Analytical Perspectives - Table of Contents

[Analytical Perspectives]
[Table of Contents]
[From the U.S. Government Printing Office, www.gpo.gov]

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

List of Charts and Tables.................................................................................................................. iii

Introduction

1. Introduction............................................................................................................. 3

Performance and Management Assessments

2. Budget and Performance Integration....................................................................................... 9

Crosscutting Programs

3. Homeland Security Funding Analysis....................................................................................... 19

4. Strengthening Federal Statistics......................................................................................... 35

5. Research and Development................................................................................................. 43

6. Federal Investment....................................................................................................... 53

7. Credit and Insurance..................................................................................................... 65

8. Aid to State and Local Governments....................................................................................... 99

9. Integrating Services with Information Technology......................................................................... 151

10. Federal Drug Control Funding............................................................................................. 159

11. California-Federal Bay-Delta Program Budget Crosscut (CALFED)............................................................ 161

Economic Assumptions and Analyses

12. Economic Assumptions..................................................................................................... 165

13. Stewardship.............................................................................................................. 175

14. National Income and Product Accounts..................................................................................... 203

Budget Reform Proposals

15. Budget Reform Proposals.................................................................................................. 211

Federal Borrowing and Debt

16. Federal Borrowing and Debt............................................................................................... 221

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Federal Receipts and Collections

17. Federal Receipts......................................................................................................... 237

18. User Charges and Other Collections....................................................................................... 271

19. Tax Expenditures......................................................................................................... 285

Dimensions of the Budget

20. Comparison of Actual to Estimated Totals................................................................................. 331

21. Outlays to the Public, Gross and Net..................................................................................... 339

22. Trust Funds and Federal Funds............................................................................................ 341

23. Off-Budget Federal Entities and Non-Budgetary Activities................................................................. 347

24. Federal Employment and Compensation...................................................................................... 351

Current Services Estimates

25. Current Services Estimates............................................................................................... 359

The Budget System and Concepts

26. The Budget System and Concepts........................................................................................... 377

Detailed Functional Table

27. Detailed Functional Table................................................................................................ CD-ROM

Federal Programs by Agency and Account

28. Federal Programs by Agency and Account................................................................................... CD-ROM

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........................................................................

LIST OF CHARTS AND TABLES

......................................................................

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LIST OF CHARTS AND TABLES

LIST OF CHARTS

Page

2-1..... Program Ratings are Improving..................... 15
4-1..... ICSP Statistical Quality and Program Performance 36
Dimensions, 2007..................................
4-2..... Most Recent PART Summary Ratings for Statistical 38
Programs..........................................
5-1..... American Competitiveness Initiative Research...... 43
5-2..... Scores of R&D PART Assessments.................... 45
7-1..... Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Growth of GSE Asset 72
Portfolios........................................
7-2..... Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Combined Income........ 73
7-3..... Face Value of Federal Credit Outstanding.......... 85
13-1.... The Financial Condition of the Federal Government 177
and the Nation....................................
13-2.... Net Federal Liabilities........................... 181
13-3.... Health Care Cost Alternatives..................... 186
13-4.... Alternative Discretionary Spending Assumptions.... 187
13-5.... A Constant Revenue Share.......................... 187
13-6.... Alternative Productivity Assumptions............... 188
13-7.... Alternative Fertility Assumptions.................. 189
13-8.... Alternative Immigration Assumptions............... 189
13-9.... Alternative Mortality Assumptions................. 190
17-1.... Major Provisions of the Tax Code Under the 2001, 238
2003 and 2004 Tax Cuts............................
20-1.... Illustrative Range of Budget Outcomes............. 337
26-1.... Relationship of Budget Authority to Outlays for 389
2007..............................................

LIST OF TABLES

Page

Crosscutting Programs

Homeland Security Funding Analysis:
3-1..... Homeland Security Funding by Agency............ 20
3-2..... Homeland Security Funding by National Strategy 21
Mission Area..................................
3-3..... Intelligence and Warning Funding............... 22
3-4..... Border and Transportation Security Funding..... 23
3-5..... Domestic Counterterrorism Funding.............. 25
3-6..... Protecting Critical Infrastructure and Key 26
Assets Funding................................
3-7..... Defending Against Catastrophic Threats Funding. 27
3-8..... Emergency Preparedness and Response Funding.... 29
3-9..... Discretionary Fee-Funded Homeland Security 31
Activities by Agency..........................
3-10.... Mandatory Homeland Security Funding by Agency.. 31
3-11.... Baseline Estimates--Total Homeland Security 32
Funding by Agency.............................
3-12.... Homeland Security Funding by Budget Function... 33
3-13.... Baseline Estimates--Homeland Security Funding 34
by Budget Function............................
....... Appendix--Homeland Security Mission Funding by CD-ROM
Agency and Budget Account.....................

Strengthening Federal Statistics:
4-1..... 2005-2007 Budget Authority for Principal 41
Statistical Agencies..........................

Research and Development:
5-1..... Federal Research and Development............... 49
5-2..... Federal Science and Technology Budget.......... 51

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5-3..... Agency Detail of Selected Interagency R&D 52
Efforts.......................................

Federal Investment:
6-1..... Composition of Federal Investment Outlays...... 55
6-2..... Federal Investment Budget Authority and 56
Outlays: Grant and Direct Federal Programs....
6-3..... Summary of PART Ratings and Scores for Direct 59
Federal Investment Programs...................
6-4..... Net Stock of Federally Financed Physical 62
Capital.......................................
6-5..... Net Stock of Federally Financed Research and 63
Development...................................
6-6..... Net Stock of Federally Financed Education 64
Capital.......................................

Credit and Insurance:

Text Tables:
Summary of PART Scores....................... 67
Largest 10 Claims Against the PBGC's Single- 81
Employer Program, 1975-2005...................
7-1..... Estimated Future Cost of Outstanding Federal 86
Credit Programs...............................
7-2..... Reestimates of Credit Subsidies on Loans 87
Disbursed Between 1992-2005...................
7-3..... Direct Loan Subsidy Rates, Budget Authority, 89
and Loan Levels, 2005-2007....................
7-4..... Loan Guarantee Subsidy Rates, Budget Authority, 90
and Loan Levels, 2005-2007....................
7-5..... Summary of Federal Direct Loans and Loan 91
Guarantees....................................
7-6..... Direct Loan Write-Offs and Guaranteed Loan 92
Terminations for Defaults.....................
7-7..... Appropriations Acts Limitations on Credit Loan 94
Levels........................................
7-8..... Face Value of Government-Sponsored Lending..... 95
7-9..... Lending and Borrowing By Government-Sponsored 96
Enterprises (GSEs)............................
7-10.... Direct Loan Transactions of the Federal CD-ROM
Government....................................
7-11.... Guaranteed Loan Transactions of the Federal CD-ROM
Government....................................

Aid to State and Local Governments:
8-1..... Federal Grant Outlays by Agency................ 99
8-2..... Summary of PART Ratings and Scores for Grants 106
to State and Local Governments................
8-3..... Trends in Federal Grants to State and Local 108
Governments...................................
8-4..... Federal Grants to State and Local Governments-- 111
Budget Authority and Outlays..................
8-5..... Summary of Programs by Agency, Bureau, and 119
Program.......................................
8-6..... Summary of Programs by State................... 120
8-7..... National School Lunch Program.................. 121
8-8..... Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for 122
Women, Infants, and Children (WIC)............
8-9..... Child and Adult Care Food Program.............. 123
8-10.... State Administrative Matching Grants for Food 124
Stamp Program.................................
8-11.... Title I Grants to Local Educational Agencies... 125
8-12.... Improving Teacher Quality State Grants......... 126
8-13.... Special Education--Grants to States............ 127
8-14.... Rehabilitation Services--Vocational 128
Rehabilitation Grants to States...............
8-15.... State Children's Health Insurance Program...... 129
8-16.... Grants to States for Medicaid.................. 130
8-17.... Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)-- 131
Family Assistance Grants......................
8-18.... Child Support Enforcement--Federal Share of 132
State and Local Administrative Costs and
Incentives....................................
8-19.... Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program...... 133
8-20.... Child Care and Development Block Grant......... 134
8-21.... Child Care and Development Fund--Mandatory..... 135
8-22.... Child Care and Development Fund--Matching...... 136
8-23.... Head Start..................................... 137
8-24.... Foster Care--Title IV-E........................ 138
8-25.... Adoption Assistance............................ 139
8-26.... Homeland Security Grant Program................ 140
8-27.... Public Housing Operating Fund.................. 141

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8-28.... Housing Choice Vouchers........................ 142
8-29.... Public Housing Capital Fund.................... 143
8-30.... Community Development Block Grants............. 144
8-31.... HOME Investment Partnerships Program........... 145
8-32.... Airport Improvement Program.................... 146
8-33.... Highway Planning and Construction.............. 147
8-34.... Capital Investment Grants--Fixed Guideway 148
Modernization.................................
8-35.... Federal Transit Formula Grants and Research.... 149

Integrating Services with Information Technology:
9-1..... Effectiveness of Agency's IT Management and E- CD-ROM
Gov Processes.................................
9-2..... Management Guidance............................ CD-ROM
9-3..... Status of the Presidential E-Government CD-ROM
Initiatives...................................

Federal Drug Control Funding:
10-1.... Federal Drug Control Funding, FY 2005-2007..... 159

California-Federal Bay-Delta Program Budget Crosscut (CALFED):

Text Table:
CALFED-Related Federal Funding Budget 161
Crosscut......................................

CALFED Budget Crosscut Methodology............. CD-ROM
CALFED Federal Agency Funding--Summary by CD-ROM
Category and Agency Breakout..................
CALFED Project Descriptions.................... CD-ROM
CALFED Prior Year (2005) Federal Funding....... CD-ROM
CALFED Fiscal Year 2007 Funding Under New and CD-ROM
Old Authority.................................
CALFED State Agency Funding.................... CD-ROM
Department of the Interior Certification of CD-ROM
Budget Numbers................................
Economic Assumptions and Analyses

Economic Assumptions:
12-1.... Economic Assumptions........................... 169
12-2.... Comparison of Economic Assumptions............. 170
12-3.... Comparison of Economic Assumptions in the 2006 172
and 2007 Budgets..............................
12-4.... Adjusted Structural Balance.................... 172
12-5.... Sensitivity of the Budget to Economic 174
Assumptions...................................

Stewardship:
13-1.... Government Assets and Liabilities.............. 182
13-2.... Long-Run Budget Projections.................... 185
13-3.... Actuarial Present Values of Benefits in Excess 193
of Future Taxes and Premiums..................
13-4.... National Wealth................................ 195
13-5.... Trends in National Wealth...................... 197
13-6.... Economic and Social Indicators................. 198

National Income and Product Accounts:
14-1.... Federal Transactions in the National Income and 205
Product Accounts, 1996-2007...................
14-2.... Relationship of the Budget to the Federal 207
Sector, NIPA's................................
14-3.... Federal Receipts and Expenditures in the 208
NIPA's, Quarterly, 2005-2007..................
Budget Reform Proposals

Budget Reform Proposals:
15-1.... Mandatory Proposals............................ 211
15-2.... Discretionary Caps and Adjustments............. 213
15-3.... Transportation Category for Highways and Mass 214
Transit Spending..............................
Federal Borrowing and Debt

Federal Borrowing and Debt:
16-1.... Trends in Federal Debt Held by the Public...... 221

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16-2.... Federal Government Financing and Debt.......... 223
16-3.... Agency Debt.................................... 227
16-4.... Debt Held by Government Accounts............... 229
16-5.... Federal Funds Financing and Change in Debt 231
Subject to Statutory Limit....................
16-6.... Foreign Holdings of Federal Debt............... 233
Federal Receipts and Collections

Federal Receipts:
17-1.... Receipts by Source-Summary..................... 237
17-2.... Effect on Receipts of Changes in the Social 237
Security Taxable Earnings Base................
17-3.... Effect of Proposals on Receipts................ 265
17-4.... Receipts by Source............................. 268

User Charges and Other Collections:
18-1.... Gross Outlays, User Charges, Other Offsetting 271
Collections and Receipts from the Public, and
Net Outlays...................................
18-2.... Total User Charge Collections.................. 274
18-3.... User Fee and Other User Charge Proposals....... 276
18-4.... Offsetting Collections and Receipts from the 281
Public........................................
18-5.... Offsetting Receipts by Type.................... 282

Tax Expenditures:
19-1.... Estimates of Total Income Tax Expenditures..... 287
19-2.... Estimates of Tax Expenditures for the Corporate 291
and Individual Income Taxes...................
19-3.... Income Tax Expenditures Ranked by Total 2007- 296
2011 Projected Revenue Effect.................
19-4.... Present Value of Selected Tax Expenditures for 299
Activity in Calendar Year 2005................

Appendix Tables:

1. Comparison of Current Tax Expenditures with 327
Those Implied by a Comprehensive Income Tax...
2. Comparison of Current Tax Expenditures with 328
Those Implied by a Comprehensive Consumption
Tax...........................................
3. Revised Tax Expenditure Estimates............. 328

Dimensions of the Budget

Comparison of Actual to Estimated Totals:
20-1.... Comparison of Actual 2005 Receipts with the 331
Initial Current Services Estimates............
20-2.... Comparison of Actual 2005 Outlays with the 332
Initial Current Services Estimates............
20-3.... Comparison of the Actual 2005 Deficit with the 333
Initial Current Services Estimate.............
20-4.... Comparison of Actual and Estimated Outlays for 334
Mandatory and Related Programs Under Current
Law...........................................
20-5.... Reconciliation of Final Amounts for 2005....... 335
20-6.... Comparison of Actual and Estimated Surpluses or 336
Deficits Since 1982...........................
20-7.... Differences Between Estimated and Actual 337
Surpluses or Deficits for Five-year Budget
Estimates Since 1982..........................

Outlays to Public, Gross and Net:
21-1.... Total Outlays, Gross and Net of Offsetting 339
Collections and Receipts from the Public, by
Agency, 2005-2007.............................

Trust Funds and Federal Funds:
22-1.... Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit by 341
Fund Group....................................
22-2.... Income, Outgo, and Balances of Trust Funds 343
Group.........................................
22-3.... Relationship of Total Federal Fund and Trust 344
Fund Receipts to Unified Budget Receipts,
Fiscal Year 2005..............................
22-4.... Income, Outgo, and Balances of Major Trust CD-ROM
Funds.........................................
22-5.... Income, Outgo, and Balances of Selected Federal CD-ROM
Funds.........................................

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Off-Budget Federal Entities and Non-Budgetary Activities:
23-1.... Comparison of Total, On-Budget, and Off-Budget 347
Transactions..................................

Federal Employment and Compensation:
24-1.... Federal Civilian Employment in the Executive 353
Branch........................................
24-2.... Total Federal Employment (As measured by total 354
positions filled).............................
24-3.... Total Federal Employment (As measured by Full- 355
Time Equivalents).............................
24-4.... Personnel Compensation and Benefits............ 356
Current Service Estimates

Current Service Estimates:
25-1.... Baseline Category Totals....................... 360
25-2.... Alternative Baseline Assumptions............... 361
25-3.... Summary of Economic Assumptions................ 362
25-4.... Beneficiary Projections for Major Benefit 363
Programs......................................
25-5.... Impact of Regulations, Expiring Authorizations, 363
and Other Assumptions in the Baseline.........
25-6.... Baseline Receipts by Source.................... 369
25-7.... Change in Baseline Outlay Estimates by Category 370
25-8.... Current Services Outlays by Function........... 371
25-9.... Current Services Outlays by Agency............. 372
25-10... Current Services Budget Authority by Function.. 373
25-11... Current Services Budget Authority by Agency.... 374
25-12... Current Services Budget Authority by Function, CD-ROM
Category and Program..........................
25-13... Current Services Outlays by Function, Category CD-ROM
and Program...................................
The Budget System and Concepts

The Budget System and Concepts:
26-1.... Totals for the Budget and the Federal 381
Government....................................
Detailed Functional Table

Detailed Functional Table:
27-1.... Budget Authority and Outlays by Function, CD-ROM
Category and Program..........................
Federal Programs by Agency and Account

Federal Programs by Agency and Account:
28-1.... The Budget for Fiscal Year 2007 by Agency and CD-ROM
Account.......................................