is it Rush or Rosch? Mr. Rosch. It is Rosch, and I'm from California, too, Congresswoman. Ms. Waters. Good. Thank you. I asked the question about the correlation, and I just received an answer that makes a lot of sense to me. But what I want to do is I want to ask you about the conclusion of the Commission and what you decided to do about this. It says, ``The FTC therefore recently revised and reissued its consumer education materials, including its Spanish language materials, to give greater emphasis to the link between credit history and insurance premiums.'' I guess that means you're counseling people that if you don't want to have increased premiums, you better have a better credit history. I mean, that's what it sounds like. ``We hope that these materials, this hearing, and other efforts will alert consumers that having the best possible credit history is critical not only in decisions creditors will make about them, but in the decisions insurance companies will make about them too.'' Is that all you intend to do? I mean, do you really think that's credible? Mr. Rosch. Congresswoman, please understand that there are limitations on our jurisdiction that have been placed on us by Congress. Ms. Waters. Well, tell us how we can undo that. Mr. Rosch. The McCarron-Ferguson Act delegates the power to regulate insurance to the States, not to the Federal Trade Commission. So we are embarking on--we are doing as much as we can do. We're not the only ones who are doing this, by the way. The States are also requiring the same kinds of disclosures. So they're reinforcing what we're doing. But we are doing as much as we can do within the jurisdiction that you've given us. Ms. Waters. But what you basically say is you believe that there is a correlation and that it's all right for the credit histories to be used to determine the premiums and how much money people are paying. Mr. Rosch. Please-- Ms. Waters. You're agreeing with that. Mr. Rosch. No. No, please, Congresswoman, please--that is not what our report says. We take no position on whether or not that-- Ms. Waters. But you do take a position in the way that you have decided to handle your so-called consumer education. You're saying you agree. Well, this is what the insurance companies are doing. This is how they determine your premiums. Now you just make your credit histories better so that you won't have to be charged more money. I mean, that's the conclusion there. Mr. Rosch. We are doing as much as we can do in the real world today. Ms. Waters. Well, can you say I don't think that there's a correlation? I don't think that there should be a relationship to your credit history and the amount of money that you pay? That's what they're doing, but we disagree with that. Can you say that? Mr. Rosch. I can say that we do think there is a correlation, because that's exactly what our report to you shows, that there is a correlation. We are not in a position to say whether using that correlation to price insurance is right or wrong because that is a policy decision to be made currently by the States. But if this body decides that it should be taken over by the Federal Government, it is a policy decision that we're trying to inform you as much as we can about so that you can make it on a reasonable basis. Ms. Waters. Well, thank you very much. Mr. Chairman, I really do thank you. You know, I almost feel like minorities are under siege in so many ways. I just left a hearing about some bills that are being produced about gang warfare and how they want to create databases and identify whole communities as, you know, gang communities. I just got back from Jena, Louisiana, last week where we have a prosecuting attorney or a DA who has abused his power in, you know, charging young people who happen to be African American with criminal charges. Everywhere I look, it appears that there's another instance of really; what amounts to discrimination and abuses of power and that people of color are under siege in this country. And I don't care--I'm sure you're doing the best job you can do, Mr. Rosch, but whatever data that you have or whatever your information is that would lead you to believe that there is a correlation between your credit history and the way that you drive, it's just not believable to me. And once more, I'm going to end this day feeling rather offended by more information that causes--or undermines the quality of life for, you know, African Americans and people of color, whether we're talking about the home foreclosures or now this new way of redlining. So I thank you for bringing it to my attention. I just have to go home tonight and rededicate myself to the proposition that I have to do a lot of fighting. We have to confront a lot of issues and a lot more people. But thank you for the information. This hearing is extremely important. I yield back the balance of my time. Chairman Watt. The Chair notes that some members may have additional questions for this panel which they may wish to submit in writing. Without objection, the hearing record will remain open for 30 days for members to submit written questions to these witnesses and to place their responses in the record. I want to again applaud this panel. It has been an absolutely eye-opening exercise. All of you have contributed in very, very important ways to this very, very important discussion. Mr. Miller of California. Might I say that I'd like to thank Mr. Schmidt and Mr. Kreidler for the sacrifice they made of being here today. Mr. Schmidt. Thank you very much, Representative. Chairman Watt. Especially Commissioner Schmidt. Mr. Schmidt. And I will be happy return to my home in Hawaii. Chairman Watt. Thank you again for testifying, and the hearing is adjourned. 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